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Accident Case Study: Blind Over Bakersfield 

Air Safety Institute
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Sponsored by SiriusXM Aviation (www.siriusxm.com/aviationweat....
Link to certificate of completion and ASI transcript: bit.ly/ACSBlindOverCert
On December 19, 2015, a Piper Lance carrying five occupants departs from San Jose, CA, en route to Henderson, NV. Despite a poor weather forecast, the pilot and his family are flying to their old hometown for a friend’s surprise party that evening. As conditions worsen along the route, the non-instrument rated pilot presses on, and eventually accepts an IFR clearance to fly into IMC - a decision that clinches the fate of the five on board.
Watch this accident recreation from the AOPA Air Safety Institute, where we seek to understand the circumstances that led to this tragic flight.

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5 дек 2018

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Комментарии : 1,8 тыс.   
@benlundgren3760
@benlundgren3760 10 месяцев назад
As a father I can’t imagine taking these types of risks
@GunHolsters
@GunHolsters Месяц назад
Just what I was thinking. A wife and 3 kids on board.
@darkprose
@darkprose День назад
But you’re assuming you will always know the risks every situation you will encounter-unlikely. You don’t think this pilot was _intentionally_ risking his life and his family’s life, do you? Being a father has nothing to do with it. I’m not a father and I wouldn’t intentionally risk my life like this, either. These GA pilots _did not know what risks they were taking_ until it was far too late. Simple as that. You are in the privileged position to judge the circumstances _from the outcome,_ and congratulate yourself for it. It is precisely this attitude that these videos are made to disturb. What appears like an obvious risk after the outcome will look different to the pilot _at the time_ they made their decisions. All over these videos are people saying they would not have made the same mistakes. Perhaps not. But it is 100% certain they will make _other_ mistakes. Where is the humility, not to mention empathy? Not once have a ever read someone say, “Wow, I might have done that, too” or “I really needed to see this” or “I learned something from this.” All I see are people comparing themselves with the deceased pilots and passengers. You are missing the entire point if all you can say is that it could never happen to you.
@robertphelan262
@robertphelan262 2 года назад
How the hell could someone put 3 children and his wife in that much danger,probably to show off at the party "yeah I flew us here",just get up early and Drive your car. I can't imagine the terror for the wife and kids,unreal
@alexross1505
@alexross1505 3 года назад
My wise instructor always reminded me that it’s “better to wish you were in the air on the ground, than to wish you were on the ground in the air.”
@buryurfear14
@buryurfear14 3 года назад
1000%
@rainerzufall689
@rainerzufall689 2 года назад
@@buryurfear14 Yeah but I wished to be in the air so often now my neck is hurting from looking up at planes :) To explain I had several technical issues and a big avionics update so neighbors frequently saw me in the garden shaking my fist at damn pilots that own airworthy airplanes.
@luisvilla63
@luisvilla63 2 года назад
J
@trent3872
@trent3872 2 года назад
I know nothing about being a pilot, but when you get your GA license, vfr I guess is what you call it, how hard, and how long does it take to become instrument qualified?
@buryurfear14
@buryurfear14 2 года назад
@@trent3872 about 40hrs of flight training. It’s difficult, but not TOO difficult if you put in the study time and have a good instructor. Anyone who can get a private pilots license is capable of getting an instrument rating.
@juniorloaf12
@juniorloaf12 2 года назад
I can't believe how quickly and confidently he accepted IFR clearance. As a low hour VFR pilot, I couldn't imagine.
@dabneyoffermein595
@dabneyoffermein595 Год назад
If he would have trusted his instruments for turns and level flight, he would have been ok, unless icing conditions did not give him FSCA ( flight surfaces control authority). Pronounced "F-I-S-K-A" , If I didn't have Fiska, I would have turned on the de-icing equipment immediately, and If a plane that can travel that high didn't have de-icing equipment, I would not have filed that flight plan electronically but would have contacted Flight Service to see what we had in front of us. De-Icing modifications can be added to a plane of this type but get out the wallet and be prepared to pay a good fee.
@danielreuter2565
@danielreuter2565 10 месяцев назад
It makes it seem like he's done it before. Normalizing deviance.
@junyuzheng5282
@junyuzheng5282 10 месяцев назад
@@dabneyoffermein595sometimes only trusting the instruments are not enough. It takes proper scan techniques to actively absorb the information from the instruments, especially since he just accepted a pop-up IFR clearance. Very likely he turned his full attention on the GPS upon receiving the IFR route, and forget about his six-pack instruments altogether.
@harpoon_bakery162
@harpoon_bakery162 10 месяцев назад
@@junyuzheng5282 Good point
@alexanderhess7742
@alexanderhess7742 8 месяцев назад
@@dabneyoffermein595 He had possibly trained accepting and implementing IFR instructions and felt confident that he could do it. However, a crucial part of that training is learning not to trust your senses, but rather your instruments. So, while he might have been able to work the IFR directive (which he already struggled with), the part of pure instrument flight may not have been sufficiently practiced. The pilot may not have recognized the problem, because his vestibular system told him, that things were fine, while the instruments told that they weren't - all while dealing with finding the proper heading and possibly changing altitude.
@a432511
@a432511 Год назад
Was signed of in an SR20 and planned a cross country (150nm) w/ my wife to attend a confirmation for a couple of nieces and nephews and we were the sponsors (external pressure). Ceiling was 7500 (6500AGL) and showed the potential of deterioration to lower, but still VFR. We went up and in the air and got updated weather along the route from our GDL52 showing some light precip ahead. We could see it as well. Darker area in the sky, reduced visibility about 40-50 miles in our path. A few things that I learned: 1) Go into a flight being ok if it is canceled. And make sure your PAX understands as well. Thankfully, I told my wife leading up to the flight that if weather was bad, we wouldn't be going. 2) PAX have no real understanding of the danger. In the flight my wife said, "cant we just go around it or fly through that?" I explained that I was not rated for instrument flight and that it would be extremely dangerous. Know that your PAX may unknowingly encourage you into danger. Keep in mind that you and ONLY YOU know what is best. There was a brief moment in this flight that a thought flicked through my head of "maybe I can just sneak around the worst of it". I killed that immediately, and turned back for home. We flew around a few landmarks clear of the weather back towards the airport, landed safely and had a good time anyway. Had I not talked in advance about the very real possibility of canceling the trip, maybe it would have gone differently. Give yourself the ability to back out and make the right decision so you can live.
@ClearedAsFiled
@ClearedAsFiled Год назад
Well stated......☆☆☆☆
@d47000
@d47000 Год назад
Good thought process... The worst that can happen with a "no-go" call is a missed obligation or disappointed passengers. The worst that can happen with an erroneous "go" call is your name ending up on an NTSB report. I often have to remind myself of that.
@Yosetime
@Yosetime 6 месяцев назад
Well said. But I would add that all private pilots should have the second opinion of someone who would know before lifting off in every single flight. A second opinion that is non-objective could be the person who sees the whole in the plan that you don't see. I don't know why something like that is not already in place. Like a legal authority. An airplane is a deadly weapon, not a toy. We should treat it as such.
@thesparkypilot
@thesparkypilot 3 месяца назад
I’m glad you stayed out of trouble :). Good process, good self awareness. It undoubtedly kept you two alive.
@LRobichauxIV
@LRobichauxIV 26 дней назад
Well said
@adama2569
@adama2569 3 года назад
Unbelievable that this non instrument rated pilot would accept an IFR clearance, and with his family onboard is just insane.
@jturie
@jturie 5 лет назад
As soon as I heard "party" I said "Get-there-itis".
@TXLorenzo
@TXLorenzo 3 года назад
The most dangerous disease for pilots.
@dx1450
@dx1450 3 года назад
Yep. Especially flying with his family, he probably wanted to make sure they didn't miss it.
@jonathankleinow2073
@jonathankleinow2073 3 года назад
This would have been a great opportunity to leave a day earlier and trade the Piper Lance for the Honda Odyssey.
@lisaschuster9187
@lisaschuster9187 3 года назад
And “surprise” makes it worse.
@TheBeingReal
@TheBeingReal 3 года назад
Party wrecker in the end.
@tech99070
@tech99070 2 года назад
I don't even fly planes and I feel like these are just sobering life lessons.
@Ferdrew-rp5ey
@Ferdrew-rp5ey 10 месяцев назад
Me too ! Done flying for years, and many to yrs to come ! "Let Europe be Europe, but my life is more precious !" 😊☝️💯💪🙏
@anna_in_aotearoa3166
@anna_in_aotearoa3166 9 месяцев назад
Agreed re lessons to learn for any area of activity, and particularly in our workplaces or any situations where the safety of our family & friends is involved! The dangers of complaisance, get-there-itis, normalizing deviance from set guidance, these are all completely applicable in general life too... 😔
@rustyheckler8766
@rustyheckler8766 4 года назад
These are always gut wrenching to watch, especially when you hear "and their small children joining then for the flight" 😕
@topspot4834
@topspot4834 4 года назад
Yeah my heart sank when he said 3 kids on board. I don't know why any pilot would take this course of action with his family on board.
