Taking a Shot at a High Stakes Game 

"I think the guy's full of sh1t." - B.Hanson - 2005 through 2020.

Villain never intended to muck top set and so he made a blocker bet on river to avoid having to call a bigger bet. Very poorly played hand, but seems like that's what he was thinking.

Wow this was really interesting. I think in theory I like a fold and maybe wouldve done it, but whats holding me back is that if hes actually a great player I feel like sometimes great players will actually call with hands like AA, KK, QQ or even JJ with one diamond to have the ”faux flush draw” so that they can make a lead bluff excactly like this on the river when the flush completes having relevant blockers. I can see this as a viable option. AA might still rarely be good on the turn, and this faux flush draw essentially gives them more equity in the hand in terms of fold equity on the river via the bluff. Super interesting, I thought the river bet was def polarizing to a high flush or a bluff like mentioned, did not expect him to be value betting worse especially if hes a competent player.

I'm not sure why we are putting the villain on diamonds because of river bet all of the sudden. If our read is right and villain only has overpairs, then why would we be worried about him having a flush? Also, from villains perspective, doesn't it look like hero has 78 or a set of 7's/8's? I would venture to guess it is a value bet on river and fold to a raise from the villain's POV.

I like how you narrow ranges Bart. It's inspiring, thanks 4 the vids I appreciate them, they help me in my studies as well.

Come on Bart. No-one ever folds the river. You might think your beat but its always a call. Villain played it horrible. He definitely should have check raised the turn.

This is great, this is so amazing! Really interesting board and dynamic. A real twist at the end too! 10/10

Really interesting hand.

Wow. There's no way that utg guy is a great player. What he did on the river with that hand vs you AND the fishy button player... Just seems like a horrible bet when he should be checking and praying you shut it down on the river.

Hero’s hand doesn’t really remove any of UTG’s flush combos because 8’s and 7’s aren’t in a full-ring UTG opening range, unless he’s loose and would open A8s or A7s from that position, in which case that’s only a couple combos. Basically my point is that our hand shouldn’t really factor into our evaluation of whether UTG is holding a flush by the river.

This is just a "close your eyes and call" situation. Way too strong to fold. Too many other hands he could be value betting that we beat. Throw it in.

"I think the guys full of shit" LMFAO!!!! Oh my god, that made this analysis the best ever. You're the goat Bart!!!! Keep the content flowing!!!

Nice call - I hope to hear more from this caller once we get our Covid-19 shit together in Montreal!

Great call in. Before the result I was expecting a KJDD or A9DD but seems very odd to have 10’s the way the hand was played out. Would you ever c/r the flop with 10’s here? Or the turn? Would be interested to know how you would consider playing this hand if you were the villain.

i haven’t heard results yet: I would call here because of the button but if i thought or got a read that the button was folding i would jam here. edit: just listened to end so when you have a true fish in the game everything changes from what you’re used to. Fold is completely off the table it’s either raise or call.

lol no Villian is a genius. He knew he was in 2nd place, Bet was designed to bluff out Hero get Whale to call ;)

I moved to Las Vegas 5 years ago. I played online and was successful from 2005-2011. I got cheap on training and stopped training daily. I started playing on wsop.com, and it let me know that. Completely different game. Took me a grand to learn that I am not a good online player. I’m worse at online than I am live.

Strange to bet top set only why a back door flush comes in? There are not many, but some hands you get value from. I think even a jam and a call would be standart.

Bart, we play together sometimes when the rooms are open in LA, but what you say on the end here makes literally no sense. The guy shouldn’t lead the river because the bd flush comes in? So what, he should just be check folding to normal bet? Because this caller is going to be betting his flush again on the end, so if the set calls that’s the same result. The only difference is you said you might fold the flush, in which case the bet can’t be bad at all. I’d be check x/r jamming top set all day on the turn, but not sure what you could mean with this.

I picked exactly the same bets, 100 and 300, but was torn on the river. I think that villain was indeed turning top set into a bluff and at the same time counting on BTN to call with worse hand. It does make sense.

People are seriously thinking about folding a backdoor flush to a 1/2 pot block bet because they're scared of a backdoor overflush? Wow. Well I guess I'll keep bluffing 3-flush boards with any one card of the suit as blocker then. Most under-defended board ever.

I think what villain meant was that he put hero on a straight and thought he could bully him off it when the flush came out. Especially considering he was shot taking. Would have been very interesting to see what he'd do if hero did have the straight. Would have been a tough call bc like you said the villain looked like he caught the backdoor on the turn. Question is did villain know the hero was shot taking and how nervous a table image he was giving off to the other players. I know if I was playing above my normal stakes I'd have a harder time making that call than at my usual level.

Why didn’t he check raise the turn ? To keep the button in ?

