Ukraine War Update NEWS (20240514a): Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News 

ARE YOU SERIOUS? DID I FORGET TO PRESS GO! I'M SUCH A GARGANTUAN LOSER. I WAS MAPPING AND DIDN'T REALISE.

Over 3000 eliminated Russians in two days...

Your work IS critical, you are recording history in detail. You’ve seen more information than nearly any civilian and do a fantastic job of explaining it. Imposter syndrome can rest, you’re the real deal JP and are deeply appreciated.

Jon, we all make mistakes! The worst mistake you have ever made (in your whole life) is NOWHERE NEAR as serious as Putin's grave error in starting this war. None of Russia's strategic objectives have been achieved. Russia is now weaker and NATO is larger, stronger and more united. Thanks for all your hard work producing these reports.

Stop beating yourself up JP, your doing the best you can so no-one can ask more of you. We appreciate all the hard work you put in to produce these updates.

Feel better JP, from Down Under.

I'm really slimming down my media diet. Once again you are my best source of news on Ukraine. Great job JP. Take care of yourself mate. SLAVA UKRAINI from the United States

Konstantin on Inside Russia said the National Security Advisor role is less lucrative, not as many opportunities for corruption.

Good day all! One of the biggest appeals to JP’s commentary is the lack of the ridiculous clickbait titles many of the other commentators employ. We get all relevant facts and information condensed into a manageable daily timeframe. No idea how JP manages to review and compile all these sources everyday. Thanks JP!

Great report slava thanks

Great morning, all! A rainy day here in Columbus, Ohio, U. S. A.

Jolly good! I was already arranging a search and resque party to find out where you've gone!

Good morning Team! Good morning JP! I hope you'll feel better as the day progresses!

Tally ho from Canada. Your updates keep us sane.

Thank you

Sorry to hear you have MS, mate. Hope it’s not a major flare-up and you feel better soon

Not a loser, very appreciative of your work.

I hope you feel better JP. Take some time off if you need to. You have more than earned a rest.

PBV 501 An upgraded BMP used by the ex East Germany. Used by Sweden after being upgraded in the Czech Republic.

Good evening JP👋🙂 Good morning team👋🙂 Damn, take it easy today

27:35 - You are most probably correct. In the last few months, the Russians have amassed troops and materiel north of the Ukrainian border. The first push came south of Belgorod towards Kharkiv. Budonov might be correct in that particular push will taper off in 3-4 days, but those troops will likely hang about to fix the Ukrainians while a second push comes in the Sumy region. The Sumy administration have already indicated to the population of Bilopillya and Vorozhba that they should start evacuating. This indicated to me that the Ukrainians are ready for them.

Russia still use ka52 but with longer range missils, makes it hard to take them down with manpads, this is according to Denys.

1400 casualties

G’day all 👍🏻🇦🇺🇺🇦 You are doing a great job Jono, I hope that you feel better soon 👍🏻☕️🫖

Thanks Jonathan for your hard work and part one.why don’t you take a day or two off and rest a bit

I do worry for you sir and your incredible dedication to your work, unlike the rest of us your Planetary sized brain box coupled with the universal injustice of the Russian assault is a formidable thing to watch, do look after yourself. Liberal libations of tea, cake, nectar of the grape and stinky cheese. Cheers for all you do. J X

Good morning from Vancouver, Canada. Thanks for your reporting! :)

Hope you feel better soon.

You did well, despite it all. Good man!

Hello all 👋👍👍👍😊

Hello everyone

YEP, rain here I shake and tremble like a field rat on an electric fence.

Morning JP 👍😊

Thx JP

"shoot and scoot" typically is wise, however, since Russia lacks sufficient counter battery radar and due to the proliferation of drones, it's probably currently unwise. Several variables involved.

SHOOT N SCOOT: Jonathan, it is very much a still useful tactic. Losses of towed artillery in the stats still vastly outnumber self-propelled guns. Yes, there are losses now, but tactics have changed to compensate. Old shoot n scoot relocated 10 km, whereas now it may be a half km. Warfare adapts to the threats.

Hi Team, Jonno and all wellthinking others. Have a great Tuesday!

Good Day JP, TEAM!!!! Great #'s!!!!

