Brock Purdy and Jimmy Garoppolo are the same guy. 

The fact that a rookie, who was the last person chosen in the NFL draft, had stats that were "almost identical " to a nine year seasoned veteran, has to say something more than what was put forth in this video.

This video aged well😂😂😂😂😂

So Brock Purdy, in his rookie year essentially had similar stats to Jimmy G, who was a 9th year QB who had started in a Super Bowl. This to me is a strong indicator that Purdy has a lot of yet untapped upside potential, given what he was able to do in his rookie year. Brock Purdy is still a young work-in-progress that realistically can improve greatly with experience, while Jimmy G clearly has a large enough body of work for us to know Jimmy G's true ceiling. I'd happily take Brock Purdy over Jimmy G at this point in their respective careers.

Purdy doesn't give me the same anxiety to watch that Jimmy does. Jimmy always got in his head in critical moments and started dancing in the pocket instead of setting his feet and tossing it to Deebo 5 yards away.

I appreciate you and your work Alex. A simple comment cannot contain the things I disagree with this video on, and would instead say that the way Kurt Warner & JT O'Sullivan broke down Jimmy vs how they break down Brock - and the words they use when doing so - say everything that needs to be said. When watching Jimmy, we hear lot of, "I'm not in the QB room, so I don't know exactly what they are teaching, but (X, Y, and Z) doesn't make sense to me." When they talk about Brock, not only is that never said, but the exact opposite. They comment on the fluidity of his movements and processing and how it all fits together. When Brock makes mistakes, there isn't that bewilderment in tone and word choice which they use with Jimmy, but rather they say they understand why the mistake was made and in processing and how they wpuld like to see it done better from the perspectives of veteran QBs. Not a sexy one sentence hot take, but 🤷‍♂️. Much love.

They are not the same. Brock offers more out of structure and confidence to try any throw. Can't say they are the same just bc they are both game managers from a great system and team. Also crazy to compare a year 1 guy who hasn't peaked to a vet QB who's capped out as a bridge QB. The small sample size from Purdy is better than any play I have seen from Jimmy.

Now purdy is playing better than every qb in the nfl 😂

Brock went 7-0 as a rookie. That's difficult to do. He really played well.

The being is that Jimmys a veteran and Purdy is putting up veteran numbers but as a rookie, chosen last in the nfl draft. While still only playing 6 regular season games

Even if Purdy is the same guy him being on a rookie deal means the team has the money to be much better than with Jimmy

In JG's 5 games with CMC, he got the ball in the opponent's territory 6 times. In Purdy's 8 games (MIA thru DAL), he got the ball in opponent territory 19 times. That's the main reason for the increased scoring.

As a fan of the 9ers.. i dont think the hate for jimmy was because of his play style but for me it was that I knew hes gonna throw the game away in the big moment kinda like how Romo did back in the day.. it almost never failed..

He needs to develop a lot more. The dude was a rookie. Hopefully he can keep working on his shortcomings.

Alex, I watch all ur vids, and as a Niners fan I love when u do Niner content. I pretty much always agree with you, and even tho you did make some pretty good points, I still feel it's a little unfair that u compared a Vet like Jimmy G to a 3rd strong rookie that was the last pick in the draft. To me, if he is on par with Jimmy with stats, that's amazing cuz the kid has plenty of time to learn the system even more and grow. Also, 1 very important trait that Purdy has that you left out is his poise. Jimmy always seemed jittery, yet Brock always seems to have his shit together and that key when ur leading a team. Alex, do you think the Niners are better off starting Trey Lance, or Borck Purdy? Ur next vid?😂

This aged like milk in the sun

I thought this video would be about the Raiders moving from Derek Carr to Garoppollo, that would make a lot more sense than this lol

Jimmy was a veteran qb, Brock just came out of college big difference

Think an underrated component of the Purdy situation (and the whole 49ers quarterbacks room) is that they're cheap. You don't have a guy sucking up 20% of the cap, which allows them to build out the roster elsewhere and put great talent around them.

