Ukraine: is Russia Collapsing? 

It’s a tough thing to attempt to compare any nation with Russia because we use the metric of GDP, there is a military formula that can very accurately determine the strength of a nation via steel output, vehicles, numbers of able bodied men all industrial output etc. when calculated Russia is almost on par economy strength wise as USA. Bear in mind the nations economy dwarfs the Japanese, Germany Italy UK in fact likely it’s a match for all 4 when you factor in PPP yanks sea wolf $8 billion 10 years ago? Yassen M on par $1 billion.. hypersonic missile USA $146M each and don’t work , Russia $6M .. the Russians are the only nation capable of total self sufficiency, they lead in many technologies but are totally ignored and propagandised by us in the empire of lies..

Mr Millennium Falcon.. thank you for your insights and efforts. Always a good watch. And say hi to Otis for us 😂

@@mickparkinson207 well said and don't forget their mass of natural resources

I like your vidéos but you very first conclusion on the economic impact of the sanctions is based solely on western data and that data is produced by the segments of western nations most likely to be hostile to Russia. Interviews with Russia people suggest the economy isn’t experiencing any issues. Not scientific but I don’t think any of these western studies are either.

Anyone who thinks Russia is collapsing needs to visit a psychiatrist due to their severe delusions. The general state of the Russian economy is BOOMING. IMF earlier predicted that the Russian economy would grow 1.5% in 2023. That prediction is now essentially considered obsolete and something closer to 2% is more likely. And that is despite the fact that there's still lots of broken supply chains. Russia is literally thriving THANKS TO SANCTIONS. Because it has forced the people away from a lot of imported consumer goods, which is now instead made in Russia. And the Russian military industry, uh yeah, definitely NOT a problem. A few weeks ago, there was a report that estimated that the Russian military industry had increased its military output ON AVERAGE by roughly 17 times since start of 2022. And sanctions are not affecting the military industry almost at all. Russia made itself independent of imports in 2018 when the Krokus chipfab ramped to full massproduction on its new 65nm node. The new Lancet 53 drone was based on lessons learned from 2022, designed and put in massproduction in 6 months and is now expected to be manufactured at roughly 200 thousand per year. . "-16% for the Russian automotive industry" That's because a bunch of factories owned by western companies simply forcibly shut down the places. It has NOTHING to do with the actual Russian economy. It's one more propaganda tool to make it look like sanctions are working. "-6.2% estimated" That is totally unrealistic. Yes, a bunch of stuff, like the above car factories and some other stuff shut off, HOWEVER, the boom within the Russian industry for consumer goods started already middle of last year. . "average estimated contraction 9% / 6 or 7%" HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA... How about NO? That's so blatantly fake that it's not even funny. The Russian economy OVERALL had what eventually ended up a relatively minor blip in the first 1-2 months but after that, mostly, people don't even notice it. The only thing that really stuck was that a few car models that are highly popular had their 2nd hand prices shoot off skyhigh. "non-negligable effect" Except that neither people nor the state actually NOTICE them. A lot of businesses have had to do plenty of acrobatics to avoid problems, but at the consumer and end-user level, it haven't really mattered. . "about 1 million Russians have left the country" That is GROSSLY exaggerated propaganda. Somewhere between 1/10th and maaaybe 1/5th of that is probably more correct. And a large amount of those that did leave are either going back, or considering going back due to the western racism and blind hate as well as the POOR LIVING STANDARDS of the west. Yes, that is something Russians in the west have stated as reason for going back to Russia again. . "this has happened" Really? When? Where? My Russian contacts are certainly not seeing any lack of skilled workers. Or at least, nothing more now than before 2022. Because some skills are always in great demand. The EU and USA has far worse problems with this, and those are SYSTEMIC and have been ongoing for many years or even decades. . "skilled labor immigration" Please remember what Russia did just recently. They reopened the university dedicated to teaching STEM subjects to 3rd world nations, mainly Africa and latin America, to where it was during the USSR. While vast majority of this education will go back home, some wont, but more importantly, it is going to make Russia the same kind of educational "supernation" that USSR was. Russia has also gone back to the Soviet education program, because of how much inferior the Bologna process has shown itself to be. ALSO, please do remember that Russia is turning out its own skilled labor at a rate that is not far from USA, despite having less than half the population. Russia has never given up on technical schools and the like. "depicted as the best part of the country" Yeah sure, how about we call that the BS propaganda that it is? . "crisis" Wow... You seriously have no clue about what Russians think do you? The single most common critique is that the government is being too careful. That they should just go for a million troops mobilisation and end the war. However, even Putin's most vehement opponents, ACTUAL opponents that is, not the CIA stooges that no longer have any support, even they openly support the government's actions, regardless how much they may complain about or critique the details.