PbV-501 Is the Pansarbandvagn that Sweden had made in Czechia as updates from old East-German BMP-1s.

Thank you Jonathan ❤ Love to Team ATP ❤ Love to Ukraine 🇺🇦 ❤️ 🫂 I hope you are better soon.

They tell people that they have won a prize from you and then ask using your name they tell them that you need them to send the postal service payment or shipping payment so that you can send them their prize .

Yes the drone heralded the end of shoot and scoot.

Good morning everyone. Thanks for the news update Johnathan…Need to add “shoot and scoot” to the drinking game list.

Thank you for all your updates J very informative 🇬🇧❤️🇺🇦

Good day JP and community. Hope you feel better soon JP.

Morning all subscribers and supporters of Ukraine🇺🇦

Nr1❤❤❤

👋

Hello team 👋 One day closer to a free Ukraine 🇦🇺🇺🇦

Hi dude ! Ace work buddy ! Glory to Ukraine !

00:30 - A new day with yet another record number in the personnel category, immediately breaking thru yesterday's stats (1340,1780,1400). Though these numbers certainly are unsustainable, it would be interesting to see a breakdown of the losses (current, time series and totals) by state, nationality, ethnicity, religion and income. Because these losses do not seem to have an impact on the seats of power, some interesting inferences could and should be made. The assumptions should then be empirically tested if the underlying data are valid and reliable.

7th LSA

Like the Tzar, Johnathan has a double. To tell them apart, Johnathan is the one with the COVID jab.

Wow I am shocked on the Kharkiv Lost equipment list! But I think it is because they have not entered far enough into Ukraine. Their are some of the BEST Brigades and Units up their where they have been waiting and planning for the Russians to come across the Border, but I know the Russians have not reached those Units yet. And I cannot publicly say how far they are from the border and where. But I will tell you this! Russia has a 0% chance of making it more than 4-12 km into Ukraine! They couldn't take Kharkiv with 100,000 Troops! I really think it would take at least 250,000 Troops and Loads of Equipment, which I know they do not have! It took 300,000+ Troops to take Kharkiv and make their way close to Kyiv, and they were defeated around Kyiv and kicked out of Kharkiv not long after the Full Scale Invasion. So all these troops & equipment Putin is sending in the North Across the Border are Cannon Fodder! I would love to know the Units and Brigades the AFU are encountering! That would tell a good story and give a great picture to know exactly what Putin's plan is in the North! Which I think was stupid and is going to come back to bight him in the A$$, cause WE/AFU is going to get through the Dnipro Delta and Krinky and other areas to take Crimea! We have the forces to make a push on Crimea once we have enough Weapons which will be soon I think, and Russia doesn't have the Reserves or enough Troops in Crimea to Defend it. And when that offensive starts, that is when the Kerch Bridge be taken out, you will see more ships sunk, cause the only other way to get support and supplies to Crimea would be Amphibious Landings! And Russia are dumb enough to do it! And we would destroy everything in No Time! So I have heard lot's of say chatter of a Attempt on Crimea Soon! Which we can do, while still defending the Eastern Flank and the North! Actually I believe Russia would then Divert their troops in the North To Crimea.... Just because I swear I have never ever in 43 years seen a Military work as Stupidly as the Russian Military does! They have not learned how to wage war since pre 1900's! They are still going by the same fricken Manual as Pre 1900! Stupid! But anyways keep your eyes open just the WORD IS SH$T IS GOING TO GET SPICY SOON! Maybe not tomorrow or the next day, but soon! I do now, knowing some of the things I do, and the Actions of Both Militaries, chatter, etc. that we have the chance maybe if we get enough equipment and munitions that Russia lose Crimea, start to lose ground in the East, and Putin tries to Negotiate, Putin finally withdraws do to the Public, or may even lose the Kremlin this year!!!! I half A$$ know some of a Plan, chatter of a plan that really in my eyes is genius and could very well work... That is all! Have a great week Team!!!

The U.S. Military would never just have one archer firing and scooting. They would have Geppards or other drone tracking equipment with heavy machine guns and targeting. Along with spotters. I don't know but it seems like they need all the countries the equipment comes from to send training teams because they need command and control and combined arms training on all this different equipment. Just a thought. Great job JP! Glory to the heroes! Victory for Ukraine!

