Japan is what Europe should be | Niall Ferguson

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In this clip Niall unpacks the chronic fiscal issues in the US and its impact on geopolitical security.
Niall Ferguson, MA, D.Phil., is the Milbank Family Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and a senior fellow of the Centre for European Studies, Harvard, where he served for twelve years as the Laurence A. Tisch Professor of History.
He is the author of fifteen books, most recently The Square and the Tower. His previous book, Kissinger, 1923-1968: The Idealist, won the Council on Foreign Relations Arthur Ross Prize. He is also an award-winning filmmaker, having won an international Emmy for his PBS series The Ascent of Money.
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See the full interview here: • Niall Ferguson | What ...
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Conversations feature John Anderson, former Deputy Prime Minister of Australia, interviewing the world's foremost thought leaders about today's pressing social, cultural and political issues.
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Опубликовано:

28 июн 2024

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Комментарии : 626

@nickcellini5609 7 месяцев назад

I spent a year in Japan. It was the cleanest, most polite, and most efficient country I have ever seen. It was this way because of the people.

@guest6398 7 месяцев назад

And because the people are the same people they were a hundred years ago. They're very careful about what sort of migrant they allow in.

@nickcellini5609 7 месяцев назад

@@guest6398 Not now. They've been abiding by the UN, or at least have been strong armed to do so. They have let in a bunch of Muslims who are slowly turning Tokyo into Londonistan !!!

@seanlander9321 7 месяцев назад

Yes, due to the Australian and American occupation of Japan, it’s people were transformed from primitive barbarians to being civilised.

@nickcellini5609 7 месяцев назад

@@seanlander9321 Actually they were very civilized prior to WW2. More civilized than most societies. The problem was that they looked at other less civilized people as less human. Another problem they had was a lack of resources, which is why they invaded the Asian mainland.

@seanlander9321 7 месяцев назад

@@nickcellini5609 Japan was not civilised before 1945, it’s people were serfs and society was at the command of an emperor who inherited power. To think that such a backward country could reign over America, Britain and Australia was stupidity born from absolute obedience to a lunatic who believed he was a god.

@Rydonattelo 7 месяцев назад

Japan is 98% ethnic Japanese. The idea that someone can become " Japanese " is alien to them. Japan is a uni-cultural society not a multicultural society. Japan is a wealthy, ultra modern country with extremely low crime, violent crime, prison population. It is extremely clean and safe. If you were to ask any Japanese citizen if they think Tokyo would be better if it was more like London, Paris or Berlin they would say no, absolutely not. The idea that Tokyo could be over 50% non Japanese people sounds tragic to Japanese people, the idea that large swathes of people in Japan couldn't speak Japanese and are actually quite hostile towards Japan , waving other countries flags is unthinkable to Japanese people. I'm not saying Japan is perfect because it isn't but people who advocate for multiculturalism don't like it when you point to the Japanese model.

@gakenh01 7 месяцев назад

Homageny is harmonious, multicultural is chaos.

@EmperorsNewWardrobe 7 месяцев назад

Japan had long been my example of a culture that many people admire, a people that many people like, but with a clear intolerance to letting others fully in. As such, it’s an example that triggers cognitive dissonance

@biswaroopmaiti2943 7 месяцев назад

All those are indeed true today, but Japan is ageing rapidly with an extremely low birthrate. Therefore, these positive statements above would become untrue in a matter of a few years, if there is no solution to these long term problems. Their economy has been stagnant, and is now growing gradually. However, it would be in steady fall, and utter chaos if they don't take care. Even worse, instead of a planned programs of expat workforce and steady careful immigration, desperate situation may result in rapid unplanned immigration to give rise to rapid decline and utter chaos.

@gakenh01 7 месяцев назад

@@biswaroopmaiti2943 Yes, that is a good point. I remember watching a documentary about this and the Japanese were concerned they would end up like the U.S.

@biswaroopmaiti2943 7 месяцев назад

@@gakenh01 I think they should think about a few countries that they find friendly and culturally compatible that can augment their work force and population. Some Japanese friends told me they think they might go extinct within a century if they track the current trajectory.

@kortyEdna825 4 месяца назад

Transfer of wealth usually occur during market crash, so the more stocks drop, the more I buy, in the meanwhile I'm just focused on making better investments and earning more as recession fear increases, apparently there are strategies to 3x gains in this present market cos I read of someone that pulled a profit of $350k within 6months, and it would really help if you could make a video covering these strategies.

@Pamela.jess.245 4 месяца назад

Understanding personal finances and investing will most likely lead to greater financial independence. By being knowledgeable about money and investing, individuals can make informed decisions about how to save, spend, and invest their money or you could hire a financial expert.

@Justinmeyer1000 4 месяца назад

Yeah, financial advisors could make a lot of difference, particularly in a market such as this. Stocks are pretty unstable at the moment, but if you do the right math, you should be just fine. Bloomberg and other finance media have been recording cases of folks gaining over 250k just in a matter of weeks/couple months, so I think there are a lot of wealth transfer in this downtime if you know where to look. I have been using an FA since 2020, and I return at least $30k ROI, and this does not include capital gain.

@carssimplified2195 4 месяца назад

Would you mind telling me how to contact this specific coach using their service? You seem to have the solution, as opposed to the rest of us.

@Justinmeyer1000 4 месяца назад

I've shuffled through investment coaches and yes, they can be positively impactful to an individual's portfolio, but do your due diligence to find a coach with grit, one that withstood the 08' crash. For me, ‘’Aileen Gertrude Tippy’’ turned out to be better and smarter than all the advisors I ever worked with till date, I’ve never met anyone with as much conviction.

@carssimplified2195 4 месяца назад

Thanks, I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get.

@jonbaxter2254 7 месяцев назад

Remember everyone, Europe used to be like Japan. Turn of the century, each country and capital was dominated by its native population and culture.

@mistermood4164 6 месяцев назад

Oh please Europe has embraced Americanism it doesn’t produce any culture of it own they just imitate Americans 😂

@foottoast4235 6 месяцев назад

As a swede, my advice is for y'all to stop it before it's too late. My city may no longer be majority Swedish soon, if our new government doesn't do their job. In our third biggest city, swedes are already a minority.

@jonbaxter2254 6 месяцев назад

@@foottoast4235 You guys did this to yourself. There should have been protests. Anything.