Interesting point of view.

yeah they might start missing Putin real bad one day once next leader decides to go nuclear

​@@Phobos_Deimoswhat is saying him is something western media and politicians cant understand, if Putin falls (as many wants) there are more chances "the West" misses Putin because the one that gets his place will be more extremist, with a bit luck the one that replace Putin will not be scared about the idea of begin a nuclear war

I'm American. Putin is no idiot. He despises the West in many regards. He does what he needs to do, unlike most world leaders. He had to play a game for many, many years with USA and it's economy/products/services/military. But that's all done now. Russia wasn't in a position, until recently, to do what they need to. Putin literally turned Russia back into a major force to be reckoned with! I could only wish we had a president like that!

@@mitchellcouchman6589 Thats such a russian bot answer lmao. Soft and calculating, after 2 years of war, 8 years of Ukraine civil war, 10 years of noone relevant aknowledging crimea. He aint military, after starting a war, having multiple rounds of hundreds of thousands for mobilization, excavating russian stores. Biggest military conflict in europe after yugoslav wars. And, do you get paid for writing this? Probably because youre just another worthless person that doesnt give a shit about anyone. Russia is full of those, just get your money and follow the führers orders.

Great - the only issue is this analysis has nothing to do with reality of Russia…

This is not analysis, let alone a "high quality" one, this is coping masquerading as analysis.

"High quality"

To quote Ursula von der Leyen, "The Russian Military is taking chips from dishwashers and refrigerators to fix their military hardware because there are no semiconductors anymore. Russia's industry is in tatters." However they do seem to building o lot of kit that destroys NATO stuff quite well. Where do NATOs chips come from, McCain oven ready ?

Okay

Thank you for this!

26:48 Poor Otis gets the chock of his life over the notion of having his chips torn out.

This guy is talking Western propaganda 😂😅😂

Food prices have gone up at least 30 percent in Australia so it's global

Downt worry mate, prices are also up in Mexco. its Global, not just Russia

They realize how expensive life abroad is is what I’ve gathered happen

@@joelrios3704 I confirm, things are more expensive, but still, Mexico is on a very stable situation compared to Argentina.

Pozdrav iz Libana. 🇲🇪❤

Поздрав из Србије!

​@@bennybenny43hello fellow Lebanese

@@josephboustany4852 ya hala ! 😉

They don't need to be because the West itself is not independent

I mean, they're showing that they are anything but. What we're seeing is that Russia is very cunningly able to source the components that it is critically relying on from the west. And the west, because of greed and inability to get its act together, is able to stop the flow of components into Russia. It's like finding US explosives inside Nazi V2 rockets hitting London.

Their first priority was food production. The first counter-sanction was on food imports from the EU. Russia was a net food importer in 2014, and a very large exporter by 2019.

Talking about Russians as a monolithic "they" is such a typical Western mistake. Some Russians staged an uprising, other Russians betrayed them, leaving the war smoldering. Viewing the 8 years of doing nothing as some kind of a preparation for a... lost war is weird. - Adûnâi

@@angamaitesangahyando685 Nobody kills Russians like Russia. Russians putting their faith in other Russians is a terrible idea, especially when those other Russians are FSB. Russia was perfectly happy with the past 8 years of slow war. They had prevented the collapse of L/DPR with direct military intervention and were content enough to keep the war going, since it barred Ukraine from NATO. You cannot join the alliance if you have unresolved territorial disputes. However, Ukraine was getting stronger and there was a real danger that the L/DPR forces would get wiped out at some point in the future. So Russia chose to invade now while Ukraine was still weak. Let alone, Russia itself 8 years ago wasn't ready for a major invasion. It would likely have been able to beat the non-existant Ukrainian army, sure, but the occupation would have been a total shambles. Russia had eight years that it knew Ukraine would not be able to seek safety from NATO to build up its forces. What did it matter to Putin that some more russians died during those years? According to official L/DPR statistics, a grand total of 23 people died due to the "bombings of the ukronazis" within their territory in the year 2021. In 2022, 23 000 people died in Mariupol alone from Russian shelling. Nobody kills Russians like Russia.

