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The Geopolitics of Indonesia - The Red Line Podcast 

The Red Line
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With a new cold war between the USA and China looming on the horizon the balance of power in Asia is being drawn up, with Beijing and Washington vying for influence in the region. Of all the nations of importance though none will be as crucial as Indonesia.
Set to be the 4th largest economy by the year 2050 Indonesia is quickly becoming a regional leader, one that could dictate the direction for ASEAN and SE Asia for decades to come. So we sat down with our expert panel to talk about the future of this soon to be giant.
On the panel this week
Kyle Springer (US Asia Centre)
Natalie Sambhi (Verve Research)
Gordon Flake (US Asia Centre)
For more info visit - www.theredlinepodcast.com
Follow the show on @TheRedLinePod
or Michael on @MikeHilliardAus

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28 июн 2024

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Комментарии : 53   
@Zuryach
@Zuryach 2 года назад
Joko Widodo is not "the first president who did not come from the military bureaucracy." In fact, there were more presidents who came from civil background than military. Soekarno was not a military-man himself. He was educated as a civil engineer in a very popular engineering school (imagine MIT but in the Dutch East Indies). Soeharto's vice president, Habibie, who acted as the president during transitional era, was a very well-known scientist in Indonesia and did not come from the military. The first elected (by the People's Representative) president after the fall of Soeharto, Abdurrahman Wahid, also did not come from the military. Megawati, Sokearno's daughter and Wahid's vice president, who would later succeeded Wahid's presidency, also did not come from the military.
@asd7026
@asd7026 2 года назад
Yes, the channel have to read this. As Indonesian, only two presidents from seven presidents who came from military, They're Soeharto, 2nd President (not include emergency Government movement) and SBY (Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono), 6th President
@rendipebrian136
@rendipebrian136 2 года назад
If Soekarno was still a descendant of a noble family, then he could take education, while at that time ordinary people could not take formal education. While Habibie when he became president was not elected by the people. Abdurrahman Wahid comes from an influential group of religious leaders. And what is clear is that Megawati is Soekarno's daughter. Here it is evident that Joko Widodo is a President who is “directly elected by the people” from non-military circles, religious leaders, and political families, he is just an ordinary businessman.
@rendipebrian136
@rendipebrian136 2 года назад
@@asd7026 perhaps this channel argues that Joko Widodo is the first president to be "directly elected by the people" from non-military circles, religious leaders, and political families.
@imanafdar
@imanafdar Год назад
True but Jokowi is the first president that dont have any political ties with old or new regime era. He is the first "outsider" that become president
@chvhndrtntlr3482
@chvhndrtntlr3482 11 месяцев назад
1st dictactor: Soekarno (technocrate & nationalist background) ruled 22 years 2nd dictator: soeharto (military background) ruled 32 years Habibie ruled (technocrate background) 1,5 years Abdurahman wahid ruled (Islamic background) 1,5 years Megawati soekarno putri ruled (nationalist background) 3,5 years Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (military background) 10 years Joko Widodo (entrepreneur background) 9 years -still going military background ruled 42 years civil background ruled 37,5 years
@fransiskusjulian9448
@fransiskusjulian9448 2 года назад
