Allan Lichtman: The Keys to 2020 | Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO) 

And better wig.

Gale Patrick just don’t listen to him on personal finance. Taking out a mortgage to fund your political campaign is very stupid. Only a financially illiterate person would do that.

@@fredfriedman-sowell1864 That shows Allan has a spine and he is passionate. Reminds me of A. Lincoln.

It seems his prediction was correct, how about that?

Right again

@@dayo8843he saying a lot has to go wrong for Biden to lose.

We can forget about having a choice. That belongs to the Israel lobby. AIPAC selects our pres. We act like we are doing things, but just spinning our wheels.

Dave Alberts This might be the dumbest thing I have ever read. Though now I see where Omar gets her support.

Fred Larson, sounds like something a Zionist would say. Dancing Israelis, lucky Larry Silverstein.

Fred Larson and we all know where lying ass trump gets his support

Maybe Nancy Pelosi can handle that if she don't get too old & stupid (but you've already heard about the doctored video done by the Repubs.) after all she did say they know exactly what they are doing it's just a matter of time.

J D I think it has to do with timing of the show by technicians. Because it’s live it’s hard. Maybe the show should be longer

I don't like interviewers who are talking with an expert but the interviewer is trying to correct the expert. Bill just ends up clouding this guy's important and clear message. Let the expert speak so we can learn. If Bill's got nothing sharp to say then please don't say it.

Yup

That word has been removed already, or rather it never was there in the first place. It is electability you are thinking of I presume.

@UCEvBjgYTurSK9SmAV8UPDhA stop taking those opioids sweetie. You're starting to sound like an autistic seagull.

You are a douchbag why don't you use some more buzz words you fucking hack

Dumbass looking to sound smart bahahaha fucking laughable

@RavenPoe His current keys are in Biden's favor this time but I'd take it with a grain of salt because Trump is so unpredictable.

@@eec589 he did say Trump will win in 2016 Everyone ignored him then

serixirose Yeah, he got a couple of elections wrong but plenty more correct.

I might be wrong, but I thought he said "remedy", not "rhetoric". Anyway, it's hard to understand him because of the cheers of the crowd.

@@DaGodFadder69 - If house votes for Impeachment it still stands, it's like an indictment or being brought up on charges I guess, but he just doesn't get removed from office if the Senate doesn't convict. This is why our Senate races are so important. I think many of the Dem Presidential and Governor candidates who almost won should run for Senate

@@DaGodFadder69 - I'm not gonna debate that with you. Just read the Mueller report and I watched the whole dang testimony and that's not what he said at all! Trump is in love with Putin. He's been praising him since day one. Listen back to all his comments ON TAPE. I just heard another one on his phone call that caused so much controversy with the Australian President who disagreed with him. Trump again talked about how much easier it was to talk to Putin. If you want a government like China, North Korea, Saudi Arabia and Russia.....Then move there.

He is a fucking traitor.

That worthless POS must GO!!!!

I wish people would put just as much energy into winning the Senate majority as they do fighting about the Presidential primary. If a Democrat wins the Presidency but doesn’t control the Senate nothing will get done as Mitch will just block everything.

@@user98xp /understatement I would have capitalized fucking.

Boy, you said it. This isn't about Trump at all. It's been about McConnell (and the Senate) since before Trump showed up on the scene slinging his bad (but apparently charismatic?) weave around.

The only principal the Dems have is institutionalizing the 1930's constitution of the Soviet Union....No Joke , go look up Stalin's constitution and compare it line by line with Democrat stump speeches. And I'm not letting the GOP off the hook because there are MANY never Trumper's that would be just fine with that.

@@MichaelSmith-xb5cp So everything that soviet Russia stood for is bad? Could it be that all political viewpoints have something to offer? Seems you have a defined fear of things you clearly don't understand. The fact that Trumpanzees are cool with his love affair with Putin mystifies me. Is Putin suddenly a modern theorist? A person deeply involved in an admiration of humanity? This is, of course, the old Guelph vs. Ghibelline argument. Many people are willing to lie about their true beliefs. Honest Democrats & honest Republicans will not do this. Dishonest adherents will always be willing to lie to further their cause. Dishonesty is rampant today. Hope our species survives...

