Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions - For Your Consideration 

The tightest race this season is who will win the “Best Pronunciation of Barry Keoghan” Award

Last week I backed Perri in the debate over whether Polley deserves a nomination. However, Jeff wins this week in the Best Picture conversation. All Quiet will certainly get nominated, and Glass Onion is far down the pecking order. I would sooner expect The Woman King or RRR to get it, Jeff's winning $20 next week, no doubt in my mind.

I think Perri is truly a treasure in general, but her reaction to Jeff putting TC in the "Best Actor" race is just priceless. 😄 The dynamic between you guys is awesome! I hope you get to make more content this year.

What a great discussion!! So many funny moments, hard-fought battles and of course Scott's RRR heartbreak (58:12). Best show on the internet!

I agree with Jeff that The Whale and All Quiet are far more likely than Women Talking and Glass Onion. I also think Jeff is crazy in thinking that the Daniels aren't a lock and in contention for Best Director.

Can’t wait for the discussion on Oscar nominations after Tuesday. FYC is one of the best times/series of the award season. Thank you to all three fantastic speakers.

Love Jeff's Hong Chau pick! I am not expecting her to win but sure hoping she gets one of the five nominations.

I love that All Quiet On The western Front is gaining steam, in my opinion that's the best film of the year.

The fact that RRR was debated at all for best picture, is a complete and utter home run for it and it's team

Jeff's going to be doing some gloating come Tuesday, All Quiet is definitely getting nominated for Best Picture. It also has the chance to be the nomination leader Oscar morning. I'm surprised Perri and Scott didn't even have it on their list. Ever since the Academy has expanded it's membership there's been an international film in best picture. Think Parasite and Drive My Car, both won international feature and were nominated for best picture and Parasite even won. Also The Whale is very likely to get in, it got a PGA nomination which hardly goes for indie films which just shows you how strong that film is. As sad as it it may be both Glass Onion and Women Talking have missed crucial guild nominations and have shown that they are vulnerable, I personally think Triangle of Sadness will get in over those two. Fantastic episode of FYC and loved the back and forth between all of you!

Just discovered you guys. Loved it! Thank you. Can't wait to see who eats their words later next week :)

Barry Keoghan's last name is pronounced "key-oh-gan" (last part sounds like Logan). At least that's how he pronounced his name in an interview so that's what I'm going with.

I had so much fun with this episode. You guys are awesome.

Such fun! Have loved this ongoing coverage!

What a fun discussion! Thank you!

You guys did pretty great!

Subbed! Started following you guys years ago on collider and had no idea that perri had her own channel! 🎉

Great conversation today! Can't wait to see how these bets turn out.

This is the most contentious FYC episode I've seen in a long time!! Love It!! Great passionate debates!

Without Best International Film it´s not a complete prediction. That category has blown up recent years. And now is one of the most anticipated.

Great discussion as always 👍 🥰

That was way too rude of Jeff, calling Scott’s question asinine. You need to caution people like him immediately or they’ll feel like they have free rein to be disrespectful

I have been watching this season of FYC and this episode is by far and away my best. Perri, Scott and Jeff are just the best when it comes to award season. I enjoyed the double bet between Perri and Jeff. You guys continue the fantastic work that you do. 32:02 🙌🏾. My FYC G.O.A.T

Great show guys.

We love you, Perri!!! Great discussion and now looking forward to seeing how close you were to the actual nominations!!

I love the passion I see in these debates it's awesome. As someone who hasn't seen every movie that could get nominated but has seen some of them. A movie like All Quiet on the Western Front should absolutely be nominated. That movie is on par with something like 1917 while not as good as 1917 it still deserves to be in.

Great episode!!!

Great video! Can't wait for the nominations 😁

This show is another reason to look forward to Fridays!

I like the animated :) discussion that starts this video. I appreciate the mention of Apollo 10 1/2. It's a great movie, in the Linklater "forget suspection of disbelief, you will just believe" way. I don't think it's as great as GdT' Pinocchio, though. But I'm falling into the trap of bringing quality into an awards discussion, and as I type this, someone mentions Glass Onion...

This was amazing guys 😅♥️

Love how upset Mantz got when Perri and Jeff said no to RRR - hahahaha

Never clicked so fast in my life. Because you guys give me life every time you upload a video and I can see you debating about films!!! ❤️❤️❤️

Thanks for the many weeks of discussion. Loved hearing the rationale behind each revison you each made from episode to episode. I will be shocked and disappointed if Glass Onion is nomated for Best Picture. I don't think it stands a chance.