@alexanderrose1556 6 месяцев назад

And yet western europe is richer per capita then the Japanese and that trend will contiue as it has now

@reinercreekman 6 месяцев назад

@@foottoast4235Barbara spectre did her job.

@Jackaroo. 7 месяцев назад

Japan actually cares about its citizens. That is the difference.

@speedycatz 7 месяцев назад

To be more precise, they only care about their elderly citizens as they are the majority voters. Speaking from someone who’s living in Tokyo and will be leaving soon.

@icarusjumped2719 7 месяцев назад

And their cultural identity. And are willing to protect it.

@euroe12 7 месяцев назад

That partially could be blamed on demographics. Not having a lot of children makes the elderly a much larger part of the population.

@yhwhsozo3680 7 месяцев назад

As a mixed Japanese person I disagree to a degree. They care about cultural history, power, social control and prestige. Suicide forest, depression, low birth rates and no housing for the youth (their future)…..better than most but to think any Gov cares about ppl and can be trusted is insanity. Also imperfect is NOT worthless. Just imho and pushback on a 2D moral statement with some facts. Freedom over security from our Govs and CEO/NGO’s pls!!!

@JeDxDeVu 7 месяцев назад

They’re also unapologetic about who they are and their history. They’re still telling the Chinese to sod off😂. Whites are constantly on their knees begging for forgiveness and trying to convince brown people they’re not racist. It’s pathetic. Deus vult

@dafyddaprhys782 7 месяцев назад

Every country has its own unique narrative. Its history. Why is the Labour Government removing the name 'ANZAC' in South Australia for that special day remembering and honoring those who had given their lives so that we may live feely and safe within our country.? It's also recognition for our current defense forces who protect our borders.

@Aidey75 7 месяцев назад

Labor and especially the Greens are Marxists. It's what Marxists do.

@johnalthor 7 месяцев назад

I admire Japan's willingness to protect their people by not bringing in masses of immigrants who hate them the way Europe does.

@paulds65 7 месяцев назад

It's an island (well, actually a large number of islands) so that is far easier to do.

@maknavickas 7 месяцев назад

@@paulds65it’s about policy, if Europeonly gave welfare to their native populations then refugees would plummet by 90%.

@rajivmurkejee7498 7 месяцев назад

@@paulds65just like Britain

@fl-ri- 6 месяцев назад

@@paulds65 Meanwhile in Britain....

@leonharrison800 6 месяцев назад

What annoys me about John Anderson is his avoidance of the obvious!!!! Japan is not respondible for global terrorism and regime change!!! Refugees have every right to go to the English speaking world and France. Empire created the crises.

@hitomukawakami7124 6 месяцев назад

Japan is an old and dying nation without a sizable young demographic that can fill the labor void. Also they have hikikomori, basically their version of NEETS.

@hitomukawakami7124 6 месяцев назад

@@Elias-eh4gk Yes but I am referring to its other acronym which means “not in education, employment or training”

@LS-xs7sg 7 месяцев назад

It is quite sad to imagine what could have been if Western Europe had avoided immigration. We might have the interesting synthesis between an ancient and rooted native culture and modern technology that Japan has. Instead we increasingly have the worst of both worlds. A culture of neo-colonisation in which the natives are increasingly dispriveleged and replaced plus the alienating effects of modernity

@Bayomeer 6 месяцев назад

And what solution do you propose to solve this problem?

@jaybee2402 6 месяцев назад

Trouble was you let too many troubled people in from troubled places. Far too many Jamaicans and Pakistanis, whereas had they all been Indians and Barbadians, you'd have been much better off.

@JameBlack 6 месяцев назад

Look at Poland, is it great?

@nathaniel1670 6 месяцев назад

@@jaybee2402 Are you Indian or Barbadian? If so, that's very convenient. But no, they shouldn't have let the Indians or Barbadians in either then.

@TamNiaw 6 месяцев назад

Then maybe don’t build empires out of artificial countries you aren’t willing to keep roads to/from 🤷🏿‍♂️

@lostinthesupermarket 6 месяцев назад

Ive been to japan a few months ago and the fact that they have low to no immigrants makes a huge difference when you have a highly efficient and respectful society

@leonharrison800 6 месяцев назад

But Japan wS not responsible for regime change and global terrorism! Why refugees should move to Australia,Canada,America and Britain. Do wake up.

@kpimkpim349 6 месяцев назад

and you were there ruining it lol

@leonharrison800 6 месяцев назад

@@kpimkpim349 Mental health problems?? 😆😆

@secrets.295 6 месяцев назад

@@kpimkpim349Visiting vs living there is 2 seperate thing

@secrets.295 6 месяцев назад

The truth is even Japan has started taking immigrants lately. And it is increasing at a very fast rate. They are an ageing society with their population shrinking. They can't find enough workers anymore to support the economy. Even if there is no shrinking of the populations, the Japanese are very hardworking people. In the west its even worse. You guys are lazy to begin with. Whenever someone open up a factory, the salary has to be crazy high or else nobody wants to do it. Working conditions has to be exceptional great. The management do one minor thing you report to labor union, if there is one minor injury you will take advantage of it to file lawsuits. You expect the west to be able to make it work like Japan? Be less lazy then maybe you can rely less on immigrants.

@randygault4564 7 месяцев назад

OK, thank you for being a channel where the first thing I see is a LadyBallers ad! I haven't actually finished watching an ad in years, and usually I yell at them for personal enjoyment, but this was funny. Watched to the end. Thank you.

@user-wf9lz4ze7b 7 месяцев назад

I agree that the Japanese are clean, courteous and polite, the few I have met. But Japan has massive problems that John neglected to mention.they have the highest debt to a country's GDP.. Declining birth rates, no migration and ageing society means their society is shrinking and trying to come up with ideas to support their older population. They are dependent on the US for defence. It does not matter who the US President is they will embrace him as they have to.

@a.thales7641 6 месяцев назад

So you are telling me, that a population that is increasing each year is totally okay, but a population that decreases a little bit is a problem?

@ea3414 6 месяцев назад

@@a.thales7641It is a problem when so many of Elderly die at home alone and are only discovered because of the smell

@iceman18211 6 месяцев назад

@@a.thales7641 yes, if your population starts decreasing every year with no end in sight. Sell all your assets in that country and run. Everything you own long term in that country will continue to decline in value and the social safety nets will continue to stretch to their breaking point as the population ages out of working age. Either countries grow in population or they die.

