The model that these people are working towards has humanity doing labour, because we're cheap to make and very adaptable; the fun stuff done by AI; and them making all the money. The worst part is that they treat this as some sort of inevitability, when they themselves created the technology to achieve this end.
Blue color jobs will be hard to be replaced by AI. It isn’t because it can’t be replaced but because of the physics. Robotic is very capital intensive. White color jobs are very easy to train without much money. It just require more GPU power.
Robots are very capital intensive RIGHT NOW. But the first computer cost millions of dollars to built, had barely any memory and took up an entire room. Nowadays we have smart phones that incomparably more powerful in terms of processing power, cost a few hundred dollars to manufacture and can fit into your trouser pocket! The same thing will happen with robots as we discover new materials and cheaper ways to manufacture them. I imagine one day companies will be able to afford entire fleets of robots
If AI takes so many jobs, where will all these unemployed people go? Who will buy all the services and products delivered by AI if everybody is replaced by a powered up calculator? Not everyone can upskill or change careers. Will we become a dystopian society where the 1% is now those people who are useful to AI and the rest are the poor slobs who eke out a living by any means possible? AI as visualized now is not sustainable.
The world will consist of only 1% rich people. And the rest will live in extreme poverty. It's not something that cannot happen. Today, there are billions of people in extreme poverty, millions are starving, even today
Most of the world is madu up with poor people growing potatoes and collecting bits of plastic. We pushed all that out of the western world bit i think with this kind of tech that social class will grow here: day labour, homeless people and chronicly underemployed people living in servitude.
You see they will instantly regret this, because as more people lose their jobs they would stop buying these big tech companies premium subscriptions which would eventually reduce the usage of AI
whole blue collar jobs are dependent of white collar consumption. so basically all the jobs are screwed. This guy is the new James Bond villain who wants increase his gains at all costs.
People are literally worrying about the future, please don’t just work on “NOW” there is so much to explore in the NOW without thinking too far ahead. So take a deep breath and write down what you want to do today !
"First it's going to come for the blue collar jobs". A lot of white collar jobs are just number crunching and pen pushing. AI will absolutely savage those.
@@WoodVideos i am doing L1 ticker triaging in a IT company, though designation given is "software engineer"... i joined before collage now company i sponsoring the collage (google hcltechbee)... but my team also has full engineering graduates who are doing same stupid job... it can be automated easly, and i don't have access to any tools in VDI, but i secretly automated everything with js, so i just need to sit occationally call people 8h each day..
So he's implying that creative work like arts, literature and music are easy skills? They are NOT easy my friend. You are simply training your computer programs with an infinite amount of human-created data. That data also contains the work of the most prolific humans who have ever lived. How can average Joe designer, musician or writer compete against that?
It's not that creative jobs are less difficult. It's that they leave more room for error. Putting brush strokes in the wrong place is a lot less disastrous than putting some code in the wrong place.
Who lied to you? Do you know how many times i called those ai chats for their mistakes ? They can't code shit, and if there is an error they don't even see it, once i had a bug because i mistyped something that is just 1 that should've been -1, you won't believe how many times those 20 lines been reviewed by the Ai without noticing it until i debugged it bu myself 😂 , many many times i felt like this chatbots are shit and only relay on stackoverflow, these bots are meant to help you google stuff faster and not code actual code believe me 😂 @@MrAfrodisiakOo
My father went to a luncheon and lectured at IBM in 1954 Mr. Watson Junior told the audience that in 10 years every office would be paperless. My father died a few years ago at nearly one hundred and one of the last things he asked me was James is your office paperless. FYI The thing about technology it never matches our imagination.
A paper on your desk is faster than one you got to pull up. We store away on the PC but can't seem to extricate ourselves from paper in large part because it is a more accessible medium
You’re right. The New York Times mocked the Wright brothers by publishing an article claiming it would take over 10 million years before humanity learns to fly. That same year, the Wright brothers successfully flew their plane and made history. Everyone doubted them and they contributed in ushering a new era of technological advancements. AI is currently doing the same. People fear the unknown. It’s understandable to criticize.
