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I watched this video years ago and learned basically nothing from it, that's because I was in over my head. Coming back and watching again and WOW the amount of quality knowledge here should be behind a paywall. Thanks for everything you do Evan and lets get stacking!
You're welcome Luke! I've started making videos for pokercoaching premium, check out pokercoaching.org if you'd like to get a 3 day free pass!!! There's content that goes well beyond what this video teachers. Get ready to get stackin!
Absolutely, love it too! Although in 2024, the concept of position and Modern Poker Theory already is somewhat outdated (admit it - you never really understood what’s the big deal about information anyway) and we’ll see a trend back to the long forgotten, what Dan Harrington once called “first-in vigor” - the power of first to pressure. You’ve heared it here first! You’re down with OOP? Yeah, you know me!
The best Gripsed video you will ever watch: The Triple Threat. Core concepts: Understanding Position, Understand Odds and Equity for all situations, The Mathematics behind Aggression and why it works! buff.ly/1sqc4qy
One of the best videos I have seen. I feel like once you get a basic understanding of poker you realize how good this video is. It is just about the easiest way to take a jump to the next level but taking the time to watch this video. I also think this should only be used once you have an understanding of when you probably should fold. I think if I tried to play this agressive when I first started, I would not know when to step aside because the aggression/bluff wasn't working because I was crushed.
I recently started playing poker. I can never thank you enough for making me realize that all those losses that i thought were bad beats are actually not. They are just some suck outs. This gives me hope and the desire to continue. This is by far the best lesson i have ever seen.
Thank you so much Sumit! Glad you found the lessons helpful! If you want some extra structure with your study check out gripsed.com/pgms my 30 day free training program :)
This is such an important video for everybody who truly wants to understand what this game is really all about. Need to work on paying more attention to my position, though I have the feeling that i'm already doing that pretty well intuitively. Got that aggression and selection thing checked for the most part, too. Evan, I love your videos! Such a great job you do and you've already helped me a lot. Thanks for that.
**THE MONA LIZA OF POKER** I have seen more than 100 videos of different instructors. This video has the easiest and most incredible ways to explain the most important concepts to really be a winner. From this video you can generate a more sophisticated level of specific concepts for each style or case of player. If these concepts are followed, success is guaranteed. **I call this video**. **THE MONA LIZA OF POKER**
take the odds of both required cards and multiply them. so for the flush you had 10 outs to hit the turn (21.3%) x 9 outs to hit the river (19.6%) = 4.17% your odds of making a runner runner flush are about 24:1
I am trying to bust out of my Elephant animal type and turn Lion or Tiger. I, for maybe the 1st time ever floated air and made my backdoor flush not once, but twice. I would have not known that was 24-1 odds. I am glad for this reality check. Sometimes online poker is unreal...
started with 200 dollars played breakeven poker for about 6 months +/- 50 bucks and since i started watching and applying these concepts i have turned my bankroll into 4200 with a couple nice scores in tournies and 25nl cash games
Dear Gripsed or other people watching this video in 2016, Aren't the odds in the table at 34:00 a bit too low? When having 9 outs, the chance of hitting an out is 9/(52-5)+9/(52-6), which is 38,7%, while on this table it says the chance provides you a chance of only 35,0% The same thing applies to the other equities. Please tell me if I'm wrong or made a mistake in my calculation. Thanks!
Sir I have been playing poker casually for a couple years. Realised like a year ago unless you're playing with buddies theres always someone who wants your money so it isnt something to go at casually! For me anyways with not tons of money!! I am also no great at math, go figure, but I love poker. I like to think I have a decent 'stock' game so to speak. Dont do much stupid stuff. But this video puts all the little breakdowns I (and ton of others I am sure), am having troubles trying to put a finger on to do with the ACTUAL theory side of things!! Made super simple as well. Explained a couple things I was having trouble with really well. Thank you.
three of a kind, when it is a set, can improve my either pairing the board, or making four of a kind. On the flop there are only 2 cards you can pair on the turn. On the turn there are now 3 cards you can pair on the river, which is what accounts for those additional 3 outs.
watched this video and i notice you are more FUN now than 2 years ago. Very nice triple threat but I felt like I was listening to my high school professor LOL.
