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Top5 Reasons Bonanzas and Barons Crash Part1 

FlyWire- scott perdue
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Top 5 Reasons Bonanzas and Barons Crash Part 1
Top 5 Reasons Bonanzas and Barons Crash Part 2
• Top5 Reasons Bonanzas ...
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FlyWire is about exploring flight and the freedom this incredible experience brings us on a personal level. Flying has always captured the imagination and excitement of living life to its fullest. Hi, I'm Scott Perdue. In a former life I flew the F-4 and F-15E, more recently I retired from a major airline. I've written for several aviation magazines over the years, was a consultant for RAND, the USAF, Navy, NASA as well as few others, wrote a military thriller- 'Pale Moon Rising' (still on Kindle). But mostly I like flying, or teaching flying. Some of the most fun I had was with Tom Gresham on a TV show called 'Wings to Adventure". We flew lots of different airplanes all over the country. Now with FlyWire I want to showcase the fun in flying, share the joy and freedom of flight and explore the world with you. Make sure you subscribe if you want to go along for the ride!
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24 фев 2022

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Комментарии : 271   
@Joe_Not_A_Fed
@Joe_Not_A_Fed 2 года назад
Fascinating. Thanks, Scott. Looking forward for part 2.
@zidoocfi
@zidoocfi 2 года назад
Thanks Scott. I'm looking forward to part 2, and maybe beyond.
@jameshuggins7320
@jameshuggins7320 2 года назад
I worked a contract with the Mexican Air Force a while back - they are good at wrecking things.
@catherinenelson4162
@catherinenelson4162 10 месяцев назад
LOL!
@jimarcher5255
@jimarcher5255 9 месяцев назад
They could wreck a ball peen hammer.
@blancolirio
@blancolirio 2 года назад
Thanks for posting Scott!
@jimmbbo
@jimmbbo 10 месяцев назад
Scott, early in my flying career, I flew and instructed in Bonanzas, as well as having done an accident investigation of an inflight breakup of an early model 35. A couple of observations: 1) The Bonanza is delightfully light in roll control, much more so than a C-210. For that it gives up some roll stability, meaning that a slight upset can initiate a turn. In IMC, an overloaded pilot may not notice the upset and respond after a "graveyard spiral" has developed, where he pulls back too rapidly on the yoke, causing the tail to fail. This is a common Bonanza crash scenario. 2) To save weight, the early model 35s had no shear web between the upper and lower surfaces of the wing, but relied on the "D" section of the leading edge to carry the shear loads normally resisted by a web between spar caps that extended the length of the wing. With age, the rivets holding the lower "D" section skin to the spar cap work loose, leaving telltale black aluminum oxide streaks. If those rivets fail, the "D" section "unzips" from the spar, allowing the airflow to enter the wing interior, leading to its destruction.
@dr123hall
@dr123hall 10 месяцев назад
Jim, those very facts should be published far and wide! Should come with Early “Ponderosa’s” being sought and bought! :-))
@tortureborn
@tortureborn 5 месяцев назад
"For those of you in Rio Linda". Thanks for the reference, great men all around!
@rael5469
@rael5469 2 года назад
I saw a Bonanza land gear up once. I was in A&P school and we were on a lunch break at Meacham Field in Fort Worth Texas. Everybody was just sitting there quietly watching planes land. The smokers were smoking. Beautiful summer day. I was standing by the door and I turned to go inside and all the guys went, "WHOA ! ! ! ! !!!!!!" I looked to see what they were whoaing about and a Bonanza had landed with his gear up. He skidded to a stop on the runway with what looked like minimal damage. I bet it was shocking as hell though.
@evangreen7562
@evangreen7562 2 года назад
Great video! Looking forward to the next episode.
@radioace318la
@radioace318la 2 года назад
The Twain quote was awesome, Scott. I say If you are flying a twin, you double your chances of losing an engine. ~ Rick Shelton
@WarblesOnALot
@WarblesOnALot 2 года назад
G'day, Actuarily mate, it's been measured to be worse than that. After WW-2 the RAF had a Reconnaisance Squadron based at Hong Kong, flying Spitfires which each had one Merlin Engine..., then the Spitfires were replaced with Mosquitos featuring Pairs of Merlins... So the Groundcrews and the Pllots were all up to speed on maintaining and operating Merlins. And then, the number of Engine Failures per 1,000 Hours of flying TRIPLED with the change from flying Singles to Twins. Gremlins grow exponentially, apparentarily... And whereas a Spitfire's one Engine could fail, a Mosquito could lose it's Left motor, it could lose it's Right motor, or for the sake of variety it could lose Both motors. Doubling Complexity Triples the number of Failure Modes...; Apparently. Such is life, Have a good one... Stay safe. ;-p Ciao !
@jackoneil3933
@jackoneil3933 2 года назад
I am reminded of a couple of aviation applicable lines from 'The Innocents Abroad. "One day when the ship's tail was pointing at the sky ... " and: "It occurred to me if two cooks in one kitchen can spoil the soup, then what can 5 captains in one ship spoil?"