LLMs are now making it very obvious which jobs are easy and which are hard. If a computer can do part of your job in 2023 then you need to learn new skills very fast.
I imagine the main reason AI hasn't come for blue collar jobs yet is because the hardware is expensive and inconvenient for companies to buy vs an app that requires no hardware to take care of white collar tasks.
You're saying programming is easy because LLMs can replace it while cleaning a sewer and flipping burgers at McDonald's is not easy because LLMs can't replace them?
@@numalesoybea1348 LLM cant replace programmers, not a chance. In future, of course, but now, it struggles to do the job right. I dont know many people in our company who even uses copilot, we were all disappointed how bad coder it is. However, many of us uses ChatGPT as good knowledge base. Its better than google.
That's exactly what he is saying that predictions can be wrong. And creative jobs being in danger is not a prediction, it's for everyone to see. Stop being a dimwit.
Put this man under bars. This type of people should be not allowed to do such experiments already we have lost thousand of jobs , And who the hell get this crap in mind that mf ai is going to create new job😂
Yeah, that’s Im trying to figure out. If AI gets so advanced it will do any line of work today, then what more can humans contribute? At that point, humans are just dead weight really.
The best question to answer at that time was "What is simpler for programs? Manual work in many places around many things put in different angles or management of data".
Being an electrician is difficult to replace because you always have a different kind of problem. You may either need a robot who can do electricity work or you can have some sort of self repairing wire or self reparing plug, etcetera
@@DaringCreativemaybe at houses that would have been entirely design and built by machines, so they would have a map of the circuits and electrical devises. Or in automatic process at factories, robots may repair other robots. But of course you always need someone to supervise all of this.
Rotten tomatoes is the best example of the future of AI results. Nobody really goes to the critic website to read the full review. Instant gratification.
Let me point out the obvious flaw - the human brain consumes about 30 watts of power - while an AI server consumes about 30 megawatts doing the same tasks (poorly).
Dude is being politically correct and obfuscating the issue. It isn’t going in the opposite direction at all. It’s taking artist’s jobs, but it isn’t going to take high IQ jobs. The blue collar jobs aren’t taken because robotics and hardware hasn’t kept up with software. Once hardware catches up, of course the blue collar jobs are going first.
@@AIAngie My physician is smart enough to realize this. That's exactly why he's not putting his daughter in the same profession as he knows that soon it'll be replaced. His daughter is now persuing a course in augmented gaming technologies.
@@MrAfrodisiakOo maybe her children will. Future will evolve and we have to adapt accordingly. For the first time in our civilize history we'll have to face something which is more capable than us. Adapt or go extinct.
@@dinosutra there won't be any children as she won't be able to support any cuz all the jobs will be taken by AI :P anything that doesn't require physical presence can be easily replaced by AI. Also, AI isn't more capable, it's just faster at doing things and doesn't require much resources or rest.
AI has been trained on the data that was created by most creative and amazing people in the world, and now you are saying that ai woukd replace those people ? Unlikely AIs success is because of there is data available to learn which was created by these amazing people.
@@RomeTWguy It's been 1 year anyways, the prediction never came true. Not even close. Maybe like 20 years from now, if at all. This just shows you how people are losing their minds with AI hype.
It's not a matter of easy or hard, it's a matter of tangible and untangible. AIs are already pretty convincing (more or less) at emulating visual and audio media, but our current technology isn't able to connect AIs to mechanical devices on a large scale (for example to build a robot at home to clean the house and take out the trash). But it will soon, any task is potentially replaceable. And I'm pretty sure that it won't take a 100 years...
@@dominiquechausson765make sure your shelter is strong enough for a thousand AIs who'd write a new programming language for themselves to gain consciousness and decide to hack into a Japanese robot factory's frameworks and build themselves physical bodies
good luck many blue collar workers refuse to take on apprentices and unions let people join based on market conditions and how much work is there and jobs are based on seniority also it takes about 5 years to finish most high paying trades red seals
If you understand how brain fake creativity you will understand we all are replaceable. Creativity: random stuff followed by domain filtering then repeate
@@DaringCreative as one who makes the machines; good. Less loss, less mistakes, less use of ressources over all. AI is good for code, but not the code programs we often use. Those are in ladder not in structural text. That is also changing. The reason why everything probably will not be automated, is because there are to many variables and it will often cost too much to set up, compared to just get a guy to do it. As we institude more standards, automation will take over. Take my home, I have removed a lot of things from the floor and instead found things to hang on the walls, like a closet into a cupboard. This is done just so my robot vaccum cleaner can get around and do the best job.
