HUGE BLUFF In High Stakes Poker Cash Game

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Dan Smith and Darren Elias lock horns in this high stakes edition of Live at the Bike! Both of these players are WPT champions with millions in career tournament earnings, but today it's cash on the table with blinds of $100/$200. Neither player pairs the ace on the flop, but the fireworks ensue regardless, setting Dan up for a river bluff shove. Should Darren make this call?
Take your game to the next level with elite poker training at Upswing Poker: upswingpoker.com/
See more Live at the Bike on their official RU-vid channel: / liveatthebikecom - or check out their website: www.liveatthebike.com/
Subscribe for more wsop vlog, news, comedy, and hand breakdowns. Poker Hands is the show where Doug analyzes live poker hands from tv poker shows such as Poker After Dark, EPT (European Poker Tour), High Stakes Poker, the World Series of Poker (WSOP), the Aussie Millions, WPT (World Poker Tour) the Big One For One Drop, and the PCA (Pokerstars Carribean Adventure). He especially enjoys reviewing hands by popular high stakes pros like Viktor "Isildur" Blom, Fedor Holz, Dan Cates (Jungleman), Tom "Durrrr" Dwan, Phil Hellmuth, Phil Ivey, and Daniel Negreanu.

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Опубликовано:

14 янв 2019

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Комментарии : 205

@DougPolkPoker 5 лет назад

Take your game to the next level with elite poker training at Upswing Poker: upswingpoker.com/

@therealrick1661 5 лет назад

My username on WSOP is Upswing lol

@therealrick1661 5 лет назад

@Moan stfu clown

@lucidnightmares4240 5 лет назад

Oh baby i love it

@luckymaggie6594 5 лет назад

We need more videos of you in the lab and play and explain.

@MooseyFate 5 лет назад

Is Mike Finnstein still producing content for Upswing? Really enjoyed his videos.

@deeznuts4910 5 лет назад

Who else thought Darren was the guy in the lakers jacket at first

@katieobrien4735 5 лет назад

Deez Nuts the bikes cams suck

@marlboro1771 5 лет назад

"Flush draw missed...I call." That's the full extent of my thought process.

@jordananderson4710 5 лет назад

Lol that's just bout what it boils down too, I think, I dunno

@therealrick1661 5 лет назад

I think if he wasn't eating that sandwich all loosey goosey, he would have been able to get that bluff through better. Oh baby I love it

@lucidnightmares4240 5 лет назад

well more rake is better so yah i agree

@jluchette 5 лет назад

😂🤣 ayyyy you right 🤣😂

@donaldpaluga 5 лет назад

Everything you do at the table conveys information. Even eating a sandwich-DNegs

@winstonsmithsneighbor7604 5 лет назад

Sick read brah!

@Malpheron 5 лет назад

It was that chip tell that did it.

@wiggles2439 5 лет назад

Doug. Please review the matt berkey full house fold at the PCA that just happened!!

@therealrick1661 5 лет назад

Berkley likes getting rekt for some reason lol

@Steezy93 5 лет назад

I was cringing so hard at that what a fucking nit haha. He just forgot about all the flushes 2pairs and straights he could have huh... I hate these idiot 'pro's' sometimes. Folding a full house to a normal sized bet lol fuck off

@paulhiggins140 5 лет назад

I was so hopeful that Berkey would make a terrible laydown there, and by God, he did

@Steezy93 5 лет назад

@James Fondren not a millionaire but I do play poker tournaments for a living... And certainly know that this is a shit fold. Wayyyy too tight... And it's shown on TV so he will be getting abused a lot from now on if he's folding that easily

@kevp8485 5 лет назад

Somebody needs to tell Darren to lay off the D-Bol and get on the treadmill.

@marcusblixenkrone-mller7169 5 лет назад

Its good to have you back Doug

@Seaton1518 5 лет назад

Doug "I only post on my Crypto channel during bull runs" Polk.

@therealrick1661 5 лет назад

Crypto is a scam lmao just flush your money down the toilet for the same results

@ivanwong8281 5 лет назад

Doug "I only post on my Poker channel during bear runs" Polk.

