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What are Futures? 

The Plain Bagel
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You've probably heard of the futures market before, or maybe you've seen future/forward prices mentioned in the news, but what are these numbers? Some magic number predicting future prices? Well...kind of! We'll discuss the topic in today's video.
Intro/Outro Music: www.bensound.com/royalty-free...
Episode Music:
Faster Does It by Kevin MacLeod is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution license (creativecommons.org/licenses/...)
Source: incompetech.com/music/royalty-...
Artist: incompetech.com/
This video was sponsored by Skillshare
DISCLAIMER:
This channel is for education purposes only and is not affiliated with any financial institution. Richard Coffin is not registered to provide investment advice and as such does not provide recommendations on The Plain Bagel - those looking for investment advice should seek out a registered professional. Richard is not responsible for investment actions taken by viewers.

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17 окт 2019

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Комментарии : 335   
@ThePlainBagel
@ThePlainBagel 4 года назад
Happy Friday! Visit skl.sh/theplainbagel 3 to try Skillshare premium for two months free!
@NotShowingOff
@NotShowingOff 4 года назад
The Plain Bagel I enjoyed this. Also, I wanted to ask you, can you do a video on stock buybacks and how that affects share prices and how corporate boards are incentivized to do this than invest in infrastructure. It was illegal for a while till the 80s. You’ll probably have to go back a while, to the last depression.
@tekziotonzi3248
@tekziotonzi3248 4 года назад
Sophisticated form of gambling masquerading as economics for a lamean such as me.
@OffGridInvestor
@OffGridInvestor Год назад
Should've done a Ron Burgundy when you had the tickers on screen. "I need MORE GRAPHICS!!!"
@OffGridInvestor
@OffGridInvestor Год назад
@@tekziotonzi3248 futures are real world REAL USE things in the markets of the PHYSICAL goods. My dad knew a farmer who lived near us, HUGE acres and he would buy futures contracts for his grain to lock in his prices so he knew exactly what his profits would be and had worked out his expenses in advance, often fertiliser and diesel. If his yield wasn't great, he'd buy some off another on if the local farmers to get the exact right tonnage.
@SangoProductions213
@SangoProductions213 4 года назад
Basically: The promise to buy something in the future with a certain price determined right now.
@NickPeitsch
@NickPeitsch 4 года назад
SangoProductions213 bingo buddy 👍
@user-ss6pf8ld2l
@user-ss6pf8ld2l 4 года назад
Or sell
@SangoProductions213
@SangoProductions213 4 года назад
@@user-ss6pf8ld2l ...That's implied by the word buy. You can't really buy something that isn't being sold.
@user-ss6pf8ld2l
@user-ss6pf8ld2l 4 года назад
SangoProductions213 that makes sense
@efaesfefse9236
@efaesfefse9236 4 года назад
Thanks, this helped me understand better.
@thenorwegianinvestor6893
@thenorwegianinvestor6893 4 года назад
This dude deserves so much more attention on RU-vid. I've been subbed for along time. And his videos always bring value. And it's free!
@addiosnia
@addiosnia 4 года назад
Lever du i Norge? Jeg ikke, man jeg snakker en bit norsk
@saadnagi785
@saadnagi785 4 года назад
As a starting, the best advice I can offer is to conduct due diligence on each and every trading system, platform, educational course, account manager, and brokerage firm you are considering. And I'd recommend Yuril Zubong and the SQB AMAC strategy for anyone who is still trying to find an edge in the market. If you are still losing money then you need this strategy
@mrrenev4217
@mrrenev4217 3 года назад
Well he's at 217k now, doubled them. Hope you went long.
@ominous_stranger
@ominous_stranger 3 года назад
I've heard of the Swedish invester.
@pedalesmexicali
@pedalesmexicali 3 года назад
I used to watch Graham but I think he was only talking his opinions. No value. I found this guy and his stuff is informative.
