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GME Analysis Gamma Squeeze and Option Volatility 

esInvests - Outlier Trading
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22 июн 2024

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Комментарии : 72   
@rubenlarsen7673
@rubenlarsen7673 13 дней назад
The constant stream of anomalies with GME is undeniable. The existence of a need for obligations tied to ftds and derivatives to be constantly juggled is clear in the data. The persistence of this outlier data over time strongly suggests market manipulation. That's what makes this difficult to predict, because somebody is quite clearly playing defense.
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
GREAT synopsis. I think what confounds it even more is the methods shift over time. Too interesting..
@rubenlarsen7673
@rubenlarsen7673 13 дней назад
@@esInvests As can be seen in different types of swap disclosures, unusual paired far OTM options, positions moved to jurisdictions with limited disclosure, absurd share lending data - especially considering GME's unique shareholder structure, and weird glitches at weird times.
@rubidiumcratchet3420
@rubidiumcratchet3420 13 дней назад
agreed
@5HTrades
@5HTrades 13 дней назад
Appreciate you lending your knowledge to the gme puzzle.
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
absolutely! enjoying learning more about the whole thing!
@cryptato8563
@cryptato8563 13 дней назад
Fantastic episode! Looking forward to seeing your further discoveries.
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
I’m getting more excited myself haha really really interesting stuff
@tannerjohnson145
@tannerjohnson145 13 дней назад
6:50 Love this! We have had this exact thought for 3 years. Biggy and Richard Newton got most of there analysis from earlier speculation/hypotheses from Reddit. Specifically from users like Gherkinit (who called this recent run back on 5/3 well before DFV tweeted)
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
that's very cool - I'd love to connect more with them on the ideas. it's abundantly clear this is a massive hive minded sourcing and collation of information.
@geekogadgetz5948
@geekogadgetz5948 13 дней назад
I am only a 3.5 year trader, but the your intro got me excited too! 😁 I've been hooked on the GME series best one IRL!
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
haha that's awesome! i'm having so much fun learning.
@jonathanrobinson8816
@jonathanrobinson8816 13 дней назад
Another good analysis thanks. Selling covered calls on GME this week, so will be interesting
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
Seems like a decent bet so far. Whats the basis on the shares and strike for the calls?
@benjaminisrael2867
@benjaminisrael2867 13 дней назад
Implied volatility can goes against you be cautious your the risk that can happen up or down
@InsideTheJoshMind
@InsideTheJoshMind 13 дней назад
@@esInvestsI have mine at the 30 but only for the weekly. Drawing down my overall premium paid for my leap calls. So effectively a PMCC going.
@jesse5909
@jesse5909 13 дней назад
Great info
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
Glad it was helpful!
@maple913
@maple913 13 дней назад
Thanks Chief
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
No worries
@dduntz
@dduntz 13 дней назад
Is it all about the algo's now? If they are running the markets, which I happen to believe, then if the pattern is being "gamed", will the MM's be able to adjust? The walls closing in, maybe? Love your work!
@MKI4EVA
@MKI4EVA 13 дней назад
omg your awesome bro............thanks for these vids.
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
Right on!
@InsideTheJoshMind
@InsideTheJoshMind 13 дней назад
Hey man, do you ever offer one on one zoom call style training? I’d absolutely pay to specifically have some of my areas of blind spots covered. For the record been in the markets for almost 20 years now and been doing options for about 8 years. But you do know some things that are actually beyond me. Let me know. I’d be quite interested.
@letstalkstocks927
@letstalkstocks927 12 дней назад
WALRF is up 25 % in the OTC market! anyone know what's going on? I saw they got new management but l'm not sure if there is more of a catalyst?
@PlatinumPlopper
@PlatinumPlopper 13 дней назад
this is heating up quick
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
That’s one of the most interesting things about this stock. It can be extremely quiet and dormant for long periods until its not.
@tannerjohnson145
@tannerjohnson145 13 дней назад
11:20 Can you check out the potential buyer on Thursday Jun 20th of 5000 June 28 22c 1000-2000 June 28 26.50c at EOD $2.5 million big block and sweep orders for weeklies? Massive volume on a low OI strike, that buyer is basically all of the liquidity forcing the counterparty to be a DMM like Wolverine Trading correct? Didn’t see any corresponding volume to suggest any spreads/strangles. The price action corresponding with that option flow was extremely bullish as well suggesting possible immediate delta hedging? Would love your opinion/feedback on this!
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
Absolutely, I’ll take a look
@gtv6sam
@gtv6sam 13 дней назад
@@esInvests 5k is DFVs signature isnt it.
@johnnathion4387
@johnnathion4387 13 дней назад
hey man i like the videos, just to let you know the audio sometimes seems drowned when i watch on my tv and headphones.
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
Oh interesting - if anyone else has that issue I’d love to know. Not sure what would cause that tbh, but appreciate the heads up!
@dduntz
@dduntz 13 дней назад
No audio issues here.
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
right on thanks. it looks like John might just need to get a not scrub TV (joking john : ))
@Entremanures
@Entremanures 13 дней назад
fun stuff
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
The party continues!
@jarjarss5123
@jarjarss5123 13 дней назад
Let's do it again!!!