As an Indonesian, I want to add little some untold story in this video. It is well known for Indonesian people, but not so much known by western academics. Question at 08:03. The answer isn't wrong, but it's a half complete. If you want to look back in Indonesian history, why the people in this archipelago have strong and unique nationality in their own? The answer is start *"SINCE"* the ancient history of this nation, when this archipelago is ruled by their own kingdoms at each regions. Aceh had their own Kingdom, North Sumatera also had, Maluku had their own too, Papua had their own kingdom belongs to their ethnic groups that centralized in Fakfak, even in Java Island they have so many kingdoms than the other islands had, Cirebon, Surakarta, Mataram, Siliwangi, etc. These kingdoms are isolated from each other, have so many conflicts time to time, and even they have pretty strict rules to trade with another kingdoms. But it's changed when the strongest kingdom appeared, MAJAPAHIT. Majapahit territory doesn't have sea or port, but they start to growing as strongest maritime power at that time and conquer another kingdoms in this archipelago. Majapahit navy army even start to traveling to Philippine, Malaysia, Brunei, and reached to Campa (Thailand). Majapahit Kingdom open the trade relationship to another kingdoms so well. In this archipelago they start to conquer another kingdom just to opening the way in, because another country don't take Majapahit offer due to the strict rules. Not a good start to starting a war with another kingdom, it's a bloody way. But Majapahit didn't have any other option than through violence. Later after the conquer, Majapahit treat another kingdom so well and even give the local king their authority to ruled his own people and resources under the pact. For the short, something big was happened in that time. It's well known as "SUMPAH PALAPA" / "PALAPA OATH". This is the beginning of well communication between people in this archipelago. Start from bloody war, growing to a bargaining relationship, than it's become well communication to each other as a friendship and brotherhood. It has been built and growing hundred years, over and over, then come the Dutch in western territories, Portuguese in eastern territories, then later it's monopolized by Dutch through agreement. Colonialism just make their connection and brotherhood that has been built over hundred years before become stronger and stronger. It's continues and keep growing by the people of this archipelago under the Dutch colonialism. This resistance movement of Dutch colonialism is driven by the spirit of young people (17-35 years old) in each regions called, JONG. There are Jong Java, Jong Sumatran, Jong Borneo, Jong Maluku, etc. They held a very extraordinary deliberation at October 28th 1928, so that date becomes a national holiday for remembrance of "YOUTH PLEDGE DAY" / "SUMPAH PEMUDA". And it was the story of how the nationality and patriotism of this nation was built. 👍🏻
@rendipebrian136
@rendipebrian136 2 года назад
Sorry, I don't know, but what you mention comes from "ancient" history, why do you even bring the kingdoms of Cirebon, Mataram and Surakarta, it's clearly an Islamic kingdom in Indonesia that can't be said to be ancient. I am Indonesian and I am very proud of this country, but in studying the history of this country, I always look from the scientific side to see if it is true, not just a sense of pride that over-glorifies and distorts history itself. . That's all, I was just wondering why the Islamic empire can be called ancient by you, your other opinion I slightly agree. May the State, the Indonesian nation always be protected from all the dangers that exist in this world.🙌
@fransiskusjulian9448
@fransiskusjulian9448 2 года назад
@@rendipebrian136 Okay, since you said you are Indonesian. Iya bener, emang jaman kerajaan Islam itu bisa dibilang era yg tergolong baru. Bukan di jaman kuno. Tapi, emang komennya mau sepanjang apa klo dijelasin secara rinci? Intinya sejak jaman kuno, Indonesia dari era Hindu, Buddha, Islam, sampe kolonialisme, wilayahnya terbagi² ke dalam kelompok kerajaannya masing². Setelah disatuin sama Majapahit, pecah lagi setelah Islam masuk. Pasti elu tau lah konspirasi keruntuhan Majapahit dan kelahiran kerajaan Islam pertama di pulau Jawa, Demak. Hampir² mirip sama cerita yg ada di tanah Sunda, Siliwangi sama anaknya. Padahal di Timur Tengah sana kerajaan² Islam bersatu di bawah satu bendera kekhalifahan, sedangkan kerajaan² di Indonesia enggak. Gw gak tau alesannya apa, kenapa kerajaan² Islam di Indonesia gak mau gabung di bawah 1 khalifah, entah itu tingkat regional, nasional ataupun internasional. Lalu bersamaan dengan datangnya kolonialis Eropa, secara nggak langsung menyatukan kembali semangat persaudaraan di antara kerajaan² yg ada di Indonesia, yg dulunya pernah ada di bawah otoritas kerajaan Majapahit. Sekalipun itu kerajaan yg elu bilang baru itu tadi, mula²nya mereka termasuk ke dalam wilayah dari kerajaan yg lebih besar yg sudah dipersatukan Majapahit. Puas?
