How Ukraine's Spring Offensive Could End the War: A Tale of Power, Information, and Russian Politics

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The world is expecting Ukraine to begin a spring counterattack once the weather dries up. How will it affect the war? This video examines the possibility that the offensive could lead to an end of the invasion. In particular, we cover three possibilities. First, Ukraine could outright win. Second, it could demonstrate to Russia that the ultimate outcome will be favorable to Ukraine, thereby inducing Russia to withdraw. Finally, it could put Putin in a position where winning is very unlikely, forcing him to confront possible challengers at home rather than trying to gamble for resurrection abroad. Although none of these are particularly likely, we will investigate the conditions where they could arise.
0:00 The Upcoming Ukrainian Counteroffensive
0:51 An Outright Ukrainian Victory
7:55 Uprisings in Moscow
8:43 Communicating Ukrainian Strength
11:47 Chinese Intelligence Sharing
15:35 Putin's Personal Incentives
19:54 Chinese Peace Subsidies
23:52 Overall Outlook
24:52 Lines on Pants
Media licensed under CC BY 2.0 (creativecommons.org/licenses/...
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From armyinform.com.ua:
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From Rosavtodor.ru:
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From Kremlin.ru:
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Опубликовано:

17 июн 2024

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Комментарии : 3,4 тыс.

@Mankorra_Gomorrah Год назад

The Ukrainian military has been talking a lot lately about how people need to moderate their expectations of the offensive and that they do not expect it to end the war in one swift stroke, just put them in a better position than at the start of the offensive.

@Keldiur Год назад

That is a horrible YT Video title though.

@oohhboy-funhouse Год назад

Given how well UA info ops has been, I wouldn't take anything at face value. It's better to under promise and overdeliver. Last year's brilliant offensives had set some really high expectations. What I do expect is to be surprised.

@parabot2 Год назад

@@oohhboy-funhouse Russia could be drawing in the Ukrainian army along the entire front just to destroy them . We don't know if they have decided to push hard yet or just create pressure along the front . One thing is , no one in Europe is going to poke the bear again , for a long long time. They are going to make sure they ruin the Ukraine.

@kyle-ld2gh Год назад

@@parabot2 lol, holy shit that us some good cope. And your use of "the" when talking about Ukraine tells us everything we need to know about your opinion.

@parabot2 Год назад

@@kyle-ld2gh I'm just sitting on the sidelines waiting for Blackrock to asset strip the Ukrainians . Lolz , don't poke the bear.

@genechaas7369 Год назад

"never underestimate the russians ability to endure relative deprivation without lifting a finger". Another excellent briefing William! THNX!

@-Deena. Год назад

Where is that quote from?

@Omni_Shambles Год назад

Keep dreaming sunshine. xD

@OzyWazza Год назад

@@Omni_Shambles the guy provides a quote, and you tell him to "Keep dreaming"? 🙃😅

@light_gladiator4047 Год назад

@@OzyWazza sorry however could you provide a time stamp? I’m not trying to be mean or anything just please show me (:

@sergpie Год назад

@Mi Sty They needed the assistance of every developed nation in the world, just to get on TV and play victim. Lol

@pdelong42 Год назад

"Isn't war analysis fun?" That was awesome, I'm going to remember that one for a while. (And RU-vid's ad-break heuristics must be getting "better", because it scheduled one right after that line; great comedic timing on its part.)

@wheelmanstan Год назад

It must be hard planning an offensive when you're so dependent on allied equipment. The more you wait, the more equipment you get..so the dates for the offensive are probably constantly going to get pushed back until one day it just feels like the perfect time to attack.

@funveeable Год назад

The war will not end until the next decade. Everything that is happening is very reminiscent of Vietnam. Killing the enemy for the sake of killing the enemy. Neither side will surrender, although if the US ever cuts off weapons, Ukraine will surrender first. The fight will go on because one battle has never actually ended a war. The Japanese thought if they could defeat America in a decisive battle they would win, but America never let them have it.

@myopicchiwawa Год назад

Absent full support from the US Air Force Ukraine can't reclaim Crimea. Looking to 1942... The first four months of 1942 had ended with catastrophic losses for the Soviets in the Crimea. Between Kerch and Sevastopol, the Russians lost 352,000 killed, wounded, or captured. Most of those casualties were suffered trying to break the German line at Parpach. In comparison, von Manstein lost a little over 24,000 killed, wounded, or missing. With Hitler planning his summer offensive to take Stalingrad, it became imperative that Sevastopol be taken as soon as possible. Von Manstein realized that this would not be possible with his rear still threatened by the three Soviet armies occupying Kerch. Therefore, even while the battles for Parpach raged his staff was working on a plan to destroy the enemy in the Kerch Peninsula. It was codenamed Unterneh-men Trappenjagd (Operation Bustard Hunt

@marioformosa4259 Год назад

And get killed for America and Zelenski

@dgranik4839 Год назад

Yes, it's hard. The problem is that even though the Ukrainians can expect to receive more weapons and munitions over time, the Russians will use that time to continue to reinforce their positions, particularly on the expected axis of attack. A notorious example of this was the Battle of the Kursk Salient in 1943. The Germans Generals had originally conceived of in in April, but the operation only commenced in July. The Soviets had guessed the intention of the Germany, and poured huge resources into fortifying that territory. The Soviets made better use of the delay than had the Germans.

