Why Russia's Ceasefire Proposal to the U.S. Went Nowhere

Подписаться 581 тыс.

Просмотров 242 тыс.

50% 1

Check out my new book "How Ukraine Survived": amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.)
Last week, a report indicated that Russia approached the United States at the end of 2023, looking for a ceasefire in Ukraine. That Washington ignored the proposal is not interesting; the United States is not the one fighting the war. What is interesting is how the proposal itself appears to misinterpret where the bargaining power lies and how it has evolved over time. This video goes over the report and breaks down the current negotiating situation.
You can read the report here: www.reuters.com/world/europe/...
0:00 Russia's Alleged Ceasefire Proposal
0:47 What's in the Report?
3:08 Why Russia Made the Proposal
5:32 Who Has Bargaining Power Right Now?
8:33 The Evolution of the Costs of War
The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement.
Media licensed under CC BY 4.0 (creativecommons.org/licenses/...
By Kremlin.ru:
tours.kremlin.ru/tour/senate/159/
en.kremlin.ru/events/president...
en.kremlin.ru/events/president...
en.kremlin.ru/catalog/keywords...
en.kremlin.ru/events/president...
en.kremlin.ru/catalog/persons/...
en.kremlin.ru/events/president...
en.kremlin.ru/catalog/persons/...
en.kremlin.ru/events/president...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
en.kremlin.ru/catalog/persons/...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
en.kremlin.ru/events/president...
en.kremlin.ru/events/president...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...

Опубликовано:

17 май 2024

Ссылка:

Скачать:

Готовим ссылку...

Добавить в:

Мой плейлист

Посмотреть позже

Комментарии : 1 тыс.

@Gametheory101 3 месяца назад

Russia captured Avdiivka while I was producing this video, which is why it is discussed here but not the focus. Later this week, I will give a broader update on the war in light of Ukraine's retreat.

@MrLogo73 3 месяца назад

Yes, make a video from the Russian perspective.

@simonebest6013 3 месяца назад

William, You point about Americans lack of Interest in Ukraine war is probably accurate in my view. as well. President Biden Should go on TV in a Prime Time (9PM EST) live braodcast from the Oval Office to explain to the American people how Critical the consequences of this Russian aggression is to the USA! Pre=empting the Prime time shows that Americans tune in for like "Dancing with the Stars", "Americas Got Tallent" and "The Masked Singer" should force the peoples attention.. The GOP is Very Lame here as well. Traditionally a GOP response would be given to address the Presidents remarks and explain their position.

@carolwilliams8511 3 месяца назад

It was gifted to ruzzia by the failure of American aid to the AFU. I do not think that will ever be forgotten or forgiven. America fails it's allies and goes back on its word. Not a good look.

@MrZen-gl4pg 3 месяца назад

@Cowtymsmiesznego 3 месяца назад

@@MrLogo73 Russian perspective is kind of obscured. William makes some guesses about it but there is no way to verify any of it because of how secluded the Russian gvmt structure and decision making is from any supervision.

@Adonnus100 3 месяца назад

The worst thing about these "peace offers" is the morons who will think of none of these things which you mentioned, and lap it up like chocolate sauce.

@umjackd 2 месяца назад

It plays into a certain narrative that the real warmongers are the Western governments sending weapons to Kyiv. Which is stupid, but that's what they'll say.

@edofluit6568 2 месяца назад

"lap it up like chocolate sauce" is that a saying?

@Adonnus100 2 месяца назад

@@edofluit6568 Yep, I just made it up.

@edofluit6568 2 месяца назад

@@Adonnus100 lmfao

@grapicusdrinktus 2 месяца назад

The alternative is Ukraine continues to lose territory.

@thetawaves247 3 месяца назад

Man the post credit scene was definitely worth the wait.

@Fuck_YT 2 месяца назад

cute af

@UncleJoeLITE 3 месяца назад

Thanks from Australia to the mighty LoM Corp.

@JustARandomFio 3 месяца назад

The fact is, if the conflict gets frozen once again after 2014, with Russia having taken and keeping more territories of Ukraine, we'll be here again in a few years, talking about a ceasefire after the next "special military operation" in Odesa, Kharkiv, and the rest of the Kherson, Donetsk, and Zaporizhia oblasts has stalled. With a strengthened Russia and a West that has fallen back to its slumbering peace-time mode, and some more fancy protagonists playing with their muscles, starting with China and Iran. I can be wrong, but I doubt I am.

@ActionAlligator 3 месяца назад

2014 was a very different situation and a very different Ukraine. The current conflict looks like a disaster for Russia, all things considered. Russia is looking more and more like a desperately flailing fish trying to breathe, at the expense of innocent Ukrainians. Sure, neither of us can see the future and I'm not going to pretend I'm anything but a random online pleb without a clue, but based on my limited understanding and what other more knowledgeable people are reporting, I don't see this as some beginning of a line of Russian successes. These tugs of war with Russia, China, & Iran may end up starting WW3, which would be a horrible tragedy... but I don't see how they're going to actually win it.

@effexon 3 месяца назад

that would be hitler in 1930s saying they are peaceful nations while accelerating war manufacturing every year.

@allydea 3 месяца назад

If anyone could use a break right now, it's Ukraine. Not in the US's interest though.

@reekpeekseek 2 месяца назад

@@allydeaRussian bots seem to be more tired than the Armed forces of Ukraine

@donnguyen3795 2 месяца назад

Best they can do to avoid that is Ukraine settle with current loss and get fully admitted to NATO.

@StruckBy_Lightning 3 месяца назад

That ending statement was very joyful. I greatly appreciate the humor you bring to such painfully serious topics.

@johnstark1474 2 месяца назад

I heart these videos

@Fuck_YT 2 месяца назад

@@johnstark1474 same, and i appreciate that ending

@justskip4595 3 месяца назад

Russia nationalizing a lot of businesses or forcing them to sell for fraction of actual value and also allowing the businesses afterwards to operate sometimes even without a new branding has REALLY soured people from investing into Russia for long time after the war. You can nationalize without compensation only so many billions till people start thinking it's not worth the risk.

