The Black Swan Theory 

Yes, you...

OK

Indeed

i look around…

You're skeptical

😂

Me too bruh 🤣

@@thatsconfidential6827 😂😂😂 thought I was alone...😂😂😂

You just experienced Dunning-Kruger effect 😂

I don't get it?

Man I hope I don’t end up on that

i agree....we should at least have a fair idea about how many failed, why how...

Yeah it'd be cool to talk about how much their lives sucked and how much they sucked and why that suckiness is relevant today. What went wrong? Where, why, and how did they suck? Why am I typing this comment? Interesting...

As a famous fictional Captain once said "It is possible to commit no mistakes and still lose. That is not weakness. That is life." . Assuming a group of people do all the "proper" steps to achieving the same "success", the only thing that will determine the winner is just luck - which I guess is just a simplification of a large collection of factors that we have little to no control over. It is an upsetting thought, but it is just true. Hard work, intelligence, dedication and all the good stuff are of course very important. But there over 7 billion people on this planet. So it is simply statistically likely that there are hundreds of people who have all done everything humanly possible to achieve "success". Hundreds of people who have done everything "right". At least for me, I think the best we can do is just change this perception of a singular type of "success" that cultures have developed. Once we remove things like "You need this big of a salary" or "You need this luxury item" or "You need to be employed or live in this particular place", then a lot more of us can experience this "success" that a lot of people seem to chase. Once you make enough money to support yourself reasonably well, the rest of your time should ideally be spent enjoying life (as long as it does not come at the expense of others). Because we only live once, and our lives could be cut short at any moment regardless of how prepared we are.

ru-vid.com

Namaste

that's... what betrayal is all about😂

No, but a friend🙁

it easier to betray someone than it is to forgive them. Just know that anyone given the reason or motive can and will betray you without you ever expecting it.

The frustration is also temporary. Until the police find the body.

It came from an enemy. It's us who misclassified them as friends. Expectations suck sometimes 😃

@@br34kout82 lol

COD is a fish

@@-M0LE I’m talking about call of duty, my bad

"50,000 chickens used to live here, now it's a ghost town... I've never seen anything like it" -Cptn. Mcchicken 2007

@@Anxmaly666 lmao Call Of Duty: Modern Robot Chicken Warfare

Watching these type of negative videos only builds on anxiety

Okay interesting story but actually none loses 5kg in 3 days

Well stop going to the witch doctors then.

i have PTSD and have been working with FRQs this is one and there are MANY available try them until you fid one that 'Resonates' with you ~ do NOT expect instant results ~ take time twice a day to just sit (i lay down i'm 73) and listen ~ make it your daily meditation ~ start with 15min ~ i do up to 2 hours now depending on how bad i get hit. IT WORKS! ~ Namaste "CHANGE HOW YOU SEE AND SEE HOW YOU CHANGE" ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-VOkcY0gfQXA.html

@@robbyz512 sir give me your credit card number and cv to remove virus from your computer

Ik right even for videos I wasn't really feeling. I still watched all the way through just to listen to him lmao

It seems i have accidentally sent you 10000 instead of 100 im going to need you to pay me back

@@robbyz512 Oh cum on dude. Indian? Seriously? We chinese have the best voices.

Right! I could sleep to this. Just as good as my sleep sounds 💯

Omg yes!! This is an information contradiction that haunts me constantly, at least in the way I tend to think of it. We don't know shit until we need the information, then we have it, but most likely, don't need it anymore, or for the foreseeable future at least. We try to learn from past success scenarios, but those aren't applicable any more, if ever.

In simple terms, even if the information are there to point out to something, we don't manage to process that knowledge right? This is truly terrifying. The knowledge is there, but we don't know it. When we eventually know it, it's already useless. We try to use it for future preparation, but another knowledge arises

Better example is the washer machine an vacuum, meanwhile men died of breathing coal dust down the road while the respiration mask was put on the back burner to be created later. Priorities mang

That statement is absolute crap.

Nice. 654 people can't tell the difference between Einstein and a monkey on a typewriter.

But as the saying goes “better to be a warrior in the garden than a gardener in the war”

Days?

Cuz this video is such a beauty right?

And yet we'll never change anything and forget about it after said days passed by

"the anti-epiphany" Bcuz we don't allow our views to crumble and then put the effort in to rebuilding new ones. We don't act on the insight...just marvel at it til it passes. 🤷‍♂️

If you understand this video, could you interpret it for me?

The question is just if it just happend, or if there is a butcher....

