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Putin’s Gambit: Why He Chose War and How it Will End 

Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs
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Thomas Graham ─ Putin’s Gambit: Why He Chose War and How it Will End
Thomas Graham is a distinguished fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. He is a cofounder of the Russian, East European, and Eurasian studies program at Yale University and sits on its faculty steering committee. He is also a research fellow at the MacMillan Center at Yale. He has been a lecturer in global affairs and political science since 2011, teaching courses on U.S.-Russian relations and Russian foreign policy, as well as cybersecurity and counterterrorism. Graham was special assistant to the president and senior director for Russia on the National Security Council staff from 2004 to 2007, during which he managed a White House-Kremlin strategic dialogue. He was director for Russian affairs on the staff from 2002 to 2004.

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16 май 2022

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Комментарии : 6 тыс.   
@andrekeefer2034
@andrekeefer2034 Год назад
Why was the Minsk agreement not addressed in this presentation?
@sigmasix3719
@sigmasix3719 Год назад
Exactly 👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻
@ShashankData
@ShashankData 2 года назад
It's actually insanely cool that we can watch stuff like this for free today. What a world we live in
@marek-kulczycki-8286
@marek-kulczycki-8286 2 года назад
Watch and exchange our impressions and thoughts, being in - perhaps - very remote parts of the Globe :)
@pruephillip1338
@pruephillip1338 2 года назад
And let's not forget that we can have perfect music - for free. And your inner spring mattress, that nylon toothbrush, vaccines, the whole world on your color screen, the world's library in your pocket, instant communications, overweight people, long lives, airconditioning, motor cars and planes, space travel, liberal education, universal franchise and a gazillion other things shows how blessed we are in our science fiction world.
@ericnicola8470
@ericnicola8470 2 года назад
Not completely free. I pay$50/mo. for Internet
@ericnicola8470
@ericnicola8470 2 года назад
This guy is just parotinjkikk
@ZigZagHockey
@ZigZagHockey 2 года назад
From the Far Side I reply - which is why we should be grateful for global warming. Where do expressions like 'insanely cool' come from to replace the thousands of adjectives that could be used in meaningful speech and writing?
@mootamoonta261
@mootamoonta261 Год назад
NATO has changed from Defence Into Offence.
@Dylan-ge6dn
@Dylan-ge6dn Год назад
NATO attacked itself when two NATO members (USA and Norway) attacked another NATO member. What does this mean for the future of NATO and how history will remember it?
@aristrofilas2135
@aristrofilas2135 Год назад
Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs' mission is to promote a just and peaceful world through research, teaching, and public engagement. Remember?
@flashgordon6670
@flashgordon6670 Год назад
The Tale of Jack Kiev. Once upon a time, there was a small boy, called Jack Kiev. He was 12 years old and was an orphan. When his mother died recently, he inherited her cottage, with a little bit of land. He worked hard all day every day, cultivating his plot and producing a good yield. He had some extra vegetables and chickens, so he took them to the market for sale. At the market, the elder sons and daughters, of the Otan Family, came and bought his produce. They asked the boy, “Who is in charge of the business, as we need a regular supply? We would like to discuss business and come to some arrangement.” Jack said, “I’m in charge of the business! For I am an orphan and I will supply your needs.” So they signed a contract and Jack’s spirits were lifted, for he was quite sad and lonely. Once a week he went to the Otan household and delivered the wares that they needed and they paid him kindly. Sometime soon after, the Otan Family asked Jack to help with some chores, cutting grass and painting the shed. The Otan house, was very large with many rooms, for they had 16 sons and 17 daughters, who were always kind to Jack, so they became good friends. Jack was overjoyed with finding friendship with the Otan Family. Jack was always hardworking and never failed to be productive. As his own homestead and finance grew, he bought some sheep and reared lambs. Old Father Sam Otan was pleased with Jack. So when Jack turned 14, he made a promise to him. “When you turn 16, you can marry, whichever of my daughters that you find to be most beautiful and you will be my Son!” Jack nearly fainted and cried aloud, “Thank you Father Sam! God has truly blessed me! May Heaven and Earth hold dear to your promise.” One month later, an angry bear from the forest, came upon Jack’s cottage and ravaged his flock and stole some sheep. Jack was mortified and ran to the Otan house. “Help help! There’s a bear at my home, who’s killed my sheep!” The Otan Family were shocked and said, “Don’t worry we will stand by you and help to fight the bear.” So they sent two of the younger sons, who brought their slings and spears and went with Jack to fight the bear. But the bear was too big and strong for them to kill it. But they managed to scare the bear enough, so that it went away. “Thank you for your help!” said Jack and the two sons went back to their home. A couple of weeks passed by and the angry bear came back to Jack’s cottage, killing and eating some lambs. Jack ran to the Otans, “Help help! The bear has come back!” So three of the sons, went with Jack and they all fought against the bear. This time the bear hurt Jack and killed one of the sons and then went back to his lair. The sons went back to their home and reported the news. Two more weeks passed by and the bear came back to Jack’s cottage. It caused great damage to the chicken shed, broke some fences and killed all the chickens. Jack ran back to the Otans and this time, four of the sons, all armed with new swords and shields, went with Jack to fight the bear. They fought for many hours but the bear was too big and strong, even for all of the sons. The bear was enraged, bc it’s foot was hurt by them. It killed two of the sons and wounded the others and then went back to its lair. Two weeks later, the bear and its mate, came upon Jack’s cottage. They killed all the remaining lambs and knocked over a burning lantern, the lantern caught fire to the barn and store houses, destroying all the produce, This time the bears quickly left, before they could be attacked. Jack ran to the Otans, “Help the bears have attacked my home and the place is on fire!” So the Otan Family all quickly went and helped to extinguish the blaze. Five of the sons all stayed with Jack, “We’ll help to rebuild the farm and this time we’ll stay with you, to guard against the bears. They all worked hard to rebuild the farm and the Otans pitched their tent next to Jack’s cottage. But the bears came in the night and killed three of the sons as they slept. Jack and the other two sons ran back to Old Sam Otan and reported the news. Old Sam Otan wept bitterly in his grief and the shock nearly killed him. “Right this time, take some horses and wear armour and buy some new lances and we’ll finish the bears off for good. So six of the sons saddled their horses and went to find the bears. They rode to the forest and crossed the stream that runs from the mountains. They rode for four days and eventually found the bears trail. The eldest son said, “Right we’ll camp here for the night and at dawn we’ll attack the bears. What could possibly go wrong?” The bears caught the scent of the Otan party and came upon them in the darkness. The great bear with his mate and all their cubs with them. They killed all the horses and all of the sons as well, except one who barely managed to escape. He ran all the way home and reported the news. Old Father Otan, his wife and remaining children were stricken with grief. They held council and after many days, they came up with a plan. “Right!” said Old Sam Otan, “I’ve had enough of this great bear! I’ve lost 11 of my sons and we only have 5 left. 7 of my daughters are strong and old enough to fight, as well as any man. We’ll all go to Jack’s cottage together that makes 12 and myself 13. We’ll make traps and build strong fences and walls around the farm.” So they all went to Jack’s farm and did as they had planned and two weeks later the great bear, came to Jack’s farm with his family. The bear saw how strong the defences were, he hesitated and looked across the valley. He saw the Otan house with no walls and no one there, except some young girls and old mother Otan. He had grown tired of the taste of lambs, chickens and horses and now he wanted something else. So the great bear and his family went back to the forest and waited for night to come. He took his family to the Otan house and then charged in with speed and fury. All the bears smashed the doors and windows open and ran through the house, but there was no one there, the house was empty. All of a sudden there was a blast of hunting horns and a great cacophony of noise. The house was surrounded by Jack and all the Otans. Old mother Otan had been warned, by her pet falcon, of an approaching danger and had left with her daughters and gone to her sister’s house. She had sent a carrier pigeon to Old Sam Otan at Jack’s cottage, who ambushed the bears. “Fire!” Screamed Old Sam Otan at the top of his voice and they all hurled their burning torches at the house. Some of the bears ran out and were cut down as they ran and the house burned to the ground. Old Sam Otan and his company went through the ashes and counted all the dead bears. “They’re all here!” said the eldest son, after laying the bears bodies out. “No wait a minute, there’s one missing!” They all scouted around the area, but the mate of the late great bear, was nowhere to be found..... The end?
@Liz-xy4vd
@Liz-xy4vd Год назад
I fear they have been misnamed or lost their way
@lidiasiorek1401
@lidiasiorek1401 2 года назад
Ukraine was NOT to be enrolled into NATO. Germany and France strongly objected to this plan. It was off the table long time ago. Great Britain, USA and Russia had signed agreement to keep Ukraine border intact for giving up nuclear weapon. These are very important points that were not mentioned in this speech.
@florinalexandruro
@florinalexandruro 2 года назад
The NATO expansion was just a propaganda lie to justify the invasion. Even the Russians know that NATO was not going to accept Ukraine in the near future. The same for EU membership. The country was in a to early economic and political development stage to back such decisions. The speech looks bizarre to me, because it basically states: "OK, the war is the NATO and Ukraine fault! Lets give Russia what Putin wants!". That is against the political logic of the East Europe and international rules.
@musa0985
@musa0985 2 года назад
Russia wanted this to be in written form but the west declined
@ariaatmar9489
@ariaatmar9489 2 года назад
The USA wanted that war to sanction Russian gas supply to EU.
@jpgpearson
@jpgpearson 2 года назад
@Ukraine is Russia russia stoked up the fire in donbas getting its people to rebel and then adding its own troops to fight off ukraine who wanted to keep its country in tact....lets face facts russia is geographically weak and should go with the flow of the majority....look at yourselves your not a great people.... and where would you be without oil and gass sales .....shame you forced someone to show you how nuclear worked....your not a creator you scheme your way though life.
@thomasvogel8799
@thomasvogel8799 2 года назад
A contract with the U.S.A. is not worth the paper its written on. They broke so many contracts over the last decade that they have lost all trust. Only power holds them in position. If this power got to be broken publicly so that all can see the Table will turn against the U.S. many many nations are waiting for that. The U.S. is not to be trusted. Russia hold all theyre contracts. They are trustworthy. Thats what media dont want us to see. Cause it would be over with the U.S.A and theyre impact. Countrys would say why listen to you? You lied and betrayed us many times and now there is a other power no.1 we dont have too any more. 🤷‍♂️
@FangPaw
@FangPaw 2 года назад
"Putin attacked because he was sure he could win within days" and "the US should have negotiated first". Sorry, but the two views are contradictory. If Putin was convinced he would win within days, why on earth would he want to negotiate?
@We.1014
@We.1014 2 года назад
Makes sense!
@callistomoon461
@callistomoon461 2 года назад
No contradiction here. If you think you will win a war, you might nevertheless be interested in negotiations. Maybe you win even more.
@silentbob5566
@silentbob5566 2 года назад
Putin would sure negotiate, the thing is Russia would comply with the agreement no more than it respects agreed upon humanitarian corridors for evacuation of civilians. That is, it shells the corridors and would attack Ukraine again at first occasion.
@darkhobo
@darkhobo 2 года назад
Why would you take territory without spilling blood if you THINK you COULD take it by spilling blood? Come on man. You're better than that.
@panchopuskas1
@panchopuskas1 2 года назад
War is risky and dangerous in every way...... if you can get anywhere near what you want without it the better......
@fillfinish7302
@fillfinish7302 Год назад
BEFORE YOU ASK THAT QUESTION , why was the usa and nato son intent on Ukraine becoming a member of military alliance that justify the huge expenses on weapons thus antagonising Russia ,
@oswarz
@oswarz Год назад
Are these "experts" going to give us regular updates? Now THAT would be interesting.
@user-tu7nt3vv4x
@user-tu7nt3vv4x 8 месяцев назад
How's your boss since the aeroplane crash, Ivan?
@pfefferle74
@pfefferle74 2 года назад
That is quite an audacious claim by the Professor that only the US is in a position to negotiate European security with Russia.
@RecessionJobSearcher
@RecessionJobSearcher 2 года назад
I agree with the sentiment, but I disagree with the substance. As it stands, the United States is the best arbiter for anyone's security based off of the unparalleled force projection capabilities it has. The US can afford to guarantee and assist nations far afueld because logistically there is no where that is out of reach for the US. Russia cant guarantee nations in say, Iberia or North West Africa for example. This was seen when Russian guarantees fell short in Vietnam when China invaded them. They just can't offer any sort of tangible support beyond a few hundred kilometers of their border. Should the US be meddling? I think there is a better way personally. But be that as it may, the US is the only country in the world that can affect any measure of security to any nation anywhere in the world.
@docprune9922
@docprune9922 2 года назад
He is simply restating US arrogance and desire for a unipolar world. That is what this is all about.
@TorianTammas
@TorianTammas 2 года назад
@@docprune9922 Putin likes to negotiate with America as he wants to be seen as a leader of a power equal to the US. Not to mention that Putin does not accept sovereignty of anything he can attack and wants to attack.
@docprune9922
@docprune9922 2 года назад
@@TorianTammas That is why Austin asked Shoigu for a ceasefire, because Ukraine is 'winning' .. get a grip, you muppet.
@centurionoomae1543
@centurionoomae1543 2 года назад
@@docprune9922 I concur. 120 billion dollars of aid and they still can't recapture lost territory. They're just prolonging the war to make Russia suffer, they know they'll win eventually but the longer the better for them.
@saysaylor7662
@saysaylor7662 2 года назад
Mr Graham seems to be inconsistent in his views presented here. On one hand he admits this war has been proving that Russia is weak, but on the other his whole rhetoric is built on the assumption that Russia isn’t weak. Some mind maps need to be rewritten perhaps
@craigscott2315
@craigscott2315 2 года назад
sounds like they a plagiarising their opinions from the toilet paper times.
@clover6480
@clover6480 2 года назад
I guess he chooses to express himself carefully in order not to hurt any russian feelings, while at the same time trying to present the facts. Some people might also call it diplomacy or emotional intelligence
@jamesedwards.1069
@jamesedwards.1069 2 года назад
@@clover6480 No, the ambiguity is better explained if it is seen as propaganda intended to brainwash the gullible. Whereas, the truth is always paradoxical, there's no reason that Russian can't be both less dangerous than is feared yet still dangerous enough to be treated with respect.
@ketelin4285
@ketelin4285 2 года назад
@@jamesedwards.1069 What is so complicated ? Russia is very weak against NATO in conventional war but extremely lethal in nuclear war . Western warheads simply lack targets while russian ones would have a disproportionate effect . So there is incentive from that side to do a kamikaze move when prezented with overwhelming odds - like a NATO offensive .
@TorianTammas
@TorianTammas 2 года назад
@@jamesedwards.1069 A country that started an illegal war of aggression and invaded a neighboring countries twice violating treaties they signed and violating the UN Charta does deserve nothing.
@maximpopov8651
@maximpopov8651 Год назад
Peace Love and Freedom 💜☮️💜
@andrewgamblin7264
@andrewgamblin7264 Год назад
I've come to this discussion a little late but would like to add the suggestion that there might be another element that could be Dr Graham's assessment of Putin's "basket of opportunities" in February 2022, namely the Covid pandemic. Might he have thought that in the early post-Covid recovery period the focus of the governments of the NATO member nation's might be turned inwards towards getting their societies and their economies back on track and less outward on overseas commitments.
