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The Fourth Turning Explained - Boomers vs Millennials Generational Crisis (Neil Howe Grant Williams) 

Real Vision
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In the first part of this three-episode series, Real Vision co-founder Grant Williams sets out on another journey of discovery. Williams goes on the road to speak with Neil Howe, author of “The Fourth Turning.” According to Howe, there’s plenty to learn about the future by looking at the past. Kicking the series off, the two consider the ironic phenomenon whereby human actions intended to mitigate natural cycles actually tend to exacerbate the downturns in those cycles. Looking at generational patterns, cultural trends, and the cyclical nature of history, Howe and Williams discuss the challenges that the combination of cycles and human hubris pose to markets and to society. Filmed on April 3, 2019 at several locations in the Washington area, including Neil’s home and Great Falls National Park on the Potomac River in Great Falls, Virginia.
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How Generational Gaps Challenge Society and Markets (w/ Grant Williams and Neil Howe)
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28 май 2024

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Комментарии : 584   
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance 4 года назад
Get Real Vision Premium for only $1 for 3 Months here: rvtv.io/YTDollarPin No more waiting for the content to make it here weeks or even months after it was shot and no missing out on insights and information that move markets. Better yet.... No advertisements! Join today!
@SerChade
@SerChade 4 года назад
You guys sure talk a lot about crypto but give us no payment options for it.
@hexadecimal5236
@hexadecimal5236 4 года назад
You can tell how his experience of Reganomics was very different than most people in the way that he describes it in glowing terms. Most people I know who lived through reganomics describe a period of grinding economic difficulty and political uncertainty during the cold war.
@fellowcitizen
@fellowcitizen 3 года назад
This reminds me of Chinese astrology - the 60 year cycles of five sequences/elements of twelve animals/cohorts.
@happytrees4734
@happytrees4734 3 года назад
Late 70’s born GenX’er here. I was raised at my Grandmother’s hip as my secondary caregiver. She lived an immigrant childhood, survived WW2 & The Depression, and greatly influenced my understanding of the world. I’m grateful to have had that link to the past. I’m 9 years older than my closest 1st and 2nd cousins (all Millennials). At family gatherings as a child I participated in discussions with the adults of the WW2 Generation and Boomers. At home, I was outside doing physical play unsupervised by adults until dusk. We solved our own problems. GenX is the quiet glue holding this whole thing together. Millennials better get ready because I think we’re about to live some of the times my Grandparents told me about.
@Cognitoman
@Cognitoman 3 года назад
born 1986, and I agree.
@shannonlirette6085
@shannonlirette6085 3 года назад
Yes I agree. We are about to hit hard times. Its looking like X is starting to speak up. I feel that X is kind of a compromise between the logic (boomer) and emotion (millenial). Maybe X will be able to help us through these rough times ahead without totally destroying ourselves. One can hope.
@duncescotus2342
@duncescotus2342 3 года назад
quiet glue, love it. Get ready, love it.
@noflexzone2.055
@noflexzone2.055 2 года назад
lol wait for us Zoomers. We're the ones that have to fix up this mess.
@duncescotus2342
@duncescotus2342 2 года назад
@@noflexzone2.055 True, brother, I'm hitching on to your generation. You can do it. Sorry to have dumped it all on you. But a few old men will be helping, you can count on that.
@coolworx
@coolworx 4 года назад
As a Gen-X'er, it's like living in a house with two divas.
@lunarmodule6419
@lunarmodule6419 4 года назад
100% with you. A non generation.
@RubbaDubbaDooskie
@RubbaDubbaDooskie 4 года назад
Fawkin' oldzzz m8.
@vickingvicbubble8042
@vickingvicbubble8042 4 года назад
Your wife and yourself? or are you living with your parents?
@nicolakruger9043
@nicolakruger9043 4 года назад
👏👏👏
@fullclipaudio
@fullclipaudio 4 года назад
Gen X is perfectly prepared for the 4th Turning. At every stage of our lives, it was the worst time to be alive for that particular generation. We're as hard as steel and will be the only ones prepared for the collapse. We're also the final generation that knows how to use tools. 70% of millennials do not know how to change a lightbulb - never forget that.
@glenwallis2366
@glenwallis2366 4 года назад
"The era in which we are entering is an era in which everyone who last experienced it is disappearing" this is why we should respect our elders!
@richardscathouse
@richardscathouse 4 года назад
Mentally and physically. Sad
@bradwhitt6768
@bradwhitt6768 3 года назад
Our elders too the high era and demolished it. They should be scorned and mocked. They are the turning that start offering their children to moloch. Millennials should destroy every single idol Boomers have held dear.
@glenwallis2366
@glenwallis2366 3 года назад
@@bradwhitt6768 your going to learn the hard way Brad!