The problem with communism is it would be the perfect system, everyone working together to help each other, if humanity didn’t include evil fucks. But since they exist, it just won’t work. This is the best line ever from him, no principals, which they’ve shown over and over, look at Carolina’s House in 2016, that took both a spine and no principals to circumvent Democracy by stealing the newly elected governors powers before he could take office. If only the Democrats could grow enough spine to choose Bernie Sanders.

@@ticnatz I lived in former Yugoslavia and we were far better than Soviet union so can tell you first hand. One party only. Talking against the party is a crime, in some cases, you go to prison and in some cases, you just vanish. Not many things to buy in stores, if there is, usually there is no money. Out of 45 years Yugoslavia existed, at least 15 people were hungry. Corruption - it is more important that you are communist then competent. Yugoslavia started in a bloody war and eventually ended in a bloody war. No private companies allowed, except small ones. If you are an entrepreneur you are a citizen of the second row. After country collapsed, also economy collapsed, not being able to compete on the free market. Today Russia is far different then the Soviet Union, it relays on the free market and has its roots in Christianity.

A very funny line when one considers the Democrats are the party of slavery and the KKK... who hate the Constitution... and support abortion up to the time of birth. They're quite disgusting, actually.

TKJ Nap If the Dems has spines the USA wouldn’t have those abysmal trade deals with China and the rest of Asia contributing to the $800 billion trade deficit and millions of job losses.

Impeach for WHAT! There was NO crime committed! You don't get to make up crimes! Nancy actually got this one right and is trying to tell the far left wackos in her party that it's a mistake with this impeachment nonsense!

Well.. this year it’s biden for win. Said by Lichtman

He does. Here's a link to his book ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-xrJv_n9OmVk.html You can work out or do the dishes to it :)

He’s the professor that has correctly predicted every president for 40 years

Democrats have no principles, its why they're latching onto the regressive and racist Far-Left ideology of Cultural Marxism and Identity Politics. When candidates apologize for being white, or think their gender or race means they're owed the Presidency, then its clear they lack any sort of true principled stance. The Democrats are now the party of Far-Left extremism, that defend terrorist groups like AntiFa and call for violence against political rivals and fellow citizens.

@@My-Name-Isnt-Important You mean like Donald did during his rallies? GTFO. Regressive describes the entire Boomer population and anyone getting their "news" from on an entertainment channel called Fox News. The EXCEPTIONS to the rule are Warren, Bernie, Noam Chomskie, etc. True Progressives are anything but regressive. I'm pretty sure you don't even know what the word means.

@@johnbrooke6867 Clearly you don't know about *Evergreen State College,* where Progressive students wanted Segregation, and threatened and harassed their professor so much, that he had to leave the college. Its the Far-Left out attacking people and calling for violence. You don't see others out in the streets rampaging and destroying property and attacking random people.

@@My-Name-Isnt-Important cant tell if you're a troll or only get your information from hyper partisan right wing conspiracy websites

@@nathanbruce1992 So you think Bret Weinstein being chased from Evergreen State College is a conspiracy theory? There are videos of it taking place, and multiple News publications wrote about it. I suppose you think the New York Times is a right wing partisan conspiracy website then, since they and many many others discussed it. Its clear *YOU* are an extremist to label anything that talks about events you don't want to hear about are a conspiracy theory. www.nytimes.com/2017/06/01/opinion/when-the-left-turns-on-its-own.html

Stop listening to people repeat the falsehood that dems have no spine. Bill Maher himself has proven many times that Republicans get a free pass from the Press and Public, while the Democrats are expected to be Jesus incarnate....with charisma. See "The Magic R" new rules..... I have watched Democrats exhibit an endless stream of courage and statesmanship and the Press and Public don't care. People treat Democrats the same way they treat the minorities that make up the Party....like doormats.

Yeah. Now it’s biden for win says Alan

lori gervais He’s all yours! Please take him...far, far away!

@@SKC193 you got something bad to say about Allan Rickman?

AnDarShow this comment wins

drumpf will never let Warren live down her exaggerated ancestry. Bernie's age will scare people off. That's not me talking, just my prediction of what others will say.

Cool. You're wrong, but hot take, bro.

Lol. Warren got hoodwinked by Trump by releasing her DNA results. Keep grandma in the Senate.

Ya go with either of those an kiss 2020 goodbye. None of the candidates are good. None of them. The center left crowd will vote for Trump for the most part. They need someone who will call out the obvious bullshit we see day in and out. Flipflopping amoebas who are self serving and over promising.