@jackoneil3933
@jackoneil3933 2 года назад
We guys who prefer and advocate twins have considered that one, and others like: "When one engine in a twin quits, the other is there to take you to the scene of the accident" I might submit however, that in a single you double your chance of loosing your life when you loose your one and only engine. Just as Scott pointed out, statistics don't tell the whole story, and back about 1983 FAA and others looked into why accident incidents were higher after a single engine failure in twins than in singles, and I seem to recall the result showed that statistically Twins showed a lower overall engine failure rate per flight hour than singles. And the reason given was that when one engine failed in a twin, the aircraft typically made a safe landing, and no incident resulted or was reported. Whereas in a single, an engine failure nearly always resulted in a reported incident or accident. Personally, I've had two engine failures in twins, one catastrophic the other from a massive cloud to cloud lightning strike.that took out both mags, avionics and magnetized the crank in the right engine. If those two cases if that happened in a single the outcome could have be serious or fatal. I've also had things like magneto, fuel system and turbo issues in twins that if occurred in a single would have presented serious risk to safety, but were non-events in a twin. I've also made a few landings in singles with little or no power, but crashed once in the water in an experimental single engine amphibian after the engine quite just after departing an airport. If we had time to manually retract the gear in time we would not have lost of the aircraft and nearly our lives. So Single or Twin? Maybe Deng Xiaoping said it best about such choices: " It doesn't matter whether a cat is black or white, as long as it catches mice ."
@radioace318la
@radioace318la 2 года назад
@@jackoneil3933 Yes, Jack. I'm aware a twin will take you all the way to the "site" but, It all depends on what stage of flight we are in at the time and (this is a big one) how proficient are you in the plane. Both twins and singles are flying on the ragged edge of the envelope on takeoff. Unfortunately, we can't choose when an engine decides to die a horrible death. I'm in a level cruise flight all fat dumb & happy in my Baron. One engine stops working. I have time and an abundance of energy to manage. I'm in my Bonanza a forced landing isn't an option. It's mandatory. This is where the statistics enter the equation. If I had a choice of being in my Baron or Bonanza that day, I'll take the Baron every time. Cheers from Louisiana.
@jackoneil3933
@jackoneil3933 2 года назад
@@radioace318la Cheers! What Baron ya flying? Perhaps you summed it up best by asking which would you rather experience an engine failure in. I suspect most pilots including myself who have flown both would choose the twin in all flight regimes. Smiles per dollar, the Twins for me win out as well. Personally, I don't really prescribe to the adage of the other engine taking you to the scene of the accident, nor that most twins are are what I would call on a "ragged edge" on takeoff. To me it's more like a narrow envelope of time where options are limited but expand. In light twins like the B55, Travelair, 310, 337 Aerostar, Seneca and etc. that window is pretty short, maybe 30 seconds, but in a loaded P-Baron or 414 it could be a couple of mins, and you were moving at such a high speed before getting airborne that if the option was to run off the runway that's not a comfortable option. As I recall the Accelerate to stop distance in the 58P was about 5500ft, and a bit longer than a B737 (no reverse and auto-brake in the 58P). What's is it in the B55, about 3200'? Honestly, I rarely ran the accl-stop distance in the B55 (Although I should have) as most airports it was not an issue, and in the 58P unless I had passengers I rarely checked, because if I based my decision to fly on balanced field length, I'd hardly have used the airplane (none to my credit), I just accepted and planned that if had an engine failure in that 2min envelope there were no guarantees of a positive outcome, I might have to pick a place to put it down without killing anyone else, and hope if it were serious it would be relatively painless. When I started flying the 58P, B60 and 421 where puling engines for practice at low altitude was pretty risky and potentially expensive. I built an engine-out practice simulator with real-life control forces, controls and big screen projectors, and did a lot of hours practicing impossible engine-out scenarios and my comfort level and mental preparedness increased dramatically. An MEI friend used to use to for awareness training with his students and said it was a priceless safety tool. My low time customer who bought the 421 spent hours killing himself in engine-outs and single engine IFR and he said it made him an overall better pilot. As such my take is that it's lack of awareness and training to be proficient in an under-trained skill that places pilots at high risk in twins rather than twin engine aircraft inherently. I mentioned to Scott a while ago in one of his multi-engine accident videos about engine out trainers and it's very much something that should be pursued if you or anyone else has any interest please let me know.
@iamhis937
@iamhis937 2 года назад
Thank you Scott for your fidelity of effort. Value of Learning is bonus. Your content is top shelf by good margin.
@SGTSnakeUSMC
@SGTSnakeUSMC 2 года назад
Good stuff, looking forward to part 2.
@paulhendershott667
@paulhendershott667 2 года назад
Awesome presentation! Keep 'em coming!
@craighobart6742
@craighobart6742 2 года назад
Hi Scott, G’day from Oz ! I have been following your u tube channel for a couple of years, since I bought a 33 1965 model. I have learned a lot from you and continue to do so. Thanks for your work, not only is it interesting, it SAVES LIVES.
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue 2 года назад
Thanks Craig, I hope so! Congrats on the 33!
