Russia's Mobilization Announcement: The Ten Biggest Takeaways

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After demonstrating a terrible inability to defend against Ukrainian counterattacks, Russia had to do something. Putin's answer? Mobilizing 300,000 more soldiers to the frontlines. However, the announcement itself reveals deeper details about what will happen over the next phase of the conflict. This video covers the ten biggest takeaways.
0:00 Putin's Big Announcement
0:28 Gambling for Resurrection
1:43 Aggressive Referenda
3:02 Bolstering Domestic Support
4:14 Nazis
5:38 Ukraine's Nuclear Weapons?
8:02 Truthiness
9:34 Partial Mobilization
11:05 Ineffective Mobilization?
13:04 Nuclear Threats
15:15 "This Is Not a Bluff"
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16 июн 2024

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Комментарии : 6 тыс.

@glaubersvlogs Год назад

As someone who's living in Russia and watching all of this unfold from the inside, I can say without hesitation that it IS a general movilization, even on paper. The "partial movilization" thing of Putin's speech is nothing but an attempt to make it seem as not such a big deal and lower social unrest.

@jugdemental2828 Год назад

🇷🇺🇵🇭💪

@allahlovesyou7241 Год назад

I want to listen and see "Russia today" they have blocked it here on utube😏

@keithe3227 Год назад

Yes it IS a general mobilization not “partial,” and it’s a WAR not a “special operation.”

@dongshengdi773 Год назад

@@jugdemental2828 Russia China Iran Afghanistan and Myanmar junta are evil brothers . Authoritarian totalitarian Communist governments are evil. Double ZZ is the new Swastika Symbol

@SILOPshuvambanerjee Год назад

@@allahlovesyou7241 USA destroyed many countries and Russia is their latest target

@knasper3 Год назад

This whole "this is not a bluf" reminds me of when Tywin Lannister said: A king who must say "I am the king" is no true king.

@johnomahonyelectrical867 Год назад

Very well said. And Edger Allan Poe’s quote. Even the most fiercest of beasts knows pity. I know no pity. Therefore I am no beast. Gives a good overall description of what’s to come. As a king falls from Grace.

@IIIAnchani Год назад

my biggest takeaway from Putin's speech was that Russia is losing the war big time, in a manner even worse than I had thought.

@markbridle7444 Год назад

How have they lost

@markbridle7444 Год назад

They are gained in land so they win by the votes

@markbridle7444 Год назад

It doesn't matter if we don't believe the votes if Russia says they voted Russia then they are then Russian if you don't believe me then imagine it and think who can stop them with Russia says if you attack Russia it's nuclear war so we have lost already

@thesyndicatea.t.k7528 Год назад

@@markbridle7444 trust me bro🤡

@edthoreum7625 Год назад

Don't forget to boycott anything from his allies,china &India,,,

@WorldXForce89 Год назад

Subbed great video! Great insight about what's going on.

@TheArchfiend Год назад

Ukraine might literally run out of room to house the soldiers that surrender immediately on the front lines.

@robertbones326 Год назад

Well at least it might deter Putin from nuking Ukraine

@DeezNuts-sx9jd Год назад

@@robertbones326 Lmao Putin doesn't give a fuck about his civilians. He'd say they were willing sacrifices.

@SxWerks Год назад

A Ritchie Boys Operation may be very fruitful. Surrender and we will feed and cloth you.

@sentryion3106 Год назад

@@robertbones326 how? I doubt putin cares about the surrenderer soldier

@kerlinemcphee363 Год назад

@@robertbones326

@Violent2aShadow Год назад

As a Master Strategist once said: "Don't believe ANYTHING until the Kremlin denies it."

@gwho Год назад

LOL

@magnummax78 Год назад

😁😂🤣

@420WEED69 Год назад

No no that the DEMOCRATS also

@WawkWakw Год назад

@@420WEED69 Its abt russia

@ieverhart Год назад

@@420WEED69 cap

@simonwilson770 Год назад

Fascinating insights. Difficult to find proper factual information on the war. Thanks!

@CinemaDemocratica Год назад

I do some private ESL tutoring here in Phnom Penh and two of my clients are ethnic Russians who moved here from Ukraine. Both of them have told me something quite remarkable: They believe that Putin thought the ethnic Russians in Ukraine would consider themselves patriotic Russians before and above anything else -- and they assert (convincingly) that this was his big mistake. They point out that to be a Russian living in Ukraine, you must first have decided to LEAVE RUSSIA, and that the decision to do so is at best a neutral actor on your Russian patriotism, but probably a lot worse than neutral.

@sysims2005 Год назад

The only Russian senator that voted against annexing Crimea is living in exile. I listened to an interview with him and he indicated that the referendums were legal grounds for which to dispatch new recruits into the war zone. Apparently they are not allowed to send new recruits anywhere but Russian soil. I found that to be an interesting perspective. Thank you for your evaluation as well it was very insightful

@rog69 Год назад

So why are all the western leaders so obnoxiously hysterical about the whole thing? Instead of being rational and have a diplomatic approach they just pour more oil on the fire and act aggressively. Russia isn’t gonna randomly claim half of Finland or Poland as their territory 😂. And yeah only Americans and their allies are allowed to send boots wherever 😂

@bob1dob347 Год назад

Note that a fascist always blames what he is doing onto others. YOU ARE TALKING ABOUT THE AMERICANS, UK, UKRAINE AND NATO! THEY HAVE BEEN TALKING ABOUT PREEMPTIVE STRIKES SINCE BEFORE RUSSIA INVADED! In their last moments people show you who they really are. Remember what you said when the world came the closest its ever been to Nuclear Annihilation. I pray that in our last moments we may make peace with it and the world as we know May we see each other in the world to come.

@gigacanno750 Год назад

More specifically, conscripts are not allowed to operate outside of Russia UNLESS in times of war. And Putin is STILL refusing to openly declare war. What does that tell you?

@fedortapkin9598 Год назад

More possible dates for him to be gone: 2022.09 - first social effects of mobilization 2022.10.07 - 70 years of Putin, 2022.11 - mobilized troops enter the game 2022.12.31 - traditional speech, the summary of 'WhatTheF*ckDoing', promises. 2023.02.24 - one year of a 3-day long 'blitzcrieg' 2023.05.09 - V-day celebration for demoralized nation, Immortal Regiment with color photographs.

@rosieroblox4874 Год назад

@@boostar155 you're being fooled by western propaganda, the situation is the other way around, nato and america are the ones desperate cause they were the one loosing this war with their weapons and Russia doesn't even declared a total war in Ukraine, surely another months and Ukraine will be destroyed, conquered and defeated if Russia will change their plans and destroy Kiev soon 💥💥💥

@DavidM2002 Год назад

One of the most important lines from Putin's speech : "...I find it necessary to support the proposal of the Defense Ministry and the General Staff on partial mobilization in the Russian Federation to defend our Motherland..." . He has created a perfect avenue to blame someone else for the failure that is sure to follow.

@andremacko5408 Год назад

Or he's a coward looking for a way out.