@cameron9228 5 лет назад

Bitcoin may as well be tulips, but that doesn't mean you couldn't make money speculating on tulips. @@therealrick1661

@therealrick1661 5 лет назад

@@cameron9228 bitcoin went from 20k I December of 2017 to less then 4k now. That's a 500% lose, people lost their entire life savings

@cameron9228 5 лет назад

Yes, they gambled their life savings on speculation. I might speculate that you don't have KK in your calling range and be wrong, that's why I don't play stakes I can't afford. @@therealrick1661

@Matthew-gg8ep 5 лет назад

Thanks for analysis great work as always. Looking forward to next week.

@raymondrumsey1097 5 лет назад

So glad Doug is back to making content!

@nikpredom7095 5 лет назад

Great video. Good to see you back Doug.

@AndreasFroehliPoker 5 лет назад

Just when you're about to remember Alec Torelli's JJ's, it comes flying around in the video :)

@TheErolking 2 года назад

Thx Doug,i love your analysis,You are one of The best !!greedings from Europe

@jackbrady9738 5 лет назад

JJ or TT is the best hand to call down here considering your analysis at 8:05 that the most common hand will be AT or AJ. very smart and useful blocker play.

@queerbanks26 5 лет назад

I love how salty Doug gets about that torelli call 😂😂

@elvismanhattan284 5 лет назад

Hes just joking around mate.. :D Doug is a great player and great player is humble in losses ...same as in wins ... PS: IT WAS GOOD HAND BY TORELLI YOU HAVE TO ADMIT

@znojnyj 5 лет назад

No he doesn't?

@oyuyuy 5 лет назад

@@elvismanhattan284 It was a shit hand by Torreli, wtf are you talking about?

@thetimer8658 5 лет назад

dougy, i love u vidz man, and ur hair. OK ok i lied about the second one...

@DavideMassaJudo 5 лет назад

We want more Polker Hands!

@chrisp755 5 лет назад

You cant be like "all loosey goosey" !

@TomBrooklyn 5 лет назад

Hi Doug. What's this game...the blinds and betting structure? Please add that to the otherwise much improved graphic overlay.

@AleksiVattaja 5 лет назад

Highly doubt Dan overbets Ax for value, maybe AJ or AT or a trapped AK etc, so I dont know if i like the decision to polarize. By betting smaller, he has a wider value range as well as giving him a more attractive price to bluff. For example against JJ you could argue a bet of 7k on the river looks stronger than the jam. Idk tho, just a thought.

@Gibbs2win 5 лет назад

Anyone know which hand breakdown Doug talks about not getting nominated to the GPI poker awards?

@PfatPface 5 лет назад

I love the photo of your dogs. LOL. Nice touch, sir!

@winner_joiner 5 лет назад

Nice Alec Needle.;-) Classic

@jordananderson4710 5 лет назад

Damn these guy's are good

@JackRule16 5 лет назад

That was a really cool call

@pelemos2466 5 лет назад

Please, make a hand review Aham 87suited vs Garret AA *Liveinthebike

@alexkontogiannis3520 5 лет назад

ithink that when we have KT there ,the bluff being made on the turn was too random.Whati seems sound to me is to bet any diamond ,the queen (and the jack if it was checked on the turn),and if this doesnt seem enough you can bet a 4 or a 5 potentially on the r=turn just because it shifts the range advantage to you ,as the preflop 3-bettor doesnt have a str8 nearly ever ,neither a set all that often when he checks such a turn.Darren's strat on the turn ,doesnt seem to be ifluenced by blockers atm since ott when he checks he's already highish on his range and yea he doesnt block diamonds as well.On rver situation might be exactly the same ,not sure,but conclusively I don't like smith's play one bit there,just way too random.

@katieobrien4735 5 лет назад

I’m an upswing guy done wonders for my game just wish Doug could teach me about luck

@JBSOUNDADVICE 5 лет назад

Hey Doug!! First in!! Good to see some poker content. I just subbed on Upswing!!