One thing that's hard to diagnose on tape but is absolute a huge plus for Purdy over Jimmy is his ability to adjust placement mid-throw. I used to run a drill with my kids where our target would flash hands after the QB had begun his throwing motion. Being able to make that tiny adjustment after you've committed to a target is a huge asset.

The issue is Jimmys career as a whole. Almost everyone said Jimmy was having a great season in relief of Trey THIS YEAR but Jimmy’s been here for half a decade, we knew it couldn’t last. We’ve seen the lows of Jimmy (a 30 year old veteran), and the fact that Jimmy’s arguable “best” is Mr Irrelevant rookie QBs current, with room to improve, I think there’s much more reason to be excited. Plus Purdy adds the kind of elusiveness I was hoping from Trey (not a better athlete, but more decisive). I’m still team Trey but if Brock is the guy I’m more than excited

Brock Purdy just feels like 2017 Jimmy again but with a much better team

As a Niner fan who watches your videos without a ton of knowledge of football intricacies, I can tell you it felt way different with BP. Whether the numbers tell that story or not, as a fan it was a wonderful ride to take last year.

Brock is better than Jimmy in the red zone, I used to wanna rip my hair out when Jimmy would drive the team down the field then they'd settle for a field goal. That was a big difference that Brock brought to the team.

I think the key differences between the two based on the eye test are: 1) Poise. Jimmy is generally thought of as a game manager due to his limited upside and yet makes a ton of turnover-worthy plays due to panicking. Brock certainly had his own lucky breaks but you would expect more of a difference between a 7th round rookie and a vet. 2) Mobility. The ability to just extend plays behind the line of scrimmage is so valuable in today's NFL. While Brock isn't gonna scare defenses running downfield, the few times when his o-line lets him down don't automatically lead to a sack or turnover like they do with Jimmy.

Best rookie QB last year by a wide margin he deserves to start. I did common opponents(Dolphins, raiders and buccaneers) test for him and Pickett. Purdy had over 2 YPA higher, 3 more TDs and 1 less Int plus a couple more passing yards. Anticipation, Processing and ball placement is elite already. He keeps working on his footwork and strength/conditioning he’ll be Drew Brees on the chargers who rarely threw downfield and loved targeting Antonio gates/LT wink Kittle TE1 and CMC RB1 in 2023 FF. Trey Lance needs to be traded great breakdown as always.

Fantastic upload as always Dad! Appreciate you!

Great video, Alex! Can’t wait to see you blow past 100K subs this season!

Dude, they are not the same guy. When you are in the same offense and asked to do the same things, you will be similar. They have similarities beyong that, but they have differences, too. Purdy is more accurate, sees the field better, is more mobile, escapes the rush better, doesn't put the ball in danger anywhere near as much, looks down the field more, and make plays down the field much more often.

Even if he throws deep a little bit that will keep defenses from crowding the short to intermediate area. If he can run even sometimes for several yards that will keep defenses guessing as well. Pluse the kid is young so he has a lot of room to grow. All those things I think make him a franchise QB with Shanahan.

Great Video as usual! So with that, who do you think will get the week 1 start for San Fran?

Purdy isn't the same guy as Jimmy. 31st vs 18th in deep passing is a huge difference.

Great breakdown. Would love to address several points. 1. The defense argument - the defense absolutely reached a new level once Purdy stepped in, and their added production reflected in the score. But it's also true that with the offense rolling even more, the defense was given more opportunity to beat up on opposing teams once they fell behind. I think it plays both ways here, not just "the defense gave the ball to Purdy more often." 2. The INTS - Jimmy and Purdy both finished with the same TD-INT ratio. But I don't think that's fair at all. One of Purdy's INTs was a deep shot while mopping up a blowout to the Chiefs at the end of the game. Another was a 50/50 ball on a fourth down in plus territory that ended up being an arm punt. One bounced off his receiver's chest, and the last was flat-out a bad throw. He was way, way more secure with the ball in the air than Garoppolo, which is a huge reason the offense felt better. Of course, in football, you're going to get INT-worthy throws that fall safely and great throws that get picked, but I think he has a little more here than he's gotten credit for. 3. Statistical regression is (probably!) incoming, as you said - it's hard for a quarterback on a half-season hot streak to keep that up full-time into next year (see, Jimmy G [2017] and Geno Smith [2022]). But Purdy's also a first-year rookie. That bodes much better for his long-term ceiling than Jimmy G entering his, what, ninth year in the league? Thanks for the continued great content. Looking forward to the next one.