About the lancet part in your hits/losses part, I personally don’t think it has much to do with them building more, it might be that they better adapted those to resist jamming / gave them overall some upgrades to improve them, but considering how long that would have took them to upgrade/improve them is quiet a lot of time looking how unreliable (or however you chose to call them) in earlier days were compared to now, I could be wrong about this it’s just what I assume happened, love the videos keep up the good work! ❤

Maybe 1st!

08:10 - The Pbv-501A is a Swedish "panserbandvagn" - basically an upgraded ex East-German BMP-1 - manufactured by BAE systems in Hägglund. The Army Guide (among many others) has a detailed page on it - and the mods.

The "shoot-n-scoot" approach to artillery has, indeed, evolved fast & repeatedly over the last 2 to 3 years. South Korea seems to have, perhaps accidentally, come up with a rather elegant solution. They'd planned to retire their 105mm guns a while back, but are sitting on something like 3.4 million 105mm shells (there are, indeed, talks going on now about sending a load of those to Ukraine via the US) which would have just been left to gather dust & go to waste. So, rather than retire them all, they took a portion of their 105mm guns, removed part of their chassis, modified them & set them on the rear of some light infantry vehicles to create fast, mobile artillery that's not significantly larger than the guns had been on their own before removing parts of the chassis. This allows the artillery piece to sit in place within a fortified structure of essentially the same size as one made for the towed version of the same artillery piece, but also enables it to move, and move quickly, when it needs to. An interesting thought that's been put forward recently was to do something similar with 155mm artillery systems like the M777 by modifying them to fit onto specially modified versions of the tracked, unmanned Ripsaw M5 which would be paired with a light vehicle for the crew, artillery system parts and/or ammunition. An interesting concept which Ukraine might find advantageous to pursue using other vehicles, and with their domestic experience producing the Bogdana and unmanned systems, would not be outside their wheelhouse.

I've read that after most if not all wars, when all the tables of mortality and injury are drawn up, the largest cause of death/injury is Disease, non-battle related stuff. Drinking poisoned vodka. Often wondered how the russians handle it. Wonder if the Ukrainian stats take these elements into their tallies. Also, I imagine Missing is a large category.

Awesome to see you getting a lot more views on your first videos that come out 👍🏻

If you need 3 hours to do these videos, we will wait through the pauses and super loud music. Bring on the loud music. I would watch a 3 hour video. Keep up the good work. Everyone on here appreciates it.

The only time ive been sick feeling in the last 5 years is after i got that 2nd jab. No more of those for me! Thanks for the update!

Attacking trains with drones is the equivalent to WW2 fighter attacks/strafing runs on trains. Very good idea ! It block the railways as well. When the Allied did that over France before the invasion it messed up German logistics quite a lot.

Imagine 30k troops in just a month on average out of the fight for Russia. Imagine being in the Russian military and going forward seeing all those around you just disappearing and probably witnessing death in terrible ways. Just amazing they keep pushing forward. So hard to fathom.

You are doing a wonderful job. Very important so do not overwork. You can have a rest sometimes. Just small point can you remind us of distance on the maps as one cannot always work that out. But regardless keep doing your great work👍

What happened with the Ukraine comander not puutting land mines and fortifications. It is said it might be dabatage or incompentence?

I think we have to consider that a lot of the information being posted on media about how vulnerable Ukraine is during this current Ruzzian offensive is meant to lure the occupiers in to a place where they can be contained or destroyed. There has to be something going on with the intelligence services to make the enemy overconfident. Right? I keep thinking that is what the United States has done during all of their wars since WW I. My brother was a career officer in the army and he always told me that if it is in the papers, it is only what they want the public to know. They always have something in motion to defeat the enemy.

SLAVA UKRAINI

Pbv-501 is an old swedish BMP.

Scammers are in the threads of every channel. They usually say something like speak to me personally. You can tell by the WhatsApp or Telegram address. I report them as unwanted commercial content or spam.

31:45 - IMO Belousov is being temporarily assigned to further integrate the Russian MIC into the military and streamline procurement and logistics processes. He'll be tossed aside once those objectives have been achieved to a "satisfactory" degree. On Patrushev and Dyumin, it is more likely that being moved in as assistants to the president brings them in under closer control going forward. In any case, all the machinations going on in the upper echelons of the Kremlin's military power structure, point to internal strife and power plays between opposing factions - which you would expect under very differing scenarios, although it is too soon to determine which one.

