TOP 50 | Biggest Flops | Betting Odds vs. Results | Eurovision 2011 - 2021 Grand Finals 

The betting odds placings are based on the outright market. If a country is placed 10th it doesn't mean the exact predicted place is 10th but otherwise it's not possible to create a video like this. Odds of Top 10 / 15 could be slightly different but not far away from the outright market. Odds were taken during the live shows before the voting.

I wish Uk send something creative, risky, surprising, like.. they have nothing to lose, they can't do worse at this point

Rockefeller Street is such a bop, it deserved to be at the top 10

Some of this songs were robbed, some were overrated by bookies.

I would like to see betting odds vs results but the most successful ones, like it was 'supposed to be 15, but was 6 etc

What about a video with the top 50 songs that the bookies didn't see doing well, but did?

Some of these UK betting odds were insane. Who in their right mind thought that their 2018 and 2012 acts would end up in the Top 10?

How Alexander Ryback even got that dreadful song to 15th in the first place is beyond me

ESC: How much difference do you want? 2011: Yes

People in 2011 didn't get the beauty of Rockefeller Street... Such iconic meme song.

2011 was so unpredictable lol

The UK just got double 0 and I'm still more embarrassed by Electro Velvet.

You gotta remember that most of the bookies are "British" or have links to the UK. So no surprise we are overhyped every year

Times a country has been overrated by the oddsmakers: UK 7 times Ireland 4 times Spain, France, Finland, Norway 3 times Italy, Germany, Malta, Azerbaijan, Greece, Denmark, Estonia, Australia 2 times Austria, Sweden, Lithuania, Slovenia, Croatia, Romania, Armenia, Georgia, Hungary and San Marino 1 time ( _If I made a mistake counting, please comment and correct me, and I'll change it_ )

France 2019, Italy 2012, Armenia 2017, Norway 2012, Finland 2018, *San Marino 2021* , Germany 2013, *United Kingdom 2014* and Hungary 2011 deserved what was estimated...

Italy getting 3rd in 2012 would have been amazing

Surprisingly few deserved (much) better in my opinion. Some of those predictions were crazy from the start, like who really believed in the success of "Love Will Set You Free"?

seeing senhit and ryan o’shaughnessy in a video like this hurts me a lot 🙃

Da Da Dam was killed by being the opener. Such bad luck

im guessing quite a few of these flopped either because of low televoting scores OR low jury scores (for instance uk 2011 was 4th in the odds and came 5th with the televoting but 22th with the juries), so it would be interesting to know which entries flopped the most consistently with both (like adrenalina came 21st with the televoting and 18th with the juries despite odds predicting it to come 10th)

In fact Spain 2016 got to the 3rd position in the odds after the live performance

How did Amanecer / Spain 2015 do so badly. That song is amazing. She is gorgeous, flawless vocals and beautiful staging.

Eurovision: UK, how many times you will flop at the final? UK: Yes

How france 2011 could be winner?

I love how San Marino is #13 in this list when they only got 13 points from the televote...

I knew Rockefeller Street will be in this list but didn't expect it to be first. Also it was a surprise for me that Storm was quite high in odds, didn't expect that either 😊. Greetings from 🇪🇪!

Switzerland 2008, was #1 in odds, but didnt qualify

The UK 2018 is a bit unfair cause the only reason she shot up as she did was when she got invaded before the show she was hovering around the 24/25 mark

Paradise Oskar makes me so sad 😢 He was top 3 in his Semi but got completely shafted by the grand final running order.

Great vid. It's interesting to see how difficult it was to predict the placements of the early 2010s and for each year there are less surprises between the bookies predictions and the final placements

knowing now how much of an impact rockefeller street made and how it’s known basically all over the world, it’s crazy to see that it flopped this hard in eurovision

What I learned from this video is that bookies keep expecting Uk to do well or at least ok, but they basically do poorly every year.

Rockefeller Street best Eurovision song ever. The queen got hella robbed

I feel like a difference of 5-6ish isn't that much of a flop 🤔

Honorable mention, my Croatia in 2010. We were 4th in the betting odds and did not even go to the Grand Final. Was pretty heartbreaking...