@lspeace6640
@lspeace6640 Год назад
He Saw a chance the world being weakened by the epidemic and all the problems following i Think you are right this was a huge part of it
@flashgordon6670
@flashgordon6670 Год назад
The Tale of Jack Kiev. Once upon a time, there was a small boy, called Jack Kiev. He was 12 years old and was an orphan. When his mother died recently, he inherited her cottage, with a little bit of land. He worked hard all day every day, cultivating his plot and producing a good yield. He had some extra vegetables and chickens, so he took them to the market for sale. At the market, the elder sons and daughters, of the Otan Family, came and bought his produce. They asked the boy, “Who is in charge of the business, as we need a regular supply? We would like to discuss business and come to some arrangement.” Jack said, “I’m in charge of the business! For I am an orphan and I will supply your needs.” So they signed a contract and Jack’s spirits were lifted, for he was quite sad and lonely. Once a week he went to the Otan household and delivered the wares that they needed and they paid him kindly. Sometime soon after, the Otan Family asked Jack to help with some chores, cutting grass and painting the shed. The Otan house, was very large with many rooms, for they had 16 sons and 17 daughters, who were always kind to Jack, so they became good friends. Jack was overjoyed with finding friendship with the Otan Family. Jack was always hardworking and never failed to be productive. As his own homestead and finance grew, he bought some sheep and reared lambs. Old Father Sam Otan was pleased with Jack. So when Jack turned 14, he made a promise to him. “When you turn 16, you can marry, whichever of my daughters that you find to be most beautiful and you will be my Son!” Jack nearly fainted and cried aloud, “Thank you Father Sam! God has truly blessed me! May Heaven and Earth hold dear to your promise.” One month later, an angry bear from the forest, came upon Jack’s cottage and ravaged his flock and stole some sheep. Jack was mortified and ran to the Otan house. “Help help! There’s a bear at my home, who’s killed my sheep!” The Otan Family were shocked and said, “Don’t worry we will stand by you and help to fight the bear.” So they sent two of the younger sons, who brought their slings and spears and went with Jack to fight the bear. But the bear was too big and strong for them to kill it. But they managed to scare the bear enough, so that it went away. “Thank you for your help!” said Jack and the two sons went back to their home. A couple of weeks passed by and the angry bear came back to Jack’s cottage, killing and eating some lambs. Jack ran to the Otans, “Help help! The bear has come back!” So three of the sons, went with Jack and they all fought against the bear. This time the bear hurt Jack and killed one of the sons and then went back to his lair. The sons went back to their home and reported the news. Two more weeks passed by and the bear came back to Jack’s cottage. It caused great damage to the chicken shed, broke some fences and killed all the chickens. Jack ran back to the Otans and this time, four of the sons, all armed with new swords and shields, went with Jack to fight the bear. They fought for many hours but the bear was too big and strong, even for all of the sons. The bear was enraged, bc it’s foot was hurt by them. It killed two of the sons and wounded the others and then went back to its lair. Two weeks later, the bear and its mate, came upon Jack’s cottage. They killed all the remaining lambs and knocked over a burning lantern, the lantern caught fire to the barn and store houses, destroying all the produce, This time the bears quickly left, before they could be attacked. Jack ran to the Otans, “Help the bears have attacked my home and the place is on fire!” So the Otan Family all quickly went and helped to extinguish the blaze. Five of the sons all stayed with Jack, “We’ll help to rebuild the farm and this time we’ll stay with you, to guard against the bears. They all worked hard to rebuild the farm and the Otans pitched their tent next to Jack’s cottage. But the bears came in the night and killed three of the sons as they slept. Jack and the other two sons ran back to Old Sam Otan and reported the news. Old Sam Otan wept bitterly in his grief and the shock nearly killed him. “Right this time, take some horses and wear armour and buy some new lances and we’ll finish the bears off for good. So six of the sons saddled their horses and went to find the bears. They rode to the forest and crossed the stream that runs from the mountains. They rode for four days and eventually found the bears trail. The eldest son said, “Right we’ll camp here for the night and at dawn we’ll attack the bears. What could possibly go wrong?” The bears caught the scent of the Otan party and came upon them in the darkness. The great bear with his mate and all their cubs with them. They killed all the horses and all of the sons as well, except one who barely managed to escape. He ran all the way home and reported the news. Old Father Otan, his wife and remaining children were stricken with grief. They held council and after many days, they came up with a plan. “Right!” said Old Sam Otan, “I’ve had enough of this great bear! I’ve lost 11 of my sons and we only have 5 left. 7 of my daughters are strong and old enough to fight, as well as any man. We’ll all go to Jack’s cottage together that makes 12 and myself 13. We’ll make traps and build strong fences and walls around the farm.” So they all went to Jack’s farm and did as they had planned and two weeks later the great bear, came to Jack’s farm with his family. The bear saw how strong the defences were, he hesitated and looked across the valley. He saw the Otan house with no walls and no one there, except some young girls and old mother Otan. He had grown tired of the taste of lambs, chickens and horses and now he wanted something else. So the great bear and his family went back to the forest and waited for night to come. He took his family to the Otan house and then charged in with speed and fury. All the bears smashed the doors and windows open and ran through the house, but there was no one there, the house was empty. All of a sudden there was a blast of hunting horns and a great cacophony of noise. The house was surrounded by Jack and all the Otans. Old mother Otan had been warned, by her pet falcon, of an approaching danger and had left with her daughters and gone to her sister’s house. She had sent a carrier pigeon to Old Sam Otan at Jack’s cottage, who ambushed the bears. “Fire!” Screamed Old Sam Otan at the top of his voice and they all hurled their burning torches at the house. Some of the bears ran out and were cut down as they ran and the house burned to the ground. Old Sam Otan and his company went through the ashes and counted all the dead bears. “They’re all here!” said the eldest son, after laying the bears bodies out. “No wait a minute, there’s one missing!” They all scouted around the area, but the mate of the late great bear, was nowhere to be found.... The end?
@rogerr1016
@rogerr1016 2 года назад
He says he takes with a grain of salt any military expert’s view of what is going on. Presumably, an academic’s view of the war doesn’t have to be taken with a grain of salt?
@Wallyworld30
@Wallyworld30 2 года назад
We have General's that have Pledged Allegiance to Qanon. Military "experts" should be taken with a grain a salt unless they have a track record of making accurate predictions in the past.
@antipropo461
@antipropo461 2 года назад
Certainly "Western" military experts should get a big dose of scepticism when discussing combined arms modern war and especially as it applies to Russia,although not all Western military have been lulled into an undeserved sense of might by beating up Iraq. As Andrei Martyanov says,and repeats,no Western military(he particularly means the US) has fought a powerful enemy in combined arms war since Korea. This means they are clueless essentially,whereas Russia has 7 years in Syria to refer to.
@danstewart2770
@danstewart2770 2 года назад
He strikes me as having an agenda beyond that of an acedemic.
@Ryne918
@Ryne918 2 года назад
A lot of intellectual tourism goes unchecked and is inevitably used to discredit analysts and academics for things they never said. If anything, they're too nice about it.
@Wallyworld30
@Wallyworld30 2 года назад
@@antipropo461 Russia had a 2 hour battle with American's in a SNAFU in Syria. Russia lost 200 Men and the US didn't sustain a single casualty. Russian military has proven beyond doubt they are a second rate military power with Nukes. Basically, a giant North Korea.
@thomascoxe7545
@thomascoxe7545 2 года назад
Interesting that he didn't even mention why and how this conflict started.
@erikmartin4996
@erikmartin4996 2 года назад
Yeah pretty funny
@andreasfromsanandreas1268
@andreasfromsanandreas1268 2 года назад
he actually said it, you have to rewatch. at the beginning of the lecture
@fabreezethefaintinggoat5484
@fabreezethefaintinggoat5484 2 года назад
@@andreasfromsanandreas1268 he said that Ukraine has been bombarding the Donbass for 7 years and were ammasing a lot of troops for some reason?
@jpgpearson
@jpgpearson 2 года назад
it started because russia hasn't got many warm water ports... and wants to protect what it had....and push hostile countries away from its ships and to control the food supplies of a large part of the world....to become a major player and respect in the world....as nuclear weapons are a dead end and become irrelevent.
@erikmartin4996
@erikmartin4996 2 года назад
@@jpgpearson nukes are definitely not a dead end
@michaljanki
@michaljanki 2 года назад
Saying that a Russian strike into Poland as a possibility at this time is an really odd thing to say...
@dorotabrown7917
@dorotabrown7917 Год назад
You are 💯 right
@ergwer45624
@ergwer45624 Год назад
can't rule it out considering the increasingly deranged ways Putin is showing the man is a lunatic
@user-pf5xq3lq8i
@user-pf5xq3lq8i Год назад
It makes no sense...unless he is setting a false flag. America has done that before.
@sparky6086
@sparky6086 Год назад
This certainly hasn't aged well. The "distinguished" scholar apparently gets his facts from the mainstream media and like a crow too clever by half, falls into an intellectual trap!
@xianseah4847
@xianseah4847 Год назад
Yes, the US acted as if it can change regimes at the cost of thousands of lives worldwide.
@MichaelKoksharov
@MichaelKoksharov Год назад
But it gets more following/funding/support than a more rigorous approach. After all, most people just want support for a certain narrative rather than truth.
@jesuisravi
@jesuisravi Год назад
@@MichaelKoksharov and what's the truth? What you want to believe? And this guy who has studied this stuff for decades...his views just don't matter if they don't match up with what you want to believe. And that's how it is with almost everyone. It is hard, maybe impossible, to find someone who really wants to know "the truth".
@jesuisravi
@jesuisravi Год назад
@@mattcrosby2310 no...you're right because you've almost certainly got it all figured out a priori without doing any study at all.
@2Dylandog
@2Dylandog 2 года назад
Russia doesn't need a "buffer zone" if it does not have aggressive neighbors!! While I have a huge respect for Thomas Graham's analysis, I think he frequently bends over backwards to accommodate the Putin Regime Mentality. Are we really to take so much to heart the 19th century expansionist ambitions of what amount to a Mafia gang of profiteers? Can we not be a little more optimistic and hope for regime change after this war that is going so disastrously for the Russian side at the moment? If we can exercise a little patience while maintaining steady pressure with armaments and sanctions there is every reason to believe Putin will not survive long to remain in charge.
@allydea
@allydea 2 года назад
Indeed, Russia is not surrounded by aggressors. Its aggressor sits a few thousand miles away dictating to Russia's neighbors.
@ashecbtb9509
@ashecbtb9509 Год назад
Was Cuba an aggressive neighbour to the USA in 1962? Your theory is compromised before you even finish writing. You need to listen to more of these shows my friend and less CNN and other MSM. .... "going so disastrously for the Russian side"..... as a sea of red slowly creeps down the Eastern side of Ukraine ....? ... sanctions that are now being wound back because they are hurting the Europeans more than Russia.... Forrest? Trees??
@walterhryts7830
@walterhryts7830 2 года назад
Agreening thath It's amazing how many US specialists in regional affairs understand so little of the affairs of the region, they claim to know. No wonder US foreign policy has so many blunders, despite of possible best intentions. Ukraine was NOT to be enrolled into NATO. Germany and France strongly objected to this plan. It was off the table long time ago. Great Britain, USA and Russia had signed agreement to keep Ukraine border intact for giving up nuclear weapon. These are very important points that were not mentioned in this speech. So, Russia objective is differnt what it claims to be and It's shamefull that speaker fails undestand this.
@johnwhite2576
@johnwhite2576 2 года назад
Consider- how many of these experts speak ujranian fluently? ?
@TorianTammas
@TorianTammas 2 года назад
My guess is a lot of American experts neither speak fluently Ukrainian nor Russian. If they would gave lived for a few years in both countries they would have a clearer view.
@landro9369
@landro9369 2 года назад
@@johnwhite2576 60% of ukrainian speak only Russian 😁, (zelensky didn't now "ukrainian" before) becose they are Russian, efforts to be ukrainian is austrohungarian goal, then communist goal then nato usa goal . Ukrain on slavic language means military BORDER 😉. And for sentries people who settle there have obligations to go to war against invaders of Russian impery. For that role they have be given land and to be free people 😉. On west Ukraine live peaple who speak somthing between Polish and Russian , they are indoctrinated before 150-200y when they live in austrohungarian impery, they abandoned ortodox church, on pressure of Catholic austrohungarian impery and rome papa is head of that church, but they are not Catholic they are uniat, approximately 10milions . They have political power in ukrain pass 20y with suport of west and they destroyed russian soeaking people, language, culture and political parties. That is how it is now. Ukrain is what was always, battle ground between Russia and enemy's of Russia. Military BORDER
@AstroGremlinAmerican
@AstroGremlinAmerican 2 года назад
But he has a vest, part of a three-piece suit.
@klam77
@klam77 2 года назад
remember McCain singing "bomb iran" to the tune of "barbara ann"; remember victoria nuland foolishness saying "F the EU". Muricans only go in guns blazing. and getting paid lobby money.
@rhineriversurf5594
@rhineriversurf5594 Год назад
„It’s not an existential question for russia“ That totally disqualifies the speaker in geopolitics
@secaucuss7344
@secaucuss7344 Год назад
Status of Ukraine = an existential question for the fantasy world that Putin has created and sold everywhere to his high Power-Distance Index population. It's the Disneyland of FSB.
@BobJohnson648
@BobJohnson648 Год назад
Part of the problem is that state department people play games
@widescreennavel
@widescreennavel 2 года назад
Um, this is pretty strange point of view, it's the view of a war as seen from Mars. The man said it was hard to figure out what the US strategy is. I mean, really?
@coshyno
@coshyno 2 года назад
share us your great philosophy ?
@widescreennavel
@widescreennavel 2 года назад
@@coshyno Buy my book.
@joni8090
@joni8090 2 года назад
@@widescreennavel The last line of your book ends: The complete destruction of Russia .
@widescreennavel
@widescreennavel 2 года назад
@@joni8090 Putin's book read better in the original German. I think you are thinking of a different book by a disgraced leader who started a little thing we like to call the 2nd World War Two...Putin's strategy to keep NATO from expanding is working like a charm! Russia will be safely surrounded by friends who are concerned about their neighbor. They will work to see that Russia stays within its own established borders.
@joni8090
@joni8090 2 года назад
@@widescreennavel Nothing has changed then !! But , I do think honesty in Negotiations is important don't you ! So far US and cohorts have been building castles on sand and that Never makes for Stability .
@frontview1
@frontview1 2 года назад
Lets trust the Council on Foreign Relations shall we, and let our brains fall out!!!
@pcuimac
@pcuimac 2 года назад
And The Trilateral Comission and The Bilderberg Conference. They will make the world a better place! /sarcasm
@d1ndark25
@d1ndark25 2 года назад
Don't forget the WEF!!!
@tommyodonovan3883
@tommyodonovan3883 2 года назад
Assassins accusing the Assassin
@drzavahercegbosnaponosna5974
@@pcuimac and mickey-mouse schwab-klaus, and great daddy soros, and bill gates,...!
