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Lay The Draw With Insurance FULL Football Trading Strategy EXPOSED! [LIVE EXAMPLES] 

Sports Trading Life
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Watch this video to learn a PROFITABLE FOOTBALL TRADING STRATEGY to use on Betfair.
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We take an in-depth look at a full football trading strategy often known as "Lay The Draw with insurance" or "Lay The Draw with 0-0 Correct Score".
In this video you will learn exactly how to use this strategy, what to expect and see some live demonstrations. By the end of the video you will know if this is a football trading strategy you want to add to your Betfair trading portfolio!
Please note we are simply reviewing the strategy. This video is not an endorsement or recommendation of the strategy.
Update: Some have asked if this method is the same as the Daisho system by Tony Langley but I can confirm it is not the same method.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition. The content in this video is for entertainment purposes only.

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21 мар 2018

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Комментарии : 145   
@goonercab
@goonercab 6 лет назад
Another great video- cheers 👍
@Sheza58
@Sheza58 4 года назад
Great vid!
@strumbadstroller7350
@strumbadstroller7350 5 лет назад
It's not that often that a goal is scored in the first few minutes, so I sometimes back the 0-0 before the start of the game then wait for the lay the draw price to fall if it's high. Of course, it can go against you sometimes as with all trades. Great video by the way.
@rupenshah4135
@rupenshah4135 5 лет назад
Hi Rob, great videos! Keep them coming. Does there need to be a certain price for the draw that you look for the strategy?
@soraregareth
@soraregareth 4 года назад
man recording from his cupboard or what? regardless, great video man, really helping me with my trading journey
@jbtalk5529
@jbtalk5529 6 лет назад
Quality video!! I have tried out this strategy... quick and easy money can be made here!!! :)
@ArtDesignHobby
@ArtDesignHobby 4 года назад
Respect Sir 👌
@helend269
@helend269 Год назад
I just tried LTD for the very first time, and of course it was 0-0, and of course I hadn't done the 0-0 insurance thing. :-(
@garyleehaigh6614
@garyleehaigh6614 5 лет назад
i like this strategy and use it a lot,i also cover the 1nil to the underdog with a small amount for extra profit or loss depending on the outcome.
@jlva5847
@jlva5847 4 года назад
how does it help?
@yorkshirelad9695
@yorkshirelad9695 4 года назад
Very good video, quick question from a total newbie to Betfair, why do you click the cash out twice? Might be a daft question but as said I’m totally new to this
@alexh2292
@alexh2292 5 лет назад
Weirdly I'm watching this video on Sunday 7th of October and Valencia and playing Barcelona
@molemole666mole9
@molemole666mole9 5 лет назад
Thx
@funnytaker4432
@funnytaker4432 6 лет назад
Another thing,how do you see if the underdog scores to try the back the favourite strategy? (if of course there are the other conditions)
@24magiccarrot
@24magiccarrot 3 года назад
When trading with insurance in general do you think it's better for your insurance bet to basically just cover your liability on the bet you actually want to make or do you think you are better to leave yourself with some profit but slightly smaller than level with your main bet?
@questocalciatoreachilodo3286
@questocalciatoreachilodo3286 3 года назад
Hello! I was thinkin that a good strategy could be back 0-0 and 1-0 or 0-1 (it depends where the underdog plays).
@seancarolan2545
@seancarolan2545 6 лет назад
Great video and content as always, how do you think the strategy work if you were to remove all liability and let it run until a possible 2nd goal....have a feeling it would give a much better return on investment?? Or ycould you lay the strong favourite after 1st goal to remove liability?
@SportsTradingLife
@SportsTradingLife 6 лет назад
Hi Sean, removing liability on the draw sounds like a good idea. It might squeeze some more value of the trade, definitely give it a go yourself. Edited to add: Keep in mind if the match then does finish in a draw you will be at a loss due to the stake you used in the CS market so you would have to be confident of that 2nd goal.
@aldopasho3222
@aldopasho3222 4 года назад
Good videos i would like te get involved in betfair trading
@leecarter5235
@leecarter5235 Год назад
This is great for second half really as if either team score your in profit
@alexanderdahl808
@alexanderdahl808 6 лет назад
Hi mate, Im a big fan of the content it really helps me on my trading. I was wondering if you use any other markets within football as under market on goals, scalping, correct score or any other type of strategi which you use. And if you do could you please make an video of it.