@nofurtherwest3474
@nofurtherwest3474 4 года назад
TOPSPOT yeah, is it stupidity? Hubris? What is it? Why would someone do this? Defies common sense. Just don’t fly into bad weather. Doesn’t take a genius
@MrSoccerball100
@MrSoccerball100 4 года назад
I can’t believe he accepted the IFR. What was he thinking?
@crashomatic
@crashomatic 4 года назад
Like the clip says, "it's easy to judge from zero knots and 1G." I knew Jason personally and he had a beautiful family. Sure he was over confident, under trained, and his decisions were catastrophic. But to fly you have to be confident. He didn't respect it enough and didn't turn around and out it on the ground. Tragic. There's another audio clip out there of all of his communications and one is difficult to listen to because you can hear the kids screaming in the background. Try listening to that while in the cockpit and it's your kids with your wife sitting beside you. That's stress that you can only understand if you've been in the situation.
@mhern57
@mhern57 4 года назад
@Sabrina Dugan The IFR wouldn't help him land the plane. He didn't want to land. He wanted to keep flying! And the IFR would help him do that. He didn't sound desperate at all. At no point did he even seem worried. As far as the kids, they were used to flying with Dad. This could have been just another Sunday drive. However a few minutes later I'm sure they were crying and screaming. Poor things. I do agree with you about the possibility of not wanting to let his wife know he didn't know what he was doing. You know how us men are. But in the end I think he was just over confident in his abilities. And because he had a few hours of IFR training he thought he was good to go. Because again, you know how us men are.
@grinde060
@grinde060 5 лет назад
It’s painful and heartbreaking to imagine what it was like inside the aircraft during the final moments. It makes this case study almost unbearable to watch. It’s difficult to bear the thought of the pure terror his children had to endure.
@FK-we1dp
@FK-we1dp 8 месяцев назад
made me sick as soon as it showed he had his whole family on board
@Yosetime
@Yosetime 6 месяцев назад
Many of the video's on this channel involve children. All of them are of private pilot accidents. Most of them die. And most of them suffer for at least a minute or two before impact. It's a terrible thing. But that's the point of this channel. To teach pilots not to make stupid decisions.
@laurenurban3942
@laurenurban3942 5 месяцев назад
Accidents/crashes happen often with small private aircraft. I live in Florida and small private planes crash here all the time.
@Sashazur
@Sashazur 5 месяцев назад
Statistically, general aviation is more dangerous than motorcycle riding. I was surprised to learn that!
@riverraisin1
@riverraisin1 2 года назад
My heart sank every time he changed altitude. He was digging himself deeper and deeper into a hole but was determined to get to his destination. After the second change in flight level to avoid weather he should have turned it around and called it a day.
@fredrohlfing5905
@fredrohlfing5905 5 лет назад
Do not underestimate how difficult IFR can be. I have been doing it for 12 years, entering clouds at least a couple hundred times and it is still a complete gut check for the first 30 seconds and there is more adrenaline than a 30 kt gusty cross wind landing. And if you are a pilot, you know exactly what I mean. Unless you are IFR, current and proficient please do not let this happen to you. And as others have said here, clouds climb faster than airplanes. I am over 1,500 hours and that has been my consistent experience. Clouds rise and build and what starts at 6,000 can often be 13,000 in 100 miles. Cumulus is no fun to fly through either. An IFR rating does not make cumulus comfortable or safe. It is damn difficult to fly through heavy clouds even monitoring a good autopilot. Make smart decisions, get weather constantly and never push it to stay alive.
@flyboyrog3713
@flyboyrog3713 5 лет назад
Facts...seems no matter how many times I stick my nose in the clouds, the pucker factor always comes into play. Stay proficient, stay current, and never let your guard down...that's my philosophy.
@Mike-01234
@Mike-01234 5 лет назад
I sometimes think about the WW2 pilots who used the clouds as a way to get away from enemy fighters when too many of them or ran out of ammunition they must have been very skilled pilots.
@ImGolden
@ImGolden 5 лет назад
Yep. The adrenaline suprises me every time - not something you get in simulated instrument either.
@Rsenior1981
@Rsenior1981 5 лет назад
What happens in cumulus clouds, and why is it different than any other cloud? Turbulence?
@klasodeth
@klasodeth 5 лет назад
While those pilots were undoubtedly skilled, keep in mind that they were weighing IFR conditions against being actively hunted and machine-gunned in VFR conditions. Clouds are dangerous, but not as dangerous as enemy pilots that want you dead.
@zoranmaksic123
@zoranmaksic123 3 года назад
The terror on board as that plane broke up, unfathomable. RIP
@MrDlt123
@MrDlt123 4 года назад
I was flying VFR out of Dallas when I was a lot younger and got into IMC. I thought I'd punch right through. It turned out pretty badly and I got lost, but I was lucky enough to catch a glimpe of a nearby private airport and make a beeline for it. I made up my mind right then and there that I'd never talk myself into a bad sit again. And I never have. So sorry to see someone, and their family, lose their life like this.
@MrMowky
@MrMowky 4 года назад
You were blessed that day. You got a second chance, and I'm glad you never looked back. He didn't :( You can just feel his desire to not make different plans despite all the weather, all the warnings, and the warning bells in his head.
@Anon54387
@Anon54387 4 года назад
My grandfather was experienced in instrument flight, but most often he'd turn around in low visibility to get back to good visibility to fly around or land if that weren't possible. Risking people's lives just isn't worth it. Much of what went wrong here was a failure on a common sense level that doesn't take pilot training to realize. Much like that doctor that died flying from Georgia to Delaware which is also discussed on this channel. Airplanes aren't called doctor killers for no reason. They seem prone to overconfidence. The death of Kobe Bryant, his coach friend, those two kids was similarly unnecessary. Better to be late for or miss a basketball game than risk people's lives.
@Anon54387
@Anon54387 4 года назад
On that graph at the 15:19 mark. Is the axis labeled track angle (deg) synonymous with compass heading?
@redwatch1100
@redwatch1100 4 года назад
@@MrMowky He wasn't blessed. He got lucky. Nothing more.
@Vejitasei
@Vejitasei 3 года назад
When I was signed off to solo I use to love to fly at night after work/class, air was calm and airspace was less busy (under KSEA class B). Would fly from BFI to PWT for stop and goes. I remember it was a typical Seattle overcast night, and PWT is surround by rural/farm land. I landed, stopped, and then took off. Once I nosed up, the sky went pure / pitch black; I had a feeling of vertigo / falling backwards nearly immediately! I lost situational awareness (and truth be told got fairly scared). Nosed down enough to see some distant lights; and then noticed at that attitude I was barely climbing. I knew there were no obstacles in the area, so I climbed slowly until 1500, and then turned back to BFI :) It was a really good experience in hindsight. I knew the area, I knew what to do, I flew the plan, etc. I don't think I was 'over confident,' I was inexperienced! When I watch these ASI videos I have no idea what the pilot was thinking. But we can all agree the plan wasn't to kill himself and all passengers... I am thankful that we have these resources so we can learn and gain some experience without having to place our lives in danger. I will become a better pilot because of these videos and continued learning. In order to become a good pilot you NEED to push things. But with an escape plan. It seems like this pilot didn't want to turn around, but again we don't know. I am thankful to be able to learn from his mistakes, to increase our knowledge and experience. Safe travels...
@megadavis5377
@megadavis5377 2 года назад
I wish there was a way to adequately convey to lower-time, non-instrument-rated pilots the serious and deadly consequences of flying in clouds. I talked to a guy at the Airventure 2021 show in Oshkosh just a few days ago who was fortunate to live through a deliberate encounter with clouds when he had logged only 75 hours. He said he quickly reached the point where he simply gave up after losing control in an ever-tightening descending spiral, turned to his friends who were with him and, with tears in his eyes, regretfully said, "Guys, I'm sorry." It was only then when he remembered that he had an autopilot. He turned it on and it quickly leveled the wings. He was then able to raise the nose to a level-flight attitude. He used the autopilot to make a level 180 degree turn so he could exit the clouds after a few minutes. He said he has never since entered a cloud and never will - at least until he gets an instrument rating with many hours of experience with an IFR instructor in actual conditions. He also said he knew he was about to die, and there were so many things he wanted to say to his family, but he couldn't. Very sobering... Everyone at the table that day in Oshkosh had to think about this for just a minute without saying anything. Nevertheless, concerning this video, I'm just so very sorry his flippant, arrogant attitude ended up killing his entire family. He deserved to die; they didn't.
@spencertherren6806
@spencertherren6806 2 года назад
Why do they allow people seemingly unqualified to fly with passengers?
@whiskeybravo91
@whiskeybravo91 2 года назад
jesus that just drained the color from my face, can't even imagine
@tyroniousyrownshoolacez2347
@tyroniousyrownshoolacez2347 2 года назад
Bet he's a Capt for Ryan Air now huh?
@jefferyyounce5372
@jefferyyounce5372 2 года назад
@@tyroniousyrownshoolacez2347 Ryan Air requires how many hours to gain captain status? 12..LOL
@cmdmd
@cmdmd 2 года назад
Simulators. Most people won’t do it. They’ll be receiving instruction with the IFR glasses and screw up the entire exercise, the instructor corrects them and some literally think that they “did well” in the maneuvers. I saw that with a guy in my school years ago. He was awful in IMC, BUT he recognized it, accepted it and avoided weather and IMC like the plague. I think he did get his IFR. Rating later.