Its not from washing machines but from Henry hoovers.

The sanctions only add one more middle man, mainly located in countries, which name ends in -stan. Components, manufacturing equipment etc. are still sold to Russia through these agents with a slight bump in price. You can't effectively sanction countries this large, its only effective as political posturing to convince voters.

I wonder if the boom was related to the war itself. Like if I was in a war with a neighboring country I would want a gun incase things went more aouth

​@@tpesposyeah it did, but mostly from RU forces themselves. Zenitco AK parts are recognized as some of the best AK mods you can get and hundreds of them have been seen in russian soldiers' kits.

Why are you surprised that arms manufacturer is profiting and expanding during the war?

@@yglnvbrs impressed, not surprised 😉 mainly because they're manufacturing pretty decent sights without having any previous experience in the field. The ones manufactured in Russia before the war were a far cry from these.

There is nothing wrong with being pro one side if it is more in the right than the other.

@@tadficuscactus If so, then it makes sense to be pro-Russian as Russia had to intervene directly after 8 year war the after-coup Ukrainian regime was waging on Donbas, which did not recognise the coup and its neo-Nazis

@@StrangerHappenedRussia was fighting in the Donbas the whole time using Privet militaries they already said that.

@@tpespos Can you watch the public speech of UK's puppet Dictator Poroshenko (October 2014) - what he promised to do to the defenceless Children in Donbas, and "rationalise" it for me? Thanks!

@@StrangerHappened Pootin has already said that Wagner is fully sponsored by ruSSia. No coup, just invasion via another lie. Comrade, cut the crap about Nazi's.

They are clearly lower on artillery and most of their weapons contain western tech

@@damonburroughs5283 Russia low on artillery? Are you serious?

@@foshizzlfizzl yes the number of shells and missiles fired of specific types have decreased considerably , so yes I am serious . Also I don't go for the Propaganda of everything shot down due to superior Russian weapons, as examples are Moskva , Kerch Bridge , Ammo Dumps , Moscow and so on, so clearly they arnt

​@@damonburroughs5283 Don't forget the Genichesk bridge, and Moscow apartments. - Adûnâi

False assumption Russia was able to produce artillery shells faster than the whole NATO production of art shells also they have tons of components and micro chips for Missiles and only increasing the number of them so they are able to rebuild they're missiles and shells and they can fully recover the storage probably after the war Moskva is the only big achievement that Ukraine managed to do in this war Kench bridge was quickly repaired and most of the ammo dumps are just damaged but not complete destroyed But of course every recorded hit of Ukrainian missiles means: "UKRAINE IS WINNING LMAOOOOOO" but this is just an example of how overrated the Ukrainian military and the most interesting part is that most of the comments that are saying that ukraine is winning are written by people who don't know where Ukraine is on the map. @@damonburroughs5283​

"without an ounce of propaganda" Where do you think he takes his knowledge of Russia? Make no mistake: its regurgitated western media bullshit

Our policymakers in the West, those who decide sanctions, are "national security analysts" rather than economists, and interdisciplinary thinking is frowned on, so they have little understanding of the supply chains or secondary markets that allow success stories like this. I for one am glad if the average Russian who had no part or choice in the war does not suffer. But, hopefully when this is all over, Russia and the West can re-engage in a way that benefits both economies!

​@2001abassodyssey hmmmmm, I think the west will have to beg, and then some just to get an audience with Russia and any other intelligent country. The west is totally untrustworthy.

For anyone understanding how economy works it was obvious that taking over western companies will give a temporary boost. It will be short lived though. Your country is bleeding money - war, smaller export, bigger import from China. Whatever was saved as a backup is evaporating fast. Quantitative money boost aka money printing is already in place, currency will devalue, inflation will skyrocket. War effort took huge part of industry sector, with deficiency in workers and China is takin over the niche. In 10 years Russia will be on the same level as most African countries - poor Chinese vassal.

@@piotrjasielski I agree with your opinion, but Russia has no other choice, we will fight together with Donbass shoulder to shoulder. It's better to be poor than a traitor.

@@aidos8448 What do you mean no other choice? There was no reason to invade Donbas in 2014 and no reason to invade full scale in 2022. It was only done to fulfill nazist fantasies of Putin to rebuild empire and exterminate anyone who stands in the way. As a result you will destroy both Ukraine and yourself. USA will be the biggest winner in this, they already earned hundreds of billions in military contracts and oil/gas exports in the past year - I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Putin was US agent.

