2024 Oscar Predictions - Early Contenders: Oppenheimer, Barbie & More 

Loved Oppenheimer. I loved the third act. That ending is hauntingly beautiful. I think Emily Blunt will get a nom.

Just saw Oppenheimer. If they Oscars were tomorrow, that film would win everything. It’s definitely a front runner. If Killers of the Flower Moon is as good as everyone says it is, it might win a number of awards as well.

It was so good sitting in the movie theater today, waiting for the main feature, and seeing Perri on the screen. I said out loud: "Hey, I follow her on RU-vid!"

You guys are HEAVILY over expecting for Air. Definitely possible it sneaks into Best Picture. But no shot as best director or actor and the screenplay is pretty standard.

I thought Oppenheimer was incredible. Lots of nominations with possible wins in Score and (if Dune does move to next year) Cinematography. Supporting Actor between Downey Jr, De Niro, and Gosling would be absolutely iconic and I’m here for it.

“Parasite WILL not win Best Picture”- Jeff Sneider 😂

I think Emily Blunt's scene with Jason Clarke in Oppenheimer has a chance to get her a supporting nomination.

saw Oppenheimer is the best movie of the year hands down and should be nominated so many oscars especially best picture best director and best actor and best supporting actor Nolan did knock it out of the park

I was so amazed after watching Oppenheimer, Nolan has really made an outstanding accomplishment. Cillian was expectional and many other supporting actor do a great job. I'm sure it'll have many nominations but it would be wonderful to see Nolan win for best director for the first time and Cillian to win for best actor for the first time

Wow super early. Oppheinmer floored me.. that score better get a nomination.

Nolan forever. 💘

A taste of Oscar talk in July. Love it.

watched Oppenheimer an completely disagree with Jeff I was totally blown away the acting , dialogue and just the tension watching this movie was spine tingling I think It could run away with a few big Oscar category's particularly best actor to cillian Murphy but it's only early.

HOT DAMN!! Thank you all! This is such a yummy treat 🤩

It’s Nolan’s time for best director and he surely deserves it

Love the love for BlackBerry. Glenn Howerton is my favourite performance of the year. Would love to see him get a nomination.

Oppenheimer Best Picture, Nolan Best Director

The coda is essential. Oppenheimer is one of those films that screams rewatch. Many layers, much to digest. And the hearing is the end of his arc. How he was maligned at the peak of the McCarthy scourge. I absolutely think this is a win. Btw, it is STILL filling seats at my theater. We have seen it 3 times. When it was sold out for first two weeks, we finally got to see it early August. Blown away. Saw it for a rewatch just last week and again a few days later. We are reading the book and the screenplay and Nolan must win that! I can watch it again just to savor those performances. Murphy is incomparable. Each of the rest of the cast (dozens!) brings an A game. RDJ MUST win!

@jeffsneider @scottmantz Don't you think the showdown or confrontation between Oppenheimer and Truman was important and impactful. Especially that scene where a guilt ridden Murphy is like "I have blood on my hands" and Truman just coldly and indifferently removes his white handkerchief and waves it in front of Oppenheimer and when he leaves the room, he's like "Don't ever bring that crybaby in here ever again". That was powerful stuff. I think the mental breakdown and dismantling of Lewis Strauss' and his shrewd motives and mind games especially in the 3rd act is what will secure his supporting nomination.