In less games with zero 1st team NFL reps in his life. Purdy is already ahead of Jimmy after one season, he’s a step up on Lance too

As far as the the DEFENCE's production COINCIDING with Brock's take over if the team: NOT A COINCIDENCE! Having longer drives not only leads to more scoring, but also keeps Bosa and the pack resting. I firmly and confidently attribute our Superbowl loss to jimmy not being able to get a freaking FIRST DOWN the entire fourth quarter. The D got gassed!

I'm very biased, but I'm really high on Purdy. I was a Jimmy fan the whole way, just wish he could stay healthy. But what I like about Brock, is I don't get nervous when I see him throwing deep like I did with Jimmy. Now I know its not just the QB but I just feel more comfortable with him. And I can only imagine what he'll be with more experience.

Jimmy also had a great season. So yeah, he's the same as Jimmy's best in his first year lol.

Bears fan here... thanks for passing on Fields :)

“The offense from structural standpoint stayed very much the same”. Of course Kyle won’t and can’t change everything in the middle of the season playing with a rookie QB3. I think it was the best decision to go with the same plays as with Jimmy G both for the team and for Purdy.

The most level-headed analysis I've heard so far. The reaction to Purdy is just like the reaction to Jimmy in 2017. Jimmy was better than what we had before so we exaggerated his ability. Purdy is a little better than Jimmy, definitely more mobile, but that doesn't make him a top-10 or top-15 QB in the NFL. Thanks for addressing the dropped picks. I can't stand when people say "dropped int's don't count" when Purdy's throwing an inordinate amount of passes right into defenders' hands.

Hey guys, I’m going to take next week off to improve my editing skills and make these videos visually better. I need to up my Adobe Premiere game, and because I’m so passionate about making this content for all of you, I want to make sure it’s up to a higher standard, cause I feel like I owe that to all of you for rocking with me for so lon!. If there’s anything else you think can be improved, drop a comment below. Thanks for watching, and I can’t wait to show you the next video that comes up! 👊

Wow great video, you make a lot of good points and back then up.

This video didn't age well. I think you owe him an apology

These are NOT both the same guys. One is a check down merchant that we pray follows the script and does his job. The other is an intuitive, poised, high IQ make a play out of nothing baller that understands his coach’s offense and can be a leader in moments that call upon him. Brock Purdy is the MVP because he is constantly evolving his game and adapting his understanding of his play calling ability. He is an absolute unit and is demolishing the best teams in the NFL with ease. Bad take again alex. You don’t always have them but you’re wrong on this one.

Stats tell one story but the eyes tell another. Brock looks promising and we don't know his ceiling while Jimmy we knew what we were getting. Jimmy was amazing but the niners could no longer afford him.

Tell me you have a negative football iq without telling me you have a negative football iq

Well done Alex

As a niners fan I can say the problem is Shanahan wants to be QB 1, 2 and 3. Even if a QB makes a awesome play, if it's not what Kyle wanted, Kyle gets mad... But it's not, and will never be, his fault that 4 QBs got hurt the year. He usually goes through at least 2 QBs per season. If Jimmy stays healthy this year, after the foot surgery, a lot of questions have to be made

I think the reason fans are so excited about Brock Purdy is that is still so young and has lots of time to improve, whereas Garropolo is a known quantity so what you see is what you get.

Hey... just wondering if your opinion has changed on Purdy? Edit: NM... just saw your Purdy video from a few days ago!

One was an undrafted rookie and the other was a veteran that would make game losing mistakes that veterans shouldn’t make

This has aged like warm milk.

