Major Sea Level Rise in Near Future | Jason Briner | TEDxBuffalo 

1988: Maldives in the Indian Ocean with the highest point about 2 meters will be underwater in 30 years due to global warming. Emergency evacuation of 200,000 residents needed! 2018: Maldives, population over 400,000 and growing, no apparent (tiny amount) sea level rise. Real estate prices up, but still Maldives' highest point about 2 meters.

In the mid 80s the glaciers in Norway was advancing due to bad summers and lot of precipitation in the winters. Many of them have not receded back to pre 1980 level. One example is Bøyabreen. It is also important to know that for 1000 years ago there was no glaciers in Norway and the tree line was higher.

of course none of this takes into account the massive mass that has been lifted off the plates cause land rise, like in Sweden where a certain mountain is rising 1 metre per year because of released pressure after ice melt

Not calling him a liar, but sea level in Sydney Harbor has went up less than an inch in the last 120 years.

Five years later: A quick perusal of the tide gauge graphs for Hoek van Holland, New York, Key West, Honolulu, San Diego, et al, shows us the same steady sea level rise (around 1" per decade) for the last 150 years. Despite all the earnest alarmism there has been no change in the rate of sea level rise. If anything, tide gauge graphs hint that sea level rise may be slowing down - but the trend is too short lived to be certain.

I have gone to the Atabasca Glacier in Canada, near Banff & Jasper, there were 2 trips about 12 years appart. I can clearly see that the at least 100 Meters of less ice on the Glacier over about a dozen years. This is point for global warming, the glacers is getting smaller. There was a very small musem at the gift shop that had small twisted remains of cedar tree that once grew where the glacier sitting. The tree once grew where there is currently a glacier. So once the earth was much warmer. Therefore you can pick the event that supports your view. There earth does change.

Satellite images have shown that while some areas do melt in the arctic, others are freezing. The overall land mass that is frozen stayed the same.

Great talk, great work. Fellow climate warrior here. Not a scientist, but a videographer and support staff for research teams (electrician). 8 months in Antarctica (McMurdo, Shackleton, WAIS Divide). Currently working on a project documenting communities that are about to be lost, from Miami to the Marshal Islands to the people living in the mangrove island and river deltas of S America. Putting a human face on it, and documenting the cultures we are about to lose so my children will know the world we lost.

Glacier National Park had to take down their signs that said by a certain year the glaciers would be gone. The glaciers are still there. Glaciers actually are growing. But through history glaciers have come and they have gone numerous times. Sea rise has not happened will not happen even though it was absolutely promised.

Two simple questions. One of which alarmists always ignore..... If the Earth warms by two degrees then 1. How much ice melts off Greenland? 2. How much water evaporates from the oceans?

Why isn't anyone talking about over population and over consumption? That's the core of the issue. Everything mentioned in the video are just symptoms of the underlying problem of population.

Good luck with that 2100 AD thing...expecting linear rise is why we are not going to be prepared for a much more rapid and exponential collapse and ocean displacement

Good talk. I just wish that the camera had spent more time on the graphs and annotated photos. They left the screen too fast.

I don't care. I have a boat and a DVD of 'Waterworld'.

The big problem with all of this is psychological and motivational. Why make massive sacrifices now for something that isn’t going to have much of an impact on you in your lifetime or your children’s lifetime?

NASA studies of polar ice refutes this.

Looks like six years now since this video. Might be a good time for a review of the forecast against current observational data?

Banks still giving out 30 year mortgages in Miami, it's August 2019.

The best rationale of the oceans not rising feet as prediction is, "Over the past 20 years, ocean basins have sunk an average of 0.004 inches per year. This means that the ocean is 0.08 inches deeper than it was two decades ago." Long before the global warming hysteria, the concept was that the ice cap melting causes increased hydrostatic pressure, which results in increased volcanic activity that caused global cooling and this can be traced back 100 of millions of years.

Oh, by the way, the seas have not risen. And the antarctic ice cap, which contains 90% of all land ice, has expanded.

About 120,000 years ago the sea level was about 25' higher than it is today. Doesn't it follow that it will happen again at the peak of this warming cycle?

Did you notice that there was less ice in 2010 in the picture then there was in 2015?

The US is out of the Paris Agreement and those still in it are not actually complying with it.

Sea level changes as recorded at Fort Denison for over 100 years show sea levels generally rising AND falling. The sea level recorded in 2019 as compared to 1914 show sea level falling. These are recorded facts at the most accurate recording station due to its positioning beside the Pacific Ocean, the largest body of water on earth.

Glaciers are regrowing while some are receding. The Antarctic ice growth is more than making up for the loss of ice in the Arctic. Didn't hear any discussion here of the ice growth at the other pole. Remember this is called global warming. Sea rise has been pretty constant at 1 to 2 mm per year for the past century. BTW the arctic ice since this video was made is growing.