Napoleon is a contender imo

My current predictions after seeing Barbie and Oppenheimer Best Picture 1. Oppenheimer 2. Killers of the Flower Moon 3. Past Lives 4. The Color Purple 5. Dune Part II 6. Spider-Man Across the SpiderVerse 7. Anatomy of a Fall 8. May December 9. Holdovers 10. Saltburn or Air Director 1. Oppenheimer 2. Past Lives 3. Killers of the Flower Moon 4. Anatomy of a Fall 5. The Color Purple or Dune Part II Original Screenplay 1. Past Lives 2. May December 3. Anatomy of a Fall 4. Holdovers 5. Saltburn or Air Adapted Screenplay 1. Killers of the Flower Moon 2. Oppenheimer 3. Dune Part II 4. The Color Purple 5. Spider-Man Across the SpiderVerse Actor 1. Oppenheimer 2. Maestro 3. Killers of the Flower Moon 4. Holdovers 5. Saltburn or Air Actress 1. The Color Purple 2. Past Lives 3. May December 4. Anatomy of a Fall 5. Poor Things Supporting Actor 1. Past Lives - Teo Yoo 2. Oppenheimer - Robert Downey Jr. 3. Killers of the Flower Moon - Robert De Niro 4. May December - Charles Melton 5. Past Lives - John Magaro Supporting Actress 1. Killers of the Flower Moon - Lily Gladstone 2. The Color Purple - Danielle Brooks 3. The Color Purple - Taraji p Henson 4. May December - Julianne Moore 5. Holdovers or Air Editing 1. Oppenheimer 2. Dune Part II 3. Killers of the Flower Moon 4. The Color Purple 5. Past Lives or Air Cinematography 1. Dune Part II 2. Oppenheimer 3. Killers of the Flower Moon 4. The Color Purple 5. Poor Things Production Design 1. The Color Purple 2. Barbie 3. Killers of the Flower Moon 4. Oppenheimer 5. Dune Part II Sound 1. Oppenheimer 2. Dune Part II 3. John Wick 4 4. Mission Impossible 7 5. The Color Purple Score 1. Oppenheimer 2. Killers of the Flower Moon 3. Past Lives 4. Dune Part II 5. Spider-Man Across the SpiderVerse Make-Up 1. The Color Purple 2. Maestro 3. Dune Part II 4. Barbie 5. Oppenheimer Costume 1. Barbie 2. Color Purple 3. Killers of the Flower Moon 4. Dune Part II 5. Napoleon or Poor Things Visual Effects 1. Dune Part II 2. Oppenheimer 3. Spider-Man Across the SpiderVerse 4. Guardians of the Galaxy 3 5. Wonka Song 1. The Color Purple 2. Barbie 3. Wonka 4. Spider-Man Across the SpiderVerse 5. High in the Clouds

Kind of surprised you guys didn't mention Spider-Verse in Best Picture. It's been getting a lot of buzz and pundits are already predicting it.

As someone who watches a lot more films opposed to television/streaming shows, I felt left out of the current FYC videos, but this is a nice surprise! Excited to watch

Great show! I hope 'Nimona' starts entering the conversation for best animated feature. I loved it.

Oppenheimer I belive has a chance to win a ton of oscars, especially film editing!!!! Sound design!!!! Lead and supporting actor!!

Great episode as always! Thank you for the early insight. A special way to celebrate Barbenheimer 🎉

I think you guys maybe forgot to mention Miyazakis last movie. If its great, it might be a strong contender in animated feature. I think its being a little underestimated given how beloved his movies are.

Movie was Incredible. 3rd act was the best part imo

Oppenheimer, hands down...

I didn't like BlackBerry but I agree about Glenn Howerton. He was very funny in that film.

I just love how this Jeff dude gets owned come awards season

I swear Emily better get a nom or a win because if not, I'm throwing hands. She was robbed of so many, a quiet place, mary poppins, sicario, UGH come on Oscars get it together.

I think across the spiderverse has Chance of getting nominated idk about winning but hopefully a nomination

For animation you guys left out Miyazaki’s final animated film, translated as “The Boy and The Heron”. Probably gets nominated at least

Glenn Howerton for supporting actor in Blackberry

“Asteroid something that rhymes with city” lmaooo

bro on the top left had me beaming the whole time he just looks so happy

The third act is about how humanity hasn’t changed and is still concerned with their own pride and selfish emotions even though the the bomb has changed everything. This is foreshadowing for whether humans can be trusted with this new atomic fire.

Barbie will win production design. If it doesn't, I have no idea what the awards shows are looking for. I don't think the acting was Oscar worthy, but it is beautiful to look at.

Oppenheimer not being impactful, whatatatatt , those last 5 minutes of the film!!! I left the theater in fear of the world's end.... this movie is gonna make me think and keep my mind spinning about the world, war, and human nature. What an amazing movie!

My current top ten with all major nominations I’d give them (best picture is assumed, “*” means my current winner). 1. Across the Spider-Verse (Best Director, Best Adapted Screenplay, cinematography, animated*) 2. Asteroid City (Director, Adapted Screenplay, supporting actress, cinematography, production design, ensemble*) 3. Past Lives (director*, screenplay*, lead actress*, lead actor, supporting actor, cinematography*) 4. Oppenheimer (director, screenplay, lead actor*, supporting actor, sound*, production design*, ensemble) 5. Sanctuary (lead actress, lead actor) 6. Evil Dead Rise (director) 7. Barbie (lead actress, supporting actor*, production design) 8. John Wick 4 (cinematography) 9. M3gan 10. Guardians of the Galaxy 3 (visual effects) Past Lives is probably the highest quality, but it loses out in picture for me because it’s not as ambitious or original as some of the other films.

