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The Turning Point for the Commodities Cycle (w/ Leigh Goehring and Jim Grant) 

Real Vision
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3 окт 2024

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Комментарии : 139   
@GeorgeServetas
@GeorgeServetas 3 года назад
Possibly the best video on commodities.
@andrewpearce7138
@andrewpearce7138 4 года назад
'50% of portfolio is in oil stocks'.... Ouch....
@jackmills8222
@jackmills8222 3 года назад
This didn't age well...
@fu-academy
@fu-academy 4 года назад
Thank you very much Real Vision team! Old but gold. Tactical (!) commodities should be part of any long-term and well-diversified portfolio.
@Yas_Oz
@Yas_Oz 4 года назад
fully agree with this
@smhpilot
@smhpilot 4 года назад
Wrong timing, but his predictions on commodities will ultimately be correct over the next 3 to 5 years.
@kirstinstrand6292
@kirstinstrand6292 3 года назад
Not all are silver and gold.
@rgg8044
@rgg8044 4 года назад
Excellent Interview! Jim's the BEST!
@postscript5549
@postscript5549 4 года назад
I wish we had a current interview with these people.
@edreeves121
@edreeves121 4 года назад
Many moronic comments here. Don't throw pearls to swine my dad used to say. Thank you two for incredible, well researched information.
@DC-ss2qj
@DC-ss2qj 4 года назад
How ironically wrong he was, i bet he passed out when he saw oil -37 🛢
@chrisgouger9299
@chrisgouger9299 4 года назад
filmed in 2018
@Bass20HZobsession
@Bass20HZobsession 4 года назад
Long dated WTI contracts never fell below $30/brl
@derekteed8188
@derekteed8188 4 года назад
It is interesting how much this makes him look like a clown.
@mrwolf750
@mrwolf750 4 года назад
I think he actually died that day.
@aba192
@aba192 4 года назад
@@derekteed8188 No. Judging an investment thesis based on a black swan event and within a 2 year span makes YOU the clown and just shows you have no true knowledge about investing.
@Truth_In_Victory
@Truth_In_Victory 4 года назад
Are you flaming him or something? Oil would have been one of the worst investments possible in 2018. He got absolutely culled
@MrSher22
@MrSher22 4 года назад
please never remove the doll going down to comments to hear people's theories on it is one of the highlights of my day haha
@stopandstare52
@stopandstare52 4 года назад
Why put a show out from 2 years ago? Waisted 20 mins before noticing.
@SpentDude
@SpentDude 4 года назад
Same
@californiacamera
@californiacamera 4 года назад
This video has not aged well
@kingcountyband
@kingcountyband 4 года назад
He owns gold at $250, sold oil at $80, this was recorded in march 2018, he could have easily exited from that position size in oil equities, he trades commodities and they were up almost as much as tech from the lows, lumber put tech to shame, corn did well etc etc the Q3/20
@jimherebarbershop8188
@jimherebarbershop8188 4 года назад
Agreed with Otto. This is outdated
@michaels4255
@michaels4255 4 года назад
@733Rafael Not a good analogy since lumber will never go to zero, but tech companies do from time to time.
@michaels4255
@michaels4255 4 года назад
@@jimherebarbershop8188 Outdated if you are fishing for specific trades, but not if you are looking for clues to broad trends and general principles. Low energy prices, for example, are a great opportunity if you are looking forward to the next economic recovery.
@dollymartin7498
@dollymartin7498 4 года назад
I wonder if your guest has implemented Joel Salatin’s sustainable agriculture model that uses grass as cattle feed , with a movable fencing system, integrated composting system, a movable chicken houses to follow the cattle herds. I hope he does that. Your high-profile guest could help revolutionize the agricultural industry.
@bradynields9783
@bradynields9783 4 года назад
17:20 Hearing this now reminds me of oil futures going negative. Did we want to figure out how to store all this extra oil or were we planning on drilling less. Storing oil in the ground is cheap. Shipping containers fitted for a bladders? Not cheap while increasing in the risk.