@paratyshow
@paratyshow 2 года назад
👍☑️ Tks for all the time you put into this Scott.
@roytaylor7807
@roytaylor7807 2 года назад
I have flown a lot of planes single and twin over the last 50 years, mainly Bonanza's and reviewing some hairy situations that I found myself in had they ended in a fatality it would have been my fault pilot error, so when you make a mistake don't make it a second time, some really bad mistakes you don't get the chance to see it a second time, so keep up revision training, particularly recovery from unusual attitudes , that has what has kept me alive for so long.
@lohring
@lohring 2 года назад
My father owned 5 model 35 Bonanzas from 1950 until the mid 1980s when he lost his medical. His log shows more than 7,000 hours in the type. He loved the airplane. The last two were full IFR airplanes. Three of these airplanes were crashed by subsequent owners, 2 fatally. The second is still flying but there is some question about the third. The fatal accidents were weather related including flying into icing. These "statistics" are a lot worse than yours. My father, a very careful pilot, felt many V tail accidents were from pilots not accustomed to flying a lot higher performance airplane than others in this era.
@industrieundtechnik1761
@industrieundtechnik1761 7 месяцев назад
Your father has no knowledge. I laugh about him.
@cynthia6389
@cynthia6389 3 месяца назад
Exactly.
@thomasturner1099
@thomasturner1099 2 года назад
Well done as always, Gunny. Your data parallel with mine from tracking piston Beech mishaps since 1990. Like you, I focus not on definitive conclusions-because we don’t have enough data to draw them-and more on the apparent trends, the lessons we can learn (and many pilots forget). Of course less than a third of what most would consider to be “accidents” don’t meet NTSB reporting criteria so never are entered into the CAROL database at all. I look forward to Parts 2 and 3. - Thomas P. Turner
@FutureSystem738
@FutureSystem738 2 года назад
That’s always been one of my favourite lines: “Lies, damned lies, and statistics”. Great video as always thanks Scott.
@jackoneil3933
@jackoneil3933 2 года назад
Excellent Scot. Interesting data. I was surprised to see the 36 series so high and the 55-58 series were not higher. Which leads me to question factors of pilot proficiency, qualifications and experience. Having been an aircraft dealer for a few decades and my father a Cessna, Beech or Mooney dealer for much of my life, and having bought flown and sold quite a few copies of all Beech singles and twins, including most versions, from T-34, to A to V35b, A36s, a couple of B36TCs, B, D and E55s, a 56, a couple of B58s and three 58Ps, and having flown each one of those aircraft from 30 to several hundred hours, my sense is the Barons, especially the B58 and 58P models are more demanding and unforgiving for even an above average pilot than an A36 or V series, and I would say the Barons generally place the average low time pilot at higher risk than a single-engine Bonanza. I also think it could be telling if we could look at personality factors and types. Most of my customers who bought A36s and 33s (about 15) had about 250 hours and with more money than time to dedicate to the aircraft and proficiency but they took flying seriously. Those guys and a couple of gals were scared of the V-sires and would not consider them. By contrast, I would say that the V-buyers (at least 20 of them) were on average mid time, and very much above average in awareness and skill level. None of the V35 buyers under 200 hours had any incidents, but the three of the A36 buyers did, and pretty early on. Most of the V35 buyers stayed out of moderate IMC and icing but the 36 guys didn't. One B36TC doctor ran off a runway on landing and nearly lost it in icing. He got scared and bought a helicopter, so go figure? I also sold a lot of 200, 300 and 400 sires Cessnas, and we used to joke about the differences between Cessna, Bonanza, Piper and Mooney buyers. The 210 Cessna buyers were almost always type-A with big egos and little flying time and patience, nor much ability to take advice. Most managed ok but one T210 customer who had a major landing incident and totaled the aircraft was a B747 Captain who was a "COB" on the controls. I had to take control during the first demo flight on a crosswind landing when he got it up on the nose wheel and right main and the wingtip just inches from the grass. That poor guy was more disconnected from the aircraft than most student pilots I've seen, and like a few other "Cobby" big iron pilots, I attribute that to training and a lot of cross-country/coffee time in "ONE" type. I also recall an Airbus FO buyer who managed to crash a 337 with an instructor on takeoff after attempting a takeoff with a rear engine that vapor locked and quit on taxi. The Tower even told them their rear engine was not running early in the take off roll but they elected to continue the takeoff with 8000 ft of runway remaining, then elected to leave the gear and flaps down. What they were thinking is hard to imagine. By contrast, I sold one 421 Cessna, A 58P and a 500 Citation to guys who had between 50 to 200 hours. The 421 and 500 buyer had less than 100 hours, but all had tons of bucks and time to learn . They were considering buying high-dollar, high performance singles to take their family and friends on long distance Cross country IFR trips. But out of safety concerns I advised they consider the right aircraft for the mission and develop the skills required for the mission. I set them up with experienced Instructor pilots to get them proficient on the FUN trips they wanted to make. In each case the IPs loved it, the families loved it, Their Insurance companies loved it, and the the owner-pilots loved it. They all flew a lot and today they are some of he most solid and safe pilots I know who also have a huge love of aviation, largely because they learned "Right" from the beginning and respected the limitations of their abilities and the aircraft.