@@Gaphalor Follow the money. ;)

Me three

The Pandemic, no, the reaction, yes. Theire is a pandemic every few years Saars Covid 1 was far more dangerous, we just dealt with it. Swine flew killed a good number but people didn't care. Pandemics are a "Normal" kind of event, no matter how many deaths, they don't have a big impact of the human population. I think the black plague was the biggest followed by HIV AIDS the difference being the world population.

@@Gaphalor or did the higher being mess up their project (us) or it was just willing event to observe the aftermath..

I've been looking for a while too. Got a call back today. You got this. Stay the course

The frustration is temporary too.

you will definitely land one soon! wish you the best

Good luck

stay strong my friend, you'll get what you want

Hope for the best. Expect the worst. Job done.

The only answer that I come up with is developing yourself

Well, it is as he said. If you have knowledge that changes behavior, it becomes irrelevant. It is necessary to prepare, otherwise, you wouldn't have learned anything. But the people in our society are the way too distracted with the "important" topics, like doing drugs, partying, and shit like that. Good luck to us, we need it.

@@thorH. Isn't it only irrelevant to the Black Swan? After all, if you survive it, the knowledge proved useful to you, if not to anyone else

@@wheredhego47 I mean the part of the definition of a black swan is that it is an unexpected. So you can’t really prepare, what you can do is become generally resilient, which could be understood as preparing. However you can learn improve and prevent the same disaster to hit again.

Agree...

there are multiple channels like or similar to this though

@@imkaynosnihh2679 examples ?

@@c.990 Sisyphus55

and it's sponsored by brilliant*

He actually made a whole video on that you should go watch it if you haven’t already

Really unlucky to be born

Nope. It's one in infinity. Every single event, big or small led to your birth. Every single event.

But the thing is before your born you just don’t exist and obviously have no consciousness *you just don’t exist* you either agree or disagree by the fact that your lucky for being part of that 1 in a 400 trillion but you can only think about that if you exist that is born.

@@grimsobad8545 ignorance is bliss, the fact that we exist is pain. We are the biggest joke in history, only born to die

In his next book, Antifragile, he asks how high we should build a dam? The usual answer is to build it to the highest ever recorded water level. Yet, before that water level was recorded, the previous high was lower than that, so building the dam as high as the highest known water level is vulnerable to a higher, as-yet-not-known water level.

And because this is rare, it's unlikely that we'll be prepared for the next event like this (Texas resident here). And this is true regardless of how many promises we've received to the contrary.

@@lifecloud2 not just rare, unprecedented 😃. If this is an interesting thought train to you, then I recommend Antrifragile. The premise is that people commonly think that the opposite of fragile is solid, resistant, strong. The author says that these are not opposites of fragile, but really in the middle. Fragile is the tendency to break under stress. He says that the opposite of that is not to just not break under stress. The opposite is to become stronger under stress. Working out and growing bigger muscles, getting sick and recovering, are examples of being antifragile. I like the concept, and I think it evokes useful life philosophies.

@@JesseHelton Ah, the old Nietzche idea: "That which does not kill me...etc." You say that fragile is the tendency to break under stress, and to me in order to grow strong from this you have to break first. How about the opposite of fragile being more about the ability to adapt ... being flexible, bendable, negotiating the stress instead of breaking to find your strength? And the idea of the opposite of love being apathy is one I like. It sort of betrays a middle ground too. To me, the problems with the world we know these days is that the people involved tend to think in binary terms (which drives me nuts). You are either for me or against me. This doesn't allow for the middle ground. Maybe the solution here is finding the middle ground, the gray area that connects the two extremes.

The Biden Administration ordered the electric companies to restrain output to abide by their new environmental standards, the marginal supply of electricity was purposely limited which blew up the grid due to the excessive demand.

History is write for those who survived, the same filling

There's an amazing book called "Epitaph of a Small Winner" written by a guy called Machado de Assis in 1881, from Brazil. Although written in a totally different era, it is surprisingly modern feeling in its writing. Most books from then are very flowery and descriptive but this is so blunt, hilarious, intelligent and perceptive. It's also a short book, and the chapters are literally 1-5 pages at most. It's written from the perspective of a guy who already died and is telling you about his life as a general failure, who was born into a well-to-do family and had a good life, but really accomplished nothing much of his own accord. While he doesn't have a huge downfall like a total failure, he doesn't rise to any real goals, and in the end has sort of cruised through life to end up pretty much where he started. While not a memoir I think the writer drew on a lot of his own life experiences for it. Definitely unique and ahead of it's time by about 100 years. It also has one of the best chapters of writing ever in it, I'd say close to on par with The Grand Inquisitor by Dostoevsky, where the main character is delirious in bed and has an encounter with Lady Death/The God of Death. I can't stress how intense and beautifully written it is. Machado de Assis is considered like the Shakespeare of Brazil, he is incredibly famous there.

