some people just wanna think there's always a machiavellian game being played, all the time, at every level, 4D chess style, but truth is a lot of times things just happen because of lack of planning and stupidity or other reasons out of control of humans, thinking everything is a conspiracy comes from people thinking humans are in full control of everything which we're not
@@Ar1AnX1x why blame the villagers for not believing when the boy cries wolf. You cannot deny that Israel has built itself a reputation for these clandestine acts
To be fair, presidents dying isn’t exactly something that happens on a daily basis. Conspiracy theorists tend to say a lot of stupid things, but I think you guys aren’t any better. Sure everyone who might be related are agreeing that it was just an accident, and it’s probably true, but nothing is for sure yet. Just saying ‘nonsense’, turning your back and never glancing back is just as naive as assuming everything was intended by secret individuals.
Stop trying to pin everything on Israel.. Just from a strategic point of view, wouldn't make much sense at this point. Israel isn't interested in escalating the conflict with Iran further. To me, and I can be completely wrong here, I'm not so well versed in Iranian domestic political landscape, it seems that it was either an accident or that it was orchestrated by parts of the revolutionary guard/ the ayatholla
It`s kind of a testament to the build quality of that helicopter considering it managed to keep flying around for 40 years without original spare parts
There are still quite a few Bell 212's flying around Canada, especially in the North. Having flown in a couple I can say they are pretty sturdy old warhorses. It's basically the twin engine civilian variant of the famous UH-1 Iroquois.
I would certainly never go in one, even when well maintained if for whatever reason you lose power to the main rotor or the rotor blades themselves get damaged you just drop like a rock and that's that, you're dead. At least in a plane if you lose an engine you can glide and maneuver somewhat, or even continue flying if it has multiple engines.
Right, you'd think putting in a simple GPS chip wouldn't be crazy difficult (wouldn't cost anything either), I'm sure even Iran has enough sattelites up there to do it, if not they could've just asked China or Russia or even India. This shows a huge lack of proper planning and counter measures.
4:08 This information is out of date. Ghalibaf is no longer popular, neither among the loyalists nor the general population. The more radical faction of the loyalists hate him and consider him a corrupt technocrat while the more technocratic and moderate loyalists are losing support way faster to disillusion with the regime and what's left of the reformists. Also the radicals have more influence in the IRGC and with Khamenei. Among the general population, his popularity started to go away following massive corruption scandals both towards the end of his term as mayor and after it. Also, if Raisi is known for his job as an "executioner judge", Ghalibaf was also Tehran's chief of police during the 1999 students protests in which he ordered and oversaw a raid on University of Tehran's dormitories which lead to several students being murdered. He's infamous for saying that he would execute "a pincer maneuver" against the students. Finally, the turn out for this election would be historically low. The regime may try to increase the turn out to above 40% by voting fraud and forcing some people (government employees, prisoners and conscripts) to vote but in reality a minority of loyalists would really vote and not cast a blank or protest vote. This religious radical minority is very likely to be influenced by the most radical hardliners. Of course, it's not impossible for Khamenei to decide to make Ghalibaf president, however the reasons presented here are incorrect and so far there's no sign of Khamenei intending any change in his policies.
Khamenei the supreme leader is 86, and Mostafa was seen as replacement for him if something happened to him, though the supreme leader wanted his son Mojtaba as the replacement, with him being dead, it clears part for Supreme leader to choose his son without contention.
U do know there’s a chance that’s true, these countries, especially western countries r hella influential and powerful, they have satellites watching lran
So, not only is Raisi out of the picture but his most likely succesor is a reformer who's popular with the people? Maybe there is hope for Iran after all.
You should focus more on the "ex-IRGC" side of Ghalibaf (the possible successor), rather than popular and reformer. Nontheless, in my circle of friends at least, nobody that the regime can currently offer is popular. We all think they will put someone that will listen to the Leader and just be a puppet. Khamenei has learned his lessons from Ahmadinejad and Rouhani's personal brand and them pursuing their own ideas.
I don't find it surprising that Irans neighbors helped in the search. This is the same logic why Greece sent help to Turkey in the earthquakes. Even if you are fighting with your neighbor about the common fence, you still bring a bucket when their house burns, or you still drive them to the hospital when they break their leg. Neighbors fight, and neighbors help each other out.