Thank you for sharing this important information. Even though I find it intimidating, I am now applying the dynamic duo: postion&agression. Indeed with big hands I am getting paid more often than previously. P.s. I am also reading your chapter in the book Excelling at No-Limit Holdem by Jonathan Little. Great stuff!
Hey Graziano I've started making videos for pokercoaching premium, check out pokercoaching.org if you'd like to get a 3 day free pass!!! I also ended up writing my own book "Mastering Small Stakes Cash Games" Cheers!
There are billions of poker lessons on yt, but most of them are confusing and overcomplicated. This is one of the best explained poker basics I have ever seen. I'm going to check the rest of your channel and the web site. Thank you.
Glad you enjoyed my style Francesco, I've started making videos for pokercoaching premium, check out pokercoaching.org if you'd like to get a 3 day free pass!!!
Your videos are awesome. I belong to a very well known paid site and I find myself watching your videos instead of the ones I have paid for. Great Job and thanks for all the great info.
Just discovered this video and your channel. This is pretty much all the information I have been looking for, in particular Equity, Pot Odds, and Implied Odds are the biggest ones I didn't fully grasp till now. Thanks a whole heap for this video, I will surely check more out.
That's what it's all about, take some notes, watch again, and repeat. By the 3-5th time all this stuff will be second nature and you'll be crushing it!
Hey Gerald, I've started making videos for pokercoaching premium, check out pokercoaching.org if you'd like to get a 3 day free pass!!! The videos are more up to date, produced with more quality, and easier to follow/understand :)
IMO when playing the lowest stakes the most important part of your game is value betting. Also the stations at micros are willing to call anything with any piece so if you think you are ahead v a station just bet near the pot on each street and get the most from them. Playing multiple tables will increase your win rate as you play less hands and thus the top end of your range. Bluffing is only really good v the grinders who only want to play the fish and wont bother fighting back that often
on the Math Pot odds devide your call into the pot drawing odds look up the rule of 4 and 2 which is Outs times 4 plus 1 0r 2 and 2 times outs times 1 or 2 9 outs X 2 =18+1 is 19% 4 outs X2=8 +1 9% they need to equil each other or be cheaper on the call
Excellent video. I’m a little unclear on how to find what good hands to play. If I only play strong hands, then my opponents won’t be betting much against me, but if I play a wider range of hands, then I’d be losing more money. If you could help me understand, I’d appreciate it.
Yes, TT-QQ are blockers to AK making a flush, but their increased equity vs AK (as compared to 22's equity) is actually mostly due to the lowered risk of being counterfeited (e.g. on a double-paired board).
+Yann Pagenault You're most welcome Yann, glad my video helped you! If you want more material for understanding these concepts my Cash Game Crash Course book goes pretty in depth into it. You can get it free at www.gripsed.com/free Good luck + Happy Stackin!
it might be easier to learn if you standardized the stats so they can easily be compared for better analysis. For example: pot odds 3:1, odds to improve hand 4:1, odds of winning 9:1. it is confusing to hear 75 percent, then hear three out of four then see 75/25.
What a great video. Never knew about Pot Odds and betting before this. Then again, I am a recreational player. Be good to have a quick chart linking Pot Odds with Call or Fold decisions post flop with the caveat about Implied Odds.
Cheers Luke! Happy to help! I've started making videos for pokercoaching premium, check out pokercoaching.org if you'd like to get a 3 day free pass!!!
Wow, thanks for the Video and very easy to understand why, when, how much! Now i have a "real reason" to call, fold or check. I am really happy and looking forward to train before next time i play.
2008-2013 i learnd nothing and printing Money with bumhunting and Set Mining. Now 2022 i learnd More from this vid and the course then i ever learnd. Is Ur Book finished?
Hey Ryan, I've started making videos for pokercoaching premium, check out pokercoaching.org if you'd like to get a 3 day free pass!!! And thanks for helping us reach 100k subs, yo da man!
Tilt equity is when you throw someone off their game and they start playing worse as a result. It's a real thing, just hard to quantify in mathematical terms.
Awesome video Evan. The more I watch, the more I realize that I've been a cross between a fish and a mouse LOL. Not for much longer though thanks to your videos.