@@uniquechannelnames wow man

@@tiagomori2534 It makes me think about whether history really happened or not, since the only people who wrote about it were people who won the wars and survived the circumstances, then was able to write the same narrative for everyone to see and believe. The stories were not told from the perspective of the defeated, and no doubt if we heard their side of the story the tale would be much more nuanced.

Okay, this is a good one, you got a laugh from me

@@pikloo4631 haha thanks a lot I try I try 😌

@@user-rj5ld9gk6u To get to the other side.

@@user-rj5ld9gk6u I'm not a chicken so I wouldn't know

@@norma8686 😂

Deepest condolences 🙏😢

Same story with me. Even knowing what to do didn't even gave me the chance to prevent things from getting worse. She was the heart of the family. At least I dreamed one night and she said she can walk now. Stopped my questioning of useful knowledge to have. Now I just offer my good deeds on her behalf. I know she is better now. I hope you would find yours too.

My dad died suddenly in his sleep 7 months ago now, I’m 27, my dad was 58. I loved my dad, he was the best dad a man could ask for. I know how you feel my man, it’s rough. Much love, I hope you and your family are doing well now

@@MaybejustNarbe sorry for your loss.

@@io8259 sorry for your loss

Felipe, The secret to success is caring and loving other folks as much as you care for and love yourself.

@@rogerdvorak6045what no one teaches you in church, school etc is that you have a finite of fucks to give so you have to be selective with whom you love. It’s a hard truth but negative people do exist. That’s reality

"when you think they care aboit you, and not only about themselves" What?

Fascinating. Would you say that theory relates to gamblers fallacy?

I saw the black swan before it arrived. Tried to stop it, for me it’s that you cannot. No matter the effort applied, you seem to fail.

@@heatherlindsey971 A black swan that you saw coming is not a black swan. The idea of a black swan is a seemingly impossible event that gets proven to be possible only after it has happened.

@@ann_alanth perfect description

"Only book I've ever bought and almost finished", what the fuck?

”these people here? Everyone out there? They have no idea what it takes to keep them safe"

you were like the middle in between butcherer and the chicken? Its a stupid analogy butttttt

Woah!

@Skittle Thor to find out all you have to do is run an RTFM test

We did prepare for it lookup Event 201 which took place 5 months before the pandemic funded by WHO and Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, Spars 2025, Operation Lockstep. They predicted what would happen and yet somehow we were 'unprepared' anyway. Bill Gates literally said they hadn't planned it on TV despite funding Event 201. Use DuckDuckGo to find the truth. Google censors.

Plandemic.

So the next one will be the "cyberpandemic" that they have been wargaming.

@@willmorrell488 ok

Both

I didn't expect that!

You can't expect the unexpected, Since that makes the event expected.

@@OK-69420 so the unexpected is unexpected to people that don’t expect it but not to those that do? Wow

@@hydromic2518 Exactly. Reality is just a matter of perspective

Do you mean the advertisement?

Post Nut Clarity?

@@certifiedcat1494 what?

@@certifiedcat1494 What?😂

@@certifiedcat1494 😂😂

For sure, the S’s kinda hurt my ears 😂

Didn't realise it till you pointed it out and now I can't unhear it.

I love you.

We all are the black swan

I would recommend Alan Watts if you haven't heard of him

Ok man see ya then

welcome back

Im back with new victims in mind

In Oregon?

return of the king

this. this comment made my dad even though it is a year old.

Same, sometimes I'm watching and the my eyes start to go out of focus and i just start thinking about something unrelated with the calming voice and soothing music till he starts talking about the sponsor and i abruptly snap back to reality

@@SevenZeroEleven sameeeee lol 😁

Crispy too :)

The crypto market has been unfavorable for months and I keep losing my money selling off during dips, I'm very scared of holding right now. How do you guys still make so much

Yeah, the crypto market is highly profitable with an expert broker just like Expert Mrs Theresa Walton. I got recommended to her and since then my financial life has been a success.

Amazing 🥰 seeing others talking about the good works of Ma'am Theresa, I started my investment with $15,000, and a week later, it has grown to $55,000. This woman!! Absolute intellectual.

I'm a living testimony of the expert Mrs. Theresa Walton, she has been trading for me for years now

Her success story is everywhere💯

ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-mga63G7-6D0.html

I read the title and immediately rushed to the comments to see if there were any mentions of GME. It took too long to find your comment 😭😭

Damn I haven't been to SA in years. What's happening there right now?

@@tuwubah nothing too crazy, they’re starting to add 3 lanes to 1604 but other than that everything’s been okay