Wow this was very informative

0:49 Yes, their 2022 stats are essentially the same. However, the crucial context there is that we're comparing Purdy's rookie season to essentially Garoppolo's *best* season. Those stats pretty much represent the ceiling for Garoppolo, but for Purdy they're, if not exactly the floor, something we'd expect him to build off of. I also disagree with your point that Purdy can't progress beyond his first read or two on a play; I've watched other analysis videos that show numerous examples where Purdy makes important plays by finding his 3rd read - he did this twice for TDs in the wild-card game alone. He also has demonstrated excellent ability to learn from mistakes both from one game to the next and within games. I agree that Garappolo was a good quarterback overall. I think Purdy demonstrated he was approximately as good as Garappolo, but with the potential to get even better. Ultimately, the reason the 49ers let Jimmy walk had nothing to do with hating or undervaluing him - it was simply that they figured Purdy offered them at least the same capability at a fraction of the cost, and they've got plenty of other uses for that money.

Well this hasn’t age well… now we know the veteran Garoppolo would love to be as good as Purdy… not even close!

Everybody gives Garroppolo a hard time. Always liked him and his play.

The anti-Purdy stuff is starting to get out of control 😂

A lot of teams wish their 1st round QBs could measure up to Jimmy Garoppolo after half a rookie season. Way too early to start declaring things like "Brock likes to hold onto the ball too long", as if that's not something every rookie QB goes through.

Only a smooth brain casual would think they are similiar. Purdy forces the ball downfield consistently and is highly evasive in the pocket. The only thing they have in common is short/intermediate accuracy and a coaching system that encourages YAC.

Same stats, different number and quality of games. Jimmy G had 16 touchdowns in 10 games, Brock had 16 in 8 with 2 of those being playoff games with additional pressure (only counting games with 20+ passing attempts). That's a major difference.

Great video. It's definitely going to ruffle some feathers since Brock's wholesome story is still in it's honeymoon phase, but I'm glad you put this out there, because it's not that outlandish of an opinion. The folks at PFF were essentially saying the same thing this entire time as his passing grade charts similarly to what Jimmy's output was, while acknowledging he did add slight value with his mobility. I'm a 49ers fan, and while his rise has been really exciting for the last pick of the draft, I don't have a feeling he'll be the next megastar in the league at the QB position. He's on a dynamite roster with maybe the best offensive coach in the league. And that's ok, as it doesn't invalidate what he's done as he's still miles better than some other guys that have been around with Shanahan like Beathard or Hoyer. I'm really just happy he's on a rookie deal, and I will say that watching the games I felt a lot more comfortable with him in the saddle than Lance. Jimmy G sadly wore out his welcome with the fanbase, but if the 49ers have another younger, cheaper, and not injured riddled Jimmy QB than that's a win. He's already injured though, so who knows how his recovery will shake out. I'm hoping for more of the same, and that he's not a flash in the pan. Appreciate the spotlight on the red and gold. Cheers mate.

Great videos! Love your analysis.

This is why i am subscribed to the channel....crazy how similar that stat chart is ...but i think Brock Purdy mobility to extend ,is what we all l wish jimmy had in his game ...

A rookie in this system is great, he played to what was expected. He ran the system with his strengths. For a scheme that is complex Shanahan, this was expected. I didn't expect him to do more. And the CPOE (while a little under ~3%) proves that. That's why we got Trey. The QB should run the scheme and exceed it. His legs and his arms alongs people to add more than just the dig and pin, etcs where some Go balls from 2016 Falcons can come in.

Interesting analysis. We'll see what happens when Purdy is given the whole year (crossing fingers). I believe you're are right about Jimmy "Cement Legs" Garoppolo :) I'm going to watch how he does behind an average O-line in the Raiders. Basically, you can't put the game on Garoppolo's back and tell him to win it for you. With Purdy, I believe there is a chance.

What I got tired of seeing with Jimmy is that if a defender breathed on him, he got sacked. Watching the games and post-game press, it was just obvious what Brock brought to the team. Swagger.

Jimmy gets a bad rap, but his durability sure doesn't help. What really stands out to me the last three years is that Kyle is a very smart but flawed HC. He's like a not absolutely terrible Josh McD. Good schemes, good ideas, but inflexible execution. He didn't just magically land a QB that plays exactly like the last one. He crammed his latest QB into the same damn system. TBF, this might be a bias showing against Kyle, but I just think of those wince-worthy QB run designs he was throwing Trey into, and I kind of see flaws everywhere I look.