@nehemiah8090 6 месяцев назад

@@iceman18211ppl don't seem to get this they think countries in Europe or the US allow immigration because they care about those ppl no it's to fight against shrinking population I don't see why ppl fail to realize that

@jokbok995 6 месяцев назад

@@a.thales7641 It is actually a huge problem because you need young people to work so they could pay pensions for older people. Less people and a larger aging population means that your costs regarding pensions, healthcare ... will explode. The money regarding taxes will be smaller and smaller and eventually everything will crash. You won't be able to support an economy .

@fiona4731 7 месяцев назад

When I worked and studied in Japan back in the 80s I had to carry an “Alien Passport” at all times!

@ibrahimanan1874 7 месяцев назад

This reminds us of what Bertrand Russell said after his visit to China: (If the West disappears, there will be no big problem as long as many Chinese remain. This is not because the number of Chinese is large, but because of the Chinese mind.) - What is amazing is that “Russell” said this in the 1950s. Last century, when there was hunger in China, not now, when everyone sees China's economic rise

@colinslant 5 месяцев назад

For a very clever man, Bertrand Russell could be an idiot sometimes. That's the mind virus of socialism for you.

@suzetteccc 5 месяцев назад

@@colinslant He didn't say he was happy about it.

@jiji1946 7 месяцев назад

he obviously doesn't know much about Japan.....

@benhallo1553 7 месяцев назад

Exactly, just talking nonsense about a topic he’s clearly not an expert in

@johndinobuff583 6 месяцев назад

I've lived in Japan for ten years and I can say that people in Japan are struggling, especially the young ones. Japan has a unique culture and wonferful peace-loving people but it's not really open to immigration. It has a declining population and many of the elderly I know are still working as the government encourages them to delay their retirement due to a lack of workers. They know that with an ageing population and fewer younger workers, it will just result in a much bigger problem, like higher taxes. Young people are discouraged from having kids because it's already too expensive to have one as my coworkers pointed out. When I asked them if they're willing to have more immigrants, I got mixed reactions, though most want more immigration as they said they are in desperate need of more workers in the future.

@noneoftheabove666 5 месяцев назад

They're gonna go extinct in a century 😬 Kinda sad, but let's be real, it is an insignificant country globally.

@johndinobuff583 5 месяцев назад

@@noneoftheabove666 what the?! No country is insignificant. More than half of the countries around the world do not have that impact due to how small their economies are, thus, their political influence do not size that up to that of the western countries. Are you for colonialism?

@noneoftheabove666 5 месяцев назад

@@johndinobuff583 huh??? That's a weird accusation you're throwing at me. They are a xenophobic racist country and they don't want immigrants as well. Especially black and brown people. So, they're just gonna go extinct in a century and that's not gonna affect the globe because they're a small insignificant country. So just let them be, you reap what you sow unfortunately.

@suzetteccc 5 месяцев назад

Apparently they are going to be very important if there is a war in the Pacific@@noneoftheabove666

@avin6602 7 месяцев назад

Japan is the between the safest countries in the world, it is also the between the top 5 of most homogeneous. 1+1?

@ovaloctopus8 7 месяцев назад

North Korea is the most homogenous..... Also 1 place behind Japan is Tunisia which is not that safe. According to 2023 data, Denmark is the 2nd safest country in the world (behind Iceland not Japan but Icelands population is so small I kind of disregard it) and it has 13% immigration. I say this as an immigrant in Japan. Stop spouting nonsense.

@avin6602 7 месяцев назад

@@ovaloctopus8 Sorry for not being specific, I'm not an expert. But a simple question, suppose tomorrow I bring twenty million Muslims into Japan, do you think it will be safer or less safe? Japan has historically had a more homogeneous population and a strong emphasis on cultural and social cohesion. While Japan does accept some immigrants, the country has been cautious about large-scale immigration due to concerns about !!--potential disruptions to its social fabric--!! and the need to preserve its cultural identity.

@jw841 7 месяцев назад

@@avin6602As someone who lives in Japan you are right about immigration. Where the migrants come from matters and how many stay permanently also matters. Most immigration to Japan is from other east Asian or Southeast Asia. And then white Europeans and Americans being the next biggest group but most stay less than 5 years here. But over all permanent immigration is very small. It can take over ten years here just to get permanent residence and citizenship is close to impossible for most. Also I don't think the Japanese would be able to cope with large numbers of Muslim and African migrants and the increase of instability that always seems to bring. Especially after what I've seen going on in Europe. It would completely disintegrated Japanse society and norms.

@avin6602 7 месяцев назад

@@jw841 What I don't understand is why the double standard? When Japan does not want to accept immigration because it can change the social fabric everyone understands it. When Europeans say exactly the same thing then they are racists or extreme nationalists.

@ReasonAboveEverything 7 месяцев назад

Sweden was very safe as well. Like a bird nest. Then slaves of allah arrived and trashed it totally proving islam is garbage.

@onemanenclave 6 месяцев назад

Why are we talking so lightly about "war"?...

@danutmh 6 месяцев назад

I wonder how the everage japanese would feel about such a statement. This is another one of those "the grass is greener on the other side" statements.

@avengedprophet1559 6 месяцев назад

As someone who’s somewhat obsessed with Japan’s culture, I agree. Going there for vacation and actually living there are two very different things. There’s positive aspects about the country (Low crime rate, cleanliness, politeness, interesting culture, they did quite well during the corona pandemic, good food, …) but people tend to forget the negatives (Abysmal work culture, high rate of alcoholics, high suicide rate, extremely low birth rate, karoshi (death by working too much / hard), …).