Better than they themselves expected. Russia is waking up and realizing it is strong.

@@ominousbiscuit Begging North Korea for munitions level strength. Impressive!

@@pk4459 At least one Korean artillery shell was spotted by Ukrainians on the battlefield? It seems to me that you underestimate the importance of this visit of the head of the Russian Ministry of Defense to North Korea :) You argue in the general narrative "the Russians have run out of rockets and shells." It is worth considering whether the West will have any shells at all if tensions between North and South Korea are added to the tensions with Taiwan. Everything that is left in the West will have to be sent to Korea. Then Ukraine will be left with nothing.

@@alext5285 there are North Korean munitions used by Ukraine .. just saying..

​@@pk4459snort some more of that Zelensky copium😂😂😂

Very generous! Thank you!

It’s way too much - the guy is clueless and a tool of russian propaganda.

Everybody already knows that ukrane won and russia lost. This is old news.

it's because it's garbage.

​@@kuzakani4297It's in your brainlette

At 79K right now. But I agree with you. I think the problem is that many people are to narrative driven or can't tell the difference between a good analysis and pure bs.

I, too, am a retired EE. People are brainwashed about military and space rated semiconductors. For many applications you don't need military or space rated semiconductors. Most semiconductors rated for automotive use can do the job. The chips used in cellphones are not military rated and can take a beating. At times cheap and plentiful is better than scarce, expensive and more robust.

Definitely have what they need for Ukraine (whoever way it goes) but they won’t even have development workstations for cutting edge deep learning they’d need for any escalated conflict with the west.

@@jakeroper1096 What are warfare capabilities that are helped or accessible thanks to deep learning? im not disputing it, i just dont know.

​@@jakeroper1096 LOL nope. They need nothing of the sort. West isn't in position to get into a shooting war with Russia even combined. You seem to forget that Russia hasn't ran out of munitions in 1.5 years of high-intensity war, but european NATO states ran out of munitions after 3 weeks against Libya and needed US to help them finish the job. Russians are perfectly capable of destroying ALL western military warehouses and fuel storage/oil refineries, and high-tech manufacturing sites via cruise missiles and aero-ballistic missiles, and then west has what it had at that point in time. Which is insufficient for a war against Russia. All this "deep learning" is merely overcomplication. Warfare is nowhere near as supercomplicated as you make it out to be.

I stopped reading at "less reliable THEN".

2 more weeks and Russia wins right vatnik?

completely correct Russia is the 5th largest economy in the world and the highest in Europe, if you think theyre in Europe. Thats not Russia saying that, that is outside expertise like Bloomberg

@@z_actual Well, Russia is number 63 in GDP per capita, nicely between Costa Rica and Argentina. Just Bavaria region in Germany is bigger economy that the whole of Russia before war. Russian industrial output is smaller than of Slovakia. Russian economy is closer to North Korea than EU. Their economy is as real as their super advanced army that can take the whole NATO in less than two weeks.

@@NeuroScientician I'd love to see Slovakia try to take on Russia.

@@NeuroScientician It is foolish to measure the well-being of Russians by GDP per capita in US dollars. My salary is calculated in rubles, not in dollars. Six months ago, I had 140 thousand rubles, now the same. My expenses haven't changed either. However, six months ago my salary in terms of dollars was $2,300, and now it is $1,400. A significant difference, don't you think? However, my standard of living has not changed, I just postponed my traditional annual purchase of a new phone.

@@vladimirnikolskiy "Sure" you do. Median is around 30,000. Easy to simply lookup job ads.

India OF COURSE ahahahah

@@freedomordeath89India and Russia 💪

@@LOL-zu1zr lol sure..sure pajheet...

Racist spotted ^

Why not, they would love it there

Have you stopped to ask yourself if this war is a good idea?

@@ajnaughtin1 yes many times, but the war began in 2014 and when you knew people (as I did) who were blown apart by the Ukrainian military long before 2022, I always come to to the same conclusion.

-"strong education system" unfortunatelly it has been degraded in a lot of ways (teachers old and paid not enough, all normal higher education is only within big cities). But yes, my quess is that it's almost impossible to deindustrilise country once it's become industrulise, after all.