All quiet got 14 Bafta noms, the whale got 4, glass onion and women talking combined got 0. I think it’s an omen that Jeff may be winning these bets come Tuesday

To question Barry Keoghan, who got nominated by every major award body this season, is not a good move. He is definitely getting nominated. Also Paul Mescal is the only actor outside of the top four that has nominations in 2 major awards bodies. I do not think the size of the movie matters, especially when it is a movie as well reviewed as Aftersun is.

What a stimulating discussion!

1. Jeff was right The sea beast got in Animated 2. Jeff was right Top Gun got in Adapted screenplay 3. Jeff and Perri were wrong about Paul Dano' getting the nom 4. Scott was right about Brian Tyree Henry 5. Scott was right on the 5 supporting actress 6. Jeff is wrong about Tom Cruise, Perri was right about Paul Mescal 7. Everyone was wrong about Danielle Deadwyler 8. Jeff is totally wrong about Andrea Riseborough 9. Perri was wrong about Sarah Polley and Gina Prince 10. Jeff was right about Glass Onion not getting best picture 11. Perri was right about woman talking getting best picture nod 12. Perri was wrong about the Whale getting best picture 13. Jeff was right about ALL QUIET!!!!

Thank you Jeff for sticking for our Dolly, I think she is the dark horse in the oscar nomination 👍😊❤️

You guys are just the best.

Thanks Much !

This has to be the best discussion since FYC debuted. I think the oscars opening the best picture to 10 spots is a great way of putting something that people are really passionate about. Hence if Perri chose 'Women Talking' out of her lot to get in and Jeff got with 'All Quiet on the Western Front'; Scott shud have got his pick for 'RRR'. That wud leave Glass Onion but it wud be a popular 2nd for Perri and Scott but not the most passionate ones.

I'd love to see a live reaction from you guys of the nominations lol

Perri I would like to know. First I do agree I would put a woman director up there but Why are you implying you can’t see a future where no women are nominated.. is it going to be like this every year then. A woman must be at least one nominee no matter what?? And how exactly does that create more opportunities? And why isn’t this extending to other categories too. Do you care if all the stunts, makeup, Editing etc nominees are all men or all women.. ? if all director nominees were women would you insist on a male director getting a slot? And you said you love top gun but every category it comes up in, director, screenplay, actor you push back.. so what do you want it to get nominated for then? how come only rich & powerful positions get the demand for gender equality?? While it’s great topics about assault are being adressed I do think it’s fair to say a “men talking” movie of similar quality but about a group of men talking about their trauma from women wouldn’t get the same support from You or anyone in Hollywood? Do you want just any woman to get a director nomination or Sarah Polly specifically? And why? None of these are in bad faith. I’m not looking for a debate or anything like that but I’m genuinely curious.? This seems like a important issue to you so could you answer these questions..?

This was recorded before BAFTA nominations but Williams missed there as well. So this makes the second ceremony where Williams was omitted in which no category confusion occurred. For the Oscars she is going to cannibalize her own vote and receive votes in both Supporting Actress and Actress. If she couldn't get in when there was no possibility of vote splitting I do not see her getting in now.

In Animated Feature there's the stat that Cartoon Saloon hold a record of 4 out of 4 nominations, all their tiny films have received Oscar mentions. A colossal feat within the branch for an independent irish animation studio. *My Father's Dragon* missing would be their first ever.

This came out before BAFTA right? Cause I have news for them regarding Glass Onion and Women Talking. I’m sorry Peri 😅

Nominations are out! had to come back and see who got what right...excited for the discussion later!

You three are so entertaining.

Great discussion as always! I’m with Jeff in thinking Glass Onion won’t get int. All Quiet seems to be the best shot.

Todd Field from Twister? man that was a shocker, pleasant one

Kudos to Perri for mentioned Andrea Riseborough for To Leslie! I totally wrote off that prediction

Women Talking is good but...I'd take Aftersun every day of the week if I had to take a woman directed film of the past year to get a director nom. I also loved Happening, that's definitely far from the conversation but also another very well directed movie by a female filmmaker. I agree with Jeff, as good as the movie is there's just more unique and elaborate films I would place in a top 5 for direction this year. This was a really strong year for direction, it is too bad a woman might not make it in but overall that aspect has gotten big strides in recent years with women winning the award outright, which is great. also...Triangle of Sadness not nominated for Best Picture...what?!