@biswaroopmaiti2943 7 месяцев назад

Regarding the comment on India: Firstly, as former prime minister AB Vajpayee had declared, India and the US are natural allies. This is the arc of history we are talking about and not a tactical arrangement. Having said that, we Indians prefer to maintain our strategic autonomy and be responsible for our own security and defence capabilities. Certain partnerships work better when they are not formalized to a treaty alliance. This is one such. Also, because it is buttressed in domestic politics, economic partnership and public sentiment. The US has many treaty allies and in some cases they are responsible for their security. But, not all of their ironclad US alliance is rooted in the domestic politics and public opinion of those countries, some of them dictatorships and at various stages of being failed states. That is, these are fragile alliances in reality. On top of that, look at the anemic level of support that Ukraine receives in its war of existence, as Ukrainian civilians and soldiers die every day. Looking at the situation, I think Indian and American officials have understood that it is better not to sign a wide ranging treaty. Such a move would actually precipitate war and make the security situation of both nations more hostile. Instead, it is better to get down to the brass tacks, like the gradual shift toward interoperability and learning from each other in terms of defence. After all, India is the only country among US partners that has really long borders, comparable to Ukraine. And these borders have serious implications.

@JTR253 6 месяцев назад

BJP might think so but this isn’t a wholly accepted idea in the Indian intelligentsia. It shouldn’t be as India should see what America will do to it from what is happening to China. There is already talk of India acting belligerent like China in the US and how to contain India properly to protect American hegemony. India is toeing the line by being technically dependent on the West unlike China which send its people to study in America and made ToT a part of setting up factories in China. China always wanted Taiwan as it should since it is part of their country. All of West accepts the One China policy but suddenly we have found reason to have conflicts in the Taiwan Strait when Trump came to power. The thing that changed is that China is now competing in high end industries with Europe and America unlike sticking to making trinkets and clothes that were outsourced to them. I don’t really have sympathy for any views of Niall type individuals who are cheerleaders for western interventions around the world. He supported the Iraq War which destabilized Syria alongside our support for extremist “moderate Syrian rebels”.

@ziomudru 6 месяцев назад

Words of truth

@fabian4023 6 месяцев назад

Europe becoming like Japan would be a catastrophe. Japan is a quickly aging population with one of the lowest birth rates in the world and an economy that's been stagnant for decades.

@SodaPrezsing 6 месяцев назад

Europe has similar birth rates even with the immigration. I’d like to see Europes birth rate without the immigrant population included, I think it would be even lower.

@fabian4023 6 месяцев назад

@@SodaPrezsing While Europe's birth rate is low in some countries among the native population, at least those countries are open to immigration to help with this problem. And it does appears to be helping, although not drastically. Japan has a slew of problems in addition to low birth rates working against them. And even the late Shinzo Abe supported increasing immigration levels to help the economy, but Japan isn't an attractive destination for immigrants. Low wages and hostility towards foreigners are two big factors why.

@SodaPrezsing 6 месяцев назад

@@fabian4023 Yeah but at the very least Japan won't have to deal with the problems caused by some immigrants. Money ain't everything

@jokbok995 6 месяцев назад

@@SodaPrezsing So which new problems than besides culture?

@SodaPrezsing 6 месяцев назад

@@jokbok995 Housing shortage,salaries lowered, general overpopulation etc etc

@peterbellini6102 7 месяцев назад

Thank you Dr. Ferguson. Spot-on with your observations. I would add that the policy of non-alignment will change as soon as (or if) the PLA armed forces "align" with their homeland.

@aureliomunozcruz 5 месяцев назад

Interesting. I close with “Cold War I was a transatlantic war, and the Cold War II is being a transpacific war”.

@ravikurup8350 6 месяцев назад

The biggest obstacle to Japan's growth is Japanese culture. Too many traditions keep the people held back intellectually. Modern Chinese culture's mentality is to do away with the old and embrace the new and make as money as possible because money is their religion.

@itseveryday8600 6 месяцев назад

There is downside to not accepting immigration, in Japan's case, it has hurt their GDP & economy, massively. Since GDP is calculated by 'working-population vs productivity', as their productivity remain the same but their population keep declining, and by not balacing the declining population by taking in immigration, it means that thier GDP has not had any growth for like 30 years. What that means for their society in real terms is that around 25% or so of the population can't afford to get married. It's a real problem with no near term solution, they've been stuck in this rut for 30 years.

@chinogambino9375 6 месяцев назад

Ok so you bring in millions of poor people with no guarentee of them being net economic contributors over their lifetime, the demand for housing, education and health goes up further impoverishing the young working population. The competition for jobs rises supressing wages and the competition for mates fans ethnic violence and resentment. Welcome to Britain (or France, or German, or Sweden)... We've seen this ponzi economic experiment play out and fail catastrophically before. Artficial money numbers mean nothing when you lose control over the trajectory of your culture and its abilty to produce outcomes for its people. Growth in GDP via consumption due to population is not growth, productivity gains and a rise in median income is. If your people live in a state where their young don't want to reproduce you don't replace them with foriegners... The corporate brainwashing in the west is complete if you think this is the responisible and normal response from government. You change the state people live in, you increase their living standards and their investment in their own society.

@itseveryday8600 6 месяцев назад

@@Ghyttffff I think there'er multiple reasons. The simplified factor, in my opion is that Japan got hit hard by US foreign policy, and their politicans at the time, could not deflect it. The subsequent stagnation in their economy, is what eventually lead to decline of the population over time. So I think you're right, in that, Japan's stagnation was due to policy errors, but, now that poluation decline has occurred, thier (self imposed) inability to import labour force via immigration when they need them, is hurting thier GDP.

@user-pn3im5sm7k 6 месяцев назад

GDP can always recover. GDP will always go down and up or stagnate. You should not replace your people for the sake of "muh economy" HOWEVER, if the native people are replaced and the blood & soil are broken the country will cease to exist. A country can be nuked twice and still recover as long as their native population remains. At least European or East Asian populations this is true. Maybe not for unaccomplished peoples like in Africa. innovative spirit and drive are only present in certain races. It's no secret that the number of patents dwindles each year in once innovative nations such as Germany & Sweden while countries like S. Korea & Japan top the charts every year in patents/innovation.

@itseveryday8600 6 месяцев назад

@@Ghyttffff In Japan, Plaza Accord is widely considered as the thing that started their decline, which was part of US foreign policy against Japan. Forexample, after the accord, the Japanese currency strenghed so severly that it crushed their domestic manufacturing & exports(within 3 years, 1$=242yen changed to 1$=124yen). US put various trade barriers aginst them, and also attacked their then, thriving semi-conductor industry etc. There may have been other policy errors too, but I blame the PM who signed the agreeement. But whether the reason was foreign or domestic, I agree with you that the initial, cause of their stagnation was policy error, but decline in working population later became huge additonal hindrance. And to this day, it's still a major dilemma that they face. I read a lot of Japanese news online (I'm 2nd gen Japanese American, but dont consider myself Japanese, so I refered to them as 'they'), and this topic is always in the news, also, reading thier comments indicates to me that it is a serious societal & poltical issue (not being able to afford to get married among them.) Even with a new favourable US stance to Japan, and perhaps with better domestic policy making, thier ever declining population is a dead weight that's holding them back. I'm not faimilar with the situaton in Europe, so I cant comment on that.

