Russia headed to strategic defeat in Ukraine 

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In my opinion for ukraine to win its not about defeating the russians, its about making the war too costly to continue, just like with usa in vietnam

The only thing that can save Russia's economy is a sponsorship from Raid Shadow Legends.

here 2024, to say this is pure BS

This aged well 😂

"nations are born on the battlefield and forged by stories" - great quote Shirvan

I’m here fighting in Ukraine since the start of the war as a sniper. This is a very crazy age where I am on RU-vid between battles. I want to thank Shirvan for his analysis, he should be a Ukrainian general. I am convinced we will win, the only question is how many lives it will cost. I am proud to be Ukrainian and I hope our future is bright because our people deserve it. за українців тут ми вас любимо і боремося за вас. слава Україні!

I once read a quote that went as follows: Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake. I thought it apt right now.

If only Putin invested heavily in Russian economy, there wouldnt be a need to forcefully subdue Ukraine to its will. Ukrainians themselves would have flocked to Russia for better economic opportunities instead of leaning towards Europe for similar reasons.

*If the Russians used Skillshare than they would have won easily 🤣*

Being from Indonesia, I'd argued with my Russophiles colleagues and lecturers on Russia's inevitable strategic defeat, stemming from their failure to defeat Ukraine swiftly and their PR failure in Ukraine (shelling settlements do not make the civilians there friendly, to say the least). The more protracted the war is, the bigger the chance of Ukraine to seize the initiative and therefore victory, as the war proves to be the biggest uniting factor among Ukrainians. Loss of territories does not matter, as long as they fight to live another day through guerilla warfare. Russia's eventual defeat is already on the clock, whether that or the collapse of the Russian economy comes first is up to debate. Ironic, because we Indonesians also faced the Dutch in two different invasions; they managed to overrun 92% of the country and take most of our cities, yet we still secured our independence in the end. Ukraine has proven its worth in its fight against Russia, and in spite of the loss of territories suffered, their citizens' spirit has united and created a new national identity forged through battles against the invader. My colleagues' arguments (and my lecturers') tend to focus more on shallow aspects such as manpower and airpower, but less on the logistics and morale of the Russian Armed Forces or Ukraine's willingness to give it all. The constant failure to seize air supremacy and shitshows that plague the Russian Armed Forces serve as additional proof. IMO, I'm disappointed most Indonesians are blindly supporting Russia's invasion as something that is just. Looks like most of us haven't learned from East Timor, have we? Even academics tend to romanticize Russia's war and one of which even reiterated Putin's "essay" on Ukrainian identity as fact (that certain academic is currently teaching in Indonesia's most prestigious university). Time for a change I guess. Slava Ukraine! We'll see this to the end brothers!

This didn’t age well.

"Nations are born in the battlefield and forged in stories."....absolutely brilliant

Love the overlapping maps (forrests & mountains overlay), that is another reason to appreciate CR.

This video has aged well, Russia is clearly struggling right now as they dictate terms of unconditional surrender with their booming economy and most battle experienced and best equipped military on the planet. Time to take off those western tinted glasses, perhaps?

"A person often meets his destiny on the road he took to avoid it" Master Oogway

Lol.....this is not ageing well. Russia is nearly done, 1 month to win and 3 months to wrap up.

Also worth noting is that, by Putin's singular throw of the dice, he has burned pretty much every bridge he had and committed himself to a corner. Russia's ability to maneuver strategically on the global stage is permanently crippled so long as he remains in power.

As a Belarusian I would like to say, that our people fully support Ukraine. At the moment we are occupied. But even living in the most harsh dictatorship can't stop people from attacking the railways used by russian army, Belarusians are keep joining Ukrainian troops to fight against Russia etc. Slava Ukraine

As a long time fan of your channel, the view counts you are getting lately are well deserved. Sad that it took a conflict for people to catch on. 1.7M views in 4 day. Fantastic work.

This aged like fine milk

The funny thing is, even if somebody thinks Ukraine is a artificial country with no history, he can't disagree with fact, that Ukraine now created a turning point in history and now have one.

"nations are born on the battlefield and forged by stories" strongly agree, modern Denmark was created this way. Denmark's defeat in the 1864 war with Prussia was in many ways a blessing, it made Denmark focus on its own population and resources, rather than thinking of conquests. And after ww1 where Denmark was offered to get the lost land back, we did referendums divided into provinces, so it was only areas that would like to be Danish we got, and those that would like to be German, which were most Germany kept, it was not all countries after ww1 that were worried about large German minorities within their borders might cause problems in the future, but it probably went well, I think.......

as always Caspian Report has the best analysis on geopolitical issues

Lmfaoo most poorly aged propaganda ever.

I look forward to your weekly analysis videos. I find it more meaningful than watching the news.

"A preventive war is like taking your own life in fear of death"-Otto Von Bismarck

Bro losing 25% of your land isn’t a victory stop this BS

Still think the same nearly 3 months later Shirvan?

