Maiden thoroughbred horse races are some of the most predictable races at the track. PLUS!!! a Winning Maiden Method from Mark Cramer! (Recorded with screencast-o-m...)
I almost exclusively bet maiden races. They are the easiest and clearest races to handicap. The class levels are clearly defined. Form is easier to evaluate. Some of the best angles are in maiden races. If you are skipping maiden races you are missing some of the best bets every single day.
@@deandrewolf5996 Hard to do in a quick comment but generally you are looking for lightly raced horses, especially 2nd time starters, that figure to improve over horses that have raced and lost several times. Watching replays of lightly raced horses can be very helpful. Often you will see they had trouble or were green but showed a good burst of speed. Speed in general is very important in maiden races. Stay away from races with a lot of first time starters. You want to target bad favorites in maiden races. Horses that have lost a lot but like to run second. They often get overbet. Maiden special weight horses dropping into maiden claimers are always worth a look, even if they didn’t run well. Give preference to those that showed good early speed. Trainer stats can be helpful. Trainers that don’t win first time out but do well with 2nd time starters, for instance.
Most long priced Maiden winners occur in the second half of the year in Maiden claiming races. Look for a horse has at least 6 starts and who has finished 2nd or 3rd or 4th 50%+ of the time and has a trainer with a 12%+ win rate and a morning line of 6/1+
An old angle for an old man!! As much as I love the track, just loses my attention when I go on a losing streak. Have to look at what's available for on TVG & NYRA platform for PP, some free info for maybe what I need to look for
I havent wagered a maiden race in 26 years, and despite the quality of this video, I'm not about to start. Sorry but without pace and past results, all these other methods will just lead you to M/L favorites, and yes they win at a high clip but they lose more than they win--the payback isn't worth the risk, and too hard to recoup your losses betting favorites. I don't have to handicap chalk, I can get that simply by looking at the board. Do yourself a favor, skip races with chalk against the field and if you can't do that, then never throw the chalk out of exotics, and skip maiden races altogether. Yes you might pick a winner, maybe for the right reasons, maybe for the wrong reasons but for the novice/med skilled handicapper, playing maidens will cost them far more money than they will make.
True Joe. However, many players these days, including many professionals, are heavy into horizontal exotics like the Pick 3, 4, etc. And always, not once in awhile, but always, one or more maiden races will be in the series, so players need to have knowledge of how to play these races. If a favorite wins, fine, at least their wager remains alive.
@@rpmhandicapping9701 oh how right you are! Couldn’t agree more with you, I’m one of those players. My first reply was a bit long but I was going to include my exception with maiden races which is if I have strong horses in two legs of a pick 3 (or 3 for the pick4)and a maiden race is a third (or fourth) of that leg regardless of order. My strategy is a bit different I play the maiden as an ALL and hope for a long shot. Some of my biggest wins the last few years (not counting my $1 exact bet, ALL/Epicenter, Zandon in the Derby) have been pick3s with bomber breaking their maiden. I don’t wager chalk in my pick 3s so if chalk wins the maiden, I still return more than I wagered. For these bets, I love maiden races, but I’m going with the sure thing and hoping for an upset.