@Fallen420chan
@Fallen420chan Год назад
Bunch of scared babies in this chat. Invisible boogie-men who fulfil every scapegoat for you.
@valeriebaltzer8804
@valeriebaltzer8804 Год назад
Love the last few minutes...
@richardharder427
@richardharder427 Год назад
What happened to the questions that were in the “speed round”? The video jumps over all of these and goes to the end where Graham is responding to a question not in the video.
@ivflash6363
@ivflash6363 Год назад
Probably saying something not good about Ukraine, so it got edited out
@uelmills
@uelmills 2 года назад
Moderator: please repeat the question for the online audience. thx
@ltmund
@ltmund 2 года назад
If you can state the pretext for Russias invasion without spending significant time covering the Minsk agreements then I can come to only two conclusions: you don't really understand or you don't want others to understand.
@daysjours
@daysjours 2 года назад
This talk was superficial garbage. Mearsheimer is the gold standard if you wanna understand this war.
@katalinrobin6222
@katalinrobin6222 2 года назад
@@daysjours absolutely agree.
@fitzpatfitz
@fitzpatfitz Год назад
Totally agree with you Minsk is the key and the West committed at Minsk to support Ukraine.
@billbrazis2637
@billbrazis2637 Год назад
What is the guests name and his title or little bio?
@M1984FA
@M1984FA Год назад
Not a word about the Maidan coup, the behaviour of the Zelenski regime and the violation of the Minsk agreement. Instead they stick to Western propaganda, leaving out context.
@SILVERSETFILMS
@SILVERSETFILMS 2 года назад
Painful to watch how superficial is "knowledge" of those "experts". If people like this shape our reality no wonder we are in serious trouble.
@sonjak8265
@sonjak8265 2 года назад
Their job is to hide the truth and confuse the public.
@SILVERSETFILMS
@SILVERSETFILMS 2 года назад
@@sonjak8265 - Very much so...:(
@klam77
@klam77 2 года назад
what were u expecting?
@newoaknl
@newoaknl 2 года назад
Exactly ...
@shamosman7295
@shamosman7295 2 года назад
Yep we are damed
@michaelyu6472
@michaelyu6472 2 года назад
Now I understand why the U.S.is so powerless, because we are never lacking such "expert" like him to advise the policy makers.
@Juggler4071
@Juggler4071 2 года назад
In his introduction they said that he was an advisor to the US government.
@saelind73
@saelind73 2 года назад
The guy is full of shit. "Putin was planning to have a speech in Kiev within 4 days of the invasion." LMAO! I mean, I get the propaganda but be a bit more subtle and artful about it. He's outright lying about the Europeans being more eager in regards to sanctions than US was. Unless he means UK and Poland, the rest were not. Go and check the first statements coming from Italy and Germany (not sure about France) when banning Russia from the swift system was proposed. They were against it, until the US just grabbed them by their ears. lol Not to mention that US have been pressuring and pushing Germany to shut down the NS2 for years.
@kambion
@kambion 2 года назад
@@Juggler4071 Don't argue with Russian simps...
@Kamien882
@Kamien882 2 года назад
This expert is Putin's wet dream.
@michaelyu6472
@michaelyu6472 2 года назад
@@saelind73 You are absolutely right! He IS full of shit! I am so glad that there are still a lot of people can see things through.
@stephenfairhurst7395
@stephenfairhurst7395 Год назад
Please have sound for the questions.
@PavlosPapageorgiou
@PavlosPapageorgiou Год назад
This talk starts well and then devolves into the usual 'us or them' projection we always hear from the US.
@photobobo
@photobobo Год назад
That is because there is us and there is them. We are antithetical. Why would you expect us to be sympathetic to Putin's twisted point of view. If Putin drops a book on his toe, he thinks that it is the result of a western plot. The Putin regime is just a criminal organization, how could we agreed to its continued existence?
@pz_faust6866
@pz_faust6866 Год назад
always been
@rjbjr
@rjbjr 2 года назад
What makes the wheat grow and ripen makes the tanks get stuck in the mud. So, we have both a wheat and tank shortage. I'm for the wheat, and forget about replacing the tanks.
@brettmurphy7588
@brettmurphy7588 2 года назад
Good analysis, but during Q and A they should be repeating the question into the mic so viewers can hear it, or subtitle the question while its being asked.
@dixonpinfold2582
@dixonpinfold2582 2 года назад
Our speaker should have had a better mike, or else two of those lousy ones (one slightly to his left, one slightly to his right). The sound was a failure worthy of the Russian army.
@pissiole5654
@pissiole5654 2 года назад
agreed. they could have had somebody passing a mic between the people asking question, ive seen that done in other Q&A sessions and it works well. it was also a little bit annoying how he kept turning his head to address the room as he spoke, getting louder and quieter as he moved past the mic.
@craigscott2315
@craigscott2315 2 года назад
what analysis?
@mariadamen7886
@mariadamen7886 2 года назад
There was no analysis, imo he was only giving his thoughts leaving our or rewriting facts, history and international law. IOW the american version of the truth.
@superchuck3259
@superchuck3259 2 года назад
They keep repeating the nuclear threat as if it is real. Oh yeah, bio and nukes, keeps getting repeated. Putin has no need to use WMDs. Putin wants to take Ukraine intact, not destroyed. Do you think Putin could level Ukraine with conventional arms if it wanted to? Hum what do you think? Could the USA level other nations with bombs? Hum, like endless bombs in WW2. Oh wait, that happened already!
@toddbettis148
@toddbettis148 Год назад
Please do yourself and everyone else a favor and invest in a headset microphone !!! It's very annoying when the volume varies drastically up and down every time you turn your head or lean forward / backward ect.ect. !!! People might be less inclined to tune out and move on and listen to what your subject matter is about !!!
@inzhener2007
@inzhener2007 7 месяцев назад
Thomas Graham has been working for the Kremlin for at least 20-23 years, now. Recently he was cought in Moscow [read the Moscow Times] doing the Second Track foreign policy. He himself told Andrey Piontkovsky in Moscow that he gets paid 7-8 times more working for the Russians than when he worked for the USA.
@DilipBanerjee
@DilipBanerjee 2 года назад
Hats off to the professor who spoke at 39:22. Excellent points and perspectives.
@Destragond
@Destragond 2 года назад
I don't really like the "if things had been different in the past, would they be different now?" question, because that's just impossible to know and will probably be answered with "obviously yes" and "obviously no" depending on what position you want to argue for. (Personally I would just say that I don't have a reason to believe that things being different in the past would make it different now.)
@rogerkamben389
@rogerkamben389 2 года назад
If Ukraine had been left to its own devices it would remain in Russia's sphere of influence, trade etc. It's was the NATO empire's attempt at pulling it into theirs which split it in Two. The coup of 2004 was reversed because the majority are pro russian. In the 2014 madian coup the west and their ultra nationalist fractions/militias made sure that would not happen. Remember Zelensky elected on a strong peace platform and mandate to implement the Minsk accords but of course our empire couldn't let democracy run it's course. They WANTED this confrontation by proxy and they want to bleed Russia down to the last Ukrainian. Putin took the bait
@thesheepthemightythecrazy
@thesheepthemightythecrazy Год назад
so, what do you think of all the wars started by the USA since the fall of soviet union? if we want to get to the root of the matter, all the wars since the end of ww2?
@michaela.178
@michaela.178 Год назад
Yes, he kinda carefully pointed out that what the first speaker brought up is nonsense to put it politely. Tbh I watched only the first 5 minutes of that and skipped to 39:22 in the hope of finding something more encouraging, I did. Other scholars, particularly those familiar with the inner workings of Russian during the last 20 years, have pointed out in multiple ways that the reason and trigger for Russia‘s Ukraine-war is solely found in the 21st century. That whole Nato-extension variant has been debunked extensively - in particular there were never treaties or promises forbidding independent countries to join Nato. The idea that bigger countries get a say about who their neighbor’s friends may or may not be is history. Also Putin himself is on the record stating that Ukraine in its borders is untouchable - that however must have been before 2006. At some point he found out that to western leaders he is a goon and Putin just didn’t deal well with it. What are a couple of ten-thousand dead compared to an imperator‘s hurt ego after all?
@thesheepthemightythecrazy
@thesheepthemightythecrazy Год назад
@@michaela.178 you are why there is war in ukraine right now.
@stischer47
@stischer47 2 года назад
Graham would have been in complete agreement with Chamberlain in 1938 in giving the Sudetenland to Germany.
@ronaldchin3239
@ronaldchin3239 2 года назад
Yes. Dr Graham is clearly out of touch with reality in his ivory tower.
@SupaHoon
@SupaHoon 2 года назад
It was their territory to begin with
@freedomordeath89
@freedomordeath89 2 года назад
@@SupaHoon Bro Texas was Mexican...your point being?
@xcrockery8080
@xcrockery8080 2 года назад
@@SupaHoon Who is "they"? The association of Austrian house painters? The point is they gave something to Adolf Hitler that a. didn't prevent the Nazis from invading Poland, and b. gave the Nazis well-equipped tank (and other armaments) factories that made the German army far, far stronger than it would have been without it.
@RemoteViewr1
@RemoteViewr1 2 года назад
Hitler didn't have nukes. Think this through, all the way. This is very grim.
@archangel2633
@archangel2633 Год назад
Best part certainly the questions of professor Bartow (min 39)
@annehersey9895
@annehersey9895 Год назад
I disagree with one of the last possible outcomes the lecturer about is when he says one of the negotiated settlements might include a 'security guarantee'. That is why the US and UK are so ahead in providing heavy weapons so quickly. When Ukraine was persuaded to give up the nuclear weapons (although Russia had the codes) the UK, US and ironically Russia, all agreed to guarantee immediate security in case of an incursion by another country which is exactly what we have now so I don't think Ukraine is going to fall for that 'guarantee' again anytime soon!
@ashecbtb9509
@ashecbtb9509 Год назад
On the other side of the coin, the Minsk agreement was about guaranteeing the security of the Donetsk and Lugansk Regions. Ukraine took now notice, killing 14K people between 2014 and 2022 and continuing arbitrary, random shelling of the areas killing innocent civilians (including children) even days before the Special Military Operation was launched. There are always two sides to each coin.
@anthonypazana6105
@anthonypazana6105 Год назад
@@ashecbtb9509 Its a good thing that there were no Ukrainian casualties and there was no invasion of Ukraine in 2014. You are a bot or a sheep!
@giselapfeifer4666
@giselapfeifer4666 Год назад
Immediate security? - The US interfered in the Ukraine and Russia Response..
@giselapfeifer4666
@giselapfeifer4666 Год назад
and Russia responded
@Seelenverheizer
@Seelenverheizer Год назад
yeah giving a military Guarantee in our modern age is a god damn huge nono
@squealerpig
@squealerpig 2 года назад
I totally disagree. Putin is not nearly so amenable to "serious discussion" as this speaker suggests with his 20/20 hindsight. Speaking to Russia/Putin privately without our allies is a great way to erode trust in the USA.
@richardarriaga6271
@richardarriaga6271 2 года назад
Sounds like what Trump did with the Taliban. Didn't go over well, even if the goal was to evacuate since Biden went with the Trump agreement with the Taliban.
@TorianTammas
@TorianTammas 2 года назад
It is simple you have to tell Putin that any aggression to another country will be his very last and then fullfill your promise.
@mns8732
@mns8732 2 года назад
@Tom: yes, it's little like having some other country fight our wars for us?.
@mns8732
@mns8732 2 года назад
@@TorianTammas You need a history lesson. America has had a difficult time winning.
@motomartinski5672
@motomartinski5672 2 года назад
@lesia gutierrez Budapest Memorandum was a weak fudge - just a bunch of reassuring *sounding* crap, *containing no firm commitment from anyone other than Ukraine* , which gave up it's nuclear deterrent without demanding a sufficient quid quo pro. There was no promise or assurance that Russia, or any of the signatory nations _guaranteed_ Ukraine's territorial integrity or would ever act in support of it's defence. I wish people would actually read key background texts like that worthless document and understand it properly... And perhaps reflect on inadequate agreement statements and the weasel-word difference between such as "affirm" and "guarantee" and so on. Ukraine at the time was just excessively eager to finally free themselves from the USSR... and too trusting.
@simonrisley2177
@simonrisley2177 2 года назад
When you are running a "Q & A" session it always pays to pass a microphone around the audience. (Assuming, of course, that you're even interested in hearing the question in the first place.)
@superchuck3259
@superchuck3259 2 года назад
they want to repeat the lies. lies that they know what Putin is thinking. they do not.
@rickhensen3278
@rickhensen3278 Год назад
PLEASE SPEAK INTO THE MICROPHONE SO VOLUME REMAINS CONSTANT
@arajalali
@arajalali Год назад
What exactly was pleasant about the closing remark?
@alexokunnur8946
@alexokunnur8946 2 года назад
If the "distinguished expert" doesn't mention Donetsk and Luhask republics in his "analysis" but seriously talking about Crimea Platform - such an expert is not worth and hour listening to. All Thomas did - he repeated all major cliches. And that's very sad situation indeed when so called "Russian experts" don't understand the reasons and logic of the events. Or doesn't want to understand?
@Almoniification
@Almoniification Год назад
OSCE, reports from feb.15 to feb.17 (as a comparison), and from feb.18 to feb.23. Add a nomber of citizens of LDPR who had to flee since feb.18 to feb.23. No, distinguished expert will never talk about it, because a distinguished expert's job is to provide a convenient excuse for goverments to keep going with their destructive policies. In simple words, expert has to explain populus, why Ukraine is good and Russia is bad.
@ahmedvawda1282
@ahmedvawda1282 2 года назад
It’s so cool to hear that it’s illegal to invade another country without retribution or recrimination. Good fire side chat with the Iraqis and Libyans I would imagine
@rocambole93
@rocambole93 2 года назад
intervening in lybia was a humanitarian operation....in irak it was all the deceit from bushe's part
@BusinessAnalyzer
@BusinessAnalyzer 2 года назад
@@rocambole93 By that argument (Libya), Russia's war goal is humanitarian.
@rocambole93
@rocambole93 2 года назад
@@BusinessAnalyzer ukraine did not threaten to kill half of the russians population like khadafi did
@marek-kulczycki-8286
@marek-kulczycki-8286 2 года назад
It is only valid if you are unsuccessful. I the other case there is simply no one who could claim such retribution. Your own examples - Iraq and Libya - are perfect.
@macrostheblack2486
@macrostheblack2486 2 года назад
@@rocambole93 in Libya they announced they were going to sell oil for Gold backed currency. The USA removed Gaddafi from power. In Iraq, Saddam announced he was going to sell oil for Euro's. Within 3 months the "weapons of mass destruction" narrative was created and Bush invaded Iraq. Both of these countries now continue to sell oil for USD. Putin wants to be able to sell his commodities for Rubles. China wants to buy oil for Yuan..... the USA will start WW3 to keep them using $USD. This war in Ukraine is all able who controls the financial system, although 99.9% of people don't understand that, and they will never tell you. Ukraine deserves better, from both the USA and Russia.
@chairde
@chairde Год назад
Washington was the only ones who said Russia would invade.