@johnbailey3351
@johnbailey3351 3 года назад
Three reasons that the guest does not like natgas and halfway through the first reason, the host switched him to uranium. Would have liked to have heard the other two reasons.
@davidouellette6833
@davidouellette6833 4 года назад
GREAT INTERVIEW BUT THIER WAS NO DISCUSSION ABOUT SILVER AND WHAT ITS GIONG TO DO WAS A CURIOSITY OF MINE TALKS ABOUT COPPER AND THE NEW ELECTRIC CAR WAVE SURLY SILVER IS GOING TO BE MASSIVELY USED . THAT WAS DISSAPOINTING
@John-k8l4f
@John-k8l4f 7 месяцев назад
This man is a genius
@cartoonsandgamesforchildre7258
@cartoonsandgamesforchildre7258 4 года назад
Awesome!
@vcnc
@vcnc 4 года назад
This was recorded 2,5 years ago !!
@kuberanproperties3069
@kuberanproperties3069 4 года назад
Lee may have been early, but also note he own beef assets; meats are in a huge bull market as of Sep 2020. And "grass-fed grass-finished" has HUGE demand now in the keto/carnivore community.
@ridethecurve55
@ridethecurve55 4 года назад
Predictions inform us more about the predictor than they do about the future. - Rick Rule
@turbofanlover
@turbofanlover 4 года назад
Methinks the bulk of the gains in the latest precious metals boom/bust cycle have already been made...and I missed them. And I always get a little queasy about chasing a trend, quite possibly late in the game.
@turbofanlover
@turbofanlover 4 года назад
@Johnny Askari I would have sold all that silver when it briefly hit 29 bucks. ;)
@tom8437
@tom8437 4 года назад
Are you kidding? The precious metals bull market has barely even started. Having said that, the current consolidation could potentially last several months before resuming the upward march.
@turbofanlover
@turbofanlover 4 года назад
@@tom8437 Yeah, I'm not a gold bug, but I would certainly be interested in buying a miner or three for a nice swing trade if we get a significant market correction in the coming months. Here's hoping. :)
@rg3412
@rg3412 4 года назад
Such great content, but please, as an host you should use professional recording equipment. Your sound is bad.
@faisalaftab
@faisalaftab 4 года назад
Great talk. Technology might play a deflationary role in this commodity bull cycle. generally, technology platforms are deflationary. Moreover, would love to get thoughts on China shifting manufacturing to frontier markets with cheaper labor and the role of manufacturing automation in creating deflation. We may see deflation in consumer goods in this bull cycle as well.
@Budzyoner
@Budzyoner 4 года назад
Great work, no word for silver
@rocking1313
@rocking1313 3 года назад
highlights why very few people make any $ on commodities - one needs to get 2 calls correct
@michaels4255
@michaels4255 4 года назад
The podcast starts out saying Malthus has been "refuted," then spends the rest of the podcast discussing approaching shortfalls in the raw materials we need to sustain the current population. Why not just admit that Malthus appears to have been right?
@mrwolf750
@mrwolf750 4 года назад
Do you think they get their ties from the same store?
@aphilippinesadventure9184
@aphilippinesadventure9184 4 года назад
How has the cost of extracting gold gotten cheaper?
@MrDMSir
@MrDMSir 4 года назад
Energy prices
@NickELitO100
@NickELitO100 4 года назад
Filmed on January 24, 2018 in New York. Dangit, want up to date discussion :(
@444ZORRO444
@444ZORRO444 4 года назад
so many people are focused on the cutting edge. I believe looking back 24 months is very healthy to maintain an accurate view of the future. do you agree?
