Updated 2024 SEC Football Win Projections w/KFord Ratings 

SEC will cannibalize each other and the committee will screw the hell out of them. Strength of schedule should mean a lot.

Boy, I have heard all the hyperoble around the Gators' schedule but I had never heard it put like this. When you say we have to play half of the top 11 in the last 5 weeks, that is just ...man. When you put it that way, if we manage to be 6-6 and go to a bowl, I'm saying give Billy an extension. lol

Just remember when talking OU Vs Texas. OU 11 - UT 4. Over last 15 years. Yes it’s a tough game and anything can happen but that’s barely a rival type schedule if at all.

Ou with only 30 percent chance at beating texas discredits this whole thing.

I do have to laugh that he has UT's conference sched at 14th in the conference when they play GA, Bama, OU, FL and KY

Always good content cousin Mike BOOMER!

Ok so Kentucky practically has owned Florida, even in Gainesville as of lately, and definitely has owned Louisville as well but this guy has them with a 31 percent chance to beat FL, and 50 percent to beat Louisville?? Thats hilarious. I swear all these dudes do is take numbers and project them out, well numbers dont always tell the story. Watching the games and how well coached each team matters, and talent. Florida might beat Kentucky this year, but as from what ive seen Kentucky is a better program, with more talent, so im pretty confident in their ability to go into Gainesville and beat Florida. This isn't Urban meyers gators. And UK just skull drags loserville almost every year.

The Bog 12 is 9 - 6 in the 2020’s, 1990’s big 12-18 sec 28. So a good idea of what’s been going on between the conferences. It’s not like Oklahoma has been playing in A high school league. Doing it week in and week out is the difference. OU probably has 3 tougher games on their schedule than what they are used to having on their schedule.

Just be you y’all. Just be you! We love ya!

Great content guys keep it coming

We're almost back baby

In a neutral site, id take Mizz, Tennessee, Bama, Georgia, and Ole Miss all to beat Texas. Texas has one good year and now they are unbeatable to a lot of people. This is the same coach and team that was losing 5 games or so a couple years back in the weak Big 12.

Mike Elko SZN - watch out!

K Ford, your model will be wrong about Oklahoma. That's you not doing enough research on your part.

TN 10 - 2, 11 - 1, maybe 12 - 0. Vegas has us at 9.5. Love your music Mike at the start.

Probably should let your guy know next year's SEC schedule will mirror this year's.

Discussions like this are always good fun, but let's face it. The figures assigned to come up with these projections are all arbitrary. Sure, they can pull metrics like "returning production," but there are multiple different ways to even calculate a single metric like that, and then the weight that such a metric plays into the final prediction is, well, arbitrary. Predicting win loss records isn't a science that you can actually measure and calculate like mass, velocity, or acceleration. Humans playing on a playing field aren't a set of numbers in a video game. Sports statistics are a description of what has happened in the past, not a prediction of what will happen in the future.

As a Michigan fan, I can't wait to welcome Texas to the Big House and Ann Arbor, Michigan. I hope they bring plenty of bandages because when the game is over, they will be bruised, bloody and beaten! They are fix'n to learn what smashmouth football is all about!

So why do you have Oklahoma ranked higher than Ole Miss and have their defense ranked 15th Ole Miss ranked 16th, then you have Oklahoma ranked 15th on offense and Ole Miss ranked 7th . Also special teams you have Oklahoma ranked 97th to Ole Miss 26th.

We haven't seen it yet with ole miss ....... 3rd most SEC wins in the last 3 years. 2 of 3 of those years 10+ win seasons. Returning a 3rd year QB and the top overall receiving core in the country. Not to mention the top portal class. Fix the model.

OU 14 Texas 4. That’s the series record over the last 15 years. Just thought I’d share that since people probably think it’s the other way around. Oklahoma has been beater and way way way more consistent with multiple coaches than Texas and it’s not even close. Big 12 championships OU 14 Texas 4. There is no question what program will be the winningest and more consistent program because it has been for the past 50 years. The trend is t just going to change. BV as a coach has a better record than Sark. It’s taken sark over a decade to win double digit wins. It’s taken BV 2 years. There are so many facts based on 50 years of history which program is better prepared to enter into the SEC. It’s not even arguable. They may have a better record next year but lose to us again and still ranked higher when the two teams schedules are completely opposite of each other. Where OU has one of the toughest in the SEC Texas has one of the easiest.

Yea. Goodnight ark

Everyone knows vandy will dominate this conference

Oklahoma and Georgia 11-1. Meet in rematch in Atlanta ga for SEC tile game 🏈 OU get revenge on georgia

KFord, Miss. States schedule is way harder as Georgias. Not crying about it, just saying .... prove me wrong !

Dawgs will be undefeated

Razorbacks beat Texas

I am an old OU fan, and I wish I had a dollar for every time that Texas was hyped up to be a championship team. I would be very wealthy. Models are not worth spit. Texas will fold like a wet sheet as soon as the season starts. I will take Texas Tech over Texas this year.

Mizzou beat tennesee and kentucky bad last year so no big deal.

South Carolina is not far from being in company with Vandy. SC should go to the ACC and they might get to a bowl. Lol

Lmao Ga has beat Bama 1 times out of 5 and Georgia is getting that dawg ass whipped again,they won’t be able to defend the Bama offense

Ga 12-0

Sure do wish Kelley Ford would slow down!!! Can’t keep up with the fast yelling

Texas fans think winning 10 games and beating Bama is like a championship. Vince Young was a long time ago Texas fans. A friendly reminder, 14 of the last 21 titles come from the SEC, 1 from the Little 12.

yall need to slow down on ole miss. Smoke and mirrors.

GA will be 8-4 They have the hardest schedule in school history.. They are losing week one to Clemson

Just started the pod. This guy needs to share what he's smoking if he thinks ALA only has a 52% chance against OU at the end of the season. It'll be a blowout. OU will not be good this year. 6-6 to 9-3, and 9-3 would mean Arnold is a top 3 QB, & the 5 new Oline guys gel perfectly from day 1.

Boomer Sooners Baby

Texas is overrated every damn year. This year is no different

Go pull up Georgia fans before and after playing bama in the last 15 years 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 and you poor fools keep swelling them overated heads up

Alabama > Georgia and Texas

Alabama 13-0

Adding the win percentages isn't the right way to go about it... you should instead run a monte carlo simulation on all those various probabilities

I appreciate these guys for what they do but I will always believe that college football is probably the least friendly sport to this type of statistical analysis. For instance, his model gives Penn State a boost for having Drew Allar and his production from last year returning. It does not consider the fact that Drew Allar is terrible and is a liability for the team. It doesn't consider things like schedule order and how that affects momentum and wear and tear, or the wife variance in stadium environments. Models like these are basically irrelevant to this sport, but they are still fun to talk about.