@Geronimo7-7-7
@Geronimo7-7-7 3 года назад
Hey, hows the trading, still going ?
@DaveHayesTV
@DaveHayesTV Год назад
Now I am a bit confused by this video and heres why. I do LTD at HT.I don't do any insurance. Now looking at the Betis game in she SH, I have had similar situations when I have managed to exit with a green. On the Salsburg game, why not let the game run further, because it was only the 27th Minute and despite the dog taking the lead, at that point you have half the result there, plus, with market movement, who ever would have scored next, would have given you a green screen, or at least in my experience of doing this, that is the outcome I have had Equally when the odds are heavier against the dog, such as shown above, why not let the match run and see what the odds do before entering, again this is what I have done then got a green screen. Just observations based on my own experience.
@nld8951
@nld8951 11 дней назад
1:1 and you are dead lost
@fabiano-co
@fabiano-co Год назад
What if we back the 0-0 and the 1-1 in case of a goal of the underdog? Would it be better to back 1-1 after receive the underdog goal of before start the match?
@georgd5847
@georgd5847 4 года назад
hello, how can I cash you out on a bet ?? only in trading mode or in gambling mode ?? if i make a bet and it goes in my direction, how can i make cashout or not Thanks for your help
@nicholassmith831
@nicholassmith831 5 лет назад
Hi STL, new subscriber here and just started football trading this week from a MB background. Would you place these bets well before the match started, just prior to kick-off or a combination of the 2 i.e. back 0-0 24 hours before + LTD just before kick-off?
@davidmildenhall5326
@davidmildenhall5326 3 года назад
When I did this many years ago Nicholas it's always worth asking for odds for the 0-0 rather than taking what's offered as if no one takes your bet there is no harm done,the extra 5% more profit can make all the difference...
@kelvinchase1995
@kelvinchase1995 3 года назад
Been matched betting recently and having a think and trying to learn about trading. Watching on the day after Cheltenham V Man City. Wonder if with that game you’d just cash out for a loss as soon as Cheltenham scored or hold on because of the high likelihood of City scoring? Pondering on having a go with a small £ on the Chelsea v Luton game. Just wait until Chelsea team is announced I think though. Be good to know good strategies, especially for beginners.
@martincarline8605
@martincarline8605 4 года назад
I wonder what the outcome (risk/profit) would be if the match was fairly even before the kick-off and didn't have a clear favourite?
@benjamindeworsop8348
@benjamindeworsop8348 6 лет назад
Great video, quick question though. Considering you only make a profit when the favourite is up- it seems as though there would be a more profitable strategy for this outcome. Would it not just be better to back/lay the 1-0 favourite?
@eliorojas8560
@eliorojas8560 9 месяцев назад
no amigo
@neilballam8701
@neilballam8701 4 года назад
Could you Ltd and back all draw outcomes to make profit instead?
@untildawn5714
@untildawn5714 4 года назад
I play LTD and 3 out of 4 of matched plays wins after 80mins of gameplay. I prefer to place my stake after 60 minutes when the game runs draw, Great!
@jlva5847
@jlva5847 4 года назад
why do you wait?
@HEROJ_ULICE
@HEROJ_ULICE 3 года назад
Is it profitable to wait second half, if the score is 0-0 , put the laying bet on draw and back bet on correct score 0-0. If goal come would our cash out profit be bigger then 0-0 back bet? It depends on the odds I guess?
@startingfingerstyle
@startingfingerstyle 2 года назад
Surely, on the Bilboa game (around 10.30 mins) by the time you deducted commission on the correct score market winnings, you'd actually get less back than you lost laying that draw? Small loss on that one, not a small unexpected profit as stated?
@tradingicon9717
@tradingicon9717 5 лет назад
why do you cashout when the underdog scores,does it mean when the underdog score there will be no profit for you to cashout,but a goal is a goal?????
@gonewiththedrugs
@gonewiththedrugs 5 лет назад
great video, there is almost no chance for loss because of insurance so clever!!
@davidmildenhall5326
@davidmildenhall5326 3 года назад
Unfortunately you only need 1 bad result to wipe out lots of winning bets plus 2 goals for each team very quickly if you dont lay off can kill you...