@J.M.254 Год назад

What failure! No one wins in a Nuclear war. It's inevitable.

@dar4431 Год назад

He wouldn't have to defend sh*t if he didn't start sh*t

@jasonx-ray3921 Год назад

Yes, good point. He is stockpiling reasons to put all of this on Shoigu and Gerasimov later on. Shoigu's face and demeanor is one of a man who knows there is no way out of this and he's a dead man. Also, Putin loves his bargaining chips that he thinks he has and Wednesday wasn't the last time he will threaten Ukraine/the World with nuclear weapons. I think it is very possible to consider that one of his next threats/blackmail will be a countdown ultimatum. For example, he could declare that Ukraine has 72-hours 96 hours to withdraw from, say, Crimea or Luhansk, or he will use a nuclear weapons. There's a good chance he doesn't care about a nuclear war because he has billion dollar underground bunker where he can live the rest of his days without worry. Another thing to consider, China and India were still tolerating Putin at the Uzbekistan conference. A few days later, Putin affirms his willingness to use nuclear weapons. I bet China and India are saying to themselves we are out of this. Putin's is on his own. If they publicly withdraw support and condemn Russia's actions threats of nuclear, Putin knows he couldn't survive that. Heck, China doesn't want to die for Putin. India doesn't want to die for Putin. Nuclear holocaust? No. Thank. You.

@leechrec Год назад

Putin is such a coward

@503matelo Год назад

Solid analysis. Just subscribed. They would never let Wolf Blitzer say what you said.

@martinhartecfc Год назад

I don't know if you will ever read this, but if you do, could you please do a video analysing the recent attacks on the two Nordstream pipelines? No one seems quite sure who's behind it and I think your kinnd of game-theoretic analysis could clarify that a lot! Whether you do that video or not, thank you for your great content in general!

@josephhumble7138 Год назад

Putn is the Nazi but doesn't know it.

@tensecondbuickgn Год назад

Soviet era ex KGB agent who has "liitle man" syndrome and is the leader of a nation with nuclear weapons. What could go wrong....

@domcomfermi609 Год назад

Putin's strategy in Ukraine is SHORT sighted, his STATURE in the world is surely going to be CUT DOWN. His SMALL self esteem is going to take a hit. LITTLE by little he is feeling the heat.Even a MINISCULE amount of common sense would have averted this war. The LOW quantity of gains thae he has attained are not enough to warrant this war. Stopping oil on nordstream seems to have done SQUAT. If the capabilities of the RF is what is displayed in Ukraine, then it is MINIATURE indeed. The RF seems to be the DWARF here. Seems like the Ukranians are going to enjoy STUBBY after all.

@danieljasonkon9800 Год назад

@Ten Second BuickGN you’ve summed him up perfectly

@Peters2centsWorth Год назад

No clickbait, no sensationalism - Great job . Subscribed.

@MightyRude Год назад

The only weird thing about this channel is that William Spaniel really likes to draw lines on maps. It’s like a weird kink of him or something.

@moreece197 Год назад

I agree. Well done indeed

@swaggywolrd Год назад

broski is defending west and saying russia bad wow good job

@harleydavidson1014 Год назад

@@swaggywolrd Are you a democrat or a Russian? 🤔

@mkrmmd1162 Год назад

Just pure one sided pro west view propaganda Hes wrong on the Ukraine dirty bomb, according to experts who know what their talking about. This guy has loss of memory since 2014 - the illegal coupe etc. This guy belongs to the maiden/azov group.

@HunterSalazar Год назад

Very informative, thank you.

@bluejeans8001 Год назад

Based upon the excellent content I’ve witnessed from just two videos I am subscribing. Thank you for sharing.

@pantheon6920 Год назад

I actually haven’t seen a lot of panic from the media I read around the “not a bluff” line. So far, the response I’ve seen around has been “not a bluff, said every bluffer ever.”

@Brellic Год назад

Yeah, the very first thing I heard on the radio the next day was "He said he wasn't bluffing, which his a pretty good indicator that he was."

@CrazyGaming-ig6qq Год назад

Same, Im not sure where William got this impression? Maybe tabloid papers? Not sure if they even have said so much, I havent really read tabloid as it's a dreadful waste of time.

@NoobsofFredo Год назад

Aye, every response I've heard was pretty much everyone agreeing that he's almost certainly bluffing. Admittedly, that might just be a Southern bravado thing, but I find it hard to think that even Putin would be crazy enough to use nukes on Ukraine and risk a proportionate response from elsewhere.

@howardsimpson489 Год назад

You know when poo tin is lying, his lips move.

@paulpinecone2464 Год назад

"This is not a bluff" "No true king needs to say I am king"

@Actinuon Год назад

As far as I'm concerned, whenever Putin is extra adamant about something. He's lying.

@LtAlguien Год назад

Is hard to believe is not a bluff when Putin has sable ratting about nuclear weapons FOR THE WHOLE INVASION. Also kinda pathetic that the "second best army in the world" according to themselves, have to use nuclear threats

@mulughetatesfazgi8084 Год назад

@@Actinuon what about evil USA and Nato,,,, Libya, Iraq and Syria

@fifteenbyfive Год назад

@@Actinuon Well as far as I'm concerned, you'll be snuffing Cesium and other waste first in case you're wrong.

@DarrenBush Год назад

@@Actinuon If his lips are moving, he's lying. That's why Trump loves him so much. He ran the freaking KGB.

@jeanfitzsimmons7442 Год назад

Clear and concise. Thank you.

@tominnis8353 Год назад

An excellent analysis. Thank you.

@arniewilliamson1767 Год назад

I think Putin is worried and desperately flailing for some action that may help. The problem with conscripts in an unpopular war is that they would sooner surrender than fight. I remember after D Day my dad and future uncle were walking a bunch of Germans who had surrendered back to the POW clearing centre. When he left them one of the soldiers he had been talking to wished him good luck. Puzzled he asked the soldier why he wished him good luck The German replied “My war is over”

@RR-et6zp Год назад

He actually doesn't care , its about the history books

@spartacussmith7070 Год назад

He expected soldiers to have the heart to battle like the US military in 2001-2002, only difference is when you're the one inflicting the terrorism no one is going to want to join your cause.

@Ellenad369 Год назад

Putin is the good guy,he has been destroying the Deep State & preventing WW2 & their depopulation agenda,all those leaders & countries supporting the DS controlled Ukraine,are DS puppets that want WW3 & Global control be careful what you wish for,Ukraine had deadly diseases that were going to be used destroy the world.

@typicallymoody Год назад

You’re FUTURE uncle? What does that even mean? He traveled back in time to hear that story? Lmfao

@TenkabitoShien Год назад

and then your uncle went back to his time line and defeated the androids?

@TRE45ON.is.Bat5hit.Crazy.U.S.G Год назад

Ukrainian citizen in February: "I don't need a ride, I need ammunition!" Russian citizen in September: "I need a international passport , and a ride!"