@earth ocean I am aware of this. I was responding to the OP's comment on the two candidates he mentioned.

He didn't debunk anything. His response to Maher was poorer than I expected. He neglected to mention the disaster of the highly progressive McGovern and Mondale campaigns, both being annihilated, McGovern losing 49 states to Nixon! Clinton was a centrist because the Dems realized they weren`t going to win another presidential election for another 40 years if they didn`t move to the center. He is right about personality though. Had Hillary had the same politics but had a completely different personality, she would have won. But if you want another 1972, go ahead and double down on ``we must nominate Democratic Socialists or I won`t vote`` that I hear repeated far too much from the Woke crowd. They will give the election to Trump.

Matty Blue I don’t disagree with you. Anyone who doesn’t vote out of protest is a fool, and this presidency should serve as a lesson that people never forget. But as far as socialists go, there is a system in place to defame and discredit them at every turn because they don’t want another FDR. The establishment has spent decades preaching scare tactics while trying to undo everything Roosevelt accomplished by vilifying workers unions which has led to 40 years of stagnant wage growth. They have also fought to chip away funding for Medicare & Social Security (not to mention public schools). What I’m getting at is that capitalism unchecked is backing people into a corner and they are creating a nation full of populists who will eventually come together to demand change, no matter how many times the establishment recycles cultural issues like abortion rights & immigration policy to divide people every election cycle. They’re running out options for divisive talking points.

@@MrBlue-lr8ci Everything you've said is spot-on. IMO Maher didn't push back at this guy anywhere near hard enough. I think he's a borderline crank. 'Predicting all elections correctly since 2004' amounts to getting four coin tosses in a row right. That's 16-1. That is not impressive, especially since three of those four elections had very heavy favourites. There are hundreds if not thousands of political analysts who predict elections in the US. Many, many of them will have better records than this guy; the only reason people have picked up on him is because he's a mouthy, confident guy who pretends he has some kind of magic formula for calculating chances. Even there though, notice that when Maher questions him about his categorisations of Clinton he wriggles on the spot and starts bending the rules of his own formula to make it fit. When someone starts telling us that we have to impeach Trump, a pointless move that would be immediately vetoed by the GOP and that is not popular with moderate voters(and obviously not with Trump supporters), we should demand a hell of a lot better evidence than someone getting...four election predictions in sixteen years right.

@Michael Anderson -- I've despised the Clintons for decades, but anyone with "zero regrets" over voting for the worst American president in living memory needs to consult a mental health professional ASAP.

@Michael Anderson -- Obama was a mediocre POTUS but at least not totally incompetent. After all, he did manage to shepherd through a fairly effective recovery from Bush Jr.'s disastrous economic meltdown, the worst such downturn since 1929. That said, Bush Jr. is merely stupid and tended to follow bad advice, but at least he seemed to have good intentions -- Trump has no idea what his intentions are apart from lining the family coffers and gratifying his delicate ego. The absence of any fucking idea of what he's doing is what makes him the worst.

World Shaper Did you read any of Lichtman’s books and have the ability to recite all of his 13 keys? Based on your comment, you sound like you didn’t and can’t as I at least read two of his books published in 2012 and 2017.

4 years ago he did the same to me. I love him as a professor, he's hot so much energy.

World Shaper thats dope! i bet in a classroom hes pretty amazing

Right. 1- you admit to the trait the other person shows and allows you to listen. 2- you don't agree with the context of the idea. Your listening helps with understanding.

Bill agrees "mostly" but his issue is about WINNING. They are talking about two different things. Most people understand quite well that the Senate will NOT impeach. Maher is only concerned about what get's the Left a win.

Gundum p

Yeah then we could have had 3 9/11 than just 1, way to go dumbass.

In my gut, Gore didn't champion for himself in Florida when the hanging Chad scandal broke. Who and what motivated him to just let Florida have their way? Sent our country down a sh*tspiral having Bush junior as our puppet potus.

@@joylopez2735 What motivated him was that Bush was already selected. And like every General Electoral loser he was compensated. Selling Current TV and his documentary made him enough money to forget about his loss and completely walk away from politics.

@@thomasfriday431 that sounds about right.

@@thomasfriday431 I thought as much, sincerely.

Manny S, he knows who is gonna win because AIPAC selects our president and uses media to make it a happen.