@WackadoodleMalarkey
@WackadoodleMalarkey 2 года назад
boomers and millennials, gen x and gen z, all will be subdued by Alpha Gen
@rickwiiliamson8177
@rickwiiliamson8177 2 года назад
I'm in my early 60,s. The older I get the smarter my grandfather was when he was still here and giving me advice. When I was in my 30,s I may have questioned some of his thoughts ,but I have realized in many cases he was very wise.
@proper.role.model.819
@proper.role.model.819 3 года назад
You all nailed it. As a spiritual being, introvert, and 33 years old with an old soul...I often stand on the sidelines watching the generations and observe and study the World within my own mind and so much of what you are saying is some of what I have noticed. Im glad Im not crazy because I was feeling that way for a while!! Great video!!
@ggstorm9777
@ggstorm9777 3 года назад
Me too
@tippyc2
@tippyc2 3 года назад
Right there with you
@SuspendedLogic
@SuspendedLogic 4 года назад
Who's watching this during the riots in Minneapolis?
@dj_menyo839
@dj_menyo839 4 года назад
literally RIGHT NOW! I remember reading about this book and giving it away. The riots reminded me of this. I came looking for anything related to the author. and found this.
@richardscathouse
@richardscathouse 4 года назад
Doesn't speak much to that. Not that I'm watching the MSM at all.
@TheFirstManticore
@TheFirstManticore 3 года назад
Na, riots in Portland OR.
@glenwallis2366
@glenwallis2366 4 года назад
Now we know why Those that do not learn from the past are deemed to repeat it, you can not know something you did not experience.
@freewillfarms2059
@freewillfarms2059 3 года назад
Raised around the greatest generation and never told how to live they demonstrated it . Not everyone has a chance to know their great grandparents but seek the wisdom of your elders before they are gone.
@franksu3420
@franksu3420 3 года назад
Younger generation want more space for economic growth but those older generations just keep on living longer and longer.
@vildachaya6462
@vildachaya6462 3 года назад
2 presidents back to back in their 70’s
@riley_oneill
@riley_oneill 2 года назад
I see the end of the fourth turning as something that have some symbolism to it. Part of that symbolism will be passing the torch to the younger generation. This will come in the form of a Millennial winning the 2028 or 2032 presidential election.
@adrianford8823
@adrianford8823 4 года назад
Pluto is going through Capricorn. 2008-2024 The last time this happened was around the time of the American Revolution and the Declaration of Independence.
@furidragon261
@furidragon261 3 года назад
I'm back to listen to this for a third time this time with a friend this time.I enjoyed the conversation. The perspective is so helpful to understanding what's going .
@billytheweasel
@billytheweasel 2 года назад
I think Twain was right. History may not repeat but it does rhyme.
@4comment0nly76
@4comment0nly76 4 года назад
this is the most philosophically grounded talk I've listened to on real vision!
@nigelp567
@nigelp567 4 года назад
Thanks Grant Williams and the Real Vision team 🙏👍🏻 You guys have created something fantastic here (thank you Neil for your knowledge as well!!)
@bipolarbear9917
@bipolarbear9917 4 года назад
The only meaningful stuff comes at 27:00. He finally gets to the point. The rest is just padding.
@seanettles657
@seanettles657 4 года назад
thanks - didn't want to sit through too much drivel
@jojomojojones
@jojomojojones 4 года назад
Thank you
@RealTalkkWithEli
@RealTalkkWithEli 4 года назад
I didn't read this comment until I watched all the way through 25:00 😭😭
@dcmoore817
@dcmoore817 3 года назад
thank you
@keithhood5230
@keithhood5230 3 года назад
Nice
@jasonchen9645
@jasonchen9645 4 года назад
I really appreciate this documentary featuring Neil Howe because usually, an interviewer asks questions relating to the fourth turning or the latest fed data or trump, but this one also just gets a window into his world and how his philosophy shaped generational theory itself. We learn more about the man himself in this interview.
@MomCat6000
@MomCat6000 2 года назад
Truly fascinating information! Watching this in Summer 2021. Understanding these 4 generational patterns and the up & down cycles has really given me so much to think about!
@theresa7044
@theresa7044 3 года назад
As a gen-X er I don’t like either the millennials or the boomers.
@danielgagne485
@danielgagne485 3 года назад
Our generation should be renamed the forgotten generagtion.
@stacybrewer9272
@stacybrewer9272 3 года назад
Do u sometimes feel your paying for both?
@theresa7044
@theresa7044 3 года назад
@@stacybrewer9272 yes, I do.
@hl1377
@hl1377 2 года назад
Boomers and their wretched spawn. Ugh.
@lamarlo4437
@lamarlo4437 2 года назад
But GenXers are the parents to Millennials and the children of Boomers so it would seem you're the problem
@bluequirk5384
@bluequirk5384 3 года назад
Oct 2020. Awesome interview/chat /talk. I learn so much today. Thanks Real vision hits another home run.