@trajkoivanov7118
@trajkoivanov7118 Год назад
Second question about when it will be done : DEPENDS of many factors . Issues comes out off military, economic and ppolitical questions.
@biankamak3609
@biankamak3609 2 года назад
The opening statement does not include the last 8 years of suffering of the people in the Donbas region. This omission makes all discussions untrustworthy.
@barriecoles1362
@barriecoles1362 2 года назад
Nothing involving the Council for Foreign Relations can EVER EVER be ethical!!!
@eddy358
@eddy358 2 года назад
From what this guy says,it was Ukraine's fault for wanting to be independent,and taking steps against Russians supplanted upon them, . When did NATO or the EU ever stack k any ountry . And how many countries have joined NATO. Germany has done nothing to assist Ukraine,and has shirked it's commitment to NATO ,only to selfishly control the EU .France fares no better.
@thepoetoffall7820
@thepoetoffall7820 Год назад
Why?
@thepoetoffall7820
@thepoetoffall7820 Год назад
@Charles Yuditsky By homework do you mean a conspiracy theory blog or…?
@annalyon8443
@annalyon8443 Год назад
it would be useful if the viewing audience could hear the questions on a microphone, or at least have the speakers repeat the question into the microphone for the You Tube audience.
@miamitrancemissions6425
@miamitrancemissions6425 Год назад
Great video. Thank you!
@aardvarkcustard9696
@aardvarkcustard9696 2 года назад
No assessment, unless I missed it, of the effect of sanctions and gass/petrol politics on the outcome of this war and Ru's future.
@manilajohn0182
@manilajohn0182 2 года назад
Well, sanctions against the Russian Federation have caused the Russian GDP to drop by an estimated 10%. If the Russians lose in Ukraine, their GDP will drop by approximately 50%. This being the case, it's safe to say that sanctions are small potatoes. By the same token, western investment in Ukraine is a major factor in the run- up to this conflict- primarily because of the large reserves of natural gas discovered there in 2012. This is one of the two major reasons for the conflict.
@bosoerjadi2838
@bosoerjadi2838 2 года назад
Professor Bartow's comment/question was the best part. From 39:00
@kkkriv7407
@kkkriv7407 2 года назад
Meh. Prof. wasn't listening carefully to what Graham had ALREADY addressed.on NATO.., as he definitely sounds like he's compromised & caught up in the ridiculously oversimplified MSM narrative on this 8-year conflict. -First. Second. The fact he said, "Russia committed *unlawful aggression* so they don't deserve a say in negotiating, is once laughably ludicrous , and again compromised by a false narrative . BOth you and this dude need a good dose of professor John Mearsheimer, ... all his current interviews and especially his 26 MILLION- view , six-year-old lecture on the Ukraine crisis at the time. Great power politics has its own set of rules, just let the US military tell you about it 🤣. ( maybe look at the *Bay of Pigs* Cuban missile crisis.. hmm? For a pretty close parallel, ironic example. Oh.. Except maybe exchange Cuba with MEXICO,... ya know, who's on our border.😏) Then y'all read our US MONROE Document. Look it up --Learn how great power countries operate! 🤷‍♀️
@nunyabusiness863
@nunyabusiness863 2 года назад
Interestingly I've heard a lot academics often complain about a lack of transparency.
@grafixbyjorj
@grafixbyjorj 2 года назад
Yes, at least there was somebody in the room prepared to point out that US/Russia negotiations over the fate of Ukraine amounts to Molotov-Ribbentrop all over again. I guess he has actually spoken to some east/central Europeans, which Graham either hasn't or has chosen to ignore. Any civilised person should be hoping that the end point of this is the economic, military and political collapse of Russia, probably in that order, followed by a decade or two in the wilderness while they reorganise themselves and prove themselves suitable for readmission to the civilised world.
@bosoerjadi2838
@bosoerjadi2838 2 года назад
@@grafixbyjorj According to Zeihan Russia's economy is doomed to collapse anyway, if only because of demography. Let's hope that the collapse won't be as sudden and complete as the USSR's collapse in 1991. A sudden political vacuum the size of Russia isn't advancing a stable world, thinking of China and Siberia.
@susanandrew5240
@susanandrew5240 Год назад
@@grafixbyjorj This would be somewhat acceptable if there is a restitution clause for Ukraine considering Russia caused this disaster
@gsCubaCastillo
@gsCubaCastillo Год назад
Mittelmässig Analyse.
@mguzjebesku2591
@mguzjebesku2591 2 года назад
3:08 "to contain USSR that is Russia" - this distinguished gentlemen doesn't understand that it is not even close to same. An expert for western Europe wouldn't say "United Kingdom that is England" or "US that is Texas" or "EU that is Germany". Can not even listen that simple man hegemonic thoughts further.
@katalinrobin6222
@katalinrobin6222 2 года назад
it only proves that this so called gentleman knows very little. Waste of time.
@NeoCynic1
@NeoCynic1 Год назад
NATO propagandists are intellectual pygmies with historical amnesia.
@ahconscience4279
@ahconscience4279 Год назад
I agree. USSR is NOT Russia today ! Russia a free and sovereign state that returned the priesthood of the church that the USSR killed entirely in its time.
@asmundukkelberg8741
@asmundukkelberg8741 Год назад
Great response, Guzjebesku. The Ukrainian ambassador to Norway pointed this out clearly. He said that the Red Army that liberated northern Norway in 1945, was something completely different from the Russian aggressors that are invading Ukraine now.
@BruceNitroxpro
@BruceNitroxpro 2 года назад
This fellow seems to be living in an alternate universe. One where Putan was sane. One where we had an idea of what we were going to do. Also, he is NOT willing to admit: his bias for the Russians.
@brettmurphy7588
@brettmurphy7588 2 года назад
Painting an opponent as insane is a convenient excuse to avoid negotiations. Putin, while ruthless, has never presented himself as insane, and if anything it looks like he believes his own propaganda. Analyzing the situation from Russian perspective as well, is critical to finding a path to peace.
@jonpender
@jonpender 2 года назад
He is an American Putin versteher.
@raydavis6644
@raydavis6644 2 года назад
RUSSIA HAS MANY MANY PROBLEMS
@fsaldan1
@fsaldan1 2 года назад
Right from the beginning when he was saying "Russia sees it ..." or something similar when what was happening was that Putin, not Russia, was seeing it that way, it was clear his mind was twisted.
@LA-kc7ev
@LA-kc7ev 2 года назад
Exactly. Thank you.
@svenno9304
@svenno9304 2 года назад
Yes, Merkel and Hollande kept Ukraine from joining in 2008, but there has been close cooperation between NATO members and the Ukraine after 2014 in the form of military maneuvers, training and equipping forces etc. This can not be disregarded.
@martinneumeyer9282
@martinneumeyer9282 2 года назад
USA and communist Russia - both must fall to free Europe!
@Figlosof
@Figlosof 2 года назад
Hmmm... And what happened in 2014?
@thepcfd
@thepcfd 2 года назад
@@Figlosof coup in ukraine.
@Figlosof
@Figlosof 2 года назад
@@thepcfd Yanukovych run away after his men kill more than a hundred people in a broad day light. His own party disown him ffs. But even if that was a real "coup" is still doesn't give a right for another nation to annex territories.
@conanobroin1687
@conanobroin1687 2 года назад
Sarkozy was the President of France in 2008, not Hollande.
@rnedmondson
@rnedmondson Год назад
When dealing with a complex and multi-faceted situation like the current Russia-Ukraine war, it is very important that discussions should be broad-based and should cover a full range of views and opinions. I found myself disagreeing with many of the points presented by Dr Graham and would have welcomed a panel discussion by specialists and experts with alternative views and opinions to those of Dr Graham. The presentation seemed to be very one-sided although I may have missed any challenge to his views at the end of the discussion. I also have to say that the war in Ukraine has now moved on from the situation on the 17th May and prognostications about the future given at that time do not now seem of much value (early August). Situation reports on an ongoing war have a very short useful lifespan and are of limited value in making long-term predictions about the future. Again, I feel a panel discussion which could have discussed a range of possible outcomes and scenarios would have been more useful.
@katpuss6564
@katpuss6564 Год назад
Would have been even more useful had this discussion been fronted by people who were not CIA assets.
@BabyBoyMcCoy
@BabyBoyMcCoy Год назад
Shame on the US! The US has no dog in the fight and should be leading the arguments for peace.
@user-ej8ld3gw4y
@user-ej8ld3gw4y Год назад
Hear hear!
@insylogo
@insylogo 2 года назад
My favorite line is how you say the US should have sat down with Russia in secret bilateral communications. How could we know that hasn't occurred?
@Kurtlane
@Kurtlane 2 года назад
Please watch Andrei Illarionov. He not only talks about these communications, but discloses what was in them. It isn't pretty.
@freedahlogic8368
@freedahlogic8368 2 года назад
How do you negotiate with someone who is being disingenuous and has an agenda they intend to pursue regardless of how much you compromise. Some people are just aggressive… The mistake some people make about the kinds of people described as ‘liberals’ is that they avoid conflict at all costs. This really isn’t true. A more accurate assessment is they tend to want to avoid conflict unless it’s required to stand up to bullies. Big difference.
@matt.willoughby
@matt.willoughby 2 года назад
Which video is that?
@eekiane1921
@eekiane1921 2 года назад
It might have but I would bet it didn't because the American foreign policy top of the Agenda is to destroy Russia and undermine Putins power. It's sad but our politicians have a way of not realising we are interconnected and we all need eachother. It doesn't matter what colour our skin is or what part of the world we come from, as humans we need eachother and the day we and our politicians realise that, the better our experience on this earth will be.
@Kurtlane
@Kurtlane 2 года назад
@@eekiane1921 , oh no. Another "blame it on America" guy. I suppose Putin is innocent in all that's happened. Maybe he is the one that needs to realize the interconnectedness of everything.
@TotalRookie_LV
@TotalRookie_LV 2 года назад
Not filled gas storage was no coincidence, it _only_ happened in those cases, where Russian / Kremlin's companies directly or through subsidiaries owned those gas facilities. This energy crisis was intentionally designed.
@James-bs8bd
@James-bs8bd 2 года назад
Check into the Russian-Opec oil war
@TotalRookie_LV
@TotalRookie_LV 2 года назад
@@James-bs8bd Oh, that one was relatively recent and quite hilarious - Russian dummies believed themselves to be able to push around world's largest oil producers.
@mikemorehead5794
@mikemorehead5794 Год назад
How are those sanctions working? We are led by children in the west.
@TotalRookie_LV
@TotalRookie_LV Год назад
@@mikemorehead5794 They are working by depriving Russian usurper an dhis gan gof money , in oreder to drender Russia much less dangerous, as it will not be able to either produce or buy modern weapons (they are already lagging behind anyway). - sicerelly yours Captain Obvious
@TotalRookie_LV
@TotalRookie_LV Год назад
@Gregory Jones They did. Russians used an excuse, that that they are supplying according to contract, well, yes - the _minimum_ amount according to contract, but that was less than was supplied before and much less than customers were demanding at that time. Russia simply is not a reliable partner, it will screw you over at any moment whenever possible.
@rainaldkoch9093
@rainaldkoch9093 Год назад
What has been cut out at 52:00? The question is addressed at 56:16.
@lynnmcquillan2338
@lynnmcquillan2338 Год назад
Agreed 🙏
@cyruschadrezzar9873
@cyruschadrezzar9873 2 года назад
“coordination of public opinion can only be managed by a specialized class which operates through “intelligence bureaus.”
@zeigezunt6223
@zeigezunt6223 2 года назад
The biggest problem in all discussions like this one is that American “gurus” like this one judge historic events a without knowing the history. Relations between countries in Europe have hundreds and even more than a thousand years of history. And almost all have roots and live in the past. Trying to analyze today’s situation between Ukraine and Russia without knowing that past is pointless. And this “guru” does not even mentioned that history from X to XXI century. The same was true during the war Balkans in 1990s. Nobody payed any attention to the fact that for Serbians that war was a payback for losing important battle 600 years ago. American analytics may laugh at that, but ask Serbians, and they will tell you.
@dznuts123
@dznuts123 2 года назад
History is not something Americans care about, because we are afraid of looking at our own history: slavery, racism, genocide, wars, assassinations, regime changes... The more you look at America's past actions, the more convinced you would be that the US is the real aggressor and villain.
@zeigezunt6223
@zeigezunt6223 2 года назад
@@dznuts123 I completely disagree with you. First, hating your own country became fashionable over the last 50 years in the US, and it is completely irrelevant in this case. Second, countries of the Old World have so much blood and mistreatment of each other in their history that Americans cannot even imagine. And third, American historians do not understand the relevance and importance of the history for Europeans. For the most part, Americans look forward in their lives trying to improve it. Europeans mostly look back in attempt to find who is responsible for their problems. And this is why America is spearheading all technology advancements, and the rest of the world only follows. My point about this lecturer is very simple. He is looking at the problem between Russia and Ukraine seeing only the last 100 years or so. And the problem goes more than a millennium back to the X century, to the time of Vladimir the Great ruling that land from his capital Kiev, and bringing Orthodox Christianity into this land from Byzantine Empire in 988. Moscow did not exist at that time at all. First time it was mentioned 200 years later. And now, when Moscow want to rule this land they are trying to make historical claims, etc., but they have no foundation to claim their rights! And that is the problem for them. This is why they are trying to destroy Ukraine!!! For most of the people in the West that may sound laughable, but that points only to how much misunderstanding of Russia and what drives it there is in the US and the rest of the Western World.
@dznuts123
@dznuts123 2 года назад
@@zeigezunt6223 The problem is the US hasn’t learned from its mistakes or tried to be a better player on the international stage. This is actually the same case that you describe, albeit for different countries. History still very much influences the US’s actions.
@thevoxdeus
@thevoxdeus 2 года назад
If you are worrying about trying to "pay back" something which happened 500 years before you were born (ie didn't happen to you, wasn't perpetrated by the people you're fighting, and has no *real* effect on your life) then you are pathetic, and deserve whatever terrible result befalls you. Appealing to ancient history is even worse than just saying "because I feel like it," because at least pure selfishness as a motive is *honest*, whereas ancient history is no better than superstition. None of us were there 500 or 1000 years ago and we have no idea what really happened, only what we were told. History is an important lens to understand how things became as they are, but it is no justification to do evil.
@zeigezunt6223
@zeigezunt6223 2 года назад
@@thevoxdeus You are confirming exactly what I said about Americans trying to analyze European events without any understanding what is behind them, what drives people to behave the way they do. You can call people "pathetic" as much as you want, you can judge them, tell them that they are horrible and wrong, but doing so you do not gain any understanding of why people behave that way, and thus your conclusion are of no use.
@dj098
@dj098 Год назад
If the US was fully aware of the scope and power of Russia's military capabilities and had the accurate intelligence data on Russia's imminent attack on Ukraine, why weren't they more resolute in trying to initiate diplomatic resolution of the problem? It seems that both USA and Russia were engaged in a waiting game of sorts, trying to assess and test each other's plans and ambitions. Did Washington probably think that Putin's invasion was just an effort to try to strengthen political pressure via military posturing, and that open war would probably be something that both sides would try to avoid? This would makes sense if we take seriously prof. Graham's assumption that Putin would be happy with NATO's retreat from Ukraine's territory, along with the incorporation of smaller parts od eastern Ukraine into Russia's sphere of influence. It seems to me that there's a lot of speculation on what would be the optimal scenario for everyone, but I suspect that's in part because we don't really know the crucial details of Russia's true agenda.