@@Haris1 yes the report says it was bought in 72 prior to the revolution. Over 50 years without buying or manufacturing a new one for the president. I find this kinda crazy.
@@BTAxis good one. Rockets too, but I thought they were fighting drones. Still... A nation can reverse engineer a helicopter in 50 years. Let alone one with the capabilities of Iran. In Egypt the president bought himself the most expensive private plane, I'm sure the Iranians could have bought something from anyone. China, Russia.. a helicopter from 72 just seems too weird for me, that's all I'm saying.
Not really they were looking at a power struggle when the supreme leader inevitably dies. Now there is a clear pathway to power for his son ironically enough this adverts an internal power struggle especially if an investigation finds no wrongdoing whatsoever.
Not really. President Raisi was a "Yes man" for the Supreme Leader. So he wasn't very good at his job. The real question is are they going have a actual President that will push back against the Supreme Leader disastrous economic policies.
Naaah even if the Ayatollah die I don’t think Iran will be destroyed or something like that the country and the ppl are very deeply rooted so even if an important figure dies for some reason another figure will show up and take his place but nonetheless it will shake the country for a bit then it will still down after that
Iran has seen what has happened to its neighbours Syria , Iraq , Afghanistan it can’t afford to show any weakness or it will get the same western democracy as there neighbours
@@Z5100-k7t Not really. Didnt Iran already suffered from it multiple times back in the 18th and 19th centuries with the last one being in the 1950s? I dont think Iran would start kys that fast if the Ayatollahs are gone.
@@steveminecraft6353 Fair point but the difference is that Iraq was force-fed with western demoracy at the gunpoint whereas Iranian people asked for it themselves but were brutally stopped by the fascist mullahs every time.
@@steveminecraft6353 Iran has strong bureacratic and diplomatic institutions actually. If the mullahs disappeared it will not easily or rapidly collapse anyway like in Syria or Iraq. And also Iran has a strong identity even without the Ayatollahs.
Hmm… ”hard landing” admittedly does sound a lot like ”rapid unscheduled disassembly” … a phenomenom which has taken place with many past Space-X rockets at or around their time of scheduled takeoff.
There will be no real meaningful change in Iran without regime change. Khamanei will pass the baton to his son, no dissent will be tolerated and the people of Iran will continue to suffer.
@TLDR Please clarify if Khomeini and Khamenei are related and form a dynasty. Everywhere I search, says that they aren't releasing, with names just coincidentally similar
When I first heard I assumed idiocy was to blame, flying a 50yo helicopter through foggy mountains. However it turns out that a week before there was a wave of controversial news in Iran that Raisi was set to succeed the Ayatollah. 🤔
President Raisi was a "yes man" for the Supreme Leader. He has no government experience and even less knowledge of economics. So he not someone that was very powerful or important he was loyal. However, the real question is will Iran elect a President that will push back against the Supreme Leaders disastrous economic policies.
@TLDRnewsGLOBAL great coverage. One small thing: you pronounce the name of the current Iranain leader, Khamenei wrong. You almost say Khomeini, which is the name of the previous leader and founder of the Islamic Republic. In Khamenei, the "a" sounds like the "a" in the word father. Cheers!
Can build and sell drones to Russia but can’t acquire new Helicopters from Russia or develop their own. Weren’t the Iranians hyping up their 5th Gen Stealth Fighter some years ago? So how does US sanctions play any part in the crash?
@@user-op8fg3ny3jYou mean the sort of uneconomical advanced "prototype" a president would fly in? The craft doesn't need to be mass produced. It just needs to keep the president as safe as possible. Just look at how expensive the aircraft the US president is to be evacced in, in the event of a nuclear war, is. And Iran sure as hell doesn't need that. It just needs a helicopter that isn't from the main country sanctioning them and is also not several decades out of date and use. They could have easily made their own, or got one from Russia or China. Helicopters aren't F-35s, let alone F-22s.
This accident has nothing to do with lack of access to Western aircraft parts. They flew into a mountainside during heavy fog and weather. Parts can’t change that. They could have purchased Russian aircraft at any point in the last FOREVER if they wanted to.