@jessicarobinson4563
@jessicarobinson4563 3 года назад
I call this an inter generational war not a race war. Interesting to find I was not being crazy in my theory
@MM-ln4ym
@MM-ln4ym 3 года назад
Although the idea of these "Turnings" comes through towards the end, I would suggest that people actually read the book. I read it shortly after it was released in the lats 90's and re-read it about 3 years ago. It really is an amazing analysis filled with real-world examples through the centuries of how these generational cycles work..... basically 4 cycles over a generation (100 years).... of course the timing is never exactly the same but it is extraordinary how they demonstrate their thesis.
@Rick-se5qm
@Rick-se5qm 4 года назад
Thanks for the tour of Great Falls, from someone who lives 40mi. from there, but never visited.
@RedBricksTraffic
@RedBricksTraffic 2 года назад
Just finished the audiobook tonight, and immediately found this video. I will be thinking about this book and its concepts for many years to come, I suspect.
@ephphatha230
@ephphatha230 4 года назад
I don't trust anyone with a phone holster.
@neththom999
@neththom999 4 года назад
It's a boomer thing.
@shadowling77777
@shadowling77777 4 года назад
BOOMERS haha Nice riff on the boomer saying “don’t trust anyone over 30”
@kneau
@kneau 4 года назад
“When using iPhone near your body for voice calls or for wireless data transmission over a cellular network, keep iPhone at least 15 mm (5/8 inch) away from the body, & only use carrying cases, belt clips, or holders that do not have metal parts & that maintain at least 15 mm (5/8 inch) ...”
@neththom999
@neththom999 4 года назад
@@kneau Ok, computer.
@kneau
@kneau 4 года назад
neththom999 my apologies for not opting to deconstruct & transform a simple copy/paste into multiple stylized variations of data presentation.
@matthewcondie4052
@matthewcondie4052 4 года назад
I wish his book would have incorporated the relative size of generations with the length and severity of cycles. The boomers generation is the largest and longest living generation in history, and therefore, it is possible the unraveling is still in effect and the real crisis has yet to emerge.
@cooldudecs
@cooldudecs 3 года назад
@@jpm.182 it began in 2020... Its happening slowly, they will live for another 25 to 30 years
@NJGuy1973
@NJGuy1973 2 года назад
His first book "Generations" (1991) touched on that.
@timliu6617
@timliu6617 4 года назад
Big fan of the book and real vision. Although I want to bring a contrarian viewpoint which is that this time around it may be a civilizational cycle and not just a generational cycle. Generational cycles are 70-80 years but China has historically had 200-300 dynastic cycles followed by 50-80 years of unrest and Balkanization : three kingdoms, spring and autumn period and most recently the warlord period. There is a chance that America is entering its civilizational cycle and of just the standard generational cycle
@jefftan8024
@jefftan8024 3 года назад
My tea is not sweet.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance 4 года назад
This is the first episode in a 3-part series. The second episode will be published at 2PM EST on Oct 31 and the third episode will be published on Nov 1 at 2PM EST.
@arnoldziffel5627
@arnoldziffel5627 4 года назад
Brilliant and insightful dialogue.
@corinneeschenfelder1437
@corinneeschenfelder1437 4 года назад
@@arnoldziffel5627 LOL no, it was 30 minutes of talking without saying anything.
@johnl4469
@johnl4469 4 года назад
Terrific conversation gentlemen, looking forward to #2.
@vipcress
@vipcress 2 года назад
This video gets more relevant each passing day.
@aktaionthehunter287
@aktaionthehunter287 4 года назад
"Forget about the FED." Okay, boomer.
@seanettles657
@seanettles657 4 года назад
seriously
@holdentutits7674
@holdentutits7674 4 года назад
Fight fight fight fight
@alanlight7740
@alanlight7740 4 года назад
I took this comment of his in the sense of "people talk about the Fed as if it is able to govern the business cycle, but forget about that - the Fed is useless."
@cooldudecs
@cooldudecs 3 года назад
Without the Fed the world would be in world war 3
@happytrees4734
@happytrees4734 3 года назад
cooldude, I hope you’re being sarcastic 😂. "I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies. If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around the banks will deprive the people of all property - until their children wake-up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered." ~ Thomas Jefferson YT search “all wars are bankers’ wars”. If I post the link the comment get auto-deleted.
@oracleatdeptford2970
@oracleatdeptford2970 3 года назад
Errr. The X gen in the room ..... X the unknown quantity in Mathematics. X in biology = Hybrid. & most importantly in language , That which travels through Space & time , Jeez I Cant believe i have to explain this. Well , X marks the spot.! WHEN YOU ARE THE PARTY OF COURSE THERE'S NO INVITE. Btw. × also Means Love.