@dianegaskill6513
@dianegaskill6513 5 лет назад
I had fogotten about the crash until I saw the video a few minutes ago. I knew the entire family. The 14 year-old was a cadet member of my Civil Air Patrol squadron at KRHV. The incident was hard on both the cadets and senior (adult) members, especially those of us who are pilots. The pilot/dad seemed like a competent guy. Hard to believe what he did. A tragic loss for everyone. I did not know the whole story until I saw the AOPA video.
@ylekiote99999
@ylekiote99999 5 лет назад
You knew the whole family yet "forgot about the crash?" What?
@mikecaudill8861
@mikecaudill8861 5 лет назад
@@ylekiote99999 Life moves on, you live and forget. Things make you remember though.
@ylekiote99999
@ylekiote99999 5 лет назад
@@mikecaudill8861 You're weird. Every single other person in the world would never forget something like this.
@fadedflage
@fadedflage 5 лет назад
You dont dwell on 9/11 every hour of your life do you? I dont, despite the profound impact it had on me and the rest of the country.
@ylekiote99999
@ylekiote99999 5 лет назад
@@fadedflage I don't dwell on it but I don't completely forget about it! You claim to have known these people.....Yet you forgot about the crash?
@MBourner
@MBourner 5 лет назад
This was so sad to listen to but also so infuriating at the same time. To take that many risks with a family on board. It is so important to have the stomach to say I was wrong (more than once in this case). Such an important aptitude of being a safe pilot but so difficult to teach.
@robcohen7678
@robcohen7678 5 лет назад
not the father of the year there
@encinobalboa
@encinobalboa 5 лет назад
Very well said. Pilot confidence is not the same as pilot knowledge. As a member of the flying public, I always prefer pilot knowledge over confidence.
@motoxcarbon9891
@motoxcarbon9891 5 лет назад
I think what you don't understand is that he thought he was doing everything right, just as much as YOU think you are doing everything right each time you fly. He simply was not prepared for all the possible scenarios that could happen on this flight. Most pilots are not. Do you carry a spare radio? Would you be prepared to deal with weather where turning around was not an option? Would you be prepared for icing that you could not correct? What if you lost your panel? Do you test for CO? Do you know exactly what you would do at 500, 1,000, 2,000 feet up after takeoff if your plane caught on fire? The list goes on. This guy failed because he was not prepared for a worst case scenario. Most pilots are not. So...in some cases, that equates to a crash. Gravity wins.
@silentpact3432
@silentpact3432 5 лет назад
It's the Dunning-Kruger effect yet again. People don't know (or more importantly won't admit) what they don't know. Even had he had instrument rating the problem would have persisted - as he demonstrates a lamentable lack of appreciation of his capabilities or lack thereof - tragedy, for this guy, was only a matter of timing.
@wingsstringsandreallysharp2535
@jet guy Preach it brother! I couldn't agree more- I think the last good decision he made was fastening his seat belt- it all went to Hell from there. One bad decision after another. If he had confessed VFR capable in an IMC environment, ATC would have moved Heaven and Earth to get him back on the ground safely- and they probably would have gotten it done. I am living proof they can do it. 40 yrs ago, before getting my instrument and ATP ratings I found myself in a truly horrible weather problem, confessed my situation and got help to get out of it. I'm not sure why people are so afraid ATC or even declaring an emergency to get the help they need. Waiting until its a "Mayday, Mayday, Mayday" situation is too late- not much they can do then.
@jamesharber7820
@jamesharber7820 3 года назад
Here’s some sage advice from my 10,000 hour instructor: “Ya gotta know when to leave it in the hangar”. That sage advice saved my a.s more than once.
@prheitz
@prheitz 3 года назад
On one of my IFR training flights, I was in mostly VFR skies, but one little dot of ice formed on a bolt on the wing strut. The instructor showed it to me and said "Let's go home."
@Umrebs64
@Umrebs64 3 года назад
My favorite is "its better to be on the ground wishing you were in the air than to be in the air wishing you were on the ground"
@robbflynn4325
@robbflynn4325 2 года назад
I gained about 60 or so hours flying time when I lived in Florida back in the 80's, never got my PPL though. I recall when I encountered sudden thick cloud whilst climbing from the airport, I looked out and could see nothing! I was in a climb and focused on the three dials, vertical climb rate, speed and wing attitude. I eventually broke out and landed as quickly as possible. This and one or two other incidents made me realize I was not cut out to be a pilot, being too easily flustered and ultimately probably not smart enough to cut it. Still love aviation though and videos like this are appreciated!
@riobecerra1028
@riobecerra1028 2 года назад
you and me both brother!
@trezndawg4240
@trezndawg4240 2 года назад
Like the great Clint Eastwood said in Dirty Harry, "A man has to know his limitations!" Nothing but respect for that Sir because you lived to see another day and play Golf ⛳ 👍🏽👍🏽
@robbflynn4325
@robbflynn4325 2 года назад
@@trezndawg4240 Crazy golf maybe. My coordination is so poor I struggle to even split wood. I do take comfort though in all of the people who are probably still alive today by virtue of me of not making it as a commercial pilot. I have a lot of time to ponder these things as I drive my truck, a job that requires little else other than the ability of keeping the vehicle between the lines on the road, in fact you could probably train a monkey to do it.
@trezndawg4240
@trezndawg4240 2 года назад
@@robbflynn4325 aside from a standard flight on a Commercial Airline, like you, I take comfort in being on solid ground. The closest I've come to flying is being a Drone Pilot and enjoying video and photography images from my drone camera.
@robbflynn4325
@robbflynn4325 2 года назад
@@trezndawg4240 Yeah seriously, the incident when I went into the clouds and could see nothing outside really shook me to the core. A lot of people training in aviation have no doubt encountered similar stuff, but unlike me are able to learn from it and press on, and for that they have my admiration, but it scared the hell out of me, I really thought I was going to die that day!
@steveo1kinevo
@steveo1kinevo 5 лет назад
Flying that high without being on oxygen would put me right to sleep. I would never go that high with people onboard unless they all had access to oxygen 100% of the time.
@Hedgeflexlfz
@Hedgeflexlfz 4 года назад
For real what the hell was he thinking
@tombickers
@tombickers 3 года назад
This is one of those crashes that fills me with legit anger. Its one thing if you want to be a fool and risk yourself, but to subject your wife and kids to that foolishness is villainous.
@TomasAWalker53
@TomasAWalker53 3 года назад
Isn't 10,000 the proper time to use oxygen?
@randynielsen1413
@randynielsen1413 3 года назад
@@TomasAWalker53 12500 if remaining for more than 30 minutes
@carl8703
@carl8703 3 года назад
That was probably his biggest mistake, every bad decision from there on could have been the result of oxygen deprivation.
@DMBall
@DMBall 4 года назад
Listening to somebody's last words is the hardest part of watching these videos, which are uniformly excellent.
@intheshell35ify
@intheshell35ify 24 дня назад
It's like a ghost warning you from the grave.
@Pilot_Dad_Adventures
@Pilot_Dad_Adventures 5 лет назад
My wife and I have to fly an almost identical route in a couple of weeks. We MUST be there on time for an event. But for this trip, our plane will be safely parked in our hanger and we are taking commercial. It's impossible to know the weather out two weeks and we have a fixed schedule. Both factors for us say, take the easy route. Sometimes the best GA flight is the one not taken. RIP
@mk88200
@mk88200 5 лет назад
I have an instrument rating, and I'm current and consider myself instrument proficient... However, when I plan a trip, I always have a plan B in the ready. That is driving mostly, so I make sure my "go-no go" decision is made well in advance where I can hop in the car and still make it on time. There is no reason to push aviation... We don't generally win...
@tommypetraglia4688
@tommypetraglia4688 5 лет назад
The schedule is more flexible than the bow - AnyOld TugboatCaptain
@lockergr
@lockergr 4 года назад
Smart man.
@nofurtherwest3474
@nofurtherwest3474 4 года назад
Just curious Phil... is a northern route also ok? Like north of Sacramento and Tahoe, then going south the Vegas area?
@TheFrogInYourClosetWatchingYou
@TheFrogInYourClosetWatchingYou 4 года назад
Phil and his wife decided to take a commercial airline to be safe... Little did they know that commercial flight would never arrive to its destination... R.I.P
@TheJapanChannelDcom
@TheJapanChannelDcom 5 лет назад
More confidence than ability is common...
@ninamaldonado2285
@ninamaldonado2285 3 года назад
Well, put.
@lisaschuster9187
@lisaschuster9187 3 года назад
I’ve never been near a small airplane, but since safety costs so much time gaining experience, why fly? (I know, I know. Why am I wasting time watching these tragic stories if I don’t understand the appeal?)
@TheBeingReal
@TheBeingReal 3 года назад
Confidence and money
@algermom1
@algermom1 3 года назад
And deadly...