And yet the tide gauge at lower Manhattan shows no change in sea level from 20 years ago?

08:50 slide shows the Jakobshaven glacier in 2015. Google maps for the same location (it looks as if the most recent image is 2022) seems to show that the glacier has grown. I used two lakes on the upper landmass and a diamond shaped one on the southern one to try and match the scaling.

2019 and waiting...

BTW...if you think New York is in trouble, look at sea level rise map for Shanghai, China. That land must be very low and flat. geology.com/sea-level-rise/

The fearmongering is strong with this one.

It is now the end of October 2020. If the ice was, in 2016, melting at "unprecedented rates," why hasn't sea level risen at those same rates?

My math indicates you need around 15 to 20 mm per year sea level rise for 5,000 yrs to completely eliminate the ice in Greenland and the poles. My calculations reveal: 29,000 tons of carbon removed for each cubic kilometer of fresh melt water. So 44/12= CO2 conversion. So 29,000 x 44/12 = 106,333,000 tons of CO2 removed:10.63x10 to 7th' . This should create a slow down in global warming. Let me know if you see an error.

Tell people something will happen after they're dead and they won't care. Tell them it's going to happen NOW, and they panic...

This came out before NASA discovered that antarctica is melting 3x as fast as first thought

Am i correct in scientists saying that Ice Caps have depressed the Earths Crust beneath them? And if so, is it fair to assume the oceans do the same? is it therefore fair to assume that perhaps all that extra water does as it melts from the ice caps and pours into the oceans is depress the ocean beds further, thus making any correllation between ice melt and sea water rises almost impossible to assess?

Unfortunately, the sea level rises also in regions that use SI units...

Hello! The glaciers in Alaska have been retreating for 150 years! It started long before SUVs were invented.

8,500 years ago humans lived on dry land between England and France, 8,000 years ago they could not. The ocean level rose 100 feet in less then 500 years and humans played no role in that sea level rise. As primitive as they were by todays standard they adapted and overcame, even greater climate changes they anyone predicts for the nest 250 years.

I am a total novice in this field, but i am asking myself, how is it possible to measure sea level? the coast is a difficult spot to measure, the tides change everything and especially the movement of the tectonic plates make it kind of impossible to say, whether the sea levels have risen or the plates were sinking?!?! so i am hoping for an explanation. thx in advance.

We have no Idea what the temperature is doing because we no longer have any proper measuring equipment!

i was told sea levels would rise and engulf florida back in 1989 at UF. i live in Daytona, nothing has changed. the shoreline hasn't budged an inch.

Ted, how does your model compute a leveling out of sea rise at about 15ft if we follow the Paris Accord??? During the Pliocene, CO2 was at 390ppm, and the sea level was 70ft higher than today !!! Your chart shows the Paris accord leading to CO2 levels of 550ppm. How could 550ppm give only 15ft of sea level rise??? The conclusion is not consistent with known facts.

The big thing about sea level rise is not simply how much the average water level increases, via thermal expansion and meltwater, but how this increase will interact with a more unpredictable climate in general, which will produce more frequent severe storm surges. The combination will increase erosion and flooding events much more than simply one or the other effect of overall warming. It is NOT alarmist in the slightest, to state that the next couple of centuries (most definitely the "near future" in many contexts) will be "interesting", in the way that the Chinese curse "May you live in Interesting Times" means it.

I start holding my breath right now.

Buy beach front property in Colorado.

2019 now. USA Crops are failing. 1/3 of stockpile of Grain was lost in Flood. Sea Level rise is of no concern when there is no food to eat.

In order to decrease the rising sea levels how about this exotic idea: We terraform some of the ground beneath the sea: explode us into a deeper underwater landscape, some places on earth, and exploit the rock pieces on land, so that the water has more space/ depth for the water to be in, whereby it will decrease in height.

So what caused the West Antarctic Ice Sheet to melt 10,000 years ago so that there was less ice than there is today? That wasn't man's CO2 emmissions was it, so why so sure that's the cause now?

Interesting topic but why did he list his CV in the first 3-4 min xD

We all need to give in to 50% tax and start paying to save my property.

Based on the volume of ice frozen in Greenland and Antarctica, the sea level will rise 250+ feet if all of the ice melts. Moreover, the rate of thawing, I understand, is increasing exponentially. How did you arrive at a 20 ft rise in 2200?

Funny you mention going to a glacier in 1994, that was just about the time I went to see a glacier the last time I was in Alaska. I remember the park rangers they're talking about how glaciers will expand and reseed depending on temperature swings over a period Of a few years but overall they had been receeding for many many years since the end of the Ice Age. This was at the Portage Glacier, and I remember them talking about the large lake there and how it had been all voice shirt and no Lake not that many years before. They mentioned how for a. Of time the glacier had encroached back up on the lake and then received it again. Isn't it funny how that's just how fluctuations in our climate worked back then, but now it's climate change / global warming. Won't it be exciting here in a few years when the glaciers go through another expansion cycle and we'll all be getting ready for the coming Ice Age. I should say getting ready for the coming Ice Age again as we were back in the 1970s. 20 foot sea level rise, I call BS.