@djBlindFaith
@djBlindFaith 4 года назад
Gen X forgotten about 😂😂😂😂
@markromine5103
@markromine5103 4 года назад
Being "forgotten" (The Forgotten Generation) has a few advantages. Gen X has seen the expression of neoliberal Reaganomics and Thatcherism along with the internet/social media rise. Having experienced and participated in both, we might have some insight. Makes us dangerously ignored imo. On the other hand, being forgotten makes me/us virtually invisible, right? I like being an invisible assasin with a front row seat to intergenerational conflicts. Kinda perfect. ;-)
@stuffylamb3420
@stuffylamb3420 4 года назад
It's just because the population size of Gen X is much smaller than the Boomers and Millennials.
@jamesduggan5846
@jamesduggan5846 4 года назад
I love flying under the radar...
@NodDisciple1
@NodDisciple1 3 года назад
@@markromine5103 NO ONE EXPECTS THE GEN X INQUISITION!
@MO-oc6uj
@MO-oc6uj 3 года назад
Here’s an advantage for Gen X: we don’t need an emoji to give you the finger.
@dc-py9dz
@dc-py9dz 4 года назад
Definitely a great Neil Howe interiew
@jeoboden
@jeoboden 4 года назад
this is a really cool concept for a interview/video. hard to do when guest and host aren't irl long term friends, but closest to it. I think this captures the essence of what rv is trying to accomplish.
@jaydupree418
@jaydupree418 3 года назад
Anyone here after the r/WSB short squeeze? Its our time 💎👐
@bigshu5520
@bigshu5520 4 года назад
How about links to parts 2 & 3?
@mrbigolnuts3041
@mrbigolnuts3041 3 года назад
I've been bucolic for 1 year, loving it.
@practicallyheidi8505
@practicallyheidi8505 4 года назад
And Gen X always forgotten..
@richardscathouse
@richardscathouse 4 года назад
No profit, I guess. Were less inclined to jump on trains. 🤭🙃
@pennedarts
@pennedarts 3 года назад
We fly under the radar to ambush-attack after 2030..
@LeonardLuzon
@LeonardLuzon 3 года назад
Gen X == Nomad generation
@time2kickarse
@time2kickarse 3 года назад
Better to be forgotten, gen x the quiet achievers.
@karmasutra4774
@karmasutra4774 2 года назад
@@time2kickarse Exactly. I do my own thing and happy doing it.
@cmw3737
@cmw3737 4 года назад
The Greeks knew so much of this long ago. I expected to hear the word Kyklos at least once.
@pharoahanthonykafele5519
@pharoahanthonykafele5519 4 года назад
Where did the Greeks get that knowledge from?
@khushi0912
@khushi0912 4 года назад
Sumerians
@thechri5357
@thechri5357 4 года назад
I love this Roadmovie format of Real Vision!!!😍
@Donovaan
@Donovaan Год назад
Exceptional series! Two hours very well spent - and more thinking about it and further doing research about generational dynamics. It's a shame how the views drop off so starkly though (200'000 on the first video, 60'000 on the second and 30'000 on the last). One really has to watch them all, and more than once as well. I think the titles aren't that good, especially the one of the second video. "Generational power transfer" sounds a lot more boring than it is. It is also not clearly discernible that this is a three part series, not from the title and not from the thumbnail. It would also be wise to put the links to all three videos in each video description. Let's do that great content justice and improve those things. Cheers and thank you! 😉
@Finalformredpill
@Finalformredpill 4 года назад
Forget about the FED and Central Banks he says. ha!
@philhampson2120
@philhampson2120 3 года назад
If only we could forget about the damage they do too...
@maplenook
@maplenook 4 года назад
Gen X ❤️
@soccerduder1
@soccerduder1 2 года назад
Interesting to hear him say that “culture, humanities, liberal arts” resides on the east coast. Here in Minnesota and the Midwest, we have a deep Scandinavian Lutheran tradition of community based liberal arts education. Would love to experience that in the east coast, or Eastern hemisphere one day
@smirhash
@smirhash 4 года назад
big like, nice job
@mimicanada1957
@mimicanada1957 3 года назад
Did the next episode come out yet?
@stephen8176
@stephen8176 4 года назад
"Forget central bankers!" ~ 13:00 Hey Slappy, tell that to people now earning negative interest.
@cooldudecs
@cooldudecs 3 года назад
No one is earning negative interest... buy things
@Nylonnerves
@Nylonnerves 4 года назад
What exactly is the relationship from Hedgeye and Real Vision Finance?
@Tj-vf3ll
@Tj-vf3ll 2 года назад
Link to eps 2 and 3 ? Please
@PresterMike
@PresterMike 4 года назад
GREAT VIDEO!
@ericcmurdock
@ericcmurdock 3 года назад
Timcast brought me here
@adambohm4367
@adambohm4367 3 года назад
What could happen with total electronic surveillance and control to the “natural “4th turning cycle?
