That is just shy of 3000 people lost in 2 days! I hope the average russian realizes what Putin is throwing away for his ego. They have to catch on eventually.
Putin is effectively destroying most of his ground force equipment. Russia will take decades to replace, if they are ever able to replace this equipment. Equally, Putin has destroyed the Russian economy for years. I suspect China may "own" them through loans.
its been 2 and a half years, i wouldnt bet on it. With the russian Tribal mentality id be surprised if they dont stop till Nato troops are using the kremlins toilets.
@@davidl.7317 Hi David my sister is a Giants fan. She went to school in NY. I live in Florida now but I'm from Philly so I'm an Eagles fan. Our team is good, but our coaches seem to be special needs.....as long as Dallas does not win, I'm fine. Take care man!
Was America worried about future normalizing relations with Germany in June of 1944? No they were intent on destroying its ability to wage war. This is the strategy of Ukraine and should be of its supporters. Far too often we have heard of late of politicians still discussing negotiated peace and concerns about restoring relations with ruzzia post this conflict. These are foolish ideas at best and at worst indicate some form of complicity with ruzzia to those who espouse them.
The sound is ok JP Oh and I see the JAMES t-shirt Those who feel the breath of sadness Sit down next to me Those who find they're touched by madness Sit down next to me Those who find themselves ridiculous Sit down next to me One of my fave songs ever...
High losses indeed. I remember 66 as the highest number when talking about artillery. This might not be highest number, but I use it as a personal yard stick.
HelloJonathan and ATP team. Have a great Sunday 😊 Cheers Some thoughts: Gerasimov is the sole remaining professional soldier who has overseen the war since the beginning. We ought to throw out the western concept of casualties having any impact on Russian thinking.The Ukrainian line in donbass is crumbling slowly and steadily. If Putin is willing to ignore the kursk oblast and focus on the Donbass he may well consider it worth it. Putin seems to believe that no significant injection of military equipment will be made this year. His greatest ally Joe Biden will protect the Russian Hinterland from major strikes until November. He may be calculating that even a Kemala Harris win will not alter the American position. Europe is essentially supine allowing his air assets to out flank the Ukraine air defense. He has tested this and may exploit this window later. Next year his air attacks will be in the hundreds a night instead of 50s. In 2025 the bled out Ukraine army will be ripe for collapse in a summer offensive after Ukraine is debilitated by the nightly drone strikes. Remember there is no fresh influx of Ukraine manpower unless the refugees in Europe and America are shipped back.Putin is harvesting able bodied men from Africa and possibly east Asia. He may plan for 3 more years of war with China and BRICS support.
Had to chuckle at the bit about Gerasimov having a "tough" conversation with Putin. Gerasimov is a yes man pure and simple. He doesn't know what a tough conversation is and, if he did, he would have one because that would be the end of him because he would have to tell Putin that the Ukrainian war cannot be won. Much like Germany's generals in WW2 he can't do that, and Russians will continue to die for nothing as a result
Id like to hear Trent Telenkos take on these ammo dump attacks The attacks will not have affected the Russians production of ammo but surely it will lead to logistics difficulties of getting ammo and the bigger missiles to the front line? The bigger stuff is likely delivered by rail, so I guess that the shipments could be relocated to other areas but won't that cause further logistics issues?
I read somewhere once that if a terrorist hit the right 11 substations in the US at the right time, they could drop the entire US energy grid for weeks. I bet Russias is similar due to all the corruption. I think if Ukraine hits it at the right time the can do great harm. Well see and hope. Thanks JP.
My goodness 😮 What happened? The orcs are throwing in the kitchen sink. Huge personnel losses and equipment as well. How much longer can the orcs carry on like this?
Months ago I remember seeing shoigu and others touring a munitions factory, where fab bomb parts and the assembling of shahed drones was being shown by the factory boss .... who also had a name tag around his neck which told us exactly where this factory was. Everyone made fun of this guy (& the guy who posted this publicity video) A massive security oversight. I've been wondering when this place might get a night-time drone visit ?😝 💥Bosch 💥
Denys does a cool trick to get out of the way. He cuts out his background. He is just head and shoulders, no box. Even cooler he sits in a swivel chair and turns to narrow profile when the action is down right corner
900 fabs this is insane number and most of them are hitting the front line and even if you are in a trench or foxhole or a bunker I don’t think you have a lot of chances surviving at least you have injuries I can’t understand how many losses must Ukr have or all this fabs completely missed the targets.
Maybe the Orcs will start spreading out their ammo dumps over a larger area. It will make them harder to take out in a single strike. But it will take more people for guard duty, increased time of transportation and be more complex to keep track of the ammo.
Can Russia still replace troops? The casualties are good for Ukraine, but if Russia can still funnel in replacements, then we still have a ways to go. If the numbers from August to the present are close, then they've lost about 52000 since August at 1000 per day. If they have 500000 troops still in Ukraine, then 10% of their forces have been eliminated. If the losses are closer to 1200 per day, then we're looking at over 62000 losses. Even with mercenaries, I don't think this can last long. If we knew the true Ukrainian losses, then they may be able to withstand another 2 years.
Early war there were estimates that 1.5k daily loses exceeded their ability to move new people to the lines. Attrition faster than they can reallocate. Not sure if this is still the case.
Hearing about the missile blowing up in the silo made me snigger. Every time Putin threatens to go nuclear I have muttered 'what with'. Given the state of the Russian vehicles and facilities why would nuclear be better?
From the map it seems that Russia's port facilities in the Caspian Sea, where the Iranian missiles were delivered, are within reach of Ukraine's drones. Not that I'm suggesting anything, of course, but .....
Some detail that is not mentioned very mutch by the commentators about these ammo depot incidents. It could be possible that the most valuable asset that got lost by these incidents is actually not the ammunition, which could be replaced, but the workforce maintaining these depot sites. If these sites are maintained by conscripts, which could be very likely, then the personal losses could have a very serious impact on the political situation inside of russia.
Seems like timing can't get any better for Ukraine to do something in kherson south of dnipro. I keep wondering why we never hear about transport helicopters and or vehicles capable of crossing river as Russians must have few troops by spit and other areas there. Any thoughts?
From Politico: "Zelensky was urged not to invade Kursk. He did it anyway" As per the piece Zelensky alone took the decision at the beginning of the year being questioned by Zaluzhny "once you have the bridgehead, what then?" but he never got a clear answer from Zelensky feeling that the whole thing was a gamble. "Others who opposed the offensive included the highly respected Emil Ishkulov. commander of Ukraine's 80th Air Assault Brigade. He was dismissed in July amid protests from high-ranking officers who called for him to be kept in post." In an unprecedented step the high-ranking officers went public and posted a protest video on social media.
Surovikon must be getting worried being in charge of air defence. 3 munitions depots and an airfield on one week Are all the air defences around Putin's palaces instead of protecting these bases
History will tell. But you have to take risks sometimes. It was another demonstration of Ukrainians' ability to maneuver across large swaths of territory. That is helpful for maintaining Western support. It has caused some degree of panic in Russian society and upheaval to the ru military. They've taken many prisoners and gained some initiative. Clearly, there are some positives. They've also lost troops and equipment that may have been used elsewhere. And they aren't out safely yet, so I have concern for that. From my couch, I simply want to support them and hope they know what they're doing.