Nolan makes an absolute achievement in cinema that no one makes these days and the Oscars are supposed to be about awarding achievement in cinema, but let’s talk about Past Lives. If you didn’t find the last 40 minutes of Oppenheimer thrilling and absolutely crucial to the story, than sorry you’ve watched it wrong.

A performance I think is going to end up falling under the radar is Laurie Metcalf in Somewhere in Queens. Outstanding supporting work from her, as per usual but I think the film is just too small.

Guardians Vol 3 broke a world record for most prostetics, it needs a nom for makeup and hair

Across the Spiderverse should honestly be nominated for best picture

the third act feeling different I get but "not engaging" ....that I disagree with. Some of the supporting casts best performance is in the 3rd act. I think that the court hearing/confirmation scene does initially feel jarring but quickly picks up so that wasn't an issue for me.

Saying it now, Across the Spider-Verse WILL get a Best Picture win and win Best Animated Feature.

I like the last part of Oppenheimer!! Of course the best part is the bomb related stuff

Very early but I would give a Best Supporting Actress consideration to Viola Davis for Air. I love how intimidating she was without raising her voice and her monologue convincing Damon’s character to give her son a cut of the revenue - was nothing short of brilliant.

Does Oppenheimer meet the requirements to be eligible to be nominated for Best Picture? I loved the movie and hope it gets some recognition ❤

Easily the most likeable team in the industry! Just great vibes, this was a pleasant surprise for me today :)

This was a joyful discussion today, everybody was so quippy, happy and well prepped! Thank you guys and lady☺️

Teyana was sooooo great in ‘a thousand and one’

In another subject, but not really derivative of Oscar Predictions, now that the TIFF has revealed all of its lineup, here are my 10 most expected, the ones I'll surely attend: 1. Fingernails - i'm a sucker for Jessie Buckley and Riz Ahmed as they are some of the best actors around the block nowadays, and I'm quite sure it might be a magnetic couple on screen, maybe possibilities for the Acting Awards 2 - Lee - a World War II film with the superbs Kate Winslet and Marion Cotillard might be a possible contender for Picture, Director and Actress/Supporting Actress, plus its their first time together on screen, and I don't remember much war films which revolve around female characters, so thats a plus 3 - Toll - i've been discovering brazilian movies in the past few years, love me some Bacurau, Mars One, and Charcoal, by Caroline Markowicz, and this is her second, and the fact that it is about gay conversion therapy might propel it into Foreign Film and even Picture and screenplay 4 - The Zone of Interest - one of the talks of the season (unfortunately I wasnt able to attend Cannes for personal reasons), and another possible candidate for Foreign Film and Picture, probably Cinematography also 5 - Anatomy of a Fall - speaking of Cannes, i'm also very hyped to see this Sandra Huller performance, it might be a contender for Foreign Film, Actress and Screenplay 6 - The Boy and the Heron - mister Miyazaki return that might be the upsetter of Spiderverse (which i think its quite good technically, but as of now I'm a supporter of Suzume instead). Probably guaranteed in Animation 7 - Monster - Hirokazu Kore Eda is a hit (Shoplifters) or miss (Broker) for me, but I love japanese films as much as I enjoy brazilian and south korean ones, so if this one works, it might be another possibility for Foreign Film 8 - Rustin - i'm expecting a lot from mister Colman Domingo (more here than in The Color Purple, which, by trailer, sounds like a dud of a film), and I need me a frontrunner for Best Actor, cause even though I adore Cillian Murphy in Oppenheimer, and surely he will land a nomination, I'm not sold on a win (it lacked a little of grey nuance for me) 9 - Next Goal Wins - this might be the comeback we need from one of the best actors of the last decade, Michael Fassbender (lets never forget his Shame delivery). The fact that it has Elizabeth Moss on it sells me, and Waititi sense of humour might make this quite a fun watch for a Sunday afternoon (on the same lane, i'm not expected much of a performance of Air, which I have seen and find it just okay, and The Holdovers, and I love my Giamatti, but Payne never really works for me, but I might be wrong, so I'll give it a watch at TIFF) 10 - Nyad - Annette Bening might pull a Jamie Lee Curtis out of this one Cant wait for these films and your reviews (btw, Barbie for Best Director)

You guys are underestimating Barbie so much. It's a crowd pleaser and one of the biggest movies of the year. Ryan Gosling and Margot Robbie both have a great chance of getting nominated. Oscars are going to love it

Not you guys prefering Air over Asteroid City. Because at least the second one allowed me to think about my full on relationship with the world while watching it, while Air is a boring commercial, more of a publicity stunt than Barbie itself, which of course is a Best Picture contender, in the same path of Top Gun Maverick (saving the theaters narrative). Just because Asteroid City gives you time to think, while putting on some great aesthetics, it doesn't mean it is bad. It gives you hints of interpretation, which is what the arts are all about, and cinema is still an artform. Other two I really enjoyed: Suzume (over Spiderverse, which has great animation, but is bloated), and Rye Lane, which i don't think is a threat right now, but it is quite loved critically, specially for a romantic comedy. Very pumped up to watch Oppenheimer, Past Lives and check out this year's TIFF.

NEW SEASON 💫🎉

“Jessica Chastain WILL not win best actress” “EEAOO WILL not win Best Picture”- Jeff Sneider 😂

if Ridley Scott is in his Gladiator or The Martian mode directing Napoleon, then it'll definitely be a BIOPIC SHOWDOWN in the Best Picture category, at next year's Oscars. Another exciting potential showdown are between Joaquin Phoenix as Napoleon and Cillian Murphy's Oppenheimer, in Best Lead Actors...and RDJ vs. Ryan Gosling in the Best Supporting Actor cats.

I'll listen to ya'll talk about anything, but i'm SO HAPPY you're talking about Oscars here instead of the Emmys. They're back, baby!

Air was average at best...nominations yes ..but don't think it's gonna win big. I see this as a two way fight between Killers of the flower moon and Oppenheimer...quite early to predict though.

Here's are my top ten films with the best chance of getting a major Oscar nominations. All of these films have been released into movie theaters or been shown at film festivals: 1. Killers of the Flower Moon - All categories. P, D, A (at least three for Dicaprio, DeNiro, Gladstone. Cardinal and Plemens as a maybe), AS, and FE. 2. Oppenheimer - All categories. P, D, A (at least Murphy, Downey, Blunt. Could be Damon, Pugh), AS, and FE 3. Past Lives - All major categories. P, D, A (at least Lee. Maybe Magaro), OS, and FE 4. Barbie - All categories. P, D, A (at least Robbie and Gosling), AS, and FE 5. Anatomy of a Fall - All categories. P, D, OS, A (Huller), FE 6. The Zone of Interest - All categories. 7. Air - All categories. P, D, A (Damon, Davis, Messina are all possibilities), OS, and FE 8. Across the Spider-Verse - Animated Feature. 9. A Thousand And One - P, D, OS, A (at least Taylor) 10. May December - OS, A (Portman, Moore, Melton) Honorable mention - Blackberry (Howerton) & Are You There God? (writing, acting) I don't believe the FYC gang mentioned AOAF or TZOI. Both are festival favorites and could potentially fulfill that non-English Language quota in the Best Picture line-up. The big Sundance Film Festival winner has a good recent track record with the Oscars -- Minari and CODA. MD could benefit from a Netflix release -- that's why I have it at #10.

Oppenheimer best movie of 2023 Robert Downey Jr better get an Oscar nomination

Love you guys and yay for Oscar coverage so early on in the year. Also oh boy can’t wait for the I told you so about Barbie, that movie is getting so much buzz from so many outlets it’s insane you think it won’t get nominations out other than tech. As for best picture Past Lives is >>> everything else this year so far! So good

Just got back from Oppenheimer. The fission to the fusion that is FYC!!!

Thanks for new predictions video. Really looking forward to your Oscar coverage this year guys. Especially Jeff. His industry coverage is excellent.

Thank you for starting Oscar season so soon!

Zone of Interest and Anatomy of a Fall, provided that they get a US release this year of course.

Made my day!!! Thanks for releasing this early episode ❤

Not that I think it deserves it, but I think it's ridiculous to suggest that Barbie won't be nominated for Best Picture, given that it's likely going to end up being the highest or the second highest grossing film of the year, while not being kiddie fare like The Mario Movie. For my money, as far as which films actually deserve to win, it's Oppenheimer's race to lose, and the only real contender is Killers of the Flower Moon. I could see the big narrative going into awards season being "will Marty finally be affirmed as a multiple-oscar-winner, or will Nolan finally win his first?" I do hope Past Lives gets some nominations as I was shocked by how much I ended up liking that film, but as great as it is to support indies, especially ones that punch above their weight class, the film is simply not on par with what's going on in Oppenheimer, and the same will likely be true of it in a comparison against Killers of the Flower Moon.

Let’s go! 🙌🏾☀️🌴 0:16

Emily Blunt will get a Supporting Nom.

Majors was locked for a nom until the allegations came out. He’s astonishing in that.

Very early rn but Oppenheimer is gonna sweep. It's one of those rare occasions where it's outstanding movie which is both Oscar topic and a blockbuster

Are yall seriously trying to hype up the blandest, driest movie of the year in Air, but wanna downplay the incredible feat of Barbie??? Is this the Twilight Zone? The upside down? What is this??

If the strike means just about every big movie from the second half of the year (besides some foreign, indie, and animated stuff) gets pushed…nothing stands a chance against Oppenheimer. This film was a revelation, possibly Nolan’s best film and an utterly stirring experience to say the least. Even if stuff like Killers of the Flower Moon and Dune Part II come out on time, I don’t see those taking too many awards away from Oppie (and I’m a much bigger Scorsese fan than Nolan, and I’m betting KotFM is excellent.) Across the Spider-Verse, Barbie, Past Lives, Asteroid City, and a few others have been quite good but Oppenheimer was special, films like that are why I love movies so much.

Across the spiderverse, past lives are my top 2 of the year

There are some wonderful lead and supporting actor performances in Polite Society film. My film of the year so far, so my view is tainted by my love for the film. 🥰

Can't wait to see many of these. I did see 'Are you there God? It's me Margaret' and thought it was good but not necessarily awards material.

Please tell me Asteroid City is not dead. That movie was so thoughtful and original! I liked it much more than both Oppenheimer and Barbie.

Honestly Tetris was my favourite film about a product with Air next then Flaming Hot then Blackberry. And do agree about Still that was a fantastic documentary.

For animation you simply can not ignore How Do You Live, or The Boy and the Heron.

Tetris got a theatrical release.

This combination of people just feels right.❤

I don't get why we aren't mentioning that Hayao Miyazaki has a new film coming out

It’s past lives vs. Oppenheimer for me. The two very best flicks of 2023. Anticipated rest: killers of the flower moon, holdovers, Napoleon, dune part two, and magazine dreams, and poor things, last voyage of the Demeter, color purple, Ferrari and maestro

I’m hopping the movie one thousand and one is able to get some Oscar love.

One nom is definite for Oppenheimer and maybe a win and that is best visual effects

The Sound of Freedomshoulddefgrtan Oscar

27:33 that's the hottest take I've ever heard from Scott Mantz! WOW that's strong & bold. Bravo for giving to us real. I agree with Jeff - I thought Asteroid City was better than French Dispatch but not his best movie

Gonna get hate for this by the easily offended and the self righteous crew but Ezra Miller was great in The Flash. Dude brought me to 😢 in the final scene with his Mother.

This aged well😂

Couldn’t agree with Scott more #AsteroidShitty

Sound of freedom?

Gosling is Supporting, and not sure why he isn't being mentioned. I wouldn't be surprised if he won, and he's certainly a heavy nomination contender.

Nimona is an awesome movie and should be nominated for Best Animated Feature. Also watch out for Wish from Disney Animation this fall. Both could challenge Spider-verse.

*Shang Tsung voice* IT HAS BEGUN!!!!!!!

Usually when you guys do an awards preview for the first half of the year, most of the films end up getting overshadowed by fall festivals films, but I don't think that's the case this year. I think we've already seen 4 Best Picture contenders: Oppenheimer and Past Lives seem pretty locked, Barbie is a cultural sensation in the way Maverick was last year, so I think that gets a BP nom for sure. I'm also feeling confident about Spider-Verse's chances. Sure, it has an uphill battle considering it's animated and tied to a larger superhero property, but it's broken into the cultural zeitgeist and will make many top ten of the year lists. Air also has a chance, but I see that more as a Golden Globes type thing. Screenplay I could see though. I'd love if BlackBerry broke in as well, incredible movie!

I hope this is the last time Scott says „Tee Yoo“

A Thousand and One and Oppenheimer for me.