@chadanddhewallen5557
@chadanddhewallen5557 4 года назад
I guess gen x is the forgotten generation who is reluctant to be involved because they see the government as a lost cause. They just want to be left alone to do as they wish. But I wonder if this crises wakes up the gen x to be active participants alongside those of the millennial age?
@nwhuckin7761
@nwhuckin7761 4 года назад
I like all this talk about cycles, however most people are failing to consider the biggest cycle of them all that’s going to F us. That would be the solar cycle and the crash in agriculture that will follow. It’s actually already starting and it’s going to get much much worse. The 11 year solar cycle and solar minimums also have a huge impact on people themselves, how they feel and how they act. It’s much bigger than most people realize. It’s also closely tied to the timing of every market crash we’ve had. Just saying
@freezerlunik
@freezerlunik 2 года назад
cool theory, are you alluding to the sun eventually going cold after some astronomical number of years? because i'm not sure what pulled us through all the past 3-4 11year solar cycles without much of a noticeable agriculture collapse...
@thepaigeinabook
@thepaigeinabook 3 года назад
Loved this!
@jerrybarr3354
@jerrybarr3354 3 года назад
2019 seems like ages ago...
@karmasutra4774
@karmasutra4774 2 года назад
So does 2009 eek
@thatwasprettyneat
@thatwasprettyneat 4 года назад
when you're talking about picking a time to be born, it's location, location, location (in spacetime)
@whereitsat14
@whereitsat14 4 года назад
thatwasprettyneat made me laugh. Ty.
@whereitsat14
@whereitsat14 4 года назад
rily51day it was a joke. Get a clue. Sound like you feel guilty for something and you get on here to claim your innocence. Bye Bye Boomer. No one cares.
@locksmithdb5987
@locksmithdb5987 3 года назад
Great falls is an amazing place! Close to DC. VERY EXPENSIVE LAND!
@chadsiewert6060
@chadsiewert6060 4 года назад
Look around next time you are in a restaurant. Notice all the responsible old people. Also, notice that the only young people that exist are only there to serve the responsible old people.
@BlackHatTy
@BlackHatTy 2 года назад
As a GenXer, I notice we are once again ignored...As a GenXer...whatever.
@abambac
@abambac 2 года назад
Does anyone know if there is any books, videos or forum showing how this has been playing out in Europe?
@Teekey90
@Teekey90 2 года назад
He's working on a book to include global trends.
@BrettPowell_Right
@BrettPowell_Right 3 года назад
Love this interview. This guy is amazing. Gonna go read the book.
@nonyabiz9340
@nonyabiz9340 4 года назад
Time to shut down social security. Solve the Boomer and housing crisis all at once. Workers will have more money and the boomers living in a nice house off of a fund they raided in the eighties will finally reap what they've sewn.
@mikebetts2046
@mikebetts2046 4 года назад
If social security was "raided" in the 1980's, then it would have been done so by the parents of the boomers. You need to get your time line straight. Boomers were not old enough to be overly concerned with that program at that time. But it was not raided anyway. The money was never put into any real investment vehicle other than a promise to pay from the federal government. There never was the mythical Al Gore "iron clad lock box".
@nonyabiz9340
@nonyabiz9340 4 года назад
@@mikebetts2046 Baby boomers were born between 1944 and 1964... They were 20-40 years old, they were in a recession at the time. It wasn't raided by the older generation to cover social programs, it was raided by the boomers' elected politicians. Tell me why you think it was their parents? Why would the older generation reliant on that program at the time want the funds loaned out?
@kkingcombo12345
@kkingcombo12345 4 года назад
@@nonyabiz9340 Also keep in mind that back then people didnt live as long, so yea the Boomers had a lot of power.
@meeksde
@meeksde 4 года назад
kkingcombo12345 overly broad statement. Plenty of WW I vets lived all the way into to new millennium.
@mikebetts2046
@mikebetts2046 4 года назад
@@kkingcombo12345 The boomers were not the only voting bloc in the 1980s. It's not as if they had sole power over the country. They were not old enough to be running much of anything.
@michaelhenne3591
@michaelhenne3591 4 года назад
17:27... Thank you for saying this Neil Howe. After that, a light came on.
@cannibalizerofcupcakes3048
@cannibalizerofcupcakes3048 4 года назад
Yes, that's why History is so important- to give perspective to ones with common sense.
@FerroNeoBoron
@FerroNeoBoron 4 года назад
Why do Boomers always talk like Millennials freebased Mr Roger's Neighborhood?
@shadowling77777
@shadowling77777 4 года назад
They haven’t seen nothing yet ;)
@draculawolfman1502
@draculawolfman1502 4 года назад
They're arrogant and stuck in the tarpits of their rigid idealogy.
@NodDisciple1
@NodDisciple1 3 года назад
@@draculawolfman1502 Funny, I didn't know the "woke" ideology was known for it's flexibility.
