We've had a miserable summer. We get a few warm days and we get this. STOP IT! OMG! A few warm days followed by thunderstorms in a UK summer??? Who'd have thought it? Whatever next?
Anything to go back to that refreshing day we had at the end of June after that hot spell when it was really low humidity, 20mph breezes and 18C, that was warm enough, perfect even.
The state of the climate report is a review of the weather from 2023 and how the data from that year fits in to our changing climate. We have had a cooler summer than average this year so far, and these types of summer will continue to occur, but less frequently. Perhaps that is why it is so notable for so many people as it is such a change from the warmer summers and years we have become used to in recent years. This pattern also fits with the year to year variation that Mike discuses in the video. To see how our climate is changing we look at longer term trends in which it is very clear that there has been a change in recent decades.
And of course the Met Office knows everything about climate science, right? Not just the weather. No, they have a magic crystal ball in which they can see the future. Because everybody knows the future is always perfectly linear...right?
Has the Heat Island affect been taken into account, please note many weather stations that were in the countryside 50 years ago are now in built up areas. So they are not monitoring like for like. Please note there are several weather stations right next to commercial and military airports/airfields.
Richard - you could have found the answer in less time than it took to write the question... Yes, the heat island effect is considered when measuring temperature changes in Britain. Urban heat islands (UHIs) can significantly influence local temperatures, especially in densely populated areas. To ensure the accuracy and representativeness of temperature data, meteorologists and climatologists employ various strategies: 1. **Selection of Weather Stations**: Temperature measurements are often taken from a mix of urban and rural weather stations. This helps balance the data and provide a more comprehensive picture of temperature changes across different environments. 2. **Adjustments and Corrections**: Statistical methods are used to adjust for the UHI effect. These adjustments help account for the artificial warming caused by urbanization and ensure that long-term temperature trends reflect broader regional changes rather than localized urban effects. 3. **Homogenization of Data**: Historical temperature records are homogenized to correct for changes in measurement practices, station locations, and urbanization. This process helps create consistent and reliable long-term temperature datasets. 4. **Comparative Analysis**: Temperature data from urban areas are often compared with data from nearby rural or less developed areas. This comparison helps identify and quantify the UHI effect. By employing these methods, the impact of urban heat islands is mitigated, allowing for more accurate assessments of temperature changes and trends in Britain.
THIS is summer, at last! Admittedly, the heat is a little more than most like, especially at night..but I am not complaining after months of our so called summer, I.e. low pressure after more low pressure systems.. Wind, cold, rain, slate grey skies will be with us before we know it.. Enjoy summer whilst we have it! I love thunderstorms, really hope we get some 💥⚡️😁 Excellent DD 👍🏼
Very many thanks Annie and Mike, a very informative and interesting Deep Dive. Thank you so very much Mike for explaining just how Climate Change will affect our youngsters and their youngsters, I can quite see how that will happen. It’s changed so very much from my childhood years to now, quite a difference for certain! However, as Mike rightly says as time goes on the coming generations won’t know the ‘now’ only the ‘then’. Many thanks to you both and to the Met. Take great care with the heat everyone.😊
To those complaining about this summer, I’ve met Spanish students here to study English who absolutely love the fact they are not having to spend time in the horrendous heat in continental Europe at the moment. We have been blessed to remain so cool and wet this year. It won’t last forever and then we’ll be in trouble
@@Mykst didn’t say I wanted the country to 🔥, I said I wanted better weather. We are meant to have seasonal weather which appears to be mixed up. I like summers days etc not this cold weather
That was very interesting thank you. Always watch the short weather reports, but first time I have watched the indepth completely. I used to cringe as a child when my Dad was so interested in the weather after the news and we had to keep quiet when it was on. Now I am a father and doing the same thing, keeping an eye on the weather constantly cos it changes so much day to day. I am glad I live in East of England though as generally get more stable weather than other areas of the UK. Thank you Annie
Excellent as always! Thank you! Annoyingly but unsurprisingly, the more popular these videos get, the more idiots pop up in the comments 🙄 love the live format and keep it up!