@asruluveira Год назад

yep. Russian are so smart by choosing not to deploy it's full might. for example look how there are not many news about Russian Air Force. the longer Ukraine decides to wait to do the counter attack. the higher Russian morale would be. they can concentrate in attacking without having to worry about defending the land they have captured. and in the back of their mind they know that their Air Force will have their back. and the fact that Wagner pmc is getting famous just like foreign legion (Wagner have add many more troop who is not Russian)showed that nobody thinks Ukraine have any chance of winning and it's a good way to make money

@totalplonker824 Год назад

"The true soldier fights not because he hates what is in front of him, but because he loves what is behind him.”

@brettmcclain9289 Год назад

Both sides are backed by oligarchs and both side are being forced (enslaved) to fight the war by the draft.

@andreycham4797 Год назад

Are you saying that Russia has to nuke ukrainian cities as the US did when they could not win on a battle field?

@ZeroResurrected Год назад

I disagree. A true soldier fights for both reasons. You can never have too much motivation, after all

@QwadLuzr Год назад

What, you mean Azov battalions, shooting deserters??

@qhayiya252 Год назад

@@ZeroResurrected one can fight for their nation instead of fighting against another but a soldier can also fight for the hate of the other side such as in the case of Canadians crossing the border to join the US army in Vietnam due to their dislike of the Communists.

@Dr.Magic. Год назад

The number of times he uses really great alliteration is impressive…

@Gametheory101 Год назад

Thanks. Once I had a string of P-words next to each other, I spent way too much time revising the sentence so the whole thing would alliterate.

@tonebonetones Год назад

You're as easily impressed as the content uploader is deluded. History is not going to be kind to either of you, alas.

@teddy.d174 Год назад

It’s quite brilliant and entertaining.

@TheModdedwarfare3 Год назад

@@Gametheory101 Good and correct use of one's time.

@LeCharles07 Год назад

@@Gametheory101 As long as you can make deadline, there's no such thing as spending too much time on alliteration. 😉

@pomazzzz Год назад

Really like the fun segments you started putting at the end of your excellent analysis!

@preadatordetector Год назад

The way peace subsidies fit in was an element I never thought of.

@just_a_turtle_chad Год назад

It's profoundly embarrassing that the supposed second most powerful military in the world can't capture Bakhmut after nearly a year besieging it.

@zit11owner Год назад

They do have bahkmut though. Just look at the deepstate map.

@GIGACHAD-cy5jq Год назад

2nd from the end

@soshiucheong Год назад

Yes, it is embarrassing : ) More embarrassing when US and NATO not giving enough ammo to Ukraine soldiers

@robijnhornstra-im3ou Год назад

@@zit11owner they don't, they have captured about 50% of bakhmut. the down town is still mostly in control of urkrain and they still can supply it using 3 different approaches. according to deep state. grey is contested, red is captured.

@ryannowo5954 Год назад

have you looked at the map?

@grfrjiglstan Год назад

Putin having a generic "I'm a smart boy" textbook on his desk for official photos is tremendously funny.

@KertaDrake Год назад

Maybe he's an alien wearing human skin like the little girl in the test range in Men In Black? Its obvious no politician would be able to tolerate reading a book like that!

@LeCharles07 Год назад

Why was it in English? That has me confused.

@SpaceMonkeyBoi Год назад

@@LeCharles07 he wants people in the west to support him too. I believe that's why he used the "denazify" talk. Because he saw some teenagers here calling anything they don't like "nazis" and thought it would be that easy. It's just my theory though. You'll find they bring a lot of English-speaking "critics" of US military hardware to try and discourage the population from supporting things like new aircraft carriers and the F35. If your rival is trying really hard to convince you that your weapons are garbage, you should probably ignore them. He likes to pretend he doesn't need the west, but his actions prove otherwise.

@sotros1 Год назад

@@LeCharles07 I wondered about that too. The Amazon listing shows the author as one Vladimir Fortov, who was president of the Russian Academy of Sciences and I presume a physicist or physical chemist by training. Putin though, has degrees in law and economics. Fortov was an academic heavy hitter who held a variety of prestigious posts. He was appointed to the presidency of the Academy by Putin himself in 2013. Maybe that's the connection.

@Thetarget1 Год назад

@@LeCharles07 Prett much all advanced physics textbooks are.

@Rambles123 Год назад

Cant say enough, how well ya can explain things. Nailed it. For real....

@salembeeman370 Год назад

William what a thoughtful analysis. Best I've heard so far.

@tacitus6384 Год назад

Let's hope it is over soon so that the soldiers can go back to their families and fewer people die.

@Rambam1776 Год назад

No, let us hope it is resolved properly soon. Aggressors like the current Russians need to learn not to do it again.