How do you use pot odds for calling on the flop when you are going to face more betting on the turn and different pot odds there? (Is pot odds on the flop meaningless?)
Pot odds is what you use when planning for the next street. If you expect to face 2 bets then you would calculate your odds on each street. Knowing the odds with 1 card to come and 2 cards to come is very helpful as it will help you find the +EV situations!
Best poker/Texas tutorial like this I have seen to far! Would be great to be your neighbor, man. Lol Cheers and seriously well put together video with easy math/conversions/sts etc TY!!👍🏻👏🏻
Team Gripsed Poker Training - Evan Jarvis You should be proud and ty, Evan!... I love your videos and ALL of your info truly works and makes sense and I have told all of the members on my team to WATCH and LISTEN to you!! AA+++ material!! Thank you for uploading!! Cheers, Blade/Joseph
30:45 - I think that Straight Draw doesn't necessarily has to have 8 outs, it's pretty common sense that you can have a straight draw with a 1 card gap OR when your straight is lowest or highest. For example you have A3, the board is 24J, you have 4 outs and that are 5 of each suit. There are only 8 outs of you have an open straight draw such as 89TJ, where the outs are Q of each suit and 7 of each suit, 2 cards times 4 suits = 8 outs. Correct me if I'm wrong. Thanks
+Hugh Jainus A straight draw implies open ended (or double belly buster/gut shot- such as TJ on a 78KA board). The gut shot/belly buster is usually referred to if you have the 4 out straight draw.
There is a problem with the Breakeven success rate formula. The problem is that half of the pot is already your money, so if you bet the pot you are risking 100 to win 50, the other 50 in the pot are from you, so that needs to be adjusted in the calculation.
Once money is in the pot it no longer belongs to you. When we are doing math calculations for poker we treat money in the pot as dead money. Each street is a mini game which starts with the dead money in the middle and then we add the player bets.
@@gripsed I understand, but this would also mean that every mini game costs you money to play (half the pot)... So you might be profitable in the mini game, but was that profit enough to beat the entry price
This is awesome for a beginner like me. So much of the poker stuff assumes you know all these basic concepts, or is just way obvious.One thing I don't understand (probably shows my level)--if you have a flush draw with one card to come, why aren't the odds 1/4 or 25%? I assume its something to do with known dead cards, but I don't know why the other unknown dealt hands mean any given card is still one in four to be a given suit.
+CNCTEMATIC Let's say you are playing against only one other person and he has no hearts and you have two. Out of the four cards on the table right now, 2 are hearts and 2 are other suits. That leaves a total of 9 hearts in the deck (13-your 2 - 2 on table), out of the total 44 (52- 2 your hand - 2 his hand - 4 on board). 9/44 = 20.45%
Kellen Massie Thanks--but still don't get it. In a, say, 6-handed game there are another 12 dealt cards. If you *assume* none of the opponents have hearts, the odds become 9/32 or 28%. Of course you can't assume that, tho. If you just assume 1/4 of dealt hands are hearts, and you know four hearts are dead, giving you your draw...my guess is that lowers the chance of a given unknown card being a heart. I'm not sure how. gripsed gives such an exact number. I just remember the rule of thumb that the odds of any card being dealt at any point is 1/52 ~2%, and one isn't told to adjust that after cards are dealt as (I thought) such chances more in proportion with the number of dealt cards.
+CNCTEMATIC --- Oh..... I think I see your mistake in logic....... It's a very easy answer. The reason why you do not get 25% for one card to come is because you no longer have 52 cards from which to choose. If you had a full deck to choose from (all 52 cards) then you are correct..... The odds that you will select any given suit is exactly 25% because there are 13 of them in a deck of 52. 13/52 = 25%. But you see...... anytime cards have already been dealt then your odds will change because the situation has changed. 13/52 = 25% no longer describes the situation correctly. As soon as you said "if you have a flush draw with one card to come" then your math has to change as well. You no longer have 13/52 = 25%. Think about it. How many of your suit are still left in the deck? Only 9. It is a fact. You can see 4 of your suit with your own eyes. 2 on the board and 2 in your hand. So out of the total of 13 how many of that same suit are left? Nine. The other fact is that those other 9 cards of your drawing suit are spread among a subset of 46 unknown cards. You have 6 known cards and 46 unknown cards. (you don't know what your opponent has). One thing to remember about math is that it is nothing but a tool to describe a situation with numbers. When you change the situation you have to change your math too in order to correctly describe the real situation. 1/4 = 25% DOES NOT correctly describe your scenario of "-if you have a flush draw with one card to come". The correct odds are now 9/46 = 19.6%.