@shtroizn 7 месяцев назад

Very interesting. I tend to agree. I think India is a great example - the most populous Democratic State, historically indebted to Russia yet at odds with China. No doubt it makes sense for Asian countries to take a neutral stance. It certainly seems to work for Saudi Arabia.

@paul1979uk2000 6 месяцев назад

It's probably going to be more the case going forward with more countries going neutral, after all, most countries around the world see the coming Cold War as a US-China conflict for world power, even the Europeans are far more neutral on China then the US would like and it's easy to understand why, the US feels threaten by a rising China being bigger than them, most of the rest of the world don't like China so much but have become a lot more distance on the US over the last 2 decades, that is a major problem for the US then it is for anyone else, because the US is what China is targeting whereas most of the world are more neutral.

@jyotiradityachoudhury7987 6 месяцев назад

@@paul1979uk2000China is an expansionist power in the modern world. It has a border issues with every neighbour. China has also made huge investments in Africa, Pakistan and Sri Lanka but it's not out of good will but a new form of colonisation. We saw what happened with Sri lanka it didn't profit at all but all the profit went to China and now china owns many ports of Sri lanka for like 50 to 60 yrs . It's a debt trap . Sure USA has different issues with china as it's seeing it's own decline from superpower status in near future so it has become really close to a country like India whereas historically it used to support Pakistan in wars with india . Russia and China have had an interesting relationship previously USSR used to be the big brother in the relations whereas now china has become the big brother that Russia needs .

@TheWefikus 6 месяцев назад

@@jyotiradityachoudhury7987China hated USSR with a passion. The fact that the Russians think the Chinese are their friends is truly hilarious.

@grtinfulleffect8349 6 месяцев назад

The average age in Japan is 50. Let them keep doing what they are doing.

@StereoSpace 7 месяцев назад

India will do whatever benefits India at that moment. That's their entire foreign policy history.

@MusicismoreImportant 6 месяцев назад

Everyone should love their country first and not just take in refugees Every country can be Australia or USA

@ChandanMishra-ql1bi 6 месяцев назад

Not only in the moment but also in the future since we all know the future is china, and India doesn't want to go against them

@truthseeker327 6 месяцев назад

Can't trust the Anglo Saxons after what they did to India

@nomos6508 6 месяцев назад

from France: YES!

@reinercreekman 6 месяцев назад

From Germany 🇩🇪 NO

@yurimoskorz7849 4 месяца назад

It's scary how he talks about "Cold War II" like that

@kims144 7 месяцев назад

He is absolutely correct about India. They will continue to manage everyone in order for them to grow and prosper.

@nicholasphelps3872 7 месяцев назад

And is this successful without replacing it's citizens with other peoples, imagine that.

@user-tp7gy4dj4l 6 месяцев назад

They aren't even replacing its citizens with the next generation of their own people.

@DemPilafian 7 месяцев назад

India's security right now is not at significant risk. However, if the regional security situation deteriorates significantly in the future, India will regret its self-serving equivocating.

@sebee555 7 месяцев назад

As an Indian we have been working on our internal issues tbh. There is a lot of internal security concerns which would make external threats more problematic rn. And we have a consistent border breeches by terr orists who routinely slip in now and then...its an ongoing hassle for us rn. Location wise we aren't as lucky as usa and there is always external pressure on us to actually remain neutral.

@pincermovement72 7 месяцев назад

To be fair India seems to be doing what is best for India , I’m British and wish my government was protecting its borders , not pursuing a ridiculous net zero policy that is destroying its economy and standard of life for its people while allowing India and China to build coal fired power stations daily . India upsets no one and aligns with no one , to me this is what nation states in the west used to do which is where their power came from . Now all the uk does is keep giving money away to anyone that asks , money we haven’t got that is borrowed, Sunak has just announced another £1.6 billion to COP 26 after £6 billion a few months ago . Time to take our countries back from these parasites.

@DemPilafian 7 месяцев назад

@@sebee555 As an American I believe most of us want closer relations with India. History makes that difficult due to U.S./Pakistan military ties and India/Russia military ties. It may take a very long time, but eventually the U.S. and India will be full allies and Pakistan will realign with China.

@sebee555 7 месяцев назад

@@DemPilafian same here. Indians mainly are friendly towards all, however we are concerned about same issues given that some people simply do not want peace 🤷🏻‍♀️ so 🇮🇳's attitude has always been to be helpful to those who help her. Most Indians solidly stand by israel as israel has helped us many times over as we have same security issues (same sort of strategies employed) however, we solidly believe gaza disengagement was a catastrophic mistake. There is a total clash of cultures here, most peace loving israelis unfortunately did not understand that hamas like actors never give up. We really respect their efforts to try, but it was a doomed venture. There is a massive civilisational difference in basic understandings between the fundamental ideas and values of what freedom and liberty actually means. Exchanging prisnors for peace unfortunately set a trend for this to occur, so they will now need to really ensure no such actors are remaining there. Democracy and freedom, rights are things which are only maintained when there are similar minded allies. The average Indian despises this terrible form of fanatical terrorism especially more as it's antithetical to civilisation so we really hope 🇺🇸 and Europe realise the threat before its too late. We do not think even China or Russia can control it once it's powerful enough.

@biswaroopmaiti2943 7 месяцев назад

I think we Indians prefer to ultimately depend on ourselves when it comes to defence and regional security. There will be many more defence deals with France, Israel and the US. But, ultimately, we don't want the anxiety of Ukrainian and Taiwanese civilians. After all, we are the only country with two nuclear armed neighbours and a parade of failed states and terrorist hubs close to our borders.