@silverletter4551 Год назад

The soldiers should defect or desert. No nation is worth dying for

@paulgibbon5991 Год назад

Russia can end this tomorrow. The war goes on entirely because they choose to pursue it.

@Omnigreen Год назад

As a Ukrainian I appreciate your videos and analysis

@JohnCSmith-lp1qr Год назад

Its Fake ...you like to be lied to .. while.ypur country has been completely destroyed ? Dumb Nation 🙄

@ewp7615 Год назад

Heyyy we talked below one of my videos a year ago, nice to see you man and hope you‘re doing well!

@alesiswhite9010 Год назад

Shouldn’t you be fighting ?

@wmc2230 Год назад

Ya you appreciate the lies and free money. I bet your politicians are getting filthy rich embezzling hundreds of millions of dollars.

@wmc2230 Год назад

@@alesiswhite9010 he is one of the thieves embezzling our aid money. Lol fkn disgusting. 😆

@ChazmillsADLT Год назад

This channel has just appeared on my recommended and I’m glad it did. Great first video (for me); looking forward to more, subscribing

@pebre79 Год назад

This is very insightful channel. Keep up the good work!

@alchemist_x79 Год назад

17:50 absolutely amazing alliteration assembled and articulated. Awesome.

@Gametheory101 Год назад

I see what you did there...

@videoj81 Год назад

Been patiently waiting on a new video, a lot going on in the world. Thank you

@edwardweiszbeck1649 Год назад

Mr. Spaniel, you are brilliant. Good deducing and insight into human nature...coming up with your deductions and analysis of situations. Best on RU-vid in my opinion.

@chadhaire1711 10 месяцев назад

and 4 months later this idiot has been wrong on everything....how is that counter offensive doing? LOL

@Gneckes Год назад

Loved the part at the end!

@Naude716 Год назад

The ending bit had me dying.

@prussiandingo Год назад

I really enjoy these videos because unlike so many on the internet, the author ensures that everything he states is "potentially" possible, instead of just stating it as an outright fact. I wish more media we consume was like this. Keep up the good work!

@suprememasteroftheuniverse Год назад

Basically he has an excuse for every time he's wrong what's every time.

@suprememasteroftheuniverse Год назад

Also what was that in the end? This channel is not serious, is leftist ret.ed partisan and fullofgayness.

@LeCharles07 Год назад

Look up Perun; him and William are my 2 go-to's for Ukraine analysis. Perun tends to focus more on the logistical/procurement side where as William tends to cover the tactical/strategic and the battlespace more.

@virginiatyree6705 Год назад

There's a channel, Adam Something & he has a good analysis too. He makes good recommendations too. v

@dylanwight5764 Год назад

@@suprememasteroftheuniverse Basically he's saying "here are the facts, here is the precedent, here is what we might expect... and here's the weather forecast in the Donbas for the next seven days."

@joenichols3901 Год назад

You have a real writing talent. The words kind of sing in a way. The alliteration and difference in sentence sizes is apparent

@ButcherOfBeek Год назад

He is a University lecturer, who is trained in speaking to audiences

@deivclayton Год назад

The lines on maps to lines on pants transition was fantastic!

@raul.litoo2 Год назад

I think the biggest difference from Ukraine now compared to Ukraine during its 1st offensive is the increase in trained soldiers and battle hardened men + much better equipment then they previously had. Edit : alright I get everyone’s opinions and beliefs but at the end of the day . This is all speculation and theories . No one can be absolutely sure that they are right . The leader of Wagner believes that Ukraine has 200,000-400,000 troops . And he is fighting the Ukrainians . So either Ukraine is great at projecting their forces at a large amount , making it appear that they have that many men . Or Russia is correct and Ukraine really does have that large of a fighting force. Either way no one knows so let’s chill out with the armchair general stuff . Including me in the armchair general.

@sandymckinnon9762 Год назад

@@McHallel lets see your sources

@enrixosjjdjd187 Год назад

@@sandymckinnon9762 The source is that I made it the F up (RT news)

@kyle-ld2gh Год назад

@@McHallel Ukrainians are sitting on minimum 100k trained and heavily equipped soldiers who just got back from their training with NATO forces. Try again little halfwit.

@christophermalthe1818 Год назад

@@sandymckinnon9762 Video "“Ukraine is l*sing” Foreign Volunteer admits in INTERVIEW with Willy OAM" boots on ground says that they are losing way to many in bakhmut. Might be true might not be

@claudepelletier7601 Год назад

@@McHallel Vladolf Putler said so? He was lying 🤥!😮😅😊

@vp999 Год назад

It's pretty rare for me to stay focused for more than 15 minutes when watching a video nowadays but your videos are an exception. No idea how you manage to keep me staying so focused with every video

@_--Reaper--_ Год назад

ADD?

@Drewski210 Год назад

Tik Tok brain

@orangebottle9657 Год назад

War is the most captivating thing people do by a long shot. Not even the moon landings compare to achievements under fire. its truly the edge of our world. so yahh when someone can also talk about the most engaging thing in the world in an engaging way, its pretty cool.