@TrapperBV
@TrapperBV 4 года назад
I’m drunk. He sounds smart. Gonna short gold tomorrow right?
@khit007
@khit007 4 года назад
lmfaoooo I hope you didn't end up doing that xD
@09198384558
@09198384558 3 года назад
Well he's drunk so probably can't remember or maybe went long for gold lol
@johnmoney929
@johnmoney929 3 года назад
@Joshua Lister I'll pay you for the price you shorted lol
@johnmoney929
@johnmoney929 3 года назад
@Joshua Lister geez didn't know your grandmother was the queen lol
@carlosveritas7791
@carlosveritas7791 4 года назад
Incredible, thanks for the video. Been a sub for some time and I really appreciate your videos. It's really difficult to find a good quality video with an explanation coming form someone that knows his stuff. Thanks dude.
@nerobernardino88
@nerobernardino88 4 года назад
Futures are something I wasted. Am sad now.
@henrytep8884
@henrytep8884 4 года назад
You still have present. Don't squander that
@Lizini
@Lizini Месяц назад
Still sad or did you recover?
@nerobernardino88
@nerobernardino88 Месяц назад
@@Lizini I didn't recover, I just learned to live with it - kinda like how my generation is coping with the world we're getting.
@bluryourfaceoff
@bluryourfaceoff 4 года назад
I think a deeper dive into the math behind the finance would be very interesting.
@MatthewChenIsAwesome
@MatthewChenIsAwesome 4 года назад
+1
@poisonpotato1
@poisonpotato1 2 года назад
FV=PV(1+i)^n
@G0sentrick
@G0sentrick 4 года назад
9:05 "Hit the bell icon if you want notifications about future videos" ... lol
@Squilfinator
@Squilfinator 3 года назад
Free investment
@techno_tuna
@techno_tuna 4 года назад
After reading multiple articles and getting lost in the jargon, thanks for having this make sense in as simple and concise a way as possible.
@philippecourtemanche1994
@philippecourtemanche1994 4 года назад
Always love seeing a plain bagel video pop up in my feed.
@shantoo4206
@shantoo4206 4 года назад
I rarely comment on videos, but this guy has explained it very well that I will make an exception here. You deserve more recognition and subscribers.
@martinezcolonh
@martinezcolonh 4 года назад
Another great explanation video from my favourite business channel
@GenExDividendInvestor
@GenExDividendInvestor 4 года назад
Helpful, thanks. Don't think I've seen anyone tackle futures on RU-vid :)
@BrokenSymetry
@BrokenSymetry 2 года назад
Very detailed and specific, yet easy to follow even for a beginner like me. Love your videos!
@PassiveIncomeTom
@PassiveIncomeTom 4 года назад
Interesting topic and thanks for sharing this!👍
@MrTZhang
@MrTZhang 4 года назад
all of your videos are fantastic, appreciate it!!
@bulalirozani4392
@bulalirozani4392 4 года назад
Thanks for the video, highly informative. Keep up the great work
@nachannachle2706
@nachannachle2706 4 года назад
Great presentation, as always, Richard! :)
@user-oz4cf9ph2j
@user-oz4cf9ph2j 3 года назад
Thank you sir! This video just cleared all of my doubts and questions out on the basis risk.
@vivekinfocus
@vivekinfocus Год назад
This was extremely helpful and highly accessible! Thank you so much!
@stachowi
@stachowi 4 года назад
Your videos are amazing, you know how to teach with just enough detail but not making it simplistic.
@nturahovictor7401
@nturahovictor7401 10 месяцев назад
Impresive! I am preparing for the CFA Level 3 exam and this video just helped me put a lot of stuff into perspective.
@johnpark7612
@johnpark7612 2 года назад
Thank yiu for this simple explanation!!! Never understood this until just now
@3tail3tail16
@3tail3tail16 4 года назад
Thanks man, got an exam on the topic tomorrow you Saved me an hour
@cliffgeo
@cliffgeo 2 года назад
Even after 2 years I still came back to try & learn about these topics. Thank you!