@flashgordon6670
@flashgordon6670 Год назад
The Tale of Jack Kiev. Once upon a time, there was a small boy, called Jack Kiev. He was 12 years old and was an orphan. When his mother died recently, he inherited her cottage, with a little bit of land. He worked hard all day every day, cultivating his plot and producing a good yield. He had some extra vegetables and chickens, so he took them to the market for sale. At the market, the elder sons and daughters, of the Otan Family, came and bought his produce. They asked the boy, “Who is in charge of the business, as we need a regular supply? We would like to discuss business and come to some arrangement.” Jack said, “I’m in charge of the business! For I am an orphan and I will supply your needs.” So they signed a contract and Jack’s spirits were lifted, for he was quite sad and lonely. Once a week he went to the Otan household and delivered the wares that they needed and they paid him kindly. Sometime soon after, the Otan Family asked Jack to help with some chores, cutting grass and painting the shed. The Otan house, was very large with many rooms, for they had 16 sons and 17 daughters, who were always kind to Jack, so they became good friends. Jack was overjoyed with finding friendship with the Otan Family. Jack was always hardworking and never failed to be productive. As his own homestead and finance grew, he bought some sheep and reared lambs. Old Father Sam Otan was pleased with Jack. So when Jack turned 14, he made a promise to him. “When you turn 16, you can marry, whichever of my daughters that you find to be most beautiful and you will be my Son!” Jack nearly fainted and cried aloud, “Thank you Father Sam! God has truly blessed me! May Heaven and Earth hold dear to your promise.” One month later, an angry bear from the forest, came upon Jack’s cottage and ravaged his flock and stole some sheep. Jack was mortified and ran to the Otan house. “Help help! There’s a bear at my home, who’s killed my sheep!” The Otan Family were shocked and said, “Don’t worry we will stand by you and help to fight the bear.” So they sent two of the younger sons, who brought their slings and spears and went with Jack to fight the bear. But the bear was too big and strong for them to kill it. But they managed to scare the bear enough, so that it went away. “Thank you for your help!” said Jack and the two sons went back to their home. A couple of weeks passed by and the angry bear came back to Jack’s cottage, killing and eating some lambs. Jack ran to the Otans, “Help help! The bear has come back!” So three of the sons, went with Jack and they all fought against the bear. This time the bear hurt Jack and killed one of the sons and then went back to his lair. The sons went back to their home and reported the news. Two more weeks passed by and the bear came back to Jack’s cottage. It caused great damage to the chicken shed, broke some fences and killed all the chickens. Jack ran back to the Otans and this time, four of the sons, all armed with new swords and shields, went with Jack to fight the bear. They fought for many hours but the bear was too big and strong, even for all of the sons. The bear was enraged, bc it’s foot was hurt by them. It killed two of the sons and wounded the others and then went back to its lair. Two weeks later, the bear and its mate, came upon Jack’s cottage. They killed all the remaining lambs and knocked over a burning lantern, the lantern caught fire to the barn and store houses, destroying all the produce, This time the bears quickly left, before they could be attacked. Jack ran to the Otans, “Help the bears have attacked my home and the place is on fire!” So the Otan Family all quickly went and helped to extinguish the blaze. Five of the sons all stayed with Jack, “We’ll help to rebuild the farm and this time we’ll stay with you, to guard against the bears. They all worked hard to rebuild the farm and the Otans pitched their tent next to Jack’s cottage. But the bears came in the night and killed three of the sons as they slept. Jack and the other two sons ran back to Old Sam Otan and reported the news. Old Sam Otan wept bitterly in his grief and the shock nearly killed him. “Right this time, take some horses and wear armour and buy some new lances and we’ll finish the bears off for good. So six of the sons saddled their horses and went to find the bears. They rode to the forest and crossed the stream that runs from the mountains. They rode for four days and eventually found the bears trail. The eldest son said, “Right we’ll camp here for the night and at dawn we’ll attack the bears. What could possibly go wrong?” The bears caught the scent of the Otan party and came upon them in the darkness. The great bear with his mate and all their cubs with them. They killed all the horses and all of the sons as well, except one who barely managed to escape. He ran all the way home and reported the news. Old Father Otan, his wife and remaining children were stricken with grief. They held council and after many days, they came up with a plan. “Right!” said Old Sam Otan, “I’ve had enough of this great bear! I’ve lost 11 of my sons and we only have 5 left. 7 of my daughters are strong and old enough to fight, as well as any man. We’ll all go to Jack’s cottage together that makes 12 and myself 13. We’ll make traps and build strong fences and walls around the farm.” So they all went to Jack’s farm and did as they had planned and two weeks later the great bear, came to Jack’s farm with his family. The bear saw how strong the defences were, he hesitated and looked across the valley. He saw the Otan house with no walls and no one there, except some young girls and old mother Otan. He had grown tired of the taste of lambs, chickens and horses and now he wanted something else. So the great bear and his family went back to the forest and waited for night to come. He took his family to the Otan house and then charged in with speed and fury. All the bears smashed the doors and windows open and ran through the house, but there was no one there, the house was empty. All of a sudden there was a blast of hunting horns and a great cacophony of noise. The house was surrounded by Jack and all the Otans. Old mother Otan had been warned, by her pet falcon, of an approaching danger and had left with her daughters and gone to her sister’s house. She had sent a carrier pigeon to Old Sam Otan at Jack’s cottage, who ambushed the bears. “Fire!” Screamed Old Sam Otan at the top of his voice and they all hurled their burning torches at the house. Some of the bears ran out and were cut down as they ran and the house burned to the ground. Old Sam Otan and his company went through the ashes and counted all the dead bears. “They’re all here!” said the eldest son, after laying the bears bodies out. “No wait a minute, there’s one missing!” They all scouted around the area, but the mate of the late great bear, was nowhere to be found.... The end?
@virgiliustancu9293
@virgiliustancu9293 2 года назад
We will see the winner of this war after the next winter when Russia will close the gas, the petrol and the grains for Europe.
@marianlenehan9618
@marianlenehan9618 2 года назад
Great monologue. Shame that the simplicity of getting a microphone to peoples asking questions wasn’t mastered!!!!
@superchuck3259
@superchuck3259 2 года назад
They just want to lecture us. They are scared. Really scared of Putin. If Putin was not winning, why be scared?
@markhonea2461
@markhonea2461 2 года назад
Perhaps a response wasn't prioritized.
@HristovVojnikUOtadzbini
@HristovVojnikUOtadzbini 2 года назад
Technology will come if needed
@AndreasDelleske
@AndreasDelleske 2 года назад
I bet they did not realize they were speaking to half a million viewers within 7 days...
@superchuck3259
@superchuck3259 2 года назад
@@AndreasDelleske Yep, people are really searching for real info. Not some fake party line!
@user-sn6ci3rd4m
@user-sn6ci3rd4m 2 года назад
"we were supplying them weapons for an insurgency not the heavy weapons to support them militarily" two points here one we did not know the Ukrainians would fight and two we were trying not to give Putin an excuse for attacking at that time. This is your typical hindsight thinking. I would not place much creedence on anything this guy says based on this one view of his work.
@NicuMarius
@NicuMarius 2 года назад
Yes ...this guy is nothing ...1 h of nothing, and complains about USA with no good resons.
@alw3203
@alw3203 2 года назад
it was a good over view some things i disagreed with but interesting to hear how many time have the usa given a country all the arms it need and they fell the second they usa leave (afgan ,the nam ) may be they they where just learning from the past and got it wrong the ukraines have some fight in them
@zombiestory6353
@zombiestory6353 2 года назад
Dude it's been obvious for a long time ukrainians were willing to fight that was never the problem anyone who even suspected they would not was deluded kind of like Putin
@LordOfLight
@LordOfLight 2 года назад
BS. He wasn't criticising, he was simply stating a fact that was relevant in that context.
@marek-kulczycki-8286
@marek-kulczycki-8286 2 года назад
The second - maybe, but I think you knew very well how this will play out, what will be Ukrainian stance etc. Ukrainian army has been being trained by NATO experts for years. You can judge the level of cooperation by the quality of the intelligence feed. It cannot be developed in days or weeks. The masterminds who did strategic planning they knew perfectly what number of tanks, howitzers, cannons does Ukraine have. They did not deliver more (then needed) prematurely in order: a) not to scare Russia and thus prevent the war b) not to end the war prematurely, with little loses to Russia In order to diminish military potential of Putin's army it had to be dragged into an ambush, then methodically destroyed. Thus the whole Ukraine is a one big ambush, which goal is to - ironically - to demilitarize, neutralize and denazify Russia. That plan is ambitious but risky and it's hard to tell who is winning. Russia has a great losses, but if they stop in the right moment, they can turn the situation into their advantage: they will slowly cut pieces of Ukraine, like Israel is doing with Palestine. In a way both sides can be victorious: NATO's gain will be in reducing Russia's military power and binding their forces in the region of conflict. Russia will increase it's gains in Donbass, it will get Mariupol, Melitopol and Kherson with prospects for future gains. It will also consolidate own society, as they are now defending themselves against the whole World. These are substantial gains, though for a very high cost.
@danielmazur3203
@danielmazur3203 Год назад
Min 38-40: It is a nice theory that "each party has to make a compromise". I am wondering, if the professor would make a compromise and what compromise he would be happy with, if he had to negotiate with a party demanding that his country must cease to exist, because it is artificial anyway. What position would he retreat to?
@cliffordbenjamin3899
@cliffordbenjamin3899 Год назад
This Wilson Institute presentation by Dr. Graham is the best I have watched. It is an eye opener.
@thomastaylor9586
@thomastaylor9586 Год назад
Crafted nonsense is dangerous
@Turbo999be
@Turbo999be Год назад
He is completely wrong on about anything he is talking about in this video. His assessment is false, his assumptions is based on nothing and his conclusions will be proven completely wrong. I really don't know what actually opened your eyes and on what kind of infos.
@willyjimmy8881
@willyjimmy8881 Год назад
The best of what? He doesn't consider the civil war already brewing in Ukraine or the seemingly inevitable on attack on Crimea by Ukraine. He frames it as a singular issue and totally siloed away from the invasion plans of Russia's "ally" China into Taiwan. He doesn't consider Putin's clearly stated goal of reconstituting the former USSR. The struggle over the routing of gas and oil pipelines through Ukraine also didn't seem to be a partmof his anaysis despite the fact it's been an issue for almost a decade now. He still seems to think a settled agreement includes Crimea staying under Russian occupation which has been thoroughly ruled out by Zelenski, and why wouldn't Ukraine rule it out as it was almost universally accepted as an illegal invasion. And there are more than just 2 potential outcomes as he claims. For example the west, including the US forcing a negotiation by Ukraine by cutting off arms shipments, the collapse of the Russian Federation after Putin's death, a coup from within Russia driven by increasingly negative public opinion of Putin's performance as it drags on, among others. He assumes from the beginning that Russia is still a world power. Aside from kicking around African dictators and carpet-bombing Syrian cities Russia hasn't done anything significant in decades. Russia's reliance on fossil fuels as a major component of it's income is becoming a liability and their future is unclear, the economy in general is wrecked, the shrinking population, it's pretty much all bad news in Russia and Putin has ruled over the collapse. This wasn't the best of anything, just amatuer hour.
@flashgordon6670
@flashgordon6670 Год назад
The Tale of Jack Kiev. Once upon a time, there was a small boy, called Jack Kiev. He was 12 years old and was an orphan. When his mother died recently, he inherited her cottage, with a little bit of land. He worked hard all day every day, cultivating his plot and producing a good yield. He had some extra vegetables and chickens, so he took them to the market for sale. At the market, the elder sons and daughters, of the Otan Family, came and bought his produce. They asked the boy, “Who is in charge of the business, as we need a regular supply? We would like to discuss business and come to some arrangement.” Jack said, “I’m in charge of the business! For I am an orphan and I will supply your needs.” So they signed a contract and Jack’s spirits were lifted, for he was quite sad and lonely. Once a week he went to the Otan household and delivered the wares that they needed and they paid him kindly. Sometime soon after, the Otan Family asked Jack to help with some chores, cutting grass and painting the shed. The Otan house, was very large with many rooms, for they had 16 sons and 17 daughters, who were always kind to Jack, so they became good friends. Jack was overjoyed with finding friendship with the Otan Family. Jack was always hardworking and never failed to be productive. As his own homestead and finance grew, he bought some sheep and reared lambs. Old Father Sam Otan was pleased with Jack. So when Jack turned 14, he made a promise to him. “When you turn 16, you can marry, whichever of my daughters that you find to be most beautiful and you will be my Son!” Jack nearly fainted and cried aloud, “Thank you Father Sam! God has truly blessed me! May Heaven and Earth hold dear to your promise.” One month later, an angry bear from the forest, came upon Jack’s cottage and ravaged his flock and stole some sheep. Jack was mortified and ran to the Otan house. “Help help! There’s a bear at my home, who’s killed my sheep!” The Otan Family were shocked and said, “Don’t worry we will stand by you and help to fight the bear.” So they sent two of the younger sons, who brought their slings and spears and went with Jack to fight the bear. But the bear was too big and strong for them to kill it. But they managed to scare the bear enough, so that it went away. “Thank you for your help!” said Jack and the two sons went back to their home. A couple of weeks passed by and the angry bear came back to Jack’s cottage, killing and eating some lambs. Jack ran to the Otans, “Help help! The bear has come back!” So three of the sons, went with Jack and they all fought against the bear. This time the bear hurt Jack and killed one of the sons and then went back to his lair. The sons went back to their home and reported the news. Two more weeks passed by and the bear came back to Jack’s cottage. It caused great damage to the chicken shed, broke some fences and killed all the chickens. Jack ran back to the Otans and this time, four of the sons, all armed with new swords and shields, went with Jack to fight the bear. They fought for many hours but the bear was too big and strong, even for all of the sons. The bear was enraged, bc it’s foot was hurt by them. It killed two of the sons and wounded the others and then went back to its lair. Two weeks later, the bear and its mate, came upon Jack’s cottage. They killed all the remaining lambs and knocked over a burning lantern, the lantern caught fire to the barn and store houses, destroying all the produce, This time the bears quickly left, before they could be attacked. Jack ran to the Otans, “Help the bears have attacked my home and the place is on fire!” So the Otan Family all quickly went and helped to extinguish the blaze. Five of the sons all stayed with Jack, “We’ll help to rebuild the farm and this time we’ll stay with you, to guard against the bears. They all worked hard to rebuild the farm and the Otans pitched their tent next to Jack’s cottage. But the bears came in the night and killed three of the sons as they slept. Jack and the other two sons ran back to Old Sam Otan and reported the news. Old Sam Otan wept bitterly in his grief and the shock nearly killed him. “Right this time, take some horses and wear armour and buy some new lances and we’ll finish the bears off for good. So six of the sons saddled their horses and went to find the bears. They rode to the forest and crossed the stream that runs from the mountains. They rode for four days and eventually found the bears trail. The eldest son said, “Right we’ll camp here for the night and at dawn we’ll attack the bears. What could possibly go wrong?” The bears caught the scent of the Otan party and came upon them in the darkness. The great bear with his mate and all their cubs with them. They killed all the horses and all of the sons as well, except one who barely managed to escape. He ran all the way home and reported the news. Old Father Otan, his wife and remaining children were stricken with grief. They held council and after many days, they came up with a plan. “Right!” said Old Sam Otan, “I’ve had enough of this great bear! I’ve lost 11 of my sons and we only have 5 left. 7 of my daughters are strong and old enough to fight, as well as any man. We’ll all go to Jack’s cottage together that makes 12 and myself 13. We’ll make traps and build strong fences and walls around the farm.” So they all went to Jack’s farm and did as they had planned and two weeks later the great bear, came to Jack’s farm with his family. The bear saw how strong the defences were, he hesitated and looked across the valley. He saw the Otan house with no walls and no one there, except some young girls and old mother Otan. He had grown tired of the taste of lambs, chickens and horses and now he wanted something else. So the great bear and his family went back to the forest and waited for night to come. He took his family to the Otan house and then charged in with speed and fury. All the bears smashed the doors and windows open and ran through the house, but there was no one there, the house was empty. All of a sudden there was a blast of hunting horns and a great cacophony of noise. The house was surrounded by Jack and all the Otans. Old mother Otan had been warned, by her pet falcon, of an approaching danger and had left with her daughters and gone to her sister’s house. She had sent a carrier pigeon to Old Sam Otan at Jack’s cottage, who ambushed the bears. “Fire!” Screamed Old Sam Otan at the top of his voice and they all hurled their burning torches at the house. Some of the bears ran out and were cut down as they ran and the house burned to the ground. Old Sam Otan and his company went through the ashes and counted all the dead bears. “They’re all here!” said the eldest son, after laying the bears bodies out. “No wait a minute, there’s one missing!” They all scouted around the area, but the mate of the late great bear, was nowhere to be found.... The end?