@RightSideNews Год назад

I enjoy every one of your videos. Thank you

@petertyson4022 Год назад

That was a surprise ending , after a serious interesting episode .it did make me smile. . 👍😊

@scisher3294 Год назад

OMG! Lines on pants. Now that is a 9.5 out 10 idea (and comedy skit) right there 😂. Well played Daniel!

@brockdidenko5729 Год назад

Wow 👏 so well researched and presented.

@alvaroarias7299 Год назад

Thank''s Jake !

@markjolliff3668 Год назад

Banger of a video William!

@edsr164 Год назад

To think that the counter-offensive can end the war is too optimistic

@smartguy360 Год назад

It can but it most likely will be the beginning of the end

@elgranfreezer9117 Год назад

Actually is a Joke.

@enrixosjjdjd187 Год назад

It will probably be what the North African campaign was in ww2. It will signal the end. The war can very well go on another year or two.

@eVill420 Год назад

it's not, Putin can't just keep Russia in a useless war they're losing

@curtisducati Год назад

3 Pigeons could end Russian forces , they are dumb and using 1950s tech copied from China hahahahahaha

@MrSimplyfantabulous Год назад

The mud in Ukraine can be expected for some weeks to come, as the Germans learned some years ago after three consecutive failed spring offensives on their eastern front.

@geraldmunro7583 Год назад

In which case the Russians know what they are doing through experience.

@pepe6666 Год назад

Can you believe that last video I paused on the photo of world leaders to look at the lines on their pants? I really did. I'm so stunned that this next video is focusing on the very same thing. I was looking also at how the pants look formal up the top but they go all loose & shaggy down near their shoes. I had been thinking about the formal attire yet with messy human underneath sorta thing for a while.

@alphanomega888 Год назад

The ending had me creasing 😆

@mrd5235 Год назад

“It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so.”

@Salking85 Год назад

Good video, as always

@Strawberry92fs Год назад

around 8 minutes in something is said that reminds me of an old political comic. It's two russians huddled in a large garbage can for warmth, It's labelled Russian Federation. One looks to the the 2nd and says "Maybe the other can wasn't so bad" and in the next panel we've zoomed out to see an empty can labelled "Soviet Union" nearby, with a cold a fire pit.

@writefighters9566 Год назад

Great analysis as usual, but *LOVE* the way you ended this video! You gotta make that a regular thing! XD

@toasterkolin9951 Год назад

The lines on Trudeau's pants are about the only thing he does right as PM here. 😂

@MDCDiGiPiCs Год назад

Absolute GOLD William. Oh and the analysis was pretty good as well.

@A_levs Год назад

My thoughts exactly. Man’s got lines

@thecrazycapmaster Год назад

@@A_levs on pants

@A_levs Год назад

@@thecrazycapmaster Putin’s lines on maps on pants on fire.

@carpenterfamily6198 Год назад

I’d like to see this war end.

@1pcfred Год назад

It will once every last Ukrainian is dead.

@kekistanimememan170 Год назад

Everyone seeks peace but their own version of it.

@fritzforsthoefel8031 Год назад

That is true applied to everyone

@scotthazelton519 Год назад

Thanks for sharing

@nicholasanderson9019 Год назад

This level of content is unbelievable. Great job

@chadhaire1711 10 месяцев назад

total bullcrap--this guy has been wrong since day one.....LOL

@nicholasanderson9019 10 месяцев назад

@@chadhaire1711 about what?

@nicholasanderson9019 10 месяцев назад

@@chadhaire1711 you've literally just been spamming all these videos with pro russian anti Ukrainian comments in the past few minutes. I just checked your profile. I dont want to be 'that' guy but... are you a Russian bot 🤔

@chadhaire1711 10 месяцев назад

@@nicholasanderson9019 Truth is not spam Goober......Ukraine has lost Crimera, Lost Donbas, lost access to it Black Sea ports, lost all those German tanks, lost all their grain deals, lost the counter offensive, lost 9 million of their population who fled to other countries to get away from the corrupt pro-Nazi Zelensky gang, and yet we have fake channels like this telling us Ukraine is winning.....every prediction this so called professor has made has been wrong......you have time to go back and see my comments---seems you didn't ever take time to listen to this fools comments in his past videos but his gig are kiddie games and has ZERO background to qualify on any real military subject. By the way TWICE Putin put his cease fire peace demands in front of Zelensky.....BOTH he agreed to sign....does that sound like Russia is losing? But NATO and Biden blocked the peace deal each time....fact. You need to find another news source instead of these Ukraine propaganda garbage videos.......

@nicholasanderson9019 10 месяцев назад

@@chadhaire1711 so what's a good news source? I just want to know the truth. Its nothing personal.

@teyspoli-psychonaut3191 Год назад

Appreciate your honest content!

@marlowc2324 Год назад

As usual, excellent

@renatopedrocillo5657 Год назад

Thank you so much

@nekrosis4431 Год назад

that outro, so good.

@terjeoseberg990 Год назад

“What caused Putin to invade Ukraine.” He thought he would win.