@algermom1
@algermom1 3 года назад
@@lisaschuster9187 I watch them too...documentaries teach life I lessons. And I still like being a passenger!
@wildzach
@wildzach 4 года назад
1) Attempted VFR-over-the-top with low likelihood that he could get back down VFR 2) Grazing Class A without an IFR ticket 3) Higher than is permitted for the oxygen supply available 4) VFR into thunderstorm IMC with no IFR ticket and a non-FIKI aircraft 5) Accepting IFR clearance without an IFR ticket 6) Choosing to fly into an airmet sierra without an IFR ticket
@scottfranco1962
@scottfranco1962 5 лет назад
I've been there. At 5,000 feet or so you encounter clouds, and the way under is bad weather. So you choose the top knowing that your destination is clear. It becomes a contest to see who can climb faster, you or the clouds. Done it three times before learning my lesson: clouds can outclimb you every time. Accepting a popup IFR clearance if you aren't ready is suicide. And not ready can simply mean not current as well.
@dianegaskill6513
@dianegaskill6513 5 лет назад
Right you are. I was told that the winds in that storm approached 100 kt upward, but I do not have confirmation of that. I do know that the plane lost a wing in the storm and that is why the plane crashed.
@FlightX101
@FlightX101 5 лет назад
Its a shame the autopilot wasnt really used. Even if unrated he could have squeaked by with ALT and Heading hold if he didnt have to multitask and control the plane :(
@scottfranco1962
@scottfranco1962 5 лет назад
@@FlightX101 Its not a panacea. JFK junior killed himself with the autopilot, and it was a contributing factor to the accident, or so the NTSB believes. His flight path was correct until time to land, and they believe he disconnected autopilot and then went into spatial disorientation spins, two of them, because he had sat there unprepared to fly the aircraft during most of the flight. See the NTSB report. I did my IFR training without an AP, but got the AP installed later. It certainly is easier to fly with AP on, but proper training makes the difference. I still don't trust the AP for everything, and tend to disconnect it in rough turbulence, IFR or no.
@65SATisfaction
@65SATisfaction 5 лет назад
Scott, can you kindly reference which page of the NTSB report carries the belief that JFK Jr's use of autopilot was a contributing factor? On pages 19-20 of the report, detailed technical coverage of the Bendix/King 150 AFCS is provided, but I was not able to find further mention or reference to the AFCS as a factor in the report. Thank you.
@Max50ww
@Max50ww 5 лет назад
It's amazing how fast the spatial disorientation sets in. Looks like it was minutes if not seconds after he took the IFR clearance and penetrated the clouds that he started to loose it
@oldgysgt
@oldgysgt 4 года назад
I remember one winter a Doctor and his wife were flying back from Vegas to Bakersfield on a Sunday afternoon. He was not instrument rated, and when he encountered a cloud front in the Tehachapi Pass, he tried flying under the weather by following the Hy58 Freeway. Just West of the White Wolf Grade cutoff, the clouds got lower and he lost sight of the freeway. He was executing a series of descending 360s in an attempt to pickup sight of the road when he hit the vertical face of a highway cut. A friend of mine was on the team that recovered the wreckage and the bodies.
@johnemerson1363
@johnemerson1363 4 года назад
Your narrative reminds me of one of many air searches I flew as a Mission Pilot for Civil Air Patrol in the mid 1970's and 80's in southern California. I flew on several "scud running accidents" through the Tehachapi Mountains during those years. Get-home-itis kills so many people.
@justinborysenko3885
@justinborysenko3885 5 лет назад
Very sad made me cry Made a similar mistake twice but got out on dumb luck. Just outside Bakersfield headed from Nor cal to Fullerton in LA. Smoke from a fire had visibility at 3 over the pass legal but not safe in mountain areas. We were on flight following no IFR rating but Stec 30 and gps I could use. VFR conditions at destination just 20 minutes away. We got lower and lower trying to see the highway. The plane ahead of me on flight following stopped answering ATC. I rationalized “we have autopilot” ... get to LA but looked at the kids, listened to ATC frantic to find a missing Cessna and turned back. Landed at Bakersfield 25 minutes later. Rented a car and drove. 5.5 hours in traffic but we lived. Sucks they did not. Must have been terrifying.
@stuart8663
@stuart8663 4 года назад
I'm not a pilot. I'm an aviation enthusiast. This video was an excellent example of teaching - with amazing parallels to everyday, wing-less life. Thanks for producing it.
@slehar
@slehar 5 лет назад
When I did my first instrument training, I thought this isn't that hard, just keep the wings level. I can do that! Then it happened while I was doing a practice missed approach with my instructor in actual IFR, and as I turned and climbed, I leaned over to pick up my charts from the floor, and all of a sudden it hit me for the first time. The plane was straight and climbing, but the attitude indicator was all askew. When I fixed it back to level, I felt like I was banked hard over! THAT is when the training kicked in, and I made the wings level on the attitude indicator even though it felt like I was in a steep bank! After a few seconds everything settled down and I was back under control. Not THAT hard - if you know what you are supposed to do. But the first time it was like all hell was breaking loose.
@cosumel
@cosumel 5 лет назад
And that is what scares me about it. I am still a student, and last week, my attitude indicator was completely failed. I was straight-and-level and it showed a 100° bank. I get really nervous about instrument flying when instruments go awry.
@nonmihiseddeo4181
@nonmihiseddeo4181 5 лет назад
I read that JFK Jr died because he was an VFR pilot who flew into IMC (nighttime darkness over the ocean). He eventually entered a death spiral to the right due to spacial disorientation. It was also reported in this article I read that he was also transitioning into a new aircraft in which he only had 7 hours. Because of this and because of a walking cast he had on his left leg due to a broken ankle, one of his flight instructors offered to make the flight with him, but JFK Jr refused the offer, saying, "I want do it alone." Of course, he didn't do it alone. His wife and her sister were on board with him. Sad.
@michaelbuckers
@michaelbuckers 5 лет назад
Put simply you're supposed to disregard what you're seeing and use instruments for navigation. Wow it's almost like that's the entire point of instrument flight.
@yellowhammer4747
@yellowhammer4747 5 лет назад
TRUST THOSE INSTRUMENTS!
@joemann5378
@joemann5378 5 лет назад
I'm not a pilot so bear with me. Ray Atkinson above described a scary situation where his instruments apparently failed, giving the impression he wasn't straight and level when he was. What's a pilot to do if his spatial awareness is wrong *and* his instrument(s) is/are wrong? I'm assuming "cross-checking" involves looking at additional instrumentation?
@arthousefilms
@arthousefilms 4 года назад
It's great how so many of these case studies reflect on the psychology of the pilot and the overall psychological decision motivators.
@tomreed9606
@tomreed9606 5 лет назад
I ended up in IMC just once, in the pattern no less, and at a non-towered airport. I was a solo student, and it happened fast. Pucker factor 10. I kept the wings level and in a positive best rate of climb. When I popped out of the soup, I was about 10 miles east of the airport at that point. The airport was the only area socked in. I could either divert an hour either way or see where the bottom was. I did a descending spiraling turn in the clear and determined the bottom was at 1000AGL. No terrain in my geographic area. I ran the bottom of them on a direct and got it down. Actually one of my better landings. Taxied back and shut down. Shortest entry in my logbook to date, but possibly the most instructive flight ever.
@heraclitus6100
@heraclitus6100 4 года назад
Shortest entry in your logbook? Was there any profanity? The more of these videos I watch, and the more subsequent comments I read, the more I think I should leave flying to the pilots and just keep doing what I do.... welding, occasionally painting, drinking scotch and playing the piano. My only worry now is that a plane might fall on my head LOL.
@robertgantry2118
@robertgantry2118 4 года назад
@@heraclitus6100 - ...lol.... If I ever get a chance to fly an airplane I'm going to jump at the chance.
@eclectichoosier5474
@eclectichoosier5474 4 года назад
I've been in the clouds twice. Once as a pilot and once as passenger. The one as passenger, the pilot was trying to climb through a rift in the clouds, and it closed on us. She started losing her calm, and panicking. My low-hour student-pilot self had to play instructor, and remind her to look at her instruments. We climbed out of it in about 30 seconds. Then we turned around and descended ahead of the cloud front and landed. (She wanted me to land it! I told her, "No way!") The other time, I was flying at night, and as per my usual, I was using instruments, since night flying can be difficult - false horizons, weird visual cues, etc. I looked out the window, and all the lights had disappeared. Oops. Flew into a cloud that I never saw. As I was starting to turn a 180 to go back to clear air, the lights reappeared - I had flown out the other side. I didn't run into any more clouds on that trip. Just let ATC know about the conditions in the area and moved on. It ended up not being any kind of problem because I was already flying primarily by instruments before I entered the cloud.
@heraclitus6100
@heraclitus6100 4 года назад
@Richard G I suck at the piano. I'm better at drinking scotch.
@JediOfTheRepublic
@JediOfTheRepublic 4 года назад
I’m going to say this never happened.
@garagelife9193
@garagelife9193 3 года назад
As a pilot, you never have to be anywhere. Let alone a family party.