@REwing
@REwing 2 года назад
Was a reasonable summation coming from a person working in America. His last point about being more serious of a conducted settlement is typical of the American view of waging their wars of settlements after destruction!!!!! I will view the rest later, but found this educational.
@flashgordon6670
@flashgordon6670 Год назад
The Tale of Jack Kiev. Once upon a time, there was a small boy, called Jack Kiev. He was 12 years old and was an orphan. When his mother died recently, he inherited her cottage, with a little bit of land. He worked hard all day every day, cultivating his plot and producing a good yield. He had some extra vegetables and chickens, so he took them to the market for sale. At the market, the elder sons and daughters, of the Otan Family, came and bought his produce. They asked the boy, “Who is in charge of the business, as we need a regular supply? We would like to discuss business and come to some arrangement.” Jack said, “I’m in charge of the business! For I am an orphan and I will supply your needs.” So they signed a contract and Jack’s spirits were lifted, for he was quite sad and lonely. Once a week he went to the Otan household and delivered the wares that they needed and they paid him kindly. Sometime soon after, the Otan Family asked Jack to help with some chores, cutting grass and painting the shed. The Otan house, was very large with many rooms, for they had 16 sons and 17 daughters, who were always kind to Jack, so they became good friends. Jack was overjoyed with finding friendship with the Otan Family. Jack was always hardworking and never failed to be productive. As his own homestead and finance grew, he bought some sheep and reared lambs. Old Father Sam Otan was pleased with Jack. So when Jack turned 14, he made a promise to him. “When you turn 16, you can marry, whichever of my daughters that you find to be most beautiful and you will be my Son!” Jack nearly fainted and cried aloud, “Thank you Father Sam! God has truly blessed me! May Heaven and Earth hold dear to your promise.” One month later, an angry bear from the forest, came upon Jack’s cottage and ravaged his flock and stole some sheep. Jack was mortified and ran to the Otan house. “Help help! There’s a bear at my home, who’s killed my sheep!” The Otan Family were shocked and said, “Don’t worry we will stand by you and help to fight the bear.” So they sent two of the younger sons, who brought their slings and spears and went with Jack to fight the bear. But the bear was too big and strong for them to kill it. But they managed to scare the bear enough, so that it went away. “Thank you for your help!” said Jack and the two sons went back to their home. A couple of weeks passed by and the angry bear came back to Jack’s cottage, killing and eating some lambs. Jack ran to the Otans, “Help help! The bear has come back!” So three of the sons, went with Jack and they all fought against the bear. This time the bear hurt Jack and killed one of the sons and then went back to his lair. The sons went back to their home and reported the news. Two more weeks passed by and the bear came back to Jack’s cottage. It caused great damage to the chicken shed, broke some fences and killed all the chickens. Jack ran back to the Otans and this time, four of the sons, all armed with new swords and shields, went with Jack to fight the bear. They fought for many hours but the bear was too big and strong, even for all of the sons. The bear was enraged, bc it’s foot was hurt by them. It killed two of the sons and wounded the others and then went back to its lair. Two weeks later, the bear and its mate, came upon Jack’s cottage. They killed all the remaining lambs and knocked over a burning lantern, the lantern caught fire to the barn and store houses, destroying all the produce, This time the bears quickly left, before they could be attacked. Jack ran to the Otans, “Help the bears have attacked my home and the place is on fire!” So the Otan Family all quickly went and helped to extinguish the blaze. Five of the sons all stayed with Jack, “We’ll help to rebuild the farm and this time we’ll stay with you, to guard against the bears. They all worked hard to rebuild the farm and the Otans pitched their tent next to Jack’s cottage. But the bears came in the night and killed three of the sons as they slept. Jack and the other two sons ran back to Old Sam Otan and reported the news. Old Sam Otan wept bitterly in his grief and the shock nearly killed him. “Right this time, take some horses and wear armour and buy some new lances and we’ll finish the bears off for good. So six of the sons saddled their horses and went to find the bears. They rode to the forest and crossed the stream that runs from the mountains. They rode for four days and eventually found the bears trail. The eldest son said, “Right we’ll camp here for the night and at dawn we’ll attack the bears. What could possibly go wrong?” The bears caught the scent of the Otan party and came upon them in the darkness. The great bear with his mate and all their cubs with them. They killed all the horses and all of the sons as well, except one who barely managed to escape. He ran all the way home and reported the news. Old Father Otan, his wife and remaining children were stricken with grief. They held council and after many days, they came up with a plan. “Right!” said Old Sam Otan, “I’ve had enough of this great bear! I’ve lost 11 of my sons and we only have 5 left. 7 of my daughters are strong and old enough to fight, as well as any man. We’ll all go to Jack’s cottage together that makes 12 and myself 13. We’ll make traps and build strong fences and walls around the farm.” So they all went to Jack’s farm and did as they had planned and two weeks later the great bear, came to Jack’s farm with his family. The bear saw how strong the defences were, he hesitated and looked across the valley. He saw the Otan house with no walls and no one there, except some young girls and old mother Otan. He had grown tired of the taste of lambs, chickens and horses and now he wanted something else. So the great bear and his family went back to the forest and waited for night to come. He took his family to the Otan house and then charged in with speed and fury. All the bears smashed the doors and windows open and ran through the house, but there was no one there, the house was empty. All of a sudden there was a blast of hunting horns and a great cacophony of noise. The house was surrounded by Jack and all the Otans. Old mother Otan had been warned, by her pet falcon, of an approaching danger and had left with her daughters and gone to her sister’s house. She had sent a carrier pigeon to Old Sam Otan at Jack’s cottage, who ambushed the bears. “Fire!” Screamed Old Sam Otan at the top of his voice and they all hurled their burning torches at the house. Some of the bears ran out and were cut down as they ran and the house burned to the ground. Old Sam Otan and his company went through the ashes and counted all the dead bears. “They’re all here!” said the eldest son, after laying the bears bodies out. “No wait a minute, there’s one missing!” They all scouted around the area, but the mate of the late great bear, was nowhere to be found..... The end?
@Kwarktaschnir
@Kwarktaschnir 2 года назад
12:30 "You add to that the Europeans failure to fill the gas storage facilities adequately" is just wrong. Gasprom Germania - which runs the storage facilities - belongs to Russia and they let the storage empty out in a strategic move to use gas supply as a weapon.
@tolpacourt
@tolpacourt 2 года назад
HAHAHAHAHAHA!
@stevenlight5006
@stevenlight5006 2 года назад
Would not you do the same?
@tonyb9735
@tonyb9735 2 года назад
@@stevenlight5006 Not if I was trying to win a long term peace, no. All this has done is ensure that the entire continent of Europe will wean itself off Russian energy as fast as it can, so that it can never again be held hostage. It is the biggest own goal, possibly ever. The Russian economy may never recover.
@Kwarktaschnir
@Kwarktaschnir 2 года назад
Would I have done the same if I were Putin? The same being: Attacking a neighbour to restore some 19th century imperialistic dream of a Russian empire? Preparing the war by betraying the trust of the Germans who put their strategic gas reserves in the hand of a foreign nation? Lying in the face of Western diplomats who sat at that ridiculously long table for a year although I had already decided to invade? Indiscriminately shelling civilians, hospitals and schools? No, I wouldn't have.
@mariadamen7886
@mariadamen7886 2 года назад
Not true, the delivery of gas through NS2 was ready except for the valves to be opened. When you go to the shop to buy something you only get the item after paying. The same is true in the case of gasdelivery. The problems arose when European countries refused to pay. You're totally overlooking the power of the us and their crimnal behaivour re Europe and the EU.
@stephens1950
@stephens1950 Год назад
EU needs to fix their own problems
@simonrisley2177
@simonrisley2177 Год назад
A very interesting talk. Spoiled by the fact that, when opened up to the floor, the questions were virtually inaudible! Why, oh why, can't a microphone be passed around so that we can actually HEAR the question being asked? (It's hardly rocket science!)
@mikeswanson6145
@mikeswanson6145 2 года назад
We need to stop to figuring out what our interests are and start looking at what is right vs wrong
@joni8090
@joni8090 2 года назад
Try telling a global arms dealer that selling weapons is Wrong 🤣
@russellwilliams3209
@russellwilliams3209 2 года назад
@@joni8090 It is actually very simple. Mind your own business.
@lavendereucalyptus3225
@lavendereucalyptus3225 2 года назад
Please go tell United States of Arsenal (aka USA), every foreign policy of USA is basing on its SELFISH interest at all cost of OTHERS.
@grafixbyjorj
@grafixbyjorj 2 года назад
"Our interests" and "right vs wrong" coincide exactly at the 1991 borders, because any other settlement sends a dangerous signal to both Russia others with imperial ambitions that borders can be moved by force.
@joni8090
@joni8090 2 года назад
@@russellwilliams3209 Oh I'm so Sorry I didn't know I had to ask for your Permission to respond to RU-vid !! Did I touch one of your Nerves ! 🤣
@jerzykaltenberg298
@jerzykaltenberg298 2 года назад
when was this recorded? Graham, refers to Putin _maybe_ making the victory day speech ( 9th) from Kyiv, and not sure about Mariupol, those are al done options by now , and certainly by the 17th
@superchuck3259
@superchuck3259 2 года назад
Repeat a lie is what this video is about. Calmly said what you think Putin is thinking. keep speculating and making stuff up. they do not know!
@davidwhite6617
@davidwhite6617 Год назад
Put it in simple terms. If I choose to put up a fence to secure my property from my neighbor. My neighbor may not agree, but that is my choice. It does not mean that my neighbor can just come and break down my fence and occupy my property just because he doesn't like my fence!
@guidopaoluzicusani2185
@guidopaoluzicusani2185 Год назад
It was quite good and it has not aged bad at all. It would be nice to get an update eview from Dr. Graham one month on, given the current dynamics
@katpuss6564
@katpuss6564 Год назад
here is a review: ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-JrMiSQAGOS4.html
@homayounshirazi9550
@homayounshirazi9550 Год назад
MUCH TO THE DISLIKE OF THE ELITES IN WASHINGTON WHO ARE ENGAGED IN DISSEMINATION OF FALSEHOOD BY THE SPREAD OF FAKE NEWS ABOUT UKRAINE.
@flashgordon6670
@flashgordon6670 Год назад
The Tale of Jack Kiev. Once upon a time, there was a small boy, called Jack Kiev. He was 12 years old and was an orphan. When his mother died recently, he inherited her cottage, with a little bit of land. He worked hard all day every day, cultivating his plot and producing a good yield. He had some extra vegetables and chickens, so he took them to the market for sale. At the market, the elder sons and daughters, of the Otan Family, came and bought his produce. They asked the boy, “Who is in charge of the business, as we need a regular supply? We would like to discuss business and come to some arrangement.” Jack said, “I’m in charge of the business! For I am an orphan and I will supply your needs.” So they signed a contract and Jack’s spirits were lifted, for he was quite sad and lonely. Once a week he went to the Otan household and delivered the wares that they needed and they paid him kindly. Sometime soon after, the Otan Family asked Jack to help with some chores, cutting grass and painting the shed. The Otan house, was very large with many rooms, for they had 16 sons and 17 daughters, who were always kind to Jack, so they became good friends. Jack was overjoyed with finding friendship with the Otan Family. Jack was always hardworking and never failed to be productive. As his own homestead and finance grew, he bought some sheep and reared lambs. Old Father Sam Otan was pleased with Jack. So when Jack turned 14, he made a promise to him. “When you turn 16, you can marry, whichever of my daughters that you find to be most beautiful and you will be my Son!” Jack nearly fainted and cried aloud, “Thank you Father Sam! God has truly blessed me! May Heaven and Earth hold dear to your promise.” One month later, an angry bear from the forest, came upon Jack’s cottage and ravaged his flock and stole some sheep. Jack was mortified and ran to the Otan house. “Help help! There’s a bear at my home, who’s killed my sheep!” The Otan Family were shocked and said, “Don’t worry we will stand by you and help to fight the bear.” So they sent two of the younger sons, who brought their slings and spears and went with Jack to fight the bear. But the bear was too big and strong for them to kill it. But they managed to scare the bear enough, so that it went away. “Thank you for your help!” said Jack and the two sons went back to their home. A couple of weeks passed by and the angry bear came back to Jack’s cottage, killing and eating some lambs. Jack ran to the Otans, “Help help! The bear has come back!” So three of the sons, went with Jack and they all fought against the bear. This time the bear hurt Jack and killed one of the sons and then went back to his lair. The sons went back to their home and reported the news. Two more weeks passed by and the bear came back to Jack’s cottage. It caused great damage to the chicken shed, broke some fences and killed all the chickens. Jack ran back to the Otans and this time, four of the sons, all armed with new swords and shields, went with Jack to fight the bear. They fought for many hours but the bear was too big and strong, even for all of the sons. The bear was enraged, bc it’s foot was hurt by them. It killed two of the sons and wounded the others and then went back to its lair. Two weeks later, the bear and its mate, came upon Jack’s cottage. They killed all the remaining lambs and knocked over a burning lantern, the lantern caught fire to the barn and store houses, destroying all the produce, This time the bears quickly left, before they could be attacked. Jack ran to the Otans, “Help the bears have attacked my home and the place is on fire!” So the Otan Family all quickly went and helped to extinguish the blaze. Five of the sons all stayed with Jack, “We’ll help to rebuild the farm and this time we’ll stay with you, to guard against the bears. They all worked hard to rebuild the farm and the Otans pitched their tent next to Jack’s cottage. But the bears came in the night and killed three of the sons as they slept. Jack and the other two sons ran back to Old Sam Otan and reported the news. Old Sam Otan wept bitterly in his grief and the shock nearly killed him. “Right this time, take some horses and wear armour and buy some new lances and we’ll finish the bears off for good. So six of the sons saddled their horses and went to find the bears. They rode to the forest and crossed the stream that runs from the mountains. They rode for four days and eventually found the bears trail. The eldest son said, “Right we’ll camp here for the night and at dawn we’ll attack the bears. What could possibly go wrong?” The bears caught the scent of the Otan party and came upon them in the darkness. The great bear with his mate and all their cubs with them. They killed all the horses and all of the sons as well, except one who barely managed to escape. He ran all the way home and reported the news. Old Father Otan, his wife and remaining children were stricken with grief. They held council and after many days, they came up with a plan. “Right!” said Old Sam Otan, “I’ve had enough of this great bear! I’ve lost 11 of my sons and we only have 5 left. 7 of my daughters are strong and old enough to fight, as well as any man. We’ll all go to Jack’s cottage together that makes 12 and myself 13. We’ll make traps and build strong fences and walls around the farm.” So they all went to Jack’s farm and did as they had planned and two weeks later the great bear, came to Jack’s farm with his family. The bear saw how strong the defences were, he hesitated and looked across the valley. He saw the Otan house with no walls and no one there, except some young girls and old mother Otan. He had grown tired of the taste of lambs, chickens and horses and now he wanted something else. So the great bear and his family went back to the forest and waited for night to come. He took his family to the Otan house and then charged in with speed and fury. All the bears smashed the doors and windows open and ran through the house, but there was no one there, the house was empty. All of a sudden there was a blast of hunting horns and a great cacophony of noise. The house was surrounded by Jack and all the Otans. Old mother Otan had been warned, by her pet falcon, of an approaching danger and had left with her daughters and gone to her sister’s house. She had sent a carrier pigeon to Old Sam Otan at Jack’s cottage, who ambushed the bears. “Fire!” Screamed Old Sam Otan at the top of his voice and they all hurled their burning torches at the house. Some of the bears ran out and were cut down as they ran and the house burned to the ground. Old Sam Otan and his company went through the ashes and counted all the dead bears. “They’re all here!” said the eldest son, after laying the bears bodies out. “No wait a minute, there’s one missing!” They all scouted around the area, but the mate of the late great bear, was nowhere to be found..... The end?