@temp911Luke
@temp911Luke 6 лет назад
Yeah but normally when Barca, Bayern and other favs play the odds on the draw are like 7.0 and higher :) Great remarks though !
@SpannerAT34
@SpannerAT34 3 года назад
You haven't shown commission on the insurance bet - Leipzig v Augsburg. A 280 win less com is still less than your liability on the draw. Isn't that correct or am I missing something???
@faft4ever
@faft4ever 5 лет назад
Hi, I see you cashed out twice. Once at 8 minutes and once at 8:10. Why? You layed once right? Sorry, newbie!
@SpannerAT34
@SpannerAT34 5 лет назад
What about 5% commission losses due to both markets? If you change your Betfair settings to show commission included, then we can make sense of this trade and decide if it really works
@casper1240
@casper1240 2 года назад
I suppose you could back the underdog 1-0 as a bit more insurance ?
@ericrowell5842
@ericrowell5842 6 лет назад
i saw somewhere and it said 7% of games end 0-0, think it was just the 4 english leagues, ive kept a mental note and dont think its more than 10%
@nitammehta4463
@nitammehta4463 4 года назад
what you can also do is lay 'over 0.5 goals' at the kickoff and the odds wont be more then 1.09, this way we are safe if the match ends with 0-0.
@johnsutcliffe888
@johnsutcliffe888 6 лет назад
Would you say a 3 out of 4 strike rate, with the favourite scoring first, is good enough to make this strategy profitable? Is it a strategy you use often?
@SportsTradingLife
@SportsTradingLife 6 лет назад
Hi John, yes there is definitely an edge in this method and the strikerate you mentioned should be enough to make it profitable. There are pitfalls when something like a red card to the favourite and a goal to the underdog happens it can create quite a big loss. So if you can avoid those scenarios then that strikerate should be enough.
@johnsutcliffe888
@johnsutcliffe888 6 лет назад
cheers for reply. The video's you post are very helpful. I looked at this strategy but with games with lower 0-0 odds and couldn't find the balance obviously,so seeing that you can find these games with higher 0-0 odds was a bit of a lightbulb moment.
@davidmildenhall5326
@davidmildenhall5326 Год назад
Hi John,i followed this using big stakes many years ago...i was putting up around £1,000 + and has a strike rate of around 85%+ which was giving me a good profit but in hindsight i was lucky as eventually got burnt although won in the end.... The strategy i used was to cash out whoever scored as that limited the potential to lose everything however only takes 1 late goal for the wrong team and your done...
@avrildequit3761
@avrildequit3761 3 года назад
Basically it's like favorite team score first u win the bet, it's like gambling no trading
@carwynpolston7310
@carwynpolston7310 6 лет назад
What about the commission of %5 these example would mean a big loss if the 0-0 was the win like 300 profit to break even would mean a £15 loss due to the 5% commission correct me if I'm wrong
@SpannerAT34
@SpannerAT34 3 года назад
yep he's not showing the com - you have to include it youre right
@mrniyi
@mrniyi 5 лет назад
Just a quick observation. Correct me if I'm wrong please. If the non-favorites scores, why not just cover some more scorelines in the correct score? I've seen Tony Langley so something very similar.
@gonewiththedrugs
@gonewiththedrugs 5 лет назад
this strategy is useless anyway insurance costs money you might end up winning less on the match odds than what you lost on the insurance bets on correct score, you cover more scores you spend more money
@mrniyi
@mrniyi 3 года назад
@@FlameFlickers So what makes you qualified to give an opinion when you did not even buy it. You can't hope to give any sound opinion by sitting on the fence. You know nothing about the strategy. I agree that outlay could become huge.........but if it becomes to huge that it blows your bank it means you never considered your bank before you started out. This is a balancing act. You need to maintain the balance on both sides. The only reason it's useless to you is because you couldn't wrap your head around the strategy. How could you when you did not buy it. It's not the best strategy......agreed. But it works......and that's fine by me. You can troll it all you like. That's also fine by me. But the difference between those who win and those who don't is action. Period.