@fransiskusjulian9448
@fransiskusjulian9448 2 года назад
@@rendipebrian136 Liat kata SINCE yg sengaja gw tebelin? Emang SINCE sama FROM bedanya apa dah? 🤦🏻‍♂️ Gw gk ngerti... Elu yg lebih tau mungkin bisa jelasin. Poinnya, gw mencoba mempersingkat bukan mendistorsi sejarah seperti yg elu tangkep. Thanks for your criticism brother... 👍🏻
@chvhndrtntlr3482
@chvhndrtntlr3482 11 месяцев назад
1. palapa oath is anachronic to where kingdom that you mention exist, palapa oath much more ancient. 2. champa is modern-day vietnam, not thailand 3. Majapahit did have sea port and have significant portion of sea territory, they also utilized "pirate" to harras rival kingdom 4. Imperium of Majapahit "conquer" other kingdom more like exchange of security they provide, and utilize pirate to some kingdom that reject their proposal, unlike European and middle east type of "conquering" by war. 5. there's no bloody military campaign that Majapahit done based on inscription and manuscript, the only bloody military campaign is when they fight Sunda kingdom in west java (bubat tragedy), the rest is their own civil war. Amukti Palapa come from Pararaton a manuscript that written long after Majapahit fall, the historical accuracy of pararaton is debatable because it's a literature work not historical record that written by people that live in same era of the events
@akabe01
@akabe01 10 месяцев назад
@@fransiskusjulian9448 diskusi jadi kaya debat jir
@igorgylycheyev9294
@igorgylycheyev9294 2 года назад
Decentralisation and local autonomy in Indonesia is seen not as problem but as a good thing, one of the successes of the reform post '98 era, especially regarding development, autonomy makes development more equal across the state because development budget is given to each local govt. and not only used for development project pursued by the national govt.
@aryadanihlesmana9050
@aryadanihlesmana9050 2 года назад
Such good and deep content, this channel deserve more subscriber. Keep up the good work, man hope the channel grow big 🙌
@abcddef2112
@abcddef2112 3 года назад
It seems the first speaker do not necessarily versed in Indonesia. One example is the history of Indonesian nationalism he did not even mention 1928 the crucial date ‘Indonesia’ begin to be used popularly and its West Papuan ties (and aceh ties, which is why its different with timor leste). That is why Indonesian identity is almost preconditioned on papua connections. Which sadly is the usual viewpoints from USA think tank and consequently USA indonesian policy. Though recent years cooling of ties is Trump’s fault (though the warmest period was with Obama and probably due to his old ties). Natalie Sambhi would be better communicating Indonesian POVs. You would expect for a country who had interfered multiple times in Indonesia’s domestic politics in the past (as CIA documents alluded to) to at least know what its doing (or maybe because they dont understand, they need more interference). China on the other hand has been making inroads investing beating Japanese. Their influence is much more subtle and making success just look at Indonesia view on Uyghurs. Meanwhile USA investment is conditioned on Israel policy (tbf Indonesia gov do not actually have much problem with Israel gov), which of course will be duly rejected as its a very unpopular move. If you know the historic ties of Indonesian students during independence war with Palestinians and consequently Egypt recognition of Indonesian Republic. You would need to be really smart if you want Indonesian recognition of Israels to the open. One example one branch of Muslim organization in Indonesia NU has really cordial ties with Israels due to Wahids past ties. There was a plan to create embassy in palestine area (though its really with Israel). That plan fell because of sensitivities of israel. Why not consider that plan in different ways? That would be much better compared to Trump’s overtly transactional relations (which China will always beat).
@YouOnUsPath
@YouOnUsPath 2 года назад
Youp Tan Malaka the founding fathers Republic of Indonesia
@TheDapperSwindler
@TheDapperSwindler 3 года назад
Very good channel! Thanks for the interesting discussions.
@TheRedLinePod
@TheRedLinePod 3 года назад
Our pleasure, thanks for watching.
@chickenwings273
@chickenwings273 2 года назад
Very interesting discussions
@Nedumgottil
@Nedumgottil 2 года назад
Great episode man!