@whatsupbudbud
@whatsupbudbud 4 года назад
Life is what you make of it.
@christopherdennis4280
@christopherdennis4280 4 года назад
This guy has an uncanny ability to speak at length without saying a thing.
@richardscathouse
@richardscathouse 4 года назад
Typical of Academics today. 🙃🙃🙃
@spaceoddity2485
@spaceoddity2485 4 года назад
Generation X brought you the internet
@SteviePaints
@SteviePaints 3 года назад
No, the boomers brought the internet. It was the outgrowth of ARPANET, the US government’s internal net for the military in the 1970s. It eventually expanded to a public forum with bulletin boards (prior to the World Wide Web). In the early 1990s, Tim Berners-Lee at the CERN in Switzerland developed the world wide web, which used the internet, but based its searches on URLs. My husband wrote the first web server for the PC in 1993, long before Microsoft’s IIE. He is also a boomer.
@gauloise6442
@gauloise6442 8 месяцев назад
@@SteviePaints The modern public internet and ARPANET are two very different beasts. GenX made the internet accessible to everyone in the 90s and it was wonderful, until the Boomers figured out how to monetize it and destroyed its early spirit.
@0x9bh47
@0x9bh47 4 года назад
Great Falls! I'm just a stones throw away! Greetings from Alexandria
@jeebus6263
@jeebus6263 4 года назад
~10:00 There are small cycles and there are larger cycles, every linear observation is part of a larger cycle. Primitive accumulation and deforestation can be observed around most if not all ancient civilizations.
@avandurion
@avandurion 4 года назад
OK BOOMERS! 0_O
@4thworldwilderness390
@4thworldwilderness390 4 года назад
Lol how long has that been going now? Almost 2 weeks, not even? I have seen duh boomah meemz 1,000x now. Bahaha
@DavidGarcia-kw4sf
@DavidGarcia-kw4sf 4 года назад
The complexity of the world is rarely captured in a bumper sticker.
@julsius
@julsius 4 года назад
@@DavidGarcia-kw4sf and its rarely captured by just listening to what boomers want either. for example, he talks about cycles and hubris, but doesn't consider that we (society with certain assumptions) cause (and the boomers in particular actually caused) some of the negative cycles. so yes of course millennials will want to fix the problems they caused. An example of this is the boomers who got sold on neoliberalism when true capitalism considers land, capital and labour as seperate. thus land values should be the proper source of taxation as classical liberals knew.
@gannibalof21st
@gannibalof21st 3 года назад
@@julsius thank you.
@LaSophiaMichael
@LaSophiaMichael 3 года назад
You are like so cool. And like so funny. And like relevant.
@JC-uk7tf
@JC-uk7tf 2 года назад
Always trust a man with a mobile phone holster.
@falviagee2767
@falviagee2767 3 года назад
Really GEN-X Really -- Neil Howe have a gift of gab!
@kkz2916
@kkz2916 4 года назад
I'm a boomer...and I agree with a caveat. Gas the bankers and money printers.
@nonyabiz9340
@nonyabiz9340 4 года назад
I'm pretty sure back in the forties we called that the final solution.
@kkz2916
@kkz2916 4 года назад
@@nonyabiz9340 Our ancestors were a lot smarter and had moral fortitude back then. This mess was created by a corrupt monetary system.
@nonyabiz9340
@nonyabiz9340 4 года назад
@@kkz2916 it helped they didn't have a deep state run media keeping everyone from identifying the true source of market manipulation and the misery it causes. You're 100% correct
@foxmagee
@foxmagee 3 года назад
Where is pt2 and pt3?
@jeromebarry1741
@jeromebarry1741 3 года назад
Mr. Howe's biggest fans are highly wealthy individuals who find him a comfortable story-teller justifying their high wealth. He's as useful as Nancy's astrologer.
@fredocorleone3280
@fredocorleone3280 4 года назад
Neil Howe simply argues confirmation bias to an extreme.
@cosmyccowboy
@cosmyccowboy 4 года назад
A great book
@tunneloflight
@tunneloflight 9 месяцев назад
It isn’t hubris, or control that leads to the desire to smooth out cycles. Basic systems theory and understanding, particularly control systems, explains that a system that is i\overdriven will oscillate as this human system is. That can be and is destructive - quite unnecessarily so. Minor changes in system parameters can reduce or eliminate the oscillation resulting in much better performance and behavior. Perfect stability brings with it fragility and isn’t necessarily desirable. However, much better situations are possible. What that requires is understanding the system and it’s controlling parameters, then tuning one or a few key parameters. Our system is overdriven by greed. It is that which must be tempered. However, in the system we have, we prohibit such controls. Those with the most money control the levers of power that in turn set the rules which they then tune to favor themselves creating the overdriven system and the cycles of boom and bust, war and peace. But it isn’t solely economic. Military aspects apply as well. Excess military capacity drives a similar instability. As does insufficient with adventurism of others. Our system is not independent of others in other nations. The problem has to be solved globally. Local solution isn’t stable alone. Unfortunately this is embedded in the greater systems of the earth. And they are subject to similar boom and bust dynamics. Through our own processes we have vastly overdriven those destroying the capacity of the earth to respond. Worse, the time lags in the earths systems respond slowly compared to human systems. Our pollution has now so overdriven the earths systems that collapse is inevitable and with it a severe state change driving the earth to hot house earth conditions at break neck speed. Our failure to understand that or to accept responsibility driven by the same forces that drive the 80 year cycle now doom us within much less than a cycle. We are in the last cycle. We learned too late. We cared too little. We pushed everything out of balance. And now we begin careening off into the abyss. It was nice while it lasted.