@lamrof
@lamrof 5 лет назад
I took my Brother skiing to the Sierras, he who lives in Australia and never seen a snow in his life. I, a city dweller never drove in winter snowy conditions, or ever skied before. I rented a compact car for its cheap price, packed some heavy sweaters and T-shirts and good heavy sneakers for the purpose of skiing. On the way we visited a relative in Sacramento. There we saw on TV about snowy conditions and that climbing the higher elevations would be difficult. That was gibberish to me, hey we got a new car here nothing can stop us. We found the highway closed right out of west Sacramento. Bummer, we found a local roadway north of the route 80 on the paper map we had back then and made it to the foot of the hills. It was already dark and with the excitement of skiing the following morning I really did not feel the danger I was putting us into. I noticed later we were the only ones on the road in either direction and that there has not been any car behind or infront of us for miles. Visibility started deteriorating at about 2000 ft and then the roads started turning white soon after. Then I could not see a feet in front of me, the heavy downpour of the snow and the winds so strong. The unchained tyres of that small car could not grip the snow covered road and we ended up getting stuck in a small car in the middle of the fury of the heaviest storm of the decade. when caltran road clearing truck accidentally knocked our buried car upside down out of the snow , we were both half frozen, desperate and in shock. The driver of that truck herself was shocked when she found us in the overturned car specially when she realized we were in it for 3 dreadful hours buried in the snow. Yes indeed unbounded exuberance clouds judgement and sometimes kills.
@zombie-yellow
@zombie-yellow 3 года назад
You don't need chains to drive in snow, you need winter tires ;) and yeah, snow is no joke when you're not used to it !
@mauishellcondo
@mauishellcondo 5 лет назад
The other part about this that is somewhat troubling is the fact that he keeps climbing to avoid the clouds but two people in the plane don't have supplemental oxygen, so they’re starting to get hypoxic not to mention violation of another FAR. I can imagine that it was getting cold up there too. Given that the alternate route had even higher tops would indicate to me that it was time to turn back and land at the nearest VFR airport.
@gloomyblackfur399
@gloomyblackfur399 5 лет назад
Dunning-Kruger effect. People who know nothing about a topic, like flying IFR, almost always overestimate their abilities because they don't know enough about the topic to understand how difficult it really is.
@65SATisfaction
@65SATisfaction 5 лет назад
Def Misanthrope that is a very valid point (I got a read of your earlier, longer unedited reply to my comment above). During our training as pilots, it’s a topic that is at least touched on: The phrase most often used is called to “stay ahead of the aircraft”. Meaning you constantly must think of the tasks and possibilities that lie ahead or may lie ahead. Anticipate and be prepared. As the number of tasks pile up, “staying ahead” becomes more and more difficult. Preparation for and practice of the most frequent emergency situations reduce some of the risk of proceeding into known, increasing danger. However a pilot needs to be able to snap out of tunnel vision, be aware when to “call it”, accept the limitations they can’t control, then choose and execute an alternate course of action that eliminates the danger at hand. One technique used to snap yourself out of it, is to adhere to “personal limits”.. i.e: "I won’t do X if conditions are worse than Y". I digress. Failures of anticipation and failures of imagination do occur, as in this tragedy. And that’s where it seems your syndrome fits right in. An overconfident pilot can’t or won’t imagine the possibile failure that lurks ahead, even if it's obvious. Or even if they do sense the impending danger, your syndrome would cause them to suppress that gut feeling. They are convinced they can “do this.” Personally I feel pilots *are* taught to listen carefully to that gut feeling. Whether they do or don’t is another matter. But I’ve had to listen and abide by my gut myself a few times. It’s an interesting situation ..to “give in” to a vague sense of unease when your brain has other impulses that urge you to press on. Valuable food for thought. Physiologically - the last 51 minutes of this flight were spent above 15,000ft altitude. Lower oxygen levels could easily affect the pilot's decision making and spatial orientation skills. Thanks for your comment.
@MrMowky
@MrMowky 4 года назад
And most of the people in this comment section as well!
@gregmitchell6213
@gregmitchell6213 4 года назад
Kind of like YOU not understanding what Dunning-Kruger actually is. It’s in regards to people with low cognitive ability, not a specific inability. You just wanted to use that reference, but made yourself look like a fucking idiot to people not as dumb as you.
@nofurtherwest3474
@nofurtherwest3474 4 года назад
Greg Mitchell could the pilot have taken a northern route to avoid the bad weather?
@kevinklassen4328
@kevinklassen4328 4 года назад
I would probably have the dunning kruger effect here as I'm not a pilot but am interested in getting my license eventually. I'm well aware of how dangerous VFR into IMC clearly is, but i still don't understand exactly why they have so much trouble. Yes your vestibular system will tell you you're descending or banking etc. but I'm sure all these VFR pilots were taught that in their flight school to ignore what you're feeling and just follow instruments? So when getting into IMC conditions why is it always so hard for them to just follow their instruments like I'm sure they've been told? Or are they not instructed on this basic advice?
@Chance-ry1hq
@Chance-ry1hq 8 месяцев назад
“The pilot decides to fly ANYWAY”. Famous last words. Not only was he risking his own life, he was risking his 3 children, and his wife’s lives. What an egomaniacal fool.
@kenwayne96
@kenwayne96 4 года назад
When you start hearing that sad piano music, you know how it ends. The screams of horror in that small plane as the pilot panics and losses control of the aircraft. Then the final impact. They enter eternity. They all become a memory. Horrible!
@bobmaclean4348
@bobmaclean4348 5 лет назад
Very important lesson even for IFR pilots flying over mountains at this time of year - Get-there-itis can be a killer
@adamw.8579
@adamw.8579 5 лет назад
More often than somebody thinks. Edit: some wise man said: go-around is first option, landing is second.
@Miata822
@Miata822 5 лет назад
Yes, but not just when flying. Confirmation bias is a killer. Many people drive when exhausted beyond their endurance, especially on holidays. Boaters often go out on the water without being aware of the forecast and their vulnerability. I have even seen people vote for candidates who are known to engage in illegal, immoral, and financially unsustainable behaviour for leadership positions. As a wise man once told me: "Always question your motivations." Our human tendency to make the choice that seems comfortable can be life changing to us and our families.
@yellowhammer4747
@yellowhammer4747 5 лет назад
I CONCUR SIR!
@cmdmd
@cmdmd 2 года назад
Man, that was totally self-inflicted. Tragic.
@TehNetherlands
@TehNetherlands 3 года назад
In the full ATC audio you can actually hear the children scream and the engine spool up in the background during the final transmission. RIP.
@IanMaret
@IanMaret 5 лет назад
Man, this really shows the power of external pressures. I know it's easier for me to see the big picture sitting at my desk than it was for the pilot in the flight deck, but there were so many opportunities to just turn around, get on the ground, and wait out the weather. I wonder what the pilot would've said if the controller asked him if he was instrument qualified before offering the clearance.
@pilotactor777
@pilotactor777 5 лет назад
9:22-life expectancy of 73 seconds for a VFR trained pilot entering IMC conditions-tragic.
@gradplanner
@gradplanner Год назад
The pictures of the clouds at 4:29 was chilling. It represented beauty for the passengers but imminent danger for the pilot. May they all rest in peace.
@johnathancorgan3994
@johnathancorgan3994 5 лет назад
One thing not discussed here but is in the NTSB report--it was an in-flight breakup due to G-forces long before they impacted the ground. If I recall correctly, the found the wreckage (and individual occupants) scattered over hundreds of yards. You can see hints of this at the end of the video where they show portions of the airplane in very different locations.
@danc.7835
@danc.7835 5 лет назад
Single pilot IFR is extremely difficult. I can't imagine not utilizing the autopilot while trying to copy a clearance and flying into IMC. 1st fly the aircraft. Keep making the videos. They are great vignettes to call up when we are involved with flying.
@PlaneMechEsq
@PlaneMechEsq 5 лет назад
I got an attitude indicator failed in IMC and it just so happened that my autopilot relies on the AI. I am quite lucky that I am still typing now. AP is great, but don't let your hand flying proficiency slip. Safe flying.
@ctn830
@ctn830 5 лет назад
yeah why not use autopilot (if equipped)?
@dryan8377
@dryan8377 5 лет назад
@@PlaneMechEsq When your ai failed, what did you use? TC? Just wondering (not a pilot here). Former controller.
@PlaneMechEsq
@PlaneMechEsq 5 лет назад
Yes, TC and cross check with HSI for roll, and altimeter and VSI for pitch.
@osmium6832
@osmium6832 5 лет назад
After reflecting on the video, it's possible that his poor decisions were the result of oxygen deprivation. He only had 3 masks and 3 kids, so it's possible he was just going on low oxygen. Might explain why we don't hear screaming over the radio. Wife is already unconscious and kids' voices are muffled. Yes, he made mistakes basically as soon as he got off the ground, but once he kept climbing to stay above the clouds, he might not have been in a state of mind to realize that autopilot or turning around or emergency landing were options. I'm no pilot, but if I were in that situation and was asked over the radio if I could fly IFR, I might think "How hard can it be? You just follow instructions and keep your eyes on the gauges" and then I'd promptly die like this guy did.