@andrewmurray5114
@andrewmurray5114 5 лет назад
Hi I've been watching your videos on and off for a while and thinking of doing my first trade tonight. I've been looking at the Liverpool v Napoli game. Lay the draw is currently 5.7 - £50 stake = liability of 175. I could back the 0-0 on a different book maker at odds of 17 with a stake of around £10.20 as insurance. thinking of doing this as my commission on Betfair is 5%. Does the 175 mentioned include what I would pay in commission? Do you think I've missed anything? Any help from anybody would be greatly appreciated :)
@sibleofon
@sibleofon 5 лет назад
All bookmakers includes commission but not displayed which is higher than Betfair. It does not make sense to back with bookmaker unless they offer promotion
@csipke1234
@csipke1234 6 лет назад
Hi! Thanks for this amazing content. A quick questions: in your experiences with a proper game selection what would/could be an average ROI % on long term for lay the draw strategy?
@SportsTradingLife
@SportsTradingLife 6 лет назад
Hi Zsolt, Do you mean with LTD in general or this version of it? Either way it is a hard question to answer since it really would depend on how good your game selection is.
@csipke1234
@csipke1234 6 лет назад
Hi! I mean without insurance and with a solid game selection.
@MrDanpayne182
@MrDanpayne182 6 лет назад
negative 0.5% of stake by price taking the 0-0, negative 0.5% of stake by price taking draw, and about negative 2% by clicking cashout and price taking not only the first tick that is available, but then also wading into 1 or 2 ticks below that. So total, negative 3% at least
@krzysztofberkowicz7041
@krzysztofberkowicz7041 4 года назад
i would rather go to goalscorer markets and back no first goal scorer as long as the odds are the same as 0-0 in case of an own goal as it does not count.
@IonidisIX
@IonidisIX 4 года назад
If the game goes bad (i.e. underdog scores first) could you not back the draw to get a profit?
@thatbrianshee
@thatbrianshee 4 года назад
That would be gambling but not trading, not all stratergies work 100% of the time, sometimes you lose and on this occassion you'd take your losses and move on to the next trade.
@barryorbell1140
@barryorbell1140 6 лет назад
YES,VERY GOOD BUT ISNT IT GOING AGAISNT WHAT YOU SAY IN OTHER CLIPS ,SAYING ONLY COME IN TO LTD 2ND HALF.BUT VERY WELL PUT TOGETHER LIKE ALL YOUR TUTORIALS TO THIS POINT.KEEP UP THE GOOD WORK
@SportsTradingLife
@SportsTradingLife 6 лет назад
Hi Barry, this was just a demonstration to examine the method in full. This is not an endorsement of the strategy.
@micksmith775
@micksmith775 6 лет назад
Would this work at half-time, by laying the draw and backing the current score?
@SportsTradingLife
@SportsTradingLife 6 лет назад
Hi Mick, I had a look into that when doing this video and it wouldn't work as good due to the 0-0 odds being so much lower at halftime. The profit margins seemed even tighter but always do your own testing just to see how it plays out.
@tradinginvestigationservic4509
Hgh Mick it the dog is leading by one goal at half time example 0-1 lay the under 2..5g for 4 points and lay the over 1.5g for two and a half time the liability of the 2.5 clear half the red on the under 1.5 at 2.5 and then clear the rest when the under 1.5 reaches 1.84 leaving 80 % profit of the liability of the 2.5 on the over 1.5 example lay £100 under 2.5 @ 1.75 liability = £75 lay £187 over 1.5 @ 1.3 liability = £62 clear half the red on the 1.5 at 2.5 then leave 80% profit at 1.84 on the overs. thats 80% 0f £75 = £60 if a goal goes in before any of this clear the red on the 2.5 leaving most of the green on the over 2.5 it should cover most or all the 1.5 liability. my 1 point lay is always £25 and i never lay over 1.79 Here is another one for you look out for a red card in the first half. can you tell me what you think happens after on a regular basis The key to trading is when something happens that should not happen, gives you the edge over every one else Good Luck Mikey
@tradinginvestigationservic4509
Another tip for you, what you do in one trade should always be done in all, with no variation. Yes it gets boring, but making money the same way every day is boring, its like going to work, you leave at the same time you arrive the same time and do the same work every day year in year out with no variation.