Niners fan here... and I've been saying this same exact thing all along. Ppl thinking it's a negative or knock on Brock really shows how they feel about Jimmy, which is unfortunate. Brock's processing is a little better which counts for a lot. Other than that... two peas baby.

One’s way younger that’s why it’s so great he’s playing as a vet in year one with only playing 9 games

Leadership is not a stat you can quantify. The team loved playing with Brock. But also, I think its important to take into account this is Brock Purdy in his rookie year as a third string QB. When he gets an entire offseason to develop and grow, who knows what he could be. He's as good as Jimmy now and that POTENTIAL feels very important.

There's a key difference: one guy is cheap and has room to develop.

People forget Diggs dropped an Interception that would have probably won the Cowboys the game...that being said if Purdy throws with more velocity that would explain why so many of his INTs were dropped.

If he’s actually Jimmy on a rookie deal that’s not bad

Good vid. They let JG go 'cause he was a free agent whose salary demands would be untenable within their salary cap.

Same stats - one a rookie one a seasoned vet. And the massive salary difference. That’s all you need to k ow.

Alex, i agree with you. but for me that's a good thing. Shannahan system with 49ers in the last years doesn't have many go route, deboo is amazing, but not a 9-only WR. Shanny did the right thing to keep the system at it was, and don't change it for the third time in a season. Then, you have that Purdy is as good as a 9th year veteran. The arm to sling on deep was been shown. If he recovers from UCL injury, the best is yet to come

Great vid. I like Brock. Liked him in college. But I can't see him as my starter 10yrs from now. I can't see him carrying an offense. He's not a big play waiting to happen like Trey is, but he'll work a lil magic here and there. I'm worried about how he adjusts to defenses that have adjusted to him. Jimmy couldn't

Brock Purdy was better outside the numbers as a rookie vs Jimmy G. a 9 year veteran. Keep in mind Purdy was a rookie last year and Jimmy G was a 9 year veteran.

I think Brock Purdy is a case of some intangible factor that simply made them better. Garoppolo was better than people give them credit for, but Purdy seemed to play better when he needed to.

@AlexRlloinsNFL - Just a little update today: Colin has been working out 5 times a week. His "load management" period has been sufficient. As far a free agents are concerned, he's wide-ass open ! :) Time for a Chip?

Jimmy was very good but ive just seen brock do things that jimmy doesnt when it comes IQ stuff. he seems to play more in flow with the offense and didnt even overthink big moments those are the things that just dont show up in advanced stats and on tape can be deceptive.

YES YES! So glad you did this Alex! I've felt for so long that Jimmy lacking those corner and fade throws(the man looks blind when he tries to throw one) has been this one thing that if we could just add to Jimmy he'd be amazing. And boom, Big Cock Brock has those throws. @3:00 I look closely at that graph and those blue streaks on the left at 10 and 20 yards Jimmy just could not do them. Numbers aside the feel when you watch Brock is that he's 2X as mobile and slippery. Also, his release is so much faster. You mentioned throwing to wide open players; his vision is so much better than Jimmy or Trance for that matter. Anywho, I feel invigorated. Thanks again for this video Alex.

The Niners have arguably the best defense in the league and tons of offensive weapons. If they lose this year the qb no matter who it is, is going to take the blame unfortunately. Wouldn't be surprised to see both guys start this year

We will see where Brock Purdy ends up following this year, but his stats last year were wildly more efficient that Jimmy G. The same TDs in less games started and less sacks raises the level of the offense.

the jimmy debate was over when kyle drafted lance.

Statistics aside, Kurt Warner did a great in-depth 2 video breakdown of Brock Purdy, and he was quite positive on Purdy. I respectfully disagree and I don't see Jimmy and Brock as the "same player".

The difference isnt really one you can see in most stats. It's in a pretty obscure analytic called BDE. BDE stands for Big Dick Energy, and measures whether or not a player has that dog in him. Jimmy G shrinks in clutch moments, and Big Cock Brock showed absolutely no fear as a rookie 3rd stringer during a deep playoff run. Didn't get in his head and would have won that game if he didn't get injured. Jimmy G on the other hand lost to the Chiefs in a superbowl that probably 70% of the qbs in the league would have won.