@maksimpanteleev5104 Год назад

Better ask yourself questions :Why didn't Putin touch bridges, didn't touch energy for almost a year, why didn't he knock the snot out of the Ukrainian army while it didn't have weapons? Putin imitated the war. This is a terrible conspiracy. I suspect Mr. Putin has actually been a CIA agent for many years. He didn't want to fight. but he was ordered.

@3o3tigger Год назад

Looks like Putin is winning.

@Jman-uz6gp Год назад

He thought he had a military not a corrupt clown circus show.

@terjeoseberg990 Год назад

@@Jman-uz6gp, Exactly. They had him fooled.

@facts9538 Год назад

3 things. 1. Putin believes Ukraine is Russian and wants it back 2. Russia is in dire need of people and 40-50 million Ukrainians would help that. 3. The West let him attack in 2014 so he though we would sit back again.

@tomwesterberg9428 Год назад

Informative as always, Mr Spaniel.

@euchreairgaming Год назад

It's hard to wrap your head around over a thousand of ONE TYPE of tank being lost in a year. That's over a third of the US's entire Abrams fleet. I can't even picture that many tanks in my head, much less all of them burning in some field on just one front.

@2009spacejam Год назад

Hope everything goes well...

@DuelScreen Год назад

I think the answers for both sides are obvious: Ukraine wants all of its territory back. Russia wants all of Ukraine under its control. So the red line is an outline of Ukraine and so is the yellow line. Both continue to fight because they have not achieved their goals. I see this stretching into a war of attrition before I see Ukraine formally giving up any of its land to the invader.

@rogerphelps9939 Год назад

And why should they? Russia is the aggressor and we now know that any agreement signed by them is worthless.

@dalekcat Год назад

Yep. There's no compromises with Russia. An agreement to go back to 2022 borders would equal a pause in the war for Russia to regain strength and attack again. Only way to end this war is to fully tank Russian economy and have a coup or division into separate (semi)independent states

@natak.2287 Год назад

Totally agree Mistake of this video’ brilliant analysis is just that - it’s brilliant 🙃 When people are driven by ideology, mystical beliefs .. or stayed in power for far too long to be in any adequate shape to drew correct conclusions.. Well, it’s like analysing and predicting a game where half of the cards are jokers 🃏

@cruisemissile2873 Год назад

You forgot to mention USA is prolonging the war

@marioformosa4259 Год назад

@@dalekcat The best thing is to give the land north of the Dnepro to Ukraine . But there are no Ukrainians to formally accept it. Since the coup there hasn't been a Ukrainian president

@LucasDimoveo Год назад

I really hope that things turn out well for Ukraine this spring and summer

@silverletter4551 Год назад

I hope they get wrecked. I'd rather be neutral, but not after that pig Zelensky came to tell my country to give them weapons and money.

@Traktorochskit Год назад

Best of luck brave soldiers.

@williamkuhl8825 Год назад

Thanks!

@benaguilar1787 Год назад

My prediction is that Ukraine's offensive will target Mariupol, not Melitopol. Bypassing many of Russia's newly erected defenses, isolating the troops in and around Melitopol, and bringing the destruction of war to a city already destroyed, rather than one still largely intact.

@rogerbrownreacts8528 Год назад

We didn't let Iraq keep a inch of Kuwait. The same will apply here. Not to do so creates 1000s of conflicts in the future.

@Bothandle70 Год назад

But you allowed Azerbaijan, Israel, India and China to keep other people's land.

@jonson856 Год назад

@@Bothandle70 Not very easy to get to Azerbaijan. Israel belongs to Israel. We slept on China unfortunately. India? I think neither India nor Pakistan are in the right, but the West knows too little about it. The best docu on that I have seen is from @Kraut_the_Parrot, he made an entire video on India and Pakistan

@brdrnda3805 Год назад

@@jonson856 The Golan Heights don't belong to Israel, the West Bank doesn't belong to Israel, the Gaza Strip doesn't belong to Israel, East Jerusalem doesn't belong to Israel.

@jonson856 Год назад

@@brdrnda3805 They all belong to Israel.

@tina7459 Год назад

@@jonson856 New York, California, Texas, LA, New Jersey belongs to Isreal

@moonhunter982 Год назад

My heart is... Cold

@nathanwilliams4423 Год назад

Oh man!! That end was absolutely hilarious!!! Please do some more of that!!???

@nopens Год назад

10:56 Please take into account desperation of eld dying men and women stuck in the past who send young people to die for their alien ideals. There is local russian meme "we can do it again" or "we can repeat", so far what can be repeated is dying in meat grinder battles. And nothing seem to be different.

@harukrentz435 Год назад

Not so different to their american counterparts.

@jdocean1 Год назад

@@harukrentz435 there’s actually quite a bit of difference. America doesn’t engage in meat grinder battles. Have we made some repeated mistakes? Yes but we do the meat grinding and not the other way around.

@barahng Год назад

@@harukrentz435 The US has a very low tolerance for casualties, we literally can't engage in the sort of tactics that lead to hundreds of thousands of casualties like Russia can. There was major uproar and political backlash over losing ~5000 in the Middle East. Even bigger uproar over the ~50k from Vietnam, and both conflicts lasted a lot longer than this one has so far.