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue 2 года назад
Thanks for sharing Jack! Excellent post
@dks13827
@dks13827 2 года назад
series
@jackoneil3933
@jackoneil3933 2 года назад
@@dks13827 Thanks, I was using voice type on a phone.
@gretchenlittle6817
@gretchenlittle6817 2 года назад
@@jackoneil3933 I'm curious, if you care to share (if not, no worries.). What does COB stand for?
@ikefork2606
@ikefork2606 2 года назад
@@gretchenlittle6817 Yeah....what is COB? Never heard of it before??
@BaxterRoss
@BaxterRoss 2 года назад
Excellent content as usual
@craigt4467
@craigt4467 Год назад
Really interesting I can’t wait for part two My Best wishes always from Las Vegas Craig Bravo 👏🏻
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue Год назад
It’s out there. I hope you enjoy it.
@jfkastner
@jfkastner 2 года назад
Well done, thank you, Sir!
@cmans79tr7
@cmans79tr7 2 года назад
I love it! "...If you don't know Mark Twain, welll..you *need* to know..."
@jackoneil3933
@jackoneil3933 2 года назад
I am reminded of a couple of aviation applicable lines from Twain's 'The Innocents Abroad': "One day when the ship's tail was pointing at the sky ... " and: "It occurred to me if two cooks in one kitchen can spoil the soup, then what can 5 captains in one ship spoil?"
@mississippichris
@mississippichris 2 года назад
"Can't turn around without bumping into a captain."
@jackoneil3933
@jackoneil3933 2 года назад
@@mississippichris LOL, That's it! What an adventure eh?
@thomasturner1099
@thomasturner1099 2 года назад
Excellent, Gunny as always. Your experience tracks with mine for the last 30 years, and more importantly we agree that NTSB reports reveal only a small part of the picture..less than a third of known accents and events do not meet NTSB reporting requirements and never enter the CAROL database at all. Like you I focus on the apparent trend, not “statistics”…and there are lots of lessons to learn (and many keep forgetting). I look forward to Part 2 (and perhaps 3). - Thomas P. Turner
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue 2 года назад
Thanks Tom! I appreciate that!
@tsmgguy
@tsmgguy Год назад
I've loved all Beechcraft products since I demonstrated and sold the entire product line years ago. These aircraft appeal to people with a great deal of money. Some of them are not very good pilots, and don't survive. I learned that Beechcraft Bonanzas and Barons, with the exception of the B36TC, have stall characteristics best described as "abrupt". Don't go there without plenty of altitude in which to recover. The B36TC remains fully controllable in a deep stall with the wheel full aft, but the descent rate is tremendous.
@SantaCruzCowboy
@SantaCruzCowboy 2 года назад
In regards to staying alive as a pilot…it sounds like you guys are on to something worth doing👍. Excellent work!
@joncox9719
@joncox9719 2 года назад
Mark Twain is my FAVORITE! My FAV quote from MT is "It's better to cause happiness where you go than when you go"!
@Sreybk
@Sreybk 5 месяцев назад
My paternal grandfather, who lived in Charlotte, N.C. - where my dad is from co-owned a 1960 Butterfly tail Beech Bonanza. It was a beautiful green and white plane with gold trim. The tail number is N9922R. It's now owned by a guy in California and has recently been flown. We took a VFR flight in the early 80s from Charlotte to Kitty Hawk, N.C. and back. He was not instrument rated and we did land in the Class B airspace of Charlotte Douglas. The sun was going down and so it was ripe for a get-there-itis accident. He was a good pilot and we got lucky. I never flew with him again because he died in 1988, but his youngest son retired as a captain with UPS, and his son - my cousin is an FO for Jet Blue. He may have upgraded, but I haven't spoken to him in a few years. I enjoy your channel and respect your experience. Also, thank you for your Air Force service,
@alessio272
@alessio272 2 года назад
I flew a Baron 58 and lost an engine after lift off. If I hadn’t been practicing on these single engine procedures, the results would have been catastrophic.
@ARFFWorld
@ARFFWorld 2 года назад
Thanks for sharing your knowledge
@fightinggravity9591
@fightinggravity9591 2 года назад
Interesting to see that the 35 series is only 1 percent off the 33 series, and considerably better than the 36 series statistics. Seems whenever there is a conversation about bonanzas the v-tail has a dangerous reputation. Very good content. Thank you, looking forward to part two!
@timransby1774
@timransby1774 2 года назад
You’re such a good presenter, Scott. Furthermore your videos are really well scripted and from a content perspective simply excellent.. As we say in New Zealand: Ake ake kia kaha.
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue 2 года назад
Thanks Tim!
@scotteldridge3740
@scotteldridge3740 2 года назад
Hey neighbor! Love this even being a Beech fan!!! YOU, Juan and Dan ROCK!!! Scott- from waaay far away in Wimberley...haha!