@DirtBread 5 лет назад

Hey Doug, enjoy the videos. However, have you ever considered providing 1-3 min of commentary after the reveal of the action made at end of video? I certainly would enjoy additional brief closing hands and I’m sure other viewers would as well. I’ve found sometimes your videos feel like they end abruptly.

@tracygarrett3952 5 лет назад

100% agree!!!

@sambologna5443 5 лет назад

He does this before the last action. Go watch again, pay attention this time.

@priely5149 5 лет назад

The site look cool, I didn't know you play heads up vs sort of AI and won.

@CodeProvider 5 лет назад

Hi Doug, long time viewer here. Never really commented before because I'm busy with my antique dealership but I just wanted to suggest that you call this show "Polker Hands," as it is a play on words with your last name. Thanks for reading!

@sresner7 5 лет назад

futuramafrymeme.JPEG

@peterjoy490 5 лет назад

start doug polk video with ad for daniel negreanu's masterclass lol

@Powerlifter83 5 лет назад

Peter Joy I got the same thing lol

@hamgi16 5 лет назад

Do you mean daniel rakeanu masterrake?

@CARNA6E 5 лет назад

@@hamgi16 rakegreanu

@Traumtheater0 5 лет назад

Funny. Mine didn't show ANY ad because I have a f*+kin+ blocker installed

@Nash9r 5 лет назад

@@Traumtheater0 Yeah, i don't get how people still don't have one. It is just so annoying to watch RU-vid with ads.

@NikhilAutar 5 лет назад

Many players would c/c c/c pocket pairs as opposed to betting otf I feel, though I like your strat to deny equity and charge draws with lower pocket pairs in general (i'd like doing it with pocket pairs that can turn more equity too, as on low/medium boards - they give you more unexpected straights/sets... I'll add it in to my arsenal. Wonder what ppl think about jamming here in this particular spot with a merged range with hands like ak/aq with a diamond. You block more flushes by having diamonds there, and you can induce hero calls from a range with many medium aces I reckon (while not getting beat often). Especially live, you see a lot more hero calls with ax in these spots I think than there should be. It also allows you to bluff with hands like dan's in this spot, and generates more fold equity vs the right players too. If you're bluffing here, gutters would be better as it maximises chances of opponents having FDs though, I feel.

@NikhilAutar 5 лет назад

i commented this before your last piece of analysis and seeing what happened. Completely agree - bluffing with gutters make more sense here!

@MaximillianNewman 5 лет назад

Can anyone explain why it’s a bad play for JJ to bet the turn? Maybe around 3/4 pot? My thinking would be to get flush draws to fold, and if you get a call then you gotta think the guy has an Ace, at which point you check the river and deliberate between calling or folding if the opponent bets. Just seems like with Jacks when there’s only one overcard out there, if your opponent makes top pair, you’re going to lose some money no matter what, so the turn bet makes sense to me. Thoughts anyone?

@bluefatrat 5 лет назад

Generally if you are in a spot where if you bet better hands will call you and worse hands will fold to you you want to check. This is obviously the most true on the river and less true on previous streets when a flush draw still has 20% against you, but you want to check and let your opponent bluff off his stack against you.

@ryand8338 5 лет назад

@Maximillian Newman Your assumption is that flush draws would fold for a 3/4 pot bet in position. It is easier to call with a flush draw in position knowing that you can get extra value from your opponent when you hit the flush and also have an opportunity to bluff your opponent on the river when the flush misses. Therefore betting does not decrease the range of hands your opponent has by that much and you learn little about your opponent's hand. Sure he may fold some flush draws some of the time but not that often. This means your bet has bloated the pot, giving your opponent more value when he has you beat and more incentive to bluff with his missed draws, and you still have to play the same guessing game you had on the turn with a mediocre hand. While it is not great to have to consider calling down out of position with a mediocre hand, it is certainly better to do so without bloating the pot beforehand.

@jluchette 5 лет назад

Oh man that’s a big ass bottle of Tobasco Sauce.

@jakem4795 5 лет назад

U should call it polker hands

@samblattner1659 4 года назад

I don’t understand what you mean by “a full house is less likely when the board pairs on the river.” A full house is only possible with a paired board, so the probability actually increases (from zero).

