3/10/24: Very Destructive Hurricane Season Expected 

yup/ lol

Yep Miami over here

Yeah the saharan dust def played a role in killing alot of storm developments this passed season for sure.

YES! I almost lost my sanity after Ida. Living in a home down to the studs, no kitchen for 1 yr, dealing with contractors in your home…when they show up, dealing with pets, price gouging, supply shortages, and not to mention fighting with insurance companies. Worse year of my life. Hurricanes hit in 1 day and devastate for so long after.

Bro i live in Miami and no offense we got lucky of getting hit by Ian it was supposed to hit here but the west coast of Florida l felted so bad for them

Tell me more about it. In detail. What did you experience? From the smallest detail to the grand scheme of things. And, how did you adapt to present day? I live by the gulf.

@@florindagonzalez5700 I’m leaving Fla.

I arrived to help a couple of weeks after Ian. I couldn't believe how F'ed up the traffic still was. One of my supervisors actually yelled at a cop who happened to pull up alongside our car after being stuck in traffic (again). But he seemed to know is was a good hearted ribbing. Good luck. I've already advised my friends and family to move. We moved north to Erie in 18 and love it. No palm trees yet, but we now get surfers in around Christmas.

That’s crazy. I can’t imagine living through that hurricane aftermath. I live in north Georgia .

Laura and then Delta hit us here. Laura even messed up northern parts of Louisiana because big trees fell down on power lines, roads, and homes. My sister`s roof nearly got ripped off. We could see light through the ceiling in the living room. It was scary. @@dariusparris2698

@@dariusparris2698 I’m in southeastern Louisiana and northern GA is so attractive to me for some reason. Trying to convince my whole family to move there, but I know nothing about it😅

We took a direct hit from Ida and I said never again, but here we are…still finishing rebuilding the house. To hear forecast like this fills me with dread. We know it’s not if but when it will happen again. A lot of ppl stayed and regretting it, and like you said, they had to end up leaving anyway…no gas, no running water, no power, no municipal/health services. We were away for 4weeks after Ida. Ugh😑

Laura destroyed my home, the home I was raised and living in.. that storm bullseyed my place. I recorded a barometric pressure of 946 millibars, which is the threshold for category 5 storms, as the center of the eye moved overhead. I have no doubt that the wind I saw and experienced was at least 140-150mph, if not higher. It was absolutely wild to see the wind blowing that hard. My place was approximately 35 miles north of the Gulf of Mexico. So the storm was already dying and had been over land for 2 hrs before reaching my location, yet the pressure was 946 millibars. That tells me that Laura was indeed a Cat 5 but was labeled the highest possible Cat 4, which is bs. They knew it was more severe than they were saying bc whenever a Cat 5 makes landfall, the funding and federal response is much higher.

Same here!

I've seen several meteorologists predicting this type of hurricane season. I half hope they are all wrong, but that's highly unlikely

Hi neighbor. I am definitely paying attention too. I am not going to wait until hurricane season starts, I am refreshing my preps now. Hope we will not need it. Good luck everyone.

same

Good idea. We aren`t safe in central Louisiana either. We got hit TWICE in 2020! Lots of trees here so no power for over two weeks and no money for fuel and food spoiled. I think I had a heat stroke.

I don't blame you and that's why I stay in Augusta GA don't have to worry about any impacts from Hurricanes except for some wind & rain and the tornado threats on their right front quadrants when they make landfall on the Gulf Coast States like Florida Panhandle or the Gulf Coast of Alabama or even before they make landfall on the Gulf Coast depending on the size of these storms?? we don't have to worry about the flooding in my neck of the woods since we live on higher grounds but we do have to worry about the winds and the tornado threats which isn't too bad unless you don't stay in a sturdy structure? as far as the tornado threats? we really don't have to worry about those threats since the chances of getting hit by a tornado are pretty low especially in Hurricanes and Tropical Storms

I live in a camper and I went to my sister`s house when the hurricanes hit...but her house is on top of a big hill. The roof was nearly ripped off by Laura. We could see the sky in the living room and the porch was destroyed. My camper is between hills so it`s actually safer. When I got my stimulus FINALLY in November and Social Security I bought solar batteries for my freezers and a small fridge and eventually got one that can power a tiny window air conditioner enough to cool off plus a cheap gas generator. I was in hurricane Betsy in New Orleans in 1965. My dad and I got stranded. @@aprilbrooks1026

I'm in Pompano Beach and worried

Get ready. I live in the same area as well. I am a transplant from central FL which gets more impacts from hurricanes but climate change will change that over the years to come. Nobody around here is prepared. Junk scattered all over people's yards, untrimmed trees ,etc.

No matter how prepared we are, we can never be prepared for a hurricane, not what I see Maria did to my country in 2017,my God, I heard that crying like a woman giving birth to a child, we just have to pray God for his guidance blessings and protection, let's hope for the best!!!

You can't rule it out, but another major hurricane hitting SWFL would just feel like too soon. Then again, Wilma struck the year after Charley did. SWFL has had four major landfalls in the last 20 years: Charley (2004), Wilma (2005), Irma (2017), and Ian (2022). I believe that before Charley, you would have to go back to the 1960s to find another major hurricane landfall in SWFL. You cannot use these as an average rate of recurrence, however; hurricanes will go where they want to go, so you always have to prepare. Not to mention, it doesn't necessarily take an actual landfalling hurricane in the region to cause damage.

Probably dry and warm, nothing super extreme.

Yes, thank you for asking.

you must didn't watch and pay attention to the video? bcuz if you did watch and pay attention to the video? it shows you what's in store for New Orleans LA

Time to evacuate.

Are you an idiot?