Voting machines are not connected to the internet or able to be accessed remotely, so what exactly are you wanting protected?

surely you're smarter than all the best hackers in the world being backed by the biggest countries in the world. get your head out of your ass

His 'predictions' amount to getting _how_ many elections in a row right? Four. That's it. And three of those elections had very clear favourites. That is not impressive. Consider also that there are hundreds, even thousands, of political analysts in the media who make electoral predictions. On average, out of a thousand analysts, about seventy of them would have gotten the last four elections right just by chance. The only vaguely impressive prediction was Trump in '16, and I predicted that myself. If I were to use coin tosses to predict election results I'd be just as accurate as him once every sixteen times. That's not impressive, and that's if I never took into account who was the favourite. If I took into account who was the favourite each time it'd be more like a 1 in 4 chance. This guy should not be taken seriously, and Maher didn't push back against his overconfidence enough imo. The idea that he's worked out some kind of golden formula simply because he got four elections right, three of which were extremely predictable, is absurd, especially when people are using his opinions to push for something as risky as impeachment.

Libtards will believe any scammer as long as they agree with them.

Libtards will believe any scammer as long as they agree with them.

WizardPatch bold thing to say while rightards (see what I did there) literally elected a guy president who‘s been a well documented con-artist his entire life, yet somehow so bad at it one would think he could only fool the dumbest of people.

@@mekullag9787 he is still less of a con than the Dems

I do like him...

Yang wont win tho. Maybe 2024. Or later once the threats of automation become reality

@the business handler He talked about it in a very nuanced way, this isn't like an all or nothing thing. Here, check out the policy if you are interested: www.yang2020.com/policies/media-fragmentation/ I hope you can agree that this is quite different from censorship.

Why are Americans so addicted to being entertained....like CHILDREN....that they need "charisma" more than competency??

Garance Roberts those things are not mutually exclusive you ignoramus.

@@catzel1ps452 I see, and you apparently find insulting to be entertaining.... You want Jerry Springer, not a functional intelligently-run Democratic Republic. Have a great...low....life.

Garance Roberts aha so typical of a sycophantic leftist to not be able to resist presumptions and posturing. True signs of an intellectual.

@@catzel1ps452 Again...insults...all ya got apparently

He doesn't have the same pull the same force today. Sadly

2kvideos 2K videos I like Bernie/Warren too but Murica is so mind fkd if you ask for your tax dollars to work for you that is somehow unconscionable.

@Jo P What you're saying is innacurate. Him and Tulsi are the ONLY ones pushing for a M4A single payer system. Everyone else is pushing a watered down version. They are also the only ones that want to end the offensive illegal wars.

But that would hurt MSN Golden Grandfather Biden. Smh

YEZ Yang 2020

After this period of awful Republican behaviour and an even more disgusting President, why would anyone want them back. Why is necessary to be left or right? Balance is what we try to have in our lives, why not in politics?

Yeah because we all know that electing a communist will do wonders for improving this country.

Michele Kett with all due respect, centrists have been screwing people over for long enough.

imzjustplayin whilst Michele seems to be confused, you seem to be an idiot drunk on Fox News. Communist? Really?

@Respect/Walk Actually that would be, most agnostics.

@Eileen Farrar leave him be, you know how the bully picks with the person they are most jealous of. Well, that's what he's doing in every post he makes.

Except for that Mair idiot

Nope nobody with a brain wants Bernie especially Wisconsin with all the farmers they don't want Eminent domain

RU-vid downgrades the resolution for Copyright reasons.

@Michael Anderson lol You need to stop, you aren't even a Democrat. lol

@Michael Anderson No worries, Beto doesn't have a chance anymore! He will fail miserably in the debates ...

66% of Americans want to legalize weed. 56% support Medicare-for-All, 60% back a millionaire tax, and 62% are for free college. And guess what? The majority of independents support all of these. If the Democratic candidate just repeated these four things over and over again, Trump would lose.

Pbfreespace3 he lost last time, and how did that work out?

seraphonica running an establishment democrat will guarantee a trump Win

Michael Anderson he most be anti white right

@Michael Anderson why are you using Beto as an example? He's not even polling in the top 5.

We need two primary Democratic Debates. One with 9 candidates, and one with 10.

He looks like the guy with the question marks on his his suit

Galactic Warlock Like Jim Carey playing the Riddler?

@@itsjustmenova no he is the guy on infomercials

The free money guy.