I had the misfortune of working in a factory during the 1976 summer,I can assure it wasn't pleasant, temperatures in the 90s is unpleasant in a large low roof building. Air conditioning didn't exist in such places back then.
Thanks ,Annie and Mike , a very interesting deep dive . When I was much younger I was terrified of thunderstorms , my Nan used to refer to them as , Mother Goose moving her furniture . Now I love them . Some time in the 1950's , my late Mum in law witnessed ,Ball Lightning ,a rarity I believe . Are there any records of this occurring ? thanks again , stay cool , and stay safe .
In this post-glacial period we live in, land is rising IMBY (Liverpool bay). To what extent is sea-level rise offset/exacerbated by post glacial rebound, both in rising and falling land areas of Britain?
In general further North is better off, and the South coast is in the worst position. Interestingly, this is actually exacerbated by the melting of the Greenland ice sheet. The ice sheet is so large that its gravity actually pulls the sea up towards it by a significant amount. As it loses mass it will cause a relative fall in sea level in the north of Scotland. This is part of the reason that Pacific island nations are some of the worst affected by sea level rise. They are furthest from where the ice is melting...
Man is ruining the world. This sticky heat we get is horrible. Roll on autumn. Its not enjoyable. I'm sure most would prefer 25c and not sticky . Nice but comfortable.
Wow, I'm surprised at how many people here think that global warming is not happening 😮 Questions: we know that the AMOC is slowing down and a recent paper paints a bleak (cold!) future instead of the more steady warming of our climate. How likely does the MET office thinks this is? Research shows that a tipping point towards AMOC collapse could bring an abrupt change, but what "abrupt" means here in terms of human generations? I know this is quite niche, but may be interesting as a way to further inform people about the science of climate change and how this relates to our weather. Thanks for very interesting videos!
I suspect the trolls are out due to the title of the video. It would seem that some people are so sad they will actively search for any content with climate change and make a disparaging ill-informed comment. The fact that this video has 104 comments in little under an hour I reckon bears my theory out. For these types of people it would appear that they celebrate revelling in stupidity. That they would dismiss countless thousands of scientists across the globe, engaged in an unprecedented amount of research is so very sad.
So just a couple of nice hot days , roughly 2 weeks of something summery, then back to absolute rubbish again, great, I'm moving to Cyprus, at least it's constantly hot n sunny there, never known 2 years in England like it, wettest ever and we've lost the longest days 😢
You and me both, I love the proper heat and sunshine, and won't look back at this shambles of a country....going to die with the sun on my face.....hopefully!
Nice to enjoy some prolonged sunshine, but being fussy a little less humidity would be appreciated, especially when out mountain biking or walking 🥵 🚴 🥾
There we go again, jet stream too far south & seemingly split with us in-between, holding bad weather in place over us for next week. Why is this happening so much this year?!
People are confusing the climate with weather. I thought it’s the hotter waters in the ocean that is feeding more storms/ hurricanes to start earlier and for a longer period of the year which affects the U.S. The remaining low pressure then hops onto the jet stream meaning we end up with wetter colder summers as we encounter more low pressure areas.
We seem to have forgot the beast from the east....... I was out in that and minus -16-c I can say is really cold. So to say we are likely to see less cold events..... does not track for me......
Yes, that was one event you remember because it was so extreme. All that is being said is that we'll still have cold snaps and extreme weather events, maybe more, but that on average over the months and years it is getting warmer. Us as humans tend to only remember the memorable events from our lives and not the other time. I can remember your summers from my childhood in the 80s and I'd swear we had more hot summers back then, this summer before the recent warm spell doesn't feel as warm, but look at the statistics and whilst the events I mention happened they didn't happen as much as I thought they did because my brain hasn't retained the memory of the boring, wet summers when I couldn't go out as much. The same goes for winters, I remember the snow, building snowmen and going sledging in my childhood, but that didn't happen that much, even though in my memory says it did happen more often, just like I remember the snow in more recent years, the beast from the east, but I'm not qualified to base my opinion on this just from my own memory, our brains are wonderful things but do deceive us at times.