@Getloose360
@Getloose360 3 года назад
Well one thing has certainly stayed consistent and thats government corruption.
@cosmic4208
@cosmic4208 2 года назад
Talking bout economic and debt stressors two years ago 😬
@ytyt3922
@ytyt3922 4 года назад
Human life span will peak with the Boomers and GenX and then start to regress. Millennials will not live as long as their parents. How can they, when they are under near constant financial stress compared to the Boomers who lived a worry-free existence pretty much their entire lives? (Yes yes, there was Vietnam, which only impacted the elder half of the Boomer cohort and which was easily avoided by the middle class and up).
@ytyt3922
@ytyt3922 4 года назад
rily51day typical Boomer response lol. Drives them nuts whenever anyone points out how easy they had it....yet still squandered the fortune handed to them on a silver platter.
@doctorx1924
@doctorx1924 3 года назад
Average lifespan has actually gone down recently for both men and women in America. It's 78 for women and 76 for men. Most boomers will be dead in 20 years.
@karmasutra4774
@karmasutra4774 2 года назад
@@doctorx1924 What has driven the lifespan down? Stress? Suicide? Cancer? Curious. I wouldn’t want to live much into 80 if I can’t work, unhealthy and feel and look really bad.
@doctorx1924
@doctorx1924 2 года назад
@@karmasutra4774 unhealthy diets, less exercise, overweight, diabetes, heart problems. I do agree with you I rather not live to 80 if it involves suffering and pain.
@helenellsworth9556
@helenellsworth9556 Год назад
Late 60's GenX here, one millennial, two Genz, these a different between the two. My grandchildren are the alpha period 😊
@zaycad215
@zaycad215 4 года назад
i'm nineteen and found this insightful. going to read this book.
@ryenwthomas
@ryenwthomas 4 года назад
greg if you want to join a Facebook group focused on this theory let me know.
@ohthankg-dforthebourgeoisi9800
@ohthankg-dforthebourgeoisi9800 4 года назад
The Forth Turning is a ground breaking book. The Capitol Steps was a hilarious comedy group as well!
@karmasutra4774
@karmasutra4774 2 года назад
@@ryenwthomas What is the link?
@stevefernandez6431
@stevefernandez6431 4 года назад
What about the gen x the one after boomers and no they arent millenials
@gwills9337
@gwills9337 4 года назад
They slept walked our economy into a neo-liberal hellscape. They never challenged the status-quo of the boomers, who stole their ball. Gen X is caught in their heads about everything, confused about spirituality, and broke their brains on drugs and unproductive, rugged-individualism.
@stevefernandez6431
@stevefernandez6431 4 года назад
@passinthru but gen x are older gen z up and coming
@karmasutra4774
@karmasutra4774 2 года назад
@@gwills9337 But it has been a fun ride. As a Gen-X I am glad I was born where I was. It’s been great from my perspective. Hate it for those that didn’t succeed.
@gauloise6442
@gauloise6442 8 месяцев назад
@@gwills9337 Dont see your generation challenging the status quo of the Boomers, either.
@cyberblock7619
@cyberblock7619 4 года назад
What did he just say?
@gerrystevens9041
@gerrystevens9041 3 года назад
THE FOURTH TURNING IS SURELY WITHIN..
@Mr196710
@Mr196710 3 года назад
If only history were this simple. Monied interests make history and it has nothing to do with archetypes.
@awfully.average
@awfully.average 3 года назад
he look like that guy in Homeland... that POW
@derlenx1097
@derlenx1097 3 года назад
you know, sometimes the smartest conversation is the one where you dont have to say anything.
@timjones1583
@timjones1583 4 года назад
A lot of talking without saying anything.
@michaeldeluccijr5214
@michaeldeluccijr5214 4 года назад
Here is the reason why Mr. Jones: (Keynesian economics combined with philosophy) Neil Howe: He attended high school in Palo Alto, California, and earned a BA in English Literature at U.C. Berkeley in 1972. He studied abroad in France and Germany and later earned graduate degrees in economics (M.A., 1978) and history (M.Phil., 1979) from Yale University. You and I aren't captured by the bloviating rhetoric. It is much too difficult to find just about anything of substance on YT. Best of success. Michael....