I think they’re going to pull a LaKeith Stanfield and nominate Michelle Williams in supporting and Ana de Armas is going to get into lead

I can’t believe I’m saying this but I Sorta agree with Perri on director in a sense. Let me explain- If a literal MRA group can pick Sarah Polley as a top 5 director (IDK why) Perri maybe u can enlighten me on that. Then I don’t see why the alleged progressive Hollywood can’t. Because and I’m taking a big leap on this… I think Perri truly does want to treat female directors like every other director just that she thinks they aren’t numerous enough. And My biggest leap of faith.. if the situations were reversed and even tho 4 male directors made great films yet none were nominated and it was all female nominees I think Perri would say the same things she is about women directors. And if that’s true That is something I respect immensely. Yes this is me saying this.. Tho to me women talking seems like a “man bad women good” screed (haven’t seen it tho) I do think a woman should be up there.

Omg I felt so indentified with Perri’s shock when Scott said Brendan Fraser is #3 😂 My list for that race is the same as Perri although I would put Austin Butler at #2, He’s had a lot more buzz than CF. I Think Glass Onion def will get an Adapted nod and Till can Surpise at OG Screenplay. There’s usually a surprise nomination like Lakeith Stanfield in Supporting and or an omission like Jennifer Lopez 👍🏼

Will this be the episode where Perri and Mantz talk about how they finally saw Athena?

I've never agreed with Jeff so much until this year. We are in lock step.

my Oscars 2023 Best Actor predictions Brendan Fraser - The Whale Austin Butler - Elvis Colin Farrell - The Banshees Of Inisherin Jeremy Pope - The Inspection Paul Mescal - Aftersun

Edward Berger or Park Chan-wook is surely going to fill the last slot of the director list. And Glass Onion won't happen in Best Picture. Screenplay also seems to be on shaky grounds.

I’m back from the future and the Best Actress race got very interesting… Peri, you were right on the money, My namesake got nominated for To Leslie, I can’t wait for Jeff and Scott’s reactions 😂

I loved Glass Onion, but not only was All Quiet my #1 movie of the year, but part of me feels that it's just wrong for Glass Onion to make the cut when Knives Out was omitted despite not only being the better film imo but also being eligible as a potential 10th pick the Academy could've gone with but didn't 😔

I would've loved these predictions with the BAFTA nominations taken into consideration but still enjoyed the discussions.

Have to say I'm with Jeff on Glass Onion in the Best Picture category.

This conversation was so fun. I really appreciate your passion and your real debate, having honest conversations about your feelings on these movies and what the nominations might be. Perri, I agree w/ you on the women-directed movies - and because those movies were good and should have been recognized, no matter the gender of the person making the movie. Part of the reason these movies are not in the conversation is because of the topic of the movies. Still, I hope for some surprises.

I love it when Perri smiles. Jeff you're a nut.

Thanks for the great video. Loved the spirited debate. Really looking forward to the follow up after nominations to see who has to eat humble pie.

I agree with Jeff, All Quiet and The Whale are more likely to be nominated over Women Talking and Glass Onion. I think Triangle of Sadness, Babylon, RRR and Wakanda Forever are also more likely than those two. For Director DGA rarely goes 5 for 5. Most of the times it goes 4/5. So Kosinski will likely miss for Edward Burger, Park Chan-wook or any other nominee.

Perri I have a question.. What categories would you nominate Top Gun Maverick in ? Since apparently it’s not screenplay, actor or director

I can't believe it's already the end

I watched this and Oscar Expert back to back and I'm struggling with my utter confusion instead of locking my predictions and staying away from my Gold Derby for the next couple of days.

RRR is pure unadulterated cinematic experience... pls watch it in a theatre!! ur laptops or tvs just dont do justice!!

I’m curious how people would feel about two Director awards, one for budgets above 20M, one for budgets below 20M. Because I think Pedro does have a point about it being a different skill set. If there is only one category, I do think giving a moderate advantage to ambitious films makes sense (degree of difficulty is considered in many judging based sports like gymnastics), but separating the two out might make sense? Edit: Perri, not Pedro. That was a fun autocorrect, haha.