@hydoffdhagaweyne1037 3 месяца назад

Why did the US freeze Russia's foreign assets and it's central bank reserves?

@jb_19 3 месяца назад

It genuinely seems like the Kremlin knew that risk and took it. The end game being a North Korean-like domestic economy, supplemented with oil to subsidize the military.

@oleksandrfedoriv 3 месяца назад

@@hydoffdhagaweyne1037because ruzzia is a terrorist country.

@justskip4595 3 месяца назад

@@hydoffdhagaweyne1037 Denying access and stealing are very different things. Keeping away the keys to a car from guy who would want to go driving drunk is different from taking the keys and the car for yourself. While Russia stole all the aicrafts leased there, tens of factories, power plants etc, the countries that froze their assets still haven't taken those for themselves or handed to Ukraine or anything. I am not going to explain this to you here further because youtube comment section is insufficient for it. I have seen at least 1 good video about the subject on youtube at some point and there's many articles written about it at least in Finnish if you're interested to seek out the information.

@hungrymusicwolf 3 месяца назад

@@hydoffdhagaweyne1037Because they were invading allied/friendly nations. Why would they let them use their banking services to fight a war against themselves. Would you help your home invader find his gun so he can shoot you out of respect of his "right to own" said weapon?

@testboga5991 3 месяца назад

We had a seize fire in 2014, we all know where that led

@ActionAlligator 3 месяца назад

That ceasefire was after a completely different situation.

@carylhalfwassen8555 3 месяца назад

Cease fire. Every situation is different so your point is what?

@chrisjackson1215 2 месяца назад

@@carylhalfwassen8555 Except this isn't a different situation - it's the same actors and their goals remain the same. Putin still wants to conquer Ukraine and Ukraine still wants to not be enslaved by a mass-murdering dictator.

@kingace6186 2 месяца назад

If this war ends in a ceasefire and a dmz, it is only a matter of time (maybe a decade) until Russia decides to try its luck against. It's not just about Putin's mortality. The Russian establishment is still pro-imperialism, regardless.

@Gizziiusa 2 месяца назад

wasnt it a seizure fire ? couldve swore I saw Zelenski flopping around for dollars back then too

@noyopacific 2 месяца назад

Thanks for the video Professor Spaniel ! I ❤ you too.

@General12th 2 месяца назад

Hi William! We heart you too!

@denillefleming2942 2 месяца назад

Wow! A new video! What a treat! Thank you❤

@alexisfights5773 2 месяца назад

The name of the casino at 3:14 is pretty funny, and I don't know if this was intended, but "Cartes" in French refer to both maps and playing cards, so the joke works on two levels!

@Gametheory101 2 месяца назад

Finally someone caught this!

@fabr1cat0rgeneral94 3 месяца назад

Russia wants the US to agree to terms because it validates Putin's main goal: to make Russia seem as powerful as the old Soviet Union was. "We got the US to agree to our terms" is a *huge* feather in Moscow's cap in the game of geopolitics.

@JohnnyD45 3 месяца назад

I agree.

@doomedwit1010 3 месяца назад

It also cements Russia's position that Ukraine is not a real country. It's just Rebellious Russian territory. It's government should be given no notice.

@theprinceofpie 3 месяца назад

@@curio78 Why did the war in the Donbas magically start at the same time when Russia invaded Crimea and Russia started arming rebels? 🤔 What was the Wagner Group doing in Russia if it's a civil war?🤔 The ceasefire proposal failed because Russia was actively murdering civilians in Bucha.

@ralfrude3532 3 месяца назад

I think that‘s Not the only point. Deciding the conflict between the US and Russia, without Ukraine, is a trap. It would confirm Russia’s point of view, that “minor” powers are not sovereign.

@fabr1cat0rgeneral94 3 месяца назад

@@ralfrude3532 Very true. Putin keeps proclaiming how he wants to create a "multipolar world." IT's just propaganda to get the Global South on Russia's side. He doesn't want a world where all nations have equal say. He wants a return to the Cold War where the world was carved up into spheres of influence. He wants Russia to once again rule Eastern Europe with an iron fist and no interference from the West.

@Elongated_Muskrat 3 месяца назад

I thought Russia was going to "March to Berlin/Paris/London/Washington", why would they want to to stop their own unstoppable juggernaut?

@HarshwardhanMishra-vi9qq 3 месяца назад

Source when did the ministers say this Also I don't support russia bu I do support facts or source. Slava ukraine

@baird5682 3 месяца назад

You forgot Warsaw. The biggest thorn in their side for centuries. Damn Poles, always ruining Russian plans of world domination.

@stephenhill545 3 месяца назад

To restock. The western allies had to pause in aurumn 44 due to.logistics issues.

@hungrymusicwolf 3 месяца назад

@@stephenhill545That's an awful quick stop just a few hundred kilometers over their borders. There's cyclists that can go farther without a pit stop than that.

@FleetAdmirable 3 месяца назад

cuz they r such peaceful guys theyll always ask for peace! Its like sucker punching someone then asking for them to let it go.

@toddvogel8887 2 месяца назад

In regards to the comment about businesses being reluctant to invest in Russia, I have a personal example for that. The company I do IT work for is currently engaged in a lawsuit against certain Russian entities as a result of the war causing many high value investments being located in Russia at the time and no longer being able to be recovered or moved out of Russia, due to actions taken by Russian entities. It's been going on for about a year and a half, and the general vibe I get from the decision makers is that they plan to never invest in anything that resides in Russia again.

@TheRealIdiotIsntHere 2 месяца назад

Russias GDP looks good but it's totally skewed by the war footing that they are running (for a SMO?) And the issue is also that along with declining interest in investing in Russia, the war effort destroys sectors of business to accommodate and make best use of the materials. The skilled men in these areas may then get sent to war or go elsewhere. Once the war stance is over the economy can't just pick back up where it left off without huge investment.

@davidkottman3440 2 месяца назад

Sketchy decision the first time, down right reckless to consider trying it a second time!

@toddvogel8887 2 месяца назад

@@davidkottman3440 All I will say is that the investment wasn't necessarily originally in Russia, it ended up there later.

@donsergio2406 2 месяца назад

Some companies had to wait 70 years to be compensated for the confiscation done by the Bolsheviks when the USSR was established. Food for thought for any international investor.