Jedward in second? Even i see that was a bad call.

UK odds are always weird as fuck but genuinely loved UK 2017.

Finland 2018 and Estonia 2011's end results are crimes against humanity and i'm absolutely still mad about it

So many huge flops in 2011...

San Marino 2021 is robbery for me. How it has worse score than Serhat in 2019, which was bad song...

If you ever have the time it would be interesting to see an update, has any of the songs from 2022, 2023 and 2024 made it onto this list?

The moral of the story is that the UK always underperform and it'll be the same with Olly this year considering he's 10th in the odds

Please could you make a video of the average Televote and Jury ranks of the 26 countries in 2021 grand final ?

I was so sure that Adrenalina will end up in top 10

Video idea - do the same but also include those that didn’t qualify for the grand final since you can still see the placement history of the eliminated countries

What source did you use for the odds?

Where did you find odds between 2011 and 2014 because, on Eurovisionworld I find the odds for 2015-2021 but not for 2011-2014

soluna samay is criminally underrated, not just in eurovision but generally as an artist.

Also we have to rmb just because these songs all flopped doesn't mean they're necessarily bad,they were just completely overshadowed by other songs from having more points.

How the heck was Ireland 2011 2nd in the odds?

HEY! How about the songs that were rated highly by the bookies and didn't even qualify for the final? PKN (Finland 2015) was one of them.

That's why the French people think they'll never win

2011 Ireland and France (Best/true winner) 2014 The Netherlands and Italy (Best/true winner) 2016 Austria (Best/ true winner) 2021 San Marino deserved high place

So in next Video will be opossite situation, bigest suprizes?

5:12 Haha 9h!!?!?

I love Zeeeeeero Graaaaaaavaity and RUAAAA

I guess UK was so high a lot of times, because British people bet a lot on ESC and people tend to overhype their own entries? Most of those songs were garbage.

Would be interesting to see the before semj odds compared to their overall finish

What were the bookies smoking back in 2011?

Watching this back and seeing some of the betting odds for the earlier years, I don’t think the bookies took the running order into consideration back then like they do now….. saying that though, to think Englebert would’ve come anywhere else other than bottom with that song was madness

what I'm quickly learning is that the betting odds forget about Britain being Britain

Roi is an underrated masterpiece

Lucie Jones, UK 2017, Fav.

This ranking is mostly Big Five songs aiming high and failing spectacularly

The problem with these odds is they based on the entire betting market, which would include the weeks before Eurovision. A song like Sognu for France in 2011 was popular before Eurovision, then crashed at Eurovision. There wasn't time for the betting market to adjust, especially when many peope don't see rehearsals. Countries in semi finals obviously get visibility and the market adjusts. Ideally, use the odds before Eurovision starts or you need a fresh market that is started after semi finals are complete.

Cool!

I'd like to see a top 50 of drops from year to year! Like how Macedonia came 7th in 2019 but in 2021 they fell to like 30 something. So the top 50 biggest year on year drops 😁

ESC 2011 was like the worst. The worst winner, the worst points for the really decent songs (as we can see in this vid)

Ireland is overrated by the Odds

Are bookmakers always from UK? 😀

I think it's not fair to take the bookies rank during the final, because they put often high the UK at the last moment (and we have a lot of british entries in this top). But good job :)

Not you putting Senhit in the thumbnail as if she didn't slay

Where is Cyprus? Cyprus had many underrated entries such as 2012, 2016, 2021, but you have included so many weaker songs. Also, you repeat the same countries.

I did not realize that Jedward's Lipstick came that close to winning Eurovision.