@@Iv4Bez maybe so Vanya, but I know a lot of Russian Teachers. They are still very proud of the work they do. I even did some work to help them with English studies in their classes (audio production) and certainly the English students seemed very aware and intelligent

@@ajnaughtin1 I'm against the war, but let me ask you - why Ukraine was mostly left alone with minimal support from the West for 30 years? They were so pro-western blaming Russians for everything Soviet communists did to them... Another question: have any Western leaders stopped to ask themself promising to Ukraine in 2008 that they will join NATO, was that a good idea? Read some these western military and politician experts like Brzezinski, and others who wrote in 1990s that NATO expansion to the East is a bad idea, also read those who wrote that accepting Ukraine to NATO will lead to war. Soviet people demolished their country for the Peace in the world, they sacrificed a lot. In Ukraine alone population due to bad economy shrunken from 52 to 41mlns in those 30 post-Soviet years, and finally they got the war predicted by many Western experts. Not a very good job, sorry.

To stop the war in Serbia was a good decision of the NATO.

I know one of Russia's core beliefs is protecting the Slavic peoples everywhere. Were they considering going to mat with NATO over Serbia?

@@Stinger522 Russians do not only want to colonize other slavic countries. In their Eastern territories they occupied over centuries also many Turk and Asien ethnicities.

Ukraine collapsed a long time ago. It's corpse is being propped up and animated as an East-facing scarecrow.

Underrated comment

Correct. West is paying all the bills. They may continue this war b/c ending it and western support implies collapse.

Ukraine has been very unwell economically and socially even before the war. Now it's completely on the Western life line support. In 2014 I spoke to a Ukrainian colleague and I told him that it is better for Russia if there is no Ukraine at all rather than hostile Ukraine (in NATO). It seems that Russia has achieved her goal. The Ukraine is now only by name, there is no such a state left.

It is. Just with different name.

A flying shovel if you will

1000% correct. That's precisely what it is and also precisely why it's such a monumental pain in the @ss for Ukraine. It's responsible for the vast majority of Ukrainian losses in high-tech Western SPGs that are only used in shoot & scoot well over 30km behind the frontline. They give Russia the ability to fully exploit these short windows of opportunity where these systems may be in transit to/from a firing position, deployed in a firing position or in transit from a part of the front to another.

Good outlook for military-industrial complexes in the future as many conflicts have high probability of going hot.

Every country has those elites. Despite what the EU would have you believe, it's as bad here as anywhere in Russia.

@@EmRon1968 I'm from Greece and I could only wish our corruption problems were 2x worse than those of Russia's xD

@vaArtemchuk - that is exactly what i thought last year - you kick the oligarchs from Londongrad, you block part of their assets in western banks, and what do you expect from them? They will have to keep their money, businesses and personal spendings in Russia for the time being. In my opinion, this was a western mistake.

@@stefanpavlov6370 And a massive one, honestly. This war could have been over if they were to ran like rats (which they tried, btw), but you forced them to stay, and now it really is the war to the last Ukrainian, for these people don't have mercy in their dictionaries and their future is at stake.

In which universe are you living. GERMANY has a GDP in 2022 of 3867 Bill Euro. RUSSIA only 2240 Bill $ . It means about half despite the higher population.

Yeah. Germany just fell as big aluminum manufacturer just went under. Cost of energy outweighs profit. Germany has adopted these stupid "green energy" laws the US government has forced them into. This is USA plan to set itself up for future manufacturing ramp up because USA plans to keep Europe at war with Russia, China, NK, Iran. Russia and China are BRICS powerhouse and BRICS has LONG SURPASSED G-7. Actually, BRICS and G-7 have an inverse trajectory. Passed up G--7 in (2014?). So, anyways America and Europe only hold 10% of world's population BRICS alone holds 40%. BRICS is also moving away from the dollar and it's goal is to be so little involved with dollar, no sanctions of any kind could affect them substantially both independently and as a whole. They are even working on a common currency for trade amongst BRICS members. Edit. So all the information that was presented that was shown in the beginning is likely accurate it only represents the part of Russia that deals with the dollar. Which is only a small fraction of their wealth and business. He also didn't mention Rasatom which is the GLOBAL dominion of nuclear energy. ALL NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS IN THE WORLD REALLY ON IT. No other country on earth can completely function without Rosatom. They have the ability to do EVERYTHING from start to continuous operation to infinity after it's construction. Basically it's a monopoly on nuclear market. Admittedly I just recently learned this about Rosatom, so I think I got it right, from the best of my memory.