Mr Scientist can you please explain to me how the Laurentide, Cordilleran and Eurasian ice sheets melted. Can you please explain how 9300x4300 Kms of Ice 1500 meters thick melted in 10 000 years when their were no cars, factories or any other human activity. What caused all the ice from the last ice age to melt in 10 000 years. Please explain to me how during the Pliocene epoch there was no ice in the North Pole. Please explain what caused ice to form during Pleistocene epoch. Please explain to me what caused all the ice to melt during Holocene glacial retreat. Every grade three student knows we just came out of a 2.5 million long ice age. Obvious we are warming faster all of Canada was covered in ice 11 000 years ago.

I have seen a number of photographs from Florida, Canada and elsewere, showing the seal level from for example 1920 and today and there is no visible difference.

Then why are banks still giving 30 year loans out to build million dollar condos on the beach?

If sea level rise is such a huge threat why are cities like Abu Dhabi and Dubai being built at sea level?

Wow , the smoking gun! Because a glacier is melting carbon must be the culprit, genius. I might fall for it if i was two.

Whilst I know we have problems with ice melting and seas rising, I have to ask, Where is the water going that we see disappearing off many coast lines, some as far as the eye can see. Someone must know the answer to this oddity.

Thank you, nice video!❤️

IF THIS WERE TRUE REALESTATE WOULD NOT BE MORGAGED AT ALL !

I remember in the late 60's the global warming zealots were telling us that in 50 years sea levels would rise by 30 feet... We got an inch. It was scaremongering then it is scaremongering now.

In Canada, between 2008-2014, Harper and his Conservatives dismissed over 2000 scientists.

I don’t own a beachfront house so let it rise.

97% agree....can you please provide that reference?

I'm not so worried about what the weather is doing. I'm concerned with the what the corporations are doing to our air quality and drinking water and what they're doing to our food. Let's talk about that for a while. The globe will not cease to exist it will carry on we may not be here but the global keep moving on. Or it won't.

I'm 41 and was still in high school mid-1990's. I thought I looked young for my age! This speaker is probably 44-48 years old? What's your secret Jason?

Knowing politicians and human beings I doubt very much that any such agreement would be adhered to. At the same time we are cutting CO2 emissions we need a massive coordinated replanting drive to establish new forest.

if NY city ends up under water, that is a good thing

Outdated already. New data predicts the sea level rise will be 6.5 feet. I suspect in 3 more years we will revise this again to over 12 feet by 2100.

Pôle shift permanently changes water levels on coastal regions. Edit: The science is the earth is an mhd stator. As charged particles hit the mag field they split into two opposite bands one of electrons and one of positive ions. The ions penetrate deeper into the field than the electrons. This creates bands of electrons way out and bands off ions close that are called van Allen belts. The rotating charges create a magnetic field and an EM field near the surface. This EM field travels westward it's source tied to the earth. This causes a radiation pressure push on the crust. Thus providing a rotational force to counter the gravity lock force of the sun. This force applied to the plates once reversed moves everything in the opposite direction. West coasts are pushed westward into the ocean and east coasts flood due to the extra tidal force of the new EM pressure from the east.

Meanwhile in the Northern Territories, Canada it hit 30C today. Historical average shows 15C for this time of year.

The tilt of the earth has changed ,it's cylicial.

The hottest years ever recorded? Unprecedented ice melting? It sounds very impressive, but it is not. Humankind has been recording temperatures on a global scale with some degree of precision for less than 50 years. From before that time there is no reliable data due to limited accuracy and geographical scope of the measurements. So being “the hottest years ever recorded” is not such a big deal! The amount of ice currently melting is not “unprecedented” either. For example, much more ice melted faster than now and for many centuries over the past 15,000 years. This melting eliminates the mile-high layer of ice that covered all of Canada, the northern part of the United States, northern Europe and Asia.

I vote for just sitting back on my dock and letting this miraculous planet do what it naturally does. Maybe I should raise the legs on my dock though, right?

Couple hours of rain in south Louisiana caused flooding

What would he say today ? 410 ppm CO2

Our species can adapt quickly to change other species cannot. With the increasing computational power we are building we will be able to predict possible outcomes and intervene to minimize damage.

So over the next 300 years a lot of people not born yet will live in other areas

20 years of data! Wow!! The biggest problem is we have such a small data set. Did you know that the scientists "massage" the data? I didn't. Some makes sense (cities are hotter than country); others don't. A sceptic is not a denier! Really pisses me off!