"Sometimes, one must do a step forward to do two steps back." - Vladimir Putin, probably

Finland also had strategic defeats both times, in the winter war and continuation war. though the term strategic defeat is used in different context here, in russia´s case. we called them puolustusvoitto, defensive victory. its when you lose the war, lose something acceptable, but not your independence and most important places.

"Russia headed to strategic defeat in Ukraine"- lol! Anyone watching this in 2023?

Ukraine was a nation way before Russia, When Kiev stood Moscow were swamp lands

“Preventive war is like committing suicide out of fear of death.” - Otto von Bismarck

9:50 "In fire iron turns into steel, in struggle people turn into a nation" - Yevhen Knovalets

Aged like fine milk 👌

I think there is a work around for the nationhood sentiment. Deport Ukrainians to Siberia and import Russians. This is already happening in Mariupol

Russias army is still stuck in the soviet times, mostly due to corruption. How much money that was gonna go to the military do you think ended up in the hands of oligarchs?

Its very surprising that many countries condemn it. Indonesia who is usually neutral in most international conflicts with the word "call all sides to refrain" actually condemn the invasion though it doesn't actually specify who invades Ukraine.

I love your videos. Very good analysis. PS. Long live Ukraine! 🇺🇦

Aged like wine

I'm a Russian citizen on vacation in Ukraine and I genuinely had no idea this was occurring. Thankfully I drove here in a T-72 with an AK and a few extra pairs of green fatigues

You have been pushing out videos at such quick pace during this conflict and as a long time viewer of 6 years, I just want to say thank you. The CapsianReport, in my opinion, is and has been the best researched and produced independent geopolitics channel on RU-vid. I see the hard work you're putting in, and I think I can speak for all your subscribers when I say, we really appreciate it.

The best gamblers fall from their good luck when they get dragged by arrogance. Putin belongs to that kind of people...

What a joke this video is. Silly when it was made, even sillier as we can see now. Anyone who follows this channel to be informed about geopolitical events is a fool.

This feels like it might be Russia's Suez moment. Obviously the comparison has some flaws but there are a surprising number of similarities. A waning superpower/great power (depending on your perception) that gambles, loses, and is put in its new place in the world order. China doesn't (yet) seem to be taking the role of the USA in the comparison, but Russia is adding fuel to the fire of central and eastern European nationalism in a similar way to how the Suez Crisis catalyzed Arab nationalism. Central and Eastern European countries have always hated being seen as a buffer zone. Kinda feels like their time has come around again (but I am biased on this, so feel free to disagree)

This feels more like the Finnish war actually than Invasion of Poland in ww2

Your graphics are on point. Honestly the production value and writing is really fantastic. I love that youtube is becoming a place for high quality content with good production value.

Hey Caspian! How’s that encirclement going? Is Ukraine still winning? LOL

The description of the self-fulfilling prophecy at the very end of the video is extremely well-put and perfectly describes the massive blunder Putin has caused for himself and every single Russian that ends up dying as a result of this ridiculous conflict.

"Soldiers dont fight because they hate they enemy in front of them, they fight because they love what's behind them"

Despots do not care whether their exploits could destroy their country, it is about their personal quest for historical glory and power. I love CaspianReport' analysis always so easy to understand why things are the way they are, and giving an insight into what may happen in the longer term.

History is also filled with forgotten insurgencies that were crushed by the occupying power. Far more resistance movements have failed that have succeeded in history. We only remember the ones who succeed.

Putin has united Ukraine, EU, NATO and US politic across the aisle. Incredible achievement 🤪

In 1914, neutral, Belgium was given the ultimatum by Germany: let our army pass to fight France or you'll be considered an enemy. Belgium refused. King Albert ended his speech in front of the parlement with the words 'a country which is defending itself conquers the respect of all; such a country does not perish!'. It is this feeling Ukrainians have, in defending themselves they earn the right in being a country, even if it should be conquered they will not perish. The phoenix rises from the ashes.

So many wrong experts.

The us doesn’t have left leaning news outlets

9:46 that was actually in Riga, Latvia. The Ukrainian flag was hung ontop the TV tower. We have Ukrainian flags everywhere here in the city.

Conquering territory is easy, winning the hearts and minds of the conquered is another matter. Genghis Khan knew that. Dictators should know that Wars of aggression are unsustainable both from the resource point and more importantly from the human perspective. But hubris always paves a path to oblivion for these monsters.

"Those who dance are considered insane by those who can't hear the music". Great opening line.

Never got military training, never been in real battle fields, yet in you tube you can be a war expert analyst.

As a Ukrainian and with all respect I can say that the analysis isn't quite right. At this point the Ukrainian nation is united and there's no difference between West and East Ukraine. Moreover, these are people who live in the Eastern part of Ukraine who took AKs and fought Russians together with military forces. It's an important detail to understand. Thanks for paying attention to the topic. Such videos are important in this time.