@aldrinkolakkal3034
@aldrinkolakkal3034 3 года назад
keep up the good work nd keep making these informative videos....appreciate it mate :)
@Tkellz62
@Tkellz62 4 года назад
Thanks for making this video. I work doing oil hedging using futures on a daily basis so it's cool to see you guys cover what I do.
@NullNoxproduction
@NullNoxproduction 3 года назад
Thank you for the information 😃, very useful for the foundation information for Futures. 💎⭐️
@sweeter62
@sweeter62 4 года назад
Thanks for sharing good info on future. Can you do a video on oil futures & how to read oil futures chart?
@alonhoresh520
@alonhoresh520 3 года назад
Finally a high quality explanation, thank you
@ultraali453
@ultraali453 Год назад
Thank you for the detailed explanation
@salardz
@salardz 3 года назад
Great video. Would you also explain what is macroprudential policy tools in your future videos. Thanks.
@hkniklas9150
@hkniklas9150 5 месяцев назад
Love this. Short and easy to follow. When explained this way it expands your knowledge further more easily. 🙏 I am an OAP woman getting to grips with this 😂
@damianetson2619
@damianetson2619 4 месяца назад
Thank you so much for your content. I really learn a lot here.
@danielshaikhali5108
@danielshaikhali5108 4 года назад
Love your channel :)
@MrLeo625
@MrLeo625 4 года назад
Very well explained👍🏻
@emmakupfer9648
@emmakupfer9648 3 года назад
Thanks for the video! I have the following question, could you give me an example for a deal on the commodity market in the future and one for the spot market?
@pmanija
@pmanija 4 года назад
Can you cover Mini Futures, Turbo Warrants, Tracker and Leverage Certificates
@EricSmyth4Christ
@EricSmyth4Christ 4 года назад
Omg yes
@philipv1875
@philipv1875 4 года назад
Richard, thank you for your hard work and educational content that you provide. This channel is the only "Plain Bagel" I've come across so far and your narration style as well as information is invaluable. Your channel can be easily compared to TheFutur (business of design), Like Stories of Old (philosophy), or PiXimperfect (photoshop) by the depth of your content. Should you care about the overhyped useless channels like Tai Lopez's one, please, focus on what you do best and you'll beat them easily. Like you said, investors can't wait for 10 years to ripe the fruits and quit holding their assets for 4 years only. Keep it up!
@MrAny9000
@MrAny9000 4 года назад
you're the first youtuber who i will turn on the notification bell for
@nathaniealpeart6368
@nathaniealpeart6368 4 месяца назад
Thank you!
@deepmind3996
@deepmind3996 4 года назад
Bagel many thanks. Two requests can you cover 1) how to trade Futures perhaps using a live/demo trade and 2) cover LEAPS how to trade those also, are they accessible to retail traders and if so on comparable terms to professional traders etc... Thanks Mr Bagel!
@nicolaspilot
@nicolaspilot 4 года назад
Very good!
@xzjulius
@xzjulius Год назад
I was really here when this channel started. I'm soo happy to see this lol
@charlottegordon7993
@charlottegordon7993 2 года назад
FANTASTIC EXPLANATION
@Balaji-gs1tl
@Balaji-gs1tl 2 года назад
you sir should definitely open a channel with deep explanations of these concepts :0
@robbiepatton6735
@robbiepatton6735 3 года назад
THANK YOU
@koneniyoudhister6542
@koneniyoudhister6542 Год назад
Nice shirt bro!
@bogdanprokopenko23
@bogdanprokopenko23 2 года назад
THNAKS ALOT
@MertSu66
@MertSu66 2 года назад
Thank you
@samuelakpenyi8125
@samuelakpenyi8125 2 года назад
Thanks for this
@marshaesmith
@marshaesmith 2 года назад
This video is so good. THANK YOU!