Thanks, as ever, for the deep dive. Can I join others in a plea for a brief tutorial on ‘forcing’ - how is this forecast and what is actually going on? Many thanks - Paul
I know evebody has there own likes about summer, some like it ccol some like the heat , but one thong that has been lacking the whole of this (so called summmer) is sunlight. There has hardly been any
Do you model in population density and concrete/tarmac growth (over time) in the temperature data? The heat maps looke like a people maps... so I am wondering if that plays into the increase? Or to question it differently, while would your temperature map show greater London as a being warmer than the surrounding area? If you are looking at global trends, you can offset the heating due to buildings etc, then account for the localised hotspots and get a truer general overall 'factor' of the increase of global warming.
Typical Brits in the comments, complain when we're not getting a summer where we can go out and enjoy the weather and then we get a week of nice weather and it's too hot!!! Yes, it can get a bear overbearing in the heat at the moment but it won't last forever and then we'll see people moaning it's too cold out too wet, you can't please some people!!!
I've kept records since 1983. Here, it's been the worst summer since 1986. . 4 degrees overnight in July in southern Scotland is unbelievable. Looking at today's chart though it hot in the south and over Harrogate. Is there any link?
Aw, I love how the weather map has a mind of it's own occasionally and Annie looks a bit flustered, bless her. Reminds me of Sidekick Simon and his 'digi-wall' on This Time with Alan Partridge
How can the Met Office tell us what is going to happen in years ahead , when they can't forecast the weather several days in advance? These deep dives are interesting to watch , but as for being accurate.. give me a break.
@@TheSuperTrickey Is it today's hot weather that is confusing you? Climate is straightforward , please don't feel out of touch , it is not confusing .. Honestly.
Much Kudos to Annie for braving talking about climate change. For some reason it still elicits confusion and dismissal, which is a shame. On a plus note, it does seem that the majority of people now have an understanding of what it actually means. Thanks for the Deep Dive, this was a great one!
I do enjoy the Deep Dive, but it needs to be more than an extended forecast. How about explaining basics such as why it’s hot this week but cool on others. That needs an explanation of the atmospheric soundings as was done a few months ago for a different reason. Other subjects could be : what causes the jet stream, what influences the stability or otherwise of the atmosphere.
It's all about what you are used to. Having spent some time in Australia w temperatures above 40 degrees C i can tell you that 32 C is considered quite nice. Same in other hot areas.
Two different climates. The average temperature for large areas of south eastern England is only around 23C. Nice or not, it's higher than where it should be.
What about the warm summers of the 70s i rember 1976 as mention in the video i think no rain for 3 months a drouth and many other warm summers before even that looks like were not going to see the like of that in the future
The top ten hottest summers in the central England temperature record. 1 17.72°C 1976 2 17.61°C 1826 3 17.41°C 2018 4 17.33°C 1995 5 17.32°C 2006 6 17.30°C 2022 7 17.28°C 2003 8 17.09°C 1846 9 17.08°C 1983 10 17.05°C 1947 There were plenty of hot summers back then, but most of them have happened in the last 30 years.
2023 was the wettest year on record for the Met Office gauge at Sutton Bonington Leicestershire. It was mentioned in the report but it broke the record previously set in 2012 so worth mentioning. The report statement there were no individual counties where 2023 was the wettest year on record should be clarified with observation data suggesting otherwise
lots of very interesting information - Question is there a point in world climate where global climate change could just run away. irrespective of our efforts to curb green house gas emissions. perhaps as a consequence of significant loss of ice over the poles. Spring was so slow coming to the east coast we kind of skipped it so just seeing two seasons 7 months cold and 4 months hot and a transitional month.
We will be flying to Portsmouth in August for the birth of our third grandchild. We are from Arizona, currently in north Texas. I asked my English friend how I should pack and she just laughed. I can’t wait, it’s been my dream to visit England all my life. I’m curious to see what hot weather in the UK feels like…we’re used to 100s F.
wow. all the denier trolls are out from the farm. great deep dive, thanks! I'm wondering if anyone knows a programme on youtube that covers world weather in the same way?