@jarjarss5123
@jarjarss5123 13 дней назад
Also. The Dark Knight was released on July 18th 2008. Just some movie trivia for ya.
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
that is a fun fact haha
@KryptoLink
@KryptoLink 12 дней назад
​@@jarjarss5123 please No Dates. We had this movie theories and they where Always wrong
@jarjarss5123
@jarjarss5123 12 дней назад
@@KryptoLink All Dates. Thanks for coming to my TED Talk.
@TheUtzfactor
@TheUtzfactor 12 дней назад
I have calls that expire at $26 on June 28th do you think the stock can make its way up there towards $27 $28
@esInvests
@esInvests 11 дней назад
Certainly possible. Right now I'm seeing a 61% probability of touching 27 before expiry.
@businessanonymous5142
@businessanonymous5142 13 дней назад
You should cover $TUP - the stock has a float of 40million and a marker cap of 54million... 20% short interest and they issue buy backs Q4 every year
@alexponce3789
@alexponce3789 12 дней назад
What software is this?
@esInvests
@esInvests 12 дней назад
thinkorswim
@RichardNewton
@RichardNewton 13 дней назад
Great video! Excited to see what your takes are on the Volatility Cycles. Let me know if you'd like to chat. I can be reached if you request permission to my sheet and PM me there. :)
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
hey man, definitely happy to reach out. i've nowhere near the depth you or others have on all the background so i'd love to learn more.
@Buy_YT_Views_897
@Buy_YT_Views_897 13 дней назад
If only RU-vid had a repeat button.
@MinecraftSurge
@MinecraftSurge 13 дней назад
gme max pain is 23
@seemeartist
@seemeartist 13 дней назад
Could someone be buying 125c to keep the IV high?
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
Don’t really need someone buying there for IV to be high at the strike
@seemeartist
@seemeartist 13 дней назад
@@esInvests Appreciate you. Look what the 125c were asking during the run ups. Buyers are banking on Extrinsic Value.
@KKrusher
@KKrusher 13 дней назад
Contact Richard asap!
@arsumbris6392
@arsumbris6392 13 дней назад
Occam's Razor (I know, I hate that cliché) suggests the simplest explanation for what you see in the options chain is this: the creation of synthetics through MASSIVE naked shorting by those legally permitted to do so (through legal loopholes) is WAY DA F*** out of control, beyond anything people think is normal, reasonable, or sane. They EXPECT to naked the piss out of any squeeze, then "shell game" the excess float (through ETFs) over time.
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
i'm not sure that would be the simplest explanation necessarily but it's absolutely one that logically connects.
@metsanyc
@metsanyc 13 дней назад
That is not how Occam’s Razor works lol
@arsumbris6392
@arsumbris6392 13 дней назад
@@metsanyc ​ The explanation that "posits the fewest entities, or fewer kinds of entities, are to be preferred to explanations that posit more" is (simply put) "crime".The FTD shell game is a simpler set of variables to explain the behavior of the options chain in GME than "an extensive and largely unknown free market black box" as conventional explanations prefer. The theory with the fewest variables is "you are witnessing the crime of naked shorting by the few with the legal privilege to abuse liquidity clauses". Small group with that privilege abusing it excessively; simplest answer that fits the evidence.
@metsanyc
@metsanyc 3 дня назад
@@arsumbris6392 Oh I didn’t even know you responded. What a happy accident. Yes, you are almost correct, but not quite. If you think “crime,” without any credible evidence, leads you make the least number assumptions, I don’t know what to tell you. Try again with your dictionary lol. Or try school again.
@metsanyc
@metsanyc 3 дня назад
These “entities” you mention need their qualities rigorously compared to one another. Defining Occam’s razor merely as “the simplest answer” is an absurdly lazy oversimplification, typically made by the unread. Assumptions are not equal; it’s their quality, not solely quantity, that matters for the razor’s conclusion. Your baseless assertion that a “crime” is taking place, founded only on other flimsy assumptions, is a prime example of weak reasoning. It’s a pyramid scheme of assumptions. Rethink your stance before resorting to Google or ChatGPT to reinforce your assumptions further.
@MrSkeemdolla
@MrSkeemdolla 13 дней назад
First 😂
@wesly333111
@wesly333111 13 дней назад
Bla bla bla price going down
@martalegendi6847
@martalegendi6847 13 дней назад
Your comment wasn't necessarily.
@webulllchat
@webulllchat 13 дней назад
PLEASE stay off trying to teach Wall Street you have no clue what you're doing
@InsideTheJoshMind
@InsideTheJoshMind 13 дней назад
Hey man, do you ever offer one on one zoom call style training? I’d absolutely pay to specifically have some of my areas of blind spots covered. For the record been in the markets for almost 20 years now and been doing options for about 8 years. But you do know some things that are actually beyond me. Let me know. I’d be quite interested.
@esInvests
@esInvests 13 дней назад
Hey man, I do as much as I can on here for free. I have a patreon you can check out and see if anything in there aligns well with what you’re looking for - link is in the video descriptions. Also happy to help field anything you’d like during my weekly live sessions, Monday and Friday at 5pm PT!
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