I was deep sea fishing once upon a time many yesteryears ago.. I hooked what I hoped was a huge fish! Only Upon landing my catch did I then realize it was an angry Shark and quite dangerous

Yeah I was thinking he could do this with a set on the river. Maybe planning to fold to a jam. He may just be afraid that the river will check through.

Off the top of my head i can think of four reasons you pretty much have to call the river and folding isn't an option. Villain could have J9, villain could have 45dd, villain could have a weirdly played set, villain could decide the diamond is a good card to bluff.

7 and 8 of diamonds is the best possible hand to rule out back door flushes. In order to have had a back door flush plus pair someone needs a 7 8 or 10 of diamonds and they are all accounted for. I think Bart is right but with This flush we have to call and hope they have TT or two pair or something else I think

never would have let it get to the rivr with that set. i would have hit the turn for a pot sized bet, after the flop calls.. i really expected him to have Q9 of diamonds.. made the most sense.. gutter, flush draw, over card. THAT, would make sense, with the play of that hand.. wow.. let the draws get there, and if he thought it was a weak flush ( no clue ), if he bet like $1400, pretty sure he takes it down.... great hand to see at those stakes..

I forsure thought the utg has QJdd or Q9dd. Looks like he wasn’t a good player after all.

If I was UTG I’d check raise the flop and lead the turn. So many bad cards can come, for instance, the back door diamonds. Classic example of flopping top set and letting you opponent catch up and win

Great hand analysis. Thank you

I think he did it because there was no way he was folding there and the pot was almost 1400, Hero had 1565 and if he checks hero would either bet 1100+ or shove, so he block bet and wanted to save 400+

I could see possibly folding due to the diamond on the river being another LOW diamond...since it reduced the number of combos of flushes that we beat. I probably still make a cry call.

I think he was bet-folding river here. I think his size was too large to get cry-called by a hand like 78hh/ss/dd or T8s. He shouldve really just check-jammed turn though IMO. He probably knew you must have a hand like 2 pair after going for it on the turn, and he was trying to get max value. You just so happened to have the only 2 pair possible here (assuming he had the ten of clubs) that also made a flush.

Living for “the fishy lady” 🐟😂

he probably meant that you had a set of 7 or 8 when he thought you had the nuts on the turn also, I think he played the hand bad because he should have raised the flop or the turn to get value from the whale and also from the caller who should have a lot of sets in his range calling pre flop and betting flop + turn in that situation so he should c bet or check raise to maximize ev in that spot

Before the reveal, I’m calling all day. The only UTG flush that makes sense is J9 diamonds, where he’s flopping and slow playing. When he leads out he’s so weak. He got unlucky that you made your flush, but if you don’t have a flush, you can’t call there and you have to play honest with her behind you. He’s totally turning top set into a bluff. His bet there is saying he has a flush or nothing... he’s polarized. What flushes does he have? Did he open Ax of diamonds? It would have to be A8, or A9 or A7 of diamonds to continue given post flop action... OR he checked the nuts. But would be open J9 of diamonds from UTG full ring if he’s the best player in the game? He has way more bluffs in his range on the river than value. And he was ahead the whole way, but scared of the straight in such a wet board. Jacks with J of diamonds or 9s with 9 of diamonds could make this play too. Maybe even AJo with either A or J of diamonds could make this play, but he has way too many bluffs in his range when he polarizes to a flush or nothing on the river. Call all day

you referenced Garrett and Andy. Are they the best cash players anywhere?

What’s a gutter

From Villian's POV: 4 way action on a flop like that is a 100% bet out or check-raise with top set. 4 combos of J9 suited, three 89suited, three 97 suited, one 9T suited, two 87 suited, and 6 combos of pocket 9s. UTG is NOT a strong player, he took a fishy line. Called when he should've raised and bet when he should've checked. From Hero's POV: river bet is obviously value bet by a "solid player". So if hes a good player, what can you beat? AJdd, A9dd, QJdd, KJdd, Q9dd, K9dd all take this line. Either the hero is wrong about UTG being a solid player or is a fish himself. A solid player doesn't check-call twice and fires on this river with something Hero can beat.

If this UTG was a good player the only hand that you can beat on this river is 56dd. Vs logic stating he’s betting river to target the whale doesn’t make sense because he should be absolutely betting the flop. If V is playing exploitatively against the whale he should never be checking this flop with any value and does not need to balance

Is this a podcast, that these are pulled from?

Hi ! Hope all is well during these times

Flats are useful when you 1-know your opponents are not conscious to your plays 2- are capable of calling off their whole stack with very marginal hands. It allows you to hit a homer in cheap cheap cheap!

I enjoyed the analysis. As a less experienced player, why is flat calling $35 pre-flop with 7d8d (or any middle suited connector) in middle position incorrect, while folding or three betting is correct? Thank you.