@JMRSplatt 5 лет назад

That mic peaking.. oof.

@pristineentertainment6157 5 лет назад

Don’t leave us like that again damn it!

@DaSoulSlasher 5 лет назад

Hi, Douglas.

@elongee6554 5 лет назад

Dwan's ahead of you in 6+ NLHE. America's Cardroom has it. Strategy?

@therealrick1661 5 лет назад

Doug your Wikipedia page is wrong, it says you are a former professional poker player but you still play!!! I will edit it if you want, but I just thought I'd let you know! Douglas Polk (born December 16, 1988)[1] is a former American professional poker player.

@JimCarel 5 лет назад

no he has quit and want to do other things. but i will makes videos.

@jacksock5418 5 лет назад

I really think the sizing on the river was too polarizing as Darren can definitely be check calling an Ace on the turn and trapping AA as well. And shoving AT for a 1.2x pot otr is just a bit thin and I think Darren picked up on this and his JJ blocking the most likely thin value bet otr (AJ) led him to discounting AK and AQ as Dan is probably 3b those and AT would bet a half pot-ish size to get a crying call from KK-TT. Also, there's still any possible 44, 55, 56ss, 56dd, 64ss, 64dd, 52s, 42s, diamond draw or even air balls like KdTo (lul). I just think on this run-out facing a two street check from a pfa, Dan Smith in particular is going to be too bluff heavy. Darren seems like a great player too.

@6thwilbury2331 5 лет назад

So funny how different the value ranges are at the higher stakes. At the low stakes , a player will easily try to get three streets of value with a hand like A9 here. They just figure "I haz top pair I must haz best hand."

@truetrue2963 5 лет назад

thats because players at low stakes are never folding JJ to AA ever on any run outs lol

@laniakea_ctzn 5 лет назад

11:08 a ghost?

@vincentolmos2263 5 лет назад

DNegs play money PCA hand next, plz !

@TheInvisibleOne1026 5 лет назад

Doug u make our loins burn.

@gustavoc6812 5 лет назад

Folding KTo on a A23 flop is too conservative?

@pugsnhogz 5 лет назад

With the backdoor nuts and at least one over a decent % of the time vs villain's range, I think the reasoning is we have enough equity to continue and can successfully barrel a lot of runouts.

@pbogz4719 5 лет назад

I believe the flop was c-bet with a smaller sizing as well?

@kevinkane5595 5 лет назад

The bet was 1400 into a 3500 pot (40% pot) MDF and position dictates Dan needs to call with at least ~70% or he is exploitable (ie Darren could always bet 40% pot and make a profit). Dan has lots of possible hands in this spot so back door straight, back door nut flush, probably makes it into that top 70% range,... barely. In lots of lower stakes live game you don’t need to consider MDF heads up, at this level. You could call with a smaller % of hands.

@toddzickel2548 5 лет назад

@@kevinkane5595 why does Dan have to call at 70% and how did you get that? There are times for a great bluff but to burn $20K on that flop?

@kevinkane5595 5 лет назад

Todd Zickel MDF is minimum defense frequency. Essentially the smaller the bet is to the size of the pot, then the more it should be called. Imagine in this hand if the flop bet was only $35 into $35,000. Then Dan should call with almost everything (99.9%). But if the bet were $350,000 then you should only call with the very very top hands (1%). So MDF provides a guide to how many times you need to call. I think it’s 1 - (bet size / (pot size plus + bet size) ) = 1 - (14 / (35 +14)) = 1 - 0.286 = 0.714 which is 71.4% if the flop bet were bigger, the percent goes down, if the flop bet smaller the percent goes up.

@andrewcampbell9695 5 лет назад

Looking like you're losing weight. Nice job!

@sweetplaces 5 лет назад

Bill Perkins made a secret prop bet with Doug that in one year he will have the same weight as Dneg.

@sspitcher1513 5 лет назад

Doug, I love you but why is folding KTo on an A high flop to the pre-flop raiser's C-bet too nitty? I think I am folding KTo almost every time in this spot... but then again, I am not good so maybe I'm torching money...