@petergreenwood7731 2 месяца назад

What did you expect? They were/are sanctioned by the west, Big time Should they have allowed their investments to vanish, but not yours? BRICS+ >> Russia is full on with them. Should predicting Russia's economical future include the rise of BRICS+?

@johncrowhurst4974 2 месяца назад

Fantastic content as always, thank you

@TheHavnmonkey 3 месяца назад

I'm surprised by how many "both sides" arguments in the comments.... one country was invaded (twice) by its neighbor.... and you expect it to WANT to negotiate for 1/4 of its territory being annexed? All this "if only Ukraine was willing to negotiate" is nonsense. Ukraine has no incentive to negotiate right now.

@RaveYoda 2 месяца назад

Thank you! Ugh, I know some commenters are real people deluded but I also suspect there are a lot of bots. It's grim. =/

@davidkottman3440 2 месяца назад

If russians want peace they can cross the border back to where they came from! Ukraine really doesn't have that option.

@luigimrlgaming9484 2 месяца назад

I’m sorry but Ukraine is a fucking war-dystopia right now and it hasn’t a chance in hell of winning without starting WW3. It should’ve surrendered earlier and not followed western wishes to be a proxy to fight against Russia. Zelenskyy sold his country.

@devilik3692 2 месяца назад

they are not gonna win this war , lose it all or lose a part

@grapicusdrinktus 2 месяца назад

Ukraine will have an incentive to negotiate when it's too late to negotiate. Real life isn't a superhero movie.

@stmaui6973 2 месяца назад

Always great work Dr Spaniel 😊

@IC3XR 2 месяца назад

Russia: *bullies neighbours* Neighbours: "I'm joining NATO" Russia: "NOoOoO YOU CAN'T DO THAT!"

@carolynhorn6347 2 месяца назад

Thank you! Ooo -- another book too? THANK YOU -- I heart you too! 💕

@kevinsips3658 3 месяца назад

You’re pumping out the videos right my man, thanks for the content!

@Butter9322 2 месяца назад

This guy's literally a CIA plant just pumping propaganda. Very clear US bias. Doesn't mention how we fund these wars for the military industrial complex, how we expanded Nato for the complex, how Russia tried to literally join Nato, so many other factors.

@ToxicNets 3 месяца назад

I concur.

@stevenhoenig4404 2 месяца назад

Thank you for appreciating lines on maps as much as me :)

@Navigator2166 2 месяца назад

❤ I truly enjoy listening to your analysis. It is always the right combination of serious data and wry humor. Thanks much.

@enricogattone432 3 месяца назад

Lines on maps!🎉

@Algo_RL 2 месяца назад

You've got to be my favorite geopolitical analyst. No bias in sight, and it is very obvious just how informed your are.

@Youtuber-xs9cp 2 месяца назад

He is obviously Pro-Ukraine. So If you think he has no bias. You probably need more years to understand people.

@Algo_RL 2 месяца назад

@RU-vidr-xs9cp he voices no opinions in his videos. He says the facts and let's the viewer form their own opinion. I am not him, so i cannot tell you exactly how he feels (and you shouldn't be assuming that either). If this information comes to you as contrary to your beliefs, I think you should look in the mirror before pointing the finger of bias.

@grapicusdrinktus 2 месяца назад

@@Algo_RL He's voicing MSM talking points as if they are gospel. I'll be laughing at him in six months the same way the RussiaBots are laughing at Denys right now over Avdiivka.

@-morrow 2 месяца назад

@@Algo_RL while he by no means repeats ukrainian propaganda talking points, he definitely has a ukraine bias which comes through in his interpretations of the facts. which is ok, everybody has bias. but you claiming "no bias in sight" is just ridiculous. I'm also ukrainian biased btw.

@rye-nz2cc 2 месяца назад

can you please give a way to purchase your books outside of Amazon

@trueriver1950 2 месяца назад

5:17 goodness me! Lines on maps. Never saw that coming 😉

@squidcaps4308 3 месяца назад

The short answer: Ukraine makes its own decisions.. Long answer: watch the video.

@f-86zoomer37 2 месяца назад

A concept that is completely outside the intellectual capacity of vatniks

@shanemartin31 2 месяца назад

Minute 1:00 ….Damn William, I thought it was a lines on maps channel. Seriously though, love your videos. Always very informative.

@carykalscheuer6429 2 месяца назад

Good report.

@andy4an 2 месяца назад

Lol, how long has the channel picture been "lines on maps"?

@tristanridley1601 3 месяца назад

Can anyone imagine a viable peace? Remember, no element of the deal can be 'promises' from Russia, as their word is worth less than nothing. I don't see it as possible.

@thomaslove6494 2 месяца назад

I agree with you... There is no end in sight... Ukraine seems to have a lot of fight left in it no matter what other countries do

@mabeSc 2 месяца назад

Possible or not, it's the way the war is going to end regardless. There will have to be arbitrators and guarantees (from both sides) but it will, eventually, happen. The fact is that neither country was interested in negotiating anything, their diplomatic relations, even before this whole mess were abysmal - I consider it one of the reasons why the war started.

@MrVlad12340 2 месяца назад

Oh yeah, cause it was Russia that intentionally lied in Minsk, wiped its ass with all the promises made there and in the end refused to negotiate any form of reasonable agreement. Wait, that was Ukraine and EU, as they ADMITTED THEMSELVES. And when diplomacy no longer works, whats left besides the war?

@occamschainsaw3450 2 месяца назад

@@mabeSc Not really. Lots of countries have abysmal diplomatic relations, and not all of them send tanks because of it.

@mabeSc 2 месяца назад

@@occamschainsaw3450 Abysmal might not be the right word - completely non-functional is a better description.

@STRIPPEDSTAR 2 месяца назад

0:24 we probably all have a good understanding that Washington has more influence on situation than Ukrainian government

@4grammaton 3 месяца назад

It went nowhere because the US position is that it will not negotiate without Ukraine at the table, and Ukraine passed a law making it illegal to negotiate with Russia. So it's a catch-22.

@stephenhill545 3 месяца назад

With putin actually.