Would you adapt the math for MTTs ? Especially in turbos, I think bluffing comes at a higher price since there is usually less room for bluffing without directly risking a 25-50% of your stack. So, how does the math change taking the importance of stack protection into account? Or at least, getting comfortable with being aggressive and losing many MTTs in cases of failed bluffs. Especially in the later states of the tournament, the progress you made becomes more valuable.
Hey Snamco, I've started making videos for pokercoaching premium, check out pokercoaching.org if you'd like to get a 3 day free pass!!! Check out the Tournament Masterclass and Advanced Tournament Course, I can promise you'll be very happy with what you see!
Great lesson Evan. Thanks. Need help to quickly figure out weather a call is profitable. If a pot has $100 and the call is $50 making the pot $150 that’s 3:1 or 25% So if I’m drawing to a gutter after the flop that’s 4 cards x 4% (2% on the river) = 16% I would say no, don’t call. Is that correct?
@@gripsed that is awesome I been watching you for years and in the last few months I finally started to beat low and micro stakes online .. so maybe getting into getting a coach would benefit me a lot
Come hit up the stream Shawn! I've started making videos for pokercoaching premium, check out pokercoaching.org if you'd like to get a 3 day free pass!!!
you mentioned that Pairs and High Cards ie A10 might make better hands one on one, but if 4 or 5 people are seeing the flops, you have better equity if you are on a draw. Also, you mentioned that Equity at the Beginning of the hand isnt the same as at the end of the 7 cards.... But how often are you betting the Turn and River with more than one or two other players? as you bet the Turn, arent you still weeding out weaker hands and, as such, creating a one-on-one or 3 way pot? and (sorry for the compound question,) since going for 3 of a kind or 2 pair is masked better, and if you have a draw and the draw comes in, you're likely to get paid Less when you get there...unless you've been double barreling like a semi bluff........Your thoughts?
This pot odds formula help to see when u call is it profitable or not, in the vid you say str8 draw or flush draw will be profitable if opponent bet 25 into 100 on the flop. It defnitely looks profitsble to me uh. But the formula [25+100]/ 25 = 5 is to 1 (20%) Straight draw is 8 outer, 17.6%. (equity) But base on formula isnt this a losing call. Equity is < pot odds. So was wondering how do you gauge whether its a profitable call based on the formula, calling 1/4 for a 8 outer draw is definitely profitable to me. But i am curious on how to use the formula to gauge.
Hi i am a begginer in poker for now,i only play with my friends ,and they are also begginers.The 2 problems i get and i don't know how to solve it is almost all the time they call the blind if nobody raise it pre flop,they rarely fold,the second one is that each time i want to raise to make them fold they still call even when they have J 4 off and sometimes we reach the showdown and they have the stronger hand..... So what i'm trying to say is how much should i raise if my stack size is around 500 and the bb is 10? or how i should approch the situation?
+Buta Dan Play like a NIT. Wait until you have a good hand with over a 50% chance to win and bet sizable amounts. If they just blindly call you, this is an easy way to take advantage of them. Once they realize they are losing to you a lot when you bet big, you can start bluffing more. Don't think that just because you think you are a good player that you can win with any hand every single time.
Hey Evan I got a question. Is it true that the calculation of the BESR and Pot odds look the same but have different outcome? or am I doing it wrong? I'll give you an example how I did this, the pot is 100 and we face a bet of 25 BERS: 25/(25+100) = 1/5 or 20% Pot odds: (100+25)/25 = 5:1 or 16.66%
You're welcome Joel, that's awesome! btw, I've started making videos for pokercoaching premium, check out pokercoaching.org if you'd like to get a 3 day free pass!!!