@lueddie86
@lueddie86 2 года назад
On my channel I have videos showing how I trade futures live. Your support would be greatly appreciated
@kimcee4544
@kimcee4544 2 года назад
Great explanation thanks:)
@lueddie86
@lueddie86 2 года назад
On my channel I have videos showing how I trade futures live. Your support would be greatly appreciated
@me-myself-i787
@me-myself-i787 2 месяца назад
5:10 What's the difference between a cash-settled future and a contract for difference?
@jeske100
@jeske100 3 года назад
Good video. But you should have gone into more detail about the daily mark-to-market.
@happykaura
@happykaura Год назад
Great video!
@samot-sari
@samot-sari 2 года назад
Reading books about Futures and having a headache already coz I can't understand. Now you explained it in just 10 minutes. Amazing! Thank you!
@davids6271
@davids6271 4 года назад
Congrats on teaming up with Ted-ed on their latest video, love your stuff :D
@kylenetherwood8734
@kylenetherwood8734 4 года назад
I noticed that too
@VirdiTube
@VirdiTube 2 года назад
Really good and clearly explained
@lueddie86
@lueddie86 2 года назад
On my channel I have videos showing how I trade futures live. Your support would be greatly appreciated
@Jay-bz3df
@Jay-bz3df 2 года назад
now i finally know how the one guy in squid game got reallly broke really fast
@qPHJ270
@qPHJ270 4 года назад
i never watch so many videos from a single channel. thank you mate!! now i am studying finance and your videos helps me a LOT!
@rossfriedman6570
@rossfriedman6570 Год назад
You can have a spot price for a given point in the future, which is what implied volatility dictates at a given period in time, correct? Does it work for commodities and bonds the exact same?
@danrichmond5405
@danrichmond5405 3 года назад
Excellent. I have an inside tip that owing to a poor harvest the frozen concentrated orange market is going to fly.
@csanton3946
@csanton3946 2 года назад
The fact that futures deal with prices in the future that nobody is 100 percent sure because of a lot of elements driving a price of an asset is in itself a risk already, adding a component of being able to lever a future position makes one party be tempted to borrow that money so he or she can magnify the gain he or she is hoping to get and when things don't happen to wat hey expect, it also magnifies their losses on their equity or margin. If you put your fate on Future + Leverage you are pretty much risking it all
@rogerguzman7004
@rogerguzman7004 4 года назад
Hey plain bagel, Love your videos! What are some of your favorite books that helped you learn this knowledge?
@SeptemRoptem
@SeptemRoptem 3 года назад
You're talking to a bagel
@businesstalk4129
@businesstalk4129 3 года назад
@@SeptemRoptem LOL
@countdown2xstacy
@countdown2xstacy 3 года назад
This guy is the best !
@noma6214
@noma6214 4 года назад
First time I listened to a vid on futures felt like I was watching a bit of Greek mixed with English. Wanted to cry. Let's see now. Just watched, hallelujah! I now understand futures! Thank you!!!!!!!!!!!!
@shreyanpurwar1085
@shreyanpurwar1085 4 года назад
nice video! Could you do a video explaining how certain types of risks, like an executive involved in a scandal or a company doing something stupid, can affect a stock's price? I know you went over it in 'Understanding Investment Uncertainty', but it was brief. I want to know why certain things (that aren't so obvious) drives the stock price up or down. Thanks!
@jackstone2176
@jackstone2176 9 месяцев назад
It's called tail risk. When a black swan event happens, it increases the implied volatility of the stock. This increased volatility drives wide swings in both directions.
@fcfdroid
@fcfdroid 2 года назад
This Guy knows what he's talking about! Good sheet 😎
@konstantintouev4781
@konstantintouev4781 4 года назад
Because of you I am learning and loving finances so much! I will probably study finances instead of computer science in university!
@skullbatch2054
@skullbatch2054 4 года назад
Study both
@nomms
@nomms 4 года назад
Fintech dudes make bank, do both.