@riezan
@riezan Год назад
I think many people wish to see the podcast video. Nevertheless, a great discussion. However, I think it's important to address the perspective behind this question which I come across with some Australian politicians, journalists and activists. 29:19 I don't know what is it with some Australians and their obsession with Indonesia's Papua but this support for separatism covered in flowery concerns just needs to stop. Maybe start focusing on the rising discrimination against aboriginal people and their rights in Australia and first then we can discuss about Papua. Let's break it down - "Papuan people are very different from Javanese people" so what? What that has to do with the make-up of a country? From the smallest of Singapore to the big country like the US, all are diverse people. There're hundreds of ethics in Indonesia and they're different to each other. It doesn't stop Indonesians from being united under 1 flag. Same with the US, you've got white, yellow, black, and brown skins there. Stop thinking with false analogies and divide people by their races. - "Many Papuan losing their life in the struggle" How many are many? and what does "struggle" means? Separatists and terrorists are also "struggling" for something, right? And I'm sure these so-called activists in Australia are not gonna support their "struggle". That's why it's not a valid argument. The vast majority of 3.5 million Papuans are proud Indonesians and they all play an important part in Papua, They become governors, mayors, civil servants, diplomats, football players, soldiers, singers, celebrities, comedians etc. Only a small number of probably 70-100 separatists cause trouble and have been hiding in the mountains and forest or running away to PNG or even becoming a refugee in Australia. What do you say if 100 Aboriginal people in Australia started to revolt against Australia wanting to establish a new country, will the Australian government just gonna surrender and ceded the sovereignty to the separatists? I don't think so. Maybe next time, when discussing the separatist movement in Papua, please also mentioned the regular Papuans and TNI soldiers they've killed. This is rather long already. So just a brief explanation about Timor Leste which is a completely different case from Papua. TL independent is legit and follows the international norm of Uti Possidetis Juris. Indonesia's Papua is a Dutch colony whereas TL is a Portuguese colony. People who studied IR will understand. I just gonna stop here. Lastly, Indonesia will always remember and be thankful to the USA (politically) and USSR/Russia (military) who supported Indonesia in expelling the Dutch from Papua. The same is true for Australia's assistance to Indonesia.
@disorientedkiwi7984
@disorientedkiwi7984 3 года назад
I was hoping for a video on Indonesia, this looks good
@TheRedLinePod
@TheRedLinePod 3 года назад
Ive been wanting to do this one for a while now, Indonesia is incredibly important to Australia.
@lesussie2237
@lesussie2237 2 года назад
Red, your first correspondent was quite biased in explaining Indonesia's history & current geopolitics Soekarno & Soeharto were both dictators who ruled Indonesia which was only nominally democratic. Soeharto in particular didnt develop Indonesia as well as he said. instead of making a capitalist country, he built an oligarchy of crony capitalists who racked up debt without using it to make much of use. his economic-political system made corruption extremely rampant. his control of the military did bring stability, but by extreme force, propaganda, genocide, and the 'erasing' political dissidents. only after the asian economic crisis did the country realize how much unpayable debt it had which caused the economy to free fall, requiring help from international banks and the IMF When explaining indonesia's geopolitical situation, he mantioned the PRC's economic influence through the BRI but didnt mention western/US influence, mainly through companies, and at times, force (the crisis that led to Soeharto rising to power was blamed squarely on the communist party but recent records have discovered that the US played a part) other than that the 1st correspondent was mainly factual Edit: spelling & grammar corrections
@lyq232
@lyq232 2 года назад
Also an addendum to OP's critics. The first correspondent failed to talk about the nuances in the things he talks about. The first correspondent also seems like they tend to talk more about the results of events, rather than the cause of the events. For an example, he failed to talk about WHY was it Soekarno that gets to be the figure head of the movement. Why did his peers chose him to announce the declaration of independence? What exactly did he do to gain the influence that he had? All these are the nuances we need to grasp when discussing this topic. Otherwise it wouldn't be much different than the boring high school history book back in that mostly talks about the sequence of events, and mostly ignores to mention the nuances of these events.
@skeletonwguitar4383
@skeletonwguitar4383 2 года назад
As an Indonesian myself, true But at the very least, most of us """perhaps""" still favored one of the dictator than the other one lol
@1stDRAGonLINE
@1stDRAGonLINE Год назад
58:28 how did many australian didn't know their neighbour? I mean they didn't really have much other neighbors at all left is ocean down antartica right is ocean.