@concept5631 Год назад

The brain drain is going to effect them for decades

@canon-de-75 Год назад

@Li Li not like any prospective emigrant would have much to come back to

@existentialpotato1552 Год назад

@Li Li what makes you say that

@DeezNuts-sx9jd Год назад

@@existentialpotato1552 he's saying that those who leave Russia now will not be welcome back cuz they'll be seen as traitors who left when Russia was in a war, one that many in Russia deem as a defensive.

@asiatmpo1 Год назад

@Li Li Re prospects in Russia..... Not as dim as remaining in Russia, that is for sure. That is why Russia's youth is voting with their feet.

@tomdemojo45 Год назад

Thanks @william I’ve found these videos really helpful. Feeling slightly less 😵‍💫 about what the hell is going on and a little bit more 🧐. I really appreciate it. Also your voice sounds a bit like Steve Buscemi 👍

@billcorbin2330 Год назад

Excellent analysis!

@paulmurray8922 Год назад

My takeaway is that it's his last throw of the dice in a losing game, in hopes of surviving the consequences of his grossest of miscalculations. The idea is to force a negotiated end to the war on his terms, which allows him to keep the part of Ukraine Russia currently occupies. Mobilization and referendums are meant to prove that Russia has not only the capacity to endure and defend "legitimate" occupied territories but also conduct further offensives. Failing that, as Ukraine inevitably retakes territory, then nuclear weapons may be used as retaliation for attacks on newly-minted Russian territory. As usual with Putin, it's 90% theater and 10% reality.

@koekiejam18 Год назад

According to russia proclemation on the nuclear proliferation treaty, they will not use nuclear/other WOMD’s unless the existence of the russian state is threatened. Using nuclear weapons as “payback” will nullify every single disarmament effort since the cold war started. Meaning we are essentially back to the cuban missile crisis. Putin definitly knows this, so i seriously doubt that putin is even considering the usage of nuclear weapons.

@kaasronald3623 Год назад

"The idea is to force a negotiated end to the war on his terms" I really hope this is the case. Really seems like the least destructive way out of it. Hopefully his card deck is really bad going into those negotiations, so he can play it off like a victory but is in no way tempted to try anything like it ever again.

@alessioantinoro5713 Год назад

@@kaasronald3623 So many civilians died, even if there's a less destructive way out of it, Russia needs to pay, meaning we will take back all of Ukraine.

@leenolan1469 Год назад

@@kaasronald3623 Try what? He's been trying to peacefully negotiate since 2014 & agreements have been made that the Ukrainian side have not followed through on.

@matrixfull Год назад

to me his speech doesn't mean much because he broke his words many times before. what his speech actually is is what he wants us to see and believe..it's been carefully crafted for both Russian and international audience..hence why speech was postponed by 1 hour few times and then postponed to next day. his speech has really no meaning..what he really thinks and may or may not do is in his head not in his words. it always been like that and this doesn't change it.

@bocamax Год назад

Saying "This is not a bluff" is like saying "Trust me". I don't think there has been one time in my life where someone said "Trust Me" where that did anything except create the opposite reaction. Sounds like something a used car salesman or an extended warranty seller would say to a senior citizen. The very fact that he said "This is not a bluff" makes it seem all the more likely that it is a bluff.

@every1665 Год назад

In WW2, Hitler repeatedly promised he wouldn't invade anymore countries just before he did. Pearl Harbor wasn't threatened beforehand. But far more recently, just before Russia invaded Ukraine Putin promised his tanks lined up on the border were only there for exercises and he wouldn't invade. Promises made in war don't mean Jack.

@judd0112 Год назад

That’s what he says when he’s against the ropes and hoping the “not bluffing, nuclear weapons “ random statements wil make anyone stop and think.

@zagreus5773 Год назад

Putin: "We might use nukes." World: "Yeah, sure, we know this is insane, stop with the bluffing." Putin: "This is not a bluff!" World: 😨😨😨 That's how I think Putin hoped this goes 😂

@quaissag368 Год назад

@@zagreus5773 Who really nuke (back) will not give a warning. This is something which worries Putin more than anything else, so he is threating like a child. He can't use a nuke without beeing nuked for sure.

@zagreus5773 Год назад

@@quaissag368 Don't really agree with the first part. Before someone uses nukes, they will give clear and unquestionable warnings, not just a weak "I'm not bluffing, promise." There will be something like an official document, with terms and conditions, sequence of escalation, nuclear submarines getting deployed etc. The threat of nukes is very powerful, more useful than the actual nukes. So he would try to take full advantage of that before doing what he can't take back. No one can truly predict what would happen after using nukes, it would be a new world. So as long as Putin isn't even willing to use the words "nukes" (he said WMDs, which could mean a lot of things), we are in no danger. Also, if he uses nukes "only" in Ukraine, he would not get nuked back, for sure. The West will only use nukes if their existence is in immediate danger. So he can use nukes without getting nuked, at least in the short term. But it would still be suicide: Ukraine wouldn't give up, the West would triple their support and no country, including China, would ever want to associate with someone that dangerous, stupid and insane.

@darkplanetable Год назад

Most competent and balanced analysis of the current events... thanks and respect!

@roysmith3767 Год назад

Search on RU-vid . ' Why is Ukraine the West's Fault . '

@brianmurray315 Год назад

Excellent video thank you.

@sohmingjian Год назад

Never forget Ukraine gave up her nuclear wpn for assurance Russian will not atk them.

@andrejsasd8904 Год назад

Any "contract"/ treaty with Russia has ~20-30 year expiry date. After WW1 when Baltic states got their independence, the peace treaty in all of them basically said that Russia leaves them alone till the end of the time. We know what happened 20 years later.

@mr.sensey2105 Год назад

Ты блять послушай заявление Зеленского до февраля, то что он хотел нарушить будапештский меморандум

@Gio954 Год назад

@@andrejsasd8904 this is true for many diplomatic dealings through history, just look at the many treaties through time with "eternal peace" or some equivalent in the name.

@GalaxyCat001 Год назад

Ukraine couldn't really use the nukes they had as all the codes for them were in Moscow. At best they could have made some dirty bombs perhaps. Not sure if they had the tech infrastructure to disassemble them and remake them as Ukrainian nukes with Ukrainian electronics/code etc either

@chirpywiggins5796 Год назад

This has all the ingredients to go catastrophically wrong ! I Putin is so desperate and hateful towards the West that he'll not be able to resist attacking NATO with all he has and subsequently millions of us will die and it's likely to be before end of this year!

@schizotypal4966 Год назад

One more thing about mobilisation in Russia. (From Russia) The current situation is that simply ignoring the mobilisation can get you up to 2 years of incarceration, whilst following the mobilisation can get you killed or maimed. Even the soldiers for whom it will be up to 10 years in prison may weight it against certain death (of cold, Ukranian shelling or internal conflicts in the army).

@rog69 Год назад

Yea same thing for any other nation lol

@tpeterson9140 Год назад

@@rog69 nope

@dingFAching Год назад

They have a better shot surrendering to Ukraine if they can survive long enough. It’s either that, prison, or an exceedingly high chance of a trip home in a body bag. I really do feel for these Russians as well. Not all of them are monsters, and I can’t imagine many of them want to have to make that choice.