The estimates are too conservative in my eyes.. The hockey stick is much steeper and we may already have passed the tipping point of the antarctic meltdown.. What about the gigantic meltwater rivers and lakes on the suface of the ice sheets?

As long as politicians depend on vested interests for the financing of their next election campaign, the politicians will do the bidding of the vested interests. Who Pays the Piper Calls the Tune. It really is as simple as that. The solution is obvious.

I just saw the sea recede in Greece and the Canadian North and the Baffin Islands and Alaska? I have also been above the Arctic Circle so what?

ozone layer can be refile using any technology or balancing

so bottom line, i'm not going to be around long enough to see any of this

Glaciers retreat? Really? Like the glaciers that covers North America over the last 10,000 years? Interesting..... Antarctic growing???? No... we dont want to talk about global balance? Oh, let's stick with our micro climate view to tell our story

Projections 150 years into the future doesn't concern people. We will ALL be dead as will our children and grandchildren. I'm more concerned with crop failures, famine, disease, loss of water and habitat which has nothing to do with sea level rise. Its not that I dont believe what hes saying. He probably too conservative with his estimates but lets be real even though global climate change is real you cant solve a problem if the food supply vanishes. I think we have more pressing things to worry about NOW rather than focus all our attention on the year 2200.

dose the melting icontianue in the winter months? .

Why is his whole talk based on the presumption that the warming is solely due to CO2? The correlation isn’t there!

My grandson can actually also do this.... Welcome to the real world where change is normal...make more people fearful is exactly what governments want !

What about all the cruise ships and tankers and yachts n sail boats and sunken boats and underwater volcanoes making land , displacing water and making the sea level rise... where does the water go on the bottom. Does it seap further? The compression.

Nice, can you make a video of how Nibiru will hit Earth in 2050

Sea level has risen by 120 metres since the peak of the last Ice Age 20,000 years ago. That equates to an average of 6mm/year. This is well-established science. Current rate is 3.4 mm/year, about 10 times slower than our fingernails grow. Sea level rise is not new and it's slowing down, albeit with some small variations over short timescales of 100 years.

The good thing with "major sea level rise" is that it will always take place in the future.

No one is talking about what sea level rise will do to ocean ph. No one is talking about what sea level rise will do to fresh water aquifers. No one is pointing out what sea level rise will do to ocean currents.

Read this before it's taken down : *EMPIRICAL FACTS on sea levels:* The seas and oceans to the east of Australia forms the largest body of water on Earth. This broadly connected vast body of water presents a genuine sea level assessment, since Australia is the oldest and most stable continent on earth. The Sydney Fort Denison Recording Station provides stable, accurate and genuine mean sea level data. The data which is at the lowest spring tide recorded *mean sea level at Sydney in 2019 is 6 centimetres lower than the mean sea level at Sydney in 1914 when the Bureau Of Meteorology commenced recording Mean Sea Level.* High Sea Levels during Storm, Cyclone & Low Pressure Events. BBC and ABC commentators have asserted that sea levels may permanently rise by 1 to 2 metres in the next 100 years. *100 years of records on the largest water body on Earth indicates that this is incorrect.* There have always been short period storm and low pressure rises in sea levels. The highest recorded sea level at Sydney occurred during the 1974 low pressure storm. The sea level rose to 30 cm above high spring tide level for one day. During recorded history there has been no indication whatsoever of a 100 to 200 cm permanent rise in sea level. There will always be short period storm, cyclone and low pressure rises in sea levels in close proximity to cyclone and storm centres. These storm centre rises in sea levels are not permanent. Ocean swells and storm waves can exceed 16 metres during major storm surge events. It is these massive waves that have caused significant damage to coastal and island communities in the past. It is certain that huge storm event waves will occur in the future and will cause significant damage to the island and low lying communities. Coastline and flood zone protection is the sane answer to sane answer to storm event damage. *It is polite and essential that the world population should avoid incorrect climate nonsense. We need to divert the alarmist energy to caring for the planet. Cease polluting the oceans. Prevent development of flood prone land and threatened coastal zones that have been, and will always be, subject to flooding.* Daniel Fitzhenry - Hydrographic Surveyor 581 Singleton Road, Laughtondale NSW 2775 Australia

If the money were used to clean up all the junk in the ocean, level might not seem so high.

36" / 84Y = .43" (per year) x 3Y (2016 to 2019)=1.29" actual sea level change over that time period = aprox 3/8"....got to love how none of the self styled climate scientists in this comment section can even do basic math.

Correct me if i'm wrong, and i know you guys will. Are't there theories of meteors at different times having an impact on ice ages, temperature, and co2 levels. ?

Climate science predictions ,seem to have a problem , they never turn out to be true.

3' by 2100 . good grief .