@jdocean1 Год назад

@@barahng that’s right. Vietnam at 50k and this country had had it. It was unacceptable to the people.

@frontiervirtcharter Год назад

@@jdocean1 Gettysburg and Dunkirk were lessons taken to heart

@senanur1983 Год назад

Summer is here.

@Gorboduc Год назад

Since we're all posting quotes: "Spare the enemy generals - they are too valuable for our side." - Count Joseph Radetsky

@wardogmobius Год назад

Since I was a little kid, I have read and learn almost every battle of the WW2 eastern front. It was the most fascinating conflict I have ever knew and I can't believe its similarities with this modern conflict. My prediction is that the conflict will only end with a very high casualty rate on both sides with a stalemate agreement. Russia will never back down until there's a government collapse and another political breakup of its regions.

@wardogmobius Год назад

@@ostwelt This conflict may have a similiar outcome like those battles between Russian and Lituania-Polish- Ukrainian commonwealth from the 17th century. The central power could easily hold their own against the russian onslaught but could have never achieved total victory. A stalemate will ensue with high casualty rate on both side and calm tensions.

@patricepicaud5490 Год назад

Vous devriez plutôt envisager un scénario où ce sont les "démocraties" libérales qui éclatent, il est en fait beaucoup plus probable que celui que vous évoquez. A titre indicatif, en terme de parité de pouvoir d'achat, l'économie russe est passée devant l'économie allemande. Je ne parle même pas des autres économies européennes qui sont en train de se ramasser les unes derrière les autres avec peu de chances de pouvoir remonter la pente (ce qui est normal quand on est dirigé par des incapables). Les états unis s'en sortiront sans doute parce qu'ils sont capables d'être auto-suffisants, mais pour ce qui est de l'UE, c'est très loin d'être le cas.

@wardogmobius Год назад

@patricepicaud5490 Je comprends que les Français ont un fort intérêt à établir des liens amicaux avec les Russes pour créer un effet de levier dans leur quête pour dominer la politique de l'UE. La France doit protéger ses intérêts vitaux en Afrique afin de disposer de suffisamment de ressources pour être autosuffisante face à une Allemagne mieux équipée militairement. Cette phase de réarmement en Europe sera le début de tensions entre les alliés centraux et les puissances d'Europe occidentale (France, Espagne, Italie) L'Angleterre restera à l'écart et cherchera ses avantages étant donné que sa suprématie navale reste inégalée et qu'elle est alliée aux États-Unis. L'Allemagne redeviendra une fois plus militairement plus forte ou risquera d'être fracturée dans des régions comme elle l'était avant le 18e et le début du 19e siècle. Finalement, les français et les allemands entreront en guerre dans le futur et peut-être que la France sera dominante pour les 50 à 100 prochaines années.

@patricepicaud5490 Год назад

@@wardogmobius La puissance navale de l'Angleterre? C'est une blague je pense, avec son super porte avion ultra moderne dont la seule et unique sortie s'est soldée par un échec lamentable et dont les moyens sont de plus en plus limités. L'Allemagne qui se réarme? Avec le peu qui va rester de leur industrie, je les vois plutôt mal barrés. La France dominante, j'en pisse de rire tant son économie est à la dérive. Quand à l'alliance avec les USA, je crois qu'il ne faut pas se faire trop d'illusions, l'économie européenne étant en bout de course, nous ne pouvons plus les concurrencer et ne présentons donc plus aucun intérêt pour eux, leur objectif est atteint et nous n'aurons bientôt plus rien pour acheter quoi que ce soit. Les pays de l'est de l'Europe qui vivent essentiellement des aides de l'UE verront bientôt leur PIB chuter fortement (les aides représentent environ 20% du PIB de la Pologne par exemple) et risquent fort de déchanter quand viendra la bise.

@danymend5797 Год назад

@@patricepicaud5490 Va vivre en Russie si t'en a tant envie, personne ne te manquera ici, il sera très drôle que de voir la réalité rattraper la désillusion que tu tes fait de la Russie. Tu ne fais que parler en des suppositions basée sur de la propagande Russe, la propagande Russe publiait que l'Europe allait geler en Hiver, résultat? Rien de tout ça n'est arriver, c'est drôle non? Et oui, bien sûr la pariter de pouvoir d'achat de la Russie a soudainement augmenter après des sanctions très bénéfiques pour son économie hein! (très drôle comme blague) Alors que leurs parité au pouvoir d'achat était au même niveau que celle de la Slovaquie, un pays très pauvre, tu en a d'autres des blagues comme ça? Car bon, tu devrais surement te convertir en tant que clown, tu ferais fureur en Russie j'en suis certains!

@georgeberi2216 Год назад

Love your program

@darrenadams1555 Год назад

It only takes a handful of people to stop this maddness !war is hell !