@davidmildenhall5326
@davidmildenhall5326 3 года назад
Mick you can relate this to any scoreline at any time,the key is predicting what the odds will go to and if you can make profit everytime... You will have 2 matches that are 1-1 after 60 minutes but will have completely different odds and if the 3rd goal is scored at the same time the draw odds will likely be different as well as so many variables...I think yours is a good question as you want a strategy that not everyone is doing ...
@vascobrighton480
@vascobrighton480 2 года назад
I think this would actually work better, draw odds will be much lower at half-time and if either team scores the odds should go down unless you're backing a huge favourite
@funnytaker4432
@funnytaker4432 6 лет назад
In deportivo betis you could have cashed out when they where 0-0 for a profit of like 10£, Btw i am testing this strategy (using small stakes)in one of my tests when i backed the 0-0 at 29 when the favourite scored the 1st gol (it was around the 30th minute) i locked a profit that was actually smaller than what i backed on the 0-0 to cover the liability
@SportsTradingLife
@SportsTradingLife 6 лет назад
That can happen it is not a perfect strategy by any means but, the higher the draw odds the better it works.
@funnytaker4432
@funnytaker4432 6 лет назад
yeah,probably the fact that there was not much liquidity has influenced too
@kd3534
@kd3534 4 года назад
Not a bad startegy, but it is very hard to do it when you include betfair commission of 5-7%
@markreynolds1112
@markreynolds1112 4 года назад
y u say tht?
@miketysonthegreat
@miketysonthegreat 6 лет назад
so when the opposite team(not the favourite) scores just cash out the strategy??
@SportsTradingLife
@SportsTradingLife 6 лет назад
Yes, it would be a loss if the underdog scores first.
@miketysonthegreat
@miketysonthegreat 6 лет назад
but in the long run it should be profit all round a good roi?
@death3719
@death3719 5 лет назад
What if the underdog goes 1 or 2 nil down in first half?
@thatbrianshee
@thatbrianshee 4 года назад
This is your dream outcome, by 'Laying The Draw' you want the underdog to lose by many goals and push your LTD profits up. Remember LTD means you are saying the game will not end as a draw, the opposite of 'Backing The Draw'.
@ianw5290
@ianw5290 5 лет назад
Your not taking out the betfair commission mate. So on the Bilbao game you lost money, you didn’t win the £6 odd that you say you won.
@tradinginvestigationservic4509
Always remember its not the strat thats important . its knowing what percentage of being right is to being wrong example 100 trades at 2.00 back or lay it does not matter 50 of them win if you take them to the end of the event You would break even minus your commission. so you need to back at 2.12 or lay at 1.89 to make a profit if you can keep it at 50% win Where does it all goes wrong, you change the time of your exit point and get out at less profit before the end of the event, now you need to get more than 50% right personally i prefer to lay at 1.79 or less and go to the end of the event the stat does not matter under's overs corners or cards its the odds that matter
@SportsTradingLife
@SportsTradingLife 6 лет назад
Very true, wise words!
@bearv5249
@bearv5249 5 лет назад
I can't understand why you think you need a favourite. An underdog scoring would make it so much harder to hedge as the draw market will likely go lower and could stay that way most of the match. Two even teams with one scoring will always result in the draw market going up giving a chance to cash out.
@simonround2439
@simonround2439 5 лет назад
Yes but the level of profits is tiny with two even teams when you cash out - it probably wouldn't cover the insurance. Your best chance of a decent profit with this strategy is to hope the favourite scores first or the underdog goes ahead very late in the game.
@stevebets4692
@stevebets4692 3 года назад
What i struggle with is the maths...how do i know how much to put on the 0-0? Just enough to cover the LTD liability ?
@24magiccarrot
@24magiccarrot 3 года назад
Most exchanges give you the option to input your lay stake as your desired liability you just need to click the option that is at the top of the betting slip.
@atlasofficial6776
@atlasofficial6776 6 лет назад
Is there something I'm missing on lay the draw? Lets say I place two £100 bets on two matches at 2.0 odds; First one wins and I cash out for £60, giving me £160. Second loses and I'm down £100. Overall I'm down £40 and that's 50% win margin, I know odds will be different but it seems extremely hard to make a profit, although so many people are so how is it possible?
@SportsTradingLife
@SportsTradingLife 6 лет назад
Hi Atlas, Yes you would need a good strike rate to win long term, probably a 70% win rate depending on your entry point. In your example though, a lay @ 2.0 "should" make at least 70-80% profit if the goal comes possibly more if it comes later. But the best thing is to test it and see what your own strikerate is over a larger sample.