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue 2 года назад
Somberly isn’t so far… I grew up in SA
@scotteldridge3740
@scotteldridge3740 2 года назад
@@FlyWirescottperdue that I KNOW!!! WooHoo!!!
@johnfitzpatrick2469
@johnfitzpatrick2469 2 года назад
Hey Scott, statistics: especially from more than one source can be an excellent way to identify both favorable objectives and problem results. Now: to fix it....... Looking forward for part Two. 🌏🇦🇺
@sha6mm
@sha6mm 2 года назад
Interesting data and I have always believed a private pilot was just as safe in a single engine as a twin, for a lot of reasons. Thanks for looking at the data and nice presentation
@Parr4theCourse
@Parr4theCourse 2 года назад
Standing by for part 2…..
@Vmaxfodder
@Vmaxfodder 2 года назад
Thanks Scott
@EarthAmbassador
@EarthAmbassador 2 года назад
In my 10 years of being around aviation I have seen 2 accidents. Both were Bonanzas, 1 fatal.
@harryfaber
@harryfaber 2 года назад
I have been 'around' aviation for 50 years, I have witnessed 2 accidents, both involving Kirby Cadet MkIIIs. No injuries, other than pride. I have been involved with, in a very small way, investigations involving three accidents, my involvement was incredibly minor, but it made me read the accident reports in great depth. One was a Kirby Cadet MkIII, two fatalities, one was a DHC Chipmunk, 2 fatalities, one was a Cessna 150, one fatality. In the three, there was a 'departure'. The first, the captain of the aircraft was a very experienced pilot, he was instructing a lad with very little experience, it would seem that he was slow to correct a mistake made by the student, the a/c spun in. The Chipmunk was being flown by a pilot with only private pilot experience, he was aerobatting at lower than recommended altitude, and had alcohol in his blood, not a lot, but more than is allowed for a car driver. He failed to recover from either a loop or a chandelle (witnesses disagreed on what he was doing) and impacted the ground almost vertically. The Cessna was being flown by a very new student, he made mistakes during a go-around, and spun in. I have also been in maintenance hangars, and seen a lot of Cessnas with damage. All caused by students, nothing inherently wrong with the Cessna, simply a consequence of who uses them and for what.
@blousesarebest
@blousesarebest 2 года назад
Thanks, this is interesting
@dave1ahc
@dave1ahc 2 года назад
I like the mark twain Philosophy I was actually taught a class in my undergraduate on how to lie with statistics LOL!
@danielkeirsteadsr2162
@danielkeirsteadsr2162 2 года назад
The V tail looks cool but i would prefer the conventual tail. I think proper training over a long period, a lot of time at the stick with qualified trainers. Love your input Scott Perdue.
@nancychace8619
@nancychace8619 2 года назад
Liked the Twain quote. Ah, yes... statistics.
@cmans79tr7
@cmans79tr7 2 года назад
4:46 - Another great quote: "...if you don't know what's happening, ya don't know what's happening..."
@rtqii
@rtqii 17 дней назад
TNflygirl was in a Debonair, she bought it as soon as she got her PPL. She was always behind the aircraft, she depended on the autopilot to fly it, and she did not know how to operate the autopilot nor understood its functions. I believe she got the plane out of trim fighting the autopilot, and when it disengaged the plane was unstable and she was unable to orient herself and take control of the aircraft.
@arthouston7361
@arthouston7361 Год назад
This just popped up again in my recommended list so I thought I would give you my top five reasons that these airplanes crash. Partner in law firm. Cardiologist. Orthopedic surgeon. CEO CPA
@SIGINT007
@SIGINT007 2 года назад
Subtle Rio Linda reference. Nice.
@ryanbecker9282
@ryanbecker9282 2 года назад
I loved the Rio Linda comment! You must have been a Rush listener!
@arthouston7361
@arthouston7361 2 года назад
The V35B is my favorite single. Flies like a dream.
@jackoneil3933
@jackoneil3933 2 года назад
One of my faves as well for delightful "affordable" flying, but more so the B and D Barons, even more dreamy and hot rods to boot!
@arthouston7361
@arthouston7361 2 года назад
@@jackoneil3933 I would have loved to fly one of those, but none were available on our field. I had some time in a couple of Navajos before I got my jet job, and those were really solid workhorses...but a Baron would have been sweet!
@NighthawkCarbine
@NighthawkCarbine 2 года назад
When I was taking my Private Pilot training the instructors called them, "Forked tail doctor killers". From my experience it was true. Twins have a lower safety record probably because pilots are loathe to cage the bad engine and commit to single engine flight. They want to squeeze the very last bit out of a dying engine. In a single when the engine quits their is no mystery about what is to happen and most likely that it will not get back to an airport.
@mississippichris
@mississippichris 2 года назад
Some have called doctors Bonanza killers
@mikearakelian6368
@mikearakelian6368 Год назад
When I gave duel in an apache, I impressed upon students to fly it like a single,engine out,land ahead if not at pattern alt. Saw an instructor do a VMC roll on short final at HWD; survived it and flying for UPS at our last meeting...