May of been the warmest year but have you considered its been the wettest year. We need the warm and sunnier weather for our farmlands otherwise fields would flood and become useless for over the rest of the years
Great episode Annie and Mike, really enjoyed the discussion on the storms and the wider climate change discussion. The information is fairly chilling, ha, weather pun not intended. I hope we can convince the people who only think in terms of money that life is more important than their companies.
Another interesting deep dive, thanks. I think it would have been even better if the first half was less of a detailed forecast - for example, there was an opportunity to explain what upper-level forcing is. For me, explaining the weather is the main reason to watch the deep dive.
Eleven months of cold and rain, then a brief warm period where the Met Office can throw out twaddle about climate change (formerly known as global warming).
Twaddle? Take a long hard look at GLOBAL climate trends, not local UK short-term trends! Look at global sea temperatures, look at increasingly unstable weather trends globally, look at ice melt in the Actic, heatwaves in Scandanavia etc etc.... Then perhaps you might reconsider it being twaddle.
@@stevejosmith Didn't Al Gore pedal this 20-30 years back We're supposed to be underwater by now... Politics is so not trusted....sceptism is warranted
I know you can't talk about everything in regards to climate change but I wish you'd have talked about rainfall and extreme weather events with your expert, Mike, and not just temperature and heat, even this was super interesting. Maybe there needs to be a whole episode on this report separate to the weather for the next 10 days, just a suggestion, we need to hear more what's in this report.
@@gaycha6589 I think you missed the point. Yes the climate changes but the problem is the *rate* it is currently changing at. Too fast to be considered natural.
@@gaycha6589 Yes. But climate change always has something causing it. Today, natural causes aren't present, but we know that human emissions of for example co2 has an effect and heats the planet.
@@Mykst no. I get it. Too fast maybe, but not as fast as the meteorite that took out the dinosaurs, who on longevity terms, were far more successful as species than are humans thus far.
I think if the tech is being tricky, you shocked edit it out using a hidden cut to the map for a mow. The presenters can stop and have think knowing it will be trimmed. And ignore the egg heads on here.
So the technology available to record ‘hot days’ in the 60s was nothing like we have today. So my synopsis is that the more technology advances, the warmer we get 😂😂
The technology in the 60s was surprisingly accurate. If you watch and listen to the entire video, this isn't all about hot days. Hot days have been chosen as a background narrative because the UK is currently experiencing a hot spell. A warming planet results in greater extremes of weather. The problem we are facing is that prior to the warming we are seeing, human civilisation arose in an exceptionally stable climate. As humans, we are now upending that stability in a very short time. This has considerable repercussions, most notably, food supply. The data is all out there if you wish to learn more. The choice is yours - remain uneducated or educate yourself.
the technology in the 60's (and back to the earliest records) was mercury thermometers, to automate measurement electronic sensors are used, both types were/are regularly calibrated so the records are comparable.
@@austinmorris1693 the location of measurement stations is comparable. volunteers had weather stations in their gardens; in the 60's we had thermometers, wet and dry, anemometers, aneroid barometers, rainfall recorders, also regular upper air measurements using weather balloons ( as shown in the Prisoner) to carry temp, humidity and pressure sensors with the data radio tx'ed to the ground, tracked by radar to give wind data.
@neillbutcher613 the same old technology used in the 60s and earlier is still used today to ensure the climate record is comparable, so you are incorrect to suggest improving technology is artificially showing climate signals.
@@Notasmurf-vw6to lol we’ve only kept reliable temp records since what the 1880’s. That’s not even a blink in the earths history. The Roman warm period ran for 150 years and was 2 degrees hotter than today
It was known as the medieval warm period because vineyards were grown in Yorkshire, high wheat grown in Scandinavia gave increased population and the vikings, Greenland got I s name because it was green, grassed. While we don't have temperature records none of these natural events can occur now so the climate must have been warmer so enable the growth.
Thank you, Annie. I pray you get rain without dry lightning, which is a nuisance at the very least. Over here in the US 30 C is not a heat wave except in New England or Upper Midwest.