Still waiting for mention of the mid-season acquisition of a certain running back.

I like how so many people are mentioning Brock’s rookie deal comparable to Jimmy’s vet status like that was in anyway the point of the video and not what actually played out on the field in regards to their individual game play lol

As the other commenters are pointing out, the fact that an NFL rookie came in and played "the same" as a 9 year vet doesn't mean they're the same. Also, Kyle played a fraction as much play action with Purdy because he trusts him to run more of his offense.

Guys over here comparing a rookie to a nine year vet. 😂😂😂😂😂 talk to me after 2-3 more years.

Great detailed analysis, but the key here is realizing the whole with Purdy vastly out weighs the parts, even when factoring the several things he does exceptionally well. As a rookie, he was performing as a top five quarterback towards the end of the year, and if his surgery and rehab go well, there’s no reason to believe he won’t be even better this year, if the 49ers really commit to him as the guy. What I wonder with Kyle Shanahan is whether he can overcome the problem his father Mike Shanahan always seemed to face after coaching Steve Young and John Elway - which is how to commit to a less than hall of fame talent at QB long enough and completely enough to elevate an average physical talent player to a championship level. Mike Shanahan always had excellent offenses, but couldn’t elevate Brian Griese or Jake Plummer or Jay Cutler or RG3 to their full potential. Kyle almost did it with Matt Ryan, and it all fell apart after he left Atlanta. Bill Walsh to an extent got lucky in that his own coaches wouldn’t support switching to Young from Montana, and instead of going in the tank when Walsh was jerking him around Montana’s competitive nature sparked him to his best years as a starter keeping Young on the bench. Kyle Shanahan and Purdy might be able to do something amazing together, but not if Shanahan views him as a disposable/replaceable cog.

Thats Purdy's base form. Just wait until he goes Super Saiyan

Amazing!! Now I know they will advance to Superbowl then lead against Chiefs until 4Q! Purdy gives 49ers massive amount of cap space so they can bring other high-priced FAs until his(or Lance's) second contract = there window is 2023/24/25. As always, huge thx for your detailed explanations. Yet another true gem.

I would love to see one of these on Brady or Montana before either ever won a superbowl.

ALEX‼️ Thank you for making this video. It seems like an unspoken rule in the sports world to make any criticism on the “godly” Kyle Shanahan. Brock Purdy is a good QB, but he’s already older than Trey, and he just had a surgery that could really set him back!! Not to mention, CMC really really helped him. Purdy is good, but I don’t think he’ll ever be an MVP, or maybe even win a super bowl. This is coming from a 9ers fan. Jimmy always played like a rookie to me, made the same mistakes rookies made, even though he was 30 years old! The funny thing is, Brock found the most success when he was moving outside of the scheme and of what Shanahan wanted him to do 😂

Little doubt that Purdy went to the right scheme for him. That being said, why Purdy over Garoppolo? Former is on a rookie contract while the latter was expensive and injury prone. Pretty simple.

Would have liked more A-B comparisons of game film rather than a PFF summary to fit your narrative.

Regardless on me thinking Shanahan gets a bit overrated it's wild to me that many fans don't think coaching matters. Shouldn't it be a coaches job to make sure no matter what player is playing in any position that the team can still function? Don't get me wrong your video is a great analysis about how the two players compare so I feel the issue is more a psych eval on fandom. They are never all satisfied regardless of the situation, many just like change for change sake (though I do feel some coaches/front offices do the same thing sometimes). That very much runs with my theory that there is a reason professionals run teams and not fans, the lack of attention to detail or people skills. The real question for the 49er's is if spending all that capital on Lance was worth it. Can he truly elevate that offense regardless of how QB friendly it may be? And as well what are the current injury statuses of Lance and Purdy? Because at least early on that may play a factor.

Brock being the same as a nine year "ok" QB is not a flex

I think you’re seeing this the way. This was Brock’s first 7 games he’s playing on a rookie contract. So while he is only slightly better than the vet, due to the context of the situation, I would consider him way more valuable to have on the roster since he will develop, Jimmy is already a Vet