@andersgrassman6583 Год назад

You are really funny, as well ad doing clever analysis.👍😀

@tooeasyy5287 Год назад

America's actual preferred outcome is for the Russian army to bog itself down in Ukraine and destroyed by western tech. We've already wiped out most of the soviet stockpiles, that's a huge win IMO.

@paulgibbon5991 Год назад

Pretty good return for 5% of the military budget, no?

@firstnamerequiredlastnameo3473 Год назад

Wrong. Russia's military production is out pacing all of NATO's combined. New Russian tanks, for example, are still waiting in inventory until needed on the battle field. How do you think Russia is able to fire 50,000+ shells a day, day after day? How is it you know nearly nothing about modern day Russia with so much information available? Do some serious research.

@paulgibbon5991 Год назад

@@firstnamerequiredlastnameo3473 We know Russia's missile and artillery fire is 30% of what it was a year ago. And did you remember to adjust Russian numbers for wild optimism, lying, corruption and general vranyo? Cope and seethe.

@John-sp9kw Год назад

More chance of platting fog in a sandstorm than this war ending by end of April as all i got to say is get some spring in your steps for this one

@user-cd4bx6uq1y Год назад

Great stuff

@nonenone7761 Год назад

I hope it does. Whether or not it does, one thing is for sure. The damage Russia did to itself by invading, can almost certainly never be repaired.

@silverletter4551 Год назад

Russia doesn't care about global image.

@brionbark Год назад

The last 2 minutes of these videos are randomly really good

@teofilodaquipil4100 Год назад

The best friends are the best enemies.

@namethatisnottakenyo Год назад

The ending was more entertaining than it had any right to be.

@teashea1 Год назад

very good presentation ------- so critical ---- best thoughts for Ukraine

@KaiEmblem Год назад

These are only wishful thinking. Ukraine will need to pay blood for every inch they are going to take from russia. Plus they arent fighting alone since ukraine is supported by western mercenaries and weaponry. Russia will welcome them with artillery and missiles.

@mix3k818 Год назад

Yeah, I still don't think one offensive is going to end the war. It would be severely damaging to Russia on the frontlines and assuming they're going the Zaporizhzhia route they may be able to cut Russia off from Crimea, but other than that I don't foresee Russia polling out of the war because of it.

@rogerphelps9939 Год назад

Invasion of Russia to cut off the Donbass might be a good move. After all Russia has been baselessly accusing Ukraine of wanting to invade Russia for ages.

@mbc264 Год назад

I'd be devastated if Ukraine didn't win. I've been hoping and praying and crossing my fingers and toes and whatever else I could think of for them to win. If Russia was to win, I don't think Russia would stop with them and then all hell would REALLY break loose and as selfish as this is about to sound, I'm about to say it anyway: I don't want that to happen during my lifetime. I really, really don't. I want people to generally treat each other with respect, or at least polite indifference. I know that's not how the world works though. I'm terrified my lifetime is where we destroy each other, and everyone and everything and.....somehow, that just really makes me sad and pisses me off at the same time.

@djeddabenali2866 Год назад

( siberia !? )

@mbc264 Год назад

@@djeddabenali2866 uh.....what?

@albertr.henderson8646 Год назад

Rest easy my friend and friends Russia will lose Putins War . An continue to embarass itself by showing how incompetent its Leaders and Millitary is and Putin will show how small a man he really is. Now the World ain't afraid of Russia as they once were falsely led to be afraid of Putin and his Army.

@glennjamora7197 Год назад

You are talking in parables from beginning to end.😊

@bitbraindev Год назад

One thing missing in this video is that these are not two ordinary armies meeting on the battlefield. It is one army invading another country and bringing genocide and destruction on innocent citizens. This is not a military war but the active destruction of human life. Therefore, I would argue the point "Ukraine is right" must hold, as it means "Human life is right".

@kikoano111 Год назад

Yes the Ukranian nazis need to be kicked out of Russian Donbass lands forever!

@goldbullet50 Год назад

Just because the war is not something waged by a Western country, doesn't mean it's not a military war.

@parabot2 Год назад

@@ostwelt I'm just sitting on the sidelines waiting for Blackrock to asset strip the Ukrainians .

@Aqueox Год назад

Lol Virtue signal harder.

@annebokma4637 Год назад

Vuhledar down to Mariupol then follow the coast toward Crimea. Behind the defensive lines above Melitopol, swipe upwards to round those troops up

@marcuswilliams1540 Год назад

I'm just glad there's a afterlife

@aa2339 Год назад

7:30 didn't even know about those 2 wristwatches in such a historically iconic photo, until this video pointed it out.

@koekiejam18 Год назад

The picture you saw was probably the doctored photo, that entire photograph is staged too!

@bgcvetan Год назад

Nothing better than to see the Evil empire collapse once and for all.

@goldbullet50 Год назад

Too bad last time US helped them with the Lend Lease.

@williamdoyle777 Год назад

Perhaps you have overlooked the risk for NATO who will not want to reward Russian agression. The largest land war since WW2 has made an impression and ending the war needs to assure that it will not be repeated by Russia.

@firstnamerequiredlastnameo3473 Год назад

NATO LIED to Russia with the phony 2014 Minsk cease fire accord. Can never trust the West again.