According to estimates based on official country data published by the World Bank and the IMF, Russia’s gross domestic product was $5.51 trillion in PPP terms at the end of last year. The figure is 38% larger than the official estimate of $3.993 trillion, the report noted. It also showed that the Russian economy was ahead of Germany’s when measured in purchasing-power parity, with the latter’s GDP at $5 trillion

@@maritaschweizer1117 I'm in the Universe where, as our host explains, PPP adjustments are a more correct measure of real GDP. The World Economic Forum (i.e. IMF and World Bank) have projected that Russia takes no.5 in the world this year, ahead of Germany.

@@daviddixon14 Thank you for explaining this carefully.

Imigrants in Russia get pain around $150/month, so it's not really that interesting. Average Russian does around $300/m. Numbers are likley fake.

@@NeuroScientician My numbers are from the IMF and the World bank has similar numbers. Where are your numbers coming from because I'm thinking yours are fake. I can support my numbers, can you?

@@trogdortpennypacker6160 Your number are from Kremlin. Disagreeing with that number is 15 years in prison, like in North Korea. IMF has no independent data. You are literally parroting back regime's data like it is a real statistic. Mine are from job adverts on Russian sites. We also employ few Russia teachers, they all got Masters and at least 5 years of experience. None of them made it above $200/m. They get paid £15/h which is roughly 15x their usual pay. It was quite difficult to hire them, most of them thought that this is some sort of scam. Experienced neurosurgeon does not make that much in Russia. Most Russians outside large cities make around 20-30K RUB a month. $200-300

The main immigration to Russia is from Tajikistan which might only make civil war likelier. - Adnâi

@@angamaitesangahyando685 Using a limited years on Wikipedia and it's excluding migrants as that is a different category but 2015-2021: 1) Ukraine - 1.16M 2) Tajikstan - 559K 3) Kazakstan - 530K . Why would Tajiks cause civil war? Russia is already a multi-ethnic state and labour shortage would make me think conflict from Central Asian immigration is limited. From the UK so maybe you have more insights then I do.

These 136 kills in July 2023 are a courtesy of the Ukrainian "Spring" Counteroffensive (TM)

@@koskok2965 how about autumn counteroffensive in September 2022?

👍👍👍 this guy is talking Western propaganda

​@@v.suarez8383in an Orwell world like Russia the Rest of the world must be wrong.

Cope harder

Vague sweeping generalisations don't win arguments.

It’s easier to have greater approval when all your opponents are literal clowns😂

Yeah military chips don’t actually require as much as civilian ones… You don’t need insane computing power to predict trajectory of missiles

To think that a current palm sized calculator has more computing power than the apollo missions

well our capital isn't being bombed daily, so I'd say no.

demographics, they are hollowed out.

When did sanctions win out? They caused WWII, they caused Japan to enter WWII, they polarised the world. Only place sanctions work is in impoverished countries, same as NATO wars. When they come up against a country like Russia, they both fail.

No, Russia has more of everything. Simple. They are not perfect but quantity of everything helps😁

@@csanadbarczy9153 quantity and logistics.

@@csanadbarczy9153 Except 80% of the wealth of the world stacked up against them do the West not believe in the cause enough to give Ukraine everything that they need

Incidentally, any suggestions for unbiased news sources on the topic?

The MSM has been captured by powerful interests years ago. It is good that you have finally come to that realization now.

Perun?

@@jebe4563 ?

​@@jebe4563 Perun does long sessions of wishful thinking laced with not-so-subtle leaps of logic and calls that "analysis". He does not hold a candle to the intellectual honesty this channel is capable of. Even Perun's Dominions 5 breakdowns contained glaring mistakes.

Perun! Look forward to it every week.

@@ayrnovem9028 Oddly enough, no one has yet been able to point out Perun getting anything wrong in his conclusions. Sure, there are minor clarifications and nuances added in the comments, but that's about it.

I think we have overestimated Russia, they turned out to be incredibly pathetic. They are losing war they started to its weakest neighbor. Before the war they kept claiming that they can be in Paris in two weeks.

@@NeuroScientician Hi, i don t know if they are losing or winning the war, but from 2023 ukraine has a much powerful army than most of european country (no counting navy or air force) and It Is normal that russia has problems with that but the industry is still very efficient. The point for me Is how long usa and especially Europe politicians want to send weapons after the old stuff Is over? And the other point Is how long ukraine can Hide the losses because they doing It exactly like russian.