@DuaneJasper 6 месяцев назад

Very informative and interesting but he didn't really speak to the question and go into detail about Japan's modern global position and influence other than its military. This was entirely forgivable as its a sprawling conversation but I think the title is misleading

@paul1979uk2000 6 месяцев назад

I think that's the problem for the US, it's likely going to be more difficult to build alliances with Asian countries to combat China unless China really goes off the rails and starts threatening Asian countries. Because of the geographic, most are not going to want to risk their trade links they have with China that it could be the EU-US as the two main power blocks that can keep China in check, but I can't help but feel that the US is losing the EU when it comes to China, which if they lose them, it's going to be difficult for the US to contend with China, especially as China has a few advantages in having a far bigger population with a lot more economic growth to be had, population size is a major factor in projecting power and China have been rapidly developing for decades, yes it's growth rate is slowly down now but it's still likely to outpace the west, that will make it difficult for the EU or the US alone to contend with China that I think they'll need to work closer together, Asian countries in the region will do what's in their own interest, and because of the close trade links, most won't want to get on the wrong side of China.

@jtho8937 6 месяцев назад

China isn't exactly making friends with its nine dash line aggression.

@johncopeland3826 7 месяцев назад

Ah , the old brown cords with the tweed jacket .... yecannywackit !

@yewjunhao3615 6 месяцев назад

Clickbait.The conversation never mention anything of the sort. They were talking about cold war 2.

@johnlaudenslager706 7 месяцев назад

Isn't it time to push and empower the UN to be the capable arbiter of national borders? Isn't it nations on occasion seeking to expand control across borders by military means that causes most of the dangerous confrontations internationally? Shouldn't it be the UN telling China it cannot invade Taiwan, telling Russia it cannot invade Ukraine, telling Turkey it cannot invade Cyprus, telling Israel it cannot invade the West Bank, ........., and able to rally forces to back up international interests regarding borders?

@Belfreyite 6 месяцев назад

The biggest problem is not national identity, but religion. As long as it remains intrisically divisive, the danger will remain. It beggars belief that world peace should be threatened by some mumbo jumbo. These Bigoted Zealots on all sides that spur their brainless followers on to war are the culprits.

@xXXArchangellXXx 6 месяцев назад

Sure, but let's not let the UN be capable to tell the US it can't "bring democracy" to the Middle East. You know, like the one they got now in Iraq? Libya? Syria?

@saltburner2 7 месяцев назад

Niall Ferguson is an excellent historian and analyst. This situation would not have arisen with Trump in the White House.

@timthetiny7538 6 месяцев назад

It did arise with Trump n the white house

@marcomongke3116 7 месяцев назад

did they mention anime? they should have.. its probably 1 of the strongest soft power tool.

@jw841 7 месяцев назад

The funny thing is I lived in Japan for many years and I think I properly watched 2 or 3 episodes of anime while there. None of my Japanese friends watched it. Even my Japanese girlfriend prefers K-dramas. The only time I hear about anime is when I go back to the west and its usually some 16 year old teenage boy with pimples asking me about it. Just my experience might just be the circles I move in and might be missing something.

@marcomongke3116 7 месяцев назад

I work with lots of young adults, the number of anime and k-drama watchers are in a constant upward trend here in Central Asia. @@jw841

@jamaljyf 6 месяцев назад

With the Japanese new tax invoice system, Japanese anime quality will drop. You can thank Kishida for that!

@heathgraydenbonds7797 6 месяцев назад

Read Kojève's writings on Japan

@leoyuanluo 6 месяцев назад

the problem with these strategy is that they always look at the world from outside(military) instead of inside(domestic issues). when you govern your country well, everyone will follow you. If you don't everyone will leave you.

@langerofficial 6 месяцев назад

What's to be said of the suicide rate in Japan?

@Pythonizah 6 месяцев назад

Japan strategically autonomous, yeah right. No country of its size except for maybe South Korea is as dependent on food and energy imports as Japan. Talking heads.

@gmn2015 6 месяцев назад

Came to hear Henry Kissinger! Apparently I’m wrong

@anirbanchoudhury6568 6 месяцев назад

India's policy is of Strategic Independence. India is not America's ally but sees itself as a partner. That means they will do business on equal terms rather than go where America tells them to go. They will buy American weapons but they will have their own doctrines. And rightly so. China is on India's borders but in case of an hot conflict US at best can provide political support and weapons while India has to fight its own war. So decisions have to be taken carefully. India has nothing to lose even if China annexes Taiwan infact some of the chip companies might move to India. So Americas wars are not India's wars. India needs Russia, India should have a relationship with Iran. Sovereign relations can not be mutually exclusive because the hegemon wants it that way especially given its poor track record of backing up allies. Their support can dry off in one election cycle. Its bad to be America's ebemy but worse to be their allies. Better to keep them engaged in a close partnership but not be in their camp.

@gumdeo 6 месяцев назад

India is one of the few countries that can stand up to the US.

@michaelk4896 5 месяцев назад

Japan will be important and crucial to the US *as long as there's an LDP-led government* . A strong, left-wing government (peak irony, I know) would want to place Japan in the "non-aligned" zone, which of course would make them targets for US regime change.

@jerolvilladolid 6 месяцев назад

The Soviet Union was the no. 2 economy in cold war 1 and it collapsed trying to outcompete a richer America. In what the speaker described as cold war 2 it is America that will be the no. 2 economy in the rivalry (at least from 2030). And could suffer the same result as the previous second placer

@jamesgornall5731 7 месяцев назад

We assume, blithely, against all evidence, that the US is not itself as perfidious as other imperial powers throughout history have been. We take it fir granted at our peril

@DemPilafian 7 месяцев назад

Imperial... haha.

@saruken3250 7 месяцев назад

As a Japanese citizen, I cannot be proud of a current Japan's military situation in terms of excessive dependence on the U.S. Japan immediately needs to take action for (1) total military independence, (2) single-handed nuclear possession, and (3) declaration of permanent neutrality. I do NOT believe the so-called nuclear umbrella at all. In light of the severe real world, I stand with a realist school like John Mearsheimer.

@djtan3313 7 месяцев назад

As an ethnic Chinese, I agree with u regarding yr sovereignty.

@marcomongke3116 7 месяцев назад

I want the very same in Mongolia.