@NickELitO100
@NickELitO100 4 года назад
@@444ZORRO444 It certainly has its value, yes
@jackswift2
@jackswift2 4 года назад
Right or wrong, this was still an informative interview
@JonnyMReck
@JonnyMReck 4 года назад
I’m still trying to get clarity on what the creepy doll is tucked in at the beginning - please cover!
@zzhughesd
@zzhughesd 4 года назад
Me too
@marsmotion
@marsmotion 4 года назад
its all puppet theater. beware someones hand up your backside...
@michaels4255
@michaels4255 4 года назад
If oil is getting more difficult and costly to find and extract, that is just like an expanding population of 18th century farmers expanding into marginal, less productive lands, a classic Malthusian scenario. The population increases but the land resource does not. The population increases (or the economy grows), but the oil resource does not. Looks to me like Malthus is alive and well.
@tom8437
@tom8437 4 года назад
Very much right about gold. Very much wrong about bitcoin. Both will go much, MUCH higher. And don't forget about silver!
@johnbauer5783
@johnbauer5783 4 года назад
Time to start talking about the financial debt system and how it's constructed?
@noyb154
@noyb154 4 года назад
you mean govt debt? there certainly isn't just one system of debt.
@johnbauer5783
@johnbauer5783 4 года назад
Gee Willickers No I mean the dollar system
@billpetersen298
@billpetersen298 4 года назад
Nobody said anything about uranium. Kazakhstan, has flooded the market with cheap supply.
@marychang6919
@marychang6919 4 года назад
how bout silver?
@bensavage6389
@bensavage6389 4 года назад
Recall when they bid up the price and then put out the peak oil myth knowing they had a new sideways drilling technology. Is this the same thing, probably meant for the common mans ear
@1960taylor
@1960taylor 4 года назад
Why post ancient video's?
@davidlanham99
@davidlanham99 4 года назад
Well, if Goehring missed all those gains in stocks, WHY would I want to listen to his advice?
@randarmbrester
@randarmbrester 3 года назад
Yes, he was early. But, I am looking strongly at his mutual fund, GRHAX. Whoever is our next US President, for the next few years, Congress is going to spend money like drunken sailors on shore leave. I believe the middle class will need investments in commodities as a hedge against future inflation. Hopefully we will not see hyperinflation, but eventually all fiat currencies fail.
@travelreview8520
@travelreview8520 4 года назад
Oil demand will continue to decline. The solar and EV revolution can not be stopped and we are reaching the critical efficiency level which will make gasoline obsolete.
@yosef6216
@yosef6216 4 года назад
"a little early" - HA!
@jays7318
@jays7318 4 года назад
2 years old, but more relevant today. Only timing was off
@michaels4255
@michaels4255 4 года назад
Q: What makes you happy? A: Balanced budgets and gold standards.
@TonyL-gw4qx
@TonyL-gw4qx 4 года назад
Score on the comment with bitcoin. Not going to work long term due to energy. Get out while you can .
@andrewdamico663
@andrewdamico663 4 года назад
2 years old! I love the content but 2 years is a bit out of date don’t you think ?
@CptWacko
@CptWacko 4 года назад
It's so funny hearing old people talking about Bitcoin like it's an impossible thing while explaining it with things that aren't facts.
@CeroYoutubo
@CeroYoutubo 4 года назад
btc is mined next to cheap energy sources mostly green...
@CeroYoutubo
@CeroYoutubo 4 года назад
@@jackgoldman1 so like money? try to travel with gold.. or transfer from country to country
@jimbobarooney2861
@jimbobarooney2861 4 года назад
Bitcoin will be the story for the grankids of the global pyramid scheme, and how the human psyche of stupidity and greed never change
@CeroYoutubo
@CeroYoutubo 4 года назад
@@jimbobarooney2861 we will see if you right ;) many ppl need it something like bitcoin but you don't get it or do not see what is happening, Africa, Venezula, Argentina.. after covid whole world currency printing etc.
