@@WeatherForce2024I agree too, models & ensembles are definitely picking up on this around 5-10 days out, also enjoy your cousins bd party, your work is most definitely appreciated.
@@WeatherForce2024 I especially respect you because I note you never stop learning & expanding your understanding of this important subject of weather which affects all of us! Again, thank-you! 💖
hmm so far we would be behind in named storms (6th named storm happens on august 29 on average) and since there are no storms expected in the next 7 days, that means we will be behind soon thankfully
Until the NHC says they are monitoring an invest, I would take all models with a massive grain of a salt. 90% of the models were wrong with Beryl and We paid the price for people mindlessly believing these model runs. Model runs are only accurate up to 5 days from landfall even then its still sketchy.
With the Bermuda high position so far east, I think anything that develops in next 2 weeks makes a b- line towards Bermuda or that general direction. So unless a system hugs the tcz throughout the journey across the Atlantic then minimal possible impact to the US mainland. The danger i think remains in the northern Carrigan and southern gulf of Mexico for the most threatening systems. We'll see. Its Def peak season in next 30 days.
Right now, way too far out to even make that decision as the wave has not even came close to developing, but based on ensembles Florida needs to be watching this wave.
I think you’re a good weatherman, but all the lines are confusing. If you could just show the states instead of the lines I think we would better understand what you’re saying thank you so much.
I just looked at this evening's 18z GFS shows almost absolutely nothing through September 9th LOL that's hilarious just some tropical waves that really don't get going Euro showing much of nothing again something's fishy with the models
Yeah, I am really on edge, but there is a big signal on the ensembles, oh shoot I forgot to show you the ECMWF-AIFS model Also showed a Hurricane near the eastern seaboard.
Not really there is a lot of stable dry air in the mid atmosphere that these waves are running into. Look at all the data noting on deck till at lest the 1st week of September when these next few waves pass and leave more moisture behind to feed later storms.
Everyone on RU-vid does … it’s called marketing. His videos are great, great information great delivery, however if you only read the title …. just to negatively comment 🤷🏻♀️
Umm. You do know the GOES noaa radar is free for anyone right? You always give credit to that other guy like he has some special satellite access no one else can get.
I am taking climatology into consideration here. When I mean the word explode it’s basically to shorten the word length as I could barely fit it in Photoshop.