@rapemap
@rapemap Год назад
I think you know already the answer. Most Australians think they are a Europe/North American country, masked as an "Oceanian nation". They will do anything to reject a connection with Asia (well, the exception is in footbal, but it comes from different reason), even if geographical and trade facts tell otherwise.
@ceponsbob6654
@ceponsbob6654 2 года назад
Indonesia has the strength of the Unitary State of the Republic of Indonesia, namely the ideology of the Unitary State of the Republic of Indonesia.
@mulyonodony3837
@mulyonodony3837 Год назад
Kami bangsa pejuang
@USDAselect
@USDAselect 3 года назад
I really like your channel. If it's not too much trouble, please try to bring in guests with differing points of view.
@TheRedLinePod
@TheRedLinePod 3 года назад
We usually try and stay neutral across the board, but which point of view were you chasing in particular?
@EvoSwatch
@EvoSwatch 3 года назад
Third speaker was good. Second speaker was the best. First one was a meh tbh...
@farisshaikh1026
@farisshaikh1026 Год назад
Indonesia joined the US block after a long series of efforts by the CIA and other US intelligence agencies to remove communist-aligned forces from power in the country. Before then Indonesia was a committed member of the nonaligned movement and squarely in the soviet aligned block as it had close military ties with the soviet union similar to Egypt.
@kemalabe7907
@kemalabe7907 3 года назад
East Timor aka timor leste is in deep economic trouble. As one of the poorest country in the world, timor leste is trying to get anything to survive. China would be her saviour obviously. Australia keep the distance, too slow to react.
@TheRedLinePod
@TheRedLinePod 3 года назад
I agree with you there, Australia doesnt do nearly enough for the average Timorese person. We do however pay quite a lot of bribes and payments to the Timorese oligarchs to keep them on side, and for them to keep making decisions that favour Australia. China though is making progress in this region, and our foothold there is less than rock solid. Our mining companies however are firmly entrenched there, not always at the request of the Timorese.
@askkedladd
@askkedladd 3 года назад
@@TheRedLinePod If anything the Timorese hate Australia because they only pretended to become their saviour. Timor have also mostly moved away from the conflict in the past with Indonesia, today Indonesia help Timor by investing a lot in Timor. Australia have done nothing to become friendlier with Timor.
@YouOnUsPath
@YouOnUsPath 2 года назад
Nope we Indonesia will help them from neocons which happened on there
@m.ronggo5826
@m.ronggo5826 Год назад
Jokowi Mr president the full power economic indonesia ,thanks Mr jokowi,borneo 🇮🇩🇮🇩
@gregzeng
@gregzeng Год назад
The Indonesian text here can be easily and quickly translated in a good web browser (Vivaldi). Formally educated people only know European (Abrahamite: meaning Jewish, Christian & Islamic) versions of history. History, as taught as history, is not truly aware of geography and actual reality. foreign invaders had often overwhelmed each culture. Currently, the Abrahamite invaders and 'traders' infect the native people. This is how evolution and cultural evolutions 'progress'. All of East Asia, including Indonesia, Malaysia and here in Australia, was invaded. Originally, and still existing today, are hundreds of isolated tribes. Each tribe had its own version of language, religion, and anthropology. With each foreign invasion, the survivors generally continue with that older tribal customs. Sometimes the newest invaders have converted. These converts then try to force the older traditionalists to the newest infection. This is standard biological evolution. The creators of this video seem not to know how biological evolution really works. The 'flying monkeys' (used by workers in the narcissistic treatment industries) have the emotional drive to promote the infections of the newest fashion leader. Here in Australia and elsewhere, these hero admirers use 'nationhood' metaphors to simply the diverse reality of the real population. So we have many misunderstandings here in this video, and its comments.
@won1bulo426
@won1bulo426 Год назад
Kalau mau damai jangan coba coba ganggu negara kami Indonesia bambu ketapel apapun itu semua rakyat Indonesia siap bantu militer merdeka 🇮🇩🗡️
@YouOnUsPath
@YouOnUsPath 2 года назад
Long Live Tan Malaka, Soekarno, Hatta. Lets go crush neo colonialist and imperialist.