@tristanridley1601 3 месяца назад

Hard to negotiate with someone who invaded your country after formally agreeing to defend it from any invaders. If he broke that agreement, no future agreement is worth anything.

@WolfHeathen 2 месяца назад

The only way to stop this is for the west to stop funding Ukraine. Ukraine has "succeeded" in this war thanks to the generosity of everyone else. Zelenskyy's not a strong leader. He's a weak little puppet without any realistic power in this conflict and I guarantee he'll easily fold under the pressure of being denied funds and equipment to continue to fight this war. He'll be forced to repeal said law and start negotiations.

@dotz7616 2 месяца назад

A law making it illegal to negotiate? I have not heard of this. This seems very odd, do you have a source for this? Making negotiation illegal would mean the Russian Federation couldn't even negotiate terms of surrender if it hypothetically wanted to.

@dereksollows9783 2 месяца назад

@@dotz7616 Yup. Russia might as well just GIVE UP now!

@zeeninetynine 3 месяца назад

What is the magnificent building @ 10:30?

@Gametheory101 3 месяца назад

That’s the United Nations in New York.

@zeeninetynine 3 месяца назад

@@Gametheory101 Thanks!

@matthewhuszarik4173 2 месяца назад

If Russia wants a cease fire withdraw from Ukraine then you can have a cease fire.

@architech02 2 месяца назад

Not how negotiations work Russia is using occupied territories as bargaining chips

@znakrip 2 месяца назад

There are no Russian troops on the territory of Ukraine. They are located on the territory of the Russian Federation

@matthewhuszarik4173 2 месяца назад

@@znakrip Sorry the world doesn’t recognize Russia’s illegal occupation of Ukraine as being Russian Territory. If Russia doesn’t watch it we might decide to recognize Siberia as Chinese Territory.

@znakrip 2 месяца назад

@@matthewhuszarik4173 you can admit anything (Kosovo is an example of this). But first, China needs to hold a referendum on the territory of Siberia (I live in Siberia and do not see the prerequisites for a positive result on this issue)

@matthewhuszarik4173 2 месяца назад

@@znakrip The Chinese will get around to a referendum after the Siberian population has been adequately reeducated.

@spirit2219 2 месяца назад

"This isn't an ARMS channel. It is an ASMR channel." - though there is a suspicious absence of lines being drawn on maps sound effects!

@aburakadabura2 2 месяца назад

If Russia gains some benefit from the invasion, China, which is now routinely committing territorial sea violations to annex Japan's remote islands, will gain a great deal of confidence without worrying about the reaction of the US and the international community, An invasion of Taiwan would undoubtedly become a reality. Any concession to Putin would surely risk provoking a war in Asia.A negotiated settlement with Putin would seem to require only the option of a total withdrawal of his troops.

@AlanTheBeast100 2 месяца назад

Putin would love to freeze this in place - since Ukraine loses if such occurs.

@loudestloud1834 3 месяца назад

RIP Alexei Navalny 😢🌹

@nancyshaw9604 3 месяца назад

Thank You. 😢 ❤

@u2beuser714 3 месяца назад

Careful what you wish. Navalny wasnt anti ukraine war because its wrong but because its gone bad

@armintargaryen9216 3 месяца назад

@@u2beuser714Still deserves respect for his bravery

@sandybrown4957 3 месяца назад

what about Gonzala Lira?

@W4lt3r89 3 месяца назад

@@sandybrown4957If you want to wish him RIP, then do so. This chain is about Navalnyi. RIP to the brave man who wanted some change in Russia.

@vovochen 2 месяца назад

True.

@NLYS27 2 месяца назад

From battlefield reports. Lines are thin with no reserve's since the summer offensive. Russia is actually moving aggressively in certain sectors.

@DoubleJHas2ManyDoodles 2 месяца назад

Russia is decimating Ukraine and will likely take the full country by mid year if not sooner. Zelenskyy is a WEf puppet that gave blackrock a 400billion dollar contract to rebuild what’s left of Ukraine into a dystopian 15 min city nightmare.

@Flight_of_Icarus 3 месяца назад

"This is Ukraine's war, not the United States's, which we all have an understanding of." Except the Kremlin apparently, and anyone who follows their line of thinking. Though I'd also describe it more as Russia's war, that Ukraine happens to be the victim of.

@dylanvogler2165 3 месяца назад

It first in the Imperialist way of thinking. In their eyes Ukraine isn't an equal. Actually they think the smaller countries have no say. If the US would have agreed, it would have been very dangerous for the smaller countries.

@Lucas-wn5wm 3 месяца назад

So taiwan should surrender to allow equal footing for china and USA army?

@puma7171 3 месяца назад

If the goal is to cease hostilities instead of figuring out who's to blame (we might even agree on that), it matters not "whose" war it is. If Russia wants a ceasefire, they can ask Ukraine or they can ask the US (aka NATO). The former is unlikely to accept conditions, so the question is, at what conditions will NATO be ready to stop selling equipment to Ukraine.

@dylanvogler2165 3 месяца назад

@@puma7171second thing would be the worst thing you can do. If we want to go back to a world in which the souverenighty of smaller countries doesn't matter and where the big powers decide the borders and decisions of the smaller countries, spheres of influences etc, then sure let's do that. But as someone who doesn't live in a country that is a great power, why do you think you have the right to decide for my country? Why is your voice more important than mine?

@Itakebigcraps 3 месяца назад

Without the US ukraine would have already lost

@danwylie-sears1134 2 месяца назад

Bargaining position is all about expected future costs. If you have no skin in the game, no one is going to listen to what you say you want. Talk is cheap, and talk is all you're doing. If you have a trillion dollars at stake, everyone will believe that you're willing to spend a hundred billion protecting it, and they'll weight your promises and threats accordingly. No one cares what the US says about Ukraine, because _the US_ doesn't care what the US says about Ukraine.

@justinmillette9110 2 месяца назад

The USA has skin in the game: they signed the Budapest Memorandum, wherein they promised to protect Ukraine from foreign invasion. If the USA fails to give Ukraine enough support, then the USA will lose some of its reputation as a guarantor of security.