@WhatHappenedIn-vt3vq Год назад

@T. Dougs U.S can get you a decade in prison if you enlist and run, buit in the U.S your not forced to enlist. Ukraine your also forced to choose between prison or battle, but current times in Ukraine you either die at the front or your family dies during thr Russian advance so all the big question for them is how equipped they are not if they're to head into service. The rest of the world generally doesn't face this problem

@rog69 Год назад

@T. Dougs are u 12? What do u think happen if any other country would have to mobilize and u as conscript desert?

@gecurry1999 Год назад

thanks for posting your video what you said makes a lot of sense.

@robkunkel8833 Год назад

A very good summary. Thanks. Biggest takeaway? Morale of the new Russian force and the explanation of nuclear options.

@werwolfnate Год назад

Any one of these three actions would have seemed desperate on their own. To have them happen all at once is especially desperate.

@avacadomangobanana2588 Год назад

Maybe it’s because they are. I honestly don’t know wtf Russia was thinking in the first place with this war since even if they swept thru Ukraine AHEAD of their insane schedule it would have still turned Ukraine citizens and the rest of the Nordic countries to the west/ NATO

@DraganMedakovicPhotography Год назад

@@avacadomangobanana2588 Sure, but it's way better to have nukes as far away from Moscow as possible. If Russia allowed Ukraine to join NATO , there would be NATO forces on the Russian border, just 500km from Moscow, which is just not going to happen without some kind of reaction. HIMARS missiles have a range of 480km, that would put the capital of Russia in firing range of NATO ground forces. This way they cement the border as far as possible, and get the resources as a bonus. New cold war is very, very close.

@leenolan1469 Год назад

@@avacadomangobanana2588 Depends on which propoganda you read. Many people are completely unaware of the Donbas situation that's been ongoing since the military coup. Putin & Russia have been negotiating with Ukrainine since then but Ukraine has failed to follow through on an agreement they actually agreed to. Very complex situation

@aaronbaker2186 Год назад

@@leenolan1469 it would be stupid for Ukraine to make any agreement short of complete Russian withdrawal. They are winning and Putin is losing. Putin now has turned the population of the Donbas against him with the drafting of so many men in the region (and people learning more about what the Russian military did in Mariupol). Plus Russian troops turn the locals against Russia everywhere they go. So why would anyone negotiate with a fascist loser like Putin when they can just beat him?

@keks1656 Год назад

@@leenolan1469 there is nothing to negotiate. It's Ukrainian territory, end of discussion.

@Bustermachine Год назад

One thing to consider with nuclear weapons is that none of the big power players want a world where a rogue actor can neutralize their power advantage by simply being willing to 'gamble it all'. It's one of the few things that would probably put China and the US tacitly on the same side as neither party could afford to backdown.

@talk-supersix-seven6021 Год назад

Yeah Nobody is impressed with the idea an incompetent dictator heading an unstable regime that has no plans beyond his lifespan can just invade a smaller neighbour mess up the invasion and then throw a trump card of “ well everything I’ve just taken is now my country and if you dare try liberate it I will nuke you” While also still trying to invade and destabilise the other country.. That means apocalypse is inevitable. Imagine if Israel did that with Egypt, just invaded the Sinai and tried to take western Egypt, got pushed back then stated the Sinai is now Israeli and if they dare keep taking it back they will nuke them. Now imagine if USA was going to do this, now imagine Pakistan trying this with india but stating “ well I’m willing to gamble it all deal with it”. Nobody is impressed with this, only a totally dying and incompetent regime does this. USA and China don’t have to do this as it’s far beneath them and they actually have interests in global stability and stable regimes.

@Sid-ro1mv Год назад

Agreed. Also if he won with his threats once, he would keep repeating the same threats with more invasions. He needs to be replaced by someone who wants peace.

@sirpaatatatach Год назад

holy shit China and the USA working together just to make sure Russia doesn't thwart their reaches across the world seems like a fever dream but at the same time...sane....

@Spaceadventure2 Год назад

Once a fanatical, disturbed leader threatens nukes he can be killed. It's legal.

@intheshell35ify Год назад

Russia is too consequential to be considered a rogue actor.

@rerango3760 Год назад

Thank you for an, as always, exellent analysis! The rat is not in the corner yet, but feels it coming! High stakes now. Approaching the end game sooner than later. Too exciting for my taste for sure.

@rerango3760 Год назад

@𝗧ext Me┼¹⁷⁶⁰⁴²⁹⁷⁷⁴⁴ hey

@stevenlavallee3833 Год назад

I think the way you explain how things play out in Ukraine is great , no !! it's more like excellent . And very informative, I'm very impressed keep up your great work man !

@Jondiceful Год назад

About the bluff, I would add that the whole point of bluffing is to convince your opponent that you are not bluffing. So the words "this is not a bluff" are more consistent with a bluff than a genuine threat. As Teddy Roosevelt said "Speak softly and carry a big stick." Translation: if your stick is big enough, you don't need to advertise it for people to fear it. Russia already has the largest nuclear Arsenal on the planet and currently appears to have the fewset scruples in its use. So adding big talk to a big stick does not help persuade anybody he is going to use it. This is about motivating the excitable portion of his population to support a patriotic cause with an argument that would normally only convince the gullible.

@nn4151 Год назад

It may be a bluff initially but if the survival of Russia is threatened there is no reason not to use nukes. Don’t think it won’t happen.

@frankstocker5475 Год назад

America has the largest nuclear Arsenal.

@CountingStars333 Год назад

No. If he "legitimizes" the occupied land. He can use nukes according to Russian doctrine. Ukraine will have the option to continue and face that....or stop and cease fire.

@Drobium77 Год назад

We've had a big stick aimed at us for over 50 years now. I must admit in the UK, as a child, I was terrified in the 80s of nuclear war, as it was all over the media and films. all that now has disappeared and no-one under 30 even thinks of nuclear war......this is the worst thing. People think that if we get nuked, that it'll all be like the computer game Fallout, and there is a certain romance to it, which is totally opposite to the truth. intercontinental

@timur43378 Год назад

you are so smart. Putin was bluffing before 24 february, right? Or wasn't he?

@kazansky22 Год назад

If you have to say "this is not a bluff". It's a bluff.

@Stefa000000 Год назад

I guess we will find out soon

@Lilitha11 Год назад

It is definitely a bluff since he makes a nuclear threat every time he talks. You can't read anything from him talking about nuclear weapons, it is a meaningless topic for him.

@aaronbaker2186 Год назад

@@Stefa000000 so you think Russia will admit defeat soon? After all, Putin using a nuke is Putin admitting to the world and his people that Ukraine beat him, that he is a loser and Russians are losers.

@sigung01 Год назад

Brilliant! Thank you for this.