@robi3798 Год назад

Heeey, really love your videos, really informative stuff, keep it up man. Also, #wheresputin, 13:45, this one was reaaly good btw, my favourite so far :D

@dragondefeu9837 Год назад

@Estenberg Год назад

Dear William. This is the first time I've watched your channel, and I am impressed. Yours is not a cookie-cutter analysis. It is insightful, original, and refreshing, helping me to deepen my own informed perspective. And your tongue-in-cheek review of the pant lines in that final photo gave your piece the perfect punctuation before I subscribed. I am looking forward to future reports.

@chadhaire1711 10 месяцев назад

He has been wrong since day one...LOL

@charlesjmouse Год назад

If I may say so a well articulated analysis. Nothing happens in isolation. What would you say to a video looking in to the wider geopolitical consequences of this war? I presume the whole world is watching and every leader is making their own calculations as to what any outcome might mean, along with the behaviour of all those invested in the conflict on both sides. For myself I can see us all living in a much more unstable and dangerous world if Russia gets anything out of this war.

@erichert1001 Год назад

This war has as much to do with "conflict resolution" as a mugging does.

@matKilla9801 Год назад

Muggings are related to conflict resolution, but it is definitely a good comparison for the Ukraine War. When the conflict is mugging, then the potential resolutions are, “1: Give the mugger what they want”, “2: Run Away”, or “3: Fight back against the Mugger”. But of course with large scale war between nations, the conflict resolution gets a lot more complicated nuances.

@jacobotstot2021 Год назад

The conflict would be resolved if you just handed them your wallet before they mugged you. Win win.

@AWMJoeyjoejoe Год назад

@@jacobotstot2021 Except you don't have your wallet anymore, and the mugger would probably follow it up with "what else have you got?"

@jacobotstot2021 Год назад

@@AWMJoeyjoejoe pff semantics.

@jurgnobs1308 Год назад

@@jacobotstot2021that's why i carry hundrets of wallets and give them to anyone I pass

@e8root Год назад

"That's leadership right there!" XD

@brianfreeman8290 Год назад

No stupid music. I so appreciate that.

@garettdoornwaard4822 Год назад

If "ifs" and "buts" were candy and nuts it would be Christmas all year long.

@smartguy360 Год назад

I see Ukraine punching through in two places, the kinburn spit and some where in Zaporhizia (not spelling it right), either front would allow them to seige Crimea and if the Russians withdraw from that Putin is toast

@firstnamerequiredlastnameo3473 Год назад

Ukraine military is a dead man walking. Very obvious now after a whole year of Russia getting comfortable in Ukraine.

@perrycomeau2627 Год назад

I'm feeling groovy♥

@Vbluevital Год назад

Thank You 💛💙

@ericwillis777 Год назад

Hi Vlad, thanks, it is good to get direct discussions about identical views. I'm sorry you were not feeling well. I think the key to involvement is exactly that. Becoming 'involved' - by which I mean that it's easy to hide and remain detached when something does not directly affect you, but when you are directly disadvantaged it is suprising how quickly people direct their ire at whatever they think is causing their problem. So it could go either way and both, anger at the West/NATO/USA or anger at Putin's regime. Casualties are rising, economic conditions are worsening, progress in war is slow, repression is increasing, government reach esoecially with regard to the mobilization and the 'Gosaslugi' paperless conscription, so there will be some reaction eventually, but if it is gradual enough it might just be a 'frog boiling' . So, while there is an intellectual line to cross it it won't be so clear.

@marioformosa4259 Год назад

Philosophical thinking on whatis easy to behold - the destruction of Ukraine as wanted by the Neocons

@matsben2389 Год назад

Found him! I found Putin here: 13:30 on the right side, the Window. #Wheresputin

@cts006 Год назад

Nice work.

@joesak1997 Год назад

Bro that is so faint how did you even see that, props to you

@larsrons7937 Год назад

Super, well done! Encourage him to stay there. Don't remind him that staying near windows can be dangerous.

@meikgeik Год назад

I found him too, but you watched before me! Good job!

@kjj26k Год назад

Wow, that's impressive!

@sheilaboodoo2853 Год назад

🙋‍♀️Be strong and keep your faith soon this wor will stop 🙏it will over have faith 🙏

@sheilaboodoo2853 Год назад

First of all to end, this war is to move straight forward walking to it take everything that belongs to you quick as possible. No looking back get what belongs to you move out and done with the headache ? more longer. You stay in it is more harder it will take and cost more interruption and destruction. I guess this is the way of my thinking get it done and over with.🙏🙋‍♀️

@amareshroy7732 Год назад

Russian aggressions since 2014 in Ukraine till now is absolutely to grab neighbors territory. We pray a befitting reply now or later.ukraine has lost enough but still living bravely .

@markusmaximus629 Год назад

Your analyzation, in regards to money is spot on, and missing form almost all other reports, who try to invest the un-invested with emotional pleas and ideology. There are still some intelligent people who understand the basics and appreciate this kind of report.