@dboy4ever
@dboy4ever 5 лет назад
Glad ASI made a video about this accident. Just tragic. An entire happy family, gone. I fly the same route between RHV and Vegas a few times a year. Every time, I think about this accident. In the original ATC clip, you can hear the kids screaming in horror in the background in the last mayday transmission. This video seems to have filtered it out. I have sworn I will never put my family through that. Now as a CFI, I use this accident as a real-world example to teach people about aeronautical: Think about your family - they'd rather have you alive than have you arrive at a meeting on time. Don't succumb to pressure and don't be afraid to disappoint people. Don't push the limits - You might get out of tight spots a couple times but your luck eventually runs out. Don't "fly up and take a peek." And always seek to improve your skills. IMO an instrument rating is a must if you want to fly your family in the wintertime.
@dryan8377
@dryan8377 5 лет назад
That's freaking excellent. I'm glad as a CFI you do this. This is probably more important than a new student learning IFR!!! I really think the perils of spatial disorientation should be not only for ground school, but significant (safety) part of the flying PPL experience. If people want something mandated to stop this damned madness, then THIS will definitely help.
@billy4072
@billy4072 2 года назад
Better late. Than dead on time .
@kimchi2780
@kimchi2780 3 года назад
I've flown this exact route in a SR-22T in almost the same weather. In order to get around the storms we had two options, fly through thee Tahoe Pass or take the coast line. We flew 2 miles off the coast all the way to Oceanside and then cut across the Chocolate Range area. it only added 45 minutes to our trip. This guy could have taken the exact same route.
@kurtbilinski1723
@kurtbilinski1723 9 месяцев назад
"Tahoe" or "Tejon Pass"?
@kimchi2780
@kimchi2780 9 месяцев назад
@@kurtbilinski1723 Tejon spell check got me.
@victoriamanley6927
@victoriamanley6927 25 дней назад
I’m a student in north Florida so we always deal with IFR weather. Most people pick on me for how quick I’ll choose not to fly over weather, but personally I would rather be bullied than ever put myself or others in harms way, on top of risking my hard work I put in to get my license!! It’s okay to say no to flying!! Don’t even feel less than or guilty for choosing the safer option. Safe flying guys!
@maxtanicfilms
@maxtanicfilms 18 дней назад
Bravo to you!
@ClearedAsFiled
@ClearedAsFiled 15 дней назад
Awesome...totally agree with you.....
@mike95826
@mike95826 5 лет назад
Actually had a similar "the weather is good here and at my destination NOW". Flying from Bishop to Sacramento. Took off from Bishop and as I did a circling climb (C172 can't just POP over the mountains) I noticed clouds building up above Mammoth Mountain. Called flight service and got Pirep from a twin Beech that cloud tops were 16,000 feet. NOPE, not going to even try to go around. Circled back down and landed at Mammoth Lakes airport. I was grounded there for 4 days until storm passed enough to go home. It was nice and warm and cosy in front of the fireplace in the hotel lobby while watching the snow fly outside.
@12345fowler
@12345fowler 5 лет назад
Nice story. Perfectly illustrate the "it is far better to be on the ground wishing you were in the air than to be in the air wishing you were on the ground"... Your choice.
@davidsalmeron2581
@davidsalmeron2581 5 лет назад
I've learned a lot from watching your videos! Keep making them, it's helps make pilots safer everyday!
@thefelipelacerda
@thefelipelacerda 5 лет назад
This Channel is fantastic!! I'm using to teach "Aviation English" to my students!
@GalenCop9
@GalenCop9 5 лет назад
Totally agree!!
@dickjohnson5230
@dickjohnson5230 3 года назад
"A man's got to know his limitations."-Clint Eastwood
@user-pg9fv7su8q
@user-pg9fv7su8q 5 лет назад
I'm an instrument-rated pilot with 300 hours and have has a similar experience. I flew up to Hot Springs AR VFR one day to see my gf not really thinking about the bad weather that was going to roll in. latter that night it was time to leave and it was VFR conditions in KHOT and KADF so I took off not really thinking much about it, but when I got to the mountain range between the two there were low clouds. I could have picked up an IFR clearance in the air, but just decided it was better to turn around and play it safe having not gotten a weather briefing and such. Stories like this make me look back and think its always best to just play it safe if you have any doubt about the safety of your flight. God bless everyone, and fly safe!
@realtoast7036
@realtoast7036 3 года назад
Rough presentation. I can't imagine the pilot's panic at the realization of what he had done. So preventable.
@elitewarrior0076
@elitewarrior0076 8 месяцев назад
I’m about halfway thru my instrument rating at ATP flight school and it amazes me how these some of these pilots who fly for fun never get their instrument rating. Like now that im training in it, I honestly never want to go back to VFR flying again. And after flying thru clouds, luckily my training has kept me glued to the instruments, I can’t even fathom trying to navigate thru heavy clouds by looking outside
@ClearedAsFiled
@ClearedAsFiled 7 месяцев назад
Best to you on your instrument training.....!!
@benjamind7290
@benjamind7290 5 лет назад
The only thing that's kept me alive when ferrying our family to an event has been fully briefing my wife on the risks of a flight, and then accepting her concern as leverage against my own confirmation bias. Also, calling flight service has allowed me to hear the tone in their voice, and that has boosted the primitive alert that raises my internal questioning of a planned flight, or even a flight that is already happening. Get-there-itis is powerful and the physiologic forces at play are not fully understood. This is even more powerful when combined with a desperate attempt by a new pilot to demonstrate the value of the expensive pilot's license they have all sacrificed for in time and money. This is a tragic accident that hopefully all student pilots will get to learn from. Also, all pilots in California should be made aware of Southwest's ticket transfer policies. It is very cheap insurance.
@brians2808
@brians2808 5 лет назад
Benjamin Damm true. It does seem bad he didn’t call flight service considering the weather he had planned on flying into. I do online briefs but have found the briefers are good at putting the data together in painting a picture.
@ReflectedMiles
@ReflectedMiles 5 лет назад
There is considerable wisdom in your attitude and approach, sir, and particularly if your wife has had plenty of right-seat experience watching you and the weather and deciding which she should bet on.
@sp769
@sp769 5 лет назад
Good point, let Southwest skid off the r/wy and damage their planes and not yours!
@motoxcarbon9891
@motoxcarbon9891 5 лет назад
Yeah...and what would you do if you found that turning around was not an option? Tell your wife? What would you do if you lost all your radios? Lost your panel during IMC? Telling your wife anything does little to no good. What matters is being prepared for the worst than can happen.
@benjamind7290
@benjamind7290 5 лет назад
@@motoxcarbon9891 Yeah, but we're hardly talking about worse-case scenarios where a prepared pilot enters a known weather. This is an unprepared and inexperienced pilot flying a fairly large and powerful aircraft with a lot of features he doesn't know how to use charging headlong into complex weather because he thought he could find a way through. The issue is not what to do when you lose your radios or run out of options. The issue to having some concept of where your skill isn't enough to handle the situation and having the wisdom to execute on the plan that involves driving to the airport and boarding one of the many flights to Las Vegas, or at the very least leaving enough room in the plan for landing, checking into a hotel, and seeing what conditions are like tomorrow.
@SteveGad
@SteveGad 3 дня назад
These videos are so haunting, so powerful and yet so well made and informative - from a safety standpoint - that they're compulsive viewing for any pilot.
@KVirello
@KVirello 3 года назад
When I was young my mother got her license to fly some small Cessna. We decided to fly somewhere to get lunch to celebrate. While we were eating the weather deteriorated and a snow storm rolled in. She tried taking off and heading back, but decided soon after taking off that it wasn't a good idea. Lately I've seen a lot of plane crash videos and can't help but wonder what would have happened if she didn't decide to turn back.
@gusm5128
@gusm5128 3 года назад
Wow , you came very close to dying .
@JohnnyThund3r
@JohnnyThund3r 3 года назад
I've watched almost all the Air Crash investigation videos, one of the biggest deciding factors between the pilots who lived and the pilots who died, is that the pilots who lived decided to turn back the second things were starting to go wrong for them.
@LiamTobin4
@LiamTobin4 5 лет назад
This series of videos is deeply sobering and incredibly valuable. Thank you for making them, as difficult as it can be to watch sometimes.
@wiliamtravis
@wiliamtravis 2 года назад
I have been flying off and on for 10 years and quit twice on my PPL. I am finally about to get it and this is why I am going DIRECTLY into instrument ratings with no break. I don't want to fly really any PAX without it. Also - I am watching all of these videos as lessons so I don't make the same mistakes. As much as I hate these videos - I also know that we need them as pilots.
@bk1bennett
@bk1bennett 5 лет назад
Saddest episode I have ever seen: This one. It renews my healthy respect for weather and the responsibilities that come with a certificate. "A man's got to know his limitations." R.I.P.
@banzairunner7860
@banzairunner7860 4 года назад
Man this shit is heartbreaking… You just wish you could somehow go up there and help him but there’s just nothing you can do… Such a helpless feeling… Rest in peace to all the pilots and their families… God bless
@hazelwood55
@hazelwood55 4 года назад
"A man's got to know his limitations."-Clint Eastwood
@nonmihiseddeo4181
@nonmihiseddeo4181 4 года назад
as Harry Callahan.