@atlasofficial6776
@atlasofficial6776 6 лет назад
Sports Trading Life Thanks for the response! Yeah this makes a lot more sense, with a calculated strategy you could definitely achieve around 70%, and this in turn could make a decent profit, gonna give it a go! :)
@romavet
@romavet 5 лет назад
ATLAS Official and you never wait until de end of the game for lost 100% your stake .
@stevedavies5231
@stevedavies5231 6 лет назад
Nice strategy, it has legs. Sometimes called 'dutching' or 'hedging' too.
@MrArelyn
@MrArelyn 6 лет назад
how about backing 0-1 for the underdog with small stake as insurance ?
@munafiksekali6158
@munafiksekali6158 5 лет назад
Lol dont bet if u afraid to lose No risk No profit...u Cant touch and cover everything. Its often happen from 0-0 to 1-1 less than 30 secs lol
@JamesofQPR
@JamesofQPR 5 лет назад
I was just going to suggest the same and saw your message :-) In answer why not even just to cover part of a potential loss in some way. The price should be high enough.
@munafiksekali6158
@munafiksekali6158 5 лет назад
@@JamesofQPR back here back there... Eventually u Will lose in the long run......make thing simple for u one shot 1 kill. Just bet chelsea, if lose up ur bet 50% u Will win in the long run
@JamesofQPR
@JamesofQPR 5 лет назад
@@munafiksekali6158 Thanks for the reply. Things have changed somewhat nowadays and you can cover the most outcomes and profit. Of course there will be times you lose but the wins will make more profit in the long run if not greedy and disciplined. You need to take time and study like I have for years and then you might find something that works.
@quicktips3858
@quicktips3858 4 года назад
What do u think about to insurance using 1-1??
@thatbrianshee
@thatbrianshee 4 года назад
It's risky because if the game ends at 0-0 then you lose money on both your LTD and your 1-1 insurance.
@waynekelbrick7678
@waynekelbrick7678 6 лет назад
Thanks for the video. Scalping the 0-0 in the correct score market pre-match can give some nice free insurance.
@kergguz
@kergguz 6 лет назад
Wayne Kelbrick how so? In which direction does it tend to move?
@waynekelbrick7678
@waynekelbrick7678 6 лет назад
The odds will generally be very steady allowing you to scalp (back/lay) multiple times with little risk. The bigger tick increments at the higher odds eg: 10/10.5/11 etc allow you to build up green if your patient and start a couple of hours before kick-off.Team news may cause a drift/steam so it won't suit everyone.
@daveorman7278
@daveorman7278 6 лет назад
Agree nice steady way to scalp for 10 to 15 mins Ifyouve done your homework Then whack this on LTD after half time Just one thing i sometimes do
@molemole666mole9
@molemole666mole9 5 лет назад
Yeah you forget the commission you pay out so doesn’t work
@TheGavinM40
@TheGavinM40 5 лет назад
Why dont you just back Barca to score first. Or Arsenal to score first?
@ItzConk
@ItzConk 5 лет назад
because then you would completely lose that bet and you can't cashout for a small loss afterwards.
@davidmildenhall5326
@davidmildenhall5326 3 года назад
Followed this about 10 years ago a d made about £4500 in 6 weeks but I was risking £1500 a game and finally got burnt when Bayern Munich went 1-0 down when hot favourites after about 60 mins and draw went to about 2.2...I cut my losses and lost I think a out £800 ish and it happened again that weekend a d I bottled it and took about £3000 peofit...(ironically Bayern won that match 3-1)...
@gonewiththedrugs
@gonewiththedrugs 3 года назад
learn for next time never bottle it
@danzesociety
@danzesociety 6 лет назад
I sometimes back the 0-0 for 50% of my liability on the LTD.
@rupenshah4135
@rupenshah4135 5 лет назад
Thats interesting, do you find your total profit for this strategy increases by doing that?
@thecodfather2338
@thecodfather2338 6 лет назад
You're not taking into consideration of betfair commission. On the 0-0 insurance where u won 416 quid, if minus the commission you're in a pretty big loss (bigger loss than your first example of profit).... if you start to take into consideration the commission, its going to eat away too much into your profits and could even cause a loss. Most the time the math doesn't add up.