Good morning Jonathan and ATP team. I do hope you didn't take AstraZeneca vaccine Jonathan. Take it easy . Horrible Russian losses a battalion a day.😢poor bloody infantry. Cheers 😊 Samaritan is the medical version of the British CVRT family the rest being, Scimitar the 30mm Raden cannon version, Scorpion the 90mm gun version Samson the engineering vehicle, Striker the swingngfire the Anti tank vehicle.

Sorry to hear you are poorly

🎉🎉

*OneTab extension is your friend sir.*

More of a managerial or strategic thinker than Shoigu. Probably stronger with logistical Management.

I'm starting to get a couple of issues with these stats. If the state of repoted losses is known then there is an image of this. Surely someone on the Ukrainian side can compile a geo location list to back up the claims. There are claims Russia is down to 18%of its artillery. Surely presenting evidance of the losses can ony help the claims. We also need to see satellite images of the defence lines are the prepared positions for tanks and artillery manned or empty. Once these lines are stripped we know its dire strates.

you're allowed to take a day off dude

The extension of the front by the Russian is maybe a final offensive before the retread and end of the war?

Have the patriot systems from America turned up yet ??

🇺🇦🎯🇷🇺🛢️🚀💥🔥🇷🇺🛢️🔥👍🇺🇦 !

I, SAY ANY OVER 3-400 OF TROOPS LOST? "WOW" ! 🇺🇦 👏

Something is up! Budanov would not announce Publicly that the Russians are going to try to make a move on Sumy if he really had Intel that the Russians were going to try taking Sumy! Budanov is to good! He is playing some sort of game to fool the Russians I think about them Moving toward Sumy. He is way too smart to come out in public and tell the world what the Russians are planning on doing before they have even done it... Not buying it! He has a Card up his sleeve if you know what I mean...

Still no F16s... What the hell. So why still the delay ?

Does anyone know how good those 100 kilometer artillery shells are and do they work

It is time that the USA tighten there power of influnce with given the UKRAINE ROE as far not using USA equiptment inside russia. There should not be any ROE reguarding russia. It looks like Vietnam again and the last engagement with taliban.

Sup bois

What interesting is that the CIA does not have ROE even when they communicate with USA military because they can go and hit russia because they are not part of any military. I just throw this as a thought. I would like anyones input.

Also Ukraine is one big open field! Like drones see everything in Ukraine. So mobile artillery has its place its just that Ukraine is the worst possible example for every weapon invented... like they have no trees, no hills and on a clear day you probably easily see the entire front with a few 100 drones.

My Russian wife is a lovely person, supports Ukraine.

DAMN TROLL'S.

Don’t think they where looters, well not to me any how’s. Just some mullets taking a big white sign saying follow me to are plush bedroom it’s got a king size mattress, . .. 💙💛Slava Ukraini . Hope your better soon take care ❤💛💚

M777 are pulled by the nose, not unloaded. It bothers me i know this. . Howitzers need bunkers, with lids.

Did the list of damaged equipment include two Ukraine trees?

I have to disagree with you and the Kremlin watcher a bit about the appointment of the new Defense Minister as "coup insurance." Keep in mind that coups do not always originate at the top level. Often, they are started by mid-level officers who have felt stymied by the brass higher up. For instance, Muammar Gaddafi of Libya was a colonel when he launched his coup. In a way, this reshuffling may actually make a coup by mid-level officers more likely, due to increased isolation of Putin and his new man from the military as a whole. Of course, Russia is not Libya, so the circumstances may not be the same.

If Russia's economy fails after the end of the war, do you think they can be offered aid with the qualifier that nukes get handed over? Aid for nukes thing? Too mercenary?

Big question here who can replace them the fastest.. Especially troops. Weapons are no good if no one can use them. How long does it take to train the people. We all know Ukraine will lose this war in last we put troops on the ground and then that's nuclear war.. And we all know the mad doctrum

I have to ask from all your contacts in Ukraine and around the world. Do you think Ukraine can win this war or will Russia keep the land its already has .

I think it's a Russian plot. Blame it on Putin 😂