Jeff is right though: both All Quiet and The Whale are getting in. Glass Onion I don’t see happening

my Oscars 2023 Best Supporting Actress Angela Bassett - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Dolly De Leon - Triangle Of Sadness Stephanie Hsu - Everything Everywhere All At Once Hong Chau - The Whale

All Quiet is almost certainly getting in based on all the techs (sound, cinematography, makeup, production design). Glass Onion probably won’t get in with only a screenplay nom. Women Talking I think will just get screenplay and score. I think 8-10 are The Whale, All Quiet and Babylon (also because of techs).

Was this recorded before the BAFTA nominations? What “Fabelmans momentum “ is Jeff talking about?

I find it so interesting nobody is talking about Jonathan Majors in Devotion. For me his performance had at least 2 or 3 Oscar moments in that film. It was a old Hollywood style leading man performance he gave. Moments that equally recall a young Denzel Washington or even a young Sidney Poitier at times. Even a little of the nuance and method attention of a young Marlon Brando in his performance too. Just downright sad nobody is considering him at all not even as a possible contender. A lot of the problem too I believe is Devotion was extremely highly overshadowed by Top Gun Maverick obviously. That’s why i still believe they should have released Devotion in 2023 instead of the same year as Top Gun. That way by the time it came out late 2023, Jonathan would be a huge movie star coming off of Ant Man, Creed 3 and Magazine Dreams earlier in the year, and he easily would have had much more momentum and support

my Oscars 2023 Best Supporting Actor predictions Ke Huy Quan - Everything Everywhere All At Once Brendan Gleeson - The Banshees Of Inisherin Eddie Redmayne - The Good Nurse Barry Keoghan - The Banshees Of Inisherin Albrecht Schuch - All Quiet On The Western Front

In my opinion, supporting actress is the hardest to predict for noms. So many wild cards. My predictions are: Angela Bassett, Hong Chau, Kerry Condon, Jamie Lee Curtis and Dolly de Leon. I don’t think Stephanie Hsu will make it in unfortunately. I have a very weird feeling that a dark horse to get in is Nina Hoss. I just have a weird feeling on that.

I love y'all!!! I wish Woman Talking would come to theathers already, dosen't hit Charlotte till this coming Thursday. I personally found Glass Onion to be a tad overhyped, but I get why its getting attention. I still need to watch RRR.

I disagree with everything!!!!!! Hahahaha No way Tom Cruise gets nominated !!! Paul Mescal gets the 5th spot for his beautiful performance in "Aftersun!"

How about who was the best, gal or guy, for any category.

Jeff is so hilarious! 🤣

So much tension!

So you don’t want sentimentality to come in to play for Austin Butler with the unexpected passing of Lisa Marie Presley and yet want to give Brendan Fraser the Oscar for sentimental reasons. Lisa Marie did say that Austin’s portrayal of her father was one of accuracy and respect. Her approval of Butler’s portrayal as well as Pricilla’s could push him to the finish line. And btw, the elder members of the academy could give most of the awards to ELVIS. The only way that BF wins best actors is if that THE WHALE wins best makeup but with ELVIS in the category also might be challenging. If ELVIS wins best makeup then Austin will for sure win best actor

thanks scott for atleast fighting for RRR (the craze for the film is off the roof), it's a tough battle for the last 3 spots on best picture, i hope it gets in. Naatu Naatu is 100% fixed.