@SportsTradingLife
@SportsTradingLife 6 лет назад
Hi Jamie, Yes there are flaws with the strategy. This video is not an endorsement of the method. :)
@paulgleave7632
@paulgleave7632 5 лет назад
Thought that myself as 5% of £416.16 is £20.80 so no idea how he thought he was in profit for it lol
@faft4ever
@faft4ever 5 лет назад
The solution is to do the insurance on a non exchange bookie where you dont pay commission
@ianhoward4246
@ianhoward4246 5 лет назад
Can you not just add 5% to the bet?(I'm a LTD beginner)
@simonround2439
@simonround2439 5 лет назад
@@ianhoward4246 yes you could. At odds of 15, it's only a pound and some change extra on the insurance.
@seancarolan2545
@seancarolan2545 6 лет назад
The only downside I have with this strategy is that you are effectively throwing away money on a potentially 1/15 occurrence.... sometimes I wonder is it worth the insurance wasted 15/20 times on a 0-0
@SportsTradingLife
@SportsTradingLife 6 лет назад
A good point Sean and I guess people have to decide if the insurance is worth it for them.
@munafiksekali6158
@munafiksekali6158 5 лет назад
So often 0-0 to 1-1 less then 30s lol so u lose all... Many youtubers are bookies tools to mislead punters.....and they never telling u that every single matches are fixed
@simonround2439
@simonround2439 5 лет назад
@@SportsTradingLife On the plus side your insurance means you get to stay in the market for 90 minutes which is a big advantage as a late goal for either team will realise a high percentage of your profit. Also you are never going to incur huge losses with this system if you use if properly (unless you are paying premium rate commission!).
@tonyytonyy8620
@tonyytonyy8620 3 года назад
This Works only if u have 0% Commission. But for exampel u win 400 and have 4% Commission, so u will loose 16 .
@jamesmcdevitt5327
@jamesmcdevitt5327 3 года назад
I love your videos . But as soon as I bet they turn to shite so I don’t bother I just watch
@dannyp9505
@dannyp9505 6 лет назад
Don't get this at all. If the match finishes 0-0 there is no cover, the commission on the correct score green is 5% so £20 loss if you have a 400 liability on the draw.
@Pinza7
@Pinza7 6 лет назад
Only on Betfair. Commission is lower elsewhere. At the moment, I get 0% on Bd, Smarkets & Mb. Also, insurance isn't always meant to give 100% cover, is often used to reduce losses. Reducing losses is an important part of trading.
@dannyp9505
@dannyp9505 6 лет назад
They are also very illiquid in play and smarkets can’t connect to trading software. Also there is reducing losses and then there is having a loss equal to the average win. And £20 is the average win using this method.
@SportsTradingLife
@SportsTradingLife 6 лет назад
Hi Dan, in the Bilbao trade for example it was just an extra £1 to cover the full liability and the 5% commission you mentioned. As Neil pointed out, the commission is not the same for everyone so it would make the video too confusing to explain all those scenarios. If you are going to use the strategy you would take your own commission rate into account and stake accordingly.
@tradinginvestigationservic4509
Try this one Dan it the dog is leading by one goal at half time example 0-1 lay the under 2..5g for 4 points and lay the over 1.5g for two and a half time the liability of the 2.5 clear half the red on the under 1.5 at 2.5 and then clear the rest when the under 1.5 reaches 1.84 leaving 80 % profit of the liability of the 2.5 on the over 1.5 example lay £100 under 2.5 @ 1.75 liability = £75 lay £187 over 1.5 @ 1.3 liability = £62 clear half the red on the 1.5 at 2.5 then leave 80% profit at 1.84 on the overs. thats 80% 0f £75 = £60 if a goal goes in before any of this clear the red on the 2.5 leaving most of the green on the over 2.5 it should cover most or all the 1.5 liability. my 1 point lay is always £25 and i never lay over 1.79 Here is another one for you look out for a red card in the first half. can you tell me what you think happens after on a regular basis The key to trading is when something happens that should not happen, gives you the edge over every one else
@carwynpolston7310
@carwynpolston7310 6 лет назад
@neil mallet you can't cash out on matchbook or smarkets so this stratergy won't work ??
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