@Vasanistis12
@Vasanistis12 4 года назад
k Koko study mathematics, take all statistics and optimization courses, then make a master in financial engineering or mathematical finance
@StealthKillerXIII
@StealthKillerXIII 4 года назад
Why not both? I'm a finance major with a computer science minor and I love it, especially knowing that both things can work together so well in the real world.
@paultubbs3510
@paultubbs3510 4 года назад
Do a video on the complicated stuff, with formulas. "Could fill a video on its own" so ...make it plz?
@louiscese
@louiscese 8 месяцев назад
what’s the difference between futures and options ?
@muhammadaulia5298
@muhammadaulia5298 5 месяцев назад
so one of function is we can hedge our speculative asset such as crypto to the futures contract that has negative correlation within crypto so we hedged against the risk of the crypto. is it the case?
@queenofthesouth6832
@queenofthesouth6832 11 месяцев назад
Do you need to know the finer details on a futures contract before you bid on it?
@petar5688
@petar5688 3 года назад
Can you please explain why higer gdp per capita doesn't mean higher salaries and what influences salaries in different countries?
@franciscocerveira9323
@franciscocerveira9323 4 года назад
How does it work when the contract expires? There are several options , right? Rollover to the next or actually take the commodity if you are long? Do you mind explaining please?
@mohammadrahimpoor513
@mohammadrahimpoor513 2 года назад
that was very informative thank you f
@lueddie86
@lueddie86 2 года назад
On my channel I have videos showing how I trade futures live. Your support would be greatly appreciated
@XR4turbo
@XR4turbo 4 года назад
Unrelated to this video, but what do you think of Share Repurchasing, on the whole? For example, doing a little digging I determined that Boeing spent something like $15Bn between 2013 and 2019 on share repurchasing, and only $3Bn on developing the troubled 737 Max airplane. The incentive structures at the executive level seem troubling.
@Mellow4202
@Mellow4202 7 месяцев назад
So is it like the same thing as spot trading. Can I just place a trade directly off of MT4/5, tradingview, ninjatrader ECT. after doing my fundamental and technical analysis.
@Shecalissa
@Shecalissa Месяц назад
Love it so much my favorite woo🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
@Nuganics
@Nuganics 4 года назад
If there a large negative interest rates it will turn these upside down as cost to hold will be a benefit?
@queenofthesouth6832
@queenofthesouth6832 11 месяцев назад
i thought the price say on a crude oil Depth of Market Chart was the actual price of oil at that time? Is it just the price on the contract then?
@sergest-amand1164
@sergest-amand1164 3 года назад
Tkx for these ultraclear explanations:). I often hear the words short and long on financial channels. Do these words necessarily refer to futures, or do they sometimes apply to corporate shares?
@ThePlainBagel
@ThePlainBagel 3 года назад
They apply to both! You can long (buy) or short (sell now without initially having a position to sell) both stocks and futures.
@sergest-amand1164
@sergest-amand1164 3 года назад
@@ThePlainBagel TY!
@TabithaWanjiku06
@TabithaWanjiku06 3 года назад
thank you. very well explained. that baker is making very plain bagels
@limi7991
@limi7991 2 года назад
best youtuber ever
@yosephkurabachew6539
@yosephkurabachew6539 2 года назад
underrated channel
@pratikmaitra8543
@pratikmaitra8543 4 года назад
Great video as usual. I am wondering in the future long position what if instead of selling at the market price I hold onto the share. Would it not be a wise idea when the market price for the share has fallen and selling it immediately nets me a loss?
@nachannachle2706
@nachannachle2706 4 года назад
You need to have an HORIZON when investing, especially in commodities and assets with prices that fluctuate a lot. The duration of the contract is that horizon. If you plan to hold onto the shares, then you should probably get a "longer" future contract. If you want certainty (and avoid the volatility) for you purchases/sales down the line, get into futures contracts; since they can work kinda like a fixed-rate mortgage in times of uncertainty. Otherwise, just dollar cost average your purchases/sales over time.