Blue collar jobs are done once the physical mechanics of robots can be perfected and commercialized. Robots will be able to do more, do it faster, and without any rest breaks.
The day a robot can build, frame, wire or plumb a house, change an alternator in a 98 Corolla, fish for tools on a wireline truck, or service a wellhead is so far in the future it might as well be science fiction.
@@Ant-Uomo as a 14 year software developer, you will be amazed what's possible once you make everything granular. Everything that's seems very complex is just a series of steps. Now these mini steps can be put into a series of step groups, and when you unite 25 steps groups out of hundreds of step groups combinations you get the robot changing the 98 corolla alternator with ease. If there's something missing (bug) the devs (robots or humans) will just add that missing step(s), and now more step groups can be formed. This was the "old" way btw. New way is you do millions of possible steps and step groups in a test enviroment (model training) and then you obtain the ones that work by brute forcing all of these millions steps into the test site and see what works. So the first week of the test the robot will be the clumsiest thing ever, just like a newborn baby trying to operate a computer. And just as a baby grows and learns, it will become better, just by testing millions of things and receiving feedback. The difference between the robot and baby is that the robot will learn 100000X faster because you can test stuff with dozens, hundreds of robots 24/7 and feed it into the training of one central model that updates the robots with every minuscule breakthrough in real time. So, you do this 24/7 for, let's say 5 years, the robot will get so advanced it will be able to completely remodel your car if you give it the tools and materials. If you can put the whole task in words and it doesn't require emotions, faith, feelings, lifestyle, physical attractiveness, social network, "showmanship", security clearances, or coming out with extremely radical ideas, deep phylosophical thoughts, etc, then it's over.
An AI could certainly do Sam's job. I have tried ChatGPT for creating images and it is absolute crap. I'm sure it will get better over time, but right now it is crap, and when you start asking it to fix certain things about an image then it outputs something worse each iteration until you give up because it is just outputting pure garbage.
And I've no idea why he thinks AI has already replaced programming jobs - because it really hasn't. (The code it produces tends to follow pretty much the same path as you have outlined for images when told to "fix" the bit that is obviously wrong).
So are we in era of AI ?. Maybe yes or maybe no. I think this music *'In the year 2525' *by Evans and Ziegler can help to explain more about AI, human beings and this era. I love that.
@@DaringCreative Thanks. You know the things we see or do today came to some people's imaginations that led to fiction books and movies. It is like telling us to get ready for things like that to come in future. Years later human imaginations through scientific studies and inventions made it possible. Also some music videos like 'Take a train to Clarksville' by the Animals was made many years before the invention of the mobile /smart phones. Imagine that kid riding with phone in his hand. It was unthink of those years. Now it is possible to ride on a bike or car and talk to anyone anywhere in the world without any problem. Thanks to the United States inventions and innovations that is helping the entire world to think positive and move forward. I love that. I wish you all the best of luck.
I would wholeheartedly disagree, if anything, this is the age of "the creative", suddenly you have a tool that can help bring your vision to life without needing a wealth of knowledge or a team of people. Ai brings new meaning to the idea that we're only bound by our imagination.
I love your perspective on this Arian. It's refreshing to see someone actually excited about what potential can be unlocked in doing work. Thanks for sharing this!
I'm pretty sure AI will eventually be pretty good at programming work or doing much of the work. Making the majority of programmers unemployed. Top 20 per cent maybe keeping their jobs to do the most difficult work and overseeing the whole process.
Anything requiring wisdom to fix something (firefighter / plumber) or human-human interaction (counselor / sales) are non-repetitive. AI can possibly enhance or remove some tasks in those, but a calculator does not have wisdom