@danwylie-sears1134 2 месяца назад

@@justinmillette9110 That's more like having dandruff in the game. Technically it's skin, but ....

@justinmillette9110 2 месяца назад

@@danwylie-sears1134 Maybe your word means nothing to you, but for serious people and serious countries, their word means a lot.

@CHAR0N_19 3 месяца назад

wow, this is the first time Bill draw the actual frontline

@highjumpstudios2384 2 месяца назад

What?

@ROBLOXGamingDavid 2 месяца назад

*_Lines on maps...._* "I'm about to snort on those lines......"

@AFGuidesHD 2 месяца назад

In the west, investors and shareholders have most control over a company. This isn't much different when it comes to wars. Yes a company could technically do something against the interests of the shareholders, but then usually the CEO goes to jail in that case. Similarly Ukraine could technically just stop fighting. But the US wouldn't be very happy about it.

@OratorVeritatis 2 месяца назад

This is the last place I'd expected to see you, but excellent point!

@folktai7070 2 месяца назад

Well, except the Russians would not withdraw troops, and I doubt even if Ukraine agreed to a ceasefire, the Russians who broke all agreements prior would honour it.

@OratorVeritatis 2 месяца назад

@@folktai7070 They would, Russia ultimately doesn't want total war.

@davolpatel 2 месяца назад

America will put zelnky in jail!!!

@femboyshitposter676 2 месяца назад

LOL yeah sure Ukraine got offered 2 peace negotiations 2nd one nearly came to peace but Boris Johnson came to town and told Zelensky not to do it which was WONDERFUL considering Ukraine lost 57k people during the counter offensive as morgue records and independent war bloggers have said.@@folktai7070

@husssssssssss 3 месяца назад

the timing is always crazy because I just finished cooking

@highjumpstudios2384 2 месяца назад

Another thing is that it might give some insight into the kremlins thought process. Of course they'd go to the US for a ceasefire if they think the west is responsible for Ukraine not wanting to be invaded

@justinmillette9110 2 месяца назад

Russia is still dominated by KGB dinosaurs, some of whom actually believed the Soviet propaganda that all problems in the USSR could be traced back to American sabotage. Also, they're Slavic nationalists who can't believe that any Ukrainian Slavs would hate Mother Russia unless they were paid agents of the USA.

@mariakopp4948 2 месяца назад

Du hast nicht alle,Tassen im Schrank.

@allenbasseg5136 2 месяца назад

You forgot about the bricks squad bro you should include it...

@jonny32820 3 месяца назад

Thanks from the Netherlands,I always follow your video’s with interest.

@JSK010 2 месяца назад

"Are just subsidies to the US military, with extra steps" Well.. the difference is that the artillery shells dont end up in some warehouse to be used by the American army later but are consumed in eastern Ukraine instead? The US is incurring real economic costs I would say?

@RaveYoda 2 месяца назад

Mmmm, I'd say true technically. But, costs also circulate money since we need more shell.

@arsarma1808 2 месяца назад

AFAICT What gets sent to ukraine is stuff at the end of its service life and/or in storage. The money is used to buy replacements.

@JSK010 2 месяца назад

@@arsarma1808 True, but "accelerated depreciation" like this is an economic expense. I have a 5 year old tv, which a barely use. I could give it to my brother, but replacing it with a 8K OLED whatever would still be an economic cost to me.

@nevigodstanson7160 2 месяца назад

Difference is that you either have necessary production of artillery shells, or you don't. Military industry needs a stable flow of money to exist, which means that artillery shells must be bought anyway. Only question is how much would be utilised anyway, and how much was given above it.

@white.apple.design 2 месяца назад

I heart you too, man! 🫴🏻❤

@yamagata008 2 месяца назад

I heart you back!

@joenichols3901 2 месяца назад

How the US doesn’t create propaganda around Putins peace overture is so frustrating. He’s weak! What leader would seek peace when they think they would win? He knows he can’t do this another decade but EU has secured funding through 2027. I love Tucker, I’m republican, Christian .. and his interview with Putin was such a garbage propaganda piece! He wants peace because he is losing. Ukraine must have its borders and be fully integrated into Europe. Russia wants a sphere of influence but it’s a skill issue.

@joenichols3901 2 месяца назад

@@fishy2939 dude they’re taking villages after trying to control the entire country If America had been unable to take Baghdad after trying for months, but managed to take some villages, would you think the Americans are winning?

@Ar1AnX1x 3 месяца назад

is William Spaniel even a Spaniard? or is this all an illusion?

@kj_me 3 месяца назад

more like the dog,

@rexblade504 2 месяца назад

7:00 something not enough Americans realize and is 110% the media's fault for not explaining that, but rather just saying millions of dollars are going to Ukraine because it makes for a flashier headline. This is the reason for most of the opposition to supporting Ukraine and its built off a misunderstanding.

@ethzero 2 месяца назад

9:50 "... but *donut* expect to see much fanfare...", we see what you did there!

@joenichols3901 2 месяца назад

I’m a Republican in the US and it’s been frustrating seeing how large swathes of the party eat up Russian propaganda. Why wouldn’t we continue aiding Ukraine? We are a couple years into the conflict. Ukraine won the first part of the war by 1. Not folding 2. Pushing Russia out of half its gains and 3. Making allies with Europe and the US. It’s hard to remember now but when Russia first attacked most thought best case scenario was funding an insurgency. So great, we’ve limited Russia to small gains (given they wanted all of Ukraine), the Black Sea corridor is open and we have some stability. It is now a battle of attrition. Ukraine can win if it can keep up the fight till 2032 - Putin will be 82 years old and we know the Soviets pulled out of Afghanistan after a decade. Russians will tire out after a decade of war, tiny results (geopolitically speaking), economic stagnation and frankly an elderly leader. Ukraine is going to need a lot of work after that but hey, what else do we have to do? We will have to help rebuild Ukraine, exploit its resources, have lots of babies and more.

@vismaraluisa1523 2 месяца назад

Joenicolson Sentirla ragionare mi vien da vomitare..

@occamschainsaw3450 2 месяца назад

So... You want a decade-long conflict, is that it?

