You absolutely cannot trust the NHCs intensity forecast. They have handled explosive intensification forecasts about as poorly as someone with no weather forecasting experience. They completely missed Beryl's first explosive intensification. The conditions are ripe for it yet again. There is a decent size area off of Texas that is extremely juiced and could provide for explosive intensification. Be prepared for something much worse than a cat 1. It might not happen but you don't want to be caught unprepared like that west coast Mexican town last year.
@@Steve-w9y The area the storm will pass over supports a maximum hurricane intensity that is off the charts. Doesn't mean the storm will get there, but there is fuel available for a catastrophic storm. Let's hope this storm never gets fully organized before landfall. Because if it does, you could see explosive intensification.
This’s comical…they’d be less full of xxxx if they just say it’s gonna hit somewhere on the North American Gulf Coast…y’all need to try the Ziti or Linguine models…