@lyq232
@lyq232 2 года назад
The podcast is a discussion piece, why even comment like this?
@YouOnUsPath
@YouOnUsPath 2 года назад
@@lyq232 my rights, the contents owner still chills, cant I call my Indonesian heroes? and who are you? Neocons agents?
@lyq232
@lyq232 2 года назад
@@YouOnUsPath just find it weird that you chose to go that route. But hey, as you said, it is your right to comment as you did, doesn't stop it from being weird though. Still I wonder why did you make the first comment in the first place? Tan Malaka was a marxist. Soekarno sympathised with communism (remember Nasakom?). Hatta is probably the cleanest guy amongst the 3 you mentioned. But overall, what they did back in the day can't be replicated today. The circumstances are simply different today. Indonesia as a national identity is strong enough that division won't work as a tactic. It is also within the big powers interest that Indonesia's integrity stays intact, but not grow as a country big enough to have it's own sphere of influence, nor explicitly letting Indonesia joining the other's sphere of influence. That would be closest thing to country-to-country neocolonialism in Indonesia right now. Any other attempts to 'ruin' or even 'split' Indonesia are mostly local politicians betting on a power grab move or parties with vested interests in power over economics and politics within and around their own turf. Other alleged "Neocon" event in Indonesia are mostly private parties trying to have their piece of the cake that is the Indonesian growth potential. Also, neocons or imperialism ain't something that need agents on RU-vid comments to justify their action you know? Kinda pointless going around 'fighting' them in the comment section.
@setiawanefendi2476
@setiawanefendi2476 2 года назад
Indonesia do not joint USSR that time, because Soekarno politics stand as non-aligned movement, not because military act that Soeharto used to oppressed and masacre comuniest party IMO, Indonesia-Australia problem are always coming from Australian side, they are always the first party that provoke Indonesian with all the matters that was actually Indonesia internal conflict, so now you speak its better to be a good neighbor to Indonesia, dont you? Guess what? Show some respect, stop provoking us, leave alone west papua to us and start everything with a good faith, so we can make benefit for the both side. Your second guest speaker, Natalie, is the best, very well knowledge.
@enricodjakman5710
@enricodjakman5710 2 года назад
I agree. If Australia could have done so, they will be very much rewarded and appreciated by Indonesia. We can come to stability in Indonesia and Australia can become our biggest trading partner and more Indonesians will come to enjoy Australia as winter tourists as we don't have winter here.
@michaelhusada2276
@michaelhusada2276 2 года назад
Accurately put, Pak Setiawan! People in Australia have called Indonesia the sleeping giant that is now waking up to its economic potential. The only one caught sleeping here is successive conservative governments (with a misnomer of party name) who have been, and continue to do so, ignoring the great potential of Indonesia. Then again, this current conservative government in Australia have been too busy looking inwardly and towards traditional partners of the UK and the US. Australia still sees itself as part of the European Community, not Asia-Pacific. The deal between China and the Solomon Island shines a very strong focus on that. Speak to anyone who are closely familiar to the business/corporate sector in Indonesia (especially those who had run businesses there), they will tell you that the country had been thrusting forward with its economic progress. True, there was a hiccup in 1998, but the recovery was amazingly rapid. Indonesia to me is the (maybe not so) quiet achiever that many powerful nations ignored. Everyone is talking about China and to a certain extent, India, but hardly anyone mention Indonesia.
@imanafdar
@imanafdar Год назад
Naah, Soekarno really leaning toward communist near his presidential time
@imanafdar
@imanafdar Год назад
@@michaelhusada2276 Indonesia is underachieving its potential. From geo economy, geo politic, and abundant of resources. Way too passive under previous government (SBY) but atleast did well with debt and aggressive against corruption even captured some of his political party member, under Jokowi Indonesia is more outward looking and focus more on investment but poor on corruptions
@MbahMu9829
@MbahMu9829 11 месяцев назад
It's alarming how many of the facts are ignored or just plain wrong in this discussion
@MrLifeandlimb
@MrLifeandlimb 10 месяцев назад
why are you doing a weird voice?
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