@p.strobus7569 2 месяца назад

@@occamschainsaw3450 Want, no. Accept that Russia will keep attacking as long as Putin is in power, yes.

@joenichols3901 2 месяца назад

@@occamschainsaw3450 yes. What do you think life is? Humans have waged war since we became human. The Ukrainians want to fight - I want them to win What do you think your peace plan will do? Are you willing to let the tens of thousands who have died, who gave their lives for a free Ukraine, to die in vain? Will you look their mothers in the face and say “sorry your son died for a cause we are not willing to defend longer”?

@benoithudson7235 2 месяца назад

Russia can't maintain the losses it's taking for ten years. There's enough soldiers, but not enough old Soviet gear -- and there's no indication that Russia is able to build up the production rate of Soviet times.

@JohnnyD45 3 месяца назад

Died standing not kneeling like most of your fellow countrymen,Rest in peace. ✝️🙏🏻

@AlexandarIvanov-uz2sl 2 месяца назад

Better balance quality than CNN, Fox etc. Good one!

@alarsonious2071 2 месяца назад

I heart you too.

@jeremywilkes7912 3 месяца назад

Pootin only ever wants a cease fire when we is loosing, never give an inch to the enemy!

@allydea 3 месяца назад

It's all good. In the meantime, since the offer was made, he has lost in Avdiivka already. Other failures are incoming.

@chigmeister1906 3 месяца назад

@@allydea Who's he?

@izajahmed8863 2 месяца назад

@@chigmeister1906poor Joe and his son clownosky 😂

@diogorodrigues747 2 месяца назад

@@allydea Sure, and Russia lost countless military equipment by taking a suburb of Donetsk in a battle that lasted for 10 years. Avdiivka is the only Russian "victory" for almost a year (since the capture of Bakhmut) and it's just another destroyed town which has even less strategic importance than Bakhmut. And don't expect "other failures" very soon, because Ukrainians learned with the Russians and also built several lines of defense behind the Eastern frontline similar to the Surovikin lines in occupied Southern Ukraine.

@WolfHeathen 2 месяца назад

Resistance to the war is increasing. The rest of the world is starting to get sick and tired of floating Zelenskyy and it'll only be a matter of time before that happens. The US House of Representatives delayed one funding package and Ukraine ran out of ammo while defending Avdiivka. This simply can't go on forever. It's not feasible.

@scisher3294 3 месяца назад

This is the perfect time to review and release this content, after that goofy interview with it’s goofy claims 😜

@ludmilaisacov7751 3 месяца назад

The interview is directed to maga's supporters, who don't know real history and will believe that this war is civilian's one, when it is for a new autocratic world order. This war is a huge danger for western democracie.

@The-AmericanPatriot 2 месяца назад

Aviddika was just to hold off till Ukraine line of defense was built and they have the upper hand seeing how russia won't be able to pass the 3 layer defense lines that were built

@eldestmochi913 2 месяца назад

Treaty of Portsmouth 2..?

@jmantime 3 месяца назад

So what will Ukraine do if Russia continues advancing north-west after Avdiivka ? Ukraine is already running low on Ammunition and are still waiting on those F-16's that were promised a year ago. Today the Russians already took village of Lastochkyne west of Avdiivka.

@justinmillette9110 2 месяца назад

With luck, that American military aid package will get forced through the House of Representatives soon, and the influx of materiel will help Ukraine to stop haemorrhaging territory.

@danwylie-sears1134 2 месяца назад

It's not about _learning_ the opponent's ability and willingness to continue fighting. It's about _destroying_ the enemy's will or ability to fight. The lines-on-maps nonsense is always irrelevant. It assumes that any settlement is automatically enforceable, when in fact no settlement except unconditional surrender is enforceable, and that only when the victor is willing and able to carry out an occupation. War ends when one side has lost the will or ability to keep fighting. When the positions of troops in the field are static, attrition is still going on. When no territory is lost or gained, one side or both is making progress toward wearing down the other's ability or will.

@justinmillette9110 2 месяца назад

If your argument were true, then why did the Korean war end with both sides uneasily coexisting, rather than one being annexed by the other?

@danwylie-sears1134 2 месяца назад

@@justinmillette9110 Of course it's not absolute, but the medium requires simplicity. In the case of Korea, it was a proxy conflict that the principals on both sides decided to stop without resolving. So yes, I'm assuming that Russia is acting as its own wannabe-empire, not as a proxy of China or Iran or the Trump Organization, whoever we might imagine to secretly be pulling Putin's strings. (Only China is even remotely plausible.)

@MrRawrCEO 2 месяца назад

@@justinmillette9110 given that both China and the U.S. were involved I'd say an unwillingness to flirt with Nuclear Armageddon played no small part in it.

@legrandfromage6450 2 месяца назад

"The obvious point that this is Ukraine's war, not the United States'". That point is not at all obvious.

@smith3696 3 месяца назад

If the opening gambit was too Russian favoured surely that's where negotiations kick in. Also, if Biden quietly negotiated a deal, he could have let Trump run on peace in Ukraine and then undermined him. And for what it's worth peace now could also reduce the growing rift between Europ and the US.

@Tannhauser62 3 месяца назад

All fair points, but there are several problems with this. Firstly, everyone understands that Russia is playing for time, waiting for possible Trump re-election. Secondly, with the kidnapping and ongoing 're-education' of thousands of Ukrainian children, the rape of so many Ukrainian women, the beating and torture and execution of so many non-combatants, some in the US Government understand from a purely human point of view that the decision must be Ukraine's. Thirdly, the US knows that other powers in the world are watching and waiting, and concessions granted to an aggressor will be noted and, sooner or later, acted upon.

@comlitbeta7532 2 месяца назад

Awwww, i heart you too line on map guy

@AdeptAnalytic 3 месяца назад

*drops everything I'm doing to watch the new William Spaniel video*

@Clavers1369 2 месяца назад

Any peace deal must include the return of all occupied Ukrainian territory, the permanent cancellation of the lease of Sebastopoll, and the return of the Kuril Islands to Japan, Karelia and Petsamo o to Finland, and Kaliningrad (Koenigsberg) to Germany.