Ha, playing with someone who doesn't know the rules. The bum-hunting maxim of live poker. Once i played 12-24 Omaha Hi/Lo with a nice asian lady at the Peppermill who would muck her hand on the turn when she was all in and out of chips because she apparently didn't know about the table stakes rule. I felt bad.

J9 diamonds is a killer here and everyone loves them selves a suited J 9!!!

Villain should’ve known something was up by the turn. If I were him I’d make a small blocker bet on the river, fold to a re-raise

Final analysis, "I think the guy is FOS". 😂

I thought UTG had AJ Diamonds lol wow

maybe he thought ol boy was trying to bully..?

The entire vlog I thought pocket 10s or Js, the lead on the river screamed 10s or some suited 9 q. There is zero chance anybody, including Bart, is folding that river.

If he's actually a solid player, can't we narrow down his UTG opening range to very few combos of diamonds that actually hit? I can see KQ, KJ, QJ, AQ, AJ, maybe J9 DD at most. I don't think he's opening K9 or Q9 DD. Also, I think there's a chance he let's go all his flush draw combos without a gutshot. Once again, if he's a solid player, I don't see him calling with AQ or KQ of diamonds for example because only his flush draw outs are any good. That leaves literally just AJ, KJ, QJ, J9 of diamonds. The real question: does he lead out with any bluffs ever? I feel like that's what makes this the hardest spot to call. I don't know if he'll just lead that big with JJ with Jack of diamonds as a bluff ever. Still feels like a fold to me IMO. I think it's super lucky that he happened to have 10s,, which I don't expect many good players to end up on the river here with the way the hand played out (no check raise on turn??)

You are getting close to 3:1 with the chance of it being 4:1 if the fish over calls. I think this is too big of a fold vs. a live player that you don't have a great read on. I could see folding getting 2:1 vs. a reg that you have a ton of information on. If I have learned anything from these videos is that the value of showing down is huge. People do so many strange things.

Tbh I was thinking that the guy was either slow playing a set or a straight.

UGT could bet the river getting good players to fold low flushes and straights, representing Adjd, Ad9d, Ad6d, same with kings, and a few other hands... And Bart said he would have thought about folding. Then he says the guy is a bad player? What the UTG did seems reasonable. He gets a good player to fold better and a bad play to call with worse.

Could he have that the hero was going to jam and just saved himself 700? It’s like taking away value from opponents made hand.

Good one. Villan is reppin a flush. He knows hero has j9.

the real whale was UTG player, idk what the fuck that guy was doing in this hand, gotta x/r the turn if you don't x/r the flop obviously like come on man best player at the table?

Before I knew the results I’d call. I feel like he had KK Or QQ. But let’s see in a few minutes

9x

HE HAD A SET WHAT THATS a strange line

let´s hope he finds a raise on the river and keeps playing 5/10

"The butt un player." Reminds me of "planet arium" on South Park. The caller's overannunciation distracts me. Otherwise great hand with great analysis

The guy is obviously not a good player to do that with 1010 on the river

I'm bet folding turn for 150

I ❤️ Taking Shots

There was a lot of excellent analysis here (hero seems quite good also), but the conclusion is almost definitely wrong imo. UTG is good. QJdd, KJdd, AJdd are the only 3 backdoor flush combos that utg opens pre, ck-calls flop, and can call turn with. That contrasts with AA and JJ -- 12 combos that have to see river. JJ because it's an overpair + a gutter, and AA because it beats hero's QQ and JJ (likely hero hands). UTG might still have KK and QQ for same reason. Possibly even AT, if he thinks hero will keep betting hands like T9 on turn with the presence of the super fish. I never have sets played this way by river (but I see it, so I don't discount them completely.) So that's 3 combos you lose to and ~24 combos you beat, and all hands that I could see either checking or betting the flop. You've been snakebit by paying off backdoors if you're considering folding this river. If it wasn't for the presence of the potentially overcalling super fish, you'd have to consider raising. I think Bart is prob misranging the guy because he probably doesn't block rivers himself, or at least for this sizing.

I think the villain was trying to represent the flush on the river. Top set here may think he is behind already on the turn and so hopes to rep the flush on the river. The whole dynamic of the whale in the middle makes this hand different too, everyone saying "UTG is bad" seems to be forgetting that if 2 good players are in a pot with a super loose and very bad player, both good players can have ranges that are very wide. Not to mention either good player is probably value betting on the river with sets and straights too, since the bad player sounds like she would call with nearly anything. I thought top set was more likely by the river, but of course it could be a flush too.

Haha I think he’s full of shit too! Really good video mate.

9 out of 10 times, the whale will have A5d.

you're not folding this. gtfooh.

The ending was incredible “I think the guys full of shit”