'A victorious warrior wins first and then goes to battle whereas a defeated one first goes to battle and then seeks to win.' - Sun Tsu

This is such a good take- congrats! lately I have been getting most of my information from non-american commentators on youtube. Europeans seem much more informed

June 2022. Who can endure economically, until next year? The EU with the fraud leader in Washington or Russia 🪆?,.,.,,

I hope things get better, feel so sad for the lives of the civilians out there. 🥺

“Vanity is a mortgage that is deducted from the value of a person” - love that! Well said.

Seriously, Caspian report was the first and likely the only one who managed to predict the conflict in Ukraine long ago! Congratulations Shirvan! You are doing very well! 👏👏👏

I'm concerned about another move from the old Russian playbook that might help them stabilize Ukraine. Shifting populations. In the same way the Tartars were moved from Ukraine in the past they have shown willingness to allow Ukrainians to flee into Russia. By displacing Ukrainians into more stable oblasts and adding Russians to the region the situation may not be peaceful but manageable.

Hi. Please do a video about Belarus' future in this situation. Would be interesting to evaluate what will happen in Belarus once Russia starts to weaken.

Western unreality hitting hard right now.

As if appreciating CaspianReport analysis will defeat Russia.

"He who never takes risk, never drinks champagne." Well, given how importing champagne from Europe is now impossible, I guess he won't be drinking any for a while

I’m always eager to see everything you put out. I’ve been eager to have an update regarding Ukraine, and not only did you deliver amazing work as always - it is great news. You’re my most appreciated channel in the last 12 months.

The Caspian report should rename the video," Ukraine and the west are losing".

Ground news… the first ad that drove me to a download in idk how many hundreds of thousands or millions of ads I’ve seen in my life. Nooice.

There is a cheaper, more sustainable way for Russia to secure its western border: A friendly, productive relationship with its neighbors. If there are no enemies, then Russia don't need to worry about being attacked. Ironically, all Russia's attempts to archive "national security" end up making it even more vulnerable.

Caspian cites Yuval Noah Harari:”Nations are ultimately built on stories. Each passing day adds more stories that Ukrainians will tell not only in the dark days ahead, but in the decades and generations to come. These stories count for more than tanks”

this war revealed truth face of most youtubers..

People bang on about the effect the economic sanctions will have on Russia, but how much money has this "operation" cost so far. Every week this continues, the more it must be severely draining Russia's cash reserves .

I would add here that the campaign in Ukraine also weakens Belarusian hold of the Russian puppet of Lukashenko. We see organised resistance already emerging. And it also seems that Belarussian soldiers have to do the dirty jobs of clearing up Russian losses (straight up scrapping dead from tanks), and handle the wounded.

The sunflower woman is absolutely badass. So many quotes from this war. I hope it ends soon and that the Ukrainian people can rebuild their homes soon.

Boy...this aged well, hahahahahaha

bro that ad transition was flawless, like it wasn't an ad

I must say I sincerely appreciate your analysis. My feed is filled with crappy clickbait videos but your videos consistently provide clear, nuanced perspectives.

When did Russia ever say they were going for a Lightning strike on Ukraine...

All empires come to an end. Even Russia.

While I never liked Putin, I always thought he was smart and shrewd man Attacking Ukraine proved me wrong

This is a really well made film, both in technical terms, in narration, and above all in its analysis. An excellent effort and product.

“It’s easier to conquer a country than hold onto it” people saying America never wins any wars seem to ignore the key difference between these two things.

You know your being sanctioned HARD when Cat Breeds from your country are being Sanctioned!!!!

Imperialistic Putin jumped into the Abyss. Ataturk said a Nation fighting for survival doesn't get beat.

Probably the peak production of this channel. Excellent visuals and narrating, and again a sharp analysis of the near to medium future. I do not regret hitting the sub button and turn on the bell at all.

As long as Putin has any political power in Russia, the West will not be willing to normalize the relationship. Hope and prayer’s to all citizens in Ukraine and Russia.

I counted no less than 15 epic quotes from you Shirvan. What a gem!

THANK YOU RUSSIA THANK YOU MR PUTIN FOR STANDING UP AGAINST FASCISTS ONCE AGAIN

Not only would a Ukrainian insurgency be well armed, funded, and motivated, but those long borders with Poland and Romania would allow fighters to easily slip away into neutral territory if needed. If Vietnam and Afghanistan taught us anything, it's that fighting guerillas in a country with neighbors unwilling or unable to block border crossings is a nightmare.

Well, Putin single handedly achieved all these: - Gave NATO purpose for its existence again. - United Ukrainians. - Gave EU members urgency on defence spending and also brought up talks of the formation of United States of Europe again. One hell of an achievement if you ask me.

These videos are amazing quality. It is incredible how far we have come where I remember a time to get quality like this you had to watch TV.

One comment, which is absolutely true in the US - A vast majority large news media channels are left leaning (CNN, NBC, MSNBC, ABC, NPR, AP, ...with really only one large right leaning media channel (FoxNews) (I'm a conservative center right).... this could be one reason for the distribution ratio offset.