@mohamedali2858 7 месяцев назад

When there are multiple fronts and confrontations, the policy of priorities is used. Look at 👀 at the crying of Ukrainian President Zelensky when the world's attention and America's policy and its followers turned to the war on Gaza and imagine Putin's feeling and applied that to Japan at the first war in that region

@peterbellini6102 7 месяцев назад

John Mearsheimer's "realist" school of geo-political thought is a theoretical exercise. It is best understood as first let's game plan perfect scenarios then criticize anything/everyone who makes an imperfect decision. BTW, Japan has inexorably moved towards independence and their are lots of things worse than being one of key partners in the Quad alliance.

@aad6632 6 месяцев назад

As a Non japanese, hearing about Japan having a strong independent military and having even nukes makes me really anxious, as Japan has had a really long agression history every time they get a little strong (Korea in the XVI century, Russia and China in late XIX century and early XX century, germany in ww1 and China, the US, british, French and Dutch colonies in wwii). Also they have a huge collection of war crimes in all of those wars. I Am fine with countries being independent from the US, but there are some countries that have restrictions for their military for a reason.

@user-lz5dz1qx2q 6 месяцев назад

Japan is very different from Europe

@juanche978 6 месяцев назад

Yeah 260% inflation...

@gweiverse914 7 месяцев назад

japan has one the biggest debts so no

@biswaroopmaiti2943 7 месяцев назад

Domestic debt, owed to their own people. That's actually very different from foreign debt model that most high debt countries rely on.

@karolb8924 6 месяцев назад

LOL. And it will be with society getting older and lack of new investment.

@koreanBaseballNerd 6 месяцев назад

I honestly think you are wayyyy over-estimating the military importance, power, or authority of Japan in East Asia. Yes, they are a once-economic superpower,p and still has a very strong economics-wise. But the military-wise, they hold no where near the importance that Koreas hold in the region. Japan doesn’t even have a legal military with the purpose of imposing offense to other nations due to their ‘Peace Constitution’. And regarding that said constitution, the political faction PM Gishida is a part of has no plan on changing. Moreover, the objective military powerhouse among the East-asian pro-US military alliance (korea-japan-usa) is very quite clearly south korea. Im not saying this cuz im korean, im sayin it cuz it is a fact. Korea has been in a ‘war’ for 73 yrs now and Japan wasnt even allowed to have an army and still technically isnt allowed to have a full one, it’s quite easy to tell which country has a bigger military importance. I do agree with the point you made that Japan might be the only nation to be fully join in wih the US since it is extremely pro-usa compared to Korea. BUT, Korea is still a heavily pro-USA nation that is actually active in military conflicts in the region against a very notorious communist nation. So i think it’s nonsensical that you describe Japan as the only and the most important part of the entire East Asian international strategies.

@user-rr5mq4em5w 6 месяцев назад

Imagine if the Chinese made podcasts like this... lol

@septicwomb4394 7 месяцев назад

[insert superficial generalization about Japan and its people here]

@adamhauskins6407 6 месяцев назад

The country that surpassed it economically was china somewhat similar

@karamcsand 6 месяцев назад

It is a really bad thing to call it cold war 2. It is simply not like that. "Sides" are not isolated. Neither by media, nor by economy, not even by technology.

@icimdekisen 6 месяцев назад

Its simple Japanese is a difficult language to learn and people barely speak English and it is far away There are still Asian immigrants go there but it is still a similar culture and food

@kcjfilms2946 5 месяцев назад

Japan is declining because of this homogeneity. Gone from second ranking economy to 4th. Its aging population is the biggest problem. Lived in Japan for 10+ years

@jasonmoser8957 7 месяцев назад

The last 10 years of CCP international relations will go down as a disaster. Japan is supplying the Philippines with coast guard ships to deal with their claims with the CCP - unimaginable at one time. Japan's immense influence in Asia stems from their close relations with the US and their commitment to the rules-based system that has allowed Asia to reclaim its economic prowess. Niall suggests some Asian countries want to sit on the sidelines. This is simply incorrect. What they don't want is the CCP changing the rules that have shaped Asia post WW2. Status quo is what countries want.

@lingard1744 6 месяцев назад

If we cannot accommodate diversity thn wht is the beauty of democracy

@iTuber012 6 месяцев назад

Japan needs to care more about Japan but hey what do I know? Stop being a vassel

@jacklaurentius6130 6 месяцев назад

Europe is on a lower civilizational level compared to Japan currently. This is natural, however. Once the bad batch of apples in Europe expire, the fresh ones can start the long process of bring Europe back to where it was.

@johncaldwell9308 6 месяцев назад

@rahulat85 Good point! But his Eurocentric worldview still needs to be challenged. Especially when he is drawing the lines of battle in a new Cold War, the likes of which I want neither my children nor my grandchildren to have any part in.

@fynn530 6 месяцев назад

henry kissinger died, why didnt i heard of that ?

@JohnnyPreston6699 6 месяцев назад

Diversity is a weakness

@user-tp7gy4dj4l 6 месяцев назад

In a dogfight, bet on the mutt, not the purebred.

@cmd7930 5 месяцев назад

@@user-tp7gy4dj4lwe arent dogs Also pure Germanic people are the tallest and physically strongest people on earth

@user-tz3fr3vb7d 6 месяцев назад

japan is changed, transformed into their own . not by interbreeding .

@seanlander9321 7 месяцев назад

As Australia has discovered since 1945, the American alliance is only about supporting America, never once about America supporting Australia. We should establish alliances within the Pacific and Asia instead.

@paulds65 7 месяцев назад

You think China would ever support Australia? Think again.

@jasonsmart1 6 месяцев назад

@@paulds65I think he means in the likes of countries of Japan, S.Korea, etc

@ea3414 6 месяцев назад

@@paulds65The difference is China would never pretend they care

@iceman18211 6 месяцев назад

@@ea3414 Which is even worse. I'd rather have a friend that at least would pretend to care rather than someone who won't even talk to me.

@ea3414 6 месяцев назад

@@iceman18211 Why would you want fake friends? I would rather someone who straight away says exactly who they are and their intentions.

@LeonardoGrigio 6 месяцев назад

Japan is a cluster. It’s the biggest bubble in our lifetime l, real estate in Tokyo was 10 times the real estate prices in Manhattan in the late 80’s neither real estate nor the stock market, the Nikkei has recovered since this time frame. So, 35 years and counting they’ve lost a whole generation of investors don’t get me started on the immigration policy and their birth rate…. it’s truly a mess.

@nickhanlon9331 6 месяцев назад

We are over WW2. Time for Japan to protect themselves and our allies.