He never said what's in store for new Orleans if u payed attention

Too soon to say with confidence, but you need to prepare.

Typically the stronger storms would go north of them, but that doesn't mean you should let down your guard.

Same here. We cannot afford to have another one after seeing the previous ones; Irma 2017, Michael 2018, nearly dodging a *missile* with Dorian in 2019, Ian in 2022 and Ida last year what they all done to home insurance rates. Another one this year will just make things ever worst.

So do you not have reading comprehension? Or do you not understand that "landfalls" and "being active" aren't equivalent?

@@antiksur8883 Blah blah blah anything to scare Simple Jacks like you into buying electric cars that don't work and shutters for a house that's never going to get hit by a Hurricane.

@@antiksur8883 Blah blah blah

We care when it continues to jack up home insurance rates.

Happens all the time. My first hurricane was the infamous Betsy in New Orleans in 1965. Nobody mentions that anymore. My dad was securing a job site and we got trapped there. I`ve been in about 15 more since, usually cat 1 & 2. Preparing is crucial. But they never do in that city. Nope....they blame others.

Thats wrong we prepare the people in new Orleans .I don't blame none but mother nature .do u live in new Orleans anyway

2022 was just a anomaly there’s nearly no other seasons like it

Don't forget to factor in unforseen circumstances. "Chance favors the prepared mind"

Honest I don't think so are you not looking at everything that's happening on and around earth?

Obviously you know very little to nothing about tropical weather.

There is no fear mongering. It is just giving a possible forecast so as to let us know what could happen. Be prepared.

For the Atlantic: 2017 - Costliest season on record, with one of the highest fatality rates in history for the Atlantic. 2018 - One of the worst hurricanes for Florida and one of very few Category 5 landfalls (Michael) and one of the worst for the Carolinas (Florence). 2019 - One of very few seasons with two Category 5s and featured a hurricane which is tied as the second strongest in the Atlantic, strongest in the open Atlantic, and the worst for the Bahamas (Dorian). 2020 - Highest number of named storms and tied for highest number of major hurricanes. 2021 - 3rd highest number of named storms. Featured one of the costliest and worst hurricanes for the US (Ida). 2022 - Fortunately average, but unfortunately one of the costliest and worst hurricanes for the US (Ian) and Canada (Fiona). 2023 - 4th highest number of named storms with 20 (despite an El Nino, which typically shoes half the number of storms that actually happens) and unprecedented two storms in the MDR in June. And that's just the Atlantic. Years like 2018, 2019 and 2023 were very bad years for other basins like the West and East Pacific and the North Indian too. Let alone the Southern Hemisphere. And the average number of storms for the Atlantic for the 1981-2010 period is 12 and for the 1991-2020 period is 14. Sure seems like we got more storms recently.

​@antiksur8883 Couldn't have put it better myself. If you look at even the sea surface temperatures in 2020 which gave us 30 named storms and compare it to now, 2020 looks WEAK 😢 really interested as to what will happen this year but I'm thinking nothing good. How anyone can think the number of storms we are seeing isn't increasing I have no idea, its there in black and white stats!

​@@LifeAccordingToMelHonestly, according to models, this year seems like a perfect confluence of favourable factors. A strong La Nina, anomalously high SSTs, low wind shear in the MDR and Caribbean, stronger Azores high over the open Atlantic, robust African monsoon which may lower African dust and increase potency of tropical waves.

@@antiksur8883 Yeah its all looking very favourable for a very dangerous and busy season. It was concerning how active it was last year during the el nino, 2022 was an odd season though, problem is we are dealing with numbers and conditions we've not observed before in enough detail to understand the magnitude of what is potentially about to happen. Not sure how much more everyone wants to go through before we collectively agree climate change isn't coming, its happening right now, and we need to adapt, prepare and educate ourselves instead of ignoring all of the facts.

Hurricane season is a lot more predictable that snow lmfao

Wow, and the times they predicted rightly? We don't hear you congratulating meteorologists then. It only seems like you care to comment when they don't get it quite right, huh. And, if you'd actually use your brain, you'd realise that prediction REQUIRES not knowing what happens in the future and making an educated guess.

There are lots of important uses for long range forecasts. Insurance, agricultural, tourism.

@@antiksur8883 So far I'm 100% accurate with my winter predictions because I predicted (using my brain) we would NOT get the 50" of snow and I didn't even know what happens in the future back when I made a educated guess. How would you have a clue who I congratulate? If this prediction is correct, stay tuned for my congratulations. For now Ta Ta.

​@@rjfetz1Wow, and the evidence you predicted it is where exactly? Your anecdote is indistinguishable from BS. And further, you didn't even mention how exactly you arrived at that prediction. At least Josh has the decency to actually state the factors and their values which allowed him to conclude an active 2024 season. Furthermore, you think the value of a good prediction is derived from if it the prediction comes true? No. There must a reason for a specific prediction. Predicting an event randomly and it matching what happens is not a good prediction. It's a coincidence.

Last year beat most forecasts despite an El Nino.

What was the numbers

Praise God! I will keep you all in prayer.

Live near or on the Outer Banks on the Carolina coast?

I’m calling it right now there’s going to be another I name storm that will become a major hurricane

We were extemely lucky with Dorian in 2019. We *dodged a missile* with that monster. Image if that thing had hit us with 185 mph sustained winds with 220 mph gusts in the Miami area.

@@ScorpioBornIn69 Bro it would’ve been swamp fest in Miami we would be under water

@@johnnyfrancois9491 And with absolute catetrophic damage no doubt with winds 185-220 mph!

@@ScorpioBornIn69 1 minute winds: 185 mph Gusts: 225 mph

They are at risk, but areas north are more at risk than usual.