@@slabbrato They are mostly sending Cold War leftovers that have no real value. Russian industry is extremely obsolete. When the last time you bought something from Russia? Piece of Software? Car? Fridge? Any good books? Medicine? Russia's economy is similar to banana republics. Nothing is made there. They dig oil with American equipment. Russia is closer to Zimbabwe than US. I am pretty sure that Ukraine has massive losses, but if they give up, they all will be killed. They do genuinely fight for their lives..

@@NeuroScientician Ukraine is only held afloat by Western aid in all sectors from the very obvious military one down to the pensions of citizens retired from the workforce. a humongous chunk of its population has left the country and the government is getting increasingly more lunatic with each passing day. Now they've legalized weed to allow Ukrainians (especially those outside the Banderite Westerm regions of the country) to cope with their abhorrent living conditions. Ukraine was also the single most powerful army in Europe prior to the war. Yet even with all the military materiel, intelligence, training and advisory support received by NATO, they're now facing a complete disaster of a grand offensive operation they've been planning for almost half a year, which was advertised to sever the Crimean land bridge, yet has only managed to dent the Russian defenses, achieving penetration of less than 3km at the deepest points (of around 90km needed to reach the Azov Sea. Your attempt at cope is incredibly pathetic.

​@@slabbrato So far, Western support for the Ukraine has been unshaking. Whereas Russia has survived a military coup. And retreated three times (Kiev, Izyum, Kherson). And Russian history of instability and revolution does not bode well. - Adûnâi

Media information we in US get from mainline media is nothing more than govt propaganda. Per Obama era legislation the govt is allowed to place "news" into American media *WITHOUT* disclosing source or validity of said information. Basically the ruling regime can actively place wholesale LIES in the media space without limit.

LOLZ, I wonder if the Russophobia you see everywhere is as real as this Channel's Britishness 😄. (He's Italian and if you couldn't notice his magnificently outrageous accent, I have to question your ability to pick up much less obvious nuances).

@@HauntedXXXPancake Judging by the load of derision and arrogance you managed to pack into 2 sentences of your comment, you must be British. But, by your criteria, this term cannot be applied to, for example, the current premier of the UK., can it? So I need to apologize for doing so in relation to English-language channel located in the UK. And I leave the ' less obvious nuance' distinction British vs English to experts like you. Ciao, bambino!

Yes old people… the braindrain is hiting russia….

@@nkosipwl I Guess this is your own point of view... 😋

Yes, not counting the annexed former ukrainian regions where 8 millions former ukrainians are now russians 😅

@@nkosipwl No, young Russians fed off Kiev junta, feeling from WAR!

@@galimbertino4939 They were never "Ukrainians" to begin with.

NO ONE in NATO is suffering. Only poor Russian and Ukrainian families are suffering. The West is governed by amoral murderous beasts. Signed, Texas

The problem is that the western msm is almost completely narrative driven. A look at reality is always frowned upon because reality does not reflect their narratives.

Московский оперативник точно не стал бы предполагать трудовую миграцию из Индии...такое могло прийти в голову только европейцу....

@@user-be9dk6dc6e Конечно. Я могу заверить вас, что я не потомок "Могли".

Perun. All day.

@@CoryMp3 Perun has a complete blind spot when it comes to being evenhanded and rational on Russia just the usual NAFO crap

That will require Russian to open up its aviation jet engine toolboxes to the Chinese as the first goodwill deposit. To my knowledge, it is a very big obstacle to overcome.

china waant all russia rocket technology for peanuts in ic chips. They are like LOAN SHARK take the house and farmland of farmer

​@@ibatawithe real problem is there is no a real alliance, Russia wants India in all the deals to counter China's power because Russia never have trusted China, if they are getting closer is because of West fault and their hypocrite politics

on item 3 : China, despite treaties, will NEVER provide a blank check to Russia in any form. China's Future, despite conventional wisdom a few year ago, is NOT in a great position for future growth without Western investment and Western markets. Its demographics are becoming an evident drain on its ability to sustain the current economy and it is now trying to curve/reverse the trends of Western investment widthdrawal. The combination of increased labor costs in China, combined with the perceived political costs/risks of operating in China are creating massive momentum for China's isolation by Western companies and governments. China is now recognizing that it must find political balance and catering to Russia's needs (at least overtly) will not be a favorable signal to send to the world. Our world is indeed changing but not favorably for the nurturing of the China-Russian relationship.