Here we go! It's my favorite time of the year again! I'm not feeling great about some of my predictions. Let's see how many I get right tomorrow morning! 95th Academy Award Nominations Predictions Best Picture Everything Everywhere All at Once The Fablemans The Banshees of Inisherin Top Gun: Maverick TÁR Elvis Avatar: The Way of Water All Quiet on the Western Front The Whale Triangle of Sadness Best Director Steven Spielberg, The Fablemans Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin Todd Field, TÁR James Cameron, Avatar: The Way of Water Best Actress Cate Blanchette, TÁR Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once Ana De Armas, Blonde Danielle Deadwyer, Till Viola Davis, The Woman King Best Actor Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin Austin Butler, Elvis Brandon Fraser, The Whale Bill Nighy, Living Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick Best Supporting Actress Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Jaime Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once Hong Chau, The Whale Dolly De Leon, Triangle of Sadness Best Supporting Actor Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin Paul Dano, The Fablemans Judd Hirsch, The Fablemans Best Adapted Screenplay Women Talking Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery The Whale Living She Said Best Original Screenplay Everything Everywhere All at Once The Fablemans The Banshees of Inisherin TÁR Triangle of Sadness Best Animated Feature Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio Turning Red Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Marcel the Shell with Shoes On Wendell & Wild Best Cinematography Top Gun: Maverick The Batman Empire of Light Elvis All Quiet on the Western Front Best Costume Design Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Elvis Babylon Everything Everywhere All at Once Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris Best Documentary All That Breathes Navalny Fire of Love All The Beauty and the Bloodshed A House Made of Splinters Best Film Editing Everything Everywhere All at Once The Fablemans Top Gun: Maverick Avatar: The Way of Water Babylon Best International Feature All Quiet on the Western Front Argentina, 1985 Decision to Leave The Quiet Girl Bardo: False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths Best Make-up and Hairstyling Elvis The Batman The Whale Blonde All Quiet on the Western Front Best Oringal Score Women Talking Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio The Banshees of Inisherin Babylon The Fablemans Best Original Song "Hold My Hand", Top Gun: Maverick "Lift Me Up", Black Panther: Wakanda Forever "Naatu Naatu", RRR "Applause", Tell It Like a Woman "Ciao Papa", Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio Best Production Design Elvis Babylon Avatar: The Way of Water All Quiet on the Western Front The Fablemans Best Sound Top Gun: Maverick Avatar: The Way of Water All Quiet on the Western Front Elvis Everything Everywhere All at Once Best Visual Effects Avatar: The Way of Water Top Gun: Maverick Black Panther: Wakanda Forever All Quiet on the Western Front Thirteen Lives

I agree with Scott that I would pick the lead guy in The Fabelmans as number 5 over Tom if I was personally picking

Barry Keoghan has literally gotten in at Golden Globes, Critics Choice, BAFTA, and SAG. How is him getting a nomination even a discussion?

I think the sentiment is that Lisa Marie Presely's is going to be on a lot of people's minds when they go to vote so it might translate to them giving it to Elvis

RRR redemption at the Oscars specifically in Best Picture clearly BAFTA snub RRR because in the film British are the villain in the film.. remember Priyanka Chopra is Academy member and other Middle Eastern actors also a members..

1:07:49 "RRR arrrrrr"- Mantz 🤣🤣🤣

Love FYC! I think you three will be right on the money with your predictions!

I TOTALLY see Barry getting a nom. He hasn’t missed out…

was this filmed before the baftas?

Well its raining predictions. But since you guys started the trend I am going to share my thoughts. Well for Best Picture - I have not seen one of the favorites The Fabelmans yet so I do not know. But from the rest I have seen, I think my choice would be between Triangle of Sadness and Banshees of Irishin. I have heard every single critic just talk about Everything Everywhere but in my opinion that is not up to the standards of the two. It does begin very interestingly but after a good start it just extends its crazy situations without any connecting thread. The final act is really stretched. Its ok for a movie to have a crazy situation or idea but there has to be one common thread to connect them. I do not think Everything Everywhere has that connecting thread. Its about a story of a woman and her relationship with her husband and daughter. But that base and about how she could lose them due to what is happening in other "worlds" is kind of lost as the narrative progresses. I have seen only half of Tar, and I think it kind of aims to repeat what last years Best International Picture Drive My Car did. There you had a theatre director and how he is recovering from the loss of his wife and how going to Hiroshima to direct a play changes his situation. Here you have music composer dealing with several personal issues as she prepares for a grand symphony But Tar is really dialogue heavy, and as general viewer I found myself really straining to follow the narrative because its so dialogue heavy. I understand some movies have a serious subject but at the end of the day movie watching is an experience not a test where you are really forced to watch with great concentration. Now I could only watch half of Tar but its not unique or precise as the Best Picture winner should be. Elvis, again I could watch half. Though more of lack of time. I think Elvis gets its world building right. The lead actor Austin Butler certainly does a great impression of him. And Tom Hanks as the manager is an interesting angle. But as one viewer reviewed the movie becomes more about Tom Hanks than Elvis himself. And certainly there is a strong "woke" angle which is definitely forced into the movie. Not a movie with any clear idea. I honestly hope a movie like X or even The Forgiven makes it nomination list. They may not be serious contenders at winning but they are definitely better made and have more depth than an Elvis or Everything Everywhere in my opinion.

1. The Quiet Girl 2. All Quiet on the Western Front 3. Aftersun 4. TAR 5. Everything Everywhere All At Once 6. Elvis 7. The Banshees of Inisherin 8. The Batman 9. She Said 10. Living

I have Ana de armas for the nod , I can’t believe you don’t think she will get it

You guys are hilarious