@execatty
@execatty 4 года назад
That is the motto I've lived my life by.. In every aspect of living... Greatest life quote of all time.. Magnum Force.. ✌️
@nonmihiseddeo4181
@nonmihiseddeo4181 4 года назад
@@execatty Truer words were never spoken (¬‿¬ )
@execatty
@execatty 4 года назад
@@nonmihiseddeo4181 amen brother
@BOHICA_
@BOHICA_ 4 года назад
“Now you've got to ask yourself one question. Do I feel lucky?" - Inspector Harry Callahan
@johnemerson1363
@johnemerson1363 4 года назад
I presently live in New Jersey and a few years ago a pilot and some friends took off from an northern NJ airport in a Cherokee 140 and decided to fly to an Atlantic City general aviation airport that is no longer there. Weather at the departure airport was nicely VFR. Weather at Atlantic City was low ceiling and almost IFR. The pilot was VFR only and flew into clouds over Manahawkin, NJ. He got spatial disorientation and was observed to come out of the overcast in a near vertical dive about 1500 feet up. The pilot must have yanked hard on the yoke because the nose came up quickly and the wings came off the airplane. The plane crashed in an unpopulated section of town a few hundred yards north of Route 72. No survivors. VFR pilot flew into IMC.
@CaliforniaFly
@CaliforniaFly 3 года назад
I was north east of Bakersfield in a Cessna 208 with a full TKS de-ice system at 14'000 when this occurred. I was bringing the plane back from Enid Oklahoma to Fresno CA after some leading edge repairs to the left wing. Crossing the Sierras that day was out of the question for a Caravan so I took the more southern route over the Tehachapi Pass area. I could see highway 58 now and then and while picking up moderate icing wasn't too bad for me with the TKS anti-icing system, I wanted to get to a lower altitude once over the San Joaquin valley. I requested 12'000 and was told that they were a little busy with an emergency south of Bakersfield. I was cleared to 12'000 a few minutes later and started getting between layers. LA center already had my icing report from ten minutes earlier and while monitoring the Bakersfield APP frequency I could hear that someone had gone down. The next morning in FAT I heard about the accident on the local news. Very sad that someone would push themselves to the point where they would kill themselves and their entire family. By the way, the Piper T-Tail Lance, even with a turbo, is a piece of junk.
@CLdriver1960
@CLdriver1960 3 года назад
Thanks again AOPA, safety videos like this is why I gladly pay my membership dues.
@NaughtyKlaus
@NaughtyKlaus 3 года назад
RIP, I don't remember an incident like this around 2015/2016, but as a Bakersfield resident, it really hurts to know this has happened so close by and yet it gone unnoticed for so long.
@briseidaalcaraz1660
@briseidaalcaraz1660 3 года назад
Exactly my thoughts
@ellonico
@ellonico 3 года назад
i had no idea this happened!
@captainpoopyshoes2023
@captainpoopyshoes2023 5 лет назад
I'm from Bakersfield and I remember this. They went down right next to one of my family's orchards. Horrible, horrible situation.
@brokenmemes1628
@brokenmemes1628 4 года назад
They were my neighbors, and my friend was John.
@penrynbigbird
@penrynbigbird 2 года назад
Aviation has always fascinated me, even to the point as a kid of wanting to be an airline pilot. But even way back then what was unappealing and a risk I ultimately decided I would never take, was having to fly in extreme/unsettled or edgy weather conditions. I also had recurring dreams of flying like a bird. With the sport of hang gliding blooming in 1974, and at the age of 18, I took my first lesson and have never looked back. It enriched my life beyond words and answered the dream of flying like a bird. These types of aviation fatalities, even though I'm not a GA pilot, have me shaking my head wondering how someone can put everything on the line when the odds of success were so clearly low/marginal. If you want to risk your own life that's one thing, but taking others (your family) with you, that's just mind boggling.
@OhMySack
@OhMySack 5 лет назад
Kind of creepy. I have sat in the right seat of that very aircraft. My very close friends brother was a partner in that Lance for many years and they flew the hell out of that aircraft. It was a great plane. Even though I am a pilot, I never had the opportunity to fly that bird and then the partnership changed. I think this pilot in this incident bought the share that my friends brother had for years. Even though I had no clue who that PIC was, it's an eerie closeness and connection that makes one realize how bad things can go in a hurry with a kink in the chain of bad decision making. The high profile of this scenario makes it even more incredible.
@call911forcookies2
@call911forcookies2 5 лет назад
Still can't believe he just accepted an IFR clearance illegally... that just seems so crazy to me
@mjodr
@mjodr 5 лет назад
I can believe it, because now I have seen multiple documented cases of it. You have to be a certain personality type to even begin flying. Some of those characteristics are a bit of alpha/machismo/egomaniacal/suave/etc. He had the beginnings of the training. Figured it would slingshot him over the "slow" traditional training and prove he could do it and it wasn't so hard. Get-there-itis was a huge factor, but I know what was going through his head before this happened and during. I'm a badass and I can do this... Well, maybe not. I'm guilty of it in the simulators. All I want to do is IFR stuff on huge airliners and in the real world I've done one flight in a C172 and I could barely fly the damn thing in perfect weather.
@dgdanielgoldman
@dgdanielgoldman 5 лет назад
@@mjodr somebody has read chapter 2 of the PHAK...
@mjodr
@mjodr 5 лет назад
@@dgdanielgoldman I don't know what that is, but I'm reading it now and it looks pretty interesting. Thanks!
@dryan8377
@dryan8377 5 лет назад
he also flew his family above 12k feet with what? 3 oxy's for 5 people? This dude didn't have a freaking clue what he was doing!
@slehar
@slehar 5 лет назад
Kind of tells you all you need to know about what kind of pilot he was.
@mktsmith62
@mktsmith62 3 года назад
Sitting through this particular analysis was like watching a train wreck. Once the initial mistake was made, everything else fell into place for maximum disaster.
@trezndawg4240
@trezndawg4240 2 года назад
I've always heard how vital it is to, Know and Definitely Trust your instruments!
@dumbcat
@dumbcat 5 лет назад
man people need a channel like this for automobiles too
@shreddder999
@shreddder999 3 года назад
No problem. Just search RU-vid for Russian dash cam videos
@paulsccna2964
@paulsccna2964 3 года назад
It seems like a large percentage of single pilot small craft crashes are due to the pilot simply ignoring the flight services related to weather. The pilot clearly knew about the high tops, as he kept moving up over directed altitude. He visually knew the tops and the weather was a concern. And simply could have turned around, and landed at Paso Robles, and waited out the weather. Often in Southern California, in that area, if you wait, often just a couple of hours, those weather fronts clear out and move east. So, literally stopping, grabbing a couple of burgers at Paso Robles, could have saved his life and his family.
@TOMVUTHEPIMP
@TOMVUTHEPIMP 2 года назад
He had "get there-itis" and would have gone no matter what anyone told him anyways.
@imzii
@imzii 5 лет назад
Why accept an IFR clearance if you're not IFR rated? Sad he had to learn this lesson the hard way. Even more sad, his family was with him. RIP.
@BluegrassFilmsKY
@BluegrassFilmsKY 5 лет назад
The dead learn no lessons, learning is for the living. Can't remember where I heard that but it always stuck with me.
@rockandrollfish
@rockandrollfish 5 лет назад
BluegrassMedia True!
@Banshee365
@Banshee365 5 лет назад
He accepted the IFR clearance because he saw it as a way to get to his destination. He had severe get-there-itis.
@GbengaAmedrovi
@GbengaAmedrovi 5 лет назад
@@Banshee365 but why didnt the ATC ask him if he was IFR rated? I blame ATC....they noticed he kept on changing altitudes to stay clear of the clouds and yet suggested an IFR clearance for him without even asking if he is rated or even still current.
@Banshee365
@Banshee365 5 лет назад
@@GbengaAmedrovi Because ATC is not required to vet a pilots' certifications prior to issuing clearances. That's not how this works. All of that is up to the pilot. That's the job of inspectors on the ground. ATC cannot be blamed in any way for this accident. It's all on the PIC for poor decision making.
@RydalS
@RydalS 3 года назад
So thankful to the ASI for bringing us these lessons, so that their lives were not lost for nothing but can save others.
@MrDouglind
@MrDouglind 2 года назад
These videos should be a part of all pilot training .
@bena6575
@bena6575 5 лет назад
So sad.. classic example of get-there-itis. Hope some pilots can learn from his mistakes.
@walidbast
@walidbast 5 лет назад
One hell of a heart breaking story.
@chuckschillingvideos
@chuckschillingvideos 5 лет назад
And entirely preventable and unnecessary.
@nofurtherwest3474
@nofurtherwest3474 4 года назад
Doesn't get more heart breaking that losing a whole family. I can't imagine.