@PRAR1966
@PRAR1966 2 года назад
Wow sounds just like the same conversation the US had about Europe at the start of ww2 .
@kodurivenkatanarayana5929
@kodurivenkatanarayana5929 Год назад
Please read history, it would be helpful for a responsive and responsible guy like you. After all , it is guys like you and me who fix a policy. No offense, bro but a suggestion. Thanks and Peace.
@katpuss6564
@katpuss6564 Год назад
Peter - EXACTLY!!! And the same old rhetoric that preceded Iraq/ Afghanistan/Libya and Syria. Not to mention Lebanon/Egypt/Etitrea/Somalia/Ethoipia/Yemen. The Vampire Parasites and their attack dogs NATO and the MAFIA will never be content until they own ALL the world's resources and are left with only a few slaves to work their precious metal/diamond/opal mines and oil drilling rigs. What is so special about Ukraine all of a sudden? Open Wiki and see what they are sitting on. Billions in untapped resources that the investors have already paid a deposit on. That's why they won't negotiate with Russia. For after Ukraine it will be on to Russia that has more minerals and precious resources than ALL THE REST OF THE WORLD PUT TOGETHER. Never forget the role of Rothschild and Rockefellers who actually control the whole shebang.....
@cycycgcxdhettyg4948
@cycycgcxdhettyg4948 2 года назад
Can't have the public knowing what is going on in their own government.
@NuncNuncNuncNunc
@NuncNuncNuncNunc Год назад
That is typically how diplomacy is done. Imagine electing leaders to conduct diplomacy, crazy!
@jamshedsethna3428
@jamshedsethna3428 Год назад
End of US hegemony. Africa, Latin America and Asia want US to stop their so called rules based order.
@johnsabou6945
@johnsabou6945 Год назад
I do appreciate these discussions, as it shows what the line of thought is from a western perspective regarding the lead-up to the war and where we are now. However, their proposed solution of an eventual partition of Ukraine, as well as its rejection to NATO as a compromise for ending the war is a fatal mistake. In the annals of Russian power, displays of strength and brutality are what make and break empires. Concession would only reinforce Putin's (and the Russian elite) conviction that now is the time to push hard at dismantling the liberal international order. Appeasement, just as in WWII, would bring Russia closer to direct confrontation with NATO.
@mikemorehead5794
@mikemorehead5794 Год назад
"Liberal international order"? The west continues to pretend. No such thing outside of their imagination
@williamneil8862
@williamneil8862 Год назад
thanks John, I think you are right, much as Biden and NATO don't want to hear that. Eventually to save Ukraine from a rout, it will mean boots on the ground, planes in the air, and A-10 Warthogs going after all that Russian artillery and rocketry. From wherever it is firing. Had the US, Briton, France and Poland even sent a regiment each before the invasion - since their intelligence proved so accurate - sent them to the vicinity of the major cities but not right to the Russian border, Putin might not have done it. Putin has read us and especially Biden and Germans the way the Nazi leadership read the West, 1935-1939, especially the failure to intervene in the Spanish Civil War, 1936-1938. Now it's hell to pay, with the bill mainly due in Ukrainian blood and structures, all of civil society in ruin in many parts of their country. I'm on the left, but I break with them on this issue.
@Mawrdew
@Mawrdew Год назад
(Disclaimer: I’m not the lady in the helmet, but she hangs w/ me a lot.) The complaint about “institutes” being off-base is utterly clueless, and typical of ignorant Yanks who demand definitive facts about deeply nuanced situations, and recklessly disclaim responsibility for contributing to sort out the fog of (not so much war as typical INTERnational) affairs. …One is tempted to invoke the model of “praying in one’s own closet.”
@GligoricM
@GligoricM Год назад
Actually, the situation is quite opposite. Russia has done a lot to reset relations with the collective West after the Cold War: they dismantled the Warsaw Pact, abandoned communism, dismantled USSR, allowing former Soviet Republics to become independent, stopped flying strategic bombers next to NATO borders, allowed western experts to inspect nuclear installations, signed a treaty to decrease the number of nuclear weapons, opened up its market to western capital and goods. etc. The West, on the other side, continued flying strategic bombers next to Russian borders, thus showing they still considered Russia an enemy, published online the locations all ex-Soviet nuclear facilities, financed anti-Russian propaganda in ex-Soviet republics, trying to lush them away from Russia, armed and financed radical muslim terrorists from Caucasus, organised a coup in Ukraine, and installed a puppet anti-Russian government in Kiev, encouraged them to start and continue an 8-year-long war in Donbas against their own Russian speaking citizens, and armed and trained their army. The West also broke the agreement not to expand NATO over ex Warsaw Pact countries several times, installed launchers that can fire nuclear missiles in Poland and Romania, and talked about accepting Ukraine in NATO, too, which would allow NATO to put launchers that could reach Russian nuclear missiles in just 5 to 20 minutes. So, it was not concession and appeasement that brought West and Russia to the brink of WW3, but continuous hard line policy of hostility and ignoring any Russian interests or security concerns. That showed Russia that concessions to the collective West were mistake, and that they need to start talking the language of the West - the language of force.
@slabart12
@slabart12 Год назад
Hardly anybody takes the Kremlin propaganda seriously anymore so spare yourself the trouble. Russia is a mafia state run by a brutal dictator who poisons his political opponents. He is trying to rebuild the Russian/Soviet empire. Fortunately, it looks like his kleptocratic regime (corrupt to the core, based on lies and oppression) will not be able to achieve this.
@youtubeisfascism
@youtubeisfascism 2 года назад
The credibility of these institutes is totally out the window for me. They are so consistently wrong is not even funny anymore.
@PikachooUpYou
@PikachooUpYou 2 года назад
Agreed. The only person worth listening to from Brown is Blyth and even he gets foreign diplomacy wrong by believing the US state media geopolitical narratives.
@dmiller9786
@dmiller9786 2 года назад
Ukraine is trying to raise a million man army. Yet this guy is talking about U.S. boots on the ground.
@freedomordeath89
@freedomordeath89 2 года назад
@@dmiller9786 Ukraine recaptured most of the territory lost, Ru units are tired and depleted... yet this guys still thinks the Ru are gonna win soon..
@ChicanoBarbarian13
@ChicanoBarbarian13 2 года назад
@@freedomordeath89 not soon but eventually
@freedomordeath89
@freedomordeath89 2 года назад
@@ChicanoBarbarian13 Eventually HOW? based on what actual DATA? The actual DATA shows that Ukraine has more manpower, more money and weapons from NATO, while Russia is alone, without manpower since they cant call ofr mobilization and they are going bankrupt. There's NO LEND LEASE for russia like in 1942. They are done in the long run. Anyone who doesnt see it, its in DENIAL like nazis in 1943 still hoping for a victory "in the long run"
@mikeborrelli193
@mikeborrelli193 2 года назад
Is Watson Institute an Israeli based NGO Think tank or a US based one? Either way this guy's assessment seems to be a resume for a job at the Used State Dept .. Would love to read their assessment of Afghanistan a year before it fell to the Taliban.. Or how Assad would be taken out within weeks of US involvement in Syria..
@michalperach984
@michalperach984 2 года назад
How the hell did you menage to throw Israel into this?
@stellarozhinsky3337
@stellarozhinsky3337 2 года назад
@@michalperach984 What? "Blame Canada" passe. Now it's blame Israel. ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-ip5OWcoE6GE.html
@ot23234
@ot23234 Год назад
@@michalperach984 Israel controls much of US foreign policy.
@michalperach984
@michalperach984 Год назад
@@ot23234 You should have a special military operation to de-nazify yourself
@RealDukeOfEarl
@RealDukeOfEarl Год назад
He works for the CFR. Go figure.
@edwardmurdoch5070
@edwardmurdoch5070 Год назад
Where on Earth people assume Russia´s plan was to take Kiev in a few days? When a single Russian official even suggested taking Kiev was in their plans? I have not heard or read a single source citing a Russian authority admitted that was their original plan. Hours before the invasion, Putin in its speech set up four goals, and they have been working in them. And none of them was taking territory in central or western Ukraine.
@edwardmurdoch5070
@edwardmurdoch5070 Год назад
I made it only to the 24th minutes. That was plenty enough. There is no proof whatsoever Russia used chemical weapons in Syria. Actually, the Syrian forces were accused, but it was quickly disproof as a propaganda maneuvering by the revels. The first speaker repeated too many Western points lacking any substance.
@zatoichison6420
@zatoichison6420 Год назад
How many times USA decided to make a war in the last 30 years and how many wars Russia started, and how many died in those wars, can I have a answer for my knowledge please someone ?
@cortomaltese5038
@cortomaltese5038 2 года назад
Imagine this guy in 1941 talking about Hitler.
@alejo_m9447
@alejo_m9447 2 года назад
German would be the lingua franca and maybe "official" language of the world, most Jews would have been exterminated, there wouldn't even be a "Ukraine" or a "Russia" because of lebensraum...well you get the gist...
@nunyabusiness863
@nunyabusiness863 2 года назад
I'd love to start squatting on his land with guns and see if he negotiates or calls the cops to forcibly remove me. Then would he say the resulting shootout was could've been negotiated? Negotiation only works when both sides have a respected baseline. Academics...smh.
@superchuck3259
@superchuck3259 2 года назад
This guy would be in Berlin, talking about Hitler and how it was unfair what is being done to Germany both now and during the aftermath of WW1. In 1941 this guy would be on Hitlers side.
@manilajohn0182
@manilajohn0182 2 года назад
This isn't 1941, and Putin isn't Hitler.
@sorsocksfake
@sorsocksfake 2 года назад
While it sounds like a dumb ad hitlerum, there is actually a plausible scenario that's fairly similar. Except it would involve the Allies not protecting Poland, so there's no war in the west. Germany and its fascist allies form a de facto EU (without France or the Low Countries). They hate "Russia" with a passion, which in turn is already a sworn enemy of the Allies. So the Allies had good reason to join the "EU" in an effort to take down the USSR. There's even some similarities in timeline: Russia had collapsed ~25 years before, was partially restored in a brutal civil war. Its current leader, Stalin, was a beast who had massacred millions, plotted to restore all of Russia, and ultimately (openly) wanted to take the world, and the USSR had done a lot more to try that, than Russia has. So there's a higher justification then than there is now. Ukraine's situation is slightly different: it was under Stalin's tyranny. Other than that, there was major Ukrainian nationalism, and a significant group that did join the nazis more fully, which is analogous. Finally, the situation has some comparison in the Winter War (likewise a Russian disaster, where the "EU" helped out Finland), so it's a thinkable scenario. For better analogy, we'll assume Hitler agreed to deport the Jews to Palestine (solves that morality) and is willing to let the Slavs die to natural population decline instead of a policy of sterilization. His ambitions were to incorporate a regime-changed European Russia into the Reich, which is a thinkable objective for our EU. Finally to launch the scenario, we assume Ukraine revolts while Russia is weakened by the Winter War, and grabs its current territory. Come 1941, Stalin attacks. The Reich ships arms, and is considering to intervene militarily. To what extent should the Allies, in this scenario, join Hitler in his efforts to at least help Ukraine, and probably take down Stalin's tyranny, and collapse the USSR?
@gregs5312
@gregs5312 2 года назад
Reparations by Russia is essential also.
@danieljulian4676
@danieljulian4676 Год назад
No reparations possible from a Russia that no longer exists as such.
@rosolenn
@rosolenn Год назад
Yes. It seems to me that over the next decade Russia is going to lose the Ukraine-Russia war and eventually even the Crimea. Their oil & gas exports to Europe will be severely curtailed and not likely made up, at least in dollar terms, by exports to the rest of the world. They will continue to be under severe sanctions until they can come up with meaningful reparations. All told, the Russian people will see their standard of living fall, and their military much smaller although qualitatively improved. That includes their nuclear stockpile which is a huge unnecessary drain on the country. 600 nuclear bombs is as effective as 6,000 as a deterrence. Subservient states like Belarus and Georgia will eventually break away with new, probably democratic governments. This is my half-assed assessment of the next few decades for them, given the current situation. Of course, there are so many other things that could happen in the world, all the way from other bad actors (eg. China) acting badly, to the final Republican take-over of the USA, to the breakup of the Russian Federation, to natural disasters. So, it's impossible to predict how the ongoing story of humanity will break. Some closer in time questions include when will Putin go, how quickly can the West ramp up their arms shipments to the Ukraine, how long will it take for the Russian people to grow disenchanted.