@Schizofre 2 месяца назад

Lmao, ur delusional. By that logic Ukraine should give land back to hungary, romania, poland and slovakia...since ussr took lands from them which were populated by them and gave it to ukraine. By your logic bunch of nations all of the world should give bunch of lands to other countries. Ur deranged

@architech02 2 месяца назад

That's the stupidest peace deal I've ever heard Kaliningrad was offered to Germany after the collapse of the Soviet Union but was rejected granted German economy is still struggling at the time due to the recent reunification and any territories with majority Russian population is just asking for trouble and economically worthless the only acceptable suggestion you made is the Ukrainian one

@user-ut6ji8my2h 2 месяца назад

What makes anyone think that Russia will abide by any agreement that they sign?

@cellone710 2 месяца назад

US says, It's up to Ukraine, and you believe that? You may need lines on your brain, to see which side is working.

@NathanDean79 2 месяца назад

Abvfivka was a strategically insignificant win. Russia had taken about 50-60 casualties to take control from of essentially a very large pile of rubble lol. It’s a propaganda win not a militarily significant one.

@Schizofre 2 месяца назад

1. Its was the biggest fortification in Europe by far. It was the strongest stronghold of ukraine by far till it fell. 2. Ukrainian government: they took 40k casualties. You, a nobody: "they took 50-60k casualties". Imagine this badly inflating an already extremely inflated number. Ur pig cope is so pathetic its INSANE. 3. Its was the most significant win since mariupol. It literally makes donbass completely safe from shelling and gives russian army insane amoung of strategic freedom and offensive opportunity. If you knew anything about war whatsoever you would have realized this.

@jorgecortes8448 2 месяца назад

i went to russia because of the cheap flights and RUSSIA has all the american producst at a few cents above from before war

@RaniVeluNachar-kx4lu 2 месяца назад

It will be very hard for Russia to take more land. The cost vs the land area is not proportional. It's in Russia's interest to freeze the conflict there as then it solidifies the boundary and future boundary becomes harder to dislodge and neighboring countries will lose interest and look at the frozen boundary being the de facto end of hostilities. Russia gets a way out and keep it's stolen Three Oblasts and Crimea. But Russia can't sustain another two years. The question is will Kiev be able to "draft" a couple 30 thousand groups of 20-25 year old's currently relaxing in Kiev and trying to forget the war in the East.

@eudaenomic 3 месяца назад

You are always worth the time. "I'm not going to predict what Donald Trump is going to do. However, I'll point out for (those) that have this doomed attitude of the Trump presidency with regards to Ukraine, (is) that Trump was actually the first one to provide weapons to Ukraine in 2018 with the Javelin missiles." Dimitri Alperovitch, Silverado Policy Accelerator. I was glad someone spoke the truth in Berlin last week.

@skyemilk 2 месяца назад

This is called a COPE...

@bengordon7635 2 месяца назад

what happen to the chicken's??? saving the chickens from Putin hahahahgagagaga

@teoh3564 2 месяца назад

❤make love not war❤

@markbrisec3972 2 месяца назад

It's hard for me to understand and accept how unimportant Ukraine war is in the eyes of an average American voter. I understand that most of the people won't be as focused on the war as I am, but the lack of interest on the single potentially most dangerous and world changing developing event in the world, is mind boggling. I just hope that all those girls that don't know where Ukraine is but can tell you the names of the children from the whole Kardashian clan, and all those bros who don't know the difference between HIMARS and Mars but can tell you current top 5 most sold man parfumes in the world, won't have to learn about the city of Kherson cause the Russian tactical nuclear bomb just went off in the city center. Or that they won't hear about the Suwalki Gap for the first time in their lives because of it being the place of the first US military casualties in a direct war between NATO and Russia. I know that people live their lives and have different interests, but the level of ignorance of the latest generation is alarming and worrysome. Some 16 yo country girl from Alabama knew where Berlin was in 1967. She didn't care about the politics, the Minuteman ICBMs or Operation Crome Dome, but she understood why America stands by our allies in Paris, London and Bonn... Current Alabama country girl would demand her right to get a new iPhone, despite some war going on between China and USA over some place called Taiban, Tairan, Taiwan.... "Where is that? In Africa? Anyway I wanna see the iPhone I payed in advance, to hell with that ship you say just got sunk. What's the name of the ship? Nimitz, aircraft carrier Nimitz? Well, I guess I can wait for another week but that's it.."

@BufordTJustice42069 2 месяца назад

4:01, it was money. Now the big question: is Zelensky gonna fight until the last Slav or the last American dollar? He sure is a comedian.

@mdj.6179 2 месяца назад

How sincere can it be if Putin doesn't want Ukraine involved?

@avyay9818 2 месяца назад

I think one extra thing to point out is that whether or not a lot of people actually care about the war in the west, the media presence of anti-aid people is pretty large, and at least here in America, viewpoints about foreign aid being the cause of inflation, funding the rich military billionaires. and economic downturn is fairly prevalent online. I'm assuming similar sentiments are present abroad in Europe after seeing all the news about farmer discontent with cheap ukrainian grain flooding european markets, but I'm not sure. This means that these views could possibly (however unlikely) gain traction and lead to a very discontent public, though how much that actually changes things is up for debate.

@justinmillette9110 2 месяца назад

If you made a Venn diagram of Europeans who are angry about Ukrainian grain imports and Europeans who drive tractors, then it would almost be a circle. There are some Europeans who complain about the cost of aid to Ukraine, but mostly the complaints are from people who already disliked the idea of European solidarity.

@avyay9818 2 месяца назад

@@justinmillette9110 Oh ok. That makes more sense. The question that I have then is are the farmers a large part of the population and/or important in anyway to the economy?

@justinmillette9110 2 месяца назад

@@avyay9818 Some European countries are more agrarian than others. Depending upon a particular country's electoral system, farmers may or not be a voting bloc that is powerful or pivotal. Beyond that, I don't have a short answer for you.

@avyay9818 2 месяца назад

@@justinmillette9110 I read a comment that said that small farmers were only able to survive because of government subsidies and therefore an overall drain on the tax payers and I was just wondering about that.

@justinmillette9110 2 месяца назад

@@avyay9818 The richer a country is, the more likely that its farmers get subsidies. I don't know specifics, though.