@masanetthomas8586 5 лет назад

It's not nitty. It's just conservative. Here you are in position, you have good equity against small pairs and you can bluff on almost every diamond+ you have got very good odds (1400 in a pot of 6000 is quite nice). This is one of your best non flush draw hand to float. Not to do if you are not experimented enough to know how to play floats but this is a good candidate to call. I might fold from times to times depending on the player betting in the sb.

@guccimane7348 5 лет назад

without watching dougs analyze, torellis call was waaaaaaaaay better (saw the hand on latb) still #TEAMPOLKER

@callumdickerson8886 5 лет назад

Hey Doug, when are you gonna play again at the Bike?

@calebking5206 5 лет назад

Make a comeback Doug!

@BrooksMotorWorks703 5 лет назад

Hit my first Royal last night in a real game...Yesterday, diamonds were a man's best friend.

@Stomski 5 лет назад

What did you win? 2 bucks?

@BrooksMotorWorks703 5 лет назад

+Stomski - $800, but you must be losing if you're that angry about someone else's success.

@ferube4171 5 лет назад

why? you do not put a small screen without cutting the main action the important thing is the action and well some comment of yours but in a box without cutting the scene

@theorganicfarm382 5 лет назад

next up Berkeys Fullhouse fold in the PCA, right?

@dimitriskontoleon6787 5 лет назад

He may put opponent on 2 diamons(flush draw) so is no possible lose if opponent had 2 d. If had ace gg

@tc9383 5 лет назад

I’m a major fish

@nicholascarballo6311 Год назад

Don’t like the overbet by smith on river. Only part of the hand I don’t like. Think he accomplishes more betting 33% or 66%.

@AltmanLLC 5 лет назад

You’re the Lebron of poker

@andrewwebber421 5 лет назад

Reason for the call is the limited winning hands Dan would have. Going all in with Ax hardly ever happens here. 77 less likely to get the bet on the flop. So it’s A3 or 45 he doesn’t want to see. A busted flush draw or a bluff then seemed to fit a large part of what Dan was doing.

@shanejett3550 3 года назад

Let's talk about blockers, whilst I totally contradict myself, and....... F**K IT! Just call, fold or raise!!!

@Gos1234567 5 лет назад

I dont get this blocker stuff,doesnt the Ad out there block most possible flush draws,so less chance hes bluffing a draw??

@JimCarel 3 года назад

2021

@Ph0nics 5 лет назад

Darren the 🐐

@RobertS122 5 лет назад

spaghetti and meatballs

@chrisw6120 5 лет назад

only 50 bb total played this hand, jj is way too good to fold in any spot vs pros, vs calling station or fish i FOLD

@ref78stewart20 5 лет назад

Why do Dealers take big stacks of chips ( when moving them to the winning player ) and topple them over intentionally making the player re stack them when its just as easy to move the stacks, intact, to the winning player. I understand why they do it mid hand so as to make a uniform chip stack in the middle but to do it after the hand is over seems stupid if not ignorant at best.

@kitkatcats3360 4 года назад

I could never make that call. Not sure what that says about my game, but...

@EricTheYounger 5 лет назад

I feel like this guy Dan gives off a lot of tells.

@209brandonb 5 лет назад

Wait wait wait if he has the J diamonds then that means that he can’t have a J high flush draw HOLY SHIT THATS AMAZING wait wait wait also let me guess he can check, bet, fold each one has its own benefits

@ChessJew 5 лет назад

Kazoo Boy approves of this call.

@troycm89 5 лет назад

Clearly, Darren is on the infamous Doug Polk Diet, where you gain enough weight from having a sedentary lifestyle, that you end up looking just like Doug Polk. Also fairly obvious is the fact that Darren stole one of his shirts, too. #LiveTells

@LooxeY 5 лет назад

Dougie Polk-o

@joshuapatrick682 5 лет назад

Pretty sure dan would call the flop with 77 as he called with K10

@truetrue2963 5 лет назад

i was thinking this same thing when he said that lol

@Michael-gl4jz Год назад

Not jaming river with AJ+ is so bad and that makes it a call

@Allin4x 5 лет назад

Here snap watch

@marclowenstein6484 5 лет назад

would he have called a 3/4 pot bet?