@michaelsmith4904
@michaelsmith4904 3 года назад
Here's something I don't understand about futures that I hope somebody can answer me. When stocks are bought and sold, every share that is bought comes out of the account of the seller and goes to the account of the buyer. But in the futures market, for every contract that is bought there must be a corresponding seller, and both long and short positions must be held either until the contract expires, or until both sides net out their positions. This means that in every big market move (where due to leverage "big" could be only 1% on the underlying) there is of necessity the fact that half the contracts in the market are losers. And these losses can be spread out a bit by the losers netting their transactions during the move, but this only shifts part of the losses to somebody else. Who is willingly taking these positions? In some markets like commodities there are producers and consumers of the underlying which imply some natural supply and demand, but in something like index futures why does it seem there is an inexhaustible supply of traders willing to take a loss? Are there really a lot of people constantly hedging their portfolios? Are new futures traders starting out as fast as existing unlucky ones are getting washed out of the market? Are there market makers who can somehow effectively arbitrage between the spot market and the futures market so as to effectively provide liquidity to either side of the transaction without delta risk even when it would seem that a simple buyer or seller would be losing money? Is there some other explanation?
@dolebiscuit
@dolebiscuit Год назад
If you've ever traded futures on a volatile day, or during periods of low volume, you may have encouraged "slippage", where your entry or exit actually slips past your target price. This is because for you to sell a contract, someone has to be willing to buy it, and if there isn't enough buying volume at your sell price, it will slip past it until a buyer is found. Your order can also be rejected if it cannot be filled. As for why someone would be willing to buy on a downtrend or sell during a pump: Everyone wants to buy the dip, and no one can perfectly time the exact bottom (or top) of a move. And for the most part, if you have the margin required to survive drawdown, such as a hedge fund, you can wait it out and exit in profit eventually. That being said, there absolutely are days where price runs away; Tuesday and Wednesday this week when Powell talked to Senate committees, just before the broadcast started there were huge sell offs on the ES with very little resistance from buyers to slow it down. No one wants to jump in front of a moving train. Trying to find a buyer during that move would have likely resulted in massive slippage, though in this case that would have been beneficial to someone who shorted.
@user-wk5yy5dx9k
@user-wk5yy5dx9k 2 года назад
I like how this lad coordinated his glasses, shirt, and pants.
@news2hedz227
@news2hedz227 4 года назад
I wish he would've explianed the closing of the positions more thoroughly. I mean you don't actually buy it sell at the spot price afterwards...the broker handles this part right? I'd really like for someone to explain the logistics that actually go one behind the scenes.
@denmarkball7728
@denmarkball7728 9 месяцев назад
Love how the Baker, farmer and video guy are all the same person
@danialamin252
@danialamin252 4 года назад
Hard luck! for someone who made a future on oil, this year
@edgbarra
@edgbarra 4 года назад
Hi. I really like and appreciate your videos. Can you make a few on internacional trade? If not, can anyone recommend me a similar changes that makes that kind of videos? Thanks
@OffGridInvestor
@OffGridInvestor Год назад
Should've done a Ron Burgundy when you had the tickers on screen. "I need MORE GRAPHICS!!!"
@andrewrice3162
@andrewrice3162 4 года назад
Can you do a video on hedging?
@jeffbrownstain
@jeffbrownstain 4 года назад
This is legit my new favorite channel. I'm a 25 year old man for fucks sake. I'm far too late learning this stuff.
@kylenetherwood8734
@kylenetherwood8734 4 года назад
Is the derivative value differential over time differential?
@joecope9935
@joecope9935 2 года назад
I actually got into investing backwards. I started out by shorting naked futures options! 😋😎
@user-uj6oi6bg9z
@user-uj6oi6bg9z 2 года назад
>>>>
@bestsongs448
@bestsongs448 4 года назад
So is it basically like short stocks?Or the opposite?
@s.equilibrium.x7411
@s.equilibrium.x7411 2 года назад
So basically something like options for commodities?
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