@turnbank3492
@turnbank3492 2 года назад
Thanks see you on the next one
@ianmacneill8951
@ianmacneill8951 2 года назад
Great job! A little nerve wracking when the viewer has no idea of where the runway is until the last few moments.
@ajett5081
@ajett5081 2 года назад
Planes don't crash by themselves. They usually have help from the cockpit.
@yv295c
@yv295c 2 года назад
I love your use of Latin plural for the Cirrus :)
@speedfinder1
@speedfinder1 4 месяца назад
Inconceivable!
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue 4 месяца назад
This word you use......
@fredanklam6281
@fredanklam6281 Год назад
The v tail can be in the weight and balance with full fuel at gross weight, but out of the envelop after a four hour flight with loss of control at normal approach speeds.
@russsavage1611
@russsavage1611 2 года назад
I'm curious to see what part of the Baron accidents are attributed to Vmc roll-overs and how many could potentially have been avoided by more engine-out training and how they compare to other twins. Really interesting content. It may be out of the scope of this discussion but I'd love to hear your opinion on Baron VG kits. They supposedly lower Vmc below the stall speed.
@JonnyJetPilot
@JonnyJetPilot 10 месяцев назад
I flew freight in the 33, 36, 55, and 58 for a couple thousand hours. Favorite was always the D55. All great airplanes if you respect their limitations.
@gtr1952
@gtr1952 2 года назад
Very interesting!! Thanks Scott!! One thought I had, I wonder how many Barons were modified, and if that made any difference? Also how many were used commercially? Flying passengers, bird dog for fire aircraft, other special use?? Bonanza singles are like flies at a picnic. You find them everywhere no matter where you go! LOLOL 8) --gary
@thatsme9875
@thatsme9875 2 года назад
Scott, another very interesting and thought provoking video, please keep up the good work. I wonder how the statistics would look if we compared total fleet hours flown (per model) vs total accidents (per model), as some of the models you examined were produced over a longer or shorter period of time. I guess I am implying that accidents per year may not be the best experimental variable? what do you think? and for the record, I am waiting impatiently for your next episodes !!
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue 2 года назад
The most telling statistical analysis would be as you suggest. Unfortunately the data to do that does not exist and I am not willing to speculate.
@larryl7048
@larryl7048 2 года назад
Hopefully as we continue forward the NTSB or other organizations will collect more pertinent and precision data which will help in identifying more exact areas of concern. Storage is cheap!! The more precise the data input into a model the more meaningful the result. I worked for a major defense contractor for forty years as a performance engineer. As the internet evolved, I had the responsibility to provide internet usage forecasting. The data I collected over the years was such an invaluable view into the history of Internet growth. Accurate data if not collect unfortunately is history lost which can never be replaced which I believe you so accurately point out. Very nice work and looking forward to your next analysis!!👍
@billruttan117
@billruttan117 2 года назад
Not that they will share much, but I assume that the aviation insurance industry has ‘crunched’ as much accident data as possible in order to set their rates.
@jayphilipwilliamsaviation
@jayphilipwilliamsaviation 2 года назад
"...for those of you in Rio Linda." Hahaha! RIP, Rush.
@iamhis937
@iamhis937 2 года назад
Thanks
@lyfandeth
@lyfandeth 10 месяцев назад
Statistics are really tricky things. Whenever you see a bump or an outlier, you really have to question a whole universe of subtle factors that no one would have thought were relevant.
@bkailua1224
@bkailua1224 5 месяцев назад
I can only imagine the E33C safety record is due to higher skilled pilots due to the fact they were doing aerobatic training. I think a good way to look at this is ask what kind of pilot was flying and how current were they? The V tail has a nickname of "V tail doctor and lawyer killer" Another thing that would be interesting would be to look at all Popular GA aircraft types and see which aircraft have the best safety record per flight hours flown.
@davidbaldwin1591
@davidbaldwin1591 2 года назад
I haven't got that far in your story yet, but I'm curious if some of the twin engine total losses versus single engine are due to loss of control after single engine failure. I wonder how many are lost due to the surprise/not ready factor when it happens. There have been a few other twin types in recent times likely lost to just such a thing. I also appreciate the comment about Dan, too. If people can see past his enthusiasm, there is much to gain.
@juliocosta5818
@juliocosta5818 8 месяцев назад
I got quite far into the video as I also believed it must be the biggest cause but oddly never found it
@philipcobbin3172
@philipcobbin3172 2 года назад
An OR and Fortran Guy!....welcome to the club...
@DeereX748
@DeereX748 2 года назад
Interesting, but there are so many other factors you'd have to include, such as individual pilot experience/ability in the particular type. Maintenance, or lack of, would speak volumes to crashes involving mechanical failure. I'm interested in your opinions because you 1-fly a Bonanza, and 2- are a very experienced pilot. I can only attest to the root cause of one Bonanza crash, a V35B owned by a friend, who, along with his three passengers, survived a catastrophic engine failure on takeoff about 7 years ago. That failure was due to an improper assembly after a TBO, the loss of a crankshaft counterweight due to an improperly installed retaining clip. It might be interesting to look at only engine failures and explore why they failed.