The Russians have a verifiable history of betraying their country 3 times in a century (1917, 1991, 2014). - Adûnâi

@@angamaitesangahyando685 not really, in all three mentioned cases it was not Russians who betrayed their country. But the country was betraying the Russians. And 2014 and 1991 are really the same event, just spread out across almost three decades.

@@angamaitesangahyando685 well, I could see 1917 and 1991... but 2014? aside from Russia annexation of Crimea, what else is happening that year?

not to add, the west is busy being super woke and arrogant. and the roman empire can personally assure you, that doesn't end well no matter how powerful they think they are

And missiles in the cruise/ballistic/air defense caliber are in absolutely no need of highly minaturized electronicss. Whoever thinks that the guidance unit of an almost 2 ton heavy 40N6 long range interceptor of the S-400 is in any need of

@@koskok2965 Most of those systems were designed way before 65nm being even adopted (~2005). Test/development cycle is usually 10-15 years. S400 being adopted 2007 and can't contain any 65nm as design took place at least 2001 or earlier

Yeah but the machines used to produce them are imported.

@@LOL-zu1zr But components those machines produced from are also imported. I barely could think of any country that only selling, not importing parts, materials, components, equipment etc.

Bingo. The countries with the very highest GDPs on the planet are actually the least self-sufficient ones.

@@koskok2965people laugh at advanced economies until they mobilize…..

GDP also includes services such as insurance, financial machinations and others that do not create anything substantial other than money. Services in the West are large part of the economy and also way overpriced.

There was an interview with the head of the plant, he said that now the company works in three shifts and produces 40 - 50 thousand Lancets per month.

@@Tonik-13 Thanks for the info. It's a bit hard to believe, but who knows?

@@LexokaI can't prove it, I'm not sure about this information myself, you can't refute it. In fact, if you calculate the length of the front in Ukraine is about 1000 kilometers, there is a brutal war going on there. as a result, it turns out a little more than one ammunition per day per kilometer of the front. That's not a lot at all.

@@Tonik-13 It wouldn't be disproportionate, I agree, but 50k per month would mean about 1667 per day, or about 70 per hour, assuming 24/7 production, which is likely the case. That's possible, of course, but it would require a pretty massive factory. Also, unless Russian forces are using Lancets on just about anything, that's way more than the number of pieces of heavy equipment that Ukraine even has.

@@Lexoka In the nineties, mass deindustrialization took place in Russia, factories, design bureaus and research centers were closed. Some factories were turned into shopping malls, for example, there was a large TV production plant not far from me, all production buildings became shopping and entertainment venues. So, now the reverse process is happening, they did not have to build a factory, the government closed one of these centers, which used to be a large factory, and allocated them all these areas...

I think it's healthy to be open to different kinds of arguments and then judge them based on their merit, the quality of argumentation and the data. Also it's good to know where to get your analysis from. Mainstream news outlets are mostly interested in sensationalism (and sometimes furthering their national interests for propaganda purposes) rather than sober analysis.

​@@postyoda1623 Well, the war is waged to spend the most of Slavic men from both sides, either of the sides collapsing would disrupt the plan. - Adûnâi

Congratulations on an intelligent realistic assessment of Russia's capability to sustain their SMO. Our politicians have consistently produced false propaganda regarding Russian military prowess and our NATO Generals keep up the facade. It is the west that has more pressing problems than Russia it seems if it cannot sustain producing even simple things like shells for artillery and tanks. Our western military production is based on the need for profit so we get super complicated aircraft like the F35 that spends more time in maintenance than in the air. Russian equipment is designed simply to achieve a particular need competently. Hence the Lancet which is cheap but super effective and almost war changing .. Ok I exaggerated lots but it kills Leopards and Bradley's by the battalion load. Russia's Military Industrial Complex is greater than the USA, Europe, Japan and South Korea combined by some way. Russia is self sufficient in all ways with a little back door help from China and Turkey. We have bitten off more than we can chew in this Ukraine proxy war. Russia cannot lose long term.

Do you know why this war started? I believe you have become a victim of false propaganda.

Russia is regressing into the mid twentieth century. Their military prowess is extremely overrated.. m having said that they have a legacy heritage of weapon stockpiles from the Soviet Union. You underestimate the wests industrial power.

Why end the war? Russia may be strong (ish), but the alternative is more Russia, which fundamentally suuucks! It means justice has failed, it means the new world order is mafia-like hooliganism and autocratic rule. The west will not let that happen and will pump Ukraine with weapons for years. Maybe we see a knockout in round 5-6?