@crossjay 7 месяцев назад

Japan is racially and culturally homogeneous, and that is what Europe and all Western countries should be. Non-Western countries should be like that too, and they pretty much are - for some reason diversity is not forced on them, which is strange because diversity is supposedly a source of strength.

@amraceway 7 месяцев назад

The USA was built on people from diverse cultures.

@crossjay 7 месяцев назад

@@amraceway No, it is being destroyed by people from diverse cultures, and it's almost guaranteed that you are one of them.

@amraceway 7 месяцев назад

@@crossjay How diverse can an Anglo-Saxon be? Where is the rule book that you so assiduously follow. I would be fascinated to read it. thank you so much for your balanced comment.

@johnnyflores5954 6 месяцев назад

Some countries didn’t have a say in the matter, like Latin America, diversity, was forced into them. Look at the consequences.

@johnnyflores5954 6 месяцев назад

Hahaha 🤣 who are you kidding, diversity is destroying America, I’m pretty shure it’s Americans themselves. If you, wanna play the victim, like all you snowflakes wine about lately, why don’t you, look who still has all, the power in the US, it ain’t minority’s.

@genz1232 6 месяцев назад

Kissinger was very scepitable and critical to Japan but very friendly to China, a biggest rival in the US history. Japan has been banded by the military treaty with US forces. What option Japan has its destiny surrounded by nuclear powers, Russia, China, North Korea and US?

@gloriathomas3245 6 месяцев назад

If Japan really had a powerful military then taxpayers like myself shouldn't be subsidizing its defense. In fact the American taxpayers shouldn't be subsidizing the defense of any rich country let alone country whether its through aid or security guarantees.

@joeyjojojrshabadoo7462 6 месяцев назад

I think that's a bad wait until you learn about Israel and almost all of Europe

@aircraft2 6 месяцев назад

Europe practically is Japan, just all of Japan's downsides with no upsides. Aging population, overregulation, mass migration decreasing safety increasing authoritarianism etc.

@Tonixxy 6 месяцев назад

99% racially homogenous society, I agree

@petermartin4142 6 месяцев назад

Realistic? Continent versus country.

@williambranch4283 7 месяцев назад

Can't happen. Multi-ethnic multi-lingual Europe? I don't believe Kissinger could be that dense.

@geoffreydawson5430 7 месяцев назад

Did you not like that? Try parading in forty-degree heat with sweat beading down your back in full dress as flag-laden coffins come off a Hercules.

@JakobIlar 7 месяцев назад

Huh. A stable ethnostate? Go figure.

@Arhiroukounas 6 месяцев назад

Japan has the will to persuit millitary autonomy because it also has the willingness to keep Japan Japanese,unlike Europe who has turned to a ethnologic hellhole with very little cohesion and zero purpose

@alviverdeus 6 месяцев назад

An aging country facing a dire labor shortage?

@robertholland7558 7 месяцев назад

Taiwan political position regarding pro independence and being pro Chinese is pretty much split through the middle, and could relatively easily be swung towards the “ pro Chinese “ balance. Just like in the west we swing between progressive and conservative and as we are witnessing right now a MAJOR swing from ultra progressive to ultra conservative in recent years.

@user-yb9dg4xm4d 6 месяцев назад

There is no pro-Chinese side in Taiwan! Nearly everyone here wants China to stay out.

@MusicismoreImportant 6 месяцев назад

Every European countries are different, can't kust be some other country Usa needs the tgv and shinkensen though

@stackoverflow8260 6 месяцев назад

Of course India has to protect its interests. If history has proven anything, US policy makers and its foreign policy is totally untrustworthy. Until some type of trust is built ..unfortunately the current approach of India on international issues is to be maintained. Btw, to all the Xenophobes commenting here think about it, "Karma is real".

@-Maxi.exe03 6 месяцев назад

Be like Japan ? In what way? Beinge extremely xenoohobic? Being in complete denial about their history?

@guestofearth 6 месяцев назад

Yes. Do not underestimate the power of delusion. This is how empires are forged.

@MateusChristopher 6 месяцев назад

How did a video on strategic alliance with japan attract comments about immigration? Yall r bots or wierd

@po-cf1ut 6 месяцев назад

describing "a la carte" diplomacy for the other Asian countries. Much as I would love India to throw their lot in with Europe/US they won't. Just need to look at how cheap their Russian oil is....

@sumanthmurthy1642 5 месяцев назад

Japan’s birth rates are so dangerously low that it’s facing a straight-down civilization collapse by the end of this century. Europe should be like this? I’m not saying Japan should just open up the country but something must be done if Japan wants to preserve its civilization

@noname-dk7ri 6 месяцев назад

Unlike in the past, it is not uncommon for Japan to see population decline, especially in rural areas, and for schools to have foreign children, especially in urban areas. However, the number is still a minority, and while Japan is changing, the speed of this change is probably slower than in other countries, which is one of the main reasons why it is still controllable.

@paulds65 7 месяцев назад

0:50 Japan is 100% dependent on the US for it's security, they do not have "strategic autonomy" at all. Abe was the first to visit Trump after he was elected to offer money for it's protection.

@KurtBoulter 7 месяцев назад

Now we are going to get platitudes for the next couple of week, because Kissinger is dead.

@alexandarvoncarsteinzarovi3723 6 месяцев назад

But people forget that Japan is one country that was unified, Europe has never ever been truly unified, not unless the Romans just showed up with over 200 billion troops and modern gear, That being said there are more then a few dark sides to Japan,

@louisbaptiste8252 6 месяцев назад

US depending on Japan to win in air power? Has this dude ever heard of American aircraft carriers?

@joeyjojojrshabadoo7462 6 месяцев назад

Islands are big unsinkable aircraft carriers.

@user-lx6dw2ks1o 6 месяцев назад

Cope and seethe Vatnik

@TheTeodorsoldierabvb 6 месяцев назад

You mean, it should be as obedient of a colony as Japan is, without an army, packed with your soldiers and agreeing with anything you say - including to the EU's detriment? No, thank you. Go play colonial master somewhere else.

@hellshulk 5 месяцев назад

Instead of accusing India perhaps they should spend more time on how American policy has done so much against India. Be it Kargil war or Bangladesh liberation war and so on. USA is not all that trustworthy when it comes to reliance.