@ZenCafe
@ZenCafe 2 года назад
If you listened to his intro, you would have noted that he said exactly what you are trying to instruct him on. There is simply no specific data on certain factors captured by the database. You have a long way to go before you put yourself on the same level as Mr. Perdue.
@julesviolin
@julesviolin Год назад
The fact that the aerobatic variants have the least accidents makes perfect sense and substantiates what I harp on about constantly. All pilots should be exposed to aerobatics or at least very unusual attitudes before they get a licence. Otherwise stall spin fatals are going to carry on happening. Simple as that. If you are scared of practicing stalls and spins you shouldn't be flying and certainly shouldn't be carrying innocent passengers
@gtm624
@gtm624 2 года назад
Great production! Top 5 “hit” list 🙄 pun intended? 🤣
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue 2 года назад
I always take the Pun if I can;) I say be proud of the pun!
@drethanplasticsurgery
@drethanplasticsurgery 2 года назад
Glad that you are focusing an area plagued by myth and gossip. V tails got a bad reputation, and it's worth pointing out which Bonanzas don't deserve the disparaging remarks.
@trobson9952
@trobson9952 2 года назад
Scott , very interesting.Please turn up your recording mike. Your voice is very soft. Thank You.
@jeremyhill2243
@jeremyhill2243 Год назад
Wow!!!!
@flyingfox8360
@flyingfox8360 2 года назад
People are so focused on gathering statistics rather than learning and applying to avoid mistakes. Like lets talk circle to land operations in business jets. N880Z and the Lear 35 crash in Teterboro are great examples of aerodynamic stall during circle to land.
@cmans79tr7
@cmans79tr7 2 года назад
6:12 - Aiiiiiieeeee! FORTRAN!!!! Slooooowly I turrrned... Step...by...step...Inch...by inch....... Circa 1977 (before "personal computers", which at that time was unthinkable), I took Computer Science as a minor in college, and one time I remember trying a semi-complicated program which included "2x2=4", and I couldn't get it to work. I had to ask one of the student advisors where my error was, and he pointed out that I was missing one "." in my formula, and I said WHAT???!!!!, the whole program bombed-out for the missing "." ?!!! Forget it, I'm changing my Minor to Industrial Relations....Decades later, I grew to appreciate such need for accuracy and attention to detail, but my 19-year-old brain at that time balked at the idea that such human inaccuracy could not be accommodated with computer programming technology. Today we have "speech to text", "Spell check" and "canned" programs which perform miraculous calculations, and fill out forms and spreadsheets which were 110% *MANUAL* in entry and calculation in 1977.👨‍🎓
@ronaldgustafson3073
@ronaldgustafson3073 2 года назад
The structural integrity of the V-tail was an issue in the early 1980’s. As I recall, “Aviation Consumer” analyzed accident reports that suggested a higher structural failure rate for the V-tail compared with the Cessna 210 and Mooneys. Do you recall those days?
@flymachine
@flymachine 2 года назад
I posted recently, Twain famously said (or did he?) "A lie can travel halfway around the world while the truth is putting on its shoes.” That was long before social media and the technologies of today but these things make it even more true.
@user-mm4xp8pl1j
@user-mm4xp8pl1j Год назад
Great article! Have you studied the crash of 1974 V35B N21MD. It fits the definition of “Doctor Killer”
@virginiaviola5097
@virginiaviola5097 2 года назад
The top 5 reasons Bonanzas and Barons crash. 1. They leave the ground 2. Pilot 3. Pilot 4. Pilot 5. Gravity sucks.
@kwittnebel
@kwittnebel 2 года назад
Please do the same analysis for the Cessna 180/185 and compare results.
@chadfly
@chadfly 2 года назад
The rejoinder is that “It is easier to lie with statistics but it is easier to lie without them.” Statistics is a tool that needs to be applied correctly !
@RHSDPrefurbia
@RHSDPrefurbia Год назад
I had a 1977 A36 zero issues - and after sale I rented an A36 that had the engine quit and landed no problems or damage in a farm field so no FAA report.
@Vmaxfodder
@Vmaxfodder 2 года назад
The things that Twain said is timeless wisdom. They often Apply today.
@MalcolmRuthven
@MalcolmRuthven 2 года назад
My main Bonanza experience is several hundred hours in a straight 36 (not "A"), and I'm having difficulty seeing why the 36/A36 would have that much higher takeoff accident rate. The takeoff performance was fine for anything like a "normal" airport (not back-country Idaho) so I don't get it. Any ideas?
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue 2 года назад
Probably going to have to do a video digging deeper into the Top 5 for each model.
@sugershakify
@sugershakify 2 года назад
55 Baron one of the best looking planes ever made.
@EngineeredChannel
@EngineeredChannel 3 месяца назад
The bell curve is just the visual representation of standard deviation.