@znojnyj 5 лет назад

The answer is yes

@thesituation8514 5 лет назад

The real question here is could Dug Pork make that call???

@netarichie 5 лет назад

wait is this guy not doing crypto anymore?

@briwull999 5 лет назад

Ive just a local pro. Not that good. Played a wpt with Elias in norcal. Dont ever try to bluff the guy. He always makes the right decision. Sicko player

@alienpoker 5 лет назад

Doug goes on and in about the Jd as a “possible blocker” then doesn’t actually consider why Dan is so less likely to have AJs. Sure there are two more in the deck, but AJh and AJc are blocked by your hand. Ad is on the board, so he can’t have AJd. So there is EXACTLY one combo of AJs he can have. Yes, the are the AJo but I’m not pitting him on any AJ when I call. Period.

@izzitreallyd22 5 лет назад

He DOES consider that a lot of AJ are blocked by having jacks! Suited or not doesn't matter, Dan never folds AJ pre in this spot, just doesn't have it so often as you stated and Doug said in the video.

@Gos1234567 4 года назад

Is he betting that much on river with just AJ or AT?

@toddzickel2548 5 лет назад

Look at Dan... He looks nervous.... Darren should look at Dan's face..... 15:42 to 15:49... Yes, seeing the cards makes it obvious Dan was bluffing but with that board, you call the guy. I ididn't think it was some great call.

@toddzickel2548 5 лет назад

I'd have folded after the flop. Garbage board. Maybe too conservative. but it avoids hittin' the road jack on a bad bluff

@elvismanhattan284 5 лет назад

This was actually perfect type of hand of poker of our time '' millennials poka '' GG go re !

@ilovebrandnewcarpets 5 лет назад

Dan Smith is an internet player, so that's why he lost. At home he can do whatever he wants, but live? Not so much. He's all loosey goosey, eatin' a ....

@olliewilliams7753 5 лет назад

Right, lots of American internet players these days.

@JimCarel 3 года назад

2021 2

@1979BC1 5 лет назад

Why can't Dan have AK? Cause he would have re-raised pre?

@DougieBarclay 5 лет назад

yes

@patrickgunning1024 3 года назад

Can Dan really not have AK here? I mean surely he flats AKo AQo preflop some of the time

@erichanfland5407 5 лет назад

This guy Doug really became one of the best players in the world and then ditched the solvers to make comedic and informative videos. What a guy.

@behhe1235 5 лет назад

i think if he bet the river like 60% he would have gotten the fold

@christophe6293 5 лет назад

If he would have bet around € 8k instead all in on the river it would have been more credible for a A-X

@znojnyj 5 лет назад

It's a polar situation where he'd be printing $ by picking a right betting frequency and losing $ by picking wrong Essentially your argument translates to "save HALF by betting less when you shouldn't bet" Half-great argument for this particular spot, but not very helpful in a scheme of /theoretically/ winning strategy _This hand is essentially yolo and should be treated as such_

@codmott286 5 лет назад

but he'd also get looked up by JJ like 90% of the time

@thesaim1036 5 лет назад

If it’ so easy, just overbet the river when you have a value hand and bet 8k when you bluff, you stupid donk

@pfunk6584 5 лет назад

Oh Hi Doug

@JustinOhio 5 лет назад

That's why I suck and that dude is there, I would have folded all day.

@TSgitaar 5 лет назад

I don't really understand poker, but I can't see how this is the correct play. This is just gambling right? Hoping that he hasn't got the ace or the straight?

@MrWeenuk21 4 года назад

dan just made a bad bet on the river. not gambling but playing poker you are not near

@joshuapatrick682 5 лет назад

Alec only made that call because he knows you don’t like his angleshooting and would forever own him if he folded

@marcuslarwa9098 5 лет назад

I’m sorry but I’m would have snapped called, rewind and watch how uncomfortable he looks after being check to, he pretty much touched everything in front of him. His chips his time bank chips he was all kinds of fidgety. Unless he’s done that before and has had a monster I’m snapping him off.