1:15 Aún recuerdo el bombo que le dieron a este tío en su año solo por las pintas (la canción y la puesta escena daba igual) . Menudo flop fue.

only love survives underrated

odds of #1 and placing #15 has to be the worst lol

2011 was a weird year.There were several claims that azerbaijan rigged the contest (the french delegation sent a complaint that Azerbaijan sabotaged amaury's performance). But hey, we will never know

I think that in the songs where the difference between the betting odds and the actual results is the same, the better placing songs in the finals should place lower in this list instead of higher because the list is rather a countdown of bad bets to worst. In a sense, the countdown reflects bad results in relation to the odds, number 1 being the worst. So higher placements in the actual results is much better than lower placements even if the difference in the odds and actual results are of the same distance. For instance, for all the entries with 5-placement difference, the one placed in the lowest rank in this countdown, at number 50, should be "Zero Gravity" as its final result was 9, followed by either "When We're Old" or "Walk on Water" at numbers 49 and 48 as both placed 12th. Then 47 is "Voices," placing 14th, 46 "The Secret is Love" at 18th place, and 45 and 44 either "Where I Am" or "Mata Hari" as both ended in place 20. Saying "Zero Gravity" performed worse than "Mata Hari" kind of does not make sense. Anyway, still enjoyed the video. Thing is, I just love countdown videos whatever they are for because I get to see as many Eurovision entries as possible in a short period of time. Hehehe

Iceland 2016 was a bookies fave and didnt qualify or at least thats what I remember

Next the biggest surprises?😍

My Heart is still broken about soluna Samay x) i just loved the vibe. This is was actually the first artist i follow after eurovision.

2011 was a suprising year Estonia was my fave

You know you shouldn’t trust the bookies when the put the uk up so high 😅

I think many of the flops happen because of the tv audience who never watched the music videos nor listened to the songs. As long as I remember the odds are based on the fan reception of each song. (Please tell me if I am wrong)

Who the fuck thought that lipstick would get second

It’s very shocking seeing the UK so many times here. The weirdest year was 2011. It was all over the place. The bookies got a lot of the entries very wrong.

My Favorites Lipstick (Ireland 2011) - 8 Points That's How You Write A Song (Norway 2018) - 8 Points Marry Me (Finnland 2013) - 8 Points Adrenalina (San Marino 2021) - 8 Points Waterline (Ireland 2012) - 10 Points Never Give Up on You (UK 2017) - 10 Points Voices (Sweden 2021) -10 Points Together (Ireland 2018) - 10 Points Fallen Angel (Norway 2021) - 12 Points Roi (France 2019) - 12 Points Zero Gravity (Australia 2019) - 12 Points La Venda (Spain 2019) - 12 Points When We're Old (Lithuania 2018) -12 Points

There is a lot of pleasant songs in this list, and some British ones as well.

I think that we can all agree that Senhit shouldn't be here 😕 Jessica Mauboy was also criminally underrated, especially comparing it with their song from 2017

Still shocked about Spain 2016 & 2019 (Say Yay is one of my fav song ever) San Marino 2021 Iceland 2012 Ireland 2018 UK 2014 Finland 2018

Jedward is 2nd? Na ah sis, in Ireland they're literally a meme lmfao

In 2011 odds really really flopped. Also they gave a lot chance to UK..

The 2nd biggest flop is just RIDICULOUS. It was a magical song.

Alternative title: UK in Eurovision 2011-2021 XD

My country being the biggest flopper and I felt that in my soul

So, in 2011 the betting odds made soooo much more sense than the actual results! France had by far the best song of the year (although the presentation was quite underwhelming, but still top5 worthy) . Finland was the best act. Estonia was top3 material both as a song and as an act. Yes, 2011 was a very weak year but a so ultra-dull winner like Azerbaijan was too much of a stretch. The only hint of sense in the top5 was Denmark. My top10 would be Finland, Georgia, Estonia, Denmark, France, Greece, Albania, Spain, Latvia, Germany.

See idk how I feel about that, like Ireland 2018 4th, it was next to last before the rehearsals and then as soon as they started it shot up to 4th. I think like with many songs in this video, it's a case of the odds being dramatic as soon as rehearsals begin. Not saying you're wrong or anything but like I was saying Ireland 2018 wasn't high in the odds until even the first semi. You'd think with the odds that it would reflect what people think of the songs prior to the competition. :)

Wonder if Brits made these predictions

Many song from Great Britain I noticed.