@erictaylor5462
@erictaylor5462 2 года назад
One thing to keep in mind is, statistics are really only informative of systems that are effected mostly by chance. General aviation is not such a system. Chance does play a role in general aviation safety, but much more important is the behavior of those involved with a given flight, especially the pilot. The pilot's behavior both before and during the flight can have a dramatic effect on the safety of any given flight. For example, watching Flywire videos can inform a pilot what to do (or not to do) in a given emergency. This information may be the difference between leaving a smoking hole in the ground with 4 charred corpses inside and a bent up Beechcraft with 2 adults and 2 children with PTSD standing near by. I'm just not sure GA aviation statistics are very useful. They don't tell us the human element. How much safer are you as a pilot if you always use check lists, or if you get some kind of extra training, or how many Flywire videos you watch.
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue 2 года назад
Good point Eric. But we have to start somewhere.
@erictaylor5462
@erictaylor5462 2 года назад
@@FlyWirescottperdue True enough. But I think more emphasis should be placed on just how much control the pilot actually has of their own safety. I think it could make a difference if pilots understood better how important things like check lists, inspections, rigid procedures, inspections, and especially sobriety really are, they might adopt them more in their own flying,
@frontagulus
@frontagulus 2 года назад
I disagree. What they can help with is categorizing events and such, enabling the analyst to dig to find root cause and so on. If we didn't have stats to suggest to us that pilot are the main cause of incidents, we wouldn't commit to improving training
@dr123hall
@dr123hall 10 месяцев назад
Indeed! Stats are just The Third Line of Reasoning… Take-Off, Landing and Pilot 👨‍🏫 proficiency is not clearly identified nor evident in those numbers.
@dp980
@dp980 2 года назад
For all the dissing of statistics, there is great reliance on statistics throughout the discussion. The main takeaway from the first six minutes is the crash database is inadequate to answer the question(s) you’re trying to answer. Very little discussion of the additional information that would improve the database and allow you to answer your questions. There is another old statistical adage that says, garbage in, garbage out. I think that’s what you are really trying to say as you try to mine murky data to answer your question.
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue 2 года назад
Sloppy data collection. General results.
@stevenhuckaby2902
@stevenhuckaby2902 Год назад
What about the Beachcraft Duke ??
@billmorris2613
@billmorris2613 2 года назад
Good afternoon to all from SE Louisiana 25 Feb 22.
@christibritton1436
@christibritton1436 2 года назад
2 comments: 1. owned a 1953 C Model Bonanza - 4 seats, 225hp Lycoming - sweet plane to fly, but no messing around on landing - stall characteristics with gear down is 5,000' to recover. Practiced regularly at 10k+ altitude to recognize pre-warning signs & feel. 2. haven't flown in over 40 years, but remember reading pretty thorough crash reports in AOPA, mostly small private planes. This was about the time private jets were becoming a thing. Why are reports so hard to find since the '80's?
@PeterPounders
@PeterPounders 5 месяцев назад
Beechcraft Bonanza V35 just crashed near my neighborhood in Clearwater
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue 5 месяцев назад
I heard that this morning.
@hekterr6677
@hekterr6677 10 месяцев назад
My wife picked up a wrecked plane I bought for parts.When she was in the middle of a 10 acre airplane graveyard ,she asked the mechanics who helped her load our purchase “what happened to all of the airplanes?.The mechanic replied “Pilots!”
@RwP223
@RwP223 2 года назад
Maybe the stats are close because it's the pilots killing themselves and everyone onboard.
@imaPangolin
@imaPangolin 2 года назад
The rate per fleet of over 10 pct seems high. I do think this warrants comparing types. Perhaps look at Mooney as the longevity and mission is similar.
@donmagnus9348
@donmagnus9348 2 года назад
Scott, can't wait for part 2. Regular viewer and subscribed. Ex A36 owner and pilot. Is there a way that I can get an NTSB report to you of the crash of "my" airplane 2 years after I sold it. I have some opinions as to the how and why of this crash and first hand experience in flying that particular airplane in exactly the same conditions as when the crash occurred. Thanks. I can provide my email address. Don
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue 2 года назад
Don, my e.ail is I’m my website: flywire.online
@donmagnus9348
@donmagnus9348 2 года назад
@@FlyWirescottperdue Thanks Scott, I'll get it to you tomorrow. Taking my wife out to dinner.
@dazknight9326
@dazknight9326 3 месяца назад
A lot of times from what you see is low time pilots in less than VFR or marginal conditions. Not keeping up with the higher performance.
@DavidPirouet
@DavidPirouet 2 года назад
Focus having two engines is more management, it's easier to make the right choice when you have less.
@lukewarm1217
@lukewarm1217 2 года назад
Do u cover bush plane crashes?
@christibritton1436
@christibritton1436 2 года назад
Comment 3: Did you look into T-34's? - Our Civil Air Patrol Squadron had one. We often flew them together - after wash n' wax parties - the best wax was faster. The T-34 was pretty much identical to our Bonanza - except could fly inverted and was two seater fore & aft - had 225 Lycoming too.
@FlyWirescottperdue
@FlyWirescottperdue 2 года назад
I love T34s. And no I didn’t.
@Agislife1960
@Agislife1960 10 месяцев назад
Short answer they're very popular aircraft and lots of the pilots don't maintain competency
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