@csdrt20 Год назад

Good analysis you earned yourself a sub

@CatherineKimport Год назад

My biggest take away is that in the twelve thousand years since we learned how to plant seeds, our blisteringly obtuse species still hasn't learned that we should never give even a tiny amount power to anyone who WANTS to wield it, because in the entire history of humankind it has not once ended well.

@ralfo1704 Год назад

It is all about the money and power unfortunately.

@jaguwa4816 Год назад

The best leaders are the people who don't want to lead.

@omniyambot9876 Год назад

With all these reasonable comments and contents. This is the most ignorant one.

@jaguwa4816 Год назад

@@omniyambot9876 Despite my reply, I agree that the original comment is ignorant.

@emlkl1779 Год назад

Are you talking about Trump?

@imapseudonym6198 Год назад

I have to admit, the instant I heard Putin say "This is not a bluff" I said out loud, "Yeah, he's bluffing."

@marksherrill9337 Год назад

Me too. Everything the Russians have looks rusted and out of date.

@dannyb9223 Год назад

@@marksherrill9337 Definitely. Russia has been rolling out with 50 year old equipment that hasn't had any maintenance in decades. No doubt Russia has paid for the maintenance, but their system doesn't guarantee that the maintenance actually gets done; so the money goes into peoples' pockets instead. So why wouldn't their nuclear weapons be any different? Those weapons require maintenance as well, or they just won't work. The risk is that, out of Russia's hundreds of weapons, it only takes a single working one to cause major devastation.

@rog69 Год назад

Well ur not very bright then. Cus at no point did he bluff during this whole conflict. But a random kid sure feels cool calling someone like Putin on their bluff I guess 😂

@imapseudonym6198 Год назад

@@rog69 Oh my, I know I've aged gracefully, but you're the first person to call me a kid in a very long time. Thank you!

@stephenresler Год назад

Your analysis is very good. I look forward to reading your book. Slava Ukraine.

@DannyB497 Год назад

This was an extremely interesting perspective! Subscribed!

@joepalooka2145 Год назад

Here's a great quote: "Putin's new Russian army is definitely not like the old Soviet Army. The Soviet Army had Ukranians!"

@divumque Год назад

Excellent point.

@pedroreynoso4624 Год назад

I completely agree with u...

@soto7132 Год назад

Thats a valid point......Ukranians have brains and guts and are more patriotic.

@michaelf7093 Год назад

In Soviet times, most NCOs came from Ukraine. Russians were either officers or privates. So now we see what happens when an army without NCOs takes on one with mostly NCOs.

@andremacko5408 Год назад

In fact the two WWII armies were called the 1st and 2nd Ukrainian armies. Many of the top generals were Ukrainian. The Soviet Union didn't have a chance in WWII without the Ukrainian despite what the Kremlin bluffer says.

@CallieCatCuddles Год назад

I just started to watch this and it made me think about gamblers and how when they're losing think, if I just keep going I'll win it all back, like endurance guarantees success. And we know from gambler's anonymous, divorce statistics, foreclosures, etc that this is not the case! We also know that dictators usually come to a very bad end. I think putin is going to come to a very inglorious end. Such happens when overinflated egos are involved. Power tends to corrupt, and absolute power corrupts absolutely.

@santoriniblue8413 Год назад

The analogy is perfectly appliable in many circumstances. That is why professional investors stick to stop-loss threshold. He should have sticked to his original plan: Once the Hostomel airport operation failed, pull out and cut his losses, and negotiate. Not improvise on the fly getting each time into worst scenarios. It reminds amateurish investors who double down: lacking the discipline to asume the loss, they not only remain paralized while his stocks plummet, refusing to believe it that they throw more funds into the disaster in that wishful thinking called "averaging your losses" which 99,8% of the times ends up loosing all.

@pdxholmes Год назад

It's called the sunk cost fallacy. It's so common it's considered one of the prime logical fallacies. Up there with things like no true scotsman and appeal to authority.

@mjinba07 Год назад

@@pdxholmes The sunk cost fallacy - "Our tendency to follow through on an endeavor if we have already invested time, effort, or money into it, whether or not the current costs outweigh the benefits." I've seen this happen a million times. Along with the tendency to overshoot one's own abilities, these are the two most common flaws in human psychology. Sadly, the more irrational Putin gets, the more capacity he has for screwing things up mightily. It's no joke.

@BewareTheCarpenter Год назад

If you owe the mob a million and can’t pay, you effectively have ‘nothing to lose’ by owing 2 million and everything to gain by owing them nothing.

@wolfiesmith7674 Год назад

Difference is the chips putin is loosing have friends/family/children and some people who experience loss are intent on revenge. This will cascade.

@user-ny3od4uv3o Год назад

Great analysis

@LanceBryantGrigg Год назад

This is fantastic analysis.

@stjavelin1593 Год назад

First time watcher and I have had college lectures on combat and your breakdowns are more substantive and informed than said lectures. I will share your channel.

@captainspock6221 Год назад

college lectures with a run on sentence like that?

@OrbitalArrow Год назад

@@captainspock6221 🤓

@trickydicky2908 Год назад

@Captain Spock With manners like that, your name should be Martok.

@virgomk83 Год назад

@@captainspock6221 i would absolutely love to see where you found the run on sentence here

@Myrcella_Rykker Год назад

@@captainspock6221 no one likes Grammer Nazi

@shupichii9647 Год назад

"When leaving an occupied territory, leave the enemy your supplies and munitions and vehicles." -Sun Putin

@andremacko5408 Год назад

Or as a meme said the Russians are victoriously retreating and the Ukrainians in a panic are pursuing them!

@hoze1235 Год назад

Chad Russians being chased by virgin Ukrainians

@lupohutchington269 Год назад

Yep. Taliban and the USA know that .

@bjrnerikholster1058 Год назад

His plan to confuse the Ukrainians over the Russian gifts was successful. The ukrainians were puzzled for 5 minutes, then started to return the gifts back to Putins bois.

@andrewbarker3210 Год назад

Like O'bummer in Iraq and Joe in Afghanistan? This is wilfully deliberate. Why? In America's case it's for good old capitalist reasons. Military stuff is expensive .. so if it's left behind .... you have to order some more.

@daliusss Год назад

Great insights. This is not a bluff!

@chrispy104k Год назад

Great analysis.

@beatrixwillius Год назад

For software development we have a saying that adding more manpower to an already late project will make the project even later.

@kevindevine5033 Год назад

Rotfl

@alanbudde8560 Год назад

This is a good point. Also wouldnt it be like adding staff without giving them equipment, given that we know the Russians are losing a ton of the resources already.

@ThePotatoMC Год назад

Brooks law

@fwiffo Год назад

The Mythical Man-Month

@ChucksSEADnDEAD Год назад

The "nine women can't birth a baby in one month" principle.

@Eric_Von_Zipper Год назад

The ironic thing is russia has laws that make it illegal to separate and do the exact thing they are doing in Ukraine.

@pigbearcub Год назад

Not so ironic. One of the first things the Confederate states of America tried to do was to pass a law to prevent its states from secession from the confederacy.

@TheControversyChannel Год назад

Most European countries have the same laws (Catalan in Spain) although international laws accept separation under certain conditions like genocide/ethnic cleansing etc

@manfredrichtoften8848 Год назад

@@pigbearcub that is ironic too.

@TheControversyChannel Год назад

Yes, but understandable. Countries don't want separatists but when people are willing to give their lives for it, this sometimes prevail

@slippingsnake Год назад

it seems that russia also has a law that prohibites to invase another country and a war that outlaws starting a war. this was mentioned by russo-german Alfred Koch (on wiki "Alfred Reingoldowitsch Koch") who worked in russian politics andmedia but left 2013 for germany. in an interview he explained that Putin already broke these 2 laws, but I can't find any information as this is not mentione in other media :(

@waynedrummond6583 Год назад

An excellent analysis.

@user-cd4bx6uq1y Год назад

Very interesting stuff

@Homer-OJ-Simpson Год назад

I’m glad I found this channel just last week. Not sure how I found it, but I’m glad!

@VladimirTheAesthete Год назад

Welcome to the club.

@namenamename390 Год назад

You didn't find the channel. The almighty algorhythm found it for you.

@vvohvaelez9277 Год назад

its algorithm is linked to ukraine war so

@teddy.d174 Год назад

It’s one of the best. His analysis is fantastic.

@Homer-OJ-Simpson Год назад

@@teddy.d174 I agree. Sticks to facts and makes great argument for his analysis. And it’s looking at nuances rather than just one 15 minute video trying to cover a whole months worth of action in the war and conflict.

@lorax8172 Год назад

My biggest takeaway is pure desperation. RU doesn't have an answer for UAs increased combat ability, so RU is just trying to increase the intensity of the same thing they've done the whole time. Throw troops straight into the meat grinder, but now with less artillery support.

@MithrilRoshi Год назад

@@AccumulatedKnowledge Now is the age of buying countries. Of having them indebted to you so much that they may as well be you.

@rosenmitrovich7034 Год назад

and there are already multiple sources showing "the training" will be 2 weeks amd off you go to the meetgrinder. this war is about to become multiple times bloodier. RFA is basically reverting to their old 1940's tactic of throwing bodies infront of the enemy to stop the advance of it.

@veli-pekkamalmi5546 Год назад

@@AccumulatedKnowledge It is hard to hold the ground when people are against you. russians know this very well so they could deport original civilians out of area and replace them with their own ...not so needed civilians. Classic playbook should i say?

@omniyambot9876 Год назад

@@AccumulatedKnowledge this is interesting. I thought about it. May I ask what do you think about Taiwan-China and what If there's no assistance from US?

@guillermonicolasdemartinid5572 Год назад

Replacing shells with men, like literal cannon fodder.

@3V1LKNIGHT Год назад

0:40 look at that Soldier saluting while turning like a serpent lol

@lexas1 Год назад

Good job.

@Hookens Год назад

The reason why the media reacts this way with the "This is not a bluff" is not because they believe him, but they know that they're definitely going to get more clicks and shares from making it sound apocalyptic than something people should take with a grain of salt.

@Pickles_McDickles Год назад

Idk, if the leader of a country which has the largest arsenal of nuclear warheads starts threatening nuclear war it raises concerns. Obviously you can phrase it any way you want but the fact remains. It’s more than likely saber rattling but who really knows what will happen? I’m not a fortune teller

@CrazyGaming-ig6qq Год назад

Actually most news reporting I have seen on this have been the news media interviewing experts who have then exactly NOT expressed that view, but instead expressed more or less the same views as in the video; which is namely that any nuclear threat is dangerous and should be taken seriously, but that doesnt mean we should back down or give in or necessarily believe or count on what the idiot is saying. Of course there may tabloid papers reacting with shock clickbait titels "THIS IS NOT A BLUFF!", but I wouldnt know for sure, I avoid tabloid junk.

@6foot8jesuspilledpureblood82 Год назад

You would be smart to take it seriously. Only stupid people aren't preparing right now.

@dr-ng8te Год назад

@@6foot8jesuspilledpureblood82 yes

@creepychris420 Год назад

'i'm not bluffing' - exactly what someone who was bluffing would say 😂

@22Epic Год назад

He is not bluffing, he didn't had sunglasses. Only people with sunglasses bluff.

@aCycloneSteve Год назад

It is also exactly what someone who is not bluffing would say. 🙂

@devinmcgroot7560 Год назад

@@aCycloneSteve i think people who bluff usually don't say anything, but they simply raaise the stakes.

@Suspicious_Zach Год назад

And then u pay and realize it wasn't bluff.

@coolbreeze2.0-mortemadfasc13 Год назад

@@Suspicious_Zach Yeah, we’ll we have nukes too.

@wa1ufo Год назад

Well done!

@docbogus6128 Год назад

Well done.

@wargriffin5 Год назад

"Russia has a manufacturing problem..." My Brain: "One rifle for every two men! The man with the rifle shoots! When he dies, the second man picks up the rifle and KEEPS SHOOTING!"

@terrysaunders9124 Год назад

It worked, becuz if they turned bk, they were dead 4 sure

@johntetzler1662 Год назад

Russians at the Gate of Kharkiv

@SoundzAlive1 Год назад

It was leaked by a whistleblower in the Kremlin that the mobilisation was for 1 million, which was paragraph 7 and was not released to the public. André in Sydney

@tomb5552 Год назад

I believe the mobilization and Referendum is meant to give Putin a better advantage at the negotiation table with Ukraine. At the present he has nothing to negotiate with.

@nerdynautilus5373 Год назад

Putin’s language regarding not bluffing was very specific in regards to nuclear attacks on Russia as he defines it, not conventional attacks. In essence he restated the point of Mutually Assured Destruction

@roysmith3767 Год назад

Search . ' Why is Ukraine the West's Fault . '

@Quetzietse Год назад

I think the 'not a bluff nuclear threat' is not really about the conflict in Ukraine. Just like most of the speech was meant for domestic ears and not foreigners, that part wasn't meant for us either. I think Putin knows the Ukraine war is kinda done. He will try to keep his filthy hands on the territories he has conquered so far. Might work out, might not. The bigger point thoguh is that Russia has shown weakness. They have shown to the world that they are weak, unorganized and quite frankly just embarassing. So maybe in the coming couple of years some of the other authoritarian dictator neighbours might get it in their headf that they want to take a piece of Russia. Maybe he is even paranoid enough to think that 'the West' will swoop in on the coattails of the Ukraine war, conquer Russia and divide it up into multiple states or something like that. He is basically saying: look, we might not be really winning here, but if you think you can do to us what we have done to Ukraine you are in for a nuke.

@TimothyCHenderson Год назад

It's truly eye opening how disorganized and spent Russia is. I always figured that there had been some decline in Russian military strength since the cold war but now I'm wondering how much of that deterioration had sunk in long before the fall of the Berlin wall.

@aoteren Год назад

Agreed. I would also like to add that it seems to me, in Putin's mind, he himself shows his own weakness by not winning this war. He fears, rather justifiably, that if the people sense such weakness, they will just oust him out (which, if they do, they will not do because he's "weak", but because he's a criminal). So he needs something - anything - that can be sold to the population as a victory, which is why he plans those "referenda". Then he will consider Ukraine attacking those territorries an attack on his land a threatening to Russia's bordere, which is where the nuke threat comes in. I truly hope that he at least understands that there are weapons that must never be used. Because it scares me to think what's gonna happen if he's just mad enough.

@matkany Год назад

Chinese officials did basically hinted a threat that: "there is no fight between the chinese and russia" hinting that china could take the theritory calimed by Peking on chinese russian border.

@mism847 Год назад

And that’s exactly the reason why I don’t think the west will ever try something as risky as that

@jasondean538 Год назад

IF HE FIRES ONE TACTICAL I PRAY TO WE THE PPL OF THE USA RAIN FIRE ON THEEIR WHOLE GOTDAMN WORLD..

@roybanner6230 Год назад

Thank you. My biggest takeaway from the speech which I watched live, is that he wants to dig a bigger whole to satisfy the Ultra nationalist, by adding Kherson and zaporizhzhia oblasts to his list of satisfactory victories. While the Ultra nationalists are calling for all of Ukraine, he knows that this is now unable to be accomplished, and even if Kyiv falls he can never suppress the people. This is a sign of him trying to thread the needle and stay alive.

@rog69 Год назад

Suppress the ppl? What? Crimea is doing just fine? Wtf u mean by suppress lmao? Getting Russian passports is suppressing?

@JakJakicevich Год назад

Well done

@icosthop9998 Год назад

Nice

@ElzariusUnity Год назад

I don't even know where the ultra-nationalist are. I've seen 3 of them in my entire life: A cleaning lady at my office, a guy from boardgame discord server and my dad when he's ass drunk.

@WhatHappenedIn-vt3vq Год назад

The gem is Putin killed one of his ultra nationalists daughters trying to kill his loyalist, pissed in all their cereals confirming he values China more then he values them, and they all know he's making desperate moves that will cost him the subservience of the lower ranking people rallying under them all while reaching a advanced enough age to die of natural causes before he can buy back the loans he took from China. If it even looks like the final advance doesn't go well in the first week there can be a large enough collective backed by a already dead inside people to Caesar him by grease fire, and not one person will care enough to report it

@johanswart1730 Год назад

BRILLIANT ANALIST..COOL WORK..

@jamesmetz5147 Год назад

thanks

@floridaray3380 Год назад

If you are winning the war why would you need more troop?

@userxkxmgc Год назад

its russian propaganda

@cts006 Год назад

Deathmatch Arena Announcer: **OVERKILL** also very russian propaganda

@aaronbaker2186 Год назад

@@cts006 the time for overkill is day 1 of a war. Feeding more and more troops slowly into combat is a good way to get defeat in detail.

@markscion Год назад

A nice summary, well done. One factual error - "the recruits, having previous military experience will be better than the current" (paraphrased). No they won't The forces that went in (the VDV, First Tank Army, etc) were the best and most current. The recruits will range from comparable to continually drunk and incapable. Also, the number mobilised will I am sure be more than 300k. It's not specified anywhere in the order. There is one redacted paragraph that leaks have said includes the number and is said to be "up to 1 million". It's just not credible. Will it make life more more difficult for ukraine? Yes, even a parrot with a gun has some risk. What it will do is prolong and make this even more bloody. In addition to the impossible mobilisation target, he's also expanded the theatre of operation. The smart thing would have be to retreat to Crimea and the pre-24 Feb lines, and reinforced those. Possibly increasing the area around Donetsk. Declare mission accomplished, Ukraine is denazified and disarmed. Look at all these burned tanks. Would there be backlash from the Ultranationalists? Yes, but I am sure there are still many windows well above ground level for them to "fall" through. He could control that. He cannot control what he's started. As for the "I'm not bluffing" - this is Putin we are talking about. Everything he says is a lie, so understand that as Putinspeak for "I am bluffing".

@real-history-online Год назад

they moblized close to 1 million ex military men...

@Terminalsanity Год назад

I doubt he would use a nuke, doing so almost certainly bring NATO directly into the War it would turn Russia in a pariah state even China and Iran would cut them losse. If the Ukrainians are giving the Russian military a hard time NATO will flat out obliterate them and the have the MAD option.

@gmw3083 Год назад

Really great propaganda

@Lilitha11 Год назад

Yeah it is Russia, they are just going to grab as many random citizens as they can. There has already been some reports of them mobilizing people who don't even qualify for the mobilization.

@rome229 Год назад

Ok General Mark.

@Maivnkaujxwb Год назад

I really enjoyed your show sometimes I watch it twice.

@joncheskin Год назад

The mobilization is necessary because without it there is a real possibility that Russia gets pushed out of all Ukrainian territory and Russia loses the war. Once blood is drawn, it is difficult to accept defeat or even cessation of hostilities until all measures have been tried for a turnaround--think American Civil War, World War I and Vietnam. A long war is a distinct possibility here. The big worry here is that, although tactical nuclear weapons are pretty much useless as offensive weapons of conquest, they can be used effectively in defense, and if Russia gets sufficiently desperate, the temptation to use them to defend the currently conquered terrirories increases. Use of nukes invites a response, and this is where things get very dangerous indeed.

@roysmith3767 Год назад

' Col. Richard Black : US Leading World to Nuclear War . '

@NickVenture1 Год назад

Now it will be possible to see if the conscripts of the Russian Federation Army will surrender in equivalent high numbers as those of the Russian Imperial Army in 1917 or those of the Soviet Army in 1941.

@Joe-fu3sl Год назад

Or maybe in Ukraine with the Ukrainian people but the Russians are basically fighting the West and NATO push the problem is it's in Ukraine they would have had the same War if the North Pole had NATO pushing in from that area it's about a boundary wall power push unfortunately Ukraine is paying the price

@wheelmanstan Год назад

absolutely

@Carewolf Год назад

They also made surrendering illegal, so any military prisoners returned to them could face 14 years in jail.. Yeah, that is pretty fucked up.

@hrvojegrgic5111 Год назад

Regarding the end of the video: Putin is very scared of nuclear war, he knows very well what that is, and you can see that in his reactions to those questions in interviews years before this war. This was speech for internal use mostly, to give those who are about to go to front lines and potentially die, some kid of assurance they will be O.K. "We have nukes, so they can`t touch us". That is how I read it. Great video, as always.

@eggziom Год назад

Have the same feeling

@michaelmisczuk1188 Год назад

Insightful. Thanks.

@jt-vj4sl Год назад

😊

@roysmith3767 Год назад

Search . ' Col . Richard Black : US Leading World to Nuclear War . '

@every1665 Год назад

I'm no fan of Putin but I hope we don't push him into a corner. One strategy might be to support Ukraine enough to drag this out (sounds cruel I know) until Putin is removed from within. I pray he is replaced by someone better - not worse which can happen.

@blacksmith88 Год назад

The Russian's claim that it is friendly country and helps others, its neighbors.. is the same as saying that it is really Santa Claus who gives presents at Christmas

@roysmith3767 Год назад

Search . ' Why is Ukraine the West's Fault . '

@eggziom Год назад

There's a distinction between tactical nukes and strategic ones. Tactical nukes are supposed to be used on the battlefield like an overpowered artillery, if I get it right. It's some sort of BFG. So in order to prevent heavy losses (which would cause mobilizing more people - which is unpopular), he might resort to use this s**t

@roysmith3767 Год назад

Search . ' Col . Richard Black : US Leading World to Nuclear War .

@righthandstep5 Год назад

Not likely. He'd have to hit every city in the west and ukraine no guarantee they work. All the usa has to do is bomb Moscow and the war and Russia ends. Maybe hit st Petersburg too. Get offended but russias days are numbered if they don't embrace democracy.

@KhmerMinnesnowta Год назад

Ukraine will need a huge metal recycling plan there after the war is over. Peace to Ukrainian people from a genocide survivor during evil Pol Pot from 1975 to 1979. Most of my family members did not make it. Many people have suffered and died cuz of these few evil leaders!

@danieljasonkon9800 Год назад

@Khmer Minsota May those who perished under authoritative regimes Rest In Peace

@chrishamlin4004 Год назад

I’m so sorry for your lost and destruction of your beautiful country. Putin has become a figure of stupidity and now his country is running around like headless insects. We have already lost everything in Mariupol but thankfully our family have survived.

@danieljasonkon9800 Год назад

@@chrishamlin4004 I am grateful that your family is safe. I will keep you in my prayers

@superRobertoist Год назад

I am sorry for you and sorry for your family members killed

@Maccanarchy Год назад

Also, with the "referendums" if those regions become part of Russia it makes calling up the reserves and "partial" mobilization legal within Russia as their laws surrounding reserves state that they can only be deployed on Russian territory to defend Russian territory. Not that the laws matter that much but as far as internal optics go.

@geofflepper3207 Год назад

Believe that in the war of 1812 when American forces got to the Niagara River a lot of the states' militia members at first refused to cross the border into British territory because they were only obligated to protect the United States from attack, not to invade a foreign country. Though I think they were eventually convinced to cross the border.

@Mark_Bridges Год назад

It also encourages the Russian army to conscript Ukranians from the occupied regions to fight against the liberators. Why not forcibly send non-Russians as cannon fodder?

@Maccanarchy Год назад

@@Mark_Bridges yeah, I also read about that being a motivating factor. But I question if it would really be used. Hypothetically if they armed Ukrainians to fight Ukrainians at best many would dessert at their first chance but also they'd have people with access to weapons and with knowledge of Russian positions etc. wandering about behind their lines which I'd imagine would create more problems than it fixes. Not saying it won't happen but doesn't seem like a solid idea to me.

@Mark_Bridges Год назад

@@Maccanarchy Fair points. I guess we'll find out.

@Maccanarchy Год назад

@@Mark_Bridges yeah mate, unfortunately that seems pretty likely.

@MWUSA Год назад

Great video did you drop the camera all of a sudden nothing thank you

@Mixcoatl Год назад

Thank you for that final section. It's so irritating to see people act like everything Putin says is gospel. It's not as if Russia hasn't made numerous threats throughout this war, only to not act on those threats every single time. Of course, there does seem to be a large crossover with those people who buy Putin's threats, and those who are against helping Ukraine win. But I'm sure that's just a coincidence.

@Dethfeast Год назад

Very true. To those who weren't paying attention, Putin threatened Nuclear War in 2014. He doesn't have any other threats in his bag, because we've seen what his military is. It can overrun countries without militaries, and that is about it. There just is no point in negotiating with a genocidal, kleptocratic dictator like Putin. There is no chance that you will be negotiating with a good faith actor.

@gigacanno750 Год назад

To be fair, the threats are being taken seriously, and Russia's nuclear posture is being watched as well as physically possible. Better than brushing it off completely.

@Yankeepride03 Год назад

@@gigacanno750 Russia’s nuclear posture is always being watched 24/7

@gigacanno750 Год назад

@@Yankeepride03 And now even more so when the invasion kicked off, and exponentially so whenever Putin or a high ranking official makes these threats. Just not good for someone with crippling anxiety.

@tommatt2ski Год назад

@@gigacanno750 Time to send some nuclear capable B-52's to their "fail safe" points close to Russia, to remind Herr Putler, what he is facing ( and messing with ) . He will cool his jets , pronto !

@davidokposio5126 Год назад

A very Indepth analysis of the situation on ground. Thank you so much for your time in putting this report together. I really do appreciate your concerns. Remain Blessed

@melvinwoodruff905 Год назад

Good information

@SRFriso94 Год назад

The reason I'm slightly concerned about the nukes is not because Putin said so, but because it is increasingly his last option to emerge from this with something vaguely resembling a victory. Reasons he wouldn't want to use them haven't changed, it would draw in NATO, and then Russia would lose everything, probably including Crimea.

@gigacanno750 Год назад

So, even if Zelensky and other Ukrainian officials believe he's not bluffing, you believe that Putin wouldn't, solely for the fact that it'd keep NATO out of the war?

@dreammfyre Год назад

Just digging that hole deeper. Dude is legit crazy at this point.

@stevesd4375 Год назад

I really appreciate your well- reasoned analyses. Thank you for your time!

@ahappyimago Год назад

All the mainstream news sources I heard people interviewed were not freaking out over the nuclear threat

@jberg3447 Год назад

I bet them Russians sure miss having a general like Georgy Zhukov 🤣

@merakibeats Год назад

I was waiting for this bro. Ive learned so much from your videos 🙏

@jrangel118 Год назад

You are missing one move they may try. They may make the Kherson and Zaporizia favorable to Ukraine, while the Luhantz and Donetz "choose" Russia. Russia then backs from the lost referendum areas and claims the "moral high ground by keeping the other two. Ukraine will beome the "aggressor".

@heathercooper6043 Год назад

I was thinking the exact same thing.

@samshell3717 Год назад

Is Russia smart enough to do this?

@ldjg-wb4mt Год назад

Thats an extremely interesting thought indeed.

@alanbudde8560 Год назад

He needs Kherson and Zoporizhia to hold Crimea since its only linked to Russia by a single bridge that could be destroyed in a few hours.

@fwiffo Год назад

He needs the land bridge, so he needs all 4.

@tomgrantham9992 Год назад

Great news ❤️ 👏

@eddielindaa Год назад

Excellent

@scp-0233 Год назад

If I'm right they don't even have full control of luhansk anymore they lost Bilohorivka 3-5 days ago

@BobuxGuy Год назад

@Li Li Russia had 7 months to show "who's fist is bigger"

@BobuxGuy Год назад

@Li Li + you account was made 3 months ago so shoo away cheap kremlin troll

@Mr.Wonderful731 Год назад

@Li Li All you trolls are the same. Wait for this wait for that, how long we gonna have to wait to see something besides Russia getting their teeth kicked in?