@akompsupport
@akompsupport 4 года назад
Right? Well said. I was thinking the same thing.
@ctelable
@ctelable 4 года назад
it's a plug for , look at me and my house.....
@Ozzybob-ts7yj
@Ozzybob-ts7yj 4 года назад
They missed the chance here to explore important issues.
@sford2044
@sford2044 4 года назад
You are tripping. How do you not get what he is saying. It is slow, but also deep and truthful. We as humans have created the pattern we are trying to understand. And that pattern is based on human knowledge and experience. The pattern calls for war and conflict. You are welcome. Winter is coming.
@Alexis-mw2gd
@Alexis-mw2gd 3 года назад
Millennial - hero
@beareble-lion4446
@beareble-lion4446 4 года назад
I'm almost 32 and so ready for the old order to die off
@draculawolfman1502
@draculawolfman1502 4 года назад
I'd settle for retire, hang out with grandkids and getting off facebook, which they clearly don't possess the media literacy to handle.
@stacybrewer9272
@stacybrewer9272 3 года назад
Cant wait til someone around your age says that about u in another 20 yrs.
@jaydoe5654
@jaydoe5654 3 года назад
He does a great job at dancing around deaths during the fourth turning
@deantan4080
@deantan4080 4 года назад
The lesson is still not clear. So are they expecting something bad to happen? Or is he saying that life as we know it is cyclical? Thanks in advance.
@HairyPixels
@HairyPixels 4 года назад
The current generation that defines the culture is dying off and a new order will arise, but only after an existential crisis, so prepare yourself accordingly.
@deantan4080
@deantan4080 4 года назад
@@HairyPixels thanks for this. I guess I need to buy gold
@l4rrikin
@l4rrikin 4 года назад
The rumour is that anyone born between 2000 and 2010 will be rounded up and ejected into space.. prepare excitingly and bring popcorn
@costakeith9048
@costakeith9048 4 года назад
A major war is inevitable at this point, though few dare say as much out loud.
@costakeith9048
@costakeith9048 4 года назад
@@JustinWilliams-ed2ug You describe a situation akin to that at the start of the revolution or in the border states during the civil war. You can look to those examples in history to see how it would play out. But I'm not even certain the upcoming war will be a civil war, it might very well be but I can also see a world war breaking out. It's not just the United States that is divided and restless and while I don't see any obvious military threats around the world with the exception of China, it would not be surprising to see such regimes arise with the kind of instability we're facing. It seems like a race to see whether the us goes to war with itself or the world goes to war first.
@jefflovejoy2997
@jefflovejoy2997 4 года назад
My grandparents and WW 2. My father and the Korean War. My generation and the Vietnam War. And. And. And. No society, no culture, no civilization, no country can survive endless war and endless war-mongering. The people go nuts. And where we are today.
@FreedomTalkMedia
@FreedomTalkMedia 4 года назад
The Fed does control the cycle. The Fed is responsible for creating it in the first place
@rwatertree
@rwatertree 4 года назад
The business cycle is a result of excess liquidity and subsequent investment which can be influenced by the Fed but would happen regardless.
@DivoGo
@DivoGo 4 года назад
And what people don’t understand about the Fed regardless of generational background is that the Fed answers to NO ONE. And it is not part of the US government but a bank. Never learned that in school.
@FreedomTalkMedia
@FreedomTalkMedia 4 года назад
@@DivoGo I learned that about its structure in school but I have a business undergrad and a masters in finance
@FreedomTalkMedia
@FreedomTalkMedia 4 года назад
@@DivoGo In any case, it does answer to congress though. Congress created the Fed, congress can destroy the fed. It also answers to the president because the president hires and fires its chair person.
@NodDisciple1
@NodDisciple1 3 года назад
06:44 And yet you ignore one thing, you think things will automatically get better at some point. If you read Sir John Glubb's paper on The Cycle of Empires, you'd know a Empire lasts about 250 years before a collapse. Guess what year marker the U.S. is getting close to? 09:51 See above.
@ButterOyama
@ButterOyama 3 года назад
Millennials? Optimistic? Have you seen the memes?
@markromine5103
@markromine5103 4 года назад
You've got to realize that the "cycles" you refer to are inherent to under-regulated capitalism's booms and busts and bond maturity, right? Pining philosophically about the pitfalls of hubris and the increasing amplitude of risk and risk aversion doesn't provide any useful progress. No mention of debt, debt service, and/or derivatives? But, "seasons" ,"mood changes", and ideological fractures are most important? Somewhat clever camouflage for laissez-faire capitalism.
@gwills9337
@gwills9337 4 года назад
Agreed, this was a vapid, self-congratulatory conversation.
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