@thanos6874
@thanos6874 4 года назад
@@jimbobarooney2861 bitcoin is superior to gold in literally every aspect. 1) there is infinite gold in our universe, but only 21 million bitcoin, space mining will soon be a reality 2) gold is not easily portable, bitcoin is 3) gold is expensive to store & guard, bitcoin is free 4) gold is not easily divisible, bitcoin is infinitely divisible 5) physical gold cannot be exchanged digitally, bitcoin can 6) gold mining is damaging to the environment, bitcoin mining is potentially carbon neutral & doesn't damage natural ecosystems
@OneLastChanceTSB
@OneLastChanceTSB 4 года назад
@@thanos6874 points 1 and 4, you contradict yourself
@Kid_Ikaris
@Kid_Ikaris 4 года назад
Nuclear and Solar and forget these nematodes
@rosen9425
@rosen9425 4 года назад
Strong start straight into meme territory 😆 Name title etc Yes
@stage274
@stage274 4 года назад
Ouch! Did well in metals though!
@DesertflowerUSA
@DesertflowerUSA 4 года назад
Sweet? "My parents met at a refinery".
@RgRhost
@RgRhost 4 года назад
His analysis never imagined a pandemic. I’m sure his fund was scrambling to mitigate losses this year.
@poiluparadis
@poiluparadis 4 года назад
I love this host's bowtie. I hope he doesn't think he is funny, because this was great otherwise.
@octaviosagustuas2615
@octaviosagustuas2615 4 года назад
The mumbling manner he speaks! Some people like this guy regardless of what position they hold in the world of trading, simply don't have at minimum any ability to speak fluently! Even with their mother tongue!
@rd9102
@rd9102 4 года назад
LOL, looking at all the comments makes me laugh...when the whole world is bearish about oil, you might want to take another look. Crypto currency is digital fiat, nothing to see there. Sovereigns are not going to give up the control of their fiat and hand it over to what is essentially a toy.
@rd9102
@rd9102 4 года назад
@Din Joekhannaz Governments can cut it off anytime they want...just outlaw it's use. Doesn't matter how wide the adoption rate is. Most government's have laws against "fake" currencies, they just haven't been enforcing them. Besides, why trade one fiat currency for another fiat when you can actually buy the real thing in Silver/Gold/Platinum.
@gr1iev3r10
@gr1iev3r10 4 года назад
@R D 100% agree
@skesno309
@skesno309 4 года назад
2.5 years ago? Really?
@blakemills3301
@blakemills3301 4 года назад
As a beginner passionate about making profit I invest with Mr. William Anthony a professional who is my broker and investment adviser and i will never take any investment decision without his consent and approval.
@donaldmoore4512
@donaldmoore4512 4 года назад
I keep losing money each time I invest on any business.
@tylerbrian8898
@tylerbrian8898 4 года назад
@@donaldmoore4512 I’m so sorry about that and which it will be the best to recommend Mr. Jack to take hold of your trading activity and give you a reason to smiled can make huger profits for you weekly , regardless of the markets ever changing trends
@Mziro1
@Mziro1 3 года назад
Jim Grant should allow his guests to speak...he interjects unnecessarily
@geneschmunk8906
@geneschmunk8906 4 года назад
whats the point of posting this video? ...its pre-covid ....shale has been wiped out ....oil has tanked ....economies are in recession ....not much of value left in this interview
@johnsgyimah576
@johnsgyimah576 4 года назад
Jim Grant telling jokes very unnerving but interesting
@holdruss6197
@holdruss6197 4 года назад
This guy will never show his face again.
@daimer1977
@daimer1977 4 года назад
Guess this interview did not age well 🤷‍♂️😆
@citycams-fc
@citycams-fc 4 года назад
All shale companies going bankrupt...yep.
@paulobeckerrb26dett
@paulobeckerrb26dett 4 года назад
I love how he's deeply invested in energy and yet disses Bitcoin because it consumes too much energy XD
@billpetersen298
@billpetersen298 4 года назад
He is only pointing out the irony, of. Its supposed to be greener, but isn’t.