@MutatedPizzaBoi 3 месяца назад

America is split into 2, one bowing to Russia.

@rhendersbee685 2 месяца назад

Bowing to the audience, ass towards Russia.

@aburakadabura2 2 месяца назад

>>The war in Ukraine has nothing to do with the US. The unilateral military invasion and annexation of the territory of a sovereign nation recognized by the international community is a blatant challenge to the "Pax Americana," which is based on freedom, Humanitarianism, anti-aggression,independence, and democracy.

@kristijangrgic9841 2 месяца назад

So what you are saying is only Americans get to invade foreign countries ? Or you forgot Libya, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan ?

@aburakadabura2 2 месяца назад

@@kristijangrgic9841 You seem to know nothing about Libya. Libyan citizens rose up in mid-February 2011, demanding Gaddafi's ouster and democratization, but Gaddafi's regime attempted to subvert the uprising with a relentless armed repression. , resulting in the killing of many civilians and the frequent occurrence of massive human rights abuses and humanitarian violations. In late February, the UN Secretary-General, concerned about the situation, reported to the UN Security Council on the serious humanitarian situation in Libya. 「More than 1,000 people have been killed, If more time is wasted and the situation is left unattended, many lives will be lost.」 On March 19, at the request of the UN Secretary General, a multinational force led by the US, UK, and France began airstrikes with the objective of "humanitarian protection of civilians. At the end of the same month, NATO took over command of the airstrikes and in August brought down the Gaddafi regime, which had been massacring civilians. Like Russia, they did not carry out airstrikes out of self-interest without a UN request or a country sympathetic to their cause. We didn't illegally invade or annex a country like Russia did.Most of the other cases involved the UN and followed similar paths. We have not illegally annexed any other country's territory at all,

@HighPower762 2 месяца назад

@@kristijangrgic9841the difference is America doesn't try to keep them like Putin does. Also we wage Wars of liberation, not conquest. 🇺🇸 🇺🇦

@bulletflight 2 месяца назад

@@kristijangrgic9841America didn't annex their territories.

@belofost 2 месяца назад

@@HighPower762Liberation of oil, perhaps? Drop your bullshit, please. Every country if fighting for Its interests, nothing more.

@alhazenmediax 3 месяца назад

There was no such proposal. It will be good to stop this war sooner than later.

@johnnykey00 2 месяца назад

Now, about the revenues of the US from this war. May be extremely huge in the future, with a big minus in front if one may think that Russia will pay back times more powerful. But the main success rely upon the restoration of a multipolar World and, the diminishing role of an alliance. And China`s safer position in the World as the threats against her should come to an end as they will come to be ridiculous from both points of view not only from the perspective that China`s historical record is quite clean when speaking about invasions and wars

@dirgsuite5546 2 месяца назад

Negotiating positions: Ukraine: all occupied regions returned and NATO membership / Russia: Ukraine remains neutral or we keep fighting / U.S.: Ukraine cannot enter NATO while the war is ongoing. / Russia: Have it your way: If Ukrainian neutrality is not maintained, we keep fighting till enough Ukraine becomes Russia and Ukrainian neutrality does not matter to us anymore.

@justinmillette9110 2 месяца назад

Russia's negotiating position isn't well thought through, is it? "It's unacceptable that NATO's border come closer to ours, so instead, we will move our border to be closer to NATO's border."

@dirgsuite5546 2 месяца назад

The Dnjepr River is the best defendable position to defend East-Ukraine. Given the Russian resilience and arms production capacities, Europe will think twice before crossing that line. Anyway, it is those who take terrain who have the best negotiating positions. Not the ones who lose territory or who lose proxywars. @@justinmillette9110

@baird5682 3 месяца назад

Why? Because backing down in the face of evil is not only a cowardly act of the weak minded, but as evil as the acts of the evil doer himself.

@user-xt1yj5pt9y Месяц назад

Talking about companies, many of them still work with Russia. Since 2022 Kirgiztan import from certein countries (like Poland, for example) increased by 2000%. I don't think that Kirgiztan sudenly become this rich. Russia is a big market and many companies doesn't want to loose it.

@colin8696908 2 месяца назад

This guy is way too optimistic about Congress.

@enotdetcelfer 2 месяца назад

"Russia hides it's war toll"; and Ukraine doesn't? Not a single mention of Ukraine's decimated youth. If I've learned anything long-term over the course of this war while watching this channel, it's the ills of bias on analysis and predictive power.

@gyanendrakumar2350 3 месяца назад

Bring the Oil price $50 per barrel then you will see the Russian economy in 6 months.

@effexon 3 месяца назад

even better, use something else and forget environmental things if necessary (CO2 nonsense)... price caps get bypassed over time. Every $ is still going to war chest.

@gyanendrakumar2350 3 месяца назад

@@effexon environment can wait 6 months

@charlesburgoyne-probyn6044 3 месяца назад

Economic doesn't work this way

@gyanendrakumar2350 3 месяца назад

@@charlesburgoyne-probyn6044 I am listening 👂

@JamesSmith-ix5jd 2 месяца назад

It was already $20 in the recent past, Russia did just fine, Saudi Arabia will collapse before Russia if oil will be very cheap for very long, hence SA will rather work with Russia to keep the price steady. The US on its own can't lower oil to $20-30 for long.

@endoflevelboss 2 месяца назад

As a curator of historic Spaniel wordplay ARMS / ASMR is your best effort since unclear / nuclear 🥳🎉

@throatspray69 3 месяца назад

MAGA bends a knee to Putin

@peterfreiling6963 2 месяца назад

Negotiating with Putin is like negotiating with Hitler. Recall the 1939 Molotov-Ribentropp pact whereby Germany promised not to invade Russia, but they invaded anyway in 1941. Hitler had no intention to honor the pact, it just bought him time. Putin will do the same.

@AFGuidesHD 2 месяца назад

Diplomacy, pacts and deals are never meant to last forever, literally everyone knows this. Stalin was also planning for war with Germany, not to mention the official reason why the Germans invaded Russia is because the Russians were supplying arms to Commies in Yugoslavia in contradiction of the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact.