2023 Best Picture Predictions - For Your Consideration 

The Oscar Expert then you, day after day? We are blessed 🙌

I love how much Scott wears his emotion on his sleeve. I may not agree with his rankings or whatnot, but you can not deny his love for films.

How are we on Season 5 of FYC already?! Love to see you guys as strong as ever!

If Perri says it will happen, I’m betting my house on it.

Great predictions! I think I’d go for right now: 1. The Fabelmans 2. Everything Everywhere All At Once 3. The Banshees of Inisherin 4. Top Gun Maverick 5. Women Talking 6. Babylon 7. TAR 8. The Whale 9. Avatar: The Way of Water 10. Glass Onion

ohh god... i got Top Gun Maverick in third position too!... i think is gonna get more than seven oscar nominations... 1. Best song, 2. Best sound, 3. Best Editing, 4. Best cinematography, 5. Best picture... and not so sure... 6. Best Score 7. Best actor

It’s always sad when Oscar season ends, but then it comes around real quick. Can’t wait for this oscar season, I have a feeling it’ll be a great year for movies

Amazing chat as always, Glad you guys are back! ♥️🙌🏽

FYC is back and that means Oscar Season is officially in full swing! Love this show and this is the strongest FYC season opener yet! Thanks, Perri, Scott, and Jeff. 🙌🏾

Mia Goth in Pearl needs to win something. the greatest performance ive ever seen, that table monologue was insane.

I’m loving listening to the Oscar conversation between you all . It’s very interesting and informative . Also reminding me of films I need to watch this Fall

My predictions, in order of likelihood to be nominated and with a little bit of wishful thinking towards the end with the bottom two: 1. Fabelmans 2. Everything Everywhere All At Once 3. Banshees of Inisherin 4. Top Gun Maverick 5. Babylon 6. Tàr 7. Women Talking 8. The Whale 9. Glass Onion 10. Decision to Leave

Oscar season is my favorite time of year! Looking forward to you threes analysis over the next couple of months! There’s always a movie you talk about that’s not on my radar that I end up loving!

Always nice to see you three.

1. The Fabelmans 2. Everything, Everywhere 3. Babylon 4. Women Talking 5. Top Gun 6. Banshees 7. Tar 8. The Whale 9. She Said 10. Elvis

Perri, you should upload this as a podcast on Spotify, it would be great :) Amazing conversation btw, great to hear you all again talking about the Oscar race, I love it.

So happy to see you three come back with Oscar predictions! This season is definitely interesting in how it's shaping up so far. This is what I got so far: 1. Everything Everywhere All At Once 2. Women Talking 3. The Fabelmams 4. Babylon 5. Top Gun: Maverick 6. The Banshees of Inisherin 7. Triangle of Sadness 8. Avatar: The Way of Water 9. Glass Onion 10. The Whale Alternates: TÁR, The Woman King, She Said, All Quiet on the Western Front, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Decision to Leave I don't think so: Elvis, Empire of Light, Till, Bardo, The Son

Woohoo it’s my favorite season of the year-awards season!! I’m sooo glad you guys are keeping this going, so fun & thanks for doing so. I just missed an industry screening of Tar but am looking forward to it. Btw Scott- it’s pronounced Palm Door, not Palm Duh Ore. Just sayin’…love you guys.

It’s the most wonderful time of the year! Oscar season is upon us and the best way to celebrate is with my favorite trio!

Completely agree with you on TAR. You can't take eyes off of Cate Blanchett's character

Can’t believe I missed this when it came out! Awards season and FYC is my favourite time of year ❤️ love you guys!!! So glad to see you back 🥰🥰🥰 my favourite trio

You three rock! For me I’m just going with my heart only on this: if I was in charge of picking the nominees I’d pick Everything everywhere all at once, Marcel the shell with shoes on, Pearl, top gun maverick, bodies bodies bodies, emergency, fablemans, Babylon, brother, & Cha Cha real smooth!! Also pets for Malcom!!

I love these videos. I could hang w these people and have dinner and laughs over movie chats. Im so grateful for the Movie Schmoedown! That’s where I found Scott & Jeff. 💜 Perri has always been a fav from Collider.

Best Picture Predictions: 1. The Fabelmans 2. Women Talking 3. Everything Everywhere All At Once 4. Babylon 5. The Banshees of Inisherin 6. Top Gun: Maverick 7. All Quiet on the Western Front 8. Avatar: The Way of Water 9. Elvis 10. TAR 11. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery 12. The Whale 13. Decision to Leave 14. Triangle of Sadness 15. Empire of Light 16. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 17. The Woman King 18. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio 19. She Said 20. Bros

Glad Bones & All got mentioned, one my top this year

I enjoyed Top Gun Maverick very much, but I did not walk out thinking Best Picture Nominee - Even with 10 Spots. You had it pretty much as a lock - Let's see if that holds when you revist the category.

Great show as always! Jeff Sneider where did you get those awesome posters behind you?

Wow wasn’t expecting it this early I’m so excited 🎉

We love you, Perri! Looking forward to seeing "Women Talking" and I love your facial expressions when Jeff and Scott speak. Your reasoning is so smart and interesting. All of you are great, really.

I'll be here every episode guys and ill update my list with you all as I see the films.

Breaking with John Boyega needs to be on the Oscar contenders list. Powerful movie

Interesting discussion! I know you'll keep updating your predictions as you get closer to nominations, but I hope you circle back to this initial list when the nominations come out. I'll be interested how close it was you your final predictions and the actual nominations.

Love the show. I wish Marcel the Shell with shoes on could get some love. It’s the best film of the year in my opinion.

$155 million worldwide for Everything Everywhere AAO was a typo, with Colombia listed at $58 million. The true worldwide take is actually closer to $101 million.

Wonderful podcast as usual ❤️

The best awards discussion show out there! My current line up: 1. The Fabelmans 2. Everything Everywhere All At Once 3. Babylon 4. Women Talking 5. Tar 6. Banshees of Inisherin (sight unseen my most anticipated movie of the year) 7. The Whale 8. The Woman King 9. Avatar The Way of Water 10. Bardo (there's always a good chance an international film will squeeze in, if not this, then Decision to Leave) I feel about Top Gun like how Jeff feels about Women Talking. It's not that I didn't like it, it just isn't my kind of film and I can only really admire its merits in the craft categories. I'm sure I'll budge in a couple months and put it on the Best Picture list.

I think RRR deserves some attention, please watch it. I promise you wont regret it

FYC IS BACK BABY!!!!

Yay! I was waiting for this. I miss the days it was an weekly show.

My current GoldDerby predictions (as of September 30): 10. Elvis 9. TÁR 8. Top Gun: Maverick 7. The Woman King 6. Avatar: The Way of Water 5. The Banshees of Inisherin 4. Babylon 3. Everything Everywhere All at Once 2. Women Talking 1. The Fabelmans Other movies I think have a decent shot to get in: The Whale (just swapped it out for Elvis minutes before writing this), All Quiet on the Western Front, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Till. Unlikely movies I'm still not feeling comfortable to rule out entirely: Glass Onion (can't see a sequel to a movie that didn't get nominated be nominated itself, unless it got significantly better reception than the first like Maverick did), She Said, Triangle of Sadness, Decision to Leave, Bones and All. Out of the race completely in my eyes: Empire of Light, The Son, Bardo, Amsterdam, The Greatest Beer Run Ever, Whitr Noise, Nope, The Batman, Armageddon Time, virtually any other movie not yet mentioned.

Yay!!!! My day is made!!! You three are perfection together!!

I've missed FYC! Thanks folks

so excited for another season of FYC!! can't wait to watch more of these movies!!

You guys are mostly spot on. Tar is way too academic, chilly and slow to be seriously considered (I really didn’t care for it) Fabelmans is the safe conservative feel good bet. Top gun will definitely get nominated and win some technical awards (they need a movie ordinary schmoes actually watched). I would like to see Butler win best actor (best performance regardless of sex this year). Tom Brady level

Late to this but glad you guys are back for Oscar season. Only movie not mentioned that seems to have a lot of love is Decision To Leave and international films have done very well in recent years. I think Babylon is huge question mark. I want it to be good but a little worried. I hope there is a story b/c the trailer reminded me of the Amsterdam trailer and we know how that turned out...

Love this series and glad y'all are back. Just curious if there's a way to watch this without sitting through a thousand ads. I know that's the way of RU-vid. Bombard everyone with an endless amount of ads that make some videos unwatchable... then throw RU-vid premium in our faces. But this still seems a bit excessive. I feel there's an ad break every 3-5 minutes, which throws off the flow of me listening.

Great kick off episode! and I liked the emmy stuff...but c'mon...Oscars is where it's at!!

Here's my Top 10 (as of right now): EEAAO Fablemens Banshees Women Talking The Whale TAR Babylon Top Gun Maverick All Quiet on the Western Front Glass Onion

I wonder if The Northman will be nominated?

Glad this is back

My Top Ten(-ish) So Far... 1. Everything Everywhere (A24) 2. Top Gun Maverick( Paramount) 3. The Northman( Universal / FF) 4. THE Batman( Warner bros) 5. The Women King ( Sony) 6. Breaking (Neon < i think?) 7.???????? 8. ??????? 9. ??????? 10. Barbarion ( Fox searchlight)

Always a fan of the show, forgot about revisiting until just now so I have some catching up to do but glad I remembered, glad the crew is all back!

Ahhh Oscar season we’re back!!

my Oscars 2023 Best Picture predictions top 10 'Everything Everywhere All At Once' 🏆 (A24) 'Women Talking' (MGM) 'The Woman King' (Sony-TriStar) 'The Whale' (A24) 'The Fabelmans' (Universal Pictures) 'All Quiet On The Western Front' (Netflix) 'Babylon' (Paramount Pictures) 'The Banshees Of Inisherin' (Searchlight Pictures) 'Black Panther: Wakanda Forever' (Disney-Marvel Studios) 'Decision To Leave' (Mubi) next-in-line: 'Triangle Of Sadness' (Neon) 'Tár' (Focus Features) 'I Wanna Dance With Somebody' (Sony Pictures-Columbia) 'Top Gun: Maverick' (Paramount Pictures) 'Elvis' (Warner Bros.) 'Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery' (Netflix) 'Bardo' (Netflix) 'Avatar: The Way Of Water' (20th Century Studios) 'Pinocchio' (Netflix) 'RRR' (Sarigama Cinemas) followed by: 'The Inspection' (A24) 'Bones And All' (MGM) 'Living' (Sony Pictures Classics) 'Broker' (Neon) 'Till' (Orion Pictures) 'The Batman' (Warner Bros.) 'Nope' (Universal Pictures) 'The Northman' (Focus Features) 'Turning Red' (Disney-Pixar) 'She Said' (Universal Pictures) 'Marcel The Shell With Shoes On' (A24) 'Blonde' (Netflix) 'The Son' (Sony Pictures Classics) 'Empire Of Light' (Searchlight Pictures)

Top Gun is probably getting in and I loved the movie, but I think putting at number 2 it’s a little too much… you gotta look at the nominations package, top gun will only get nominations for technical awards (editing, sound, visual effects etc) and picture so movies like Women Talking and Banshees have a way better package including probably director, screenplay and acting nominations! Top Gun is probably in the 7th spot for me: 1- The Fabelmans 2- Everything Everywhere All At Once 3- Women Talking 4- Banshees of Inisherin 5- TÁR 6- Babylon 7- Top Gun: Maverick 8 to 10 I’m not sure yet but definitely not Elvis, I would say something like She Said or Triangle of Sadness or All Quiet in the Western Front…

I also missed out on The Whale at TIFF. The only P&I screening that was full that early.

So excited for a new season!!

Also hope The Batman gets nominated because it's one of the best comic book movies ever made.

Yessss, routing for Bones and all - saw it at Venice Filmfestival. Love that you are back - looking forward to the next months.

Top Gun: Maverick is the Mad Max: Fury Road of 2022.

A really good first list of movies.Some really deserving ones!

I really enjoyed your FYC videos. Really great work. Why wasn't All Quiet On the Western Front and Decision To Leave mentioned as potential best picture nominees? The Academy in recent history has put in at least one non-English speaking (the majority of the time) for best picture.

Austin Butler should at least be nominated for best actor!

Yay! :) My favorite show (FYC)

What a nice surprise!

While Elvis isn’t on my list, I think it has a good chance. It’s realistically WB’s only contender, so if they push it it has a solid chance to get in, while other studios are juggling multiple films (A24, Netflix)

Triangle of sadness should be nominated

Perri and Scott seem like very lovely people.

Jeff didn't like the first Knives Out? Gotta be kidding. Paid to see it 4 times. Excellent. --That being said, the Drive poster behind him (which he's in the way of) is great.

At the end of the Avatar re-release, they show a scene from Avatar: The Way of Water. If the tech/crafts led the charge to get the first one nominated for 'Best Picture', I believe it will happen again for the sequel. That scene looks amazing in IMAX 3D, even better than the first film.

It's that time already!

Del Toro's Pinocchio might end up being the 4th animated movie to make it into best picture, apparently Netflix is gonna push hard for that category and not just best animated feature. Also the academy loves Del Toro.

I would love to see the FYC crew do an Oscar Reroll and pick their Best Picture noms from a past year.

1. The fablemans 2. Everything everywhere all at once 3. Babylon 4. Top gun maverick 5. Avatar 2 6. Women talking 7. Banshees of insherin 8. The whale 9. Tar 10. Elvis

I think seven slots are nearly locked in. I would suggest that slots 8-10 go to a combination of the following blockbusters/potential "blockbusters": The Woman King, Glass Onion, Elvis, Avatar: The Way of Water and Black Panther: Wakanda Forever. Other contenders seem too divisive (e.g., Triangle of Sadness, The Whale, The Son) or too small (e.g., Aftersun, Decision to Leave, etc.).

Jeff seems like such a chore to talk to... my God.

Let’s go!

after the fabelmans won the TIFF people's choice for about 2 weeks i was sure it was a lcoked top 2 contender or so and predicted it as the best picture winner, but after the all Michelle Williams reverse category fraud thing, though i think she'll still get nominated, i can't see her winning. the last time someone won for screenplay after winning best director was way back in the 30s + the movie doesn't really seem like a screenplay movie (haven't watched it yet) though belfast won original so, who knows really? but i think this year it's a way more stacked category in original, i think EEAAO is the current frontrunner but, i don't know how the older voters reacted/ will react to it, another possibility for original is banshees in my opinion, which won the screenplay award at venice. is see the original race as 1. EEAAO 2. Fabelmans 3. Banshees the other picture contenders are (in my opinion) Babylon and Women Talking. after rewatching the trailer a couple of times, i've decided to predict damien chazelle for best director as the movie looks to be really over the top and with great performances (i predict robbie at either lead or supporting, brad pitt in supporting and calva in lead) + the movie is far more likely to win below the line than The Fabelmans. Women Talking already seems to be a lock for adapted and without Michelle Williams and as long as Robbie stays in lead it's also the favorite for supporting actress for either claire foy or jesse buckley. current picture predictions: 1. EEAAO 2. Fabelmans 3. Babylon 4. Women Talking 5. Banshees 6. TAR 7. Top Gun 2 8. The Whale 9. All Quiet 10. She Said

Anyway to get this in podcast form?

The day after I saw Banshees of Inisherin at Venice I bet on it to win Best Picture. It had 30/1 odds and now it had 10/1. I’m gonna make a lot of money when it wins.

The first Knives Out movie should have been nominated for Best Picture. The final slot was right there.

My Early Predictions are as Follows 1: The Fablemans, 2: Everything Everywhere all at Once, 3: Babylon, 4: The Banshees of Inisherin, 5: Armageddon Time, 6: She Said, 7: The Whale, 8: Triangle of Sadness 9: The Menu, 10: Top Gun: Maverick HM: Tar, Knives Out:Glass Onion, Women Talking, Empire of Light, Amsterdam, Avatar: The Way of Water, All Quiet on the Western Front, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, The Woman King, Bones and All, Till

I have a very strong hunch that one particular film originally slated for next year will actually sneak in by Christmas. No, it won’t be Scorsese’s Killers of the Flower Moon. But it’s a film which will benefit from an especially weak field in at least one category, Oscar-wise.

No X and Where the Crawdads sing in either of the 3 list. Those were two good movies. And deserve a shot. An Oscar winner has to be unique and precise and I think both those movies are in some ways genre bending and very well made. They tell their stories expertly. X puts a whole new spin on the Horror franchise with with its narrative and unique characters and it does not rely on jump scares to frighten you. Plus the narrative is very well done with the story progression and climax. Where the Crawdads Sing is another story that takes a fresh take on romantic movies and yes its a bit far fetched but it tells a poignant story and how you have to work to create the perfect ending after a very bad start. So another different approach. These 2 certainly seem better than some of the movies you mentioned here. Also the Good Nurse seems to have the Best Picture vibe. That has been left out. Certainly as Jeff said Knives Out is way too commercial and gimmicky to have a best picture chance. And Frankly it looks rather derivative and stylish over substance. The Good Nurse is probably Netflix's better chance.

Glad Bones and All got mentioned!!!

Mmm I really think Bone & All might definitely make the cut too.

i love how these people pretty much say they haven't seen some of the movies but still positioned them in the ranking in high positions, that's even disrespectful to the other movies they have actually seen 🤣

Mantz and Perri’s expressions at Jeff’s opposition to Glass Onion lol! Also, The Woman King all the way!!!

WOOHOO!

This would be so much better with some graphics of sorts. Like display the titles or the posters of the movies being talked about. Also, jumping around with each film and the rankings for each person is confusing. Maybe average the ranking of each film for each person, and order them that way. Then each person can talk about where did they put it on their personal ranking.

have you guys considered uploading this like podcasts in spotify?

triangle of sadness is awesome!

I'm really upset right now because I can't get a screener or screening of Tar in my market. So I may not be able to nominate it in my guild awards. If you guys can help me get a screening in Orlando or a screener I would greatly appreciate it!!!

Thx again, what about Ana de Amas in Blonde she really channels Marylin Monroe

The Fabelmans is my favourite movie of the year!

any thoughts about bones & all? that has my attention locked up

Perri's taste in movies is so opposite of most folks :)

What about Corsage? No one is talking about it or Vicky Krieps for lead actress - and she won Cannes and is very reminiscent of a young Meryl Streep in the trailer.

Jeff’s taste is so pedestrian

I think that if the whale is as great as it's being reported to be I can see it winning a few awards like best actor and best director maybe even best picture. It seems very possible to me but I also haven't seen it yet but I know that Darren aronofskys bread and butter are movies that are dark character studies.