@Tenebrousable
@Tenebrousable 4 года назад
@@billpetersen298 Bitcoin rewards the most efficient energy producers the most. And it also consumes mountains of otherwise wasted enegy. And that inturn has the effect of driving normal energy miners out of business. It's perfectly green. Even if those observations turn out to be somehow wrong? I'm perfectly contend to pay that price. Why? Because it has the chance of driving the most destructive energy wasters out of business and out of money. All the militaries, USA especially. Like a 100 billion dollars of tank, humvee and jet fuel per year? Goes unburned, by them. Just like that. Most all the unsustainable waste of money government programs and policies, the absolute black holes of gasoline and resource? Shut down.
@billpetersen298
@billpetersen298 4 года назад
Tenebrousable Anything that uses electricity, has an environmental cost. There isn’t free unused electricity lying around. Most of our use, is for our short term comfort, and long term detriment. So why do something, of questionable value, that uses a lot more energy. We need to learn, how to do less harm, not more.
@Tenebrousable
@Tenebrousable 4 года назад
@@billpetersen298 There in fact is wasted energy. Only part of it is flaring, when oil drilling pushes up gas that there is no buyer for. Then there is the demand fluctuations. When the grid demand drops faster than producer can slow down the electricity production. Untill now, they have had to drive the excess into megawat scale resistor banks. So yeah. That takes care of that. Questionable value? Hah. The functioning money system is perhaps the the most important system we have. Destruction of the money system destroys societies for tens of millions of peoples at a time. And it's always due to mismanagement, waste fraud and abuse by the government. That power has to be taken away from them. No question about it. Yes, it'll likely destroy most of the military war empire and the entitlement state at the same time. Maybe they'll get to keep the roads and cops. We'll see about that. We will learn to do less harm, for sure. Bitcoin will teach us. Like it or not.
@Tenebrousable
@Tenebrousable 4 года назад
@Celtic Revival / Adfywiad Celtaidd POS doesn't work. It's always just a premine scam, waiting to implode.
@marychang6919
@marychang6919 4 года назад
jim is definitely not practicing social distancing lol. his feet are practically up mr. goehring's crouch lol.
@postscriptum9856
@postscriptum9856 4 года назад
It it is funny how the supporters of nuclear power always forget that nuclear waste will have to be stored safely a couple of 100,000 years...
@ImperiumVita
@ImperiumVita 4 года назад
That's the easy part
@postscriptum9856
@postscriptum9856 4 года назад
So what is the Solution in the US (or wherever you live) then? Let’s keep it simple. Only for the next 10,000 years for the moment...
@bobmccall9725
@bobmccall9725 4 года назад
This guys bias is flagrant. Get woke real vision.
@andrewlau9583
@andrewlau9583 4 года назад
what a stupid fucking time to show this video...three years later. Goerhing should SUE
@LFGRIM123
@LFGRIM123 4 года назад
This was/is terrible advice.
@joytanchatterjee
@joytanchatterjee 4 года назад
Unwatchable. Jim didn't let him finish a thought, let alone a sentence.
@boobtubereborn
@boobtubereborn 4 года назад
this guy spouts we did the research, etc etc. i suggest he research australian renewables. we have negative prices and parts of the grid at 110% renewables weekly now. im long oil, but he needs to do more research. also the most unreliable parts of our grid are old coal fire plants this is statistically verifiable via our market operator AEMO. finally wholesale prices in australia continue to fall entirely as a result of solar and wind. yo uhave some homework to do leigh and where can i short your fund please?
@tom8437
@tom8437 4 года назад
He's been right on gold. That alone probably would have been enough to wreck you if you'd shorted his fund.
@boobtubereborn
@boobtubereborn 4 года назад
@@tom8437 I've been buying PM's since 2015. I got no problem with gold and silver views. He doesn't get what is happening in energy markets though.
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