@periscope33privat89
@periscope33privat89 Год назад
The Minsk accord of 2015 and signed in the UN, should have been implemented. That’s it. Any arguments regarding the conflict outside that is just bull.
@queenredspecial
@queenredspecial Год назад
Thank you.
@briandillon8041
@briandillon8041 Год назад
Europe and Ukraine have admitted that never had any intention of honoring the men’s agreements. They immediately begin shoving Northeast Russian speaking areas. Which they are still doing this brought on the war. The “sanctions“ that we have put on Russia nothing more than a self destroying embargo on ourselves worse than the era Boylan pargo of the 70s so stupid that it must be on purpose.
@briandillon8041
@briandillon8041 Год назад
Russia didn’t illegally annexed Crimea Crimea voted 95% to annex themselves to Russia. The Russian Navy has already been in Crimea since the 1700s it was still at their deep port in Sevastopol. Enter tally Asian the lovely Ukrainians cut off the water supply to the peninsula. One of the first things the Russians did when they invaded this time of blow up the damn Ukrainians are a bunch of Nazis and we financing train them
@zabadackakaHansCoche
@zabadackakaHansCoche Год назад
Ukraine signed and did not adhere to it as the Nazi's and far right were in charge, not the presidents. Russia had all the right to do what they did after the LPR & DPR requested Tussian assistance to stop Ukraines planned invasion. The only way Tusdia could legally do it was recognise the two regions as independent republics.
@StrawHat83
@StrawHat83 Год назад
RT repeatedly cites OSCE reports as evidence that Ukraine violated Minsk. However, the OSCE reports clearly indicate that Russian forces repeatedly violated Minsk, not Ukraine. Furthermore, Russia vetoed Ukraine's attempts to pass UN resolutions to send blue hat peacekeepers to enforce Minsk. If Putin was interested in adhering to Minks, he would have supported a mission to implement the accords instead of vetoing the proposal.
@maxheadrom3088
@maxheadrom3088 2 года назад
One observation: Wendover Productions or Real Engineering did a video about the Russian Armed Forces Logistics. In short: it's based on Rail and dictates strategy. A point to keep in mind, though, is they have people specialized in creating those supply lines and they do it well - the will face problems and it will take time to solve them. One question: the US military equipment aid to Ukraine will be paid by Ukraine on a later date or is it a donation. Thanks!
@Shadow-1949
@Shadow-1949 Год назад
Usually turns into a grant .. Take a look a lend - lease
@Shadow-1949
@Shadow-1949 Год назад
I just looked it up and Russia and Great Britain repaid in full !
@xianseah4847
@xianseah4847 Год назад
Money from US to Ukraine is laundered back to politicians accounts.
@vladimirnikolskiy
@vladimirnikolskiy Год назад
Do you think that what will remain in the end from Ukraine will be able to pay off lend-lease?
@ExCommie
@ExCommie Год назад
Ukraine will need to pay it back... So Ukraine signed up for decades of control by US due to their debt for fighting their war for them...
@turquoiseowl
@turquoiseowl 2 года назад
it is hard to assume that the State Dept did not want war
@armingleiner5292
@armingleiner5292 2 года назад
The US isnt in a war genius. The only guy who wanted war is Putin.
@turquoiseowl
@turquoiseowl 2 года назад
@@armingleiner5292 wrong. wake up pls
@armingleiner5292
@armingleiner5292 2 года назад
@@turquoiseowl No you wake up from your conspiracy far right/left (either way it is bad) trip. People who think everything is a conspiracy are just lazy with a very weak educational background. Please start educating yourself outside of far right/left garbage on the internet.
@turquoiseowl
@turquoiseowl 2 года назад
@@armingleiner5292 is the leaked recording of Victoria Nuland planning the next government leadership of Ukraine in Feb 2014 three weeks before the violent putsch that resulted in those very people becoming leaders a lazy conspiracy theory? how does an educated person such as yourself interpret that call out of interest?
@armingleiner5292
@armingleiner5292 2 года назад
​@@turquoiseowl Dude I am pro democracy and anti-authoritarianism. I dont care by what means but I want every single oppressive corrupt governent including the Russian and Chinese government toppled. The corrupt pro Russia regime in Ukraine was rightly overthrown. Nobody needs fascist wannabe dictators! Also it was violent because the state shot at protesters, thats why it was violent.
@Piqued5
@Piqued5 2 года назад
This is really instructive, thank you for uploading. I appreciate the speaker's nuanced analysis and pointing out missed opportunities.
@andreengelke7872
@andreengelke7872 2 года назад
Nuanced analysis? He is partially lying, is not talking about nazis, not talking about the offensive preparation in east ukraine prior to the special military action of russia. And is not even talking about the 2014 Events which were financed and pushed by the USA. Lying about the use of ABC Weapons in Syria , despite beeing debuned long time ago. Yeah... what a paid or ignorant guy he is. I mean working for the CoFR sais it all....
@ScrappyXGC
@ScrappyXGC 2 года назад
No, it's not, it's propaganda. The US forced NordStream 2 to stop (attempted at least) and kept NATO trying to force Ukraine to join hoping for conflict so they could shut off cheap ass Russian NG's flow to Europe. This is a proxy war by US/west/NATO using Ukrainians as mercs. This is the US making war. NATO should have dissolved when the USSR/Warsaw Pact ended. Be careful about the wording "missed opportunities", yea the west f'd up and gave Russia moral high ground for first strike against all NATO nations. Missed Opportunity.
@flashgordon6670
@flashgordon6670 Год назад
The Tale of Jack Kiev. Once upon a time, there was a small boy, called Jack Kiev. He was 12 years old and was an orphan. When his mother died recently, he inherited her cottage, with a little bit of land. He worked hard all day every day, cultivating his plot and producing a good yield. He had some extra vegetables and chickens, so he took them to the market for sale. At the market, the elder sons and daughters, of the Otan Family, came and bought his produce. They asked the boy, “Who is in charge of the business, as we need a regular supply? We would like to discuss business and come to some arrangement.” Jack said, “I’m in charge of the business! For I am an orphan and I will supply your needs.” So they signed a contract and Jack’s spirits were lifted, for he was quite sad and lonely. Once a week he went to the Otan household and delivered the wares that they needed and they paid him kindly. Sometime soon after, the Otan Family asked Jack to help with some chores, cutting grass and painting the shed. The Otan house, was very large with many rooms, for they had 16 sons and 17 daughters, who were always kind to Jack, so they became good friends. Jack was overjoyed with finding friendship with the Otan Family. Jack was always hardworking and never failed to be productive. As his own homestead and finance grew, he bought some sheep and reared lambs. Old Father Sam Otan was pleased with Jack. So when Jack turned 14, he made a promise to him. “When you turn 16, you can marry, whichever of my daughters that you find to be most beautiful and you will be my Son!” Jack nearly fainted and cried aloud, “Thank you Father Sam! God has truly blessed me! May Heaven and Earth hold dear to your promise.” One month later, an angry bear from the forest, came upon Jack’s cottage and ravaged his flock and stole some sheep. Jack was mortified and ran to the Otan house. “Help help! There’s a bear at my home, who’s killed my sheep!” The Otan Family were shocked and said, “Don’t worry we will stand by you and help to fight the bear.” So they sent two of the younger sons, who brought their slings and spears and went with Jack to fight the bear. But the bear was too big and strong for them to kill it. But they managed to scare the bear enough, so that it went away. “Thank you for your help!” said Jack and the two sons went back to their home. A couple of weeks passed by and the angry bear came back to Jack’s cottage, killing and eating some lambs. Jack ran to the Otans, “Help help! The bear has come back!” So three of the sons, went with Jack and they all fought against the bear. This time the bear hurt Jack and killed one of the sons and then went back to his lair. The sons went back to their home and reported the news. Two more weeks passed by and the bear came back to Jack’s cottage. It caused great damage to the chicken shed, broke some fences and killed all the chickens. Jack ran back to the Otans and this time, four of the sons, all armed with new swords and shields, went with Jack to fight the bear. They fought for many hours but the bear was too big and strong, even for all of the sons. The bear was enraged, bc it’s foot was hurt by them. It killed two of the sons and wounded the others and then went back to its lair. Two weeks later, the bear and its mate, came upon Jack’s cottage. They killed all the remaining lambs and knocked over a burning lantern, the lantern caught fire to the barn and store houses, destroying all the produce, This time the bears quickly left, before they could be attacked. Jack ran to the Otans, “Help the bears have attacked my home and the place is on fire!” So the Otan Family all quickly went and helped to extinguish the blaze. Five of the sons all stayed with Jack, “We’ll help to rebuild the farm and this time we’ll stay with you, to guard against the bears. They all worked hard to rebuild the farm and the Otans pitched their tent next to Jack’s cottage. But the bears came in the night and killed three of the sons as they slept. Jack and the other two sons ran back to Old Sam Otan and reported the news. Old Sam Otan wept bitterly in his grief and the shock nearly killed him. “Right this time, take some horses and wear armour and buy some new lances and we’ll finish the bears off for good. So six of the sons saddled their horses and went to find the bears. They rode to the forest and crossed the stream that runs from the mountains. They rode for four days and eventually found the bears trail. The eldest son said, “Right we’ll camp here for the night and at dawn we’ll attack the bears. What could possibly go wrong?” The bears caught the scent of the Otan party and came upon them in the darkness. The great bear with his mate and all their cubs with them. They killed all the horses and all of the sons as well, except one who barely managed to escape. He ran all the way home and reported the news. Old Father Otan, his wife and remaining children were stricken with grief. They held council and after many days, they came up with a plan. “Right!” said Old Sam Otan, “I’ve had enough of this great bear! I’ve lost 11 of my sons and we only have 5 left. 7 of my daughters are strong and old enough to fight, as well as any man. We’ll all go to Jack’s cottage together that makes 12 and myself 13. We’ll make traps and build strong fences and walls around the farm.” So they all went to Jack’s farm and did as they had planned and two weeks later the great bear, came to Jack’s farm with his family. The bear saw how strong the defences were, he hesitated and looked across the valley. He saw the Otan house with no walls and no one there, except some young girls and old mother Otan. He had grown tired of the taste of lambs, chickens and horses and now he wanted something else. So the great bear and his family went back to the forest and waited for night to come. He took his family to the Otan house and then charged in with speed and fury. All the bears smashed the doors and windows open and ran through the house, but there was no one there, the house was empty. All of a sudden there was a blast of hunting horns and a great cacophony of noise. The house was surrounded by Jack and all the Otans. Old mother Otan had been warned, by her pet falcon, of an approaching danger and had left with her daughters and gone to her sister’s house. She had sent a carrier pigeon to Old Sam Otan at Jack’s cottage, who ambushed the bears. “Fire!” Screamed Old Sam Otan at the top of his voice and they all hurled their burning torches at the house. Some of the bears ran out and were cut down as they ran and the house burned to the ground. Old Sam Otan and his company went through the ashes and counted all the dead bears. “They’re all here!” said the eldest son, after laying the bears bodies out. “No wait a minute, there’s one missing!” They all scouted around the area, but the mate of the late great bear, was nowhere to be found..... The end?
@rettif9
@rettif9 Год назад
Viewers are at a distinct disadvantage when we can't understand the questions. If a microphone is not available then the speakers should make an effort to restate the questions.
@sarahwynn6486
@sarahwynn6486 Год назад
It’s not about any of that it’s about ukraines gas . Most of it is in crimea and …. You guessed it the donbass
@vertigo2894
@vertigo2894 2 года назад
Five minutes in and already an error. Russia could very well have joined the EU or come close to joining it if their system moved in that direction.
@superchuck3259
@superchuck3259 2 года назад
FAT CHANCE. Ha ha ha. How about add CHINA to NATO?
@vertigo2894
@vertigo2894 2 года назад
@@superchuck3259 Huh? 1)China isn't a European country. 2)Yes the EU would have welcomed Russia if it became a real democracy and the markets became freer. No reason why they wouldn't it would be the best way to solve many issues in eastern Europe and Russian relations.
@superchuck3259
@superchuck3259 2 года назад
@@vertigo2894 The USA does not feel like a democracy. I checked and it is a Republic. Says so in the Pledge.
@vertigo2894
@vertigo2894 2 года назад
@@superchuck3259 It is, an electoral college is meant to represent people across the states. THE US is kind of unique as one can almost call it a collection of mini countries. The point is, there is a constitution and a system of governance that is not dictatorial. At least, if TRUMP doesn't get his way.
@silentbob5566
@silentbob5566 2 года назад
The problem with such theories is that they start from abstract, logical principles, in this particular case some sort of game played by rational actors that can always be negotiated with to get the best deal under the circumstances, maximizing their "utility" (to use economic jargon). This, of course, doesn't model real, breathing people accurately. In such a world the Romanovs would not have made simply delusional mistakes in governing and would not have used utterly silly rationalizations to conclude that things were going splendid for them. Neither such a rational actor model fits Putin, who sees conquering Ukraine as his "historical mission". A man who says "what good is the world without Russia for us" is of apocalyptic mentality and that does not yield to what is fundamentally economic thinking.
@guntguardian3771
@guntguardian3771 2 года назад
I think it's unfair to say that, because of his irrationality and romanticism towards Russia, Putin's incapable of rational thinking. This is how most people are, there are topics which they can view in the abstract without emotions and topics which they attach lots of emotional weight to. You also have to consider he might be making entirely rational decisions, but with genuine beliefs which are at odds with reality. It would make sense to invade Ukraine, if you believe Ukraine was oppressing ethnic russians, if you believed the conflict would be over in a matter of days, if you believed that your military was second to none... Putin, of course, is responsible for developing the culture around him which feeds in the information he gets, so he is at fault. Yet based on what he thinks he knows, his behaviour might be quite rational. Personally, I think it's a mix of both.
@bingxilao9086
@bingxilao9086 2 года назад
Putin is rational but Western leaders aren't. Ask yourself what's more rational, carving off another part of Ukraine to add to Russia, or trying to make Afghanistan feminist.
@guntguardian3771
@guntguardian3771 2 года назад
@@bingxilao9086 Yeah why would you want to have a strategically important country align to your values... I couldn't imagine why... The miscalculation from the West was based on a misunderstanding of the facts. They thought the Afghan National Army was so large, with certain capabilities... When actually due to corruption it wasn't anywhere near the size they thought it was. Not too dissimilar to what happened with Russia in Ukraine.
@silentbob5566
@silentbob5566 2 года назад
@@bingxilao9086 Neither goal is rational, both are at sever odds with reality on the ground. Anyway, Putin isn't a rational politician, he tries to attain some muddled historical vision of himself as a great leader that history will remember: ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-ZwU13-4SakE.html
@silentbob5566
@silentbob5566 2 года назад
@@guntguardian3771 Actually, the true reason Afghan army dropped their weapons is that they have no nation to fight for. Why fight if you do not value an abstract thing that you do not bind to the people? People over there have so called pre-modern mentality, watch some anthropologists on that.
@Rich-xg2cg
@Rich-xg2cg Год назад
Essentially a regurgitation of common knowledge.
@chrismarble9259
@chrismarble9259 Год назад
He actually didn't start it and you know that.
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