@Readsbyjess
@Readsbyjess Год назад
As a flight student these videos are so valuable even though they are so frustrating to watch considering majority of the time if the pilot would just drop their ego and say “hey I’m in deep shit and need help and I’m not qualified in IFR” the situation would have ended so differently. It’s gut wrenching to see the countless opportunities this pilot had to turn around or declare an emergency and receive help to re enter VFR conditions yet he deadass took an IFR clearance no question asked AFTER likely leaving two of his passengers hypoxic. Such a tragic event that could have been avoided
@nicholasmarino1733
@nicholasmarino1733 3 года назад
Hi, my CFI, who is also an airline pilot, trained me to follow the three C when I find myself in a bad situation. They are, Communicate with ATC, Confess your situation, and Comply with ATC instruction. Almost all ATC folks want to help us numb brain pilots out of a dangerous situations. It WORKED FOR ME.
@drewsg3
@drewsg3 5 лет назад
These are so informative and so incredibly well produced, it's unfortunate that they come at the expense of other people's lives.
@65SATisfaction
@65SATisfaction 5 лет назад
One stark aspect of this tragedy that conveys a powerful warning about VFR into IMC is the timeframe involved: - ATC offered this pilot the IFR clearance at 3:50pm. - Last radar contact with the plummeting Lancer was at 3:56pm Think about that.. 6 minutes later... That's all it took... 360 seconds..
@NetAndyCz
@NetAndyCz 5 лет назад
Yeah, he survived twice as long than is average, but the IMC is rough if you are not ready. Probably even when you are ready.
@65SATisfaction
@65SATisfaction 5 лет назад
Wow.. that is an average I wasn't familiar with. 3 minutes. I'm thankful to learn from others, being "only" a 330 hour SEL, VFR, recreational pilot. Keeping myself, my wife, and our 3 kids safe is important, so this tragedy strikes home. I strive to be a disciplined and diligent pilot.
@NetAndyCz
@NetAndyCz 5 лет назад
@@65SATisfaction ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-b7t4IR-3mSo.html you should watch this, my PPL instructor made me watch it and I think it is excellent material to have back in your head not to go into IMC.
@210Driver
@210Driver 5 лет назад
@@65SATisfaction if keeping your wife and kids are important you should get your instrument rating
@dirtcurt1
@dirtcurt1 5 лет назад
@@65SATisfaction I remember my first visit to IMC with my instructor. I felt 2 minutes would have been enough to finish me. It was really bumpy and it wouldn't have been long. He showed me the scan and what to watch and in about 5 minutes it was still level and we were holding heading and altitude. It taught be to never go near that at all costs! Never!
@gogamarra
@gogamarra 3 года назад
So much could be said here, but I won't. His surviving family should be consoled, if at all, that they will continue to have purpose by saving lives through this video. Thank you for sharing. This is an important public service. RIP.
@gmccord1970
@gmccord1970 2 года назад
I remember the 1st time that I started my instrument training after getting my private pilot's license. I fixated on the gages had a hard time holding a heading and it was so difficult to configure my my navigation equipment. I can remember I got the leans pretty bad the 2nd time I went up under the hood along with nausea even though we weren't really doing anything excessive. When we went back to the airport I was so exhausted that I drove home and went to bed around 6:30 in the late afternoon. I am very close to my instrument check rideAfter 52 hours . IF YOU ARE A VFR ONLY PILOT PLEASE DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE CHALLENGES OF FLYING BY GAUGES. It takes A LOT of practice.
@raajashtaputre2803
@raajashtaputre2803 3 года назад
"We will just keep chasing the clouds" - how irresponsible is that, especially when you have your wife and three young kids depending on you. Climbing to FL180 and accepting IFR when you are not instrument rated - what was he thinking? I'd have turned SW the first time I heard that PIREP and landed around Santa Maria. Very troubling to hear the last few seconds of the ATC conversation.
@zirkon4164
@zirkon4164 2 года назад
1) Family safety comes first. 2) See point 1. /translate
@JohnDebrey
@JohnDebrey 5 лет назад
Weather, weather, weather. This a humbling video to watch.
@scottcol23
@scottcol23 Год назад
I love these videos. I've learned so much from them. I hate when they say, onboard was wife and 3 young children. I never took family on a cross country EVER. Before I got instrument rated. I knew the risks and was not willing to put lives in my hands. I was lucky, my buddy that i always did cross country with was a retired navy pilot. Very good guy. As they say.. If you got time to spare, Go by Air.
@mortalclown3812
@mortalclown3812 Год назад
Hearing these tapes are hard enough - this one was heart-wrenching.
@TheWilliamHoganExperience
@TheWilliamHoganExperience Год назад
I'm a sailor. The first thing you learn about sailing is that everything is dictated by the weather. If the forecast is ugly, prudent sailors stay in port. When you have passengers, you need to be even more careful. And cruising sailors have a saying: "The most dangerous thing on a boat is a callender". It's unwise to let a schedule dictate your itenerary aboard a boat or an aircraft. You respect mother nature, or you pay the price.
@man_vs_life
@man_vs_life 4 года назад
"..has plenty of room for his wife and three young kids." My heart sunk.
@Yankee-wd5kq
@Yankee-wd5kq 4 года назад
I worked at an airport in Idaho after 3 years as a helicopter crew chief in the army. I can't tell you how many times I've heard the same old story about people who "couldn't" cancel a fishing trip, reunion, wedding plans, etc. and ended the same way in the mountains. what a tragic, unbelievable thing to put your family into for such a trivial reason.
@joeshmooo5327
@joeshmooo5327 2 месяца назад
Seems like this is the type of video that should be made quarterly. There is certainly enough accidents to study.
@hhout9242
@hhout9242 Год назад
The pictures of the wings with the wires hanging out of them being ripped from the fuselage is worth a million words. These videos or something like them should be mandatory before taking a private checkride.
@drrandyhyer3084
@drrandyhyer3084 5 лет назад
These Accident Case Studies are so helpful to us pilots. I feel very sorry for those who perished in this accident, particularly the innocent. Nonetheless, their tragedy need not go in vain and we can gain from it. I make it a point to repeatedly ask myself “what is my out”? What is my backup? No meeting or event is worth my life. I especially feel this with my passengers who place their trust in me. And, honestly, in this day of iPads and SVT not to mention autopilots, I think it is reckless not to bring and engage these devices - especially in single pilot IFR. Flying is not dangerous per se, but it does have inherent risk. How we manage that risk determines how long we get to fly.
@Alvan81
@Alvan81 4 года назад
I've watched a few of these and it is SO heartbreaking that the destination or purpose for traveling is so ordinary and non life-altering..
@joannebrown500
@joannebrown500 5 лет назад
I know, it's not right to be judgemental. We weren't there. But by all the evidence, the man was an idiot! Low time, not IFR trained, not enough oxygen systems for all occupants, going into weather like that. I kept screaming at my computer, NO, don't do that! What an avoidable tragedy. And the worst part is, he took his trusting family with him. He had no right to expose them to risks they couldn't judge; he was supposed to be making good decisions for all of them, and look what happened. Love the Air Safety Institute videos. Please make more!
@cybersquire
@cybersquire 2 года назад
The videos are well done and highly educational. You guys are literally saving lives. This one bothers me more than other stories on this channel. Imagine that pilot, out of control. Breaking out of the clouds, watching helplessly as the ground rushes toward you and the last thing you hear is the screams of your family. Horrific.
@tedhoward3052
@tedhoward3052 5 лет назад
very tough to watch
@goutvols103
@goutvols103 5 лет назад
I think that there is more voice recordings of the family screams in the background which may have been a good idea not to broadcast.
@dryan8377
@dryan8377 5 лет назад
@@goutvols103 You would be correct. I've heard them. Sickening.
@guinefortCH
@guinefortCH 5 лет назад
SpaXpert You heard them? How that?
@MrMowky
@MrMowky 4 года назад
@@dryan8377 I have the same question. Where did you hear them?
@MrMowky
@MrMowky 4 года назад
@@goutvols103 poor kids ...
@coreyandnathanielchartier3749
One more thing I would add is that many VFR pilots in single engine planes fly above cloud layers, and have no viable plan for a descent through those clouds if they lose their engine. The first time a person gets spatial disorientation (vertigo, the spins, the leans, falling backwards, etc), is the worst, and can be totally debilitating. Total shock and confusion. Persons who have excellent balance are the most adversely affected. Add in fear, that it will happen again. If you've ever watched a cat in an elevator, you can get an idea of the paralysis brought on by the spatial illusion.
@callmemimivlog2617
@callmemimivlog2617 Год назад
That was my question before. They should not teach vfr pilot to fly above clouds, because what if there is no scape from that?
@jamesdriscoll6411
@jamesdriscoll6411 4 года назад
Did some cross-country training in the SoCal area recently after earning my instrument rating, and as a pilot that’s previously only flown in Florida, the landscape and weather was a sobering experience to have so many new considerations including icing, high MEAs, and rapidly changing weather during the winter/early spring time. Flying IMC into near-icing conditions really makes you appreciate the help that approach and center can give with altitude and heading amendments. Never be scared to ask for help, even if you get yourself into a situation you shouldn’t have, the controllers still want to see you get on the ground safely.
@AureliusR
@AureliusR 5 лет назад
How... just HOW could you put your entire family at risk like that? It makes